Tag Archives: President Trump

August 20, 2026 · 23:58

Where is the win?

That is where I find myself. Apart from some noise that I am getting that I am an ‘alarmist’, which is fair. People do not see what I see and they are (massively) over the moon that everything will be OK with the US of A. I do not share that vision, but it is fair that they have their views. I get the alarmist setting, yet I feel that I am correct. So when the debts get any bigger, what do you think will happen? The USA has not been able to keep any budget and that was before the interest payments had become this high. On October 4th 2021 I wrote “Utter Insanity” (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2021/10/04/utter-insanity/) where I iterated that the debt was 17 trillion in 2013, America more than doubled that in a decade. It is now 40 trillion, the interest as I see it also doubled and that is the killer in all this. So whilst people think that I am an alarmist regarding the Civil War. What do you think will happen as the interest gnaws on whatever the USA falls in revenue each year. In fiscal year 2025, the U.S. federal government collected $5.26 trillion in total revenue. Now consider that 22% of all that revenue goes to paying the interest of the debt. And they cannot budget at present (or for the last decade), so the debt is only getting worse. So (to be safe) as per October 2026 the budgets will need to be set back by at least 30%, one third less for infrastructure, 30% less for social services and 30% less for whatever payments are going out. It will decrease the USA into a third world nation as I see it. And as I see it, this administration is only making it worse, because as others are rejecting ‘these American values’ (Tariffs for one) there is highly likely an uprising on its way, because Americans don’t have a real luxury sandwich at present and it will get worse. A lot worse. So as I personally see it, it is a civil war in the making and as we see the news on so many issues (the reflecting pool as one example) a setting that gives an estimated $16 million and that is before all the repairs are done. So if people lose 30% of what they were able to collect and these issues keep on coming up, the resentment and animosity are merely increasing. Then we get the price of gas and a few other things, so the people are losing what they had and prices are higher overall. And this is on this administration. So the purview of a incoming civil war in not without foreseen cause. Do I like it? No, I don’t but unlike the media, I merely care about the facts and all this is adding up to a sliding ramp straight down into an abyss. 

And the rejection of other nations on what this administration has done is very real and the entire Iran setting is pushing all the other nations too and they are all looking for a safe way out, because America is no longer a trustworthy partner, especially as North Korea is heralded as whatever they want to call this. So then we see the False AI up to all kinds of settings and we could blame all kinds of people in all this, but the reality is that what is called AI is merely fake AI and there are more and more voices (and a lot higher educated than me) calling what some call as AI as unreal and fake. So this ‘golden age’ will be at least a decade away, but I think it is more like 2 decades. All whilst Microsoft reported that over 80% of Fortune 500 companies use active AI agents and expecting widespread industry adoption to reach 1.3 billion agents globally by 2028. Really? Where will they get the power? At present the USA is facing brownouts. The US statistics reported that over 12 months one in four households faces a brownout. So where is the energy coming from, because these servers require massive amounts of energy. So when you see these elements of revenue, energy and abilities all whilst reduced manpower is required. So as we are given “AI agents are increasingly linked to corporate job cuts, and in a recent viral experiment, an AI agent manager even recommended firing a human worker.” Yet this is not the end of the story, there is also a backlash “Studies show a high rate of employer regret after cutting staff for AI, with many companies lacking ready systems or rehiring humans later under different titles” as such there are several issues from this setting. The costings that these firms had on less costs, is now becoming a more troubled setting because their costs are becoming a lot higher. This implies (I am very driven to imply here) that people are hired at less pay, and I get that this is the setting they face, but that also makes the cost of living a lot higher and a less rewarding life comes from that. How far this implicated life gets to is anyones guess and I reckon that this will change the lifestyle of many people, fueling distrust and discomfort on that setting. As I see it, the USA will face a serious chance in life styles. What was ‘advertised’ in life style magazines in 2023 will no longer be a reality, not for at least a decade for most people and that fuels the resentment and optionally louder shouts towards what I call a ‘civil war’ and there is corroborating evidence to that. “Nearly 46% to 62% of U.S. households (representing roughly 90 million adults) struggle to make ends meet and cover basic expenses like housing, food, and healthcare. This financial strain extends well past traditional poverty definitions, deeply impacting the American middle class” (source: Brookings), so is my view on this impending civil war so far fetched? These 90 million are likely to double when the 30% limits are pressed on nearly everyone, optionally as early as Quarter 2 2027. So as these facts rolled over my eyelids, I saw the puzzles are they became interconnected. Which I described as connected clusters, what some call cliquing, a subset of clusters where every single cluster is directly connected to every other cluster in the collection. There is no real science for this, but anyone in Market Research, Data Analyses and Data Parsing can recognise this effect and issues like gas prices and grocery prices will hit all these clusters at the same time. So when we get that, and we get that tourism goes out of the USA (for reasons will written a few times over) and others are also trying to make ends meet and that resolves around more and more competition and as the debt is strangling the resources this will be making matters worse. 

You merely need to see the different sides on that same stage but for different countries and you see that things are not looking good for the USA. So as I see it, there is no win, not for anyone and whilst the Guardian was giving us “Donald Trump amassed an unprecedented financial windfall during his return to the White House, reporting over $2.2 billion in revenue in 2025 alone, more than triple his earnings from the previous year. The vast majority of these personal financial gains stemmed from cryptocurrency ventures, digital assets, and branded merchandise, drawing severe criticism and ethics concerns from watchdogs and lawmakers regarding conflicts of interest”, so when you see this and the rest of the population minus perhaps 50,000 and they all lose 30% of what they were entitled to and whilst infrastructure will collapse in several places, resentment will grow. How far it will grow is anyones guess. But I feel decently certain that crime statistics will spike soon enough and that will give another resentment, because at 30% less, there will be less police, less first responders as well and as I see it, it will be bad news on top of bad news on top of bad news. So I think I showed here a few part of what I saw all along. But I feel it was essential to do this. I don’t mind being called an alarmist, it might be fair, but I saw data that merely gave me this inkling of a possible reality. 

Time will tell if I was right or wrong, but the larger picture is that the media never got to this point. Why not? Were they not supposed to inform us of the dangers that were coming our way? Because these negative points might impact Americans first, but we are all headed for more stringent settings. The EU and the commonwealth as well. I merely need to find a way out anywhere where I could make a decent penny. Have a great day all and try to enjoy a nice cup of coffee today.

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August 20, 2026 · 10:11

The outstanding question

That is where I man at present. And there is little evidence at present. Trump sycophants are hiding the truth from all of us. And we need to be careful, not for their sake, but for ours. When this comes to blow and it will, whatever we put in place now is going to be elementary in our survival ad I am not making some grand gesture or some empty veiled threat. This is due on us all. To set out survival in better terms The Commonwealth nations need to stand with Canada, it is a first setting and this might already be happening, but it is not an outspoken setting. The people need to know that we all stand with Canada. To set this in some reality you might understand. Some professor in Chicago stated “The United States is heading towards the greatest political defeat in Iran in history” he compared the setting in Iran towards the setting that Lyndon Johnson faced in Vietnam. The ramifications will be on all of us. But there is a way out. You see, when the Commonwealth nations, the EU and the gulf states combine forces we are decently isolated from the implosion that will come to the United States. I have said this before several time over the last decade. But this is not enough, there is a question that both the Commonwealth and the EU must entertain. A the EU is likely having to deal with Russian elements and Canada with the United States, we need extra insulation and it is my believe that China will be a strong insulator. Their technology and innovation will find its way (and to some degree already is to the Gulf States) but to ad the EU and the Commonwealth is a primary setting. So whilst the United States, Russia and Iran fight out what their best chances are, they can get to each others throats. I reckon that in this state Russia might now attack the United States as it needs a victory to hold over its people and the apple of the United States will be the sweetest victory, it is totally hollow but that is what it might take. 

