Two fold

I was in a situation, the river has come to a branch and if I take one path, I cannot take the other (today), I preferred to do the other story, but the dice are still rolling and they will continue on rolling for a day or two, so as I waited yesterday, I am now taking the other branch. The other branch takes me to an article by Bryan Clark and Dan Patt. Defense One gives us an article called ‘The Pentagon Needs Budget Agility to Compete with China’, the article (at https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2021/02/pentagon-needs-budget-agility-compete-china/172037/) is quite good. I have some reservations on a few matters, but that does not make their point of view false or incorrect. There is an issue with “Spending plans are built two years in advance to account for internal haggling and Congressional deliberation; and if appropriation delays require continuing resolutions, the gap between planning and execution grows even longer. Further entrenching funding choices, budgets are distributed into discrete program elements across multiple appropriation categories from operations and maintenance to procurement”, an example here is ‘if appropriation delays require continuing resolutions’ is not an incorrect statement, but there is a problem when the continuing resolution drives up the cost, not if the continuing resolution is to halt overspending (example USS Zumwalt), the other side is any project where software takes an unprecedented side of the cost (again the USS Zumwalt) and that is before you realise just how ugly that dinghy is. And that is before the larger picture becomes distorted. Should Prince Mohammad bin Salman approve my proposal to change one planned squadron to the upgraded Chengdu J-20, 1-2 billion dollars meant to go to the US treasury will not go there due to blocked arms sales, there is every indication that China will want to move in before Russia has the option. This is merely step one, the blocked deals in the US and the UK represent 4-7 billion in total (so far not all deals are blocked). Yet when we consider ‘The Pentagon Needs Budget Agility’, the Pentagon will see a new stage where agility goes to the basement. And in the end, they did it to themselves, all these one sided idiots blaming the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, all whilst the actions of Houthi and Iranian Houthis (read: Iran) are ignored is nothing short of really stupid and this year there will be a large price to pay, A stage where they all make claims that it does not really matter, yet the fact that up to $4,000,000,000 is lost to the US is nothing to snivel at. So when we are given “Almost all of DoD’s capabilities, even some innovative ideas like precision-guided weapons, are iteratively developed. These efforts suffer under today’s predictive and inflexible budget process” they seem to forget that the one option for the ‘inflexible budget process’ was a customer base that goes beyond the US. The lack of that will have repercussions, yet if I get my commissions, I will actually not care that much. Its a dog eat dog world and I am seeing the options of a nice juicy steak, so whilst silly Democrats hide behind ‘Anti-war Democrats applaud Biden for freeze on U.S. arms sales to Saudi Arabia’, I feel vindicated, because my share on selling a copy of Mario Kart is nothing compared to me selling Saudi Arabia a set of 6 Chengdu J-20’s and the loss to America is one that they did to themselves. Now if I can only muster the contacts to sell the other parts my life would soon become a lot less complex. 

It is nice to have a high moral ground, but on a bridge is it a lot harder to get all the fruit that are on the trees near the ground. Did they not understand that part?

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Filed under Finance, Military, Politics

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