Tag Archives: Anthropic

July 10, 2026 · 22:16

Is it the water level?

Yup, we are all in that setting, but are we merely waving to the music of Debbie Harry or are we watching the waves from the shorelines. That is merely two options, but when some say that the tide is high, they might be referring to bubbles, the AI bubble to be more precise. I am not some economist saying that bubbles are blasphemy and I am no economist, but I have looked at numbers for decades and the numbers we are given do not add up, and when I was watching Inside Job something hit me, there was a familiar pattern evolving, not evolving, repeating is a better word and I have been saying this for some time. Yet today, a mere 10 minutes ago I see ‘UK Places Microsoft, Google, Amazon And Oracle Under Financial Oversight’ (at https://www.businesstoday.com.my/2026/07/10/uk-places-microsoft-google-amazon-and-oracle-under-financial-oversight/) where we see “The UK has placed Microsoft, Google, Amazon and Oracle under direct regulatory oversight after designating the cloud service providers as critical third parties to the country’s financial system. Reuters reported that effective July 13, the designation covers Microsoft Ireland Operations Ltd, Google Cloud EMEA Ltd, Amazon Web Services EMEA SARL and Oracle Corporation UK Ltd, reflecting the financial sector’s growing dependence on cloud infrastructure”, so whilst the story ends with “The designation will bring the four technology firms under direct regulatory oversight as part of efforts to safeguard the stability and continuity of the UK’s financial sector.” And it comes after we were given (at https://m.au.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/oracle-stock-shrugs-off-sp-downgrade-to-bbb-but-120b-debt-shadow-looms-4526441) where we see ‘Oracle stock shrugs off S&P downgrade to ’BBB-’, but $160B debt shadow looms’ where we see “Oracle Corp. (NYSE:ORCL) shares managed to gain 2.7% on Thursday, defying a credit rating downgrade from S&P Global Ratings. While shares edged slightly lower from their midday highs, the tech giant still traded firmly in positive territory. Investors chose to focus on Oracle’s staggering $638 billion backlog of cloud contracts rather than the immediately apparent threat to its balance sheet: S&P downgraded Oracle’s long-term issuer credit rating to ’BBB-’ from ’BBB’, retaining a stable outlook.”

Now, I am not having anything against Oracle. They have always been on the foreground of technology and innovation in its field and it is unlikely to ever change. But there is a larger setting, the entire AI bubble as I see it, it will hit them too. They all over invested in that setting and they are likely the biggest catchers of the implosion of that event. But I am still in arms over ““The official position of the Secretary and the U.S. Treasury is that Artificial intelligence will be a key driver of America’s new Golden Age,” the spokesperson said. “AI has the potential to deliver unprecedented productivity gains, expand economic opportunity, and empower American workers and businesses.”” You see, there is no golden age, there is no AI, not yet at least. There is DML and LLM and they are great, they can hand innovation and prosperity in several ways. It merely isn’ AI and that needs to be said, because soon the class actions will go for the “It’s AI and we cannot really predict what AI does” but it isn’t, it is DML and that requires a programmer, it requires data and these two hinder stones are the backdrop for prosecution. Only last week we were given ‘Anthropic Faces a New $75 Million Lawsuit for Pirating Books to Train Claude AI’ and less than 24 hours ago Harvard Business Review ‘You Outsourced the AI—but you still own the risk’ where we see “As enterprises increasingly embed third-party systems into their workflows, technological risk has led to new legal and operational responsibilities. Leaders may have little visibility into how a model was trained or how it changes, yet when it discriminates, mishandles data, or harms a customer, regulators and plaintiffs often look first to the company that deployed it. Peloton learned how that exposure can arise. Visitors to its website see a familiar invitation to “chat,” powered by a third-party vendor. According to a class-action complaint, the vendor recorded and stored conversations and used the data to improve its machine-learning models. Peloton neither built nor trained the system. Even so, a California federal judge allowed a claim against the company to proceed. The parties later jointly dismissed the case, without publicly disclosing the terms.”

