Tag Archives: technology

April 25, 2026 · 23:45

Accusation without evidence

That is the path I saw today on the BBC (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpqxgxx9nrqo), now hear me out. Even as we are being told ‘White House memo claims mass AI theft by Chinese firms’ we have to acknowledge that it comes from that same place that gave us that “‘someone’ claimed “$18 trillion” in new investments”, “prices are down” and “Ukraine for starting the war with Russia, suggesting they should have surrendered territory to avoid it” as such I am willing to disbelief this. Also China has DeepSeek and it does so (it’s speculations) at a fraction of the cost.

And whilst we are getting “The White House has said it will work more closely with US artificial intelligence (AI) firms to combat “industrial-scale campaigns” by foreign actors to steal advances in the technology. Michael Kratsios, Director of Science and Technology Policy, wrote in an internal memo that the administration had new information indicating “foreign entities, principally based in China” were exploiting American firms.” My mind goes not different directions. The first being:

If you have shattering IP valued at billions of dollars you have proper cyber security installed. That is merely my thought, others might have another opinion. 

My mind is racing towards a different setting. You see, OpenAI and its ‘co-conspirators’ are not delivering on the premise that gave too many people well over half a trillion dollars want to see return on investment and none is coming and now (not unlike the concept sellers in the 90’s) they need a blamable party. So what is easier than to blame China? Now, I am not saying that China is innocent, but in all this one might need evidence to make a case and none of it seems to be coming. As such we are given ““foreign entities, principally based in China” were exploiting American firms. Through a process called “distilling”, such firms are essentially copying AI technology developed by US companies, he said.” OK, I’ll bite, so where is the evidence? Why, if this distilling is a problem are these outputs not better protected, so there is no ‘distilling’? Simple question, perhaps when Oracle was needed, the cheapskates decided to rely on Azure? I have no idea, I am merely offering options as the evidence is clearly lacking. 

So whilst the article ens with “While Kratsios did not name any foreign entities, leading AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic have said they are dealing with such distillation activity.” I reckon that the distillation culprits like House Spirits Distillery and Angostura Distillery were made exempt? 

You think that I am making a funny and I was, but this has been going on for months and these so called high priced (fake) AI corporations have been absent in their cyber security? How does this distilling happen? All things missing from the BBC article and are unlikely on the mind of the White House as the article seems to imply it comes from the very beginning where we saw “it will work more closely with US artificial intelligence (AI) firms to combat “industrial-scale campaigns” by foreign actors to steal advances in the technology” you see, the first part would be ‘How did they achieve this?’ Which we do not see and the state of cyber security we don’t see either, both seem rather obvious in that setting. 

So as I said China might not be innocent, but in that same setting we see that the United States and their (fake) AI firms are apparently clueless. Don’t take my word for it, just look at the scraps on this table and see where the crumbs aren’t dealt with and I see no part in all this that shouts ‘China is guilty’ that would require actual evidence. So if that is seemingly is not required counter the idea of this AI scheme to be the part of a scam to wipe out trillions on the exchange, which might be the case, but the setting of ‘no evidence’ is apparently in effect and that goes both ways. As I see it, someone wants to see evidence of AI and whilst they invested billions, there is a greed driven setting that the profits all go to China as they stole the plans, but is that really so? Even distilled plans need refinement and the source data is missing. So, how would they proceed? The setting does not make complete sense to me. Any innovation requires a foundation, even DeepSeek would like to have one, or it is simply a sifting solution and the power remains with these innovative wannabe’s (sorry, a paraphrased term).

So have a great day and wonder why the accusation was made, because that setting is likely to be in dollar numbers and where is that money now? Have a great day.

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April 24, 2026 · 01:54

The butler did it

That was the primary thought I has when I faced the BBC Article (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62j4ldp2jqo) telling me ‘OpenAI faces criminal probe over role of ChatGPT in shooting’ and we are given “Florida’s Attorney General James Uthmeier said on Tuesday his office had been looking into the use of the artificial intelligence (AI) chatbot by a man who allegedly shot several people at the campus in Tallahassee.”, personally I stand with “An OpenAI spokesperson said: “ChatGPT is not responsible for this terrible crime.”” I am hesitant to stand opposite a professional especially with the lack of evidence shown in the BBC article that we see. But the idea that some fake AI picks up a gun like the next Cyberdyne hoodlum (optionally looking strikingly like Arnold Schwarzenegger) and mopping the floor with cadavers as the staccato of automatic fire hits campus os a little much. There is even no evidence in the form of logs reading of Chatbot lingo stating n the form of:

“I am your god, you will obey me and for now I state as stated once even before Abraham walked the earth, you will bend down these mortals in the using a Knight’s Armament LAMG for better accuracy because you have the body of a little bitch. So go, I am your god, I comment you”

As for how the suspect, 20-year old FSU student Phoenix Ikner, who is now in jail awaiting trial, interacted with ChatGPT, OpenAI’s spokesperson said the chatbot “did not encourage or promote illegal or harmful activity”

So, as such what evidence is there towards prosecuting OpenAI? I don’t mind as it fuels the flames of entertainment and trying to be a useful git I would like to offer Florida’s Attorney General James Uthmeier the thought that he should be aware of (after he had his free pound of flesh from the media). 

Rule 11 requires attorneys to conduct “due diligence” to ensure a claim has a factual basis and is not filed to harass or cause unnecessary delays.

Because in the end, without evidence of ‘convolution’ of the mind or thoughts of (evidence supported) ’co-conspiracy’ FSU student Phoenix Ikner is likely to face a long stretch in Hotel Sing Sing with the optional inoculation by Dr. Death. I don’t call the shots, that is up to the judge in this matter. 

But from the lack of evidence that the BBC gives, I reckon that OpenAI is off the hook and that is merely me and in opposition of my usual banter in economy, I do hold law degrees (invalid in the United States). As such I have to wonder if the article had anything to do with that shooting at all? Over 30% is about ChatGPT and it hold a photo of Sam Altman, so it seems that at least two parties are more interested in media exposure, because (as I personally see it) we would, if it was about the crime, get an image of Florida State University, optionally with grieving people. So what gives?

