Category Archives: Politics

July 21, 2026 · 09:53

One is done

That is the setting, I completed one and I almost completed my new script ‘Information Overload’ my new nightmare towards General Joshua M. Rudd (NSA), Anne Keast-Butler (GCHQ) and optionally Nicolas Lerner (DGSE). You an try to appease a population of millions, but what are the chances? So if I merely get three people on board of this nightmare, I will have filled my quota of scared bunnies. The rest of the population of those nations will follow soon enough. The media takes care of that and it is nice to use the media to fruitfully adhere to my needs. They tend to be debatable at best, but we have to start somewhere and when the NSA gets nervous, my guess is that Alexey Alexeevich Rarenko (Center16, FSB) might get twitchy too, which gets me an additional 144,998,000 (they allegedly lost 1000 Russians last night) optional interested parties. We start small and we enlarge that population through traction as we get along. But this time it is about me (my favourite subject, all the way from the township of ‘Whogivesafuck’ population: 1).

But in all this I learned a few things. No matter how Final Draft is ‘meant’ for Hollywood and scriptwriters. It has a few kinks in all this. So as I write ‘my’ script, I tend to do this in Pages. But there are two issues, when I past it into beatbox all is fine and when I try too paste it into the FD editor, things go weirdly wrong. Even when trying to adjust to FD, it seems like hidden codes make a mess of it all, in case of this script and the other one ‘How to assassinate a politician’ which got the secondary title ‘Essay’ things are different. These are relatively small. One of the scripts surpasses 50,000 words and there are three more and that is where things get dicey. 

As such I kept all the mails Final Draft sent me from the beginning, so it might be there, but at present I cannot find it. As such Final Draft might want to spend a day or two making a white paper on “From Word/Pages to Final Draft’’ as far as I could tell it isn’t there (or I missed it) So I am a little lost at present, but soon I have no other option to either type it all or make the Pages version look like it is Final Draft, a slight horrible setting. Don’t get my wrong, Final Draft is seemingly excellent. The first script went almost without a hitch, so in any way I don’t blame them, and as the pages texts go into Beatbox, I am getting the stuff across, but getting from Beatbox the text formatted into FD is slightly beyond a pain (irritating, aggravating and frustrating as well).

So I am in a little bit of a binding setting. So next on the list is dig through over 230 emails I have from Final Draft, perhaps there is a solution there. I reckon that a lot could be fixed if you could go (in the editor) in some kind of code view and delete the separate codes you see there. I reckon it should be there, because Word gives the users the most garbage codes out there, so I reckon that Final Draft has solved this option, but I didn’t find it (yet).

So whilst I have a small victory with yet another script done, there is that larger setting of the other scripts, because ‘Information overload’ is not a full movie, a short movie at best, as such reason for coffee and cakes, but only when the other three are converted the brandy and ice creams come out.

Have a great day all

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July 19, 2026 · 17:31

Is it that simple?

There is a stage when the village idiots shout things that kinda offends us, but we whisk it away. Then we reconsider their shouts and think ‘Has it come to this?’ And we consider what we know. So as we are given (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwyq93j34lgo) by the BBC that ‘Trump threatens new Canada tariffs over fires sending ‘filthy’ air into US cities’ the first think I want to say is that Canada had no protests coming to the aid of California whilst it was burning down (and Doug Ford, a man from Etobicoke said so), and as we see that the United States puts over 1000% (compared to Canada) pollution in the air, we might think a few things of these village idiots. But then we consider does it help to counter these people? So I went to think in another direction. ‘Has the United States become this broke?’ Because there is reason for this thought even though we hear people say that a country cannot go broke, they can print money. Some (the really old people) might remember the hyperinflation of the Weimar Republic between 1914 and 1923. 

We get into the setting that people pay DM150,000 for a bag of potatoes (not to mention the price of beef and butter) so this is not a solution and at that point all saving are almost immediately reduced to zero. Beside that the White House requested a record-breaking $1.5 trillion for the defense budget for Fiscal Year 2027, alongside a separate $87.6 billion supplemental request driven heavily by military campaign costs related to Iran. And that is where things get really (really) dicey. You see, the total U.S. national gross debt stands at approximately $39.4 trillion, which implies that the United States now has an annual interest bill of over a trillion dollars. As the IRS (the American donation system) gets about the Internal Revenue Service collected $5.3 trillion in gross taxes, processed 271.4 million returns and forms, and issued $638.8 billion in refunds, this now implies that the United States will have to do with at least 18% less money and that is happening in less then 12 months. How do you think the United States can pay for infrastructure and other services? I saw this coming a few years ago and I tried to warn you all about it, but people like to listen to those countering that and claiming that there are solutions. The United States is too big to go broke. As I see it, the invoices need to be paid and the United States will have nothing left to pay in 12-24 months. At present we will see that certain things will be pushed forward and others are set in the backpay setting, but it is now running out, as such the United States are now claiming all these tariffs and other money making settings, but as I see it, the party is now as I would personally see it, officially over. And as the United States gets less and less revenue as they pissed of pretty much any ally they have, the new setting is that they need to get whatever they can. I saw the 51st state (Canada), Greenland, Venezuela and Iran as the precursors towards a nation too deep in debt. And there were others who saw it as well. As I reported in March in my article ‘Where is the trust’ (on March 17th 2026, at https://lawlordtobe.com/2026/03/17/where-is-the-trust/) where I wrote: “Because if I can figure this out in the last decade and now we get that Dave Kelly (JP Morgan, as per OCT2025) can figure this out, you should wonder why others couldn’t figure this out. I get that I am a no one is all this, but David Kelly is the Chief Global Strategist and Head of the Global Market Insights Strategy Team of JP Morgan and he is a voice to consider no matter how you slice it” as such my speculative setting is that the party is over and the chances that the economy of the United States will collapse in the next 12-24 months. And there is more bad news, those who held onto the treasury bonds might also dump those in the near future and there is no leeway for the United States, they pissed off too many people. So as I see it, they all made their beds in that election on November 5th, 2024. Which was the last nail the United States had left. This setting did not come overnight, this setting was pretty clear around ‘The deal compared to morality’ which I wrote on January 29th 2021. So this stage has been evolving for a while and the political players went from hype to hype (the current one is the nonexistent hype of AI) and no one is asking the hard questions. But as I see it, the setting is most likely to be that the banks in the United States will likely go in some vulture setting, because at that point the carcass of what was the United States will be devoured. This setting was encouraged by the settings of Wall Street and others have faced it and now the United States will face that and a likely 330,000,000 massively angry people, but that is what they signed up for, they could have voted differently. 