Now consider the amalgamation of these factors (apart from some saying there is no bubble) there is (allegedly) “Worldwide spending on AI is forecast to reach $2.5 trillion. Venture capital and private corporate investments in AI firms sit near $258.7 billion globally, with over $750 billion in dedicated infrastructure and data center capital expenditure from major tech hyperscalers” we then see that the big players (Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Oracle) are basically overextended, facing class actions and all of them are looking at all sorts of financial hardship, because at some stage all these players will be made to rephrase the simple truth that AI is not DML/LLM, it requires more and when the programming is put under a loop that setting comes crashing down. I saw it two years ago that this is the only outcome in some sales people overselling what they had and the simplest setting is not a mere Quantum computer. It requires shallow circuits and what I tend to call The Epsilon processor. True AI cannot exist in a binary setting. The last one is my interpretation of it all and some might disagree. But the Epsilon processor allows for Null, False, True, Both and it is the Both part that makes true AI possible and of course a matching operating systems will be required as well a data carrier and in that case Oracle and Snowflake have the grounds for success. As I see it, all others will fall behind these two. 

And last month we were given that “400 newspapers sued OpenAI and Microsoft for scraping their content without permission or compensation to train artificial intelligence programs” even my data has been scraped. So how many will be successful? How many will fail? I have no idea, but the odds are decently stacked against these salespeople. And as the courts rule against these Fake AI bringers (as I see it) there will be a rush of people making a case, all who were sold AI (without clear DML/LLM settings in their contracts) are seeing their pupils transform into dollar signs and they will try to clean house. So when all these settings happen, is the stage for a bubble that far fetched? 

I am watching and watching and noting what is due. I reckon that at some point I get the one piece of evidence that will allow me to do just that, 2700 (out of nearly 4000) article scraped seemingly give me an optional case for some dollars (five million plus would be great). And I am not the greediest player in town. So at what point will the investors of $2.5 trillion ring the bell wanting to see payment for their investments? Goldman Sachs gave us last month ‘The AI Investment Boom: When Will It Pay Off?’ With “The economics of artificial intelligence are more questionable today than two years ago, says Goldman Sachs Research’s Jim Covello, as enterprise buyers, model companies, and hyperscalers have yet to show returns on their spend. In a conversation with Alison Nathan and George Lee on Goldman Sachs Exchanges, Covello discusses where we’ve seen economic value accrue to date and why semiconductor companies can’t continue to be the sole beneficiaries of the AI buildout.” As such we see people with serious economic skills worrying and wondering what comes next and I was there at least a year ago. So when will others see the doubt that I am seeing? The money people call the bubble a blasphemy, but they have vested interests. I do not. I merely see the flaws on technology that is at least 15-20 years away, data that is largely unvalidated and unverified and at this juncture people are investing trillions? Makes me all tingly that too many people are greed driven and too much vested to be part of a boom that does not exist, just like the settings of 2008, Inside Job showed that clearly and it seems that we have a similar setting evolve at least two times the previous caper. So if you consider that with all the reserves that hit took the economy 2 decades to fix and at present the reserves are gone, so what will happen now? Why aren’t others taking the stand the UK is making? Because others are in the believe that “America’s new Golden Age” is here? When you realize that it will take close to two decades to arrive, how long until too many investors pull the plug and go somewhere else? What will happen then? That is what I see coming, because at some point more and more people wake up, this is bound to happen, it always does.

So is the water high enough? Have a great day.

Leave a comment

Filed under Finance, IT, Law, Media, Science

Tagged as , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

June 27, 2026 · 21:00

The next stretch

In continuation of yesterday’s story, it is time to die you the next part. There is no news. As I personally see it, the news has become a much larger soapbox for big business and politicians. As such I can weave my own yarns and likely more entertaining. So where was I? I ended yesterday with 

“His mind felt around the direction where the pulse was from. He was feeling something, but he had not felt this in centuries. It was time to find what was happening.”

The sensation was coming from the north north east, far beyond Ad Durar Street. He walked towards Yas Mall and decided to walk into IKEA. He walked into the restaurant and ordered the Salmon Teriyaki with Mango salsa, sparkling mineral water and a large coffee. He put 4 notes of 20 dirham in the hands of the lady and got some coins back. He needed and sat at a table by the window. There was not anything owe could do, but now he had a better feel of what was happening and the mall was not in the way of any interrupting feelings. He concentrated and viewed the people with his other sight. There was nothing out of the ordinary of anyone he could see, whatever this was, it would have a dark aura, optionally bordering on black. With every bite and sip he took, he was looking to the people in the back, even there, there was nothing to show him what was the cause. The weird thing what that he had not felt this feeling in over 15 centuries.  And this kind of power does not usually hide. It was more common in the 5th century when the Jinn were a lot more common than they are now. But they might be hiding in the folds of safety. Still. He had not felt this way for a long time and if there is a new player in town, he had to know. 