I might have oversimplified the issue, what do you say? Have a great day, oh wait. I need some exposure too, so lets add to this by switching to YouTube. In that matter yesterday, I saw a video by Nancy Wheeler and when it troubled my mind I wanted to rewatch parts of that video, so as I searched for “Nancy Wheeler economy”, which was needed as there is a fictive character of Nancy Wheeler who messes up your internet soufflé. She gives us that there is a crises coming, and she states is underway already. As such I wondered and for the life of me, I could not find the Nancy Wheeler in real life outside of YouTube. That doesn’t mean she does not exist, but with the facts given I was weirdly surprised that the media had not picked that up. She gives us that there are three weaknesses creeping up on all of us:

Sovereign debt trap
Currency bifurcation machine 
Shadow liquidity crises

Now it sounds massive and cool (which makes the media not picking this up weird), and she talks a nice deal. I a lacking economy knowledge, so I was almost mesmerized, A really pretty youthful young sprout asking for my attention has that effect on me. But there was something in what she said. She stated: “The buyers [of the debt] have changed, the maturities have shortened and the exit doors have gotten smaller”

This caught me, because that sounds about right, so I wonder why the media didn’t pick this up. It is not to prove that she was right, but considering the reasoning that the media wants its pound of flesh, they didn’t go for debunking this either. So what is the silence? Don’t get me wrong, for all we know Nancy Wheeler could be a massively pretty doom speaker and this tends to be an automatic media magnet (she is more appealing in looks than Jerome Powell ever will be) and as I am blissfully ignorant on economy there is no way I can tell the difference of one against the other (facts).

So is it correct? Is she wrong and she made a point that the debt surpassed the 97.1 trillion. Is it a gimmick for the call to ‘accurate’ reporting? As such the video (at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_TqjlaiU_N8) gives us the goods and I let you decide how right or wrong she is. 

Well that is all there is on this Friday (for me) when you all rejoin me on this Friday I will have more to say (in approximately 20 hours). Have a great day the next 20 hours.

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April 23, 2026 · 07:30

Bleeding on the spot

That is at times the setting, we tend to ignore it, we laugh, we giggle, and sometimes we cry. If it is your own body, you will likely panic. So as I saw Tom’s Hardware (at https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/cerebras-files-for-ipo-company-remains-unprofitable-despite-20x-revenue-growth) give us ‘Cerebras files for IPO — company remains unprofitable despite 20x revenue growth’ I tend to frown. There are settings with little profit (like the Big Mac for $1.95) which at 20 times still becomes a decent amount (all $6 of them), we get that other factors that remove profit margins, but when the setting becomes “Bleeding money at a rapid rate” it becomes a worry. You see, the business plan makes sense or is a hail Mary (not unlike the Macintosh Performa) this is an intentional setting I am giving, because that Hail Mary became the PowerMac and then the G4 and G5. These were the systems that put Apple on several maps and from there the big wins became visible. A Hail Mary that worked. But here we are given “Cerebras, the supplier of wafer-scale AI processors, has filed for an IPO for the second time after it cancelled such plans due to its ties with G42, an Abu Dhabi-based AI company backed by sovereign wealth fund Mubadala, last year. Financial results disclosed as part of the filing reveal that Cerebras appears to be one of the fastest-growing AI hardware companies right now. However, 86% of its revenue comes from two customers, and the company is bleeding money.” From this limited information I would gather that the business plan is highly likely flawed. And we are given that the 86% comes from just two customers (G42 and Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence, MBZUAI). Now I would go with the Business plan, but there might be reasons for this and the settings that AI processors give could still be a solution if these two clients put in the considerable work (no critique on the two trendsetters). As we see that “The remaining 14% of revenue is generated by a fragmented base of smaller enterprise, government, and cloud customers, but none contribute enough individually to reduce Cerebras’ heavy reliance on its top two clients. More recently, Cerebras inked agreements to supply its AI hardware to Amazon Web Services and OpenAI, which will diversify revenue streams for the company.” But the larger option is gaining traction. Now for the most we can ignore the fact that they are American (which is at present never a good selling point), but they  are also in Toronto and Bangalore. The issue is that they are no threat to Nvidia and they don’t need to be, the idea is that they could skim the market and take up traction pretty much anywhere. I reckon that they have done that, but there is the option that they could optionally feed data centers in China, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, if that works and they could get the first one in these places, they are likely to gain several other corporations and locations for implementation. The reasoning I have is that there are several sounds from customers that they have a lack of processors, so are they tapped? It seems so as we see “Cerebras has a massive $24.6 billion backlog (including the $20 billion OpenAI deal), which provides strong demand visibility. The company expects to recognize approximately 15% of this revenue within the first 24 months through December 31, 2027, 43% during months 25 to 48, and the remainder thereafter. Still, Cerebras warns that converting this backlog into revenue depends on the manufacturing capacity of its partners, infrastructure deployment, and power availability.” It makes me wonder why the quote “Bleeding money at a rapid rate” was given. So as we see “Cerebras recorded a $363 million gain from a change in the fair value (and extinguishment) of a forward contract liability: the company had a financial obligation whose value was reduced, which allows it to book that reduction as income. If the value was not reduced, the company would be unprofitable. In fact, Cerebras’ operating losses totaled $145.9 million in 2025.” But even so, as I see it (with my lack of economy studies) thematic doesn’t seem to add up and my mind goes back to the business plan. It is my simplistic mind that goes with the setting that Cerebras either has a product that works or they have not. If they do, the client has to pay and there are no freebees in this market, you do that if the product is shoddy, and the salesperson either deals with the buyer correctly, or they don’t. It is my rather simplistic setting of customer service, “we have a product and we would love to have you as customer, yet, our product is not free”, it will rock your world (for a price) and within that setting (and the right business plan) Cerebras should do just fine. As such I don’t get the setting we see. So as we are also given “Cerebras postponed its IPO plans in 2024 after a national security review examined its ties with Abu Dhabi-based G42 amid concerns about potential foreign access to advanced AI processors. G42 is both a customer and investor of Cerebras, which controls a 1% stake in the company that it acquired for $40 million in 2021.” This is an issue as it involves 50% of their customer base and what is this “potential foreign access to advanced AI processors”? Is this another American setting (not unlike their stance towards Huawei)? You see China is sized at 1.413 billion, as such it is over 4 times the size of the USA, the United States can either play nice or go down with the ship they are sinking themselves. Cerebras could go towards the EU as well as India and partially fund the data centers there and get longer lasting revenue, but that is almost the only options that are there. This market is getting saturated and it is not a market that has time and options for prima donna’s, this is my simplistic view. So as the article ends with “Cerebras has not specified an official fundraising target in its IPO filing, but current market expectations point to a roughly $3 billion raise. This is significantly higher than earlier $1 billion plans, which reflect the company’s rapid revenue growth and the scale of its AI infrastructure ambitions.” It also signals that the ‘bleeding effect’ is a temporary setting, depending on how the IPO evolves. Yet as I see it, the IPO has a lot less chance of being successful as long as the “Bleeding money at a rapid rate” vision is in place. But as I see it, enlarging their customer base precedes the need for an IPO, because no I matter how good the IPO is, it is facing slaughter when the customer base is set to two. But as I stated, my lack of economy might be the ruling red herring here. 