So whilst everyone is looking for a way out, they will see that there are not that many options. The current administration burned those bridges down to a cinder. 

Have a great day and consider what is real and what is not. Perhaps I am all wrong (not certain I am), perhaps (massively unlikely) so is David Kelly of JP Morgan, but there is too much out there and someone will figure out what I did well before 2021. So have a great day and don’t forget that that in Germany 1923 the price of coffee became a famous historical example of runaway prices, famously rising from 5,000 marks to 7,000 or 8,000 marks in the time it took to drink it, so when did anyone in the United States make enough money to afford such a cup of coffee?

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July 18, 2026 · 02:05

Terrorists are as terrorists do

I got hit by two news pieces. The first one was the Canberra Times, which I will discus second. After that I saw the news that Sky News gives us (at https://www.skynews.com.au/world-news/global-affairs/iran-tells-houthis-to-close-red-sea-gateway-if-us-hits-power-network-sources-say/news-story/e0db23cd9c0ccb4eba564a13c222be79) where we see ‘Iran tells Houthis to close Red Sea gateway if US hits power network, sources say’. So, Iran vie Houthi terrorists attacks Saudi interests when another party attacks? And we let these settings happen? Lets’ be clear, Saudi Arabia has not now, not ever allowed the United States launch attacks on Iran via their ports and harbours. As such it now becomes unacceptable and I consider it up to Saudi Arabia to do whatever it needs to do to make certain its areas are terrorist clear. As I see it, It is up to Saudi Arabia to do what it needs to do, but as I gave both the UAE and Saudi Arabia my military IP and I find it totally acceptable to use this against Houthi terrorists. As such the Port of Aden is about to become the only way in or out, handing the Yemeni authorities a new strength and as the Port of Hodeidah, Port of Mukalla, Port of Mokha, Port of Saleef, Ras Isa Marine Terminal and the Port of Nishtun are now valid targets to be closed for months at a time. As I see it, Houthi terrorists will suddenly cry for mercy when their only access port becomes Route 45 (well, it goes through Saudi Arabia, so that one is out too). But more about that later. 

You see, the news all started with the Canberra Times (at https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/9312297/houthi-leader-warns-saudi-arabia-against-escalation/) giving us ‘Houthi leader warns Saudi Arabia against escalation’ well, Saudi Arabia did nothing to escalate, it was all the United States (with support from Israel) and they escalated Iranian actions. As such pretty much the whole world will allow Saudi Arabia do what it needs to do. And I gave my IP months ago, as such closing the harbours becomes a first step. So when we see “Yemen’s Houthi leader Abdul Malik al-Houthi says all Saudi oil ‌and other vital facilities will be targets for the group’s missiles ‌and drones if Saudi Arabia escalates its involvement in the conflict.” Well, to be clear, Saudi Arabia hasn’t done this, it is just a hidden meaning of someone stopping anyone to halt the United States from attacking Iran, and they attacked ships in the strait of Hormuz. As I see it, Saudi actions are clear. They can attack any Houthi terrorist interests anywhere in Yemen, which pretty much guarantees shutting down their ports and the world will approve whatever Saudi Arabia thinks it needs to do. I don’t think Houthis terrorists have ever faced that before.  So the cry stories of those innocent Yemeni children will now go to deaf ears and as Saudi Arabia recently cleared 1,293 explosive devices in Yemen (source: Arab News) Houthi forces are about to learn what happens when the world has had enough with terrorists camouflaged threats. So whilst we see ““The real equation is ‌Sanaa airport for Riyadh airport, airports for airports, ports for ports, and blockade for blockade,” the Houthi leader said in a televised speech. Yemen has been mired in civil war for more than a decade since the Houthi rebels seized the capital Sanaa, prompting ‌a Saudi-led military intervention in 2015 in support of the internationally recognised government.” As such they camouflaged threat will be met with other settings. As Saudi Arabia retaliates I will have to revisit my IP that takes the highways out of the equation as well. It will effectively isolate Houthi terrorists in their places. So whilst Sky News gave us “Iran told Yemen’s Houthi rebels Wednesday to prepare to close the crucial Bab el Mandeb Strait — the critical shipping lane on the west side of the Arabian Peninsula— if the US strikes Iranian power plants.” There is a second setting, because this all relies on Iranian goods and when those are of the table, Houthi life will become a lot more difficult. Whatever happens, I hope the international world will give their support to Saudi Arabia to do whatever it needs to keep its places safe and secure. Because as I see it, Iranian actions shows that it has become as desperate as we have ever seen them and as Iran relies on terrorists to do their bidding, the hands of Saudi Arabia are no longer bound by international cry stories. 

There is only so much threats that we are willing to accept and Iran using terrorists against a nation who is not involved in activities against them, a nation that even denied the United States to act against from its lands, or even fly through its airspace. As such the war board will change a lot soon enough. 

How soon? That is up to Houthi leader Abdul Malik al-Houthi, but he needs to realise that the world will no longer idly stand by to these actions and I reckon that Saudi Arabia might find many nations willing to part with military hardware for Saudi Arabia in the process. 

So to all I wish you a happy lunchtime (Toronto) or dinner (Rotterdam) and I as I am still 360 minutes from breakfast I might treat myself to a cookie at present. Have a great day all.

