That is where I find myself. Apart from some noise that I am getting that I am an ‘alarmist’, which is fair. People do not see what I see and they are (massively) over the moon that everything will be OK with the US of A. I do not share that vision, but it is fair that they have their views. I get the alarmist setting, yet I feel that I am correct. So when the debts get any bigger, what do you think will happen? The USA has not been able to keep any budget and that was before the interest payments had become this high. On October 4th 2021 I wrote “Utter Insanity” (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2021/10/04/utter-insanity/) where I iterated that the debt was 17 trillion in 2013, America more than doubled that in a decade. It is now 40 trillion, the interest as I see it also doubled and that is the killer in all this. So whilst people think that I am an alarmist regarding the Civil War. What do you think will happen as the interest gnaws on whatever the USA falls in revenue each year. In fiscal year 2025, the U.S. federal government collected $5.26 trillion in total revenue. Now consider that 22% of all that revenue goes to paying the interest of the debt. And they cannot budget at present (or for the last decade), so the debt is only getting worse. So (to be safe) as per October 2026 the budgets will need to be set back by at least 30%, one third less for infrastructure, 30% less for social services and 30% less for whatever payments are going out. It will decrease the USA into a third world nation as I see it. And as I see it, this administration is only making it worse, because as others are rejecting ‘these American values’ (Tariffs for one) there is highly likely an uprising on its way, because Americans don’t have a real luxury sandwich at present and it will get worse. A lot worse. So as I personally see it, it is a civil war in the making and as we see the news on so many issues (the reflecting pool as one example) a setting that gives an estimated $16 million and that is before all the repairs are done. So if people lose 30% of what they were able to collect and these issues keep on coming up, the resentment and animosity are merely increasing. Then we get the price of gas and a few other things, so the people are losing what they had and prices are higher overall. And this is on this administration. So the purview of a incoming civil war in not without foreseen cause. Do I like it? No, I don’t but unlike the media, I merely care about the facts and all this is adding up to a sliding ramp straight down into an abyss.
And the rejection of other nations on what this administration has done is very real and the entire Iran setting is pushing all the other nations too and they are all looking for a safe way out, because America is no longer a trustworthy partner, especially as North Korea is heralded as whatever they want to call this. So then we see the False AI up to all kinds of settings and we could blame all kinds of people in all this, but the reality is that what is called AI is merely fake AI and there are more and more voices (and a lot higher educated than me) calling what some call as AI as unreal and fake. So this ‘golden age’ will be at least a decade away, but I think it is more like 2 decades. All whilst Microsoft reported that over 80% of Fortune 500 companies use active AI agents and expecting widespread industry adoption to reach 1.3 billion agents globally by 2028. Really? Where will they get the power? At present the USA is facing brownouts. The US statistics reported that over 12 months one in four households faces a brownout. So where is the energy coming from, because these servers require massive amounts of energy. So when you see these elements of revenue, energy and abilities all whilst reduced manpower is required. So as we are given “AI agents are increasingly linked to corporate job cuts, and in a recent viral experiment, an AI agent manager even recommended firing a human worker.” Yet this is not the end of the story, there is also a backlash “Studies show a high rate of employer regret after cutting staff for AI, with many companies lacking ready systems or rehiring humans later under different titles” as such there are several issues from this setting. The costings that these firms had on less costs, is now becoming a more troubled setting because their costs are becoming a lot higher. This implies (I am very driven to imply here) that people are hired at less pay, and I get that this is the setting they face, but that also makes the cost of living a lot higher and a less rewarding life comes from that. How far this implicated life gets to is anyones guess and I reckon that this will change the lifestyle of many people, fueling distrust and discomfort on that setting. As I see it, the USA will face a serious chance in life styles. What was ‘advertised’ in life style magazines in 2023 will no longer be a reality, not for at least a decade for most people and that fuels the resentment and optionally louder shouts towards what I call a ‘civil war’ and there is corroborating evidence to that. “Nearly 46% to 62% of U.S. households (representing roughly 90 million adults) struggle to make ends meet and cover basic expenses like housing, food, and healthcare. This financial strain extends well past traditional poverty definitions, deeply impacting the American middle class” (source: Brookings), so is my view on this impending civil war so far fetched? These 90 million are likely to double when the 30% limits are pressed on nearly everyone, optionally as early as Quarter 2 2027. So as these facts rolled over my eyelids, I saw the puzzles are they became interconnected. Which I described as connected clusters, what some call cliquing, a subset of clusters where every single cluster is directly connected to every other cluster in the collection. There is no real science for this, but anyone in Market Research, Data Analyses and Data Parsing can recognise this effect and issues like gas prices and grocery prices will hit all these clusters at the same time. So when we get that, and we get that tourism goes out of the USA (for reasons will written a few times over) and others are also trying to make ends meet and that resolves around more and more competition and as the debt is strangling the resources this will be making matters worse.
You merely need to see the different sides on that same stage but for different countries and you see that things are not looking good for the USA. So as I see it, there is no win, not for anyone and whilst the Guardian was giving us “Donald Trump amassed an unprecedented financial windfall during his return to the White House, reporting over $2.2 billion in revenue in 2025 alone, more than triple his earnings from the previous year. The vast majority of these personal financial gains stemmed from cryptocurrency ventures, digital assets, and branded merchandise, drawing severe criticism and ethics concerns from watchdogs and lawmakers regarding conflicts of interest”, so when you see this and the rest of the population minus perhaps 50,000 and they all lose 30% of what they were entitled to and whilst infrastructure will collapse in several places, resentment will grow. How far it will grow is anyones guess. But I feel decently certain that crime statistics will spike soon enough and that will give another resentment, because at 30% less, there will be less police, less first responders as well and as I see it, it will be bad news on top of bad news on top of bad news. So I think I showed here a few part of what I saw all along. But I feel it was essential to do this. I don’t mind being called an alarmist, it might be fair, but I saw data that merely gave me this inkling of a possible reality.
Time will tell if I was right or wrong, but the larger picture is that the media never got to this point. Why not? Were they not supposed to inform us of the dangers that were coming our way? Because these negative points might impact Americans first, but we are all headed for more stringent settings. The EU and the commonwealth as well. I merely need to find a way out anywhere where I could make a decent penny. Have a great day all and try to enjoy a nice cup of coffee today.
Lawrence van Rijn - Law Lord to be 