And whilst I leave you with this article and a few hidden hints, I will go and look what happens to Cerebras before June, May it have a nice time.

Have an interesting day today (‘great’ is oversold too much, even by me).

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April 19, 2026 · 10:11

The competition is moving

Yesterday (less than 24 hours ago) I took notice of an article in the South China Morning Post (at https://www.scmp.com/tech/article/3350460/nvidias-jensen-huang-warns-huawei-chips-deepseek-ai-models-would-be-horrible-us) where we see ‘Nvidia’s Jensen Huang warns Huawei chips for DeepSeek AI models would be ‘horrible’ for US’, so we see everyones favourite boy-scout giving us that Huawei could be either a terrible setting of everyone (us) or it could be horrible for the United States (US), I don’t know about the first one, the second one the United States did to themselves. And the setting of overvaluation by the United States on fake AI, versus undervaluation of Chinese fake AI is considerable as the United States is giving value to what China sees as a mere 3% valuation. I am willing to go with “You had that coming” and in addition as I see it the Huawei MateBook Fold (2TB SSD / 32GB RAM) is an engineering marvel. 

It is the first product to be an actual threat to Apple’s iPad and that was long overdue. Don’t get me wrong, I have been an avid fan of the iPad and I had one since 2011, so you might say I was there almost at the start and it never let me down, 2 years ago I got the iPad Air and it is still doing its bit for me every day (almost every hour). That is true innovation and now the Huawei is surpassing it with the Huawei MateBook Fold, it makes us think that Microsoft is still in the water scuttling its own future. Huawei is that much ahead of the rest. And now Jensen gives us “What do you think happens when it is equipped with a chip running DeepSeek in the background? 

That is the reality of so called sitting on their asses and getting surpassed by all the western technology. Add to this 6G Huawei is researching with “70 GHz mmWave for short-range communication, aiming for speeds exceeding 10 Gbit/s and sub-millisecond latency” some say that US sanctions will prevent this, but Huawei is the innovator, nothing comes near this and the so called west, including Europe, Middle East, Asia and Australia (New Zealand too) have had enough of greed driven sanctions by the United States. Germany already went overboard (as stated by some) giving France and Italy enough settings to follow suit. So when Huawei gets to install its pilots in the UAE and Saudi Arabia, the rest will almost be standing still, as the current setting is that their 5G is about 700% faster than anyone else (almost twice as fast as South Korea has) and that was almost 5 years ago (source: Statista) and I talked about that in one of my blog articles raising awareness for smart ware. So as I see it, the moment Huawei releases its combines tablet to the west, the United States is done and I reckon that Apple will lose a lot of customers, It will also be the point where Huawei will make its HarmonyOS NEXT (or HarmonyOS 5) to the larger collective in Europe and from that point the United States is no longer working at 41% (at the speed comparison Statista gave us) it will be reduced to a mere 23%-38% of whatever will be running in the Middle East, Europe and Asia. That is the setting and the DeepSeek chip is making it a much easier jump as the United States was honey coating the chains with (fake) AI and now Huawei is nearly at a point where they can state “We have AI too in all our Huawei models” and it comes at mere pennies to the dollar (compared all the other providers). As such Huawei was working in the background and the United States willing to strangle any press releases (a speculation by me) on the subject.

So whilst we are given “If “future AI models are optimised in a very different way than the American tech stack”, and as “AI diffuses out into the rest of the world” with Chinese standards and technology, China “will become superior to” the US, Huang said on the Dwarkesh Podcast on Wednesday. The conversation came ahead of the much-awaited launch of DeepSeek’s V4 foundation model, expected later this month. US news outlet The Information reported earlier this month that V4 would run on Huawei’s latest Ascend 950PR processor, while a separate report by Reuters last month suggested that the model had been trained on Nvidia’s Blackwell chips, which would be a violation of US export controls.” So whilst I have no idea how accurate the Reuters article is (never read it) I can surmise that the Products from the United States (like Apple) are unlikely to have anything to counter the Ascend 950PR processor, off course I am always happy to be proven wrong, but the setting I reported on in 2024 where the iMac has a mere 24GB RAM and 2TB drive, which should have been at least 64GB RAM and 4TB drive before 2025, is still in the old settings. 

Either that technology is unable or the people of Apple are sitting on their hands is nothing less of a joke, even if it is now possible to get it in Orange, Revell has given Apple that option for a mere €3 per model and Revell had that option for years (if not decades) so whilst we get the ‘innovation’ of colour, it is not, it is mere iteration and there are a few other settings were these innovators are sitting on their asses (optionally overdosing on viagra). Innovation is a game that is unrelenting and I have warned the larger audience of that for years, if not decades. 