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July 15, 2026 · 01:31

What a surprise

So, before I get you to the article, I want to reiterate my position. I did this a few times and here it matters. You see, on May 31st 2025 I wrote ‘All Dressed Up’ where I gave you ““The United States could experience a loss of $21 billion in tourism-related revenue this year if current trends continue, according to estimates by the U.S. Travel Association. According to the trade group, every 1% reduction in international tourist spending represents an annual loss of $1.8 billion for the U.S. economy. Furthermore, experts indicated that a strong U.S. dollar could be driving away international visitors.” Even though only Canada is ‘sifted’ out” I had some issues, because the numbers were seemingly giving added ‘benefits’ to the economic settings of this administration. And now we see CBC giving us (at https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/cross-border-travel-down-dramatically-research-9.7198652) ‘Travel to the U.S. is down even more dramatically than we thought, data shows’ where we are seeing “While official Statistics Canada figures show a roughly 25 per cent decline in Canadian residents returning from the U.S. last year, cellphone data compiled by researchers at the University of Toronto’s School of Cities found that the year-over-year drop in cross-border trips was closer to 42 per cent.” Which is a nice sidestep and the University of Toronto has proven themselves more than once, so I am excepting this setting. This means that the numbers were off by over 15%, which gives my settings (and decently speculative) a new wave of reliability. So whilst we ‘accept’ the numbers we are also given “They found the decline was even more dramatic in some warm weather locales that have historically been hot spots for Canadians fleeing winter weather. In Myrtle Beach, S.C., the number of trips by Canadians was down 65 per cent year-over-year, according to the cellphone data, giving it the dubious title of the metro area with the steepest drop. In the Florida cities of Panama City, Orlando, Cape Coral, Miami and Naples, the number of Canadian visitors fell by 50 per cent or more. But cratering demand wasn’t recorded only in those sunny destinations. Trips to San Francisco, New York, Ann Arbor and Grand Rapids, Mich., Boston and other business centres have also fallen by more than half, according to the data. In fact, of the 267 U.S. metro areas analyzed by researchers, only three — Cleveland, Portland, Ore., and Gainesville, Fla. — showed an increase in visits by Canadians last year.” What a lovely way to powder a message. Canadians kept up their promise that they were sick and tired of the 51st state setting of the United States by showing a massive decline to well over 250 U.S. metro areas? That should suck to the economy of the United States and I reckon that some people in this administration long before the Tuesday, November 3 moment has come to the calendars of all American voters and as ‘they’ say, every citizen is a voter at that point. So as the USA Today gave us yesterday (at https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2026/07/13/trump-federal-control-midterm-elections/90840111007/) ‘Trump moves to tighten federal control of elections ahead of midterms’ there is a setting that the drop in tourism will have every citizen of the United States livid. So whilst we are given “The president says he’s trying to prevent cheating, but Democrats argue he’s actually putting his thumb on the scale for the GOP by trying to block Democrats from voting.” Which is likely to be a repeat from 2016 when ‘O’Reilly’s Proof That Voter Fraud Exists Was Debunked On His Own Show Four Years Ago’, it is all kids of mean that I figure on using the words of a dedicated Republican to whistle back the BS from a republican administration. And we were given “Fox News host Bill O’Reilly argued that Mitt Romney’s failure to receive any votes in the 2012 presidential election in 59 divisions in Philadelphia was evidence that widespread voter fraud exists presidential elections. This claim was investigated and proved false on O’Reilly’s show one week after the 2012 election. O’Reilly invited lawyers Kimberly Guilfoyle and Stacy Schneider to discuss the prevalence of voter fraud in presidential elections. While both Guilfoyle and Schneider agreed that voter fraud is extremely rare, O’Reilly pointed to “reports in Philadelphia that nobody voted for Romney” as proof that voter fraud exists and asked if these reports have been investigated. From the August 16 edition of The O’Reilly Factor: O’Reilly himself investigated and debunked these allegations in 2012. Following the election, O’Reilly hosted Fox’s Megyn Kelly to investigate the “shenanigans” and why Romney got zero votes in a number of Philadelphia divisions. Kelly explained that “the same thing happened to John McCain” in 2008 because “the divisions with the unanimous Obama votes have large black, inner-city populations.”” 

So will this be a repeat of what we saw in 2016, and with the population of 250 U.S. metro areas extremely likely to be livid, what chance does this administration have? So whilst we return to the story and visit “In an interview with CBC News, Karen Chapple, the lead researcher and director of the School of Cities, said the drop in tourism to popular destinations like Orlando, as well as border communities like Buffalo, N.Y., has been well-documented. What her cellphone data makes clear is that the Canadian boycott is affecting cities both big and small across the States — and it’s not just leisure travel that has dried up. The self-imposed travel ban has extended to high-tech, financial and industrial centres, signaling that cross-border business and trade patterns have fundamentally shifted over the last year. “I have been using the word ‘sea change,'” Chapple said of the data she and her team uncovered. “And the places most impacted by the tariffs are also the ones most affected by the loss of travel,” she said, pointing to some Michigan cities like Flint that have trade ties to Ontario’s auto sector. “These declines are really tied to the composition of the local economies.”” A setting which my (decently speculative numbers also looked at) you see, there is a lot more to the spending of an international traveling person. They often fro not know certain things, or they might see it as impolite to use certain settings and this would have impacted local businesses a lot more. Like the local B&B places (to name merely one) and none of those earlier numbers would have seen that and now we see that there is a 15% gap between what was and seemingly what is. 

It is at this point where the CBC setting matters. As we are given “The U.S. Travel Association last year said a 10 per cent drop in Canadian tourism would cost the American economy about $2.1 billion US. If Chapple’s data is an accurate reflection of what’s going on, that means Canadians holding back on U.S. travel may have cost the economy about $8.4 billion US and counting. Speaking at a progressive political conference last weekend, Prime Minister Mark Carney applauded Canadians’ efforts to stand up to the Americans as the trade dispute with Trump drags on.” And now I get to gloat (just a little) and my story given on August 30th 2025 called ‘Vindication of a sort’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/08/30/vindication-of-a-sort/) where I stated 

“I speculatively expect it to be at least 80 billion” that was over two weeks ago. Now MSN gives us ‘Study Warns Trump Tariffs Could Deliver $64 Billion Hit to U.S. Tourism Businesses’, I reckon that when they start considering the bankruptcies in Florida and California are added, they will get a lot closer to my 80 billion”