So whilst the United States is burdened with $40,000,000,000,000 debt and an annual interest of over a trillion dollars, the United States will end up having less and less year after year and when the money is gone and when the social services it did have are depleted we will see a civil war erupt na dit will not be photographed by Kirsten Dunst. I reckon that the billionaires in the United States will evade towards Monaco and the UAE, but that is a mere presumption in this. These original captains of industry will walk away and optionally set their new headquarters in both the EU and the UAE. They all sever ties with the United States and will offer jobs in these two locations to the chosen few. At that point it will become a open shooting range Americans in Mexico and that wall was meant to keep people out, not in, so it will be a decent folly to see how that wall will matter. In the north, Canada will see an incursion of all kind of Americans and some will be granted access, but they will be few, the rest will end up fending for itself in the US of A. America was always heading for this, but as I see it President Trump escalated this by a lot. So, soon we will see the media taking a break from click baiting and giving us the real deal, but as I see it, it is already too late. So whilst Saudi Arabia and the UAE will see their media empires grown into the EU and Commonwealth more revenue will be lost to the USA. So whilst some give that there is a twinkle of hope, I actually do not see it. The American media was all about streaming membership and whilst some might have considered that, 2027 is when this ends and whilst these people would now thrown whatever it had to physical media (Disney, Amazon prime and to a lesser degree Netflix) there is a larger audience reacting that setting and there is an opening for the Streaming gulf states. This is a mere fraction, but the entire bill that is the United States is set towards fractions and whilst by themselves they seem small these fractions have intersections pulling others into this mess and overall it becomes a massive bill no longer being received from any of them. I used to say “Clusters are nice until they unite though other means”, it is a set of data and market research settings that only seemingly makes sense to people in that quarter. And we are about to see how that equates to real life (as I personally see it). So whilst I had an idea of what President Trump was aiming for when I sort of quoted “In confusion there is profit”, the opposing setting is that outspoken alliances are the way to stop this and as a Commonwealthian I say stand with Canada now, and outspoken so. Just as we took the voice to support Greenland. So as we show that we deny the United States anything they have no business in owning, we also reject the Russian grounds we see evolve and stand by the Ukraine in all this. With the Gulf States we are over 50% of the population and it stand to reason (for several reasons) to stand shoulder to shoulder with China, but that is a personal view I reckon that the Commonwealth and the EU needs to see where they go. Yet as I see it, China offers insulation for the USA and Russia all at the same time. So whilst the USA is getting chummy with North Korea, they will seen see that North Korea only cares for North Korea, as such the United States is likely to become a target for the newly grouped Russian puppets, but that is merely my view and I could be wrong. 

But overall, I have been right a whole lot more than I was wrong and I have over 4100 articles in this blog stating these views, I have corroborating evidence. 

So the outstanding question becomes where do you stand? I get that you might stand with the United States, just be clear on what that future has in mind and whilst more and more see that the ‘Golden age of AI’ is not coming any day soon, no matter what they say. You need to see where you might want to consider your path to personal happiness takes you, because that is still the number one setting we all adhere to. You see, that golden age comes with costs “The economic costs of artificial intelligence encompass massive infrastructure investments, soaring energy demands, and complex labor market shifts where running specialized AI agents can rival or exceed the cost of human work” and as I see it, the United States can no longer afford to foot that bill. So whilst we see “Microsoft projects global enterprise deployment figures to scale toward 1.3 billion agents” and now the small realistic setting, What happens when the power issues erupt? Because that is merely a year away and these agents cannot work without power and a person can mildly survive without a fan and a fridge. Did anyone consider that? So how many servers does it take to ‘fuel’ 1,300,000,000 AI agents? So when the brownout comes where does that revenue end? So as we see that localized power disruptions and blackouts affect tens of millions of Americans annually. What happens then? So, as the U.S. Census Bureau show that roughly 1 in 4 households gets a brownout every 12 months. What happens when your power requirements aren’t met? Wouldn’t a salesperson or a customer care person have been a better way? All these clustered settings and they meet in several ways and now the drop in revenue come very real and still, every year the over 1 trillion in interest payments are due. 

So you tell me, why didn’t the media give you this? Because there are plenty of people more clever than me, so why didn’t they inform you? I know of a few people who did, but I got there earlier. So, what stopped them? Have a great day all. I am on route to kill me a few Uruk Hai culprits this morning.

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August 18, 2026 · 20:52

What is the path of a coward?

That is what I am settled with, because that might be me. I personally don’t think so, but the settings we see is that there is too much rumble on the ether. They all have something to say and some of them speak a lot but do not say anything at all. We are in the setting that everyone is looking for someone to blame and the United States even more so. The guardian gave us less than 24 hours ago ‘Donald Trump threatens to bomb Oman if it ‘gets in the way’ of ending Iran war’ The USA is panicking as I see it. A simple run on oil is now almost 6 months. The USA spend $37.5 billion over a war that could be seen as unconstitutional and now they are about to lose whatever they had in the Middle East. Now we see another ‘exaggeration’ by President Trump. In June he stated ‘Iran war updates: US and Iran sign memorandum to end war within 60 days — as it happened’, it has now been 60 days, so where is that memorandum? So, only 11 hour ago we are given (source: Canberra Times) ‘Iran says it will escalate if US does not honour deal’ and after that the BBC gave us ‘Why has Trump shifted on North Korea?’, where we see “President Donald Trump has said that the US will “substantially reduce” joint military exercises with South Korea, citing his “very good relationship” with North Korea’s leader Kim Jong Un.” So some now refer to President Trump as the anti-Christ, I merely think he is the false prophet, drowning the world in chaos, because in chaos other parties get to profit and that is what President Trump is out for, the United States are done for, the $40 trillion debt is too much and I saw that coming over a decade ago. But President Trump is hoping that if the middle East explodes (thanks to Iran) because that is now the greatest threat to the United States. With the Middle East, China gets to win and that is not what the United States wants. The end of Wall Street is coming and it was foreseen by several parties, but if the chaos erupts, the United States get to play a little longer at the expense of the EU and anyone else that is threatening. Russia in no longer a threat, the Ukraine took care of that. The EU is too deep in debt, because that was the setting that the United States always banked on and so is Japan. The Middle East (mainly Saudi Arabia and the UAE) could bank with China and create a total new world order and they will be the foundational stones of BRICS. This is what the United States is seemingly hoping for. Am I right? I think so, but I have no evidence, I can merely postulate this speculation. And me? I rather add more on additional sides of ‘What happened to Junior Sandiego?’ And I am adding at least three sides to this and I have a few ideas on another setting, but that is merely for the eyes of Broderbund. And I have an additional edge to give to them as well. A simple setting of aggregating games and matching abilities on the setting of other games and as far as I can tell there is no IP protection if I set the parameters right. A massive win for gamers all over the world, that is if the insanity of President Trump is allowed to continue, if not, there will be millions of gamers less. So is my setting correct? I think President Trump showed his hand when he started to mention “his “very good relationship” with North Korea’s leader Kim Jong Un.” That was when I figured it out. The United States could only continue if the world is on fire and besides the actual flames, it could not set a match to the Middle East that he left to Iran, he merely had to get Israel to attack Iran with them. And these attacks were a waste of time, I already showed that months ago a more fruitful setting could be given by eradicating the facilities that process oil and they only in part did that, that is what 37 billion got there a partial victory and a complete failure. And I was stumped with my decreased military knowledge (I left the service 44 years ago) and I was stumped, I am nowhere near the Pentagon in knowledge, so how did I know more? Get better results, saw a better strategy? But then President Trump gave the North Korea setting and at that point I figured it out. And the knowledge that power once given can never be receded. The Ancient Romans gave us “Ancient Roman reflections on receding power focused on moral decay, internal corruption, overextension, and the inevitable cycle of rise and fall that follows imperial dominance” that was 2000 years ago and we haven’t learned anything (well almost that little) And my setting is that I tire of this and I much rather work on the design of a new and improved video game than being the person that talks a lot (or writes a lot) and say nothing. Which is where we are now. So sink my ideas, but I reckon that plenty of people are arriving at the setting I am now, President Trump showed his hand with the Kim Jong Un variable and now there are several element in the world are aware of the Chaos setting that President Trump is seemingly unceasing on us all. First Canada, then Greenland, then Venezuela, then Iran and now Korea (North and South) and the media is seemingly all wiling to stuck their heads in the sand as I see it, I am clever, really clever but I am not that clever and others would have found the same I did. So in the last 10 hours, did anyone give you this? Even in a speculative form? I am wondering who got there when I did, but the racking of culprits on that same setting is near absolute zero. So are they the cowards, or am I the coward for thinking that hiding my head in creating a new video game is the act of cowardice? I don’t know but there is a weird game going on and the United States in the thick and the middle of it all, but that is merely my view on the situation. 