Now the hard truths come calling and Huawei is the next innovation that is up for grabs and whilst Apple comes with the claim “Center Stage front camera with a new 18-megapixel square sensor, a 6.3-inch display with 120Hz ProMotion (available on the standard model for the first time), and the high-efficiency A19 chip.” It is not innovation, it is iteration and I see iteration as the next step from an innovative setting. That is what has been around for a long time and the days of the Apple iPad might be numbered now. I reckon that Huawei is unlikely to bust the Apple iPhone numbers for some time, but there is a danger that the Huawei Mate X6 (or the models that come after that) are unlikely to bash iPhone or Google Pixels as they are (for now) too expensive, but these new versions are ready to knock on our doors. So there is danger to be seen (for western technology) in the words of Jensen Huang and as the United States is massively anti-China, I wonder if Canada might be the next stage for illuminating the North American customers. I have no idea how Canadians are staged towards Chinese technology, but as their stance towards the Trump administration grows more hostile, there is every chance that this stage might go successful for China, especially if the US Ambassador Pete Hoekstra gives us another of his diplomatic jabs, as I see it, every time he says something more and more Canadians get a fresh doze of anti-Americanism. I’m just calling it as I see it.

Have a great day and consider the words of Jensen Huang, he might be more on the ball than I am (never a truer word was spoken). 

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April 17, 2026 · 15:07

What is real?

That is at times the question, the setting that someone is trying to give us fake. Now I am a most outspoken person in regards to AI, it doesn’t exist (yet) and whilst the media is all about AI (for their digital dollars), the real setting is when it will arrive. No matter how clever programmers become, it is still a programmers Wild Wild West. So when I took notice of the BBC (at https://www.bbc.com/audio/play/w3ct8mf3) I had different questions. We are given “Anthropic – one of Silicon Valley’s leading AI firms – recently announced that they have built a model which is too dangerous to be released to the public. Instead, they are only giving access to the model to a handful of big companies, to help them find security vulnerabilities.The company says the model has already found weak spots in “every major operating system and web browser”. Is this a genuine example of a company acting responsibly, or more of a carefully calibrated publicity move?” OK, the premise seems clear, whatever they call AI, let’s call it Fake AI might have become a tad more potent and giving it to a chosen few might be the way to go. I personally would advice Dario Amodei to talk to IBM, this is not some prearranged setting. As far as I know IBM is the most advanced player for Shallow Circuits and that is one of the thresholds to get to Real AI, until that moment comes all AI is fake. Optionally he should talk to Google too, as I have no idea how far their shallow circuits are. But it is one of the three remaining thresholds before we can get to a Real AI setting. The other one’s are the Trinary Operating System and the other is decent weeding (like removing arranged data from verifiable data) We already have quantum technology, so that is on par. The weeding part comes I reckon when shallow circuits are done, m because when we combine this with the TOS (my personal gag here and I am giggling) we have the makings of perfect data dirt weeding. But the setting also evokes other thoughts. If Anthropic is this far ahead, what the hell is Sam Altman doing with all the billions is is seemingly squandering. You see ‘OpenAI to spend over $20 bln on Cerebras chips’. I am not debating the setting, it might be the strongest there is (for now), but if this market is thrown upside down in less than a decade, it implies that Sam Altman just wasted billions on chips that are basically obsolete by the end of the year. And in that same setting the quote “OpenAI is valued at approximately $852 billion”, what will be left of that when 2027 comes calling? I have supporting ideas. If Anthropic is ahead of OpenAI, as I reckon is Google, who will pay $852 billion for a third place setting? And in addition we know that DeepSeek is out there, but no one knows how far ahead of lagging it is. What was old it can do so at a much lower cost and when did business walk away from cost reductions?

All thoughts that come to mind and the media is weirdly unaware of them, so who are they working for? Not the audience that is seemingly clear. But if you want to dismiss my calling, that is fair. So few free to investigate your own data and don’t use one source, use at least half a dozen sources and when you do you will figure out that the equations and the money drop is not evening out. It is all reminiscent of the 90’s where people will pay mountains for mere concepts. I thought we had done away with those settings? 

Still, the current call is with Anthropic and Dario Amodei. I wonder how quickly we will see an update on how that is going. I am sure it might take several weeks, but in the meantime we can consider did OpenAI overtake Google Gemini yet? If so by how much and if not, what are these headlines of chips for billions, when Lays has them for $3.99 (ketchup taste optional).

And yes 20,000,000,000 is a real number, but so is the return on investment and where is that number with OpenAI? What is his return on investment? As such have a lovely day and if you are not investing in FakeAI try enjoying your coins in acquiring some coffee or tea, they both tend to wake up the senses.

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April 16, 2026 · 03:10

About that woman

Yup, the Amazon. And if you think we are talking about that woman in a tight leather bodice hiding perky breasts looking like a 30 something woman called Gal Gadot, you’d be wrong. We are talking about the other Amazon, the one with a wrinkly face selling books. A few articles hit me a few hours ago. The first one on the table (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/clyjjr7kzj2o) is the BBC, Fortune with its paywall was rejected) is the one we see first. It sets the tone with ‘Amazon to spend $11bn on satellite firm in growing Starlink rivalry’, now I accept and respect competition and the quote “Amazon is aiming to build-up its satellite business to offer internet and mobile phone services by spending $11.57bn (£8.5bn) on an acquisition of Globalstar. The deal, announced Tuesday, will allow Amazon to get thousands of satellites into low-earth orbit through the Amazon Leo project the company has been working on for several years.” But the added part starts making this setting a more desperate look, with “Amazon will be in closer competition with Starlink, an increasingly popular satellite-based internet and phone service company launched by Elon Musk in 2019. Starlink has a significant head-start on Amazon’s Leo, which currently only has around 200 satellites in orbit. Musk’s company, which is private, says it already has more than 10,000 active satellites offering internet and mobile phone service to more than 10 million paying customers.” Star link is already seeing head waves with the rejection by Canada and next Europe with the sabres rattling that President Trump is throwing in the air. The last words have not been spoken about that and as soon as Ursula von der Leyen is setting the tone of what the American Administration is accepted to get hearing of, this field will become a lot less profitable. But besides that, under the guise of AI (lets keep it real and call it fake AI) “As of January 2026, Amazon is cutting approximately 16,000 corporate roles to reduce bureaucracy and embrace AI, following a previous round of 14,000 job cuts in October.” We are already raising eye brows as that is setting too many people out into the cold and now they are playing with $11.57 billion to play with the competition they have no chance of catching up to? 200 makes no competitor out of 10,000 satellites and as I see it, Starlink is setting several amazing views, does Globalstar have anything to match it? Its like Microsoft with its 5% market share stating that it is time to replace Google, who has over 88% share. It is never going to happen and as I do not trust AI, I will still google things, no matter what some media claims people do and millions of people are on the same side that I am on. 