So my speculation was hitting reality on nearly all thrusters and whilst bankruptcies are on a high in Florida (44,496), which dwarves the previous year (which had 32,933) and these numbers are set to May 26th 2026, as such these numbers are most likely to rise and taken that the CBC gives us alternative numbers, that jump might be a lot and I speculated it over a year ago, that is before we look at California where we see ‘California personal bankruptcies up 15% in a year’ (source: East Bay Times). The story they have comes with graphics, which are (especially for Canadians, fun to behold at https://www.eastbaytimes.com/2026/06/02/california-personal-bankruptcies-up-15-in-a-year/) It gives me that Texas with its 20% is still a states to consider and considering all these families renting out part of their house on a B&B setting are likely to be all personal bankruptcies. When you add all this up, you might start seeing the settings I say in 2025 because this all was set to Canadian impact, whilst I was looking at the larger international community that had enough of Trumpisms and I also considered that the Commonwealth nations might stand with Canada and select Canada as the destination for the next few years. That speculation is seemingly holding water as well, as such the United States has a real problem until deep into 2029 and with the Middle East exploring their tourism settings (especially the UAE) that hardship is nowhere near done. 

So some might see this as ego boasting, but there is no ego in place. I merely saw the numbers behind the numbers and I saw a trend evolving and I have been doing this since 1992, so I have a few markers that have been seeing the test of time. My ego does giggle at the simple fact that I was more on the nose with these numbers than all the fake AI in the land. So that part is gloating boasting and all kinds of nearly negative settings. I don’t have to give space to fake AI, it is that kind of a day today (at it is Wednesday 01:10 here), it sometimes suck to be a Fake AI, doesn’t it?

The article has one source “Barbara Barrett, executive director of the Frontier Duty Free Association, a trade group representing the mostly family-owned stores that dot the Canadian side of the border, said the steeper drop-off figures are more believable than the StatsCan data, based on how badly sales have plummeted at some of her members’ outlets.” Yes, I never considered that, but Canadians tend to buy the Canadian articles they know, as such that group is also facing dwindling numbers. For them I do feel sorry, but it is part of the whole.

So as I go to bed with a gloat, I wish you all a great day, my Wednesday ‘officially’ starts in less than 300 minutes.

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July 13, 2026 · 10:15

Using the media in war

That has always ben the case, as early as the 1620s as Corantos. A first-hand battlefield datelines and updates on the war. It is a little bit disappointing as they were a stronger setting of what was to be than what the media gives us now in 2026 in the Iran settings. Headlines like ‘Iran bets Trump will blink first’ and ‘‘We’re beating them up’, Trump on fresh Iran strikes’ and lets not forget ‘U.S. insists Strait of Hormuz remains open despite Iran declaring it closed, as strikes escalate’ all less then three hours ago. So, what is the measure of a war? But I am sitting in a setting with a headline 6 hours ago. We were given ‘The Guardian view on Trump and Tehran: everyone loses when the US and Iran overplay their hands’ and I say firmly ‘No!’

You see, the media is part of this mess. When they decided to reject the evidence from Brigadier General Turki al-Maliki on the drones from the Houthi terrorists (supplied by Iran), which clearly showed that Iran was behind this all. As you ignored evidence of an attack on Aramco, whilst blatantly ignoring that Houthi forces did not have the ability to expertly drive drones 10 times into Aramco targets, simply ignoring that this required high knowledge of drone aviation, only found in a state operator like the IRGC. You pretty much tailored your own demise from September 14th, 2019 onwards showing others that you were so dependent on the digital dollar, that you catered to its infliction of whatever drove clicks best. 

This is a stage the media catered to and whilst we see other things evolve, they cater to what drives clicks. The media has lost its footing, its credibility and now they are catering to the populist voices. And in all this I might be wrong (my nautical knowledge is almost half a century old) we see “Under international law, Iran does not have the legal right to completely close or block the Strait of Hormuz to international shipping, although it has used military force to heavily restrict and control traffic. The strait is governed by the regime of “transit passage” under the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), which guarantees that all civilian ships have the right of uninterrupted navigation” (source: Opinio Juris) but the larger setting is that any water has optionally two parties. 

The Straight of Hormuz borders Oman as well, as such there is a stretch that is Omanian territory, so in my naive setting I would say that the ships go via the Omanian part of the strait. I might be oversimplifying this, because Iran would have to attack Omanian waters and in that setting all parties including the GCC could attack Iran for violating their rights. I know I am missing a few settings, but this is what seems to be possible and if the media did their work, even if it is debunking my idea it might have been fine. But they did not did they?

So whilst the media seems to have dug its own Grave by adhering to proxy wars and for the benefit of access they might have silenced a few items (allegedly), we see an incomplete picture and we are thrusted towards headlines based on the old premise she said vs she said and as far as I can see this, this is all that is left to read. 

So what is the real deal? That is the question and in the meantime Iran does what it deserves best, wield the stick of terror over all the lands and I see that these warring parties are ignoring what gives Iran power to act, as such the destruction of their harbours their railroads and their refineries could have been a solution when I gave it 4 months ago. It almost seems like the United States doesn’t want to win, merely drag this setting along. Why?

Well that is all I have at the moment, as such you all have a great day today.

