Tag Archives: Middle East

October 31, 2026 · 23:07

Last stop speculation central

That is what it seems to me, however, the information given to us by Al Jazeera is too worrying to keep it from you. The title ‘Are Houthis using Russian satellites as Saudi Arabia fends off strikes?’ (at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/31/are-houthis-using-russian-satellites-as-saudi-arabia-faces-hits) on one hand it would make the gulf states see Russia as a direct enemy towards their safety and security. It would be a really dumb thing to do, because the gulf states would be pressed directly in the arms of China. And that renewed alliance would bring China billions upon billions ion defense contracts. So when we get to “Analysts say the seizure of state arsenals, external backing and extensive military evolution has enabled the Houthis to build a powerful arsenal.” The better look is given by Elijah Magnier (Brussels based) who gives us “AURORA’s findings don’t necessarily show the whole picture.” I tend to be on that horse, the United States has every reason to see the relationship between Russia and the gulf states sour, but that doesn’t take away the setting we are given with ““The third is Iran obtained information through another intermediary, so a third party could theoretically have supplied the intelligence originated from the Russian system, and there is no currently publicly verified evidence establishing such an arrangement,” he added. But Obaid highlighted that distinguishing a Russian-supported intelligence architecture from proof that a particular Russian satellite supplied the targeting data for an individual Houthi strike is essential” and this makes perfect sense. In this the setting seems to add up and Nawaf Obaid, founder of the geosignal intelligence firm AURORAH. As such there is reason to believe that the Houthi terrorists are getting high end intelligence and knowing what we know from Iranian actions, the prefer a buffer zone, and a Russia buffer zone will do very well. This puts President Putin in a spell. He either denies Iran based players access from Russian satellites, or he is willing to play this out, knowing very well that this will enable a Chinese victory over the Gulf states and there is no coming back from that. As I see it, Nawaf Obaid its leaving an impression. Because “He said the satellites they identified include Russia’s Bars-M military mapping satellites, Persona optical reconnaissance satellites, Lotos-S1 electronic intelligence satellites, Pion-NKS maritime reconnaissance systems and Kondor-FKA radar-imaging satellites. They also examined the EKS/Tundra infrared early-warning constellation.

“The critical finding was not the presence of individual Russian satellites, but the sequencing and integration of their complementary intelligence capabilities,” he said.” So either the CIA didn’t know or didn’t care and either case is damaging to the United States, especially as they received in 2025 (allegedly) “the combined National Intelligence Program ($73.4 billion)”, I have no idea how big the budget of AURORAH is, but it is not that much, not by a long shot. So has the United States lost interest in the gulf states? That would be a nice opening sentence for the Chinese parties, that the United States no longer needs access to OPEC and its 1.2 trillion to 1.5 trillion barrels of oil. As such the political plays are massive and there is a reservation I must give you. This is one article from Al Jazeera, I have not seen any corroboration from anywhere else.

So when we get to “Obaid also confirmed to Al Jazeera that based on the findings, “Russian military geospatial and signals intelligence has supported the Iranian-led intelligence architecture assisting Houthi operations in Yemen.”” As well as “He said the strongest operational example of this has been the Houthi offensive along Yemen’s western coast towards Bab al-Mandeb, where Russian-derived intelligence, Iranian command integration and local human intelligence all contributed to “the rapid deterioration of opposing Yemeni forces’ battlefield coordination”.

“We assess that this intelligence relationship is also relevant to Houthi missile and drone targeting against Saudi Arabia. Russian military reconnaissance provides capabilities far beyond ordinary commercial satellite imagery, particularly when optical, radar and electronic intelligence are integrated,” he said.” Whilst I read this may mind goes wondering how the CIA missed all this? Or are they no longer interested? You know with midterms coming up next week. But the setting that China could take this setting and offset both the United States and Russia and away from the access of more than a trillion barrels of oil is kinda astounding, especially as oil is priced between $104 and $114 dollars a barrel. And whilst they already squandered access to Canadian oil, I would think that they would make sure all intelligence on how Houthi terrorist is getting their intel might be a little higher on their list.

So whilst we contemplate “Russian officials have not yet commented on AURORAH’s findings, but in recent years, technological and military ties between Russia and Iran have deepened significantly, anchored by joint strategic agreements, space cooperation, and the exchange of defence technology. Ahmed Nagi, a senior analyst on Yemen at the International Crisis Group, said Moscow reportedly supporting Tehran’s allies like the Houthis is particularly significant because it would mean a shift in the trajectory of the Yemeni conflict.” This makes sense if this is done without approval of the Kremlin (aka President Putin) and the coins that some are getting are now getting in the way of political aspirations. And I for one am not convinced that the CIA is behind this, but I find it weird that the CIA never found this. Making Nawaf Obaid a possible new player in the Gulf States intelligence circles, especially if be can find and bind this to Iranian parties.

Yes, I am massively speculating here and I admit this, because this setting might require some additional speculation, if not for the who, it might merely push the innocent parties also in the limelight and that is equally important.

So have a great day and enjoy halloween. I did my good deed for this special day, I aided my ex in an assisted suicide I pushed her into a woodchopper, she was too scared to do it herself. And again I prove that no Halloween is complete without a bad joke or two.

