Tag Archives: Mark Carney

September 18, 2026 · 10:21

Reverse CandE

That is what I am postulating. The setting of Cause and Effect. It is slightly better than the butterfly effect, which makes no sense in the chaos theory as their flapping wings will not explain the volcano’s on Indonesia or the drowning buffalos in India. But cause and effect, sometimes ‘explained’ away by ‘post hoc ergo propter hoc’, which is nice, but I also support the fallacy in all this that this is assuming a causal link simply based on the order of events in time. Time is never ever a proper setting, even though it is the one part we currently cannot influence at present. But the setting of cause and effect is clear and I have been reversing this for the longest of times, so I took the effects I saw and went back to the cause that caused it. It is a flawed setting, I know that because it depends on how much data I have, just like a fake AI, it can only postulate on data it has and draws a blank when that required data is missing.

So here we get to the Guardian (at https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/sep/17/trump-calls-eu-offer-to-canada-associate-membership-laughable-threatens-tariffs) where we see ‘Trump threatens to stop trading with EU over ‘laughable’ membership offer to Canada’ and some will laugh at his delusions, but I am looking deeper than that, is this another nail in the coffin  called the United States of America? I have supporting evidence all over my blog in the last two years. You see, that president is scared like a little bunny, because he is about to piss of all the members of power in Wall Street and there is no way they will go along with this. The earlier marker which was given to us yesterday by the BBC with ‘Trump hits out at US central bank’s decision to hike interest rates’, is saw this a lot earlier when I mentioned and compared the dangers of the United States with a setting in 1923 called the hyperinflation in the Weimar Republic. You know that time when you paid 50,000 Deutsch Marks for a cup of coffee and the United States is heading in that way (if it was up to this US administration) but the setting we are looking at now is given to us by the Guardian. So when we see “US president responds as Mark Carney seeks to move closer to Europe and diversify defence ties”, so as we see the delusional settings of the United States. We really should be looking at the counter settings. As Europe will also be setting the absurd need for oil (because go the Gulf States and the Iranian/Houthi terrorist settings) Europe and the EU have optionally secured their oil needs for the near future. I reckon that once the gulf states secure the routes they need to have and by law were allowed to have, they will deal with Iran and its terrorist links in not so subtle a way. 

And as President Trump is seen like a one trick pony and his ‘solution’ to everything “The US president said that if the EU moved forward with the plan, Washington could impose “very serious tariffs or stop trading with Europe”. He added: “If it’s a good intention, that’s fine. If it’s a bad intention, we’ll put very heavy tariffs on Europe.”” But here he misjudges things. You see, no one wants to do business with the USA and when you do not deal with the USA and completely shuts it off, there is 0 trade and as such 0 tariff. And the setting for the EU and Canada are clear. Canada secures a lot more trade and perhaps not in all fields, but the oil will make up for a lot and whilst Canada secures additional trades with other Commonwealth parties, Canada will be better off and as such so will the Commonwealth and the EU. 

So then we get to the juicy steak and with “Ursula von der Leyen said: “This is a partnership not against anyone else, but for our common strength. In short, we want to bring the relationship with Canada to the highest level possible.” In response to Trump’s comments, France’s Europe minister Benjamin Haddad said on Thursday that Washington had no power to veto EU decisions.” And with this the second hurdle Is broken, as Washington never ever had powers to veto the decisions of the EU, the view of delusion is clear. So whilst there is every chance that Canada selects the Gripen, and the EU selects Canada, we see in this economy of turmoil that Wall Street will either select a new president, or be washed up. Either way works for me and I worked from the effects we see to the cause that caused it all and it is not a pretty picture, because as I see it, others have seen this too and the population of the United States will face a massively harder time as costs will rise to surpass the amounts these people can afford. As I Personally see it, it will be a lot harder than the settings of the Great Depression (aka Wall Street crash of 1929) and it will be at least twice as bad now. It will be a lot worse because the options of getting something by paying 10% is no longer possible. The banks will be broke, the corporations will be broke and this was enabled by that fake golden age of AI, Consider that the elements that we are given are:

Microsoft has committed to a massive global multi-year CapEx cycle, nearing $190 billion, to build out the data center capacity required for the AI economy. But the reverse is also seen. Data sovereignty in the EU and the commonwealth will shut them out of massive amounts of data and this is already happening, but the ‘investment’ cycle is still held in high esteem. So what happens to a data centre that has no data, or basically much too little? Now Microsoft who is valued at 3.70 trillion will not worry about that 190 billion, but the grease wheels expect return on investment and that is not coming into their books until late 2035, so what happens? Google and IBM are in a much better place, but Amazon and Oracle will shed blood and plenty of that and this will be going on until the late 2030. And all alt the US economy needs to pay poverty a trillion dollars in interest. There is no question about how great the US economy is, it is not and someone has to pay the piper. That is what I saw over two years ago with the little settings that was clear and now Wall Street will need to adjust the sails and they will sail away from President Trump, he is now a clear and present danger to the US economy. Jamie Dimon and David Kelly (the fat cats of JP Morgan) had already raised alarms in October 2025 and matters have only gone from bad to worse. The world at large is shunning the US as an ally and an economic partner. Optionally only Japan remains, but they likely have no choice in that matter.

So what are the causes for the United States? I would say delusional settings. You see, what gave the United States the idea that they could veto whatever the EU decided on? What gave them the idea that Canada would ever be a 51st state and what gave them the idea that the Gulf States would sit by whilst Washington renamed the Strait of Hormuz to the Strait of America? What possessed America to take lead in Danish territory (aka Greenland)? There are all matters that are effects of a case that is simply put that the United States is scraping the bottom of their economic barrel. They are out of funds and now basically out of time too and the midterms are about 8 weeks away and the current president is now too afraid to face the American public and they have had enough of him. The cost of their survival is about to be shown in real numbers and that is what this president fears. No matter how much he promises them for their vote, they are now seeing that he cannot afford anything, so they get nothing. Simple cause and effect.

Have a great day today and consider taking time to enjoy a decent breakfast and a coffee today.

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September 11, 2026 · 01:18

Life in turmoil

Im not sure where I stand at present. I am seeing all kind of settings. X is now following me (not are if that is real or some scammer) I get unwarranted direct messages, who apparently vanished a little later and I am seeing populist statements on all kinds of social media. Not sure what to make of it. Still getting shafted by LinkedIn/Microsoft they told me I was looked up twice last week, whilst I can see three directly and I know of two others, so 5 (I reckon more) looked me up, but that LinkedIn/Microsoft setting told me two looked me up, So is this an example of fake AI, or is this a sales technique and if it is a sales technique it is a bad one, because as I see it, there is a clear need for a Chinese version of LinkedIn. Apart from that, Google missed the pole by a mile, and whilst at least two called were lost as my phone was apparently in Do Not Disturb, all whist I have never ever used that mode. And what I had last wee I had today again. My new Google Pixel 11 now switches on WiFI all whilst I never invited it to do so (as such Sundar is basically enabling cybercrimes). As such a word of warning to Sundar Pichai (the big boss there) My Google Pixel 11, is now less functional than my Google Pixel 9 ever was. There are a few issues with my Watch 5 as well, but I am not sure if that is an app setting or if it lost functionality against my Watch 2. These guys are so into ‘innovation’ mode that the basics are passed over. I think it is disgraceful and you need to clean up your settings and soon. There is now a decent setting for Huawei to come on in and take over market share. I have been a Google phone fan for a long time (this is my third one) but at this speed I am switching to Huawei the next time around. 