So have a great day and I hope to hand the new game (optionally) to Broderbund at some point, if we live that long.

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August 14, 2026 · 04:52

The nameless price of tariff 

That is the setting as I see it, beside the economic sides that apparently tariff never ever work in your favour, unless you have something the others do not, it is doomed for failure. So when I took notice of CBC’s ‘LeBlanc, U.S. counterpart meeting again after Canada displeased with latest tariff offer’ (at https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trade-tariff-talks-canada-us-canada-dominic-leblanc-jamieson-greer-9.7305811) where we see “The two sides have ramped up discussions since Trump threatened to impose 50 per cent duties on hundreds of Canadian goods, on top of sectoral tariffs already in place. Those tariffs are slated to come into effect Aug. 19.” And it makes me wonder if Canada really needs the United States. In my (massively limited) economic knowledge there is another side to all this. Could Canada switch what the United States need by selling that to other Commonwealth Nations, with optional sides sold to the EU and Japan? And add to that to deny the United States access to power and water? Because that is the mess that the United States is calling over themselves. Consider what mess the United States gets when power is denied to New York State, Minnesota and Michigan when it runs out of power before August 31st. What will the United States do then? And it is not the first time we hear that, because Premier of Ontario Doug Ford gave that option in March 2025 and perhaps he has the right notion, so whilst power is either shutdown or tariffed at 50% (I am of the mind that it should get an additional 50% surcharge on the 50% return tariff making it 75%) I reckon that the population of the United States will not be happy with their power prices getting close to doubled and I reckon that winter in the United States will massively suck at that point.

But these are not all the marbles as I see them. You see, FirstPost gave us mere hours ago ‘US flags India, EU, Canada among 40+ countries at risk of helping China evade Trump’s tariffs’ where we see “The Trump administration has identified more than 40 economies as potential transshipment risks and plans to use artificial intelligence to detect goods allegedly rerouted through third countries to avoid US tariffs.” (at https://www.firstpost.com/world/us-flags-india-eu-canada-among-40-countries-at-risk-of-helping-china-evade-trumps-tariffs-14038042.html), so as I see it, was my idea to sell to each other whilst shipments to the United States are set to zero? Let them sort its out themselves. No power, no goods and no services, all whilst we are already stomping down on the Cloud Act. Implying that the United States could never survive becoming 100% self sufficient and whilst these MAGA buffoons are show a realistic view on what happens when their big beautiful bankruptcy comes calling. So whilst Argentina and Bangladesh are ramping up trade using the Chinese Yuan, more will follow and the end of the dollar as the one global currency, so as we see nations selecting bilateral trade and foreign reserves to bypass the U.S. dollar we see a pool of nations that are considering this too. So whilst American bankers are dead scared of this and trying all kinds of channels and YouTube influencers making waves through statements like “No, the Chinese yuan is not going to replace the U.S. dollar as the world’s primary reserve currency anytime soon” and here is the real news. Five nations are already doing this and whilst there is some truth in “China limits the free flow of money across its borders to maintain economic stability. Global central banks cannot hold large reserves of a currency that is not fully and freely convertible” it only takes one Beijing meeting to open that door to one central point like the European Central Bank and that would open up the Yuan to the 27 member nations (they would have to go through the European Central Bank) but that is the next phase to this caper and it is only one meeting away from becoming a reality and that is what Wall Street fears, because the dollar would get devaluated from a near one on one to the Euro, to a setting it faces when it becomes a yen setting where 185 dollars gets you one euro and the American administration did this to its own population. So is this realistic? 

Well, that is the question, because I raised this to a degree in my story which I wrote on December 17th 2025 in ‘The neighbors have coffee’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/12/17/the-neighbors-have-coffee/) and you’ll have to read between the lines to see this. So as I see it, the United States is making the most serious enemies out there and Canada will be given options, because we like the economic splendour of Mark Carney (a bank governor turned Prime Minister) a lot more than we do the bully of the White House. And nations are voicing this much more clearly now. So when we consider the FirstPost setting of “Navarro said the White House is working with US Customs and Border Protection on an AI-enabled system designed to identify potentially rerouted shipments. The proposed technology would analyse information including shipping records, cargo routes and historical routing patterns to determine whether goods entering the US may have been transshipped.” And the hidden setting applies here. There is no AI, there is mere Machine Language and it is powerful, but it requires data and when others start evading the United States and merely deal with others, that system becomes useless almost immediately. We have no need to supply shipment papers to someone we’re not shipping to. That is the flaw in their thinking. That is the other side of transshipping, it allows for shipping to another nation all together. So, whilst harbour locations lose revenue and incomes, power is redirected to other locations, that formerly know as a big beautiful country is now becoming hollow, empty and that leaves Wall Street with nothing and a massively devaluated dollar. 

That is the setting some fought against, but there came to President of the United States opening his mouth again and the world seemingly has had enough. And I get that this is mere the darkest nightmare in doom speak, but consider how many of these points are out there? What is to happen when some of these people actually start what they considered in the past? What happens when the Commonwealth selects its brother (Canada) over the United States? We always relied on the United States when it was there, but we can no longer do that. It has a debt of 40 trillion now, it has a depleted and warped sense of military power and while we take these two in consideration, the United States with its BS tariff setting in now no longer the preferred ‘friend’ because that is what they are, a not so welcome acquaintance at a dinner party. That guest sitting down in any place is then regarded the loser table. And that is the reality of it all. The United States are no longer the highly regarded party in any given stage, Canada is and several nations see that. 