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October 30, 2026 · 08:04

Finally

So Arab News gives us hours ago (at https://www.arabnews.com/saudi-arabia/houthi-attacks-on-saudi-airports-raise-question-of-war-crimes-un-rights-chief-tells-arab-news-3008749) Houthi terrorists have been going this path for a while now, as such the question is a little late, but so be it. We are given ‘Houthi attacks on Saudi airports raise question of war crimes, UN rights chief tells Arab News’ I think this question of war crimes was a long time coming. So as we see “Attacks by the Yemen-based Houthis on airports and other civilian infrastructure in Saudi Arabia raise the question of possible war crimes, the UN’s top human rights official told Arab News, as he also condemned the detention of dozens of UN staff in Yemen by the Iran-backed militia.” Is his real goal the Saudi issue, or is it “he also condemned the detention of dozens of UN staff in Yemen by the Iran-backed militia”? You tell me. I feel certain that there were attacks by Houthi terrorists into Saudi Arabia, but that news seems to be suppressed. And as Volker Turk gives us “Turk said he was “very worried about the escalation that we see,” and once again highlighted the 71 UN workers currently detained by the Houthis, eight of them from his own office. Some have been held for years. “It’s totally unacceptable,” he said, describing the detentions as “the most flagrant violation” of the privileges and immunities afforded to UN staff.” As I see the setting that 71 UN workers, some for years have been held. It seems to me that the condemnation of Houthi terrorists comes a little late, as such I wonder what drive him out to the front today, because as I see it, this is not the real setting (for him), but I have been wrong before. So whilst we are given “Maj. Gen. Turki Al-Maliki, a spokesperson for the international Coalition to Restore Legitimacy in Yemen, said on Oct. 15 that King Khalid International alone had been targeted 20 times since the start of the month. The attacks have continued since then, and the coalition said on Wednesday it intercepted a Houthi ballistic missile fired toward the city of Taif.” So there were 20 attacks for the last two weeks? And now the UN makes hay out of this? I reckon that most of the world is no longer holding the UN as a serious matter and this is how they are setting up a ‘united front’ it is too bad that King Khalid International airport had to endure 20 attacks in the last two weeks. But that might be the bitter pill that the UN is serving up, whilst Google search is living us with blanks. Because there I find “This attack follows an escalating series of Houthi missile and drone strikes targeting major regional airports throughout October 2026, including King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh and airports in Abha and Dammam. A major October 10 strike on Riyadh’s airport resulted in multiple casualties and temporary international flight suspensions” I am not blaming Google, but if this is what I find, who is suppressing the news? The media itself? Just a question to consider today. Have a good one.

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October 21, 2026 · 16:34

They think the end is near

Yes, we al hear it. People are saying that their difficulties are over the moment they throw that clown into prison. But it is not that simple. True is gone, Credibility is gone and the are not coming back any day soon. My personal feeling is that until 2040 there will not be any credibility given towards the United States. There is reason for that, they never really convicted him for the insurrection impeachment, there are too many factors going into these settings and it is clear that some democrats were hesitant, hesitant about what was lawful, hesitant about a whole lot of things and the world has had enough. And when we see the setting of Canada and Venezuela there is even more anger. Did anyone ever find the 13 billion that was ‘supposedly’ misplaced? As toilet paper is at this moment $2.68 is is a whole lot of money missing the balance sheets and whilst the Gulf States are angry about their lost revenue of oil, which makes sense as Iran is clearly guilty, but the president who started it all is now seen as a horse not shown, all whilst he is depriving the Ukraine from essential intelligence. So, should we refer to the United States now as West-Russia? But the stage is a lot worse (according to Fortune) who claimed that the United States became insolvent in March this year. And according to Treasury department data, the budget deficit widened to $1.99 trillion, which is 12% worse than $1.78 trillion gap in 2025. So who ever becomes president, they will inherit a mess that will take decades to clean up and whilst they want to make trade agreements, the rest of the world aren’t interested and it seems that all the deals are mede between the world leaders and Canada, that so all 51st state and these larger revenues are being kept away from the United States, so where is that ‘big and beautiful country with the greatest economy in history’, but as I see it, those many billions are merely changing hands between Nvidia, Amazon, Google, Microsoft and Oracle. Merely these 5 hands and they are exchanging invoices between each other and that is not really an economic setting and whilst Microsoft pulled out of the UK because of power delays (source: Reuters) I think there is more going on. Europe and the Commonwealth are actively striving for data sovereignty and that take Microsoft of the board. It basically takes them all of the board making the economic setting for the United States a bit of a mess. And whilst they are getting more and more deals, theft that they are American will stop a whole range of deals moving forward. Still we see all the news and the debatable settings and the options is still there that the media is set on a scaffold right next to the republican party and ‘We merely brought the news’ will no longer hold any water.

So whilst the American voters is looking for relief (as well as their $5000 dollars) the news is merely getting worse. You see, where the United States was for a long time the only option, the gulf states have now an exceeding commerce repartee that combines several items and exceeds a total of $300 billion and I reckon that should Chinese hardware come involved against Houthi terrorists, the Houthi setting will open up additional sources of intelligence and merchandise and they will gain a foothold in both Saudi Arabia and the UAE, Iran will drop the Houthi terrorists like a bad habit, because Chine assures 90% of Irans oil supply. And that works in two ways for Saudi Arabia, because the United States ‘claimed’ (according to the Jerusalem Post) ‘What does Tom Barrack’s warning on Saudi Arabia reveal about US Middle East policy?’ Where we see “US Ambassador to Turkey Tom Barrack, who is also the US envoy to Iraq and Syria, spoke on October 20 at the Global Security Forum in Doha. He discussed Saudi Arabia’s“difficult position” today. He hinted at the challenge Riyadh and others will face pursuing an exclusively military or “kinetic” response.” I merely wonder why a kinetic response even mean. The UK and UAE see the dangers that Houthi forces mean and I reckon that China could brake that stalemate and as such the USA is out of any negotiations with Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states. So do you still believe the United States is in a setting where they can rightfully claim that they are that ‘big and beautiful country with the greatest economy in history’ but that would be an erroneous statement. If it was so great why do the people in Nevada get the news from the Nevada Current “Rising costs threaten Nevada revenue outlook, state economic panel warned”? And on that notion the LA Times gives its readers ‘While California’s tourism rallied, L.A. faced its worst year since the pandemic’ as I see it, not an economy that is that great, because the drop in tourism hits nearly all walks of life and the numbers we are given are those of flim flam artists. They focus on resilience, not on revenue and when they do that we see small settings and how well they are doing, all whilst the established parties like WFTV tell us “Universal Orlando announced plans to lay off more workers as theme parks continue to struggle because of the coronavirus pandemic.” We got this 20 hours ago, so what the setting with an upsurge in Coronavirus? Is it just an excuse because the real numbers are not what stakeholders and shareholders are looking for?