So my life is a little in turmoil, because if it ain’t broke don’t fix it and I need to fix a lot at present and that is never good for my peace of mind. In addition to all this Al Jazeera gives us ‘Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia could activate defence pact, Pakistan says’ as such there is less stability coming our ways and whilst we get the Guardian giving its a few hours ago ‘Houthis seize key Yemeni port of Mocha in drive to take control of Red Sea coast’ there is now an option for Iran to resupply Houthi terrorists, as such I think there is a decent setting that the Mecca defence pact will see activation. I am happy that I gave my harbour solution to Saudi Arabia as well, as such they could shut it down completely (and leave the Iranian smugglers out of options. But the setting isn’t that Houthi terrorists got a harbour. It becomes who else is supplying these Houthi terrorists, because as I see it, the map is all wring, this cannot be a simple Iranian ploy, or at least not only. There is another player in these town aiding these terrorists. 

But what is really happening there? As I see it, there is too little and Iran cannot be in this alone, someone is ‘aiding’ the Houthi terrorists. So as I see it, the defense pact that is in place might be more important than anyone thinks and It is my believe that this pact should aid Saudi Arabia. There is a simple setting to this. The Wall Street Journal gave us ‘Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term’ less than 20 hours ago. And after President Trump has given the world that ‘he’ won that war over 66 times, there is a smallest chance that the Iran war is one the United States might lose and at that point Saudi Arabia and the rest of the gulf states might get the impact of that shown at their borders. As such the pressure needs to be removed between the Yemeni borders in the form of Houthi terrorist and this defense pact might be the solution. As I see it, Saudi Arabia cannot count on anything coming from the United States. At Present we see that President Trump is offering $5000 dollars to anyone if he winds the midterms. That could be up to 200,000,000 time $5000, which boils down to a cool trillion and I am not certain if the coffers of the United States treasury could validate this. This is beside the point whether the would be legal, because as I see it, in the Commonwealth it is illegal as it is illegal in plenty of civil law counties in Europe, but I am not versatile in US Laws, but I reckon it could be illegal there too. So what do you do with a president who advocates optional illegal acts? As such the Mecca defense agreement might be what Saudi Arabia needs to rely on at present. 

As such I am in turmoil, or at least my life is, things go wrong all over the place and the people we rely on are nowhere to be seen. I am partially appalled with the politicians in the United Kingdom and Australia to stay silent in case of the trade war between Canada and the United States. It is me personal believe that these commonwealth nations need to speak out in favour of Canada. And whilst Rolling Stone steps up their game by giving us ‘How Mark Carney became leader of the free world by standing up to Trump’, it seems that Australia and the UK remain largely silent and all along Trump gives us some news on beating up Mark Carney as a Hockey player (all whilst others give us news that unlike PM Carney, Trump cannot hold himself on the ice on skates) and Trump is giving us the entire North America, and Greenland drenched in the US flag. And there is limited news on all of this. That might be the most unsettling side of it all. As I personally see it, Carney is the PM of the entire Commonwealth as I see it and it is my personal believe that PM Carney is due a massive knighthood (Order of the Garter) from Charles III, King of the United Kingdom I reckon that he is worthy of this in the very least. So much turmoil and I am not the only one saying this, there are more that give similar views. But as I see it, the politicians in the Commonwealth remain largely quit. It is embarrassing to say the least. As such it is my delight to wave of some of that stress by slapping Sundar Pichai silly (with words) and it is the smallest of stress settings that I am seeing at present. But tomorrow (which is already now) so a few hours form now, the sun might come up and Google might fix a few things, because I paid good money ahead of schedule (my phone could have survived another year, my Google watch 2 probably not) So as I see it, stress is what we make, with additional help form the surrounding settings we see. 

So even if my life is in turmoil, I wish you all a great day.

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September 1, 2026 · 16:52

Allies? Friends?

That is what it looks like for me, where are the friends of Canada, where are its allies? The media exploits anything they can lay their fingers on for the mere setting of creating clickbait, but where is the news? There is some news and it was given to me by the BBC yesterday (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4g4r4lxx25o) the story ‘The US-Canada trade war in 5 charts’ gives me the goods, but it leaves me with a whole range of other questions. We get the first chart where we see ‘Trade war hits Ontario hardest’, which gives is a chart where we see that British Columbia is hit hardest with 13.8%, then we get Quebec with 11% and then Ontario with 9%, but Ontario being the largest population with Toronto and Ottawa and several smaller ones taking care of almost 5 million people, giving us a little over 12% to the Canadian population. But where is the outrage of Commonwealthians? Where are their allies? Who stood up for Canada? If not what is the meaning for the entire Commonwealth if they cannot rely on their friends, all for the sake of an orange joker in the form of the President of the United States? Even now the White House is giving us “In the biggest oil deal in world history, President Donald J. Trump has secured U.S. majority control of more than 65 billion barrels of proven oil reserves in Venezuela – vastly expanding our current U.S. territorial proven reserves of roughly 46 billion barrels. This deal secures our energy dominance for the next century—all at zero cost to the United States. The deal, signed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, gives the U.S. government powerful governance rights, economic ownership, and guaranteed low-cost off-take from a new private Venezuelan oil champion, which will be the second-largest private oil company by reserves in the world:” So where is that payment into the coffers of Venezuela? It only shows us that the right of the bully is the only one seemingly to count. And whilst I believe that this is the one of the final steps of a nation insolvent as ‘****’ (that stuff that makes the grass grow in Texas) and the lightly sprayed setting of “all at zero cost to the United States” so far I see AI training data bases stealing my IP at zero reward to me by allegedly (unverified) parties at Google, Anthropic, Grok and OpenAI, but zero cents in my bank accounts (let alone the minimum required setting of $25 million). So is that what the United States amount up to? Take it all and send them nothing? OK, lets also see that allegedly Sber/Yandex was also participant in getting my data at no expense to them, but that is merely the setting that Russia and the United States are both equally no good. So at which point can we see open support for Canada from Commonwealth nations like the United Kingdom, Australia, India and New Zealand? I a lacking that view, or it might be that the media isn’t willing to show that their is more than a circus of media setting whilst none off them express the old saying of “A wise man can play a fool, but a fool can’t play wise.” And we got one mortal combat styled video like that

Weirdly enough, there is no image where we see that Carney won (massively) none of those images made it into Google Search, I searched all over Google and I saw one image where the opposite is given, that is the amount of image manipulation we see. So as I see it, there is too much media acting against Canada. 

Then we get the ‘Impact of Canadian counter-tariffs on US states; Value of US exports to Canada to be affected by tariffs (in billions of C$)’ where the states are hit with return tariffs from $77 million up to $3.2 billion, and that chart looks less menacing. And the ‘added’ setting is that “According to data by the Royal Bank of Canada, the average effective US tariff rate on Canada in June was 2.9% – the lowest among major US trade partners. It has now nearly doubled to 5.7%.” Which could be true, but the setting of cost is there. So where is the outrage, where is the media giving us James Murray that he is improving import of Canadian goods, optionally replacing the United States? Where is the the Hon Don Farrell, Minister for Trade and Tourism stating that he is giving preferential treatment to his peer Canada over the United States? Because that is what a true ally does. And apparently we seemingly get nothing.