So whilst we see (in the CBC article) “The Americans are also seeking a deal that would see preferential access to Canadian critical minerals and which covers security and energy, the sources said.” They gave away their achilles heel. They need the critical minerals and energy, which is exactly what we can deny them. Their mention of security is merely a dose of Sweet ’n Low, but that is also the dangerous setting because the sweeteners of the United States are set to potential health concerns for Canada. And whilst we consider that Doug Ford is open to put American booze back on the shelf, he knows that this is merely an empty gesture, because Canadians no longer accept this as an option. So it stays on the shelf, never to be sold. 

A small but important distinction, so as we tally (a skill some American business lost, for that see yesterday’s article) the results. We need to consider that treating the United States as the pariah (a setting they used on China in 2018) is starting to take shape we also see ABC News giving us ‘100,000 sign petition to declare US ambassador to Canada persona non grata’ which is another step towards isolation. My darkest nightmare doesn’t sound so implausible anymore, does it?

Have a great day today and especially to our brothers and sisters in Canada.

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August 10, 2026 · 11:39

Moments to drink to

So, as I took notice to the settings in the CBC (at https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/us-booze-bans-canadians-9.7300293) where we see ‘U.S. booze might end up back on Canadian shelves, but have we lost the taste for it?’ Where we see “Majority of Canadians say they won’t buy American alcohol if it becomes available again, recent poll shows” and that is merely the beginning. I (as an Australian) am also shunning American drinks and I am not alone in this. Optionally a fair share of people in the UK are on that same setting. And there are options for us. I for one am a fan of French Cognac (Martel/Hennessy), Australian Rum (Bundaberg), London Gin (Bombay Sapphire) Finnish Vodka (Finlandia), Swedish Vodka (Absolut) and there is Scottish Whiskey, prettier stated Scotch (Glenfiddich), Italian Limoncello (Villa Massa) and optionally Ice Wine from British Columbia (never had it, but I am curious) and there are plenty of Wine suppliers in Australia, Germany and France to have a clear setting of shunning American alcoholic goods. If there is 1-3 ‘essential’ drinks that are unique to the United States we can avoid them and shame all the friends who will go to that venue. That is the effect of the bully tactics with his 51st state remark. So even as we are given “So when she read on Friday that Canada was prepared to lift a ban on American alcohol sales as part of its trade negotiations with the Trump administration, Anderson says she felt disappointed. “But just because it goes back on the shelves doesn’t mean that sales are going to go back to where they were. The damage has been done,” she told CBC in an interview.” As such I am willing to bet that this was an empty point in the settings of the Prime Minster (Mark Carney), because he knew how much Canadians and Commonwealthians were shunning alcoholic good from the United States. A bully tactic that is costing that industry their foothold in several nations. So his beautiful big bill of bankruptcy is coming along fine. So when I see “Support for a continued boycott of U.S. alcohol was highest in British Columbia, where 80.9 per cent of respondents said they were unlikely or somewhat unlikely to buy U.S. booze again if it’s made available. That was followed by 74.7 per cent of people in Ontario and 73.9 per cent of Quebecers who said the same, the poll found.” I merely wonder how steep the decline is in the Commonwealth as a whole. So while we see “Trump has threatened to impose 50 per cent tariffs on some Canadian goods on Aug. 19 if Canada fails to lift some retaliatory trade measures against the U.S., including the alcohol bans. Those bans date back to early last year, when several provinces removed U.S. alcohol from the shelves at their respective liquor boards in response to Trump slapping a 25-per-cent tariff on Canadian goods.” There is a larger setting because as industries are failing to make revenue, more and more brands shutdown and they can all put the blame on the Trump Administration and even as Canadians remember how Howard Lutnick was (almost crying) like a little girl, they feel no sympathy and they remember the words given to them in “U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick criticized the current version of North America’s free trade agreement on Friday, calling it a bad deal and taking aim at Canada’s trade strategy ahead of upcoming negotiations.” And as I see it, it was what there was, in light of the 51st state banter and they reacted. So whilst the Prime minister might concede to lifting that part, the population of Canada to buy it, is another matter, it could merely gather dust on the shelves, right next to the elves there who will not be called into service for another 14 weeks. As such I wonder what will be left of the America distilleries and breweries in December 2026. Let alone (I believe) that Monty Python remarked that American beers were like making love in a canoe, it was fucking close to water. As such they could resort to Canadian, German and Belgium beers and there Canada could make trade deals too. A setting that set disaster all before President trump opened his mouth and whilst we see another dump of tariffs, the legal side will prove him wrong twice again and that is the setting of another nail of defeat in the bat of midterms. It all could have been avoided with proper respect and tally the losses that the United States are currently facing. So, as the Financial times is giving us ‘Will US inflation be cool enough to trim bets on a September rate rise?’ We have to wonder what the story is with all this whilst we also see ‘Greenback drops as weak US jobs data pushes out Fed hike expectations’ and we see “The US economy lost 23,000 jobs in July, the Labor Department said, compared with economists’ expectations for an increase of 80,000 jobs, according to a Reuters poll. The US unemployment rate fell to 4.1 per cent as the labour participation rate fell to a near five-and-a-half-year low of 61.4 per cent.” I am not sure what numbers to believe, but the overall picture puts the United States in a harmful place and the danger of self harm is clearly there, so whilst we get pumped up results in one area, the setting of ‘unfair treatment’ (a cry story from Howard Lutnick) give me the shivers, because if the media to a larger extent is pushing overhyped results in one area, whilst drowning out the negative stories on the other side there is seemingly no good US economy, it is (figuratively) an economy above a sinkhole and that tend to lead to disastrous settings. As I see it, the Trump administration should have played a different game from the start and as we see ‘The US has collected about $19b of Venezuela’s oil money. Where is it?’ (Source: AFR) with “The Trump administration has collected more than $US13 billion ($18.6 billion) in revenues from Venezuelan oil sales this year, according to FT calculations, but has said almost nothing about what has happened to the money.” The sinkhole it is set above is becoming more and more distinct and there is no escaping the fallout of that event and that is before the other elements start playing out, because they will come in the worst time possible. So we could say “We’ll drink to that”, but for the 340,000,000 citizens of the United States it is not good news. As such there is a rather large issue forming and it is not tendered to by American alcohol. Merely by other nations suddenly getting a windfall coming from American insults and those people at any given time will stand with Canadians and that lesson is about to hit hard in Washington DC. 

So have a great day this day.