By the end of the meal, he had another blip, it felt like to was around Noya Luma. As such he decided to walk there. It took him around 45 minutes. He was taking his time to scan and see the people he did notice. It was more of a community, so the people were weary of him, they had not seen him before and after a while a person walked up to him and said “hal yumkinuk musaeadati min fadlika?” Apparently the man needed help. He nodded and followed him, his mind saw that there was no one to see and no cameras. The man wielded a knife and pointed it at him “Your money, now” He saw this coming a mile away and he smirked, the man pushed the knife towards his chest and he grabbed the hand holding the knife with his left hand, his right hand went around the neck of the man. His concentration told him that he was out of sight in every way. He felt the ring on his right hand. And he squeezed a little more and the next second the man was turning to ash, the power of his strength had evolved over the centuries, as such he was very blessed to turn this man to ash, even the bones dissolved, the calcium lost its coherence on the spot and he went away in a cloud of ash, the ash fell to the ground, but he knew that the smallest breeze and some water would be all that was needed to remove whatever evidence ever existed. He saw a few items, which he left where they were. The knife he would cast in some trashcan the first moment he found one. He continued on his route and when he arrived, he saw nothing of worthy, but he noticed a Starbuck sign and decided to sit down, have a sandwich and more coffee and feel the surroundings. 

When he got his coffee with a dynamite chicken sandwich and sat down, he could relax for now and feel what more could be coming his way. He was sitting for at least an hour when he felt the air change. It was what he expected, it seemed to be a jinn, but not a normal one. Darker and a lot more dangerous than he had ever seen. He saw none of the people that gave the vibe, but then he saw it, the aura was none existent, a weird setting, but it made sense now. It was not a Jinn at all, it was an afreet and not a normal one. He was seemingly a lot stronger than anything anyone in his larger family had ever faced. As such, he was not going to approach it now. He watched the man and saw the man was fitting in, not wanting to stand out. He liked that, because an afreet is normally full of chaos and destruction. This one was different, but he was not taking any chances. He then felt a larger different pulse, not anything he had ever felt, it felt Egyptian in origin, but he had no idea who it was, merely that it was massively old, older than he had ever felt. Optionally older than his grandfather, which was the weirdest of feelings. His grandfather was here before mankind was, so if it was older. What was it?

He binned his trash and walked back. Time to get back to the hotel, but the idea of getting food at that Rainforest cafe. The lamb mandi meal radiated with appeal and he was getting hungry. He was walking towards the Mall when he suddenly felt weird, his senses alerted him and he felt the afreet right behind him. No-one had approached him unfelt for centuries. He stopped and turned around. The man looked at him. Who are you? He asked. I go by the name Lavrinthi. And you? Let me introduce my self. I am Al-Malik al-Aswad, I am also known as the black king. I noticed you Olympian, but you are not really Olympian, are you? There is something different about you. Lavrinthi looked at the man. The other filing was not you, was it. Lavrinthi shook his head. I seems Egyptian, but I never felt anything like that before. The man nodded. I will let you leave now, the afreet turned around and walked away. Lavrinthi looked at the afreet walking of and went towards the Mall. Time for some diner and time to consider what he had experienced. He considered his options and decided to take another path. He decided to see if the afreet would approach him, or if he would keep his distance. After his meal he stopped at a coffee place and had another coffee. Time to get back to that Warner Brothers hotel, he was so looking forward to the breakfast they serve, but that will come after the night he has coming and it would be time to erect a very different kind of protection, because he had not experience anxiousness in many centuries and getting approached unseen was a really new experience for him.

What happens next? See another day, the next installment might come in the next few days.

Well this part is also for ADTV (or its parent Abu Dhabi Media). Perhaps they like it, perhaps not. I am getting my creative soul fed and that is good for me, a lot better than weeding out BS from optional BS, which is how I see a lot of the media exposure. And when the Financial times is giving us ‘Trump administration asks OpenAI to stagger release of new model to vet users’ as well as ‘Trump administration allows some access to Anthropic’s Mythos’, so whilst some people are considering that “Unease over Washington’s ad hoc regulatory approach remains.” And in all that time no one is considering that it opens up the European markets for DeepSeek and whether the next part is real ‘Microsoft Now Wants Users To Adopt Chinese DeepSeek AI After Failure Of Copilot’ (source: Channel News) is unknown, but that is opening a few Chinese walk ins into the west. The status? I have no idea, I honestly don’t. But some are saying that the race between China and the western AI markets are much harder to see and I get it, but what happens to that famous ‘Big Beautiful Stargate’? Consider that this is a $500 billion market being poured in a second or third placement and as I see it (and written about several times) set for a non-existing AI, or as I prefer to call it a fake AI. So we see a massive public-private AI infrastructure venture aiming to invest up to US$500 billion to build the world’s most powerful AI data centers and Europe and optionally the Commonwealth as well are setting up Chinese walls (a happy coincidence expression) against United States data centers. So, investing that much in data centers that are keeping track of a population of 349 members of the United States? I very much doubt that and I reckon that these centers will be avoided by China and several others as well. Did anyone consider what happened to the $500 billion? Just a questions to ask. 