Or is that the media playing it coy with the true settings of the Commonwealth? It might be me, but that is what I see. So, whilst I understand that we are given “Bank of Canada statistics suggest that Canadian firms are exporting more to countries other than the US since Trump’s return to the White House in January 2025.” So why do we get ‘suggest’, all whilst there should be data? Just a little consideration for you readers. I get that we are given “Canada’s exports beyond the US have risen sharply since tariffs were introduced”, the chart does not show clearly that it has been reduced, only up to April 2026 ad it is now almost at the old stage, the only thing is that there is more export, if that is true the tariff should bite as much, because that would show and then there is the power and water setting. The United States is highly dependent on Canadian power. So as we are given (by someone) that “Canada supplies electricity to roughly 1.5 million homes and businesses in the United States, primarily from provinces like Ontario and Quebec to neighboring U.S. regions including Michigan, Minnesota, New York, and New England” we hear that Doug Ford (Premier of Ontario) whistles a fine tune, but where are the invoices? According to AP News, where we see: ‘Could Canada leave US cities in the dark as part of the trade war? Not likely’, so where is the return tariff hitting the United States? I merely see Venezuela hiding its tail and the AP News gives a decent response here with:

CLAIM: Canada can shut off electricity in the U.S. and cause massive blackouts.
THE FACTS: This is misleading. Canada, which provides electricity to some states, could stop the supply, according to experts, but it could not cause massive blackouts with the flick of a switch. The U.S. has enough other sources of electricity to make up for the gap, and economic impacts are more likely than a lack of power.

But the truth of the matter is that other sources give “Canada exports a significant amount of electricity to the United States, providing power to millions of American homes, though recent trade tensions have sparked political debates over these exports” as such there is the setting of AP News “U.S. has enough other sources of electricity” against some stating “Canada exports a significant amount of electricity to the United States” and apparently missions of homes are in that mix, so where is that dollar for dollar bill? I am merely asking, because I truest most of the media as little as social media. 

But in all this the lack of support I see even now in Australian supermarkets and booze shops where American goods are reduced to lower shells and Canadian goods are on the visible shelves. And why is that? Is Canada not a Commonwealth brother (or sister)? Even places where we expect to see it first (namely New Zealand) I see nothing in the media (I can’t afford to take a plane to every setting I expect to see, which requires the yanks to pay for my training data and my  bank account is below $750, so yes that has not happened. (I would casually ask Sergey Brin to look into the matter as the has two hundred and fifty thousand million in his accounts), unless Gemini is utterly innocent in the matter, which I could question. But the 2,100 an hour for several days make me wonder that and as I am not showing the naked goods of a Hollywood star and I am not that good or famous (like Nicky Minaj, or MrBeast who has over 550 million followers) takes care of that part of the equation.  

And you might wonder why I put myself in the mix, the simplest setting is that we often take care of number one first (that would be the me part) and then the rest and the rest (mainly Canada) is too much ignored and they are left to fight for themselves, which I find distasteful and utterly unacceptable as a Commonwealthian. As such these questions are raised, where is the media, where is the outrage and where are the clear supports for Canada?

I let you figure that out and consider what happens when you get the pressure from the United States (like Venezuela), I think I am already feeling the brunt of that (through my empty bank account) but as we see this happen, were should we look? It is a fir question because as I have given other (non-US) nations options. It is not assurance that others will listen, so where is the outrage where a bully gets the frontline, the media, the limelight and seemingly the revenue? So are Canadians continuing the looks on Lake America, are Mexican ships still fishing on the Gulf of America? Are oil tankers passing through the strait of America? Just simple questions that seemingly have little or no answer.

Have a great day today and Sergei, I will be keeping an eye on my bank account (actually it also means that I need to same question from Dario Amodei, Sam Altman and Elon Musk) its mean to single out little Sergey for all this.

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August 25, 2026 · 01:54

If his lips are moving

It was the first thing I considered. You see, I saw an article and it made my blood boil, but a few seconds later I was considering some of the options that this could have been enabled through ruses. So what gives?

The article that pushed me was ‘Trump says Canada wants ‘benefits’ of being US state after trade talks collapse’ (source: BBC) where we see “US President Donald Trump has said Canada wants “the benefits of being a state, without being one” after trade talks between the two countries collapsed late on Friday. The breakdown of negotiations triggered new 50% US tariffs on a range of Canadian goods. Trump also said American farmers had been charged “massive amounts of Tariffs” for years.” What I think happened is that Prime Minister Carney pulled the deal and he could have said “What is even the benefit of being in a partnership without having an actual partner?” Or something to that effect and as we see the Guardian giving us “Carney, whose willingness to stand up to Trump has made him popular in Canada, has said that “America has changed,” and that the two countries would not return to their old relationship. The Canadian public has also been incensed by US policy towards their country, particularly Trump’s comments about turning Canada into the 51st US state. A petition to expel the US ambassador to Canada, Pete Hoekstra, has collected about 248,000 signatures, accusing him of normalising the notion of the US annexing Canada.” As such we now see that a trade war is in effect between our friends in Canada and that place where idiots reside (a place between Canada and Mexico) and it is time that we openly support our brethren (sisters too) in Canada. 

And as the Guardian is also giving us ‘The lesson from Canada’s collapsed trade talks with the US: negotiation may be futile’ where we see “Breakdown shows Washington now prioritises its own interests over any semblance of shared economic ground”, which is weird as I have stated this for some time and the actions of ‘America First’ gives that same notion and the forced attempts of annexing Canada, Greenland, Venezuela and recently the claim ‘Trump says he views strait of Hormuz as ‘American territory’’ (source: the Guardian) almost 3 days ago, I’ll say that the setting of America First has taken a massive turn for the worse. And I say it is time for the leaders of the Commonwealth to come out clearly and loudly saying that they support Prime Minister Carney in every way possible. I saw options to put the screws onto President Trump by all the Commonwealth parties switching from the United States to Canada for delivery for as much as possible and if booze is so under attack through Canada (with almost 35 million people) consider what the Commonwealth could do with 2.7 billion and optional support of the EU, if we all cancel whatever booze contracts we have, the United States loses its alcohol empire, or merely sell it to the United States, which won’t hold up for long at present. And that is merely the beginning because other news (unconfirmed) is that places like Disney is in trouble. There were reports that Disney raised prices on several settings for the second time and people were ‘complaining’ that food is becoming too expensive, there were mentions that the tourists were bringing their own food and Disney had also shedded staff members and we see “Disney is executing multiple waves of layoffs in 2026, cutting hundreds to thousands of roles across major divisions like Marvel, Pixar, ESPN, and Lucasfilm as part of an ongoing cost-containment strategy” (source: Fox 4 Dallas) which implies that as tourism is in danger in the United States, things are considerably worse then I thought. The so called ‘everything is honky dory’ is a little less secure. As such the bullying tactic of President Trump makes a lot more sense now. I made several reports on the United States being almost broke and now I see that this is closer to the mark then even I considered. So when we see the quote in the Guardian “Jamieson Greer, the US trade representative, has said the US was compelled to act after a year of retaliatory measures by Canada. He told Fox & Friends Weekend: “We’ve said enough and so we’ve taken counter-measures. Our interest is in protecting American workers and protecting American supply chains.” Dan Kelly, president of the Canadian Federation of Independent Business, estimated that 40% of small Canadian exporters will be directly hit by the US tariffs, and that nearly one-third expect their revenues will drop by 50% or more as a result.” And whilst this dumbo named Greer keeps on making mention of ‘retaliatory measures’ can we please clearly define his BS by repeating that they started calling Canada the 51st state again and again and the Canadians were fed up with this and decided to shun American booze and goods. And as a Commonwealthian I fully support their actions and I believe it is mandatory for all Commonwealthians to come together and support Canada in any way we can, assistance from the EU would be appreciated in this. I think they have had enough of the bully in the White House and as such they might consider the very same settings I have considered. As tourism dies down, the economic impact on the United States goes from bad to worse. Still there is more, Al Jazeera (at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/8/22/iran-war-live-trump-says-tehran-not-ready-to-make-right-deal-to-end-war) gives us ‘Tehran says US sanctions ‘declaration of war’ on all nations’ where we see “US Energy Secretary Chris Wright has hailed the US’s oil and gas production as global energy remains strained due to disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. “American oil and gas workers have driven production to an all-time high, making the US the world’s largest producer of oil and natural gas,” said Wright in a post on X. Earlier, Wright also claimed the US military helped ship more than 15 million barrels of oil and other products out of the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday this week.” Why is this important? Because the United States was reliant on ‘cheap oil from the Middle East to offset the sales and now the United States needs this oil a lot more than ever before, as such the oil revenue is down. This American Administration is all about the good news, not the counter balance of these events and that only strengthens the others to support Canada in these times. And whilst the Irish times (at https://www.irishtimes.com/world/canada/2026/08/23/we-got-attacked-canada-to-retaliate-after-trump-imposes-50-tariffs/) gives us ‘‘We got attacked’: Canada to retaliate after Trump imposes 50% tariffs’ with the text “Canada will impose tariffs on some US goods in retaliation for 50 per cent ‌levies on Canadian products, prime minister Mark Carney said on Saturday, after trade talks collapsed between the two neighbours.