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August 8, 2026 · 02:10

Disaster through media

That is how I see it, it is not that they are wrong because as I see it, it fits directly in the views of a terrorist state and that directly hits towards their target. So what am I talking about? It is the article that the Guardian launched about an hour ago (at https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/07/iran-war-trump-midterm-ballot) where we see ‘Iran plots to deal Trump a blow in midterms by keeping him entangled in war’, so whilst we saw again and again that a deal was coming through soon, which I always doubted, we now see this and with “Tehran has set out a protracted negotiating timetable designed to keep Donald Trump embroiled in the Iran conflict until the midterm elections, in the hope of inflicting the same ruinous blow on his presidency as Jimmy Carter suffered over the 1979-81 US embassy hostage crisis. For many inside Iran, inflicting meaningful revenge on Trump is a legitimate and self-standing war aim, reflected in the mood of those attending the funeral of the supreme leader Ali Khamenei where demands for retribution were ubiquitous.” The move makes perfect sense and I think that this will be the case. But we also saw about hour ago (at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/7/saudi-arabia-pakistan-and-turkiye-sign-defence-deal-amid-regional-turmoil) that Al Jazeera gave us ‘Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkiye sign defence deal amid regional turmoil’ as such Iran is in a bind because these three will attack Iran if any of them is attacked. This leaves me with two thoughts. The first one (of a humorous nature) is that this might be the first time in history where Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Turkey and Israel have the same enemy, as such walking the streets of Tehran might be massively dangerous now. The other thought is that this puts the UAE standing alone and there is every chance that Iran will temper its false rage on the UAE, which is not a good thing. I feel better that I basically gave my military IP away to the UAE as well. Perhaps they can use it to sink the Iranian navy (it was a prototype, so it is not usable instantly). But this setting is now evolving, because the Guardian is also leaving us with “But the focus on the midterms became more obvious this week when the deputy foreign minister, Kazem Gharibabadi, told the official IRNA news agency that after agreeing a route for commercial shipping through the strait of Hormuz, it would take two to four months to reach the second phase of negotiations on Iran’s nuclear programme. The original plan – to commence the nuclear phase of the talks within 30 days of signing June’s memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the US – had been jettisoned by the Trump administration, Gharibabadi said. To get to that second stage, he laid out an obstacle course including the lifting of sanctions, the end of the US blockade of Iranian ports, the unfreezing of Iranian assets and new commitments on non-belligerence in a process that could last well beyond the midterms.” It also came to me yesterday as I wrote “Which beckons the setting for the midterm, because the military has its own share of democrats and when even one comes across with the actual numbers of all the stockpiles then no longer have, it is the opinion of this small, useless, humble blogger that the Midterms are set to the ‘inaccuracies’ surrounding those statements. A political deal done and it started with the actions surrounding February 28th 2026 and it wasn’t even a leap year.” (see previous article) and I wrote that story 10 hours ago, so I got to the setting of the midterms before the Guardian did, being it for different reasons. And all this gives us that either the United States uses what missiles they have to give Iran a one way ticket to the stone age, as such President Trump has a massive problem and if social media is to be believed, the setting of President Trump comes with prison time after he loses the Midterms. I have no clue if that could even be achieved, but that setting might be a disturbing one. Not for me, he has been massively nasty to Canada, so he would be getting what he deserved.

But as I see it the dangers to the UAE remains and I expect that they have no intent being the target of Iran any longer. As such I agree with the Guardian who gives us “From this perspective, the outcome of this war will not be played out on the battlefield, but at the ballot box. The agency suggested the outcome could affect the course of American domestic and foreign policy for years to come.” And we can all agree with that, because no matter how you see it, the worst case scenario is that Democrats start being nice to Iran, something that is globally unacceptable, still I have no interest looking into the mucky waters called American politics. And that reflecting pool will have its own set of disasters bound by time. So when we look at the end of the Guardian Article, we see “The bigger question is what Iran itself wants to achieve. Agreeing to keep the dispute simmering until November is not an answer to that question – one that Iranians are better at debating than resolving. Pezeshkian, working in alliance with Mohammad Ghalibaf, the chief negotiator, repeatedly says he does not want endless war, and insists that almost all the supreme national security council concur. He still has faith in the MoU, saying it should be the cornerstone of Iran’s foreign policy. But the conservative newspaper Kayhan describes the memorandum as worthless since the US always breaks its commitments. “Accordingly, officials should know that the strait of Hormuz is not a bargaining chip and should not be opened as a passage for America,” it said.”“ The only part I see happening is that price of oil will remain high and as I see it, it will not decrease nowhere near the midterms. That is a setting that the ‘speeches’ of President Trump also needs to bring him and I feel decently safe that the teleprompter will fail and President Trump will state that this was all a conspiracy theory (my turn to make a funny, Prime Minister Carney).

But the stage is not resolved, because as I see it (using the Al Jazeera article) where we see “The conflict has imperilled Saudi Arabia’s oil exports and ambitious development plans, and raises big questions about the reliability of its longstanding US security umbrella. While Turkiye and Pakistan have avoided significant direct attacks, both are anxious to calm regional conflicts that threaten their security and economies. The deal, named the “Mecca Joint Defence Agreement”, follows nearly a year of negotiations. Sealing the agreement in Mecca, the holiest site in Islam, adds symbolic heft to a pact that builds on longstanding bilateral military ties.” As such we see the this deal took the better part of a year to set, which means that this started all before the strikes on Iran started and that is good for the nations, but in that same setting it implies that they have had enough of Iran and I wrote about in on the second of June with “which was based on a 2019 idea on stopping Iran. With blocked harbours Iran becomes the isolated party others needed it to be” (in my article ‘Defeated by the timeline’) since then I added a few military IP’s to my arsenal, because we all have to remains creative at times. But it kinda shows that the UAE needs to evolve its military tactics and not always in a diplomatic way. Because the 537 ballistic missiles and 26 cruise missiles are evidence to that setting and there is a decent chance that the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain and Kuwait were all attacked in the near future and as Iran is a cowardly terrorist state, these nations will face more attacks. The “Mecca Joint Defence Agreement” are likely to keep three nations decently safe, the others might not be that lucky and that requires attention as well. And as I see it, they should not face attacks for the next 12 weeks, because Iran will suddenly play the little crying girl when the Trump danger has been settled and I don’t think that being nice to Iran is going to be an option before 2028, but that is merely me thinking and I think that enough gulf states are on the same page I am currently on. Yet this is not all, Al Jazeera raised a decent part with “Al Jazeera’s Osama Bin Javaid, reporting from the Qatari capital, Doha, said the pact “essentially puts three of the largest Muslim populations together”, marking the beginning of a “different security architecture” in the region.” It might make a large difference, but personally I would have liked that the UAE was included in that deal and with that I possibly show my complete unawareness of Muslim politics, but that might be my weakness in all of this as I am not Muslim. So to all a great day and I am (alas) still 300 minutes away from breakfast.

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August 7, 2026 · 14:49

By presidential appointment

This is a situation that happens, it usually doesn’t intent on that president making it happen against his will, but here we go. This morning I saw an article by the BBC that made me giggle. It was (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy8mjd19xm7o) where we see ‘Trump denies US weapons shortage and says information ‘leakers’ being ‘hunted down’’ So what gives? Well, first lets take a look at a few categories. You see a ‘leaker’ gives us “a person who gives secret or private information to the public or to news reporters without permission.” We then get “Whistleblower: Someone inside a government, military group, or private company who exposes hidden or illegal actions” but the most critical setting is that this person wasn’t called ‘liable’, ‘a fraud’ or a few other settings. President Trump called that person(s) was called “suspected of leaking information” the implies that the numbers might be right on. In addition we see “The U.S. has massive amounts of ‘munitions,’ especially of certain types”, so what types? We see “The US had over 3,000 Tomahawks before the Iran war” and “The stockpile could be back to 3,000 by 2031” and the chart it gives is from the Center for Strategic and International Studies. With these numbers are based on “Figures based on requests made in 2026/27 US military budget but not yet passed” this is just the numbers of the tomahawk, as stated 1000 have apparently been fired, I cannot vouch for that, but I am willing to go with these numbers and that doesn’t mean that there is a shortage, but this clambake has cause the United States to fire one third of its missiles, which is another problem. 