Have a great day.

Leave a comment

Filed under Stories

Tagged as , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

June 26, 2026 · 07:07

On the lighter side

We all have that at times, the setting of a lighter side. You know the average romcom with sex, a little violence, the setting of blackmail and of course, some piece of software. The average day in the life of an fake AI. So I was ‘rudely’ awakened by news (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwyklykn5dwo) where we see ‘Anthropic accuses Chinese rival Alibaba of illicitly extracting AI capabilities’. So it made me laugh, b because this comes at the near start of a bubble heading straight for the HQ of Anthropic. Now let me show you what I was having in mind with all this and best I use graphics for that setting.

So we see the application on the left, the data on the right and in the middle we get the setting of that fake AI, you see it has DML and LLM, which I represented as a separate stage, but it could be one big thing, the coding is in the middle and there is interaction between the three like any application would have. So the middle part could be part of the application (it likely is), but for the clarity I wanted to show it like this. Because the picture fits better for the explanation. So the question becomes (the sound of dramatic horns in my mind)

“US artificial intelligence (AI) giant Anthropic has accused Chinese e-commerce and technology firm Alibaba of “brazenly” and “illicitly” extracting its Claude AI model’s capabilities.” How is this possible? I am not saying that it cannot be true, because that requires evidence, but if we see these parts, how blazingly stupid is anthropic to let someone else have a go at this. Beside this, what EXACTLY is “extracting its Claude AI model’s capabilities”? You see, when you see the image, the capabilities are shown in the application and cannot proceed without data (or less likely so), so as we are in the bubble setting this so called move sounds like a joke and with the added “In a letter sent to two members of the US Congress, the San Francisco-based company said operators linked to Alibaba carried out almost 29 million exchanges with Claude using thousands of fraudulent accounts in what it called the largest extraction campaign of its kind.” It seems like there is a massive security lack in all this (that is, if there is a transgression stage). But the setting that we see with “operators linked to Alibaba carried out almost 29 million exchanges” so as I see it, in 2014 we had the Cambridge Analytica scandal, where Facebook got ‘relieved’ of a whole lot of data. Doesn’t anyone learn from that experience, as such we get a repetition of all this? But I hope the story is clear. How was this even possible? As I see it “According to Anthropic, the campaign was carried out through what are known as “distillation attacks”, which extracted answers from a stronger AI model to train a weaker one.” This is a debatable setting (not stating it cannot happen), but the image I ‘created’ shows that a distillation attack requires a lot of information that requires insider knowledge to be successful. 

As such, I am not saying that Alibaba and the 40 fighters for the Palestinian cause is innocent, but I have doubts on the entire setting. I personally see this as a Dutch SNS setting. Where the massive mortgage (the invested dollars in Anthropic) are written of by putting it into a bad bank and letting that bad bank collapse. As such you need to be aware that I could be wrong, it is based on expected behavior and speculative settings, so do not take my word on it, but consider that at present the BBC is spinning you a yarn by presenting the data from others. Just so you know.

So, this is how I got my 05:00 wake up call, thank you BBC. Now it is time to get some coffee and optionally have breakfast afterwards.