I reckon that $1 billion could have given these 30,000 people a job and that is before we take under consideration a few other things. Some say that a data centre has 3 to 5 years (source: Fortune) so how can you keep these data centers when the return on investment is at least 5 years out? These are the makings of a pot stew, one that usually is standing besides a few players playing some version of poker. It sounds like the consolation price for something no one needed, or at least that sounds to be the case. You see, this drive to data centers requires a population and as I see it Europeans are now actively rejecting Microsoft and everything that comes with it (like data capturing). So what gives? 

Then we get CNBC, who (at https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/09/amazon-ceo-andy-jassy-ai-spending.html) gives ‘Amazon CEO Jassy defends $200 billion AI spend: “We’re not going to be conservative”’ with some of the key points being “Amazon CEO Andy Jassy released his annual shareholder letter, where he once again made the case for huge investments in artificial intelligence. The company has said it expects to spend roughly $200 billion on capital expenditures this year, with the lion’s share going toward AI development. Jassy wrote that AI revenue in its cloud computing segment has hit a $15 billion annual run rate.” And here we expect a few things. You see, investing $200 dollar to get back $15 per year sounds stellar, but it also means that you are 13 years away from getting the original $200 back and now when it concerns billions, there is the matter of interest. Given that they might be drowning their revenue, there is no interest, but it is a large thing to take into account if it is the company handheld on the white that AI becomes real in the next 13 years. I think it is touch and go there, but still the second sized wave of technology will be massive. Once IBM releases the shallow circuit advantage they have, the will cost Amazon billions too, I have no idea what Google has on that term, but as I see out Amazon does not. So, as I see it, Amazon is paying poker with a bank of over $220 billion and the outcome is definitely a gamble and one of the highest order as well. So as CNBC gives us “Amazon shares have struggled so far this year as investors question the company’s aggressive AI spending plans and grow increasingly impatient about when the investments will pay off. Amazon shares closed up 5.6% on Thursday. The stock is up more than 1% year to date. Jassy has said that Amazon needs the capital to go after “a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity” and to keep pace with “very high demand” for the company’s AI compute.”
I merely wonder if anyone has a clue what kind of a gamble Amazon is making, because that bill comes due and it comes due in a most unfashionable way. So whilst we look (and optionally gawk) at what is shown, can anyone see what about to happen? 

Then. We are ‘hit’ with the final setting and it is given to us (at https://nationaltoday.com/us/wa/seattle/news/2026/04/14/goldman-sachs-lowers-amazon-price-target-ahead-of-key-earnings/) where we see ‘Goldman Sachs Lowers Amazon Price Target Ahead of Earnings’, which is always going to happen, but the quote “Wall Street analysts see both opportunities and risks in Amazon’s AI-driven growth strategy.” The one side to look at this (an optionally wrong one) is that the added risk is downplaying the opportunity in the field here. That is beside the point, as I see it, that the added quote is merely filling with “Goldman Sachs has lowered its price target on Amazon stock to $275 from $280, while maintaining a Buy rating ahead of the company’s expected earnings report on April 30, 2026. The revision signals a broader shift in investor attention toward the key risks and opportunities shaping Amazon’s next phase, including the performance of Amazon Web Services, the impact of rising energy prices, the commercialization timeline for Amazon Leo, and the growth of Amazon’s advertising and marketing platform.” But what matters is “Amazon’s aggressive push into artificial intelligence through AWS has become a critical driver of the company’s growth, with AWS already reaching an annualized AI revenue run rate exceeding $15 billion. However, the heavy AI spending also comes with trade-offs, as Amazon is significantly increasing capital expenditures, which could pressure free cash flow in the near term. Investors are closely watching these developments to understand Amazon’s trajectory in 2026 and beyond.” As I see it, the risks are adding up and we are likely to see an addition of maturing trade-offs to make the screens, making investors jittery. Personally I don’t think that it is the “pressure of free cash flow”, I believe that there are several risks of Globalstar ignored and that will rear its ugly head soon enough, because at some point Starlink will boost their presence with requirements towards ‘space safety’ and whilst no one is expecting this, I reckon that Globalstar is not ready for those ‘demands’ and as such $11.52 down the toilet as they say, a risk that is (at present) undocumented, but that will raise the risk levels on a few levels, but what do I know. I am originally from tech support, not in any way connected to economic forecasting. 

A setting that gives us that in almost every way it is more appealing to watch Gal Gadot with perky breasts in a leather bodice than it is to look at the presumption of revenue by speculative economic forecasters of Amazon inc. But that might be my hormones talking and not my wallet, which has zero Amazon stock, so I am not listening to my wallet at present, who is eerily empty.

So you all have a great day and consider the risks you are facing today, if you are watching Gal Gadot, the risks are good, if your fortune is in Amazon, a little less so.