We can look at all these numbers until we go blind. But the short and sweet is that the United States are done for until after the elections in 2040 and by then Saudi Arabia has completed its Vision 2030 and the UAE will have two new icons in its theme parks and that will guarantee millions of more tourists and those tourists will not be visiting the United States. So whilst their defense industry are losing clients (and they have to renew all the missiles lost in the last 6 months) we see the data sovereignty hit hard in the EU and the Commonwealth we see a former United States beg for revenue and they are unlikely to get it, and when the larger corporations become EU corporations and reject the United States as their home base, the US Department of the Treasury will see a scaling balance that is off by a lot and whilst this administration might be in denial, the successor will have no option to leave the books open and show where it all went and this happens at almost the same time as the Business Times of Singapore is giving us ‘The battle against rising US Treasury yields’ where we see “WITH benchmark US Treasury yields breaking above 5.3 per cent in October, rising bond yields are now at the forefront of investor concerns against the backdrop of America’s US$40 trillion in debt outstanding.” And this is 22 hours ago.

So whilst people might panic (just like the Bitcoin bitches in Dubai a few weeks ago) the entire Image is likely distorted, with people in charge not willing to see the real picture and others hoping for a quick resolution because they have financially vested interests in all this. I cannot offer them anything of substance, because this administration treated any ally they had with animosity and more animosity than the United States has given Russia recently, even turning against the Ukraine and its president Volodymyr Zelenskyy. This is funny in my book, because the man that voiced Paddington Bear is turning the big bear of Russia into its personal bitch and it is fun because Paddington Bear is British, not a Disney character. So fun all around.

Have a great day today

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October 21, 2026 · 02:02

An optional second reason?

That was the first thing that came to mind, not in opposition or in criticism bc cause you get those people as well. No, the idea to see ‘Saudi Arabia announces first batch of hospitality investment projects worth $1.78bn’ (at https://www.arabnews.com/tourism-transport/saudi-arabia-announces-first-batch-of-hospitality-investment-projects-worth-178bn-3007297) is decent enough, but my mind kept on wondering, what if there was a second reason? Consider that the unknown and language are the first setting. So what if these places had for example 10 settings each to do more? So, whilst we are given

  • Saudi Arabia has approved 19 hospitality projects worth $1.78 billion under the Hospitality Investment Enablers Program, expected to create over 17,000 jobs.
  • The projects will be implemented in five destinations: Al-Baha, Al-Ahsa, Jeddah, Asir, and the Eastern Province, involving 19 participating companies.

And that is fine, but what if there was an additional push? So 50 places for additional settings, like jobs in Aramco. At present it is trying to look for any number of places and for the most in Multiple rounds of interviews (online or in-person at regional hubs like Houston, London, or Singapore. This sounds nice, but the world is seeking jobs and for the most the idea of a job in Saudi Arabia is met with question marks. So what if these people get a placement offer and it comes with language skills, introduction into Saudi life? In two-three weeks they get  language setting and an introduction into local life at Aramco? It comes with a contract that if they do not want to do this, they are barred from similar places in the gulf states, just to make it fair all around. And there might be an appeal for miners from Australia, New Zealand, Sweden, Finland, Greece, Portugal, and Spain. You could open offices in all these places, or you could invite those with a decently good resume to come stay in Saud Arabia lowering the hurdle somewhat. And the nice part in all this is the setting that these ‘volunteers’ might attract friends with mining experience as well. So before you know it these 50 roles might even attract 150 to 200 more volunteers. This seems a win/win setting for Saudi Arabia. As I see it, this system could also be employed by ADNOC (UAE) as they have similar and even higher needs to fill the shoes of job openings. I have no side how either are setting there mark, but there might be a call to fill both locations with jobs. And with a lower hurdle, there will be plenty of people to take in the sounds and scenes of these two places. An altered job interview might root out those looking for an actual job and those trying to find a cheap holiday. And as the UAE is ‘sporting’ the setting of hospitality market offers thousands of active positions across hotels, resorts, restaurants, and event companies, concentrated primarily in Dubai and Abu Dhabi.  It could lead to several positions being filled the moment they are seen by these foreign ‘tourists’ which would also give clearance for a pool of linguistics all over the UAE.

Two locations that could benefit from this now so standard hiring practice and there is an offset. They pay for the vacation and depending on their results they get a full refund, as such there is the optional filter to weed out the freeloaders. I am aware that my plan has its flaws and weaknesses, but how had considered the path to find people? I get the idea not too many has looked into that direction. So have a great day and try the following: “قهوة واحدة من فضلك، على ألا تكون حلوة جداً.” (I surely hope Google Translate didn’t make a mess of that line. And in two weeks you might even know more Arabic or optionally Emirati Arabica (I have no idea how close Arabic and Emirati Arabic is) but these students will be able to tell soon enough.

Have a great day today.

