Tag Archives: Middle East

July 18, 2026 · 02:05

Terrorists are as terrorists do

I got hit by two news pieces. The first one was the Canberra Times, which I will discus second. After that I saw the news that Sky News gives us (at https://www.skynews.com.au/world-news/global-affairs/iran-tells-houthis-to-close-red-sea-gateway-if-us-hits-power-network-sources-say/news-story/e0db23cd9c0ccb4eba564a13c222be79) where we see ‘Iran tells Houthis to close Red Sea gateway if US hits power network, sources say’. So, Iran vie Houthi terrorists attacks Saudi interests when another party attacks? And we let these settings happen? Lets’ be clear, Saudi Arabia has not now, not ever allowed the United States launch attacks on Iran via their ports and harbours. As such it now becomes unacceptable and I consider it up to Saudi Arabia to do whatever it needs to do to make certain its areas are terrorist clear. As I see it, It is up to Saudi Arabia to do what it needs to do, but as I gave both the UAE and Saudi Arabia my military IP and I find it totally acceptable to use this against Houthi terrorists. As such the Port of Aden is about to become the only way in or out, handing the Yemeni authorities a new strength and as the Port of Hodeidah, Port of Mukalla, Port of Mokha, Port of Saleef, Ras Isa Marine Terminal and the Port of Nishtun are now valid targets to be closed for months at a time. As I see it, Houthi terrorists will suddenly cry for mercy when their only access port becomes Route 45 (well, it goes through Saudi Arabia, so that one is out too). But more about that later. 

You see, the news all started with the Canberra Times (at https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/9312297/houthi-leader-warns-saudi-arabia-against-escalation/) giving us ‘Houthi leader warns Saudi Arabia against escalation’ well, Saudi Arabia did nothing to escalate, it was all the United States (with support from Israel) and they escalated Iranian actions. As such pretty much the whole world will allow Saudi Arabia do what it needs to do. And I gave my IP months ago, as such closing the harbours becomes a first step. So when we see “Yemen’s Houthi leader Abdul Malik al-Houthi says all Saudi oil ‌and other vital facilities will be targets for the group’s missiles ‌and drones if Saudi Arabia escalates its involvement in the conflict.” Well, to be clear, Saudi Arabia hasn’t done this, it is just a hidden meaning of someone stopping anyone to halt the United States from attacking Iran, and they attacked ships in the strait of Hormuz. As I see it, Saudi actions are clear. They can attack any Houthi terrorist interests anywhere in Yemen, which pretty much guarantees shutting down their ports and the world will approve whatever Saudi Arabia thinks it needs to do. I don’t think Houthis terrorists have ever faced that before.  So the cry stories of those innocent Yemeni children will now go to deaf ears and as Saudi Arabia recently cleared 1,293 explosive devices in Yemen (source: Arab News) Houthi forces are about to learn what happens when the world has had enough with terrorists camouflaged threats. So whilst we see ““The real equation is ‌Sanaa airport for Riyadh airport, airports for airports, ports for ports, and blockade for blockade,” the Houthi leader said in a televised speech. Yemen has been mired in civil war for more than a decade since the Houthi rebels seized the capital Sanaa, prompting ‌a Saudi-led military intervention in 2015 in support of the internationally recognised government.” As such they camouflaged threat will be met with other settings. As Saudi Arabia retaliates I will have to revisit my IP that takes the highways out of the equation as well. It will effectively isolate Houthi terrorists in their places. So whilst Sky News gave us “Iran told Yemen’s Houthi rebels Wednesday to prepare to close the crucial Bab el Mandeb Strait — the critical shipping lane on the west side of the Arabian Peninsula— if the US strikes Iranian power plants.” There is a second setting, because this all relies on Iranian goods and when those are of the table, Houthi life will become a lot more difficult. Whatever happens, I hope the international world will give their support to Saudi Arabia to do whatever it needs to keep its places safe and secure. Because as I see it, Iranian actions shows that it has become as desperate as we have ever seen them and as Iran relies on terrorists to do their bidding, the hands of Saudi Arabia are no longer bound by international cry stories. 

There is only so much threats that we are willing to accept and Iran using terrorists against a nation who is not involved in activities against them, a nation that even denied the United States to act against from its lands, or even fly through its airspace. As such the war board will change a lot soon enough. 

How soon? That is up to Houthi leader Abdul Malik al-Houthi, but he needs to realise that the world will no longer idly stand by to these actions and I reckon that Saudi Arabia might find many nations willing to part with military hardware for Saudi Arabia in the process. 

So to all I wish you a happy lunchtime (Toronto) or dinner (Rotterdam) and I as I am still 360 minutes from breakfast I might treat myself to a cookie at present. Have a great day all.