Leave a comment

Filed under Finance, IT, Science

Tagged as , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

June 25, 2026 · 15:40

Expect bubbles

That is what I was introduced to (really early) this morning and I saw a few articles, but one gave me an interesting option. So lets take a look. (At https://stocksdownunder.com/ai-bubble-chip-stocks-crash/) we are given ‘Is the AI Bubble Bursting? Why Nvidia, Micron and Chip Stocks Are Crashing’ it holds a lot of record, but I was taken with this setting ‘Is the AI Bubble Bursting or Just a Healthy Reset?’ With the text “Here is the honest answer: it could be either, and the truth is probably somewhere in between. The bear case is simple. Micron has more than tripled in value this year, and a run like that leaves very little room for disappointment. The bull case is that demand for AI memory and data centres is still strong, and analysts note the selling looked more like a rush for the exits than a real change in the companies’ earnings. We lean towards this being a crowded trade getting stress-tested, not the end of the AI story. But if the selling spreads well beyond chip stocks, that view needs to change quickly” (and at this point I learned that whoever was working on this is a noob and an idiot for his CSS settings as they are all over the place) But that is matter for another day. The “It could be either” and a third setting was the one I referred to a few days ago when simply Wall Street put out an unsigned piece that Palantir could be overvalued for well over 20%, as such this market has some people in it that would like to short stock as that is where their dollars come flying. And as we see in the article “Investors simply pay less for today for profits that may not arrive for years.” And as I see it, some investors are not beyond shorting stock if it fuels their profits, so a third reason is found. I am still on the side of the AI bubble shorting, but n that case a healthy reset of trillions is not out of the scope of things and the marshmallow field of fictive unicorns is rearing its ugly head that comes with the “late arrival of profits” and now that the investors are wondering what they got into, some will see that they are fueling a stock market that cannot survive delay upon delay and with AI not yet existing that is where it is all heading. So it is time to get another view and we see this in Clean Technica (at https://cleantechnica.com/2026/06/24/trillion-dollar-ai-bubble-on-verge-of-popping/) where we see ‘Trillion-Dollar AI Bubble On Verge Of Popping?’ And I am not adding it, because this is in part the view I have, what we see is “Yann LeCun, one of the “Godfathers of AI,” is one of the notable people who think the industry has been far too overhyped and misunderstood. He’s been pointing out that AI costs could be much higher than the amount of money customers are willing to pay for it.” It comes (also) with “Labs like OpenAI and Anthropic are going to have to increase prices, they’re going to have to cut costs, or there’s going to be a big bubble explosion,” and ““In their pursuit to boost productivity, become less reliant on human labor, and reassure investors that they’re riding the cutting edge of tech, some nagging issues are cropping up,” Futurism adds, and “over-relying on AI can prove disastrous for organizational knowledge, the critical business insights companies need to make strategic decisions.”” This is the setting that is actually fueling both the bubble burst as well as a healthy reset all at the same time and I reckon that for OpenAI, Anthropic, Grok and Microsoft that will most likely happen in the least interesting time and they will all ‘suffer’ for it, so consider when this bubble loses $4,000,000,000,000 – $5,000,000,000,000 (writing the word trillion makes it trivial) because that is likely to happen and the market is figuring out what I saw over 1-2 years ago, when you realise that all AI is fake, it is easy and let there be no mistake, all AI is fake. You see, what we are seeing is Deeper Machine Learning and Large Language Models and these are great tools and they will create markets for themself, but the people are expecting AI and that is just not true. So as AP News gives us “The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite fell 110.40 points, or 0.4%, to 25,476.64. A 2.3% drop in Microsoft was the heaviest weight on the market. Oracle slumped 4.6%. Many large tech companies have been behind Wall Street’s record-setting run throughout the year, but analysts have warned their valuations may have become stretched.” I personally reckon that someone is likely playing a stock short game with both Oracle and Palantir. You see, no matter how you slice it, the proper Data needs for DML/LLM solutions require data technology and these two are refined into the core of that and optionally there is Snowflake as well, but it might not yet be large enough to get the attention of the stock shorting DoDo’s (lets call them that).

Jawlah, a prominent Arabic digital media platform and news organization focused on venture capital (VC), startups, and the entrepreneurial ecosystem in Saudi Arabia and the broader MENA region (Middle East/ North Africa) gives us (at https://jawlah.co/en/59212) where we see ‘Fears of an AI bubble burst after a sharp tech stock sell-off’, which I reckon is fair enough. But the interesting part is where we see “The decline followed a near-800% surge in Micron’s stock over the past year, driven largely by rising demand for memory chips needed to run AI globally — gains some analysts believe may have overestimated expected returns”, as well as “Gil Luria, head of technology research at D.A. Davidson, explains the volatility: “The market swings between a wave of optimism that AI will change everything and renewed skepticism that it is just an expensive bubble whose returns do not justify the current spending.”.” And I am here in opposition, it is not “renewed skepticism”, it is the mere setting that those willing to hand out trillions should never have been so optimistic without proper case files and validation, so whilst they might get their cash back in 2045 when actual AI comes into play, the rest until then will be massively overvalued.  As I, as a non-believer, see it, someone listened to a sales person with the mindset of a second hand car salesman that stated “Look, we have AI” and the rest followed like crazy to get those coins rolling their way and now we are optionally seeing the start of an AI bubble. I am trodding carefully because there is disagreement whether it is an actual bubble popping. I reckon it requires an actual econometrist to call that for real and I ain’t one of those actuary types (nowhere near).