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October 15, 2026 · 04:31

A boggling mind

That happens and at present it is my mind that is boggling. First off, there is no critique on Saudi Arabia and how it does it business. None at all. My mind is merely looking at what the media is ‘offering my mind’ and as Al Jazeera gives us ‘Houthi missile attack targets Saudi capital Riyadh for third day in a row’, my mind is at a standstill. We know what abilities Palantir has in the settings of data intelligence, but so does IBM Miner (formerly known as SPSS Miner and before that as Clementine), then there is Jingan Technology (of which I know less than nothing) and I know only what certain media settings ‘declassifies’ and we are given “Established in 2021 in Hangzhou, China, by veterans from major tech firms (Alibaba, Baidu, Huawei) and Chinese military branches, Operates under China’s military-civil fusion strategy, supplying intelligence-gathering, geospatial analysis, and predictive tools to state security, public security, and People’s Liberation Army (PLA)/defense-linked clients.” (Source: South China Morning Post) And I am merely setting that stage as Palantir as a US product might no longer be as reliable as it once was. If course IBM miner is a BI took and not an intelligence tool, so it might be missing a fair bit on sides in all this considering and contemplating Palantir Gotham. But as I see it, it is important to find ways to seek solutions in the data mess, mainly because it could help Saudi Arabia and I am careful to use the application as ‘could’ because I have no idea on how far Saudi Arabia is in the data digging mess (my best assessment in this) as I gave last week that shipping parsing in the Gulf of Aden is in part an optical solution and that is stated as I never saw any smuggling data and I have seen shipping data and these ‘box carriers’ show up all over the maritime tracking settings. But there is a catch are they being tracked or intentionally ‘avoiding to be tracked’ and that is in part a solution as one source gives me “Roughly 55 to 65 ships pass through the Gulf of Aden each day, though daily totals fluctuate due to regional security incidents and re-routing” that is an amount that is manageable. The question is how far can we track these ships and which ones are in verifiable settings and courses to be optionally disregarded and that leaves us with X amount of ships that require a closer eye. And we might be looking in the wrong direction, but the clear setting is that we get in sources from Twitter (say X) “In a statement on X, Turki Al-Maliki, the spokesperson for the coalition, said the Houthis fired one ballistic missile at Riyadh and two towards Khamis Mushait, a city in the southwest. All three were “intercepted and destroyed” my mindset is that these rockets could not have been produced in Yemen and the fact that these rocket (no matter that they were destroyed) requires certain electronics and it is for that reason that I feel that Iran is the likeliest culprit. And as it was not a drone, it was a ballistic missile. As such the pool of likely candidates is somewhat diminished from a dozen to a mere 2-3 parties. And at least one of those is on friendly terms with Saudi Arabia. So I feel that I am on the correct track. And as a solution we see the BI solution IBM Miner and in a more military setting we get to Palantir and whatever Jingan Technology has. 

But there is also the setting of whatever the Presidency of State Security (PSS) is, because as I see it, General Turki Al-Maliki should be given every support he could get and that is where I am at present. So, what solutions are in use and why can there be no additional support (because Saudi Arabia should have as much as it can), mainly because Saudi Arabia is under attack and it is Aramco, Khamis Mushait as well as the King Khalid airport. And in my mindset terrorists should not get this far, as I see it, eradication of terrorists is an essential need. Perhaps some want to invite them for tea and cookies but I am all about destroying the enemy, especially if they are targeting civilians. 

The question is how to go best about that. I have a clear view because I was given these tools in the past, I was giving (non military) intelligence in the past and as such I came to the Gulf of Aden as a first. There is of course the chance that these smuggle activities are Iran, Iraq, Jordan and then the red sea, but I would think that this track has the most complications and as such a much larger chance of failure. The other option is the Arabian Sea and than via Africa, but there are a few players there who would prefer Saudi Arabia as a friend and as such the gulf of Aden remains. A simple track (possibly a wrong one) and the resources to track these up to 80 ships daily (I am taking additional numbers under advisement) are a first, because that might get a better view and of course there is every chance that these ‘missile components’ are optionally shipped as ‘boxes of mobiles’ or something like that and there we have options of detecting and that comes with additional settings of releasing over 75% of ships who are innocent. But as my mind sees it we get the oldest question setting (from the 70s) where we get the image of Who, What, When, Where, How and Why. Six elements that might reveal who Saudi Arabia is dealing with. And of course ii am coming from a biased setting and as such I am on the Iran setting (Who) and what is either complete ballistic missiles but that seems less likely, more likely are the elements, because the explosive settings could come from all directions, but the electronics are likely from the “Who” side, making Iran the likely candidate. And in support I give you that Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthi terrorists are openly supported from Iran. 

This is my mindset and it is not impossible that I am wrong and that is also part of the analyses from either of these three parts (IBM, Palantir, Jingan Technology) and I could be wrong, but on these sides we see certain tools and these seemingly the tip of the spear and that is one place to look at. And I recently (in the last 24 hours) was given “Palantir Technologies has expanded its presence in Saudi Arabia through strategic defense, artificial intelligence, and regional digital transformation partnerships” (source: X/Twitter) as such I feel I am on the right track.

It feels nice to focus on a data problem and in the end it is a data problem because this can only work if we consider and eliminated verifiable data settings, but that might be my limited look on the matter (and I have been accused more than once of oversimplifying complex settings), but that would be me.

Have a great day and I noticed that I am now roughly 180 minutes from breakfast, so one more log to saw and of to the breakfast table I go.

Have a great day today.

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October 13, 2026 · 21:14

Is business booming?

This morning I was made aware of an article on ABC news. The article (at https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-10-13/saudis-probe-houthi-attack-on-riyadh-airport-amid-ongoing-attack/107258142) is giving us ‘Saudi-led coalition destroys Houthi ballistic missile amid probe into air defences’ where we get the key points “Saudi Arabia says it has intercepted a ballistic missile fired by the Houthis towards Riyadh. Houthis claimed responsibility for two strikes on Monday, local time, aimed at Riyadh airport and an air base in Saudi Arabia’s Khamis Mushait. The fresh strikes come after Saudi Arabia launched an investigation to determine how its air defences failed to intercept the Houthi missiles.” And as I (personally) see it, Houthi terrorists don’t have the ability to set the ballistic missiles, as such I come to the conclusion that Iran is (the most likely culprit) providing assistance. Either direct or indirect, as such several options should be considered by the Saudi government. The latter one was on July 18th 2026 as I wrote ‘Terrorists are as terrorists do’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2026/07/18/terrorists-are-as-terrorists-do/) and I was considering different settings. You see we all look towards Palantir Gotham to solve tactical settings for Saudi Arabia, but at present the United States is no longer considered to be a reliable ally. But where is China in all this. Technological adversaries tend to be on similar terms. So what is the Chinese version of Palantir? I know nothing of them, other than that they are spread over several software considerations. And as I see it Jingan Technology might be a decent alternative and it would spread ‘the good word’ from the Chinese government towards Saudi Arabia. As I see it, a certain person (namely Alex Karp) would have to start all sails towards solving the Saudi problems and to solve the intelligence towards solving the Houthi terrorist conundrum. How are they supplied? I considered several options in ‘Where the dogs sleep’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2026/09/25/where-the-dogs-sleep/) and I still believe they are valid thoughts, but now the question becomes. Who will assist Saudi Arabia better? Palantir or Jingan Technology, because as I see it, whomever proves the ‘support’ channels of these terrorists, that party will have a much bigger pull into getting commerce with Saudi Arabia and I am not in that field, I merely support Saudi Arabia as it is attacked and that much stop. Unlike others I have no problems getting create suffering to the attacking party of Saudi Arabia, which I personally still believe is Iran. So when the Houthi terrorists are made evanescent (an expensive word meaning to  be reduced to nothingness) we can focus on the parties that are supporting Houthi terrorists. This might be too large a call to make, but change is done in steps and in all this I support the preservation of the Saudi way of life. I am not one of these templars who considered all saracens and muslims evil. I am not muslim, but they are allowed to defend their lands and whomever aids them is an ally. So who will answer the call? Alex Karp or Shi Qiaomu? They don’t need to call me, but I reckon that a call to Prince Khalid bin Salman Al Saud is in order from either, optionally both. 