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July 15, 2026 · 01:31

What a surprise

So, before I get you to the article, I want to reiterate my position. I did this a few times and here it matters. You see, on May 31st 2025 I wrote ‘All Dressed Up’ where I gave you ““The United States could experience a loss of $21 billion in tourism-related revenue this year if current trends continue, according to estimates by the U.S. Travel Association. According to the trade group, every 1% reduction in international tourist spending represents an annual loss of $1.8 billion for the U.S. economy. Furthermore, experts indicated that a strong U.S. dollar could be driving away international visitors.” Even though only Canada is ‘sifted’ out” I had some issues, because the numbers were seemingly giving added ‘benefits’ to the economic settings of this administration. And now we see CBC giving us (at https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/cross-border-travel-down-dramatically-research-9.7198652) ‘Travel to the U.S. is down even more dramatically than we thought, data shows’ where we are seeing “While official Statistics Canada figures show a roughly 25 per cent decline in Canadian residents returning from the U.S. last year, cellphone data compiled by researchers at the University of Toronto’s School of Cities found that the year-over-year drop in cross-border trips was closer to 42 per cent.” Which is a nice sidestep and the University of Toronto has proven themselves more than once, so I am excepting this setting. This means that the numbers were off by over 15%, which gives my settings (and decently speculative) a new wave of reliability. So whilst we ‘accept’ the numbers we are also given “They found the decline was even more dramatic in some warm weather locales that have historically been hot spots for Canadians fleeing winter weather. In Myrtle Beach, S.C., the number of trips by Canadians was down 65 per cent year-over-year, according to the cellphone data, giving it the dubious title of the metro area with the steepest drop. In the Florida cities of Panama City, Orlando, Cape Coral, Miami and Naples, the number of Canadian visitors fell by 50 per cent or more. But cratering demand wasn’t recorded only in those sunny destinations. Trips to San Francisco, New York, Ann Arbor and Grand Rapids, Mich., Boston and other business centres have also fallen by more than half, according to the data. In fact, of the 267 U.S. metro areas analyzed by researchers, only three — Cleveland, Portland, Ore., and Gainesville, Fla. — showed an increase in visits by Canadians last year.” What a lovely way to powder a message. Canadians kept up their promise that they were sick and tired of the 51st state setting of the United States by showing a massive decline to well over 250 U.S. metro areas? That should suck to the economy of the United States and I reckon that some people in this administration long before the Tuesday, November 3 moment has come to the calendars of all American voters and as ‘they’ say, every citizen is a voter at that point. So as the USA Today gave us yesterday (at https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2026/07/13/trump-federal-control-midterm-elections/90840111007/) ‘Trump moves to tighten federal control of elections ahead of midterms’ there is a setting that the drop in tourism will have every citizen of the United States livid. So whilst we are given “The president says he’s trying to prevent cheating, but Democrats argue he’s actually putting his thumb on the scale for the GOP by trying to block Democrats from voting.” Which is likely to be a repeat from 2016 when ‘O’Reilly’s Proof That Voter Fraud Exists Was Debunked On His Own Show Four Years Ago’, it is all kids of mean that I figure on using the words of a dedicated Republican to whistle back the BS from a republican administration. And we were given “Fox News host Bill O’Reilly argued that Mitt Romney’s failure to receive any votes in the 2012 presidential election in 59 divisions in Philadelphia was evidence that widespread voter fraud exists presidential elections. This claim was investigated and proved false on O’Reilly’s show one week after the 2012 election. O’Reilly invited lawyers Kimberly Guilfoyle and Stacy Schneider to discuss the prevalence of voter fraud in presidential elections. While both Guilfoyle and Schneider agreed that voter fraud is extremely rare, O’Reilly pointed to “reports in Philadelphia that nobody voted for Romney” as proof that voter fraud exists and asked if these reports have been investigated. From the August 16 edition of The O’Reilly Factor: O’Reilly himself investigated and debunked these allegations in 2012. Following the election, O’Reilly hosted Fox’s Megyn Kelly to investigate the “shenanigans” and why Romney got zero votes in a number of Philadelphia divisions. Kelly explained that “the same thing happened to John McCain” in 2008 because “the divisions with the unanimous Obama votes have large black, inner-city populations.”” 

So will this be a repeat of what we saw in 2016, and with the population of 250 U.S. metro areas extremely likely to be livid, what chance does this administration have? So whilst we return to the story and visit “In an interview with CBC News, Karen Chapple, the lead researcher and director of the School of Cities, said the drop in tourism to popular destinations like Orlando, as well as border communities like Buffalo, N.Y., has been well-documented. What her cellphone data makes clear is that the Canadian boycott is affecting cities both big and small across the States — and it’s not just leisure travel that has dried up. The self-imposed travel ban has extended to high-tech, financial and industrial centres, signaling that cross-border business and trade patterns have fundamentally shifted over the last year. “I have been using the word ‘sea change,'” Chapple said of the data she and her team uncovered. “And the places most impacted by the tariffs are also the ones most affected by the loss of travel,” she said, pointing to some Michigan cities like Flint that have trade ties to Ontario’s auto sector. “These declines are really tied to the composition of the local economies.”” A setting which my (decently speculative numbers also looked at) you see, there is a lot more to the spending of an international traveling person. They often fro not know certain things, or they might see it as impolite to use certain settings and this would have impacted local businesses a lot more. Like the local B&B places (to name merely one) and none of those earlier numbers would have seen that and now we see that there is a 15% gap between what was and seemingly what is. 

It is at this point where the CBC setting matters. As we are given “The U.S. Travel Association last year said a 10 per cent drop in Canadian tourism would cost the American economy about $2.1 billion US. If Chapple’s data is an accurate reflection of what’s going on, that means Canadians holding back on U.S. travel may have cost the economy about $8.4 billion US and counting. Speaking at a progressive political conference last weekend, Prime Minister Mark Carney applauded Canadians’ efforts to stand up to the Americans as the trade dispute with Trump drags on.” And now I get to gloat (just a little) and my story given on August 30th 2025 called ‘Vindication of a sort’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/08/30/vindication-of-a-sort/) where I stated 

“I speculatively expect it to be at least 80 billion” that was over two weeks ago. Now MSN gives us ‘Study Warns Trump Tariffs Could Deliver $64 Billion Hit to U.S. Tourism Businesses’, I reckon that when they start considering the bankruptcies in Florida and California are added, they will get a lot closer to my 80 billion”

So my speculation was hitting reality on nearly all thrusters and whilst bankruptcies are on a high in Florida (44,496), which dwarves the previous year (which had 32,933) and these numbers are set to May 26th 2026, as such these numbers are most likely to rise and taken that the CBC gives us alternative numbers, that jump might be a lot and I speculated it over a year ago, that is before we look at California where we see ‘California personal bankruptcies up 15% in a year’ (source: East Bay Times). The story they have comes with graphics, which are (especially for Canadians, fun to behold at https://www.eastbaytimes.com/2026/06/02/california-personal-bankruptcies-up-15-in-a-year/) It gives me that Texas with its 20% is still a states to consider and considering all these families renting out part of their house on a B&B setting are likely to be all personal bankruptcies. When you add all this up, you might start seeing the settings I say in 2025 because this all was set to Canadian impact, whilst I was looking at the larger international community that had enough of Trumpisms and I also considered that the Commonwealth nations might stand with Canada and select Canada as the destination for the next few years. That speculation is seemingly holding water as well, as such the United States has a real problem until deep into 2029 and with the Middle East exploring their tourism settings (especially the UAE) that hardship is nowhere near done. 

So some might see this as ego boasting, but there is no ego in place. I merely saw the numbers behind the numbers and I saw a trend evolving and I have been doing this since 1992, so I have a few markers that have been seeing the test of time. My ego does giggle at the simple fact that I was more on the nose with these numbers than all the fake AI in the land. So that part is gloating boasting and all kinds of nearly negative settings. I don’t have to give space to fake AI, it is that kind of a day today (at it is Wednesday 01:10 here), it sometimes suck to be a Fake AI, doesn’t it?

The article has one source “Barbara Barrett, executive director of the Frontier Duty Free Association, a trade group representing the mostly family-owned stores that dot the Canadian side of the border, said the steeper drop-off figures are more believable than the StatsCan data, based on how badly sales have plummeted at some of her members’ outlets.” Yes, I never considered that, but Canadians tend to buy the Canadian articles they know, as such that group is also facing dwindling numbers. For them I do feel sorry, but it is part of the whole.