So then we get that “Trump posted on Thursday morning. “Additionally, large amounts are being manufactured and shipped to the US as needed.”” This is contrary to what I saw, because as we are given that the replenishment of the Tomahawk will take 6 years, that flies against the statement of the president. So then we are given “Trump and the Pentagon face mounting questions about the state of the military’s arsenal, with the war now in its sixth month and a peace deal remaining elusive. Iran responded to reports of shrinking US supplies by saying its locally produced weapons gave it the ability to respond to “any threat”.” This is funny, because the Pentagon is facing questions on its arsenal and I gave Saudi Arabia and the UAE ‘ideas’ that could do parts at 2.7% of the current cost. In addition to this I came up with one additional idea that could ‘scuttle’ its navy (including submarines) with little effort, no missiles required. Merely using the achilles heel of these forces. 

Then we get “CBS News, the BBC’s US partner, reported the US has gone through much of its global stockpile of long-range precision missiles during the war, citing two unnamed sources with direct knowledge of the subject.” As well as “Meanwhile, the Washington Post reported on Wednesday evening that Trump had confronted Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth last week over a possible weapons shortfall, also citing unnamed sources. The BBC has not confirmed the report.” Which implies that other weapons are depleted. I would gather that there is a paper trail (but I never cared for that), but there is something in all this and it is attuned by watching the words of the president and seeing how he ‘misdirects’ the setting of “large amounts are being manufactured” as I see it, it all sounds correct (and pretty dicey), but that is what 40 claims of victory gets you, you need to mull over your words because any proven lie will hurt you in the midterms (as I see it). So then we get ““The ‘leakers’ of these treasonous statements are being hunted down,” Trump said in the post on Truth Social. “Long term jail sentences will be sought!”

He directly addressed the Washington Post’s story in a later post, saying: “I really believe their fake ‘reporting’ is treasonous!”” Again we see the word ‘leaker’ which implies that the shortages are apparently real and it comes not from the ‘leaker’ but from the president of the United States. So we now see a shortage by presidential appointment, sound fair, doesn’t it? 

But then we get a difference. It is seen at “Using publicly available data, the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a national security think tank, estimated that by the end of July, the US had between 759 and 827 Patriot missiles left – about a third of the 2,330 available before the conflict began.” So did anyone ask the exact numbers of the patriot missile? We saw the Tomahawk chart, but did anyone give us the patriot chart? How many are made a day? Where are they coming from? And the Guardian last week told us ‘Ukraine war briefing: Trump says he is ‘not sure’ about letting Ukraine build Patriot missiles’, which might be fair, but if the American numbers are so depleted, seeing up a Ukrainian missile manufacturing base, optionally in the United States, United Kingdom France or Germany to let the Ukrainians get their feet wet whilst being in somewhat control of the creation of these patriot, all whilst there is a steady stream of reinforced creation of missiles. Did they not think of that? Which comes right along with “A drone factory in Kyiv destroyed by a Russian ballistic missile was owned by a US corporation, in what appears to be the first time Moscow has targeted a US company in the conflict.” As I see it, the United States is in deep waters than we think. Because it already depleted a third of their Tomahawks and a large amount of their Patriots. I would think that they needed all the help they could get, especially if they are about to face off to that bar called Russia. But that could merely be my ‘wrongful view on the matter’ and I am not a military expert (haven’t been one in over 44 years). 

So as we get “Trump told the Wall Street Journal last month: “We have far more munitions than anyone in the world, and far more than we need.”” Which beckons the setting for the midterm, because the military has its own share of democrats and when even one comes across with the actual numbers of all the stockpiles they no longer have, it is the opinion of this small, useless, humble blogger that the Midterms are set to the ‘inaccuracies’ surrounding those statements. A political deal done and it started with the actions surrounding February 28th 2026 and it wasn’t even a leap year. 

So have a gander, mull over what I saw and consider a setting where the United States will be facing of Russia with its alleged depleted amounts of ammunition. I reckon the US will need Ukrainian reserves a lot more than the other way round and that is before we realise that this will set a new marker, A war on two fronts and I thought that was last with a Frenchman named Napoleon. How did that turn out? If only one of those 40 peace deals were true it wouldn’t be that bad, but apparently it is. 

So have a great day and now it is time to get some coffee for this decrepit body of mine.

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August 4, 2026 · 00:34

Timelines of confusion

That is the setting, but before I go into this, lets recap a few articles. The first one was given to us by the Guardian (at https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/02/trump-climbs-down-on-iran-strikes-after-saudi-alarm-and-threats-from-tehran) about a day ago we were given ‘Trump backs down on Iran strikes in expectation of ‘rapidly’ reaching a deal’ with the subtext “US president claims delay is also in response to requests from Iran and other countries in the region” with in addition “The deal would include the immediate and complete reopening of the strait and “an end to Iran’s nuclear threat”, he posted. It marked the latest climbdown from extravagant threats to pound the Islamic Republic in the months-long conflict.”

After that we get (several hours ago, at https://aje.news/mcmsi9) ‘Tehran says no current talks with US, Oman meetings ongoing’ with “Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei says in regards to talks with the US, there are no plans to receive a delegation or send an Iranian one. Baghaei adds that a new Strait of Hormuz shipping route being discussed with Oman will be one path with entry and exit lanes.” As well as (at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/3/trump-says-new-iran-negotiations-starting-what-we-know) ‘Trump says new Iran negotiations starting: What we know’ where we see “United States President Donald Trump told reporters on Sunday that an agreement with Iran is imminent and new talks were set to begin on Monday. But at a news conference on Monday, an Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesman said: “We are not going to host a delegation or be guests of a country during these days.””

These setting are giving me a speculative setting and the middle east is part of all this deception (by the United States) and it is speculative, I could very well be wrong. This is however the setting that I see and it is important to tell you this, because as I see it, the media is laden with what might be seen as inaccuracies all over the place. These is no way to tell whether this is politically inclined or even if the media is given all the parts they needed to have. There is too much confusion out there. So one more source was added and I now ad this, to give it to you. It is IranWire and I don’t believe it is correct and it is debatable what is correct and what is not. But that is what Iranians optionally read and that needs to be seen too.

The article is seen (at https://iranwire.com/en/features/155759/) where we are given ‘Is Iran Preparing for War With Saudi Arabia?’ We are given “Figures close to the Islamic Republic have asserted that “Saudi Arabia is the most significant potential target.” Furthermore, the commander of the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters warned that “companions of the United States will burn in the fires of war,” calling on Muslim nations to “reconsider their cooperation with the US.” His warning is directed squarely at Riyadh, which currently finds itself confronting the Islamic Republic and its non-state proxy network across multiple geopolitical fronts, having previously participated in military strikes targeting positions inside Iran in April.”

I am hereby calling out these lies. Saudi Arabia and the UAE never assisted or acted against Iran, Iran bombed and used drones to all the Arabian states and there was no reason to do this. They were doing it for an unknown reason (I’ll get to that) as well as ““A ground assault from Iraq in the north and Yemen in the south would finish Saudi Arabia off. Aside from its air power, which would be paralysed immediately once its airfields and air bases are targeted, Saudi Arabia has nothing else. Pakistan cannot offer meaningful assistance due to the lack of a shared land border.”” This implies that Iran is guiding Houthi terrorists to do the dirty works of Iran. It also shows that Houthi terrorists are now also operating from Iraq, whether Iraqi government forces are allowing this or that they are too incompetent to counter these assaults on Saudi Arabia remains to be seen.

So this was the time line I saw and I had already mentioned a few settings in previous blogs. So here is the speculation. The United States are about to lose whatever they have and it is in THEIR interest to see stabilization gone in the Arabian states and they are using Iran to be the play toy or their needs. I cannot make any claim to evidence, but I asked in the first eeek of march why Iran was attacking the UAE more than it was Israel. Israel was aiding the United States in all this, so Iran had a reason to attack Israel. But they attacked the UAE with a lot more drones. This never made sense, because the UAE and Saudi Arabia gave no permission for the United States to attack Iran via their territories. 