Whilst the media is all about the ‘events’ no one is looking towards who is igniting these settings, just my way of thinking. So you all have a great day and try to enjoy your morning coffee in Toronto, lunch coffee in Amsterdam and Abu Dhabi and late coffee in Sydney. Different times, same concoction. 

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October 4, 2026 · 17:56

Indecent thoughts

It is something we all have at times. We are human and as such we have immature thoughts (except those involving Nina Dobrev, those are massively mature) but in other categories did you send a birthday card to President Trump today? It is world animal day after all. You see one mans thoughts are another persons food for vengeance and I am exactly on that setting at present.

A few hours ago I took notice of an event (at https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-10-04/houthi-saudi-yemen-iraq-middle-east-hostilities/107226524) where we saw (7 hours ago) ‘Iran-backed Houthis target Saudi oil facility as hostilities escalate in Yemen’, so who is providing these terrorists drones and ballistic missiles. The news gives us “Houthi-affiliated channel Al-Masirah TV reported that Saudi aircraft hit Sanaa with 26 strikes, after earlier reporting “Saudi aggression” against the Yemeni capital.” But the story behind all this is the fact that we are also given (at https://english.alarabiya.net/amp/News/saudi-arabia/2026/10/03/injury-damages-in-saudi-arabia-after-interception-of-houthi-missiles-drones) where we see ‘Injury, damages in Saudi Arabia after interception of Houthi missiles, drones’ and there is a setting that came to my mind. So as we see “Several attacks by the Iran-backed Houthis have resulted in an injury and damage to civilian property and infrastructure in Saudi Arabia according to official reports from late Friday and early Saturday. Fragments of an intercepted ballistic missile injured an Asian resident, damaged a prayer room and a number of vehicles in the Asir Province, according to the Saudi Civil Defense on Saturday.” I came to the thought that Houthi’s don’t have the options top produce any of that. And in that setting Palantir came to mind. If Palantir can analyze all the boats entering the Gulf of Aden, the Arabian Sea and the Red Sea weight get an actual handle on this setting. It will require a massive amount of number crunching and Saudi Arabia might have to add some intelligence gathering, but with every ship sunk on that roster, Houthi abilities might dwindle down and with the clear culprits in sight (I am not willing to blame Iran without evidence) we might get a handle on matters. 

As I see it, the press is useless, but their materials might give us a sight we never considered before. And I reckon that Palantir has the number crunching ability to make that work. There are more solutions, but by setting the manifesto of every ship in the region we could optionally limit the ships we need to set our sights to and there are plenty of methods, because most ships are set to turn a profit and when they do a few things that the timeline doesn’t like we get a possible target. And to be Frank (I am usually Jimmy) is there a better sight that watching this boat sink with all its ‘sugared’ cargo miles away from reaching that destination? It is merely a second price, the winning price is to use these drones and missiles and aim them at the Houthis. I fail to see the upside if they are not seeing the boom to start their party, even if they are the target themselves. 

So I wonder who considered that setting in toppling these smuggle operations. I am not saying it is an exact science, but to track the boats by other means than tracking ships radar trackers might be an idea and when we limit the numbers and whilst over 21,000 commercial and merchant vessels transit the waterway annually (averaging more than 100 per month) and these 100 per month could be tracked and from that image we see culprit, smuggler and optionally where they are off loaded. It is not likely that it is a harbour, but the timelines give is an insight of where to look. A simple thought that came to me in mere minutes (OK, I have a nautical degree and experience with this) but I am wondering how far Saudi Arabia took this setting and optionally there are ways that we can look at this (with the options to consider) how the smugglers keep the US Navy asleep. Because it is happening right under their noses. As far as I can remember they only ever found one ship with weapons (I think it is about two years ago) and now we might get a much more novel setting with one additional thought, but I will keep this private to me and Khalid bin Salman Al Saud, you can’t inform the boss of all this on the settings we get to celebrate on. 