So as I go to bed with a gloat, I wish you all a great day, my Wednesday ‘officially’ starts in less than 300 minutes.

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July 13, 2026 · 10:15

Using the media in war

That has always ben the case, as early as the 1620s as Corantos. A first-hand battlefield datelines and updates on the war. It is a little bit disappointing as they were a stronger setting of what was to be than what the media gives us now in 2026 in the Iran settings. Headlines like ‘Iran bets Trump will blink first’ and ‘‘We’re beating them up’, Trump on fresh Iran strikes’ and lets not forget ‘U.S. insists Strait of Hormuz remains open despite Iran declaring it closed, as strikes escalate’ all less then three hours ago. So, what is the measure of a war? But I am sitting in a setting with a headline 6 hours ago. We were given ‘The Guardian view on Trump and Tehran: everyone loses when the US and Iran overplay their hands’ and I say firmly ‘No!’

You see, the media is part of this mess. When they decided to reject the evidence from Brigadier General Turki al-Maliki on the drones from the Houthi terrorists (supplied by Iran), which clearly showed that Iran was behind this all. As you ignored evidence of an attack on Aramco, whilst blatantly ignoring that Houthi forces did not have the ability to expertly drive drones 10 times into Aramco targets, simply ignoring that this required high knowledge of drone aviation, only found in a state operator like the IRGC. You pretty much tailored your own demise from September 14th, 2019 onwards showing others that you were so dependent on the digital dollar, that you catered to its infliction of whatever drove clicks best. 

This is a stage the media catered to and whilst we see other things evolve, they cater to what drives clicks. The media has lost its footing, its credibility and now they are catering to the populist voices. And in all this I might be wrong (my nautical knowledge is almost half a century old) we see “Under international law, Iran does not have the legal right to completely close or block the Strait of Hormuz to international shipping, although it has used military force to heavily restrict and control traffic. The strait is governed by the regime of “transit passage” under the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), which guarantees that all civilian ships have the right of uninterrupted navigation” (source: Opinio Juris) but the larger setting is that any water has optionally two parties. 

The Straight of Hormuz borders Oman as well, as such there is a stretch that is Omanian territory, so in my naive setting I would say that the ships go via the Omanian part of the strait. I might be oversimplifying this, because Iran would have to attack Omanian waters and in that setting all parties including the GCC could attack Iran for violating their rights. I know I am missing a few settings, but this is what seems to be possible and if the media did their work, even if it is debunking my idea it might have been fine. But they did not did they?

So whilst the media seems to have dug its own Grave by adhering to proxy wars and for the benefit of access they might have silenced a few items (allegedly), we see an incomplete picture and we are thrusted towards headlines based on the old premise she said vs she said and as far as I can see this, this is all that is left to read. 

So what is the real deal? That is the question and in the meantime Iran does what it deserves best, wield the stick of terror over all the lands and I see that these warring parties are ignoring what gives Iran power to act, as such the destruction of their harbours their railroads and their refineries could have been a solution when I gave it 4 months ago. It almost seems like the United States doesn’t want to win, merely drag this setting along. Why?

Well that is all I have at the moment, as such you all have a great day today.

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July 11, 2026 · 17:02

Reasons to see the Middle East

I was told in the Khaleej Times (at https://www.khaleejtimes.com/world/gulf/saudi-arabia-tourist-package-visa-service-pilot-phase) that Saudi Arabia is adding a few options. With ‘Saudi Arabia launches new tourist visa service package for 7 countries’ we are given “Saudi Arabia has launched a new tourist visa package which will allow visitors to obtain a visa as part of a extensive travel bundle, reducing the hassle of planning and booking an entire trip. The service allows tourists to book packages that combine various elements of their trip, including airfare, accommodation at licensed tourist housing, and electronic visa processing, with the option to add experiences, activities, and events.” As I personally see it, the vacation to Abu Dhabi and Dubai, optionally with addition to Qatar could now include an additional long weekend in Riyadh (or Dammam/Jeddah) with options towards the Kingdom Tower, Riyadh City Boulevard and the Grand Mosque, there are plenty of places and they now come as an optional addition. Whilst some go to other places through the worry that Riyadh might not have the options for a long time. We see that Riyadh has plenty to do as an addition. As such that tourist visa package could be the suitor for Saudi Arabia to get tourist traction and it could use that in the big picture of tourism. So as we also see “It is issued electronically within a maximum of 48 hours after the travel package purchase is completed, eliminating the need to visit a Saudi embassy or submit a standalone visa application. By including visa arrangement services within the package, service providers will be offering clients a smoother experience and design more integrated and attractive tourism packages, encouraging visitors to extend their trips.” Beside that we are given “The pilot phase of the program will be subject to specific operational requirements. These include the readiness of digital platforms and the provision of 24/7 technical support and visitor communication services. The ‘Tourist package visa’ service reflects a broader transformation in the sector, which is based on facilitating travel, strengthening partnerships with the private sector, offering more integrated tourism experiences, and opening wider horizons for the world to discover the Kingdom and its diverse destinations. The new service is part of a series of programs and services launched by the country in recent years to facilitate tourist access and enhance their experience, in line with the objectives of Vision 2030.” I reckon that this pilot will start this summer and when it shows the benefits to the tourist traction, it should be implemented in a much wider way. As I see it, Saudi Arabia could use the tourism boost and as tourists are avoiding the United States, these people need to go somewhere. In addition 1 in 5 people are Muslim making Saudi Arabia an optional point of interest and not all are likely to see Saudi Arabia as a vacation Destination, they will see Saudi Arabia as an optional additional location to other places and the most likely location was the UAE, so as I see it, this new visa might be the solution for Saudi Arabia, especially for people who need an additional or alternative location. The fact that this visa could be done in 48 hours after application implies that some of these people can apply whilst they are on vacation. Personally I only see upsides to this setting. Especially for the tourism in Saudi Arabia. Considering that Canada and the UK already have almost 6 million muslims, add to that the 26 million muslims in Europe, there could be a decent uptake of this solution in 2027. I don’t think it is only for Muslims, especially Riyadh. But I think that this category of tourists would have a first interest in seeing the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Coming to think of it (me being humorous) you could go to Dammam and see Iran on the other side of the Sea of Dammam (Iranians call it the Persian Gulf) and throw stones across the water to Iran. One can only hope that the Saudi population shares my sense of humour. Still as I see it, the addition to the visa package could be the start of a much larger intake of tourists for Saudi Arabia.