In all this I was baffled in why Iran was wasting ammunition and drones on countries that weren’t attacking them. I already had a few ideas at that time, but I had no evidence of any kind. I still don’t but when you see the lines from the United States where we see “United States President Donald Trump told reporters on Sunday that an agreement with Iran is imminent and new talks were set to begin on Monday”, yet at present it is Monday 17:50 (Abu Dhabi time) and we see ‘Iran denies Trump claim that new talks will start Monday after he called off attacks’ (source: NBC). As such I have concluded that the initial thought I had yesterday when I stated “It is not enough that I succeed, all others must fail” is that what the United States is aiming for? Its biggest concern was that both Saudi Arabia and the UAE would propel forward and all these attacks on these nations have put a damper on their advances and It will take months to reset them. Is that what the United States are hoping for? But this is only possible if Iran cooperates here and Iran doesn’t like that Saudi Arabia and the UAE are making massive strides. It is possible, but it is massively speculative. I admit that and I have no evidence to support this. Now consider the clusterfuck the United States is involved in (as words go not a nice word, but it is used by the US Marines, so I grant the use of it). So as we count the settings, President Trump has claimed more than 40 times that the U.S. conflict with Iran was nearly over. All whilst I saw that Iran is still in talks with Oman about the strait of Hormuz and now Houthis both in Yemen and in Iraq are pushing for attacking ships in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. So, how exactly is all this won? I created solutions in the first week of march and it is now 6 months later. How is this in any way about a war? Why are refineries still pumping revenue for Iran? Why are distribution channels still operating? Did anyone in the pentagon (optionally ever) read the works of either Sun Tzu or General Carl von Clausewitz? If there is too much anti-China sentiments, they could have reverted to the lesser work of von Clausewitz. It becomes really simple. The timelines do not make sense. And I left my military post in 1982, so I might have unlearned a thing or two in 44 years. But I reckon that at present I know more on waging war than anyone in the Pentagon (I know, quite the statement, but that is what I see from over 40 declarations) and anyone who reads the messages should come to the same conclusion, even if you never served and your knowledge of armed forces is merely based on Stratego (a Dutch Jumbo Games board game). 

It irritates me that the media is not on top of all this, because both Saudi Arabia and the UAE are likely to be attacked again, there is no evidence of that, other that the IranWire article and the ‘text’ there is implying that actions are pending against Saudi Arabia. There is no way to hand any level of credibility there, but the chance is there and the acts that Houthi forces in Iraq are ready to act is there, the reliability of that is unknown to me. But with the settings we see, there are all kinds of issues and the fact that the media is glancing over this is too ridiculous for words.

I leave you with these thoughts. I cannot look at the US economy, because I have no idea whose data to trust. This US administration made all data debatable and suspicious. That is the reality of it all and the war sees to be playing in the cards of the United States, no matter what the cost for the United States is and that is actually a little scary. And I was not alone in this, Business Insider (at https://www.businessinsider.com/fed-interest-rates-kevin-warsh-mark-zandi-market-risk-economy-2026-8) gives us ‘A top economist says the Fed’s ‘opaque’ communication style is a serious risk to markets and the economy’ here we see ““If the Fed continues down this increasingly opaque path, a future meeting could trigger a serious market sell-off — putting the broader economy at risk,” Zandi wrote in a post on X on Sunday.” We get this from Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics. So there is corroboration, but what he sees is not what I see (I am not claiming to see more, merely different parts and when someone like him says there are issues, I would be taking notice. Apart from all this, there is nothing more to say and I will leave it up to you to to see what is and what is not.

Have a great day today and if you are in Vancouver enjoy breakfast, when you are in Toronto, get ready for lunch, in Amsterdam enjoy coffee and in Abu Dhabi get ready for dinner. This all is making me hungry now, write more later.

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August 3, 2026 · 10:43

Valid questions

After the surge I felt when I was ‘valued’ at $150,000,000 I got all happy and dreamy on the subject (that would be me) and delusional thoughts of Sergey Brin offering me $50,000,000 but he needed one small favour of me. You guessed it, he wanted Gemini to get exclusive access to my articles and he had set the premise of moving me to Google Blogger to get that done (not the worst idea) but it was not merely delusions. My brain in the background was working out other things and the dopamine that the scenario was giving me seemed to push that carrot along (there were more dreamy thoughts and the carrot in that setting makes sense). So, as I was considering an additional life in Toronto, with a long weekend trip to Quebec and the Galeries de la Capitale, my mind went on a surge. Things in the aftermath of it all doesn’t make much sense but at that moment It did. I stopped at M. Souvlaki for a pita Gyro and it all started to make sense to me when I saw the visitors card (online at the website of Galeries de la Capitale). Where we learn that “Out-of-town and international visitors are entitled to our visitor’s card which provides access to exclusive discounts at select retailers. *Visitor’s address must be 40km from Quebec City. An ID with proof of residence is required validation to obtain the visitor’s card. Some restrictions may apply.” You see, I have never ever been to Quebec, but consider the setting international (and Toronto Eaton Centre), this visitor pass could be the ticket to drive commerce in specific places and tourists are the ones who really like discount offers. Sydney (Westfield), London (Covent Garden), Netherlands (Bijenkorf) and many other places could adopt that idea of a visitors pass. It is marketing that earns itself back almost instantly. 

You see, I have no idea how I knew about the visitors pass, but there must have been a notice I saw out of the corner of my eyes. It is the only thing that makes sense. So, 8 hours ago the Economist gave us ‘What will Kevin Warsh do if America’s economy breaks?’ Because as I have seen this for a few months, it is about to break and as I see it, the Chair of the Federal Reserve of the United States will openly have to defend the stupidity of this American administration and I think he won’t be able to, as such he will be dealt the ace of spades quite quickly and it will not include a serenade by Motorhead. So, as I see it, I saw opportunity in my view, but it quickly translates to a generic economic opportunity. I reckon that malls in Saudi Arabia and the UAE are contemplating similar settings. I don’t think that places like Harrods (London) and the Dubai Mall need them, but there are all kinds of malls all around these two places that might consider getting these few steps of visibility.

And as the Telegraph (UK) gives us ‘US and Japan take action to prop up yen’ I wonder why the United States wants to do this. Is it merely to score brownie points, or are they worried that the Yen and the US dollar can now no longer counter any serious act to own the dollar? The connected news from 24/7 Wall Street is ‘The $1.2 Trillion Reason Scott Bessent Just Bought Japanese Yen’ I get the connection, but not the reason. You see president Trump is all about MAGA and America First, which is a scuttled wreck to say the least and I will be the first to look at alternative reasons, but being a non-economist I have no real chance of finding it, but anyone who wants to really know that, I would advice them to call Prime Minister Mark Carney (at +1 613-992-4793), because he would likely know. 