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April 13, 2026 · 16:16

With the coming of Linux

That is not entirely the truth, Linux has been here for some time but now France is going the way of Germany and Denmark, pushing Microsoft out of the door. I reckon that Microsoft played their cards too early and against the wishes of their audience. We cannot blame the Trump administration for everything, so as France goes. I reckon that Monaco will also dial down the Microsoft beast and not to forget Lichtenstein. It has deep roots with both France and Germany, as such there is every chance that they, labeled one of the world’s wealthiest countries, boasting a GDP per capita exceeding $200,000. Which is uncannily high. It has a specialized financial services industry and also has deep roots with Switzerland. So, there is a chance that this might also end the power of Microsoft in the land of cheeses (banks also). I don’t think that Microsoft will yield the field, Excel for its origins in Lotus 1-2-3 has become the power system to call home for many in the financial industry snd there is no way that others can dethrone Excel, but that is pretty much the only application that is sitting safely and pretty. 

TechCrunch gave us (at https://techcrunch.com/2026/04/10/france-to-ditch-windows-for-linux-to-reduce-reliance-on-us-tech/) the setting “The country said it plans to move some of its government computers currently running Windows to the open source operating system Linux to further reduce its reliance on U.S. technology.” It is high time that this happened, but it still might be done in time before all these data centers would be holding onto EU data, they’ll still hold a lot, but not everything and that is when the dollar value of Microsoft goes into decline. Brian Sozzi (Executive editor Yahoo Finance) gave us “Goldman Sachs analyst Gabriela Borges pinned the company’s 23% plunge this year to two factors in a new note on Monday. First, upward revisions to capital expenditures without commensurate upward revisions to Azure cloud sales. This resurfaced concerns about returns on investment and Azure’s competitive positioning against peers such as Amazon’s (AMZN) AWS.” I reckon that the hundreds of millions of users that Microsoft will lose in 2025 will add to that pain, but to what extent, I personally have no idea.

With the American Administration the way it is, that pain is only getting worse, because the bulk of the world does not like that this American administration can get access to any data server that is founded on American soil, even if these data centers are in Denmark (or France, or the EU), these people want out as fast as they can. And that is happening right now. I don’t think that all EU nations will leave, still the idea that Satya Nadella lost roughly 450,402,641 users will have to hurt his ego a tiny bit. And I reckon that the stock price of 370.87 will equally take a hit, as such the valuation of 2.75 trillion (aka 2,751 billion, or 2,751,000 million) will decrease. I have no idea how much it will decrease, but as I see it, the gaming section was hit harder then they expected and now we see other venues take the proverbial dive. That is before people realize that the 27% stake in OpenAI is also seeing some ‘hindrance’ and as they quite recently invested $13 billion in that field. All whilst OpenAI also had a deal with AWS for $50 billion, rumors are there that the Microsoft legal divisions are ready to get their shares back, but I have no idea how deep this is and how far along this is. But when we see this on top of the setting with Fractal Vision (aka DeepSeek with AI for a fraction of the cost OpenAI is heralding), it seems that when the dust settles, the chance of Microsoft seeing 2 trillion vanish like snow in a volcano is not entirely unrealistic. 

How deep this losses go is unknown to me, but you could optionally ask Jamie Dimon (phone: +1 212-270-6265) at JPMorgan Chase & Co. He would know better than me. Still, France is a new cog in this delayed revenue fading machine. And it has the option of dragging several nations with them and from there the losses merely increase. The old expression goes ‘It never rains when it pours’ and I reckon that Satya Nadella has never seen a version of Compound Troubles seen explode on his table and here I was thinking that Microsoft CT was about community training. Ah well, you learn something new every day.

Well, I have to stop now, because I am giggling slightly too intense to enjoy coffee at present. So you all have a great day and consider downloading LibreOffice, it is 245 MB, free and installs easily. Time for me to consider another setting in gaming later today.

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April 10, 2026 · 01:49

Creation and creativity

That is the setting I see. Someone ‘alerted’ readers that Israel will be preparing for a ‘forever war’ and that might apply to some extent. They reacted poorly to Iran, but not all in all unexpected. Israel was under attack for the longest time of my life either direct, or indirect by Iran. So their setting makes sense to me. But in that same setting a new door is opening up for the UAE. They get the option to open the door of creation and creativity is where the bucks come. You see, if my setting of the United States make sense, America is about to become hindered by its own arrogance and their new reality of ‘we can no longer play that game’, but in that same sense of one, the other setting also becomes clear. 

So I will take a step back and lead you through that setting. Arabic is spoken in most of the Islamic nations and in that setting we get: 

Egypt – population of 90,000,000
India – population of 200,000,000
Indonesia – population of 250,000,000
Pakistan – population of 233,000,000
Bangladesh – population of 150,000,000
Turkey – population of 80,000,000

Which gets us a population of more than a billion and we still have all of the gulf states to get through. These are merely the top 6 and as I see it, it will be soon that the population of the United States will no longer be able to service them. A billion in Business Intelligence and all the dollars that combine them (as well as the Gulf States) and it is business right there for the picking up. So whilst we get IBM and their statistics, Oracle and their databases, Oracle Database provides extensive support for the Arabic language through its National Language Support (NLS) architecture, which handles character sets, sorting, and cultural conventions. But that setting might lose ground support from the United States, now combine that with Business Intelligence, the training of these people and the support from other regions is now getting close to a freewill and adjusting regional support (like Tourism) gets a new lease on life. Combine this with the settings that NICE (an Israeli customer care solution) gives the world, we see settings that might (might is still the operational preferred word) to a population of well over a billion and for the UAE and its near unique position would be able to service this setting to these nations and other too. And as things go from services, the education there might also be in a near free-fall as we see that the United States will lose more and more handle as their services fall short. The UAE could be one of the first to pick up the shortfall and takeover of these elements. As such the UAE comes out stronger and now we see an acquired setting where others might not be ready to take over the elements that were in hands of the United States for the longest of times. But as its settings fall short, they will make knee-jerk reaction to hold on to so many things and more and more service will fall free into the air. A perfect opportunity for the business sense of the Emirati people. 