As I see it, the Arabian peninsula could be the hottest tourist ticket for 2027/2028, but what do I know. I am not a tourist operator. So you all have a great day, time for me to start making my pasta meal.

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July 1, 2026 · 15:52

The way fences crumble

That was the setting that I saw, the Wall Street Journal gave an article (that I didn’t read because it was behind a paywall) where we are given ‘A Dispute Over Opening Hormuz Drives a Wedge Into U.S.-Saudi Relations’ where we are given “Trump threatened kingdom’s supply of drone and missile interceptors when it refused access to bases and airspace for Project Freedom.” That is all I have, but I do not need more. You see, one of the oldest expressions I know if is about mending ones fences and the entire setting that Saudi Arabia gets bullied because of their inability to adhere to (what some call) an illegal war is beyond stupid. You see, Saudi Arabia could ask the Ukraine to deliver 50-150 drones, that request could also be made from China, as such Saudi Arabia has options, but at present the United States is left with less and less options. As Saudi Arabia pulls out whatever they have economically in the United States, amounts up to an estimated $490 billion, with an expanded, long-term commitment expected to scale toward $1 trillion, the united States could now lose that and be left to dry. The bully approach from President Trump is costing the United States more and more. In addition, whatever rare earth mining options Saudi Arabia has could now be awarded to Australia and the EU, costing the United States billions more. So what does a person this stupid do in the Administration of the United States? I am willing to believe that his advisers put this forward, but I reckon that this might be a lose cannon setting, as I personally see it, a stage for the current President. In addition to all this, Saudi Arabia now has an option to demand the extraction of United States troops and Saudi Arabia asking China if they are willing to replace the United States as a preferred option. This enables Iran to vacate Saudi Arabia as a target, because they are unwilling to hurt China, it would be the last mistake they ever made. 

So whilst we mull over the setting that Saudi Arabia is facing with China as the up and coming preferred partner for defence, mining, construction and tourism, the chances of the United States making it with an intact budget to 2028 is getting rather small. And should President Trump now threaten Disney, Warner Brothers and Universal for whatever tourism gap comes, I have a few ideas that could spell a lot of bad news. In addition I am certain that China has its own version of entertainment in the works. Everyone is forgetting that Saudi Arabia has something that the United States desperately wants. So as we were given: 

“The US government is aggressively pressuring oil and gas companies to lower prices. President Donald Trump and US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have berated retailers and the Department of Justice is actively investigating accusations of price gouging. They are demanding retailers drop pump prices to target $2.50 a gallon”

And whilst it came with:

“Direct warnings by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent issued a veiled warning to big oil, independent, and international retailers to be “good actors” or face “big problems” as the administration watches their record profits”, “Department of Justice investigations into claims that oil companies are failing to lower gasoline prices in line with crude drops” and “Market friction towards demands for cheaper gasoline heavily conflicts with their “drill, baby, drill” campaign promises, because prolonged low prices will disincentivize American drillers from expanding production” 

As such I will take this rare setting where I (with a lack of economic education) teach that administration a few things: 

“Commodities are dependent on what is available and what is needed. As such the strait of Hormuz is a setting for over 20% of what is needed and as such prices are going through the roof. Closing it, or better stating, your enemy closing it was perhaps one of the worst ideas for the United States ever.” 

Starting that attack on Iran was badly considered. I gave Saudi Arabia and the UAE defensive settings in March and I also gave a few tactical settings that could have hobbled Iranian tactics and in light of that their refineries are still pumping oil. Before I was, the art of war was and they told generals (2500 years ago) how you scuttle an enemy resources. This pentagon clearly never learned from that. This pentagon also never learned from the French resistance (aka clambake 1939-1944) and that also gave me some ideas in March. As such I became the March Hare (I just saw Tim Burtons Alice in Wonderland) everyone seemingly ignored. What matters is that Saudi Arabia has a few more options at their disposal, it does not require the United States as much as the United States requires the coffers of Saudi Arabia. And Saudi Arabia can sell to China and the EU, so it has options. I reckon that should Saudi Arabia play less nice, Iran will run for the hills. And as I personally see it, Saudi Arabia has the intent and motivation to make sure that Iran sees the light for their stupidity. 

And the was merely the first part. You see, Saudi Arabia is deep into construction for what they need for Vision 2030 and they cannot do it alone, so these contracts are now considering the EU and China as contributors. So what is this bully tactic costing the United States? I warned them for this in ‘When it rains, it pours’ on December 2nd 2024 (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2024/12/02/when-it-rains-it-pours-2/), I feel decently certain that there is some MoU between China and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia floating around in the Ministry of Defense (the one on the King Abdul Aziz Road) as such the entire bully setting against Saudi Arabia was short sighted and ill conceived. As the image (implying) that this threat was directed at Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud might not have been a stellar idea, but I reckon that President Trump is likely a ‘thanks you’ notice from the President of the People’s Republic of China Xi Jinping. Personally I am hoping that I still get the 0.25% commission for enhancing the chances of China selling the 20 Chengdu J-20, which comes at a total of $2,200,000,000 ($110M each), which leaves me with a shabby $5.5 million making me happy beyond believe. So I have an illusional vested interest in all this, and who doesn’t want to retire with $5,500,000?
So the United States can cry me a river, but they elected the current president, as such they dug their own grave as I see it. So you all have a great day and consider what you will lose out on in the long run. I am likely not getting that commission, but that is the cross I have to bare, or is that bear? Gee, I made another funny, must be the Tim Burton effect of Alice in Wonderland.

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June 28, 2026 · 19:32

Better be safe than sorry

That is what I was thinking when I was exposed to ‘UAE Apologizes For ‘Incorrect’ Missile Alerts’ (at https://thedefensepost.com/2026/06/27/uae-false-missile-alerts/) so as I saw “Emirati authorities apologized on Friday after “incorrect alert messages” warning of a potential missile attack caused jitters among residents. The official messages sent to mobile phones, warning of “potential missile threats” and accompanied by a blaring siren sound, were the first in more than a month. They became commonplace during the Middle East war, when Iran targeted the UAE with more than 2,800 drones and missiles, most of them intercepted.” All whilst a proper explanation why Iran hit the UAE a lot more often than it had ever hit Israel in the same time remains a mystery to me. I get that they would retaliate against Israel. Israel was attacking them. The UAE never did. I expect that it is about tourists screaming like little bitches (like those Crypto dudes in Dubai) and then running to their mommies in the UK. Yet in all this I am of the mind that it is better to be safe then sorry. Especially when the UAE is attacked a lot more than 2700 times in three months and now that the truce with the United States is seemingly failing, the expected bully rage from President Trump might not come with the setting of “On Wednesday, local time, the House passed a Democrat-led war powers resolution aimed at halting further US military action against Iran unless authorised by Congress.” (Source: ABC News) earlier this month. As such I wonder if the United States is able to do anything at all at present. And with Hezbollah playing the power hungry participant, this mess is about to become a lot worse. Still, I feel happy I gave my military IP to the UAE, as such it is up to them to decide what is bet for them, but as I see it as Iran keeps on p[laying the games they are, destroying their harbours, railways and refineries might be the only setting left to play, because a nation without revenue and commodities is one that is bound to fail on nearly every level.