It was such a simple setting, the setting is simple, the data acquisition is a lot less simple, but we have to start somewhere. So whilst the News channels look at the impact of Houthi terrorists, I looked at what could be done. Have a great day all

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September 25, 2026 · 16:48

Where the dogs sleep

That is a setting that might be true to the stage and to the setting, but are the settings pointing this out? That is the stage as I see it, but am I right? If you think you are a critical thinker, that should be a top-of-mind situation. So whilst we see ‘Saudi Arabia intercepts wave of Houthi missiles as oil climbs to one-week high’ and we are given “The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen said the missiles were aimed at Taif and the Yanbu area on the Red Sea, the main alternative route for Saudi oil” we need to see that this comes at the same time as “Oil prices climbed about 3%, but trade was volatile and prices came off session highs after reports the US and Iran discussed reopening the strait of Hormuz.” And it gives me a thought. Are the Houthis nothing more than the cheap harlots of Iran? The second thought that is coming to me is “How are the Houthis supplied?” And yes we might point the finger at Hezbollah, but that would be too easy. Iran will do what it can to lessen stress on their own smugglers, but at the same time we take notice of “While claiming that their blockade only applies to Saudi shipping and there remains no threat to commercial shipping on the Red Sea, the Houthis have also warned other nations not to get involved.” A clear signal to the UK to not get involved. And I have had it with these terrorists. A signal needs to be given and I believe that a union between China and the EU might be essential for this, with a clear setting. Iran can sell its oil to China (at a discount) but if they do not seize their actions the hint for the three terrorist organisations (Houthi, Hezbollah and Hamas) will open in earnest and we will give any intelligence to stomp these terrorists down with the help of Mossad. And the second thing we do is to utterly destroy 10 refineries in Iran so they are left with one exploit, selling their raw oil to China and if they are left with this one option, Iran doesn’t get to set the price, China does. I feel perfectly fine testing my new IP on Bandar Abbas, its harbours and the railroads. This is what true horror looks like, not some orange person threatening, but a nameless civil person actually destroying what they hold dear. That is what true horror implies. It is not the one boasting, it is the silent person in a corner taking out whatever you desire. 

So, is that a clear message?
As I see it, too much media is holding out for that scrappy bit of paper, holding out for revenue, but news is not revenue, it is in part art in part deciding the best way to bring the new, not bring it in a setting that makes the most money and it is like that in gaming. The BI people in gaming do what THEY see as the most profitable setting and then they get influencers to state that hoping they can get enough gamers around to THEIR way of thinking, but gamers are like inventors, we see a niche and we use that to set a new chart, a new course and we go with this and I am in support of Saudi Arabia, I do what will solve their issues, not the issues of a broke United States, a needy Houthi Terrorist or a desperate Iran (and its IRGC). And as we see “Riyadh’s foreign ministry said on Friday that Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan would hold an urgent meeting of their chiefs of staff ‌to ‌discuss ways to ‌support repel the Houthi attacks under their joint ‌defence agreement. Under the defence pact, all three countries agreed that an armed attack on any one of them would be treated as an attack on all three. Officials in Pakistan are said to be deeply worried about being dragged into the never-ending war unfolding across the Middle East.” As I see it Pakistan hopped for some free publicity not seeing what Iran was up to and there is no never-ending war, just destroy Iran and the others fall back into place, they fear doing this alone and the hardware from Iran has been helping them, take that away and their lust for need and greed falls away quite fast. In that setting the United States could have helped by destroying any Iranian ships hading into the Gulf of Aden and searching every other vessel on that course. I reckon that an observation post on Socotra might assist in this. It would also fuel the setting if Eritrea is as innocent as it proclaims because there is still the thought that Houthis might pay top dollar on anything coming from the Sudan and whilst some players might divert 20% from the Sudan to pay for the 80% heading there, it is in my eyes simple presumption and I react to evidence, not to speculative thoughts. And wasn’t it Gibbs (NCIS) that told us ‘Trust but verify’, I knew this decades before that series launched, but it is never a bad thing to reassess early thoughts there might have been in the mix.

So whilst the international community might react to “Yemen’s internationally recognised government pressed world leaders on Thursday for help defeating the militants, saying that their new perch along one of the world’s busiest waterways presents an international economic risk.” But as I see it 95% of the pain that Yemen is experiencing comes from Iran and whilst we are ‘given’ “Iran is currently facing severe, compounding internal pressures driven by an acute economic collapse, historic political transitions, and escalating public unrest. Following the massive disruptions of the 2026 military conflict with the U.S. and Israel, including the assassination of long-time Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the ruling establishment is struggling to maintain domestic control amid an unprecedented erosion of its legitimacy” and there is another option there. China could influence that setting by installing a China based Iranian government. The world will see a decrease in escalations, the Gulf States will allow for this as the attack on them will seize (Qatar might not like this), but the rest will and whilst China gets the oil there it will look better for China in a whole range of ways. In this setting China gets an optional voice n OPEC (and OPEC plus) all whilst the attack stop on Saudi Arabia and the UAE, so they are likely happy and with Houthi no longer getting supplies from Iran there is another release of pressures on Saudi Arabia. As I see it the population of Iran might like this too, as the old political powerpoint are removed, the people of Iran could actually work on THEIR future. 

I tend to see only upsides in this and whilst there are likely negative sides, they might not be seen as significant as the other pressure points fall away. 

Look at me, I created a viable solution toward overthrowing the current Iranian government. I am feeling kinda proud of that. 

So, you can think what you want (and be massively against my ideas), but look at the price of fuel, what caused this? (Disregarding the orange peril to the world) and it might also fuel the solutions in Hamas and Hezbollah, because when they no longer get access to weapons and funds, they will be on their last moments of existence. You see, you might think that you know where the dogs sleep, but the danger isn’t that, it is what happens when eve one wakes up. Its ‘yap’ wakes up the others and that is where the problems start.  A simple setting that von Clausewitz gave us (I tend to prefer Sun Tzu in most matters) “Non-state militant groups do not engage in violence for random chaos or pure financial gain; rather, they use fear, intimidation, and coercion to pursue distinct political, social, or religious goals. In a grim Clausewitzian sense, their violence is an instrument of policy aimed at compelling an opponent to submit to their will” as I see it, Iran is the instigator relying on fear, intimidation, and coercion to pursue its desperation. Take that away and the rest falls into place. And it is my believe that Iranians under China might get a lot better then what it is now and that could spell internet support for that new setting as well.  Feel free to call me a stupid optimist, but I tend to look at these settings creatively and there is nothing creative about Iran, so we introduce it and at the same time we remove the pillars of support the Houthi’s are currently getting. Have a great day all.