What we see is that we are given “it has erased approximately $2.7 trillion in market value across AI-linked companies”, all whilst the reasoning is “massive debt-funded data center expansions, mounting hardware costs, and growing investor scrutiny over artificial intelligence’s actual return on investment” which (as I personally see it) is only partially true. As I see it, the data sovereignty in Europe and the Commonwealth is setting the drain on the Return on Investments (ROI) towards these massive debt-funded data center expansions and that will hit business in the United States a lot harder than anywhere else. You see the United States has over 4,000 data centers. So how many are still under debt? And when a response group of over 700 million people walk away from that, with an additional optional population of up to 2.7 billion people (that is the complete Commonwealth), so it will not be that much, but I reckon at least 50%, that is 4,000 centers that will now lose close to 2 billion people (or 2,000 million), so where is that unused potential going? That is what I saw almost a year ago (actually a lot earlier, but until President Trump come, most people let the states quo continue) and that has now changed. So as others players (like DayOne) and there is someone in Sweden who saw this coming a few years ago and put his money where his thoughts were. I forgot that players name, but they are likely to make massive gains. All out off the hands of the United States. That part is not represented in any of these articles, but it is a factor in all of this.

So, we are expecting bubbles and I reckon a few other setting will rear its ugly heads, but the markets will all attribute this towards bubbles, because some is massively unhappy to attribute the other losses towards an US Administration that should have known better, but that is merely me looking at other factors in all this. The larger issue in all this is that some solutions are likely to be rather good and I hope that they are allowed to continue, because investors and speculators will want their returns at whatever expense they can get and some will suffer because of that greed driven taint in all this. But I might be the next village idiot in all this. Just like that seer in the 3rd century that saw large walls of stone with thousands of people and it was written off as a lying loon (he saw the Altiero Spinelli building in Brussels) but that is a story for another day.

So whatever you do, don’t rush into or out of anything without clearly seeing the ramifications. Have a great day today.

Leave a comment

Filed under Finance, IT, Media, Politics, Science

Tagged as , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

June 1, 2026 · 13:46

The new short is coming

Saw there articles today, which gives me the willies. The people are that dumb to believe this? But to give you the goods, lets strata the beginning. The first one was CNBC giving us (at https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/28/anthropic-open-ai-startup-value.html) where we see ‘Anthropic tops OpenAI as most valuable AI startup, nears $1 trillion valuation in latest round’ it is here that we are given “The newest round was led by Altimeter Capital, Dragoneer, Greenoaks and Sequoia Capital, and almost triples Anthropic’s valuation from February, when it was worth $380 billion. The financing also includes $15 billion of previously committed investments, including $5 billion from Amazon, the company said. Anthropic’s biggest competitor OpenAI was valued at $852 billion in late March after closing a record-breaking $122 billion funding round.” But these people need to give us the why, so we are given ““Claude is increasingly indispensable to our growing global community of customers, and we work tirelessly to make tools like Claude Code and Cowork more helpful, more powerful, and more adaptable to their needs,” Anthropic Chief Financial Officer Krishna Rao said in Thursday’s press release. “This funding will help us serve the historic demand we are experiencing, stay at the research frontier, and bring Claude to more of the places where work happens.” Anthropic’s latest round comes as the leading AI model makers prepare to go public.” So, after this introduction into this blatant presentation, it is time for TechTalk to give us (at https://www.techtimes.com/articles/317467/20260531/samsung-hbm4e-ships-first-record-756-profit-surge-triggers-analyst-upgrades-ai-memory-lead.htm) where we are headed off with ‘Samsung HBM4E Ships First: Record 756% Profit Surge Triggers Analyst Upgrades on AI Memory Lead’, so all this fake AI has been going around for some time and I reckon that there is a misrepresentation with the 756% profit surge. So if my feelings are right, we need to look at the story and it is here that we are given “Samsung Electronics began shipping the world’s first 12-layer high-bandwidth memory 4 Extended (HBM4E) samples to major global customers on Friday, May 29, 2026 — putting the South Korean chipmaker at least six months ahead of rivals SK Hynix and Micron in the race to supply next-generation AI accelerators, and triggering a wave of analyst upgrades that pushed Samsung’s market capitalization past 2,000 trillion won for the first time in history. The milestone arrived just three months after Samsung began mass-producing its predecessor chip, HBM4, and came on the same day Samsung shares surged 5.84% to close at 317,000 won.” And here my gut feeling is satisfied. So can anyone give me how a 756% profit surge validates a mere 5.84%? Something does not add up. It doesn’t matter that Samsung is bigger than this, a 756% profit surge should validate more than an almost 6% surge. Some people are playing with your senses. 