It is up to others to decide what to do, I merely hope that they do what is best for their nation and as I see it, a surviving Iran is the one element that all gulf states tend to agree on is bad for their nation. It walked the path of Terrorism for too long (Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthi) and that is merely the beginning of that disaster. Some might remember that On 27 October 2016, a Yemeni Houthi ballistic missile known as Burkan-1 was launched towards Makkah City. The missile was intercepted and destroyed by Saudi ground forces 65 kilometers from the city. Some sources say that the Burkan-1 is an Iranian-made Qiam 1, but that is beyond my scope of view (I never saw the evidence and in that case I merely see that Iran gave the technology to a terrorist organisation that attacked the holiest of Muslim sites. How could any Muslim do that? But that setting gives rise to the question “Should Iran survive?” I feel I am ill equipped to answer that because I have been on the anti Iran side for a long time, even before they attacked Aramco and it gave me some of this ideas to thwart the function of Iranian nuclear reactors (it seemed as good an idea as anything else I had made). 

So whatever needs to happen, as I see it, July is the month this is done, because is will come to blows with Iran and if they start talking nice, it is merely because they ran out of ammunition, or it is still on route to its destination. This might be my limited mindset, but that is what I have seen for decades all over the news. So as I see it, whatever the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Bahrain do, they better do it in the next two weeks, because as I see it, Iran would want to make an example out of the gulf states soon enough. That is merely how I see it.

Have a great day.

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June 19, 2026 · 22:49

Just when you thought it was over

I was just alerted by a newscast from the BBC, the story gives us ‘US-Iran talks postponed as Vance pulls out of Switzerland trip’, so after we hear that a deal is in the bag (I think this is the 40th claim) we see news that Israel bombs Hezbollah, with lloyds giving us ‘Iran imposes mandatory insurance on ships transiting Strait of Hormuz, with fees likely to follow’ I reckon there is no if or but for that, it is a setting that will follow, Iran is still playing its games. I am happy I gave my IP to Saudi Arabia and the UAE, I saw that there is never ever a way to trust Iran and I created the IP to scuttle their harbours and railway systems. I am (yet again) proven correct. So whilst we see that two hours ago ‘US-Iran talks postponed as Vance pulls out of Switzerland trip’ asI see that neither side is seemingly serious about talks and a stop to fighting, the stage was foreseen by me, because (me being slightly biased) Iran is only willing to talk whilst they are regrouping of awaiting rearmaments, which is why I set the IP for destroying harbours and railway systems. You can delay whatever you want, but when no ammo is getting through they either talk or they go down and I saw this before march. So whilst we are given “But Washington said plans for the talks had “not been finalised”. It added that the US looked forward to “beginning technical talks as soon as possible”. Switzerland’s foreign ministry later confirmed the talks at the Burgenstock mountaintop resort had been “postponed”, although it said preparations for talks were continuing. Swiss military and police officials had been patrolling the luxury hotel set high on a mountain overlooking Lake Lucerne, and a media centre had been set up for journalists.” But personally I don’t think this would have ever worked. The entire Hezbollah setting would have drowned this before it started and only 8 minutes ago we are given ‘Iran tells Hezbollah US talks impossible without comprehensive ceasefire in Lebanon’ and as I see it, Hezbollah never wanted any peace to begin with, optionally neither did Iran, as such the talks were a void setting before it began. And the stage of “no fee for 60 days” is as empty as it sounds, what fees were in place before all this? In this ADNOC has a solution in play and should be placed before years end, Aramco has another solution also in place, as such Qatar, Iraq, Bahrain and Oman are getting hung out to dry. So who considered bombing Iran? Why did they never hit the refineries? There are 9 or 10 refineries, why are they not all down? It is simple strategy. Consider that Sun Tzu wrote the Art of War roughly 2500 years ago. We learned there that “Sun Tzu argued that prolonged engagement exhausts both military and financial resources. In business, this translates to avoiding endless price wars, which erode profit margins and destroy capital faster than the competition” as such the refineries needed to be hit, only then would Iran talk, whilst they have options they will delay without remorse, add the Hezbollah setting and the gulf states get a much harder time.

We see the numbers (courtesy of ABC News) and whilst Iran has oil production, they can continue attacking the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar (and others) removing their ability to pay for resources to attack and options for the west and the gulf states open up. Basically I am whistling Dixie, so why were the United States not ready all whilst they presumably bombed Iran for $26 billion, we can assume that these thousands of bombs were not aimed at the 9-10 refineries. Why?

So whilst we are given (source: Lloyds) “The move challenges a US-Iran agreement guaranteeing toll‑free passage”, with the additional “Iran demands vessels use its preferred northern route, with threats of penalties for non‑compliance”, and in what universe do others decide on what course a captain steers? They can only do so in set conditions but these do not seem to apply. A setting that was doomed from the start, so whilst we are given “Iran has asserted its control over the Strait of Hormuz, insisting that vessels comply with new terms and conditions to transit, including mandatory Iranian insurance for all vessels”, so whilst we see that there is a setting of failure in all this, from beginning to end and I wonder why this is. I am not more intelligent than even the mid level officers in the Pentagon, so what is going on? I am voicing read literature, I see the failures all over the field and I am not versed in military strategies like officers of any army and I can see this as clear as bottled still water. So what is going on? Is the United States now so desperate that if they go under, so everyone else gets to go down first? That is where I land and I wonder if I am mad, but the data we all see is pointing in this direction. And the United States has Vietnam as an example so what gives? And in all this the press should be asking all kinds of questions and they seemingly are not. So whilst my version could very well be incorrect, no one is offering any options that makes sense and I have been seeing this from march onwards. And I don’t believe that I am more trained than any colonel and higher in the Pentagon, my view seems to make sense. So you tell me, what am I not seeing, or what am I getting wrong? But that is merely my point on all this. So whilst we will get ‘some’ report on what is seemingly going on, the things I wrote about from March 1st onwards and lets not forget that President Trump claimed that a deal with Iran was close, and now we seem to get the idea that he gave the farm to Iran, who does that? Who neglects bombing the refineries all whilst 26 billion in bombing runs were made? One source gave us that the United States had struck 2,000 targets using more than 2,000 munitions, so not these refineries? How does that make sense? ABC gives us that Shahran oil depot and the Aqdasiyeh Oil Warehouse were hit, but no refineries? All whilst Iran has hit refineries in Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar. So, who is wondering the same thing I am? What is going on? 