The “dollar for dollar” tariffs on imports of US steel, electronics and other products, to take effect on September 8th, mark a further worsening of relations between the long-time allies and major trading partners. The two countries failed to reach a trade deal late on Friday, with each side blaming the other for derailing three days of intensive negotiations. The breakdown complicates the future of a US-Mexico-Canada free-trade pact.” As well as “Carney is one of the few global leaders to retaliate against US tariffs ‌and has pledged to forge new trade and military alliances, despite Canada’s dependence on the United States for nearly 70 per cent of its exports.

US trade representative Jamieson Greer called the breakdown “a missed opportunity for Canada to partner with the United States,” saying no new talks were planned with Canada.

“We’re moving forward with measures that respond to Canadian retaliation,” Greer told Fox News. “They’ve always had the best deal, and they still would have an even better deal, but they didn’t want that.”” I personally believe that Jamieson Greer is the kind of person we all need to take under a magnifying glass after President Trump loses the midterms and those who went along with this charade (like Ambassador Pete Hoekstra) and in all this, I reckon that the State Department of the United States will have a sweet time getting anyone to trust them in the near future. But all this seems to point towards the biggest default in human history, because when this comes to blows, whomever trusted this president to put money in a debt that is not seeing any resolution will likely lose that money and there is a chance that they had it insured (like the setting they had in 2004) but that implies that insurance firms will lose whatever they had and this also implies that the United States is a very unwelcoming place for a long time. But not to fret, there is still the EU, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Japan and a few other places, so there are options for plenty of people and whilst the United States lose more and more, we could also redirect advertising, because that market is generating over $1 trillion a year, but in that new setting, what were the big winners named Alphabet (Google), Meta, and Amazon capture over half of all global advertising spend is now going to new places. It could still involve them but now from the Commonwealth and the EU, likely taxed to a far degree, as such I saw markets that the United States could lose, in the size setting of $300,000,000 to $450,000,000 per year, as such the United States will amazingly likely not be able to pay next year interest. And should these players allow China to inter their settings, the damage merely increases for the United States. 

So I started this with an expression “If his lips are moving, he is lying” And what gives me that setting? Well, over 100 general assertions that the U.S. defeated Iran, at least 38 claims that a final deal or resolution was imminent, and numerous intermittent assertions that the military phase ended within the initial hours or weeks of the engagement gives me the first right and the press has not been setting that premise correctly, merely sitting on the sidelines, trying to cash in on the digital dollars and that is about to go sideways in a few ways. Still, there is an option where I am wrong, but I don’t think so, the news is getting out more and more and the parties who should have intervened never did, as such there are several sides ‘overlooked’ and that is where I push the buttons, so think of this what you will and feel free to disagree with me, but wasn’t the fact that the US is so set on their booze getting imported into Canada, whilst placing limitations on Canada’s sovereign right to pursue and sign trade agreements with other international countries wasn’t a decent giveaway? When things are that outspoken, there is decent evidence that the United States is broke beyond belief and the last round bell sounded a few days ago. But that is merely my view on the matter. Have a great day and I wish Canadians all the strength that they can muster in these hard times.

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August 16, 2026 · 03:22

Wolves or Chihuahuas?

I am acting on a feeling, this happens. But the difference is that I have no economic sense (not really), It comes to a ground setting that I can get rich because I spend ;less than I earn, but not fast enough to use tax benefits as leverage to make a larger offset. I don’t know the laws on this and it doesn’t worry me. But I know data, I’ve seen it rustle for the better part of half a century and I noticed today that things are off. I have written about Oracle before, the last time just a day ago. But something seems to have changed. I wrote about vulture investors, but there that is 2-3 years away. And now I see that Oracle is at the centre of way too much press and it is diverse. It is like seeing the set up of a play that some are making and they need to press to do some of the waves and groundwork. That is what I feel, but am I right? The last one (that I think I saw) was ‘Alphabet vs. Oracle: Which Is the Better AI Stock to Own for the Next 5 Years?’ (Yahoo Finance), the article is seemingly nice, but there is an undertone in all this. First of all, why even make the comparison? They have overlapping settings in different directions and I get that you have to make a choice, but that tends to be a personal one. I am such a coward that I would try to go 50-50 on them, they are both sound good and they make an excellent setting for my portfolio. Then we also get ‘Oracle Heavily Shorted, Stock Halved—Contrarian Opportunity?’ And ‘Oracle’s $10,000 Lesson: A 38% Plunge in 12 Months Despite Record AI Backlog’ followed by ‘Oracle Stock Falls 3.8% as $40 Billion Funding Plan Tests AI Backlog’ and ‘Project Jupiter: Gas Pipeline Delay Threatens Oracle’s $165 Billion New Mexico AI Data Center’ (less than an hour ago) as I see it, it started with ‘Oracle junk bond fears, debt surge sound alarms for investors’ 23 hours ago. There are always setting that happen at the same time, but to see 6 pages of headlines in the last 24 hours and diverse, it is not that they all talk about 1 thing. It comes across that the attacks on Oracle are beginning and everyone wants to take a bite out of that data behemoth. That is what it feels like to me, someone is gunning for Oracle and I have no idea who, but someone knows. 

The problem for me is that it sounds like the wolves are coming and they might merely be chihuahuas making noises. The setting is that I am not economically savvy enough to make the distinction (I am no Mark Carney after all), but the data that I see gives me the feeling that they are wolves setting up for a yummy clambake and they are setting the table. This is the groundwork I expected to see starting around December 2027, not in the last 24 hours. I get that someone will make the point that the world never sleeps and that business is always on the menu, I get that, but to start carving into a behemoth like this, before that ‘carcass’ is well and ready means that some are showing their hands and whilst this might be a prelude to an actual attack, which means that someone is seeing the soft spot at Oracle, but is that really the case? I lack the economic savvy that I need for this. I can see the data, but that still leaves for a lot of time, these steps give me that Oracle is out of time, or at least that is the premise I notice and that is the problem. Are these chihuahuas that want to make nose to get noticed or are the wolves famished and they need (read: desire) a proper non vegetarian meal? I it just the distance that I fail to see, or is it the noise I hear and I cannot tell the difference? That is the lack of economy in me and I get that, but the data, the data is out there and I surely hope that they are merely chihuahuas, Oracle can stomp on them and shoo them towards a long walk on a short pier, but in the other case, is are we watching the prelude to boardroom tables setting up a circle setting to fight off the wolves? My data insight tells me it is too soon for that, but it requires economic savvy to tell that difference. The data is not there and whilst Oracle has a lot more data insight then I do (never be afraid to honor the biggest dog in the game), I feel that there is rustling in the shrubberies and it is time to differentiate between chihuahuas and wolves. It is not a simple difference because you top on one and shooting of the others (the rest will take a step back). One is a simple miscommunication the other  requires a license, even if it is self defence, so as I see it Oracle better get ready for whatever they plan.