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July 5, 2026 · 18:16

The truth becomes a question

That was the disgust I felt when I saw ‘US Leaders Know UAE Backs Massacres in Sudan. Stopping Them Would Be Too Costly’ today. As I see it, these lies should be set with liability claims towards the Truthout (at https://truthout.org/articles/us-leaders-know-uae-backs-massacres-in-sudan-stopping-them-would-be-too-costly/) and a major claim should also be handed to the writer “By Elfadil Ibrahim, Responsible Statecraft”, but what would I know about that. The inferred claim in the heading is merely the window dressing. What is the real claim that not only are the UAE and the United States mere puppets towards the Sudan, the setting that this (as far as I can tell) mere baseless claims are part of this all. So as I see “El Fasher was the last major city in Sudan’s Darfur region still outside the control of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), a paramilitary force that has been fighting Sudan’s national army, the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), in a civil war that recently entered its fourth year. The war has morphed into a regional proxy conflict, with the United Arab Emirates (UAE) backing the RSF, while Egypt and Turkey have emerged as the army’s primary backers, providing weapons, drones, and training.” Comes with several parts. Do you think that the UAE was actually part of this and Egypt and Turkey opposing this? Don’t you think the world news media would have mentioned this at least once? You see, the Human Rights group (a party always in need of media coverage) makes claims that “Rights groups allege the UAE has supplied advanced drones, armored vehicles, and weapons to the RSF. Evidence indicates the UAE has also facilitated the transit of foreign mercenaries and private military contractors to aid the paramilitary group” If this was true and if there was any kind of evidence the word ‘allege’ would not be added, there would be statements ‘this evidence is provided’, it seemingly was not. Then the BBC makes claims that “The RSF has been widely accused of war crimes and ethnically targeted mass killings in Sudan. Because of the UAE’s alleged enabling role, Sudan filed a case against the UAE at the International Court of Justice, citing complicity in genocide” again with the words ‘allege’ in it, as such no evidence exists. Then we get a more ‘varied’ setting with “Mounting global evidence has led to growing demands from organizations like Human Rights Watch for international actors to break their silence and hold external backers of the Sudan conflict accountable” as such what mounting global evidence, where is it? What international actors?  What external backers and why are they not clearly named? I get that an insignificant party like the Human Rights Watch loves the limelight, but they are not giving anyone any clear evidence. So as we get “The same day that Boulos spoke before the Security Council, the U.S. Treasury Department announced sanctions on individuals and entities linked to both sides of Sudan’s civil war. Four days before that, State Department Spokesman Tommy Piggot warned that “mass atrocities could be imminent” in El Obeid.

At the time of these warnings from Trump administration officials, Secretary of State Marco Rubio had just completed a Gulf tour, reassuring allies shaken by the U.S.- Iran war. During the trip, Rubio told reporters in Kuwait that Washington “continues to engage” on Sudan with Gulf states at every opportunity.” We wonder what sanctions on which individuals? We see the mention of a spokesman and we see political truths, but connected to whom, to what?

These questions keep on mounting liabilities. So when we see “a finding that Washington effectively endorsed through its own sanctions, having designated multiple UAE-based companies in January 2025 for providing the RSF with weapons and financial cover.

Despite Washington’s own warnings of what’s to come, the political inaction means that the situation for the people of El Obeid is bleak. The RSF has set its sights on El Obeid because of its strategic location, linking Darfur to the Nile Valley and the capital, Khartoum. Whoever controls the city controls the central axis of movement across Sudan.” We merely see “UAE-based companies” is too shallow to be used as an instance. You see Microsoft, Oracle & Cisco Systems are based in the UAE. Are they responsible? Aren’t they American? As I see it, someone wants to make hay out of a small spot of grass and there isn’t any. No naming of any kind and seeing the evidence of “weapons and financial cover” usually comes with evidence. So if these weapons are AK-47, would that evidence not be Russian? Merely touching the setting, If the weapons were FN materials wouldn’t the evidence be Belgium? I am merely asking the obvious and whilst we like a good tale like the continuing stories of some president who went to the dogs (which is a muppet show reference) we need to see that evidence. And as we are given “An investigation by The Sentry found that Ahmed al-Humairi, a senior Emirati official, founded and once fully owned the company at the center of that network. He has since divested his shares, but he remains closely linked to the company’s current CEO, fellow Emirati businessman Mohamed Hamdan al-Zaabi. The UAE denies all of this, but members of Congress and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have all openly acknowledged the UAE’s role in arming the RSF. Despite the fact that this is now public knowledge, arms sales to the UAE have not been conditioned, nor has Abu Dhabi faced any real consequences from Washington.” I wonder who is the Sentry? What exactly is the connection to Ahmed al-Humairi, a senior Emirati official? Perhaps he is in charge of parking meters? And the reference is as shallow as anything I have ever seen. It’s like finding an embroidered tissue at a fire with “DT” and then claiming that President Donald Trump set the fire. It is that level of shallow. And the article ends with “This piece was reprinted by Truthout with permission or license. It may not be reproduced in any form without permission or license from the source.” When anyone hides behind these lines, you know that the media will not touch this and they keep on making populist statements to anyone without any kind of accountability and I am not having it. I would hope that the UAE looks into the dealings of Ahmed al-Humairi. In this I am not stating that he is guilty of anything, but the setting should be looked at, only to find the ridiculous setting of it. Then there is the setting of Mohamed Hamdan al-Zaabi. What did he do? Did he do anything illegal at all? 

So as I am trying to get that fifty taste out of my mouth by this piece, I am hoping my mind spots a lot more worthy material of a decent kind tomorrow. Perhaps I will continue a piece I started last week. It’s better than looking into the present political waves all over the world, so you all have a great day.

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July 1, 2026 · 15:52

The way fences crumble

That was the setting that I saw, the Wall Street Journal gave an article (that I didn’t read because it was behind a paywall) where we are given ‘A Dispute Over Opening Hormuz Drives a Wedge Into U.S.-Saudi Relations’ where we are given “Trump threatened kingdom’s supply of drone and missile interceptors when it refused access to bases and airspace for Project Freedom.” That is all I have, but I do not need more. You see, one of the oldest expressions I know if is about mending ones fences and the entire setting that Saudi Arabia gets bullied because of their inability to adhere to (what some call) an illegal war is beyond stupid. You see, Saudi Arabia could ask the Ukraine to deliver 50-150 drones, that request could also be made from China, as such Saudi Arabia has options, but at present the United States is left with less and less options. As Saudi Arabia pulls out whatever they have economically in the United States, amounts up to an estimated $490 billion, with an expanded, long-term commitment expected to scale toward $1 trillion, the united States could now lose that and be left to dry. The bully approach from President Trump is costing the United States more and more. In addition, whatever rare earth mining options Saudi Arabia has could now be awarded to Australia and the EU, costing the United States billions more. So what does a person this stupid do in the Administration of the United States? I am willing to believe that his advisers put this forward, but I reckon that this might be a lose cannon setting, as I personally see it, a stage for the current President. In addition to all this, Saudi Arabia now has an option to demand the extraction of United States troops and Saudi Arabia asking China if they are willing to replace the United States as a preferred option. This enables Iran to vacate Saudi Arabia as a target, because they are unwilling to hurt China, it would be the last mistake they ever made. 