So before I get to the third article. A little lesson. It is not the lesson you like and it isn’t even the lesson you will appreciate, but here goes. All AI is fake. There I not exception to this no matter what dance mr Oldman gives on stage, his ChatGPT was surpassed by Gemini and Anthropic some time ago and there is no guarantee that this will go his way. Google Gemini (and I love Google) is just as bit as fake as the others. Then we get all the others, all fake. Why? The stage is that all these are driven by DML/LLM and they are strong and good engine, they just aren’t AI. AI requires a few more components, some are ready but still in their early stages (like Quantum computing) then there is the need for Shallow circuits and I only know that IBM has come far in this field and they are working on this 10 years ago, are they ready? I guess not, because the media would be full of that if it were, but the are advancing and then there is the Epsilon chip. We have seen the theory, we have seen the evidence (some have seen this), but it does not yet exist in a chip, not yet and I have no idea when that will happen. So then we get the Trinary operating system, that is the last part. I particle think that IBM and Oracle are quietly working on this, but that is a gut feeling, all these parts combined are still 15 years away (my speculative feel). Oh, and in none of this Microsoft turns up, because it might take longer then. So this is what I know through the settings of decades of IT work and a decade of writing. But it matters, because now we get MSN with Larry Fink giving us (at https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/savingandinvesting/larry-fink-says-pensions-will-help-fund-10t-ai-buildout/ss-AA24sE6Z?ocid=finance-verthp-feeds) that ‘Larry Fink says pensions will help fund $10T AI buildout’, so whilst all your retirements are set into this bubble, this fictive bubble, better be rare that this last story was “Curated by AI” a mere 20 hours ago. I reckon that no one at MSN wants to put his or her name under this setting. We are given “Fink estimates $10 trillion will be needed for AI infrastructure by 2036, with $7 trillion for data centers alone.” And in addition we are given “Index fund-heavy retirement accounts are increasingly concentrated in AI-focused tech giants leading the spending.” And it comes with the warning that “Experts warn that overexposure to one sector could threaten retirement security if AI growth stalls.” In short, we are being set up. As I see it, over exposure would lead to the end of our pensions when the bubble of fake AI comes calling and even this late, at 64 when you see your pensions being squandered by hot headed job chasers claiming AI is this, or is that and we do not see a clear ROI, you know somethings up. This feels like the movie the Big Short, a 2015 American biographical comedy drama film directed by Adam McKay from a screenplay by McKay and Charles Randolph. Based on the 2010 book by Michael Lewis, it depicts how the 2008 financial crisis was triggered by the United States housing bubble. This is how it went everyone comes with the setting ‘you have to be in it to win’ and they are all gambling like it is some Texas holder game whilst they all have a version of a beer hand (7-2 offsuit) and they want to continue their rounds of gambling, hoping that the other players will fold, but they are all in it to over their necks, so they are all desperate. This is how I see it and when you get the numbers, especially on proven ROI, you will see that filling this 10 trillion gap with pensions is folly. I intend to call my pension that AI investments are off limits. I would rather put it in ADNOC or IHC. Three stories that make my blood grow thick in fear, they are now pushing the safety boundaries for millions of people and I am worried that no one is speaking up, it is that kind of a day and still there are no options for me, so I am beyond caring. 

Try to have a great day and try to keep your pension safe.