The question is, what do you do when the wolves come calling early? Have a great Sunday, not in Toronto and Vancouver though, for them it is still Caturday and they are hugging their tigers (as men do).

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August 14, 2026 · 04:52

The nameless price of tariff 

That is the setting as I see it, beside the economic sides that apparently tariff never ever work in your favour, unless you have something the others do not, it is doomed for failure. So when I took notice of CBC’s ‘LeBlanc, U.S. counterpart meeting again after Canada displeased with latest tariff offer’ (at https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trade-tariff-talks-canada-us-canada-dominic-leblanc-jamieson-greer-9.7305811) where we see “The two sides have ramped up discussions since Trump threatened to impose 50 per cent duties on hundreds of Canadian goods, on top of sectoral tariffs already in place. Those tariffs are slated to come into effect Aug. 19.” And it makes me wonder if Canada really needs the United States. In my (massively limited) economic knowledge there is another side to all this. Could Canada switch what the United States need by selling that to other Commonwealth Nations, with optional sides sold to the EU and Japan? And add to that to deny the United States access to power and water? Because that is the mess that the United States is calling over themselves. Consider what mess the United States gets when power is denied to New York State, Minnesota and Michigan when it runs out of power before August 31st. What will the United States do then? And it is not the first time we hear that, because Premier of Ontario Doug Ford gave that option in March 2025 and perhaps he has the right notion, so whilst power is either shutdown or tariffed at 50% (I am of the mind that it should get an additional 50% surcharge on the 50% return tariff making it 75%) I reckon that the population of the United States will not be happy with their power prices getting close to doubled and I reckon that winter in the United States will massively suck at that point.

But these are not all the marbles as I see them. You see, FirstPost gave us mere hours ago ‘US flags India, EU, Canada among 40+ countries at risk of helping China evade Trump’s tariffs’ where we see “The Trump administration has identified more than 40 economies as potential transshipment risks and plans to use artificial intelligence to detect goods allegedly rerouted through third countries to avoid US tariffs.” (at https://www.firstpost.com/world/us-flags-india-eu-canada-among-40-countries-at-risk-of-helping-china-evade-trumps-tariffs-14038042.html), so as I see it, was my idea to sell to each other whilst shipments to the United States are set to zero? Let them sort its out themselves. No power, no goods and no services, all whilst we are already stomping down on the Cloud Act. Implying that the United States could never survive becoming 100% self sufficient and whilst these MAGA buffoons are show a realistic view on what happens when their big beautiful bankruptcy comes calling. So whilst Argentina and Bangladesh are ramping up trade using the Chinese Yuan, more will follow and the end of the dollar as the one global currency, so as we see nations selecting bilateral trade and foreign reserves to bypass the U.S. dollar we see a pool of nations that are considering this too. So whilst American bankers are dead scared of this and trying all kinds of channels and YouTube influencers making waves through statements like “No, the Chinese yuan is not going to replace the U.S. dollar as the world’s primary reserve currency anytime soon” and here is the real news. Five nations are already doing this and whilst there is some truth in “China limits the free flow of money across its borders to maintain economic stability. Global central banks cannot hold large reserves of a currency that is not fully and freely convertible” it only takes one Beijing meeting to open that door to one central point like the European Central Bank and that would open up the Yuan to the 27 member nations (they would have to go through the European Central Bank) but that is the next phase to this caper and it is only one meeting away from becoming a reality and that is what Wall Street fears, because the dollar would get devaluated from a near one on one to the Euro, to a setting it faces when it becomes a yen setting where 185 dollars gets you one euro and the American administration did this to its own population. So is this realistic? 

Well, that is the question, because I raised this to a degree in my story which I wrote on December 17th 2025 in ‘The neighbors have coffee’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/12/17/the-neighbors-have-coffee/) and you’ll have to read between the lines to see this. So as I see it, the United States is making the most serious enemies out there and Canada will be given options, because we like the economic splendour of Mark Carney (a bank governor turned Prime Minister) a lot more than we do the bully of the White House. And nations are voicing this much more clearly now. So when we consider the FirstPost setting of “Navarro said the White House is working with US Customs and Border Protection on an AI-enabled system designed to identify potentially rerouted shipments. The proposed technology would analyse information including shipping records, cargo routes and historical routing patterns to determine whether goods entering the US may have been transshipped.” And the hidden setting applies here. There is no AI, there is mere Machine Language and it is powerful, but it requires data and when others start evading the United States and merely deal with others, that system becomes useless almost immediately. We have no need to supply shipment papers to someone we’re not shipping to. That is the flaw in their thinking. That is the other side of transshipping, it allows for shipping to another nation all together. So, whilst harbour locations lose revenue and incomes, power is redirected to other locations, that formerly know as a big beautiful country is now becoming hollow, empty and that leaves Wall Street with nothing and a massively devaluated dollar. 

That is the setting some fought against, but there came to President of the United States opening his mouth again and the world seemingly has had enough. And I get that this is mere the darkest nightmare in doom speak, but consider how many of these points are out there? What is to happen when some of these people actually start what they considered in the past? What happens when the Commonwealth selects its brother (Canada) over the United States? We always relied on the United States when it was there, but we can no longer do that. It has a debt of 40 trillion now, it has a depleted and warped sense of military power and while we take these two in consideration, the United States with its BS tariff setting in now no longer the preferred ‘friend’ because that is what they are, a not so welcome acquaintance at a dinner party. That guest sitting down in any place is then regarded the loser table. And that is the reality of it all. The United States are no longer the highly regarded party in any given stage, Canada is and several nations see that. 

So whilst we see (in the CBC article) “The Americans are also seeking a deal that would see preferential access to Canadian critical minerals and which covers security and energy, the sources said.” They gave away their achilles heel. They need the critical minerals and energy, which is exactly what we can deny them. Their mention of security is merely a dose of Sweet ’n Low, but that is also the dangerous setting because the sweeteners of the United States are set to potential health concerns for Canada. And whilst we consider that Doug Ford is open to put American booze back on the shelf, he knows that this is merely an empty gesture, because Canadians no longer accept this as an option. So it stays on the shelf, never to be sold. 

A small but important distinction, so as we tally (a skill some American business lost, for that see yesterday’s article) the results. We need to consider that treating the United States as the pariah (a setting they used on China in 2018) is starting to take shape we also see ABC News giving us ‘100,000 sign petition to declare US ambassador to Canada persona non grata’ which is another step towards isolation. My darkest nightmare doesn’t sound so implausible anymore, does it?

Have a great day today and especially to our brothers and sisters in Canada.

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August 3, 2026 · 10:43

Valid questions

After the surge I felt when I was ‘valued’ at $150,000,000 I got all happy and dreamy on the subject (that would be me) and delusional thoughts of Sergey Brin offering me $50,000,000 but he needed one small favour of me. You guessed it, he wanted Gemini to get exclusive access to my articles and he had set the premise of moving me to Google Blogger to get that done (not the worst idea) but it was not merely delusions. My brain in the background was working out other things and the dopamine that the scenario was giving me seemed to push that carrot along (there were more dreamy thoughts and the carrot in that setting makes sense). So, as I was considering an additional life in Toronto, with a long weekend trip to Quebec and the Galeries de la Capitale, my mind went on a surge. Things in the aftermath of it all doesn’t make much sense but at that moment It did. I stopped at M. Souvlaki for a pita Gyro and it all started to make sense to me when I saw the visitors card (online at the website of Galeries de la Capitale). Where we learn that “Out-of-town and international visitors are entitled to our visitor’s card which provides access to exclusive discounts at select retailers. *Visitor’s address must be 40km from Quebec City. An ID with proof of residence is required validation to obtain the visitor’s card. Some restrictions may apply.” You see, I have never ever been to Quebec, but consider the setting international (and Toronto Eaton Centre), this visitor pass could be the ticket to drive commerce in specific places and tourists are the ones who really like discount offers. Sydney (Westfield), London (Covent Garden), Netherlands (Bijenkorf) and many other places could adopt that idea of a visitors pass. It is marketing that earns itself back almost instantly. 