So whilst we are given ‘As Trump cites progress on deal to end war, Iran and Israel remain on alert’ (source: Washington Post) we are also given ‘Iran war live: Tehran says Hormuz negotiations with Oman in ‘final stages’’ (source: Al Jazeera) which leads me to the conviction that there is no deal to end the war coming and Tehran is setting the stage of more disruptions. As such the only act that makes sense is that the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (with optional help of the United States) put the pressure on the Houthi terrorists and make sure that the Bab-al-Mandab Strait remains open for business, because that will also impact Egypt and the Suez Canal. The complication is seen in Iraq as we are given ‘Yemen’s Houthis are attacking Saudi Arabia from Iraq, sources say’ (source: Reuter) and as I have given voice to better strategy from March 1st onwards (even creating new weapon systems to do so) I am left with a dangerous question. Is president Trump fueling destabilisation on the Arabian peninsula? That setting is getting more and more traction on a global level. As I have predicted (several times) the economy of the United States is done for, so the only option left is to minimize their losses and make sure others have a lot more to worry about. Is it a valid question to ask whether the United States is working from the premise “It is not enough that I succeed, all others must fail” a setting we have attributed to Genghis Khan (ca 1200) and Larry Ellison (1988) who was the head honcho at Oracle. So does my setting make sense? You only have to see the clusterfuck the Iranian war seemingly is and the effects of of spending 39 billion on trying to achieve on what I could have done with merely 1 billion and of course the ‘expedited’ dismantling of 10 refineries, closing harbours and stopping their railways. A simple setting I gave months ago and been now we see some kind of scenario, all whilst Iran is doubling down on gaining the ‘trust’ of Oman?

How weird is all that, so I fear for those who are in some kind of ‘entrusted’ setting with the American administration, because that will bite the trusted allies really quick and quite soon. As we see the BBC give us a few days ago ‘US economic growth sees surprise slowdown in second quarter’ makes me wonder as this was clearly in the cards, Is the BBC catering to another premise and need? Is that a valid question?

I leave it to you to see the numbers, the effects and the questions voiced, whilst the valid questions are not answered, not anywhere as far as I can tell (or at least not in sources that are supposed to be valid) but it might merely be me, which could be all kinds of valid, but I have been asking similar questions for months, so  don’t think its me and I handed my IP to sources that seemingly needed them, so I feel verified and sanctified (a weird setting) because it as not done out of greed, but out of the facts I see and Iran had to be stopped. And if I can clearly see that, why can’t the Pentagon see that? Unless they are facing a different war at present. I will leve that up to my readers to consider that setting.

Have a great day today.

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July 28, 2026 · 00:23

Who is to blame for wind?

This morning I saw an article, mainly the headline from the NY Post that made me furious. The headline gave us ‘Americans are choking on Canadian wildfire smoke because our neighbors refuse to do proper forest management’ with the text “On Truth Social, Trump accused Canada of “Willful Negligence” and vowed to hold the country responsible for “not properly maintaining” its forests.” So, lets recap. On January 2025, Canada send two Canadian crews, with 40 firefighters, and agency representatives arrived at NIFC that week. A fire that was allegedly set by a Jonathan Rinderknecht, age 30. The claim is that he is guilty for killing 12 people and destroying more than 6,000 buildings. The BBC reported that it became a mistrial. So, Canada has approximately 369 million hectares (which amounts to 3.69 million square kilometres) as such 24% of all the forests are concentrated in Canada. As such they an abundance have forests and maintaining that is almost impossible. And lucky for us, someone else gave a much better picture of that. It is seen (at https://cleantechnica.com/2026/07/26/trump-blames-canada-wildfire-smoke-climate/) where Clean Technica voices ‘Trump Blames Canada For Smoke From A Climate America Created’ I would be willing to accept that on face value, but the picture is larger and more distorted than that. It is not merely America, it is the combination of American, Russian and Chinese settings towards the climate conditions we now face. And it is larger than any nation. So what do the United States want to do? Blame Canada for the settings of wind? As such we see Clean Technica give us “China now emits more CO₂ annually, a comparison frequently used to divert attention from the cumulative nature of carbon dioxide. The climate influencing current wildfire conditions was not created by emissions from the latest reporting year. It was built over generations. The United States industrialized early, consumed fossil fuels on an exceptional scale, organized transport and land use around oil, and received enormous economic benefits from doing so. No individual country contributed more to the accumulated warming now affecting forests across the continent.” And as I see it, the fires in Europe (France and Spain) are the worst we have ever seen. At present the tally is set to over 300,000 displacements and CNN gives us ‘France fires may not be fully extinguished for months, authorities say’ this matter because France is merely 5.5% of Canada and it has a population of 68.7 million people compared to the population of Canada which is at present set to 41.7 million people. So the math is simple, Canada has a problem and as I see it, how much support is Canada getting? If I were younger and in a better place I would install as a volunteer. I am however in my 60s and as such more likely to be a burden than anything else and at present there are 803 active wildfires burning across Canada, according to live tracking by the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre, as such that joke called truth central is not to be taken seriously. And as someone makes claims that ““Willful Negligence” and vowed to hold the country responsible for “not properly maintaining” its forests.” As such the United States has forest maintenance and it is managed by the United States Forest Service, which cares for nearly 200 million acres of public lands. The math is giving us that the forest of Canada is about 184.5% larger and it is being maintained by a service that has to make due with a population 41.7 million people whilst the US has a population of 349.2 million, and as I see it, they aren’t doing a stellar job of it. But there is a setting of truth in all this. Clean Technica is correct that the equation is changing the climate issues are now starting to take the forefront, a setting that is clearly seen in France and Spain and as I see it, it is only getting worse over the next 2-3 years. But what is clear that European nations aren’t blaming France or Italy, and as I see it, Luxembourg and Belgium would be the first affected by the fires in Spain and France. 

No matter how we see this, most nations are in awe and in support of Canada and whilst we see this, the outbursts on Truth Social is almost guaranteeing that more and more nations are backing off from the United States and when we compare the fires between France which is a mere 4.5% of the forests that Canada has and it will take France months, there is no telling how Canada will fare with the over 800 fires it has. If there is only one upside, it is the realisation that President Trump is done for in nearly every country in the world. Whist there is clear evidence that Prime Minister Mark Carney should be given all levels of support as well as praise on the 125,000 firefighters that Canada have. The words of the President of the United States are in extremely poor taste and I feel sorry for the United States firefighters, because there is every chance that no one is willing to assist them in any future setting they face. And as we take tally of what is out there, President Trump opened up the setting that they might be seen as one of the responsible parties regarding the climate conditions we now face. As I see it, it is a simple setting of cause and effect, or as some might say “Post hoc ergo propter hoc” which means after this, therefore because of this. It amounts to the failure of “Because event Y followed event X, event Y must have been caused by event X” the reality is that this is almost never ever the case. As is the blame from someone blaming the wind on Canada, if this is ‘considered’ Canada could also consider making claims for the current climate conditions  towards the United States. I like my Irony with a dash of salt and one could argue that when sarcasm backfires, it becomes irony (the sweetest kind). 

So as we wish Canada the strength and good wishes from everyone we know. We should consider that the escalating fires are a reality of these new climate conditions. Canada would not have been enough, but add the fires of France and Spain we get a larger setting, one that might be enough to show that the climate conditions are not only manmade, we might become the source of our own undoing. And regarding the fires in France, it is the worst I have ever known them to be and France takes really good care of their wine fields, as the BBC gives us “Raging mega-wildfires in southwest France’s Gironde region have burned over 42,000 hectares, forcing more than 220,000 evacuations and advancing to within 15 kilometres of the historic wine capital of Bordeaux, threatening surrounding vineyards and wineries” I have never ever known it to be this disastrous, and I have no idea if there is a clear resolution to all of this. I can only stand in support of them and hope for the best. 

Have a great day all and be safe.

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