Have a great day and enjoy the upcoming weekend.

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June 17, 2026 · 14:43

Its not the news

That is a setting we often wonder about and I did when I saw ABC giving us ‘Australia downgrades travel warnings for Middle East but region remains volatile’ it gives us that “Australia has downgraded its Middle East travel advice for key Gulf hubs, easing warnings from “Do Not Travel” to “Reconsider your need to travel”.” It is true and it holds water (as the expression goes), but the absence of Iranian pushy and bully needs, together with the absolute setting of why the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar were targeted in the first place is seemingly absent from this discussion. As I stated, it was not up to the news, but they are so “driven” to give us the whole shawarma (enchilada applies to Mexican travels) I wonder why this is absent. So I get that it impartial news to some effect, but the stage where no one seems to hold Iran applicable, all whilst they are seemingly driven to unfreeze billions in Iranian funds. I am merely of the setting that the UAE is due tens on billions in travel damages and a few millions in actual damage done to the UAE. So there is the stage where I also want to know what the trigger is for the “Do Not Travel” setting, as I do not know what the reason is that this was ‘still’ in place as the stage for flights to and from Abu Dhabi gradually resumed in early March after precautionary airspace closures. Etihad Airways launched a limited commercial schedule on March 6, and UAE airspace officially reopened for normal air navigation in May. And we are now in mid June, so what gives that delay? So whilst we get the need for “Reconsider your need to travel”, it also sets my schedule t this need as I haven’t had a vacation since 2005, so my need is optionally high and Abu Dhabi is still on my bucket list (as is Toronto), but that is another story. So whilst we are given “Foreign Minister Penny Wong and Assistant Foreign Affairs Minister Matt Thistlethwaite said in a joint statement, the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) had assessed the conditions in the specified countries and determined it appropriate to drop the level.” So, whilst I get that we are given “Australians are being told to closely monitor warnings, avoid crowds and prepare for emergency scenarios including military escalation. “If warned of an imminent attack, move to an enclosed hardened shelter,” Smartraveller advice states.” I can’t stop wondering whether this is done to siphon off some travel to the UAE towards the United States (a place much less appealing at present) So, I get that the average civil servant tends to be a pussy, the delays that are seemingly in place, do not make much sense. Unless there is a delay factor in place where others are seemingly really helped by the delays towards other destinations. So, I do get that people think of me as a ‘doom speaker’ or a ‘conspiracy individual’ but consider the setting we have seen on the last three months and consider what Iran has been pushing for, including bombing places that have nothing to do with the American-Iran Clambake (with special appearance of Israel). At what point was the UAE ever part of this and when is the media exposing that part of the essential finger pointing at Iran? So whilst we get that Google Gemini is now saying that “Abu Dhabi was officially back on the radar for Australian travelers on June 17, 2026. On this date, the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) officially downgraded its travel advice to the United Arab Emirates (UAE)—including Abu Dhabi and Dubai—from a Level 4 “Do Not Travel” to a Level 3 “Reconsider your need to travel”” where my point of view is that this should have happened at least a month ago, as such we need to see what is in play at this setting and what are we not told? 

Yes, I do sound like a conspiracy theorist in all this, but consider what has taken place (like some president claiming 38 times that a truce is about to be signed) the fact that the global media is seemingly in the dark from the attacks on the UAE where we have been notified that from 9 April 2026, the UAE has intercepted and destroyed 537 ballistic missiles, 2,256 drone attacks and 26 cruise missiles fired from Iran and the only ‘setting’ that we are given that part of a plan Khamenei designed before his death, ordering that in the case of war with the United States and Israel, Iran will cause regional chaos across the Middle East, with the purpose of pushing their Gulf neighbors to pressure for a halt to the attacks, and as such there needs to be a clear warning towards Iran that this has to stop, I even gave the UAE and Saudi Arabia designed IP to scuttle whatever Iranian options there were to destroy its infrastructures, because that is what concerned citizens do to the enemies of what these citizens see as friends, we don’t bully or threaten, we just come to their aid with whatever we can and I gave them IP that would stop Iran, but that is neither here nor there. You see, it is about the media and the media has been playing a dangerous ‘hands off’ setting and now we see that the politicians were playing along, because as I personally see it, Foreign Minister Penny Wong and Assistant Foreign Affairs Minister Matt Thistlethwaite could have given that speech at least 2 to 3 weeks ago, so what was the delay? Was this the most they could delay that for? You might think I am a loon (actually, I am bat crazy), but consider the timelines. What attacks did Abu Dhabi airport endure? We know that at least three confirmed drone and missile attacks over the last decade. They were February 28th, 2026, January 17th, 2022 (by Iran backed Houthi terrorists) and July 26th, 2018 (also by Iran backed Houthi terrorists) so when you know of this, what was the lowering of travel advice not done sooner? I reckon that May 2026, when Etihad completely resumed its flight schedule would have been a good point lower the travel advisory, which was 5 weeks ago, but I get that (optional) pussies are bound to delay these settings. So we can say that the ABC news is a little overdue, but not due to their efforts. I think that several governments have to make amends to the UAE, but that might be merely me seeing this setting. 

So, you all have a great day and I (optionally affected by a little too much oxycodone) will do some dreaming of the Warner Brothers theme part whilst also floating on the Al Raha River a 300-meter peaceful lazy river located at Yas WaterWorld in Abu Dhabi. We dream what we can especially when we are in a winter setting in Sydney at 17 degrees, dreaming of 32 degrees sunny weather that is in Abu Dhabi. We do what we can.