When you get to think of this, you might think that the United States would hold on to this, but when the first services started to fumble, a lot more comes clear for a free-fall. The AFR gave us (on Tuesday) ‘Jamie Dimon is counting the straws that will break the market’s back’, Forbes is giving us “Every April, Jamie Dimon publishes his annual letter to JPMorganChase shareholders, and every April, the financial press spends a week dissecting his views on the economy, geopolitics, and regulatory reform. Meanwhile the technology section and references—arguably the most consequential parts of the letter for anyone working in banking or fintech—get the least attention. But not from me. Here’s what Dimon said about technology, and why every community banker and fintech executive should be paying close attention:

In a section on new products, Dimon wrote that the risks around customer data misuse are “likely to get far worse with AI and agentic commerce.” He framed this as an opportunity for JPMorgan to position itself as a trusted intermediary—essentially a consumer data guardian—and flagged plans to roll out products around “control of personal data, safe commerce and customer-friendly algorithms.” Community banks should be asking themselves who their answer to that question is. Buried in the macroeconomic risk section, Dimon mentions that five hyperscalers (Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, Apple) will spend $725 billion on AI-driven capital spending and construction in 2026, up from $450 billion in 2025. The scale creates two problems for smaller banks: 1) the infrastructure gap between large banks and community institutions is widening at a pace that periodic tech upgrades cannot close, and 2) the talent required to actually deploy AI—not buy it, but configure it, govern it, and integrate it—is getting absorbed by the hyperscalers.”

But personally I believe that the story is incomplete (and partially inaccurate) AI is not here, no matter what people say. There is a doom setting towards people not implementing AI, but AI is not here yet, it won’t be ready for decades and people are in this tailspin of doom and all the headless checks squawking ‘Get AI, get AI’ are delusional (some call these squawking chickens Influencers)  and if you pick through that balloon you get a lot of air, but that is all it is. Still the setting of DML and LLM could give some kind of relief when properly applied. I never denied that, but DML/llm is not AI, no matter what the chickens say. And in all this one name on the list is missing. IBM and their Business Intelligence and that is a powerful setting and take their BI and apply it to the top 6 you get one hell of a business venture. And normally there is no getting in-between that. But President Trump and his Big Beautiful Baloney gave life to this opportunity. Too bad for them that the internet is fueled by a WWW setting, not a BBB setting. And now this becomes the option for the UAE (optionally Saudi Arabia as well), but the UAE has a more powerful BI and business setting (this is a speculative setting I see, but I could be wrong), so as we see how the United States is faltering, the failing services for the top 6 named here gives rise to the business opportunity that is falling almost directly in the lap of the UAE. And whilst I might fail to see the how it falls, I believe that Abu Dhabi and Shariah might have the strongest settings. I am not short selling Dubai, merely seeing that these new ventures might be served better in a lower costing setting.

So whilst we see the BS the media feeds the population in the US and optionally EU too, a gap of options will open up in the UAE. Snowflake is already in the UAE (in Saudi Arabia as well), but I lack the knowledge to see where they are at present and I believe that the opportune mind will see a larger field of opportunity. So whilst the world is all screaming (like headless chickens) “Apply IA, apply AI” we tend to forget that only 5 years ago that setting was nil and BI was for almost three decades and out is that soon as the services from the United States are faltering, the UAE now has a option to capture this market and make it Arabic, because the language is part of the new stream, these 6 nations will be the first to capture that opportunity. That has always been the case. As such I say, look where you would go and the United States turned it always into: “Come to us” and when that falls flat, the new players will see what is there for them and I see great options for the UAE (I also want them to enjoy the shortfall others have) which gives rise to the statement “The UAE comes out stronger” and I believe that this believe in self is what is required to had a larger win of an economy handed to the USA for far too long.

So have a great day, my run to the weekend started 90 minutes ago and consider, what else did I miss? I cannot tell where your shortfall is, but I do know that I cannot have seen all the settings of opportunity in a mere three hours. I am clever, but I am not THAT clever, I don’t mind.

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March 29, 2026 · 05:44

The Bull what?

I was confronted with an Oracle article this morning, it came with the complements of the Insider Monkey (at https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/oracles-orcl-backlog-drives-its-bull-thesis-according-to-analysts-1726682/). The article ‘Oracle’s (ORCL) Backlog Drives Its Bull Thesis According To Analysts’ which might be a conundrum, so lets take a look. We are given “The major factors in the firm’s bullish thesis on ORCL are its massive backlog and its ability to cater to increasing AI investments in the US. Oracle has a remaining performance obligation (RPO) of $553 billion, which offers good visibility into the company’s future earnings.” I would go with that a backlog gives stock and future of a company value, but that might be an oversimplification. And $553,000,000,000 is nothing to sneer at. It is seemingly more than the overall business that several nations have and in this case it is more then Norway gets on an annual level. So I would go with that, but what is a bullish thesis? 

Well, in short “A bull thesis is a structured argument supporting the belief that a specific stock, sector, or the overall market will rise in value, driven by positive catalysts like strong earnings, innovation, or economic expansion. It focuses on growth potential, such as AI-driven productivity, high revenue backlogs, or increased market share.” (Source: Simply Wall Street).