So whilst we mull over the setting that Saudi Arabia is facing with China as the up and coming preferred partner for defence, mining, construction and tourism, the chances of the United States making it with an intact budget to 2028 is getting rather small. And should President Trump now threaten Disney, Warner Brothers and Universal for whatever tourism gap comes, I have a few ideas that could spell a lot of bad news. In addition I am certain that China has its own version of entertainment in the works. Everyone is forgetting that Saudi Arabia has something that the United States desperately wants. So as we were given: 

“The US government is aggressively pressuring oil and gas companies to lower prices. President Donald Trump and US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have berated retailers and the Department of Justice is actively investigating accusations of price gouging. They are demanding retailers drop pump prices to target $2.50 a gallon”

And whilst it came with:

“Direct warnings by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent issued a veiled warning to big oil, independent, and international retailers to be “good actors” or face “big problems” as the administration watches their record profits”, “Department of Justice investigations into claims that oil companies are failing to lower gasoline prices in line with crude drops” and “Market friction towards demands for cheaper gasoline heavily conflicts with their “drill, baby, drill” campaign promises, because prolonged low prices will disincentivize American drillers from expanding production” 

As such I will take this rare setting where I (with a lack of economic education) teach that administration a few things: 

“Commodities are dependent on what is available and what is needed. As such the strait of Hormuz is a setting for over 20% of what is needed and as such prices are going through the roof. Closing it, or better stating, your enemy closing it was perhaps one of the worst ideas for the United States ever.” 

Starting that attack on Iran was badly considered. I gave Saudi Arabia and the UAE defensive settings in March and I also gave a few tactical settings that could have hobbled Iranian tactics and in light of that their refineries are still pumping oil. Before I was, the art of war was and they told generals (2500 years ago) how you scuttle an enemy resources. This pentagon clearly never learned from that. This pentagon also never learned from the French resistance (aka clambake 1939-1944) and that also gave me some ideas in March. As such I became the March Hare (I just saw Tim Burtons Alice in Wonderland) everyone seemingly ignored. What matters is that Saudi Arabia has a few more options at their disposal, it does not require the United States as much as the United States requires the coffers of Saudi Arabia. And Saudi Arabia can sell to China and the EU, so it has options. I reckon that should Saudi Arabia play less nice, Iran will run for the hills. And as I personally see it, Saudi Arabia has the intent and motivation to make sure that Iran sees the light for their stupidity. 

And the was merely the first part. You see, Saudi Arabia is deep into construction for what they need for Vision 2030 and they cannot do it alone, so these contracts are now considering the EU and China as contributors. So what is this bully tactic costing the United States? I warned them for this in ‘When it rains, it pours’ on December 2nd 2024 (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2024/12/02/when-it-rains-it-pours-2/), I feel decently certain that there is some MoU between China and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia floating around in the Ministry of Defense (the one on the King Abdul Aziz Road) as such the entire bully setting against Saudi Arabia was short sighted and ill conceived. As the image (implying) that this threat was directed at Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud might not have been a stellar idea, but I reckon that President Trump is likely a ‘thanks you’ notice from the President of the People’s Republic of China Xi Jinping. Personally I am hoping that I still get the 0.25% commission for enhancing the chances of China selling the 20 Chengdu J-20, which comes at a total of $2,200,000,000 ($110M each), which leaves me with a shabby $5.5 million making me happy beyond believe. So I have an illusional vested interest in all this, and who doesn’t want to retire with $5,500,000?
So the United States can cry me a river, but they elected the current president, as such they dug their own grave as I see it. So you all have a great day and consider what you will lose out on in the long run. I am likely not getting that commission, but that is the cross I have to bare, or is that bear? Gee, I made another funny, must be the Tim Burton effect of Alice in Wonderland.

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June 30, 2026 · 23:31

First time?

That was the news that hit my brain. I saw news that I never expected. You see, apart from a CIA caper it had in 1981 with their secret agent Condorman against the Russian KGB, Monaco has been blissfully quiet. So, when I got the news hours ago, I was actually shocked. A place where news like ‘Tom Jones, Seal and Marcus Miller head the bill as Jazz à Juan returns for its 65th edition’ gets the front page. It got news on terrorism and as far as I know it is the first time this ever happened (Condorman merely destroyed a few Russian Speedboats, so that might have been in international waters). The news which gives us ‘Police hunt for suspect after three wounded in Monaco blast’ (source: Al Jazeera) and what we do know is that “Ukrainian oligarch reported to be among injured in explosion at residential building in the Mediterranean principality.” And we also see “Ukrainian oligarch Vadym Yermolaiev was one of those wounded. Monaco’s Minister of State Christophe Mirmand initially told AFP that the blast appeared to be “an attack”, but later dropped the term, describing it as a “deliberate explosion”. A couple in their 50s or 60s suffered life-threatening conditions, while a 13-year-old who was “very likely related to the couple” suffered less serious injuries, Mirmand said, without disclosing their identities.” As it is a Ukrainian who was hit, the initial (speculative) vote goes to the Russians, which is mere speculation from me, but there is a lot I do not know about the oil markets, so the guilty party (who according to other newspapers) seems to have fled to France (which makes sense as Monaco is smaller or at best similar to New York City’s Central Park) so there are not that many places to hide. But there is a lot we do not know. What does matter that this person becomes a liability for whatever nationality he has and if he acted for someone, the country of that person will go against the person nearly instantly. Monaco is one if the few safe places where countries can have unofficial agreements and meet. That pretty much ends for the country that gets tainted with this. As I see it, it is the worst place to hit anyone. It is covered in CCTV systems has about 1 police officer per 10 civilians (someone gave me that number some time ago). Even from a distance, with a sniper rifle there is not a lot you can do in Monaco, perhaps the settings exist where you can set up a hit from France, but there are too many complications. Perhaps the best setting is when that person is on his yacht, but that is taking a chance. I see more complications that actual solutions and this bomb run seems to be the approach to someone instructing a simpleton with the promise that a caseload is awaiting (the second payment) if it is not done in bitcoin. I reckon that these people will be removed from life before the got to Nice (or Menton), my thought is that they were promised a boat awaiting at Sentiero du cap d’Ail, or perhaps even a train at Roquebrune-Cap-Martin, but as I see it, these three people are done for. There is a reason that Monaco is left alone. Monaco has the most powerful people in the world with a vested interest in keeping this place a safe place and that was trampled on today. I reckon that phones are ringing all over the planet at present. And the longer they are on route, the more of a liability these people become. As such it is merely my view that these people will be dealt with promptly. 