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June 16, 2026 · 20:46

The art of the wheel

That is what I saw when I saw the Politico article ‘Trump promised no Iranian nukes. His deal may never do that.’ (at https://www.politico.com/news/2026/06/15/trump-iran-nukes-deal-hormuz-00962569) where we are given “Everything else Trump hoped to accomplish when he launched the war over three months ago remains a work in progress. And while the White House says it can hammer out specifics over the next 60 days, it took the Obama administration nearly two years to strike a deal that traded reduced sanctions and other economic incentives for Iran’s commitment to significant curbs on its nuclear work. On Monday, the White House offered little indication how it could meet Trump’s demand to get a better deal than the Obama administration in such a minuscule time frame.” With the additional “Iran has not destroyed its enriched nuclear material, dismantled any nuclear sites, or accepted an inspection regime — which has yet to be designed. And on Monday, senior U.S. officials said there was no guarantee Iran would. Their assertions that Tehran will never get a nuclear bomb are contingent on Iran abiding by mostly generic commitments it made in exchange for promises from Washington for access to frozen funds, sanctions relief and other economic assistance.” As I see it, America goes to war with Israel as its sidekick. They achieve nothing in 3 months, Iran gets its finds unfrozen and there are no guarantees on nuclear materials. How is this anything but a colossal lose-lose situation for the Trump administration? The quote that follows is ““The more that the Iranians are willing to work with us on their nuclear program, on verifying that they’re not building a nuclear weapon, on not funding radicalism and terrorism in the region, the more that they’re going to be welcomed into the world economy through a combination of sanctions relief and other economic measures,” said a second senior U.S. official, who, like others, was granted anonymity to discuss the talks.” With the additional “Iran, for its part, has said Tehran will maintain control of the vital Strait of Hormuz, hasn’t committed to any curbs on its nuclear program and will be able to access billions in frozen assets. The White House says Iranian state media depictions of the deal are overstated and designed to sell the accord to its public.” I might be hacking things up, this is unintentional. The writings here by Felicia Schwartz are good and I added the link in the beginning, so you can read it for yourself. The thoughts that came to me is that this might be the biggest fuck up in the Political field I have ever seen ad I have been around for a while. Considering that the United States wasted 26 billion on costings and bombings whilst admitting towards the media that this is not a war, how long do you think that Iran will wait until they go crying at the International courts in The Hague for reparations? So they get there funds unfrozen, the United States will face prosecution, which might get Iran another 200 billion and there is no agreement on Nuclear materials. So tell me how did the United States win anything? So whilst the Military intelligence has seemingly nothing more than “is believed to be stored deep within underground tunnel complexes near Isfahan and other fortified sites” I think a United States Marine Colonel said it best with “This was a clusterfuck from start to finish” But I digress. You see “While a formal declaration was never made, the United States was involved in direct hostilities with Iran that began on February 28, 2026 2026 Iran war – Wikipedia. The Trump administration initiated major combat operations and engaged in strikes alongside Israel Britannica, maintaining that congressional approval was not required under the War Powers Act due to the defensive nature of the actions” I wonder who his lawyer was, because bombing ‘to the stone age’ is not a defensive nature of actions. Iran never attacked the United States (as far as I know) there is the added option that Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE will also file for damages. Not are where that would go, but it would likely come out of the Iranian freed and gained funds. I could be wrong, but that I how I would play it. And all this gets another setting as we hear that on June 15th (source: BBC) “Trump says deal to end war with Iran already signed and details to be released ‘pretty soon’” so a war was never declared and is now optionally ending? How is this anything less than a complete waste of resources, manpower and spend ammunition? 

So as we see the stages evolve into a setting where political people claim the limelight that they did a good job, the rest of the world is seeing another side and it will be rougher when Iran does take this to the international courts. They shouldn’t have any rights, but the law is not that aligned. So, we are now seeing “Iran is actively pursuing several high-profile legal claims in 2026, centering on a tentative Memorandum of Understanding with the United States, territorial claims, and international arbitration.” (Source: Al Jazeera) This all comes across like a bad joke and it is only getting worse. 

And whilst this is taking place, a new 60 day diplomatic framework and memorandum of understanding were recently agreed upon to halt fighting and begin negotiations. However, key issues, including Iran’s nuclear program and broader regional security remain highly contentious and unresolved. (Source: Amnesty International) Whilst I can’t vouch for the intel that the media has spread, the focus form a few sides (and several media outlets) give us a tentative nasty setting. And even as I focussed on the United States, but the side of Israel should not be dismissed. They have been under proxy attack from Iran for decades and whilst I am trying to keep this all as simple as possible, it might not be possible and it is exactly what Iran wants, to make everything as convoluted as possible. I reckon that they will want to play the victim card here. So the setting is weird, Politico is trying to keep it simple (merely exposing one side) but this stage is about to get a lot more confusing for all and the 38 times president Trump claimed that a deal was close is now playing into the hands of Iran, or so I believe is what will happen. And I could be wrong, but when it comes to Iran I merely expect the worst thing that could happen and multiply that by 2 (an optimistic setting I know).

That is what we see and we aren’t seeing the whole picture, or so I believe it is. So, have a great day and consider what you could be doing today, Vancouver is snoring and Toronto is getting ready for breakfast. I’m hours past dinner now. 

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June 12, 2026 · 11:51

Roll the drums

That is the setting, but what of the drums? Are they peace drums, or are they war drums. That remains to be seen, as ABC gave us an hour ago ‘Iran war live updates: Iran says no final decision made as Trump claims ‘great settlement’ reached’ and it comes with the weirdest of settings. At present I take the word of Iran above that of the United States and as far as I can tell, this is the first time that this ever happens, but since the war began on February 28, the US president has claimed Iran was very close to making a deal at least 38 times and that story become stale very very quickly. But ABC gives us “Iran’s foreign ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said a final decision had yet not been made on a possible peace agreement with the US, according to state media.” In addition we get the umpteenth time that “Earlier Trump cancelled planned strikes on Iran citing “discussions and final points” with Iran, after threatening to hit the Islamic Republic “very hard”. ” It comes across like a broken record and After yesterdays story (a mere 20 hours ago) where I showed that I could have gotten results for less then $250M (a likely  exaggerated amount), but against the $26,000,000,000 that the United States used, I am doing fine and I gave the IP to Saudi Arabia and the UAE. So I also sound like a broken record, but it comes over like “What a savings you’ll make” and optionally with the least amount of casualties, so whilst CNN gives estimates us “Precision bombs, believed to be US-made, struck drinking water storage facilities in the Bemani district of southern Iran near the Strait of Hormuz. The attack destroyed vital water tanks, severing the drinking water supply for approximately 20,000 residents in the area”, I merely scuttled their harbours and railways. Seems like a simple equation and no pussyfooting. I am also setting a rather large stage towards downing all 10 refineries and that comes at the expense of DJI technology. I reckon that the Chinese have more advanced solutions, but I don’t have that kind of access. I can trot towards President Xi and ask his for the keys to the Chinese DARPA, but I might get a paid vacation in A prison called Ching Ching (presumed name) and that is not what I am hoping for in the twilight of my life. So, I have to get connect software makers with DJI drone technology. 