So I had it correct the first time over (a few days ago). There was nothing new under the hot sun, but the next bit ‘surprised’ me a bit. It was “The analyst also pointed out that a major risk in the bull thesis is the customer concentration. A large part of this backlog comes from OpenAI. OpenAI intends to invest a total of $600 billion in computing power by 2030. Previously, in October, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said the company could spend up to $1.4 trillion on infrastructure by 2033. One month ago, BNP Paribas analyst Stefan Slowinski commented on how this particular risk is now reducing for Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL):” So in short, most of the backlog comes from OpenAI, if OpenAI fails (not a weird thought) Oracle stumbles as would be the case, so the backlog is due to mostly one customer and that is a rusk. How big a risk remains to be seen. The people wanting OpenAI to succeed are numerous and ‘THEY’ would be reducing the risk like the metal dealer reducing the risk of riveting and downplaying potential dangers. This went well before the Titanic saw the shores of the ocean (bottom of the sea), but what happens afterwards? Now, riveting is largely supported, there are whole fleets still out there based on riveting. But what happens when the next big thing comes (like welding), so that is where we are right now. But on the horizon we see Google DeepMind, Anthropic, Meta, DeepSeek and something called Cohere. I believe Oracle is in a good space as whatever comes next will require a system that deal with data and I believe that the only competitor here is Snowflake. As such yes, there is a risk to (what some call) the Bull thesis, but the risk is seemingly small as nothing can match Oracle and Snowflake can only partially cover Oracle (as I see it) and I have some reservations on BNP Paribas analyst Stefan Slowinski as BNP Paribas and OpenAI have a multifaceted relationship involving financial analysis, infrastructure, and competition within the AI landscape and this article dos not bare this out. But in that setting we also fail to see the setting that ‘SoftBank Secures $40 Billion Loan to Fund $30 Billion OpenAI Investment’ (source: TradingView) this matters as there is a backlog and they still need loans/investment funds? And the second setting is given to us (at https://www.nssmag.com/en/lifestyle/44761/sora-openai-shutdown) where we see ‘Understanding OpenAI’s U-turn on Sora’ where we see “The development team of Sora, the artificial intelligence software by OpenAI that allowed users to generate realistic videos from a simple prompt, recently announced the shutdown of the app. It is a sudden and highly significant change, one that is expected to produce notable effects in the technology and entertainment sectors, with repercussions that could extend well beyond the U.S. market. The shutdown of Sora is not relevant only for the company led by Sam Altman, but also for other players active in the field of generative AI applied to video production. Google, for instance, now finds itself in an advantageous position in this area, with the concrete possibility of consolidating its leadership in the generation of realistic AI-based videos – thanks to its tool Veo.” So some will see this as a boost to Google (DeepMind) but this happens before these tracks became financially viable (read: paying off) and these elements will create some sort of minor shockwave. The problem is that 3-4 shockwaves can create a massive customer turnover (like towards a competitor) and even if it doesn’t ‘damage’ Oracle, it might hurt prospects in that near future. Consider that this backlog of $553 billion reduces it to a mere $125,000,000,000 Still a large number, but that is when it starts raining men on Wall Street (aka: watch out below).  All elements overlooked in Insider Monkey and the non-Chinese media is not too bitty in the DeepSeek settings. So we are mostly unaware how their next version of its engine is. All elements that will influence the view on Oracle. I still have faith that Oracle will pull through successfully, but these pesky investors are at present more jittery than a room full of roaches as you turn on the lights. It might not be the best setting for a long term ‘understanding’ and that is something Oracle has to deal with. 

Have a great day, I am now 120 minutes from breakfast, although if I was in Vancouver I could enjoy another lunch in the Nightingale like a Cache Creek Beef Tartare, yummy.

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March 22, 2026 · 23:29

Are we really that dim?

I saw an article that the BBC put out last week. I must have missed it, because I tend to look at BBC news each day. So the article (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cqj9kgxqjwjo) is giving us ‘Meta and TikTok let harmful content rise after evidence outrage drove engagement, say whistleblowers’ and here I am not really that clear why needed whistleblowers. The media has been doing this for the better part of a decade. These morning shows (what they call entertainment) are driven to push the boundaries of engagement. A carefully placed half witted word is all it takes to drive up engagement. And driven to all this is the digital dollar, because these pages also drive advertisement money for all concerned. As such it is to be expected that Meta and others (in this case TikTok) would be on that same horse. So whilst we are given “Social media giants made decisions which allowed more harmful content on people’s feeds, after internal research into their algorithms showed how outrage fuelled engagement, whistleblowers told the BBC. More than a dozen whistleblowers and insiders have laid bare how the companies took risks with safety on issues including violence, sexual blackmail and terrorism as they battled for users’ attention.” And this comes with the added “The whistleblowers who spoke to the BBC documentary, Inside the Rage Machine, offer a close-up view of how the industry responded following the explosive growth of TikTok, whose highly engaging algorithm for recommending short videos upended social media, leaving rivals scrambling to catch up. A senior Meta researcher, Matt Motyl, said the company’s competitor to TikTok, Instagram Reels, was launched in 2020 without sufficient safeguards. Internal research shared with the BBC showed comments on Reels had significantly higher prevalence of bullying and harassment, hate speech, and violence or incitement than elsewhere on Instagram.” I am not surprised and it comes with the added concerns that we aren’t being given here. You see, the word “Advertisement” isn’t given once in this article. And advertisement is driving this. Simply because advertisement is money, it is printed money that can be handed over anywhere and the second stage that the advertisement lobby is now quietly becoming a lot bigger than the NRA or the National Association of Realtors (NAR), which spent approximately $63.5 million in the USA, followed closely by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce at over $53 million. The advertisement lobby knows that they need to stand in the shadows (for now), so whilst we might think that the Association of National Advertisers (ANA), which  represents over 1,000 companies and 15,000 brands, focusing on marketing strategies and lobbying against restrictions on advertising, or the American Association of Advertising Agencies (4A’s), they represent advertising agencies, focusing on industry standards and advocacy. And there are a few more. None of them is making any sounds to the setting of these settings, because their pennies are depending on all this and these pennies when multiplied by a few billion become a serious amount of money and that money is coming in every day through engagement and flames. So at what point will we see the deeper story behind all of this?

Because at some point this lobby becomes too large to be unseated and whilst the NRA is in the United States, the advertisement lobby is working on a global setting and no-one is taking that serious. So, whilst some agencies (locally) are vetting for legality, decency, and truthfulness. The moment it crosses borders they become pretty silent.

In this I wonder when the BBC takes up that baton and takes a much harder look at what they are leaving in the dirt. What parts of all this is not being picked up by anyone? 

These are simple question, but the answers might show that there is more to all this and that is seemingly not seen.

Have a great day. 

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