You see, I have no idea how I knew about the visitors pass, but there must have been a notice I saw out of the corner of my eyes. It is the only thing that makes sense. So, 8 hours ago the Economist gave us ‘What will Kevin Warsh do if America’s economy breaks?’ Because as I have seen this for a few months, it is about to break and as I see it, the Chair of the Federal Reserve of the United States will openly have to defend the stupidity of this American administration and I think he won’t be able to, as such he will be dealt the ace of spades quite quickly and it will not include a serenade by Motorhead. So, as I see it, I saw opportunity in my view, but it quickly translates to a generic economic opportunity. I reckon that malls in Saudi Arabia and the UAE are contemplating similar settings. I don’t think that places like Harrods (London) and the Dubai Mall need them, but there are all kinds of malls all around these two places that might consider getting these few steps of visibility.

And as the Telegraph (UK) gives us ‘US and Japan take action to prop up yen’ I wonder why the United States wants to do this. Is it merely to score brownie points, or are they worried that the Yen and the US dollar can now no longer counter any serious act to own the dollar? The connected news from 24/7 Wall Street is ‘The $1.2 Trillion Reason Scott Bessent Just Bought Japanese Yen’ I get the connection, but not the reason. You see president Trump is all about MAGA and America First, which is a scuttled wreck to say the least and I will be the first to look at alternative reasons, but being a non-economist I have no real chance of finding it, but anyone who wants to really know that, I would advice them to call Prime Minister Mark Carney (at +1 613-992-4793), because he would likely know. 

So whilst we are given ‘As Trump cites progress on deal to end war, Iran and Israel remain on alert’ (source: Washington Post) we are also given ‘Iran war live: Tehran says Hormuz negotiations with Oman in ‘final stages’’ (source: Al Jazeera) which leads me to the conviction that there is no deal to end the war coming and Tehran is setting the stage of more disruptions. As such the only act that makes sense is that the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (with optional help of the United States) put the pressure on the Houthi terrorists and make sure that the Bab-al-Mandab Strait remains open for business, because that will also impact Egypt and the Suez Canal. The complication is seen in Iraq as we are given ‘Yemen’s Houthis are attacking Saudi Arabia from Iraq, sources say’ (source: Reuter) and as I have given voice to better strategy from March 1st onwards (even creating new weapon systems to do so) I am left with a dangerous question. Is president Trump fueling destabilisation on the Arabian peninsula? That setting is getting more and more traction on a global level. As I have predicted (several times) the economy of the United States is done for, so the only option left is to minimize their losses and make sure others have a lot more to worry about. Is it a valid question to ask whether the United States is working from the premise “It is not enough that I succeed, all others must fail” a setting we have attributed to Genghis Khan (ca 1200) and Larry Ellison (1988) who was the head honcho at Oracle. So does my setting make sense? You only have to see the clusterfuck the Iranian war seemingly is and the effects of of spending 39 billion on trying to achieve on what I could have done with merely 1 billion and of course the ‘expedited’ dismantling of 10 refineries, closing harbours and stopping their railways. A simple setting I gave months ago and been now we see some kind of scenario, all whilst Iran is doubling down on gaining the ‘trust’ of Oman?

How weird is all that, so I fear for those who are in some kind of ‘entrusted’ setting with the American administration, because that will bite the trusted allies really quick and quite soon. As we see the BBC give us a few days ago ‘US economic growth sees surprise slowdown in second quarter’ makes me wonder as this was clearly in the cards, Is the BBC catering to another premise and need? Is that a valid question?

I leave it to you to see the numbers, the effects and the questions voiced, whilst the valid questions are not answered, not anywhere as far as I can tell (or at least not in sources that are supposed to be valid) but it might merely be me, which could be all kinds of valid, but I have been asking similar questions for months, so  don’t think its me and I handed my IP to sources that seemingly needed them, so I feel verified and sanctified (a weird setting) because it as not done out of greed, but out of the facts I see and Iran had to be stopped. And if I can clearly see that, why can’t the Pentagon see that? Unless they are facing a different war at present. I will leve that up to my readers to consider that setting.

Have a great day today.

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July 28, 2026 · 00:23

Who is to blame for wind?

This morning I saw an article, mainly the headline from the NY Post that made me furious. The headline gave us ‘Americans are choking on Canadian wildfire smoke because our neighbors refuse to do proper forest management’ with the text “On Truth Social, Trump accused Canada of “Willful Negligence” and vowed to hold the country responsible for “not properly maintaining” its forests.” So, lets recap. On January 2025, Canada send two Canadian crews, with 40 firefighters, and agency representatives arrived at NIFC that week. A fire that was allegedly set by a Jonathan Rinderknecht, age 30. The claim is that he is guilty for killing 12 people and destroying more than 6,000 buildings. The BBC reported that it became a mistrial. So, Canada has approximately 369 million hectares (which amounts to 3.69 million square kilometres) as such 24% of all the forests are concentrated in Canada. As such they an abundance have forests and maintaining that is almost impossible. And lucky for us, someone else gave a much better picture of that. It is seen (at https://cleantechnica.com/2026/07/26/trump-blames-canada-wildfire-smoke-climate/) where Clean Technica voices ‘Trump Blames Canada For Smoke From A Climate America Created’ I would be willing to accept that on face value, but the picture is larger and more distorted than that. It is not merely America, it is the combination of American, Russian and Chinese settings towards the climate conditions we now face. And it is larger than any nation. So what do the United States want to do? Blame Canada for the settings of wind? As such we see Clean Technica give us “China now emits more CO₂ annually, a comparison frequently used to divert attention from the cumulative nature of carbon dioxide. The climate influencing current wildfire conditions was not created by emissions from the latest reporting year. It was built over generations. The United States industrialized early, consumed fossil fuels on an exceptional scale, organized transport and land use around oil, and received enormous economic benefits from doing so. No individual country contributed more to the accumulated warming now affecting forests across the continent.” And as I see it, the fires in Europe (France and Spain) are the worst we have ever seen. At present the tally is set to over 300,000 displacements and CNN gives us ‘France fires may not be fully extinguished for months, authorities say’ this matter because France is merely 5.5% of Canada and it has a population of 68.7 million people compared to the population of Canada which is at present set to 41.7 million people. So the math is simple, Canada has a problem and as I see it, how much support is Canada getting? If I were younger and in a better place I would install as a volunteer. I am however in my 60s and as such more likely to be a burden than anything else and at present there are 803 active wildfires burning across Canada, according to live tracking by the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre, as such that joke called truth central is not to be taken seriously. And as someone makes claims that ““Willful Negligence” and vowed to hold the country responsible for “not properly maintaining” its forests.” As such the United States has forest maintenance and it is managed by the United States Forest Service, which cares for nearly 200 million acres of public lands. The math is giving us that the forest of Canada is about 184.5% larger and it is being maintained by a service that has to make due with a population 41.7 million people whilst the US has a population of 349.2 million, and as I see it, they aren’t doing a stellar job of it. But there is a setting of truth in all this. Clean Technica is correct that the equation is changing the climate issues are now starting to take the forefront, a setting that is clearly seen in France and Spain and as I see it, it is only getting worse over the next 2-3 years. But what is clear that European nations aren’t blaming France or Italy, and as I see it, Luxembourg and Belgium would be the first affected by the fires in Spain and France. 