But it gave me a few options to consider, what can you get from a drone with C4 and drones armed with Claymores? It is merely the setting of accurate photo’s and one eager drone pilot who will get the connection of a dozen drones and that 10 times, or perhaps 10 drone operators all getting their target and all getting hit at the same time. I don’t think the second is really valid as the distances are too far set, but the intricacies that one drone could deliver a package and that package are the drones, whilst that other drone comes back (a General Atomics MQ-1 Predator) the package is deployed and when it strikes, the packaging is destroyed, to leave close to no evidence behind. Whilst the refinery gets shown its fireworks, we need to see that their could be done 10 times and whilst this comes at the same time that the Railways and harbours are hit, the IRGC has no clue where to look, because this might be a novel way to deploy Time on target (TOT) and it is not artillery that does it, but a Asymmetric warfare setting and Iran is not overwhelmed by technology, but by activities all at the same time. So whilst the IRGC is licking its wounds, it has to ascertain what was hit and how and now they have their own version of horror to look at. 

All this was available to President Trump from day one, so it could have ended in March, but here we are in June (12th) and still no resolution. For the most I do not care, but the attacks on Civilian targets in Saudi Arabia and the UAE got my irritation up and now I am getting into the mindset of the destruction of Iran, they were always evil, but the attacks on civilian targets was one step too many. And there is no proxy wart here, as such I wonder what General Qasem Soleimani would have thought of its own Iran doing something like this, because as I see it, there is no way out of this and at present it is only facing the United States and Israel, but when the gulf states unite, it will end rather quickly for Iran, but that is the steps they took.

So, whilst I was looking at the Persian Gulf Star Oil Company, which is supposed to be open for business 24 hours a day, the idea that a new gas condensate refinery being developed near Bandar Abbas, Iran and it becomes inoperative whilst it gives way to a processing capacity of roughly 360,000 barrels of gas condensate. And I say there is nothing like a fire that is fueling itself and gas condensate is extremely flammable, making a dozen drones an optional fire hazard all over the place. The weird part is that I can see this, so why didn’t the United States? Don’t they have this boffin collector (named DARPA) I can see a few easy settings from an approach towards a simple placement of C4 and Claymore variants on key points at that place the stage is not as simple as blowing up the storage places, but this is a place where we could optionally insert one drone that is the hacking tool for remote access and the others do their ‘boom boom bye bye’ routine. Now, I am not saying it is this easy, but as I see it, these places have thwarted safety regulations for years and that is the entry point to a lot of this, so whilst we might see all kinds of long term options, there is a lot I don’t know (never had to anyway).

So whist we see exhausts, I wonder as these were designed before drones were a thing, what happens when you get a drone to do its kamikaze thing into the exhaust and blow up what can be blown up? And whilst we see pipes, the question becomes, what was in there? Consider a drone with a C4 brick, right on top of several lines, would that do the trick? And don’t forget that all these 360,000 barrels of gas condensate a day goes through pipelines before it gets to the storage (which is likely a lot more protected), but these pipes still could blow up and release all that condensate in the air and area where they can burn for as much as it likes. Burning their 360,000 barrels of gas condensate a day in mere hours. And whilst we think that blowing it all up is required, these storage tanks might be susceptible to acidic solutions a lot more easily, because that is not likely to have been a protection setting for the PGSOC and that is all required reading before you waste $26,000,000,000 on blowing something up to the stone age. A bomb run might cost the US a B-2 stealth bombers, each valued at approximately $2.1bn, whilst a DJI drone is $5000 (at the most) and equipping it with Aqua Regia and from that on storage containers, the best setting is to set to the middle side of these storage containers and if a leak is created, set it aflame that the gas will do the rest. The middle side is essential not to get spotted by some eager beaver walking past and when that is done to a few containers, the additional brick that the drone has can finish the rest off. 

I have no idea what Aqua Regia costs, but I am willing to be it is at most a few thousand dollars, making the $2.1Bn a joke to say the least. So whilst we look into hobbling Iran, we need to see what was open and that is where the stage of ‘so called’ delay tactics don’t hold water. We have seen too much of that and it is time to show Saudi Arabia and the UAE (and others) that we take these attacks on them seriously. And that was merely one refinery and when you consider that others are optionally a lot easier to hit, the stage evolves from ‘Iran says no decision on peace deal’ into ‘Iran says a decision on peace deal becomes essential’ and that is where we were supposed to be heading in the first place, I merely got there within a week, whilst President Trump made 38 claims in 3 months and no results. So I reckon I am ahead of the pack for a while.

Some will claim that my solution is no solution and that that damage can be repaired. I do not think it is that easy. That refinery will be closed for some time (especially if the storage tanks are hit) but they are correct, the damage can be repaired, what was my setting is that whatever is stored is burned and that is direct loss and 10 times this makes for a pauper Iran and not a dollar (or Yuan) in sight. So whilst some will see that the damage can be repaired, having to do so a few tines makes for tremendous losses for Iran, not to mention that these repairs can only start when the fires are stopped and that is likely to be the larger problem for Iran, we saw some of that in Hellfighters (1968) with John Wayne and Jim Hutton (Ellery Queen) where fires are hard to stop when hot metal is involved and all these pipes will get pretty hot in seconds. As such several avenues towards scuttling the Iranian economy is open for consideration, should my IP be used for stopping the harbors and railways, the damage merely increases, because it stops aid coming to these places as well.

Well that is my few cents on the setting. I reckon that we are likely to see a few more days of ‘no decision on peace deal’ before President Trump finally has been played the fool enough times to take another job at Iran, in the mean time I will look into the equipment National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), National Iranian South Oil Company (NISOC), Iranian Offshore Oil Company (IOOC), Iranian Central Oilfields Company (ICOFC) and National Iranian Oil Refining and Distribution Company (NIORDC) have and how we can make their incomes scuttle towards zero. That should attend Iran to a quick resolution towards ending their attacks on Saudi Arabia and the UAE, but then I might be overly optimistic on all things and on the other side, I have been accused towards oversimplifying problems wherever I saw them. 

So whilst some roll their drums, I have always been a supporter of the drums of resolution, because that is where we see real progress and whenever others hear those drums, the tend not to have too much to offer in return. So yes, I tend to oversimplify things at times.

Have a great day, It is almost Friday lunch time for me.

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