That is a setting that might be true to the stage and to the setting, but are the settings pointing this out? That is the stage as I see it, but am I right? If you think you are a critical thinker, that should be a top-of-mind situation. So whilst we see ‘Saudi Arabia intercepts wave of Houthi missiles as oil climbs to one-week high’ and we are given “The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen said the missiles were aimed at Taif and the Yanbu area on the Red Sea, the main alternative route for Saudi oil” we need to see that this comes at the same time as “Oil prices climbed about 3%, but trade was volatile and prices came off session highs after reports the US and Iran discussed reopening the strait of Hormuz.” And it gives me a thought. Are the Houthis nothing more than the cheap harlots of Iran? The second thought that is coming to me is “How are the Houthis supplied?” And yes we might point the finger at Hezbollah, but that would be too easy. Iran will do what it can to lessen stress on their own smugglers, but at the same time we take notice of “While claiming that their blockade only applies to Saudi shipping and there remains no threat to commercial shipping on the Red Sea, the Houthis have also warned other nations not to get involved.” A clear signal to the UK to not get involved. And I have had it with these terrorists. A signal needs to be given and I believe that a union between China and the EU might be essential for this, with a clear setting. Iran can sell its oil to China (at a discount) but if they do not seize their actions the hint for the three terrorist organisations (Houthi, Hezbollah and Hamas) will open in earnest and we will give any intelligence to stomp these terrorists down with the help of Mossad. And the second thing we do is to utterly destroy 10 refineries in Iran so they are left with one exploit, selling their raw oil to China and if they are left with this one option, Iran doesn’t get to set the price, China does. I feel perfectly fine testing my new IP on Bandar Abbas, its harbours and the railroads. This is what true horror looks like, not some orange person threatening, but a nameless civil person actually destroying what they hold dear. That is what true horror implies. It is not the one boasting, it is the silent person in a corner taking out whatever you desire.
So, is that a clear message?
As I see it, too much media is holding out for that scrappy bit of paper, holding out for revenue, but news is not revenue, it is in part art in part deciding the best way to bring the new, not bring it in a setting that makes the most money and it is like that in gaming. The BI people in gaming do what THEY see as the most profitable setting and then they get influencers to state that hoping they can get enough gamers around to THEIR way of thinking, but gamers are like inventors, we see a niche and we use that to set a new chart, a new course and we go with this and I am in support of Saudi Arabia, I do what will solve their issues, not the issues of a broke United States, a needy Houthi Terrorist or a desperate Iran (and its IRGC). And as we see “Riyadh’s foreign ministry said on Friday that Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan would hold an urgent meeting of their chiefs of staff to discuss ways to support repel the Houthi attacks under their joint defence agreement. Under the defence pact, all three countries agreed that an armed attack on any one of them would be treated as an attack on all three. Officials in Pakistan are said to be deeply worried about being dragged into the never-ending war unfolding across the Middle East.” As I see it Pakistan hopped for some free publicity not seeing what Iran was up to and there is no never-ending war, just destroy Iran and the others fall back into place, they fear doing this alone and the hardware from Iran has been helping them, take that away and their lust for need and greed falls away quite fast. In that setting the United States could have helped by destroying any Iranian ships hading into the Gulf of Aden and searching every other vessel on that course. I reckon that an observation post on Socotra might assist in this. It would also fuel the setting if Eritrea is as innocent as it proclaims because there is still the thought that Houthis might pay top dollar on anything coming from the Sudan and whilst some players might divert 20% from the Sudan to pay for the 80% heading there, it is in my eyes simple presumption and I react to evidence, not to speculative thoughts. And wasn’t it Gibbs (NCIS) that told us ‘Trust but verify’, I knew this decades before that series launched, but it is never a bad thing to reassess early thoughts there might have been in the mix.
So whilst the international community might react to “Yemen’s internationally recognised government pressed world leaders on Thursday for help defeating the militants, saying that their new perch along one of the world’s busiest waterways presents an international economic risk.” But as I see it 95% of the pain that Yemen is experiencing comes from Iran and whilst we are ‘given’ “Iran is currently facing severe, compounding internal pressures driven by an acute economic collapse, historic political transitions, and escalating public unrest. Following the massive disruptions of the 2026 military conflict with the U.S. and Israel, including the assassination of long-time Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the ruling establishment is struggling to maintain domestic control amid an unprecedented erosion of its legitimacy” and there is another option there. China could influence that setting by installing a China based Iranian government. The world will see a decrease in escalations, the Gulf States will allow for this as the attack on them will seize (Qatar might not like this), but the rest will and whilst China gets the oil there it will look better for China in a whole range of ways. In this setting China gets an optional voice n OPEC (and OPEC plus) all whilst the attack stop on Saudi Arabia and the UAE, so they are likely happy and with Houthi no longer getting supplies from Iran there is another release of pressures on Saudi Arabia. As I see it the population of Iran might like this too, as the old political powerpoint are removed, the people of Iran could actually work on THEIR future.
I tend to see only upsides in this and whilst there are likely negative sides, they might not be seen as significant as the other pressure points fall away.
Look at me, I created a viable solution toward overthrowing the current Iranian government. I am feeling kinda proud of that.
So, you can think what you want (and be massively against my ideas), but look at the price of fuel, what caused this? (Disregarding the orange peril to the world) and it might also fuel the solutions in Hamas and Hezbollah, because when they no longer get access to weapons and funds, they will be on their last moments of existence. You see, you might think that you know where the dogs sleep, but the danger isn’t that, it is what happens when eve one wakes up. Its ‘yap’ wakes up the others and that is where the problems start. A simple setting that von Clausewitz gave us (I tend to prefer Sun Tzu in most matters) “Non-state militant groups do not engage in violence for random chaos or pure financial gain; rather, they use fear, intimidation, and coercion to pursue distinct political, social, or religious goals. In a grim Clausewitzian sense, their violence is an instrument of policy aimed at compelling an opponent to submit to their will” as I see it, Iran is the instigator relying on fear, intimidation, and coercion to pursue its desperation. Take that away and the rest falls into place. And it is my believe that Iranians under China might get a lot better then what it is now and that could spell internet support for that new setting as well. Feel free to call me a stupid optimist, but I tend to look at these settings creatively and there is nothing creative about Iran, so we introduce it and at the same time we remove the pillars of support the Houthi’s are currently getting. Have a great day all.