No matter how we see this, most nations are in awe and in support of Canada and whilst we see this, the outbursts on Truth Social is almost guaranteeing that more and more nations are backing off from the United States and when we compare the fires between France which is a mere 4.5% of the forests that Canada has and it will take France months, there is no telling how Canada will fare with the over 800 fires it has. If there is only one upside, it is the realisation that President Trump is done for in nearly every country in the world. Whist there is clear evidence that Prime Minister Mark Carney should be given all levels of support as well as praise on the 125,000 firefighters that Canada have. The words of the President of the United States are in extremely poor taste and I feel sorry for the United States firefighters, because there is every chance that no one is willing to assist them in any future setting they face. And as we take tally of what is out there, President Trump opened up the setting that they might be seen as one of the responsible parties regarding the climate conditions we now face. As I see it, it is a simple setting of cause and effect, or as some might say “Post hoc ergo propter hoc” which means after this, therefore because of this. It amounts to the failure of “Because event Y followed event X, event Y must have been caused by event X” the reality is that this is almost never ever the case. As is the blame from someone blaming the wind on Canada, if this is ‘considered’ Canada could also consider making claims for the current climate conditions  towards the United States. I like my Irony with a dash of salt and one could argue that when sarcasm backfires, it becomes irony (the sweetest kind). 

So as we wish Canada the strength and good wishes from everyone we know. We should consider that the escalating fires are a reality of these new climate conditions. Canada would not have been enough, but add the fires of France and Spain we get a larger setting, one that might be enough to show that the climate conditions are not only manmade, we might become the source of our own undoing. And regarding the fires in France, it is the worst I have ever known them to be and France takes really good care of their wine fields, as the BBC gives us “Raging mega-wildfires in southwest France’s Gironde region have burned over 42,000 hectares, forcing more than 220,000 evacuations and advancing to within 15 kilometres of the historic wine capital of Bordeaux, threatening surrounding vineyards and wineries” I have never ever known it to be this disastrous, and I have no idea if there is a clear resolution to all of this. I can only stand in support of them and hope for the best. 

Have a great day all and be safe.

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July 15, 2026 · 01:31

What a surprise

So, before I get you to the article, I want to reiterate my position. I did this a few times and here it matters. You see, on May 31st 2025 I wrote ‘All Dressed Up’ where I gave you ““The United States could experience a loss of $21 billion in tourism-related revenue this year if current trends continue, according to estimates by the U.S. Travel Association. According to the trade group, every 1% reduction in international tourist spending represents an annual loss of $1.8 billion for the U.S. economy. Furthermore, experts indicated that a strong U.S. dollar could be driving away international visitors.” Even though only Canada is ‘sifted’ out” I had some issues, because the numbers were seemingly giving added ‘benefits’ to the economic settings of this administration. And now we see CBC giving us (at https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/cross-border-travel-down-dramatically-research-9.7198652) ‘Travel to the U.S. is down even more dramatically than we thought, data shows’ where we are seeing “While official Statistics Canada figures show a roughly 25 per cent decline in Canadian residents returning from the U.S. last year, cellphone data compiled by researchers at the University of Toronto’s School of Cities found that the year-over-year drop in cross-border trips was closer to 42 per cent.” Which is a nice sidestep and the University of Toronto has proven themselves more than once, so I am excepting this setting. This means that the numbers were off by over 15%, which gives my settings (and decently speculative) a new wave of reliability. So whilst we ‘accept’ the numbers we are also given “They found the decline was even more dramatic in some warm weather locales that have historically been hot spots for Canadians fleeing winter weather. In Myrtle Beach, S.C., the number of trips by Canadians was down 65 per cent year-over-year, according to the cellphone data, giving it the dubious title of the metro area with the steepest drop. In the Florida cities of Panama City, Orlando, Cape Coral, Miami and Naples, the number of Canadian visitors fell by 50 per cent or more. But cratering demand wasn’t recorded only in those sunny destinations. Trips to San Francisco, New York, Ann Arbor and Grand Rapids, Mich., Boston and other business centres have also fallen by more than half, according to the data. In fact, of the 267 U.S. metro areas analyzed by researchers, only three — Cleveland, Portland, Ore., and Gainesville, Fla. — showed an increase in visits by Canadians last year.” What a lovely way to powder a message. Canadians kept up their promise that they were sick and tired of the 51st state setting of the United States by showing a massive decline to well over 250 U.S. metro areas? That should suck to the economy of the United States and I reckon that some people in this administration long before the Tuesday, November 3 moment has come to the calendars of all American voters and as ‘they’ say, every citizen is a voter at that point. So as the USA Today gave us yesterday (at https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2026/07/13/trump-federal-control-midterm-elections/90840111007/) ‘Trump moves to tighten federal control of elections ahead of midterms’ there is a setting that the drop in tourism will have every citizen of the United States livid. So whilst we are given “The president says he’s trying to prevent cheating, but Democrats argue he’s actually putting his thumb on the scale for the GOP by trying to block Democrats from voting.” Which is likely to be a repeat from 2016 when ‘O’Reilly’s Proof That Voter Fraud Exists Was Debunked On His Own Show Four Years Ago’, it is all kids of mean that I figure on using the words of a dedicated Republican to whistle back the BS from a republican administration. And we were given “Fox News host Bill O’Reilly argued that Mitt Romney’s failure to receive any votes in the 2012 presidential election in 59 divisions in Philadelphia was evidence that widespread voter fraud exists presidential elections. This claim was investigated and proved false on O’Reilly’s show one week after the 2012 election. O’Reilly invited lawyers Kimberly Guilfoyle and Stacy Schneider to discuss the prevalence of voter fraud in presidential elections. While both Guilfoyle and Schneider agreed that voter fraud is extremely rare, O’Reilly pointed to “reports in Philadelphia that nobody voted for Romney” as proof that voter fraud exists and asked if these reports have been investigated. From the August 16 edition of The O’Reilly Factor: O’Reilly himself investigated and debunked these allegations in 2012. Following the election, O’Reilly hosted Fox’s Megyn Kelly to investigate the “shenanigans” and why Romney got zero votes in a number of Philadelphia divisions. Kelly explained that “the same thing happened to John McCain” in 2008 because “the divisions with the unanimous Obama votes have large black, inner-city populations.”” 

So will this be a repeat of what we saw in 2016, and with the population of 250 U.S. metro areas extremely likely to be livid, what chance does this administration have? So whilst we return to the story and visit “In an interview with CBC News, Karen Chapple, the lead researcher and director of the School of Cities, said the drop in tourism to popular destinations like Orlando, as well as border communities like Buffalo, N.Y., has been well-documented. What her cellphone data makes clear is that the Canadian boycott is affecting cities both big and small across the States — and it’s not just leisure travel that has dried up. The self-imposed travel ban has extended to high-tech, financial and industrial centres, signaling that cross-border business and trade patterns have fundamentally shifted over the last year. “I have been using the word ‘sea change,'” Chapple said of the data she and her team uncovered. “And the places most impacted by the tariffs are also the ones most affected by the loss of travel,” she said, pointing to some Michigan cities like Flint that have trade ties to Ontario’s auto sector. “These declines are really tied to the composition of the local economies.”” A setting which my (decently speculative numbers also looked at) you see, there is a lot more to the spending of an international traveling person. They often fro not know certain things, or they might see it as impolite to use certain settings and this would have impacted local businesses a lot more. Like the local B&B places (to name merely one) and none of those earlier numbers would have seen that and now we see that there is a 15% gap between what was and seemingly what is. 