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September 24, 2026 · 21:00

The undecided ones

That is what I see. And there is a real danger here and we will see the end come because some people cannot make decisions. They are too scared to be seen ‘in a bad light’ but the their inactions have more dire consequences than they are willing to admit to, because they are in a setting “we can talk with them”, “we could find a mutual solution” but the direct setting is that they do not want to talk. The want to lead at the expense of everyone and everything. I am of course talking about Iran and now their terrorist branches Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthi. The indecisive actions by the United States is making its mark, because Iran sees the weakness in the United States. The bully president talks and talks, but the weary part of all this is seen, the United States is broke beyond belief and they can no longer boast what they want, well they could, but it is now reaching more and more deaf ears. So whilst we get “Good morning. Donald Trump has used the platform of the UN general assembly in New York to threaten to “annihilate the Islamic republic” of Iran, “and do it quickly”. He called on countries to unite to isolate Tehran and bring down global energy prices.” So how are they doing that exactly? You see, they started their clambake 207 days ago (which amounts to 29 weeks and 4 days) and they weren’t able to stop Iran and others (like the Houthis) are seeing this as a weakness. All that, whilst I gave a much better setting in the last 29 weeks that is better, more complete and it hinders the Iranians to a much larger effect and my ‘plan’ didn’t cost and whilst AP News gave us that this is costing the USA $43.6 billion, my ‘plan’ did it at a fraction of the cost and a lot more complete. This is not a brag, I placed the idea in my blog and I gave it free of charge to the UAE and Saudi Arabia, because when these places are under attack, you are not asking for money (it would still be nice though) but these inventions are untested and they get it for free and can decide how to implement it. I had France WW2 as an example. As such it might merely be a partial innovation (aka iteration) on this. And I am not undecided, I decided to hand Saudi Arabia (the UAE too) whatever I had to counter Iran and its three terrorist organisation and perhaps my way will not work. More able engineers than me can decide on that. I am not undecided. So in the meantime we see the CSIS give us ‘Is the United States Abandoning Saudi Arabia at Its Moment of Need?’ Where we see “By 2022, Saudi Arabia and the Houthis had negotiated a ceasefire. It held imperfectly until July 2026, when Saudi Arabia was attacked again—this time most definitely by the Houthis. The attacks plunged Saudi Arabia into a conflict it had hoped to avoid.

Houthi missiles, mostly intercepted, began targeting Saudi Arabia on July 13. The Houthis announced a naval blockade on July 22 and began targeting oil tankers carrying Saudi crude in the Red Sea. They then began attacking Saudi energy infrastructure, culminating in a strike on an oil refinery in Jazan on August 9. On September 10, an Iranian-backed militia in Iraq—plausibly coordinating with the Houthis—struck the critical East-West Pipeline that had allowed the country to reroute its oil exports from the Strait of Hormuz to the Red Sea. And on September 18, a Houthi ballistic missile targeting Riyadh was intercepted by Saudi air defenses.” As I personally see this, the Iranian puppets are now acting against Saudi Arabia and this requires more than just shrugging. A few weeks ago I gave Saudi Arabia more ideas and put is up to them to distill if my ideas have merit. I believe it does. We need to act in support of allies and I have always regarded that Saudi Arabia and the UAE are allies. As such we need to act. So I am in favour of acting, but we get from the Guardian ‘Trump calls off airstrikes at last minute’ and we can set this to all kinds of reasons, but in the end their ally Saudi Arabia was under attack and they became an undecided party. So what is the right action? As I see it we stand with Saudi Arabia (with the UAE too) and we take Iran and his terrorist organisations to the cleaner. I am too old to fight, but I have a few good ideas and the first one is to destroy the harbour of Mocha and destroy whatever it gets in ships, because that is how the Houthi get their weapons. It seems that their source is Eritrea, but how do they get there? That is where I see it different. The Iranian ships come to the Gulf of Aden and most likely the Iranians have a deal with people around Aden (pure speculation on my side), there I too much with Eritrea I am not accepting, it is almost like the intelligence is set for Saudi Arabia to start unprovoked attacks on Eritrea. And I am driven by evidence (and I am not privy to the evidence that might exist), so basically I am flying blind. But the media knows a lot more and they are absent in the reporting of the Iranian Houthi acts. They basically merely state ‘Iran-backed Houthis’ all whilst it should be ‘the Iranian puppet run Houthi terrorists’ and there is no place for the undecided ones. So whilst they are trying to weasel their ways in a setting where they can shine like the proverbial peace talking people and all whilst they are playing with the lives of others, they are hiding in a setting where they are safe, but their is no longer any safe place. There are no longer talks, President Trump made that impossible when they attacked on February 28th. So either they commit to eradicating Iran, or Iran becomes the biggest terrorist handler the world has ever seen and we are lucky, because this setting would be 100 times larger if Qasem Soleimani was still alive. That is the only luck we currently have and that is why we need to be decisive in all this and unite behind Saudi Arabia and the UAE. I personally feel more like an Emirati, mainly because I am no Muslim and Saudi Arabia is decently conservative Muslim. But that is probably the only reason. I still believe in the defense of Saudi Arabia, which is why I handed them my military IP. 

So when will the world wake up? When the oil stops delivering? When the Houthis decide that they should (with assistance) of Hezbollah turn towards Israel and Egypt? They are then merely one step away from France. So when that becomes a feeding ground towards pushing them all towards Shia Islam, what is stopping them? The undecided ones? It will be too late at that point. We have options at this point and as I see it the United States no longer is one, so we either unite with Saudi Arabia or we see our world come undone. And don’t put too much faith in the selective outrage of Antonio Guterres stating “I have never seen killing and destruction like Gaza”, where we should wonder what he was doing when we saw the fatalities of Ethiopia set to 750,000 to 797,000 people per year, 377,000 total deaths in Yemen, Sudan with 400,000 deaths, and Ukraine with an expected 525,000 fatalities? So, was Antonio Guterres asleep at the wheel? (Im just asking). We need to stop the lackeys of Iran and stop Iran, a two sided battle and there is no prize for the losers and if we remain undecided we will most certainly lose. A lesson that President Trump apparently never learned. Because he boasted to have defeated Iran over 30 times and as I see it Saudi Arabia as well as the UAE had to clean up the mess of this. So when this mess gets cleaned up, we need to see what to do next. I still think that China might be the solution to all this and I reckon that the EU comes around the moment the dangers of Hezbollah, Houthi and Iran becomes real, but that might be too late a setting and I have no idea how the intelligence of DGSE is. But if you are not an intelligence person you might never know and those who are aren’t putting this on their blog (as I am), a simple truth. But the best actions? I actually have no idea, but I see the danger (even if some make claim that there is none) recognising the dangers we are in is important, because that shows you who the undecided ones are and with that we could see where we can find an optional solution.