As such I decided to look into him and he is Ukrainian born and got his economic degree at the Dnipropetrovsk College of Technology and Economics in 1987, what matters is that he is regarded as a Cypriot as of 2020, Iermolaiev is rated as the 23rd richest person in Ukraine by Focus. I reckon that he is on some global list, he is said to be the 12th person of independent means, estimated the revenue from the real estate as US$960–980 M (source: Forbes, 2022). This is also important, because he does not add up to ‘much’ in the global list, but that is no indication. When someone decides to bomb you, there is a reason, but I can’t see it (at present) and the location makes even less sense. As such I am not willing today that this has Russian origins, because from that Russia would endanger all Russian foothold it has there and according to numbers, the Russian community in Monaco currently exceeds 1,200 permanent residents and they might soon be forced to move to the UAE (if this attempt has Russian origins) when you consider this, these three people are now the largest liability ever to whomever is behind this. 

Is this all a given? No, it is not. I speculated a lot of this, not the Condorman setting, that was on Disney. 😛

But overall, I am shocked that Monaco would ever see this happen in its own streets. Have a great day today.

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June 28, 2026 · 19:32

Better be safe than sorry

That is what I was thinking when I was exposed to ‘UAE Apologizes For ‘Incorrect’ Missile Alerts’ (at https://thedefensepost.com/2026/06/27/uae-false-missile-alerts/) so as I saw “Emirati authorities apologized on Friday after “incorrect alert messages” warning of a potential missile attack caused jitters among residents. The official messages sent to mobile phones, warning of “potential missile threats” and accompanied by a blaring siren sound, were the first in more than a month. They became commonplace during the Middle East war, when Iran targeted the UAE with more than 2,800 drones and missiles, most of them intercepted.” All whilst a proper explanation why Iran hit the UAE a lot more often than it had ever hit Israel in the same time remains a mystery to me. I get that they would retaliate against Israel. Israel was attacking them. The UAE never did. I expect that it is about tourists screaming like little bitches (like those Crypto dudes in Dubai) and then running to their mommies in the UK. Yet in all this I am of the mind that it is better to be safe then sorry. Especially when the UAE is attacked a lot more than 2700 times in three months and now that the truce with the United States is seemingly failing, the expected bully rage from President Trump might not come with the setting of “On Wednesday, local time, the House passed a Democrat-led war powers resolution aimed at halting further US military action against Iran unless authorised by Congress.” (Source: ABC News) earlier this month. As such I wonder if the United States is able to do anything at all at present. And with Hezbollah playing the power hungry participant, this mess is about to become a lot worse. Still, I feel happy I gave my military IP to the UAE, as such it is up to them to decide what is bet for them, but as I see it as Iran keeps on p[laying the games they are, destroying their harbours, railways and refineries might be the only setting left to play, because a nation without revenue and commodities is one that is bound to fail on nearly every level.

It is up to others to decide what to do, I merely hope that they do what is best for their nation and as I see it, a surviving Iran is the one element that all gulf states tend to agree on is bad for their nation. It walked the path of Terrorism for too long (Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthi) and that is merely the beginning of that disaster. Some might remember that On 27 October 2016, a Yemeni Houthi ballistic missile known as Burkan-1 was launched towards Makkah City. The missile was intercepted and destroyed by Saudi ground forces 65 kilometers from the city. Some sources say that the Burkan-1 is an Iranian-made Qiam 1, but that is beyond my scope of view (I never saw the evidence and in that case I merely see that Iran gave the technology to a terrorist organisation that attacked the holiest of Muslim sites. How could any Muslim do that? But that setting gives rise to the question “Should Iran survive?” I feel I am ill equipped to answer that because I have been on the anti Iran side for a long time, even before they attacked Aramco and it gave me some of this ideas to thwart the function of Iranian nuclear reactors (it seemed as good an idea as anything else I had made). 

So whatever needs to happen, as I see it, July is the month this is done, because is will come to blows with Iran and if they start talking nice, it is merely because they ran out of ammunition, or it is still on route to its destination. This might be my limited mindset, but that is what I have seen for decades all over the news. So as I see it, whatever the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Bahrain do, they better do it in the next two weeks, because as I see it, Iran would want to make an example out of the gulf states soon enough. That is merely how I see it.

Have a great day.