It is at this point where the CBC setting matters. As we are given “The U.S. Travel Association last year said a 10 per cent drop in Canadian tourism would cost the American economy about $2.1 billion US. If Chapple’s data is an accurate reflection of what’s going on, that means Canadians holding back on U.S. travel may have cost the economy about $8.4 billion US and counting. Speaking at a progressive political conference last weekend, Prime Minister Mark Carney applauded Canadians’ efforts to stand up to the Americans as the trade dispute with Trump drags on.” And now I get to gloat (just a little) and my story given on August 30th 2025 called ‘Vindication of a sort’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/08/30/vindication-of-a-sort/) where I stated 

“I speculatively expect it to be at least 80 billion” that was over two weeks ago. Now MSN gives us ‘Study Warns Trump Tariffs Could Deliver $64 Billion Hit to U.S. Tourism Businesses’, I reckon that when they start considering the bankruptcies in Florida and California are added, they will get a lot closer to my 80 billion”

So my speculation was hitting reality on nearly all thrusters and whilst bankruptcies are on a high in Florida (44,496), which dwarves the previous year (which had 32,933) and these numbers are set to May 26th 2026, as such these numbers are most likely to rise and taken that the CBC gives us alternative numbers, that jump might be a lot and I speculated it over a year ago, that is before we look at California where we see ‘California personal bankruptcies up 15% in a year’ (source: East Bay Times). The story they have comes with graphics, which are (especially for Canadians, fun to behold at https://www.eastbaytimes.com/2026/06/02/california-personal-bankruptcies-up-15-in-a-year/) It gives me that Texas with its 20% is still a states to consider and considering all these families renting out part of their house on a B&B setting are likely to be all personal bankruptcies. When you add all this up, you might start seeing the settings I say in 2025 because this all was set to Canadian impact, whilst I was looking at the larger international community that had enough of Trumpisms and I also considered that the Commonwealth nations might stand with Canada and select Canada as the destination for the next few years. That speculation is seemingly holding water as well, as such the United States has a real problem until deep into 2029 and with the Middle East exploring their tourism settings (especially the UAE) that hardship is nowhere near done. 

So some might see this as ego boasting, but there is no ego in place. I merely saw the numbers behind the numbers and I saw a trend evolving and I have been doing this since 1992, so I have a few markers that have been seeing the test of time. My ego does giggle at the simple fact that I was more on the nose with these numbers than all the fake AI in the land. So that part is gloating boasting and all kinds of nearly negative settings. I don’t have to give space to fake AI, it is that kind of a day today (at it is Wednesday 01:10 here), it sometimes suck to be a Fake AI, doesn’t it?

The article has one source “Barbara Barrett, executive director of the Frontier Duty Free Association, a trade group representing the mostly family-owned stores that dot the Canadian side of the border, said the steeper drop-off figures are more believable than the StatsCan data, based on how badly sales have plummeted at some of her members’ outlets.” Yes, I never considered that, but Canadians tend to buy the Canadian articles they know, as such that group is also facing dwindling numbers. For them I do feel sorry, but it is part of the whole.

So as I go to bed with a gloat, I wish you all a great day, my Wednesday ‘officially’ starts in less than 300 minutes.

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June 11, 2026 · 13:25

Partially delusional

That is the setting and it is not on anyone other then myself. You see, I saw the news and I saw a page that they didn’t advertise, as such I gave it my own whirl and it might be a delusional side to myself. I am warning you in advance, so you do not think that I have ‘some secret source’ to divulge a side that isn’t there. So be warned.

This morning I saw ‘Leaders of Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and UAE invited to G7, Macron says’ (source: Times of Israel) where we see “Leaders from Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates will be invited to participate in a G7 session in France next week to discuss the war with Iran, French President Emmanuel Macron says. Next Tuesday’s summit session will focus on the closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran, which has “a real impact on our economies” due in particular to soaring fuel prices, and on “negotiations on Iran,” Macron says.” And I have a personal view on this. I expect that at some point there will be singular meetings with a few designated officials and they will likely be PM Mark Carney of Canada, President Emmanuel Macron of France, Chancellor Friedrich Merz of Germany and they will have meetings with the representatives of Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar and Egypt. These last 4 will have a separate meetings with the big three. I believe that it is the next stage to get America out of every meeting, because the EU (Canada too) has had enough of the United States. The underlying setting is that the United States is likely to fail to fit the setting of a major industrialized democracy soon enough. And the other members are looking to replace the United States with at least one of them. My voice will be both Saudi Arabia and the UAE, but that is my view. What seems to be the case that optionally Ursula von der Leyen as President of the European Commission will make a ‘sudden’ appearance but that is the gist of it. The United States let itself be dictated by a useless bully and they are likely striking back. In addition, we got news that ahead of the G7 meeting, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and French President Emmanuel Macron are set to hold talks with China. Not sure yet how China fits in, but the setting that the United States is on the way out, implies that the EU needs to have a meeting with China, optionally the setting that BRICS represents gives me pause to consider what else is on the table. But that is the setting I see (and I could be massively wrong). But the field without the United States if one that regards considering, because in that field the Euro needs a new anchor and if it not the US dollar, I reckon that field becomes open and whilst the Yuan could be an option, my economic knowledge leaves me at this moment (I never had much economic knowledge to begin with). 

But that is a path that is likely opening up and whilst I have advocated for UAE and Saudi tourism, there is a larger offering on the table, but I have no menu and I have no idea what is happening. But PM Carney with his knowledge of the economy and his knowledge as Governor of the Bank of England is a good cause to consider what is coming next. As Canada is also in the G7, there is a larger picture to paint, the doubt becomes wither this picture had the stages of vibrant red and golden yellow of the Chinese flag, or it is painted with the fading colours of the American Red, White, and Blue remains a question, but the United States did this to itself when it decided to bomb Iran from 28 February 2026 onwards is one setting, the additional settings are the tariffs that were deemed illegal by the courts of America and then ‘reenacted’ by President Trump on other matters. The nation is out of control and the EU has had enough. Now we see the alternating sides where the United States has no longer any influence and without influence the United States doesn’t seem to amount to anything serious. Take in account that ‘Trump says he is ‘not looking to renew’ CUSMA trade agreement’ (source: Global News) implies that the United States is heading for a lot more serious negative times ahead and the other G7 parties need a way out. It is my believe that they will see it, by replacing the United States by both Saudi Arabia and the UAE, optionally it becomes the G10 if Qatar and Egypt are added too. 

So is this real? It is my believe that this is where the EU is headed, but we will know more in  Évian-les-Bains, France, from June 15 to 17, 2026. So next Monday will be the start of the meetings, but I reckon that Tuesday will give some light on this, because this event is not secret for much longer after that. I wonder what bully screaming we will hear from Washington DC at that stage, it will be anyones guess. But as some ‘vocally’ gave us that they didn’t need anyone, consider that commerce requires clients, so why will they sell to? Their local population requires services and goods. So what services does the United States have? What goods do they have? It was all intertwined with foreign settings and they cut it all off, all whilst they have no self servicing settings. So whilst they proclaim that they have it all, Brent oil will not look kindly on cheap oil walking away, their own oil is sold and when that falters, icon take a deeper dive and it is all against a debt that amounts to $39.23 trillion, with an interest of well over a trillion a year and now more and more is regarded as ‘no-go’ zones. There is little doubt that the US economy will implode. And these ‘generating’ data centers, all whilst the EU is cutting access off? There is little doubt in my mind that a panic will set into the United States and likely it will be visible before next week ends. But then, these are merely my thoughts and there is every consideration that I am wrong. Because I have no data to support any of this, but it is drenched into my views on data that I have seen over the last few years. So there is that.

Have a great day today.

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