Have a great day today.

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September 21, 2026 · 01:23

Oil in the family

That is a lying, a music title and a requirement for some. You see, the Middle East Monitor gave us yesterday ‘Saudi Aramco cancels October crude allocations to European refiners: Report’ where we see (at https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20260919-saudi-aramco-cancels-october-crude-allocations-to-european-refiners-report/) “Saudi Aramco informed at least two European refining customers that they will receive no crude oil in October following an attack on the kingdom’s key pipeline to the Red Sea, Bloomberg reported Friday. The decision applies to all European buyers, said the report, citing those familiar with the matter who requested anonymity because the information is not public.” As I personally see it, this is the consequence of making political dances with the Iranian terrorist state and its vessels the Houthi terrorists. This is the outcome of extremism in the Middle East. I feel happy that I at least gave my military IP to Saudi Arabia. It might result in some positivity, or it might not. But when we see “The suspension of the Saudi route prompted some European refiners to seek alternative supplies. Polish refiner Orlen has issued more than 10 tenders since Friday as it moves to secure replacement barrels, said the report. European members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development imported an average of 577,000 barrels per day of Saudi crude in June, according to an International Energy Agency’s latest Oil Market Report.” There is a larger consideration, first is that Canada has a new client in the EU for whatever oil they can deliver and the EU could deliver arms for oil to Saudi Arabia and as I see it, they need a lot more arms and they need to keep Houthi terrorists out of Saudi Arabia. I personally think that something needs to be done about the Iranian likes to Eritrea and deal with these smugglers, but that is merely my limited view. I am still in favour or eradicating Houthi and Iranians and the fact that Iran send drones to Mecca, gives the indications that a lot of muslims will see it my way at present. 

No matter how I see things, it is safe to say that the entire business equation is about to die in 9 days and I reckon that plenty of places will see this setting as ‘disastrous’ and on the upside, with the power dwindles that plants of places are going to see, the entire data center setting is about to be stopped nice and clearly, because with power limitations come all kinds of excess power needs that needs to be dialed down and the power requirements of any data center needs to be set to zero (I refrain from saying absolute zero) but until over a dozen nuclear power plants are complete (which will not happen before 2037, power will be a massive commodity all over Europe. And there is no real indication whether this is a ploy from Saudi Arabia to create a more powerful setting of becoming a Saudi ally, or whatever the need is, but there is a larger setting that is in play and I personally believe that this is about creating a better situation for Saudi Arabia and taking Houthi terrorists and their masters Iran out the equation. I think it is clear that they cannot rely on the United States, those people make claims that Iran was defeated over 30 times and we saw where that was headed from the get go. So as the United States were not willing to put boots on the ground in Yemen, the use of the United States is pretty obsolete and redundant. I cannot see into the power structures of Saudi Arabia, but it seems clear that they have had enough of fake friends. And this its about to get worse, if Pakistan honors the treaty (which requires me to know the text of the treaty, which I do not) there is every chance that Pakistan will come to the military aid of Saudi Arabia. 

The part that is currently unknown is whether this is merely one month delivery, or if it is the start of a lot more. And I remember the oil crises of 1973, when there were no cars on the road on Sunday, only first responders and medical people (on route) were allowed to drive on a Sunday. We could return to this setting, but it might not be enough. I feel for the people of Europe, but Saudi Arabia must do what is best for Saudi Arabia and its people. If this includes stopping oil deliveries to Europe, then that is what must happen. I am not a violent person but eradicating Iranians and Houthis is OK with me. They had their chances and as if they are unwilling to learn, that is on them. 

So, what happens next? I have no idea and likely a lot of people have no idea, but this all started with President Trump starting bombing Iran on February 28th 2026. And I see it as a first priority to ascertain the facts of the drone attack on September 10th 2026. It might be a moot conversation, but as I see it, Houthis (and Yemen in general) lack drone skills as in the fabrication of them, as such as we are given that “No group officially claimed responsibility”, I reckon that they figured on the wrath of hell coming their way, so they aren’t volunteering to paint a target on them. And the setting we are also given “investigations by the Iraqi government indicated that the drones were launched from Iraqi territory (specifically Maysan province), pointing toward a regional armed resistance or splinter group backed by or aligned with regional networks” (source: Al Jazeera) and I am suspecting that Iran backed these terrorists. They have done so before and there will be no denying it. Their word is not to be taken in earnest or even seriously. It strengthens the need for eradication of Iran and there is only so much we can forgive. And this is not about the oil. Iran has been out of control for a long time and that is not on the United States. As we are given “Sparked by severe economic collapse, inflation, and a crash of the Iranian rial, protests spread across all 31 provinces. The state unleashed a militarized crackdown on January 8–9, 2026, marking what UN and human rights organizations reported as the deadliest protest suppression since 1979, with thousands unlawfully killed by security forces” (source: UN Human rights center) and the setting that they attacked Saudi Arabia and the UAE under false premises is a passing of a red line so wide that we need to consider any option to stop Iran and it puts eradication on the table.

You might think me inhumane, but Iran did this to themselves and a response is now needed and if it is inhumane, so mote it be. So is it me, or are we entering a much worse situation in the Middle East? There is no way I can tell, because I am not even close to an expert on Middle Eastern matters. I have other abilities, so no regrets on that side. 

As matters are about to get worse, make sure you see your strengths and cash in on this. Have a great day today.

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