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June 25, 2026 · 15:40

Expect bubbles

That is what I was introduced to (really early) this morning and I saw a few articles, but one gave me an interesting option. So lets take a look. (At https://stocksdownunder.com/ai-bubble-chip-stocks-crash/) we are given ‘Is the AI Bubble Bursting? Why Nvidia, Micron and Chip Stocks Are Crashing’ it holds a lot of record, but I was taken with this setting ‘Is the AI Bubble Bursting or Just a Healthy Reset?’ With the text “Here is the honest answer: it could be either, and the truth is probably somewhere in between. The bear case is simple. Micron has more than tripled in value this year, and a run like that leaves very little room for disappointment. The bull case is that demand for AI memory and data centres is still strong, and analysts note the selling looked more like a rush for the exits than a real change in the companies’ earnings. We lean towards this being a crowded trade getting stress-tested, not the end of the AI story. But if the selling spreads well beyond chip stocks, that view needs to change quickly” (and at this point I learned that whoever was working on this is a noob and an idiot for his CSS settings as they are all over the place) But that is matter for another day. The “It could be either” and a third setting was the one I referred to a few days ago when simply Wall Street put out an unsigned piece that Palantir could be overvalued for well over 20%, as such this market has some people in it that would like to short stock as that is where their dollars come flying. And as we see in the article “Investors simply pay less for today for profits that may not arrive for years.” And as I see it, some investors are not beyond shorting stock if it fuels their profits, so a third reason is found. I am still on the side of the AI bubble shorting, but n that case a healthy reset of trillions is not out of the scope of things and the marshmallow field of fictive unicorns is rearing its ugly head that comes with the “late arrival of profits” and now that the investors are wondering what they got into, some will see that they are fueling a stock market that cannot survive delay upon delay and with AI not yet existing that is where it is all heading. So it is time to get another view and we see this in Clean Technica (at https://cleantechnica.com/2026/06/24/trillion-dollar-ai-bubble-on-verge-of-popping/) where we see ‘Trillion-Dollar AI Bubble On Verge Of Popping?’ And I am not adding it, because this is in part the view I have, what we see is “Yann LeCun, one of the “Godfathers of AI,” is one of the notable people who think the industry has been far too overhyped and misunderstood. He’s been pointing out that AI costs could be much higher than the amount of money customers are willing to pay for it.” It comes (also) with “Labs like OpenAI and Anthropic are going to have to increase prices, they’re going to have to cut costs, or there’s going to be a big bubble explosion,” and ““In their pursuit to boost productivity, become less reliant on human labor, and reassure investors that they’re riding the cutting edge of tech, some nagging issues are cropping up,” Futurism adds, and “over-relying on AI can prove disastrous for organizational knowledge, the critical business insights companies need to make strategic decisions.”” This is the setting that is actually fueling both the bubble burst as well as a healthy reset all at the same time and I reckon that for OpenAI, Anthropic, Grok and Microsoft that will most likely happen in the least interesting time and they will all ‘suffer’ for it, so consider when this bubble loses $4,000,000,000,000 – $5,000,000,000,000 (writing the word trillion makes it trivial) because that is likely to happen and the market is figuring out what I saw over 1-2 years ago, when you realise that all AI is fake, it is easy and let there be no mistake, all AI is fake. You see, what we are seeing is Deeper Machine Learning and Large Language Models and these are great tools and they will create markets for themself, but the people are expecting AI and that is just not true. So as AP News gives us “The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite fell 110.40 points, or 0.4%, to 25,476.64. A 2.3% drop in Microsoft was the heaviest weight on the market. Oracle slumped 4.6%. Many large tech companies have been behind Wall Street’s record-setting run throughout the year, but analysts have warned their valuations may have become stretched.” I personally reckon that someone is likely playing a stock short game with both Oracle and Palantir. You see, no matter how you slice it, the proper Data needs for DML/LLM solutions require data technology and these two are refined into the core of that and optionally there is Snowflake as well, but it might not yet be large enough to get the attention of the stock shorting DoDo’s (lets call them that).

Jawlah, a prominent Arabic digital media platform and news organization focused on venture capital (VC), startups, and the entrepreneurial ecosystem in Saudi Arabia and the broader MENA region (Middle East/ North Africa) gives us (at https://jawlah.co/en/59212) where we see ‘Fears of an AI bubble burst after a sharp tech stock sell-off’, which I reckon is fair enough. But the interesting part is where we see “The decline followed a near-800% surge in Micron’s stock over the past year, driven largely by rising demand for memory chips needed to run AI globally — gains some analysts believe may have overestimated expected returns”, as well as “Gil Luria, head of technology research at D.A. Davidson, explains the volatility: “The market swings between a wave of optimism that AI will change everything and renewed skepticism that it is just an expensive bubble whose returns do not justify the current spending.”.” And I am here in opposition, it is not “renewed skepticism”, it is the mere setting that those willing to hand out trillions should never have been so optimistic without proper case files and validation, so whilst they might get their cash back in 2045 when actual AI comes into play, the rest until then will be massively overvalued.  As I, as a non-believer, see it, someone listened to a sales person with the mindset of a second hand car salesman that stated “Look, we have AI” and the rest followed like crazy to get those coins rolling their way and now we are optionally seeing the start of an AI bubble. I am trodding carefully because there is disagreement whether it is an actual bubble popping. I reckon it requires an actual econometrist to call that for real and I ain’t one of those actuary types (nowhere near).

What we see is that we are given “it has erased approximately $2.7 trillion in market value across AI-linked companies”, all whilst the reasoning is “massive debt-funded data center expansions, mounting hardware costs, and growing investor scrutiny over artificial intelligence’s actual return on investment” which (as I personally see it) is only partially true. As I see it, the data sovereignty in Europe and the Commonwealth is setting the drain on the Return on Investments (ROI) towards these massive debt-funded data center expansions and that will hit business in the United States a lot harder than anywhere else. You see the United States has over 4,000 data centers. So how many are still under debt? And when a response group of over 700 million people walk away from that, with an additional optional population of up to 2.7 billion people (that is the complete Commonwealth), so it will not be that much, but I reckon at least 50%, that is 4,000 centers that will now lose close to 2 billion people (or 2,000 million), so where is that unused potential going? That is what I saw almost a year ago (actually a lot earlier, but until President Trump come, most people let the states quo continue) and that has now changed. So as others players (like DayOne) and there is someone in Sweden who saw this coming a few years ago and put his money where his thoughts were. I forgot that players name, but they are likely to make massive gains. All out off the hands of the United States. That part is not represented in any of these articles, but it is a factor in all of this.

So, we are expecting bubbles and I reckon a few other setting will rear its ugly heads, but the markets will all attribute this towards bubbles, because some is massively unhappy to attribute the other losses towards an US Administration that should have known better, but that is merely me looking at other factors in all this. The larger issue in all this is that some solutions are likely to be rather good and I hope that they are allowed to continue, because investors and speculators will want their returns at whatever expense they can get and some will suffer because of that greed driven taint in all this. But I might be the next village idiot in all this. Just like that seer in the 3rd century that saw large walls of stone with thousands of people and it was written off as a lying loon (he saw the Altiero Spinelli building in Brussels) but that is a story for another day.

So whatever you do, don’t rush into or out of anything without clearly seeing the ramifications. Have a great day today.

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