1 Comment

Filed under Finance, IT, Media, Politics, Science

Tagged as , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

April 28, 2026 · 19:53

Battle lines

As per yesterday several things occupy my brain, even a new technology (which I will discuss at a later stage) today is about OpenAI and Microsoft. I was ‘alerted’ to this yesterday through through Seeking alpha. I think I heard it before that, but I ignored it. Seeking Alpha (at https://seekingalpha.com/news/4579947-microsoft-falls-as-openai-partnership-evolves-says-it-will-no-longer-pay-revenue-share) gives us ‘Microsoft in focus as OpenAI partnership evolves, says it will no longer pay revenue share’ and we are given “Microsoft (MSFT) shares rose fractionally on Monday as the tech giant and OpenAI (OPENAI) said their partnership has continued to evolve, and OpenAI’s license will become non-exclusive. “Today, we are announcing an amended agreement to simplify our partnership and the way we work together, grounded in flexibility, certainty and a focus on delivering the benefits of AI broadly,” Microsoft wrote in a statement on its website. “The greater predictability in the amended agreement strengthens our joint ability to build and operate AI platforms at scale while providing both companies the flexibility to pursue new opportunities.”” In my mind I hear “Someone has figured out that this setting is based on shallow settings, the reality is dawning on them”, so whilst we are given “As part of the altered agreement, Microsoft will remain OpenAI’s primary cloud partner, and OpenAI products will ship on Azure first. However, there is now a tweak that says if Microsoft “cannot and chooses not to support the necessary capabilities,” OpenAI can go elsewhere. Julian Lin, Investing Group Leader for Best Of Breed Growth Stocks, said the deal is actually a “net positive” for Microsoft, despite the share price reaction.” I personally believe that OpenAI might present a hardcore liability for Microsoft and they are seeking to insulate from that fallout. And it might be merely my feelings in this and that is fine, but when you see the Anthropic setting, the DeepSeek setting there are several other elements that are roaring is near ugly heard and that has to go somewhere, something has got to break and it seems the ‘staged’ setting of evolutionary contract agree ments, might be part of all that. In retrospect I have no idea how OpenAI and Musk will battle their settings (and I partially do not care either). But the elements are there and whilst we are all about OpenAI, this concept selling setting rubs me the wrong way. So whilst we ‘might’ see ‘OpenAI Misses Key Revenue, User Targets in High-Stakes Sprint Toward IPO’, all whilst some say “do you guys even use ChatGPT/OpenAI anymore? I find myself preferring Claude/Gemini to be honest”, I take a different turn, I don’t use any of them. Basically because they are all fake AI. Real AI is about a decade away, if not 2 decades. I might die before real AI is released, so I kinda do not care.

ComputerWorld, only today (a mere few hours ago) gave us (at https://www.computerworld.com/article/4163971/microsoft-openai-change-contract-terms-again.html) ‘Microsoft, OpenAI change contract terms–again’ starts with “When the two firms announced a revised agreement on Monday, it reinforced the need for enterprise IT executives to work with as many major AI players as possible, given the constantly changing landscape.” I do not disagree, but remember that Microsoft went all out about 5 years ago and whilst we saw all kinds of ‘total wreck approaches’ the ‘partnership’ went on and now that we see “the need for enterprise IT executives to work with as many major AI players as possible”, we might accept that, but we see no DeepSeek, do we? So whilst we see that Microsoft increased its stake and solidified its position as a major investor less than 6 months ago, these plans are now changing. So does Microsoft see something, or do they fear something? And then ComputerWorld gives us “One key component within earlier versions of the Microsoft-OpenAI deal was the change in the relationship if OpenAI ever achieved artificial general intelligence (AGI), a term that eludes a concrete definition but generally refers to AI that equals or exceeds human capabilities.” I find it funny because of all these definitions across the fake AI field. Do they really not see that it is about to fall apart? (Story to follow likely tomorrow). And when this war of the fakers is seen (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic) there is every chance that OpenAI ends up in last position (see another ‘winner’ chosen by Microsoft), but this war setting is almost real, but until there is a real revenue stream coming in, there is unlikely to be a real winner. So whilst ComputerWorld focusses on the market changes with “Analysts and consultants generally agreed that this altered agreement will reinforce, and should extend, the current enterprise IT trend of hedging bets by striking arrangements with a variety of AI providers, including the major hyperscalers. Beyond future-proofing enterprises’ AI efforts, some of those agreements are for practical issues, such as the need to work with global AI firms specializing in different languages that the enterprise needs.” And you already know where this goes next. So, when was the last time you saw this kinda bla bla settings in the last 45 years? I tend to go back to the early 90’s where they all tried to sign businesses up to concept selling, all whilst there was no revenue stream detectable. We see it now here. I get that analysts are not the most revenue sturdy people, but consultants need their revenue streams. It is their bread and butter. And what was that “for practical issues” about? You see ComputerWorld writes a good story and revenue is mentioned four times, three is shown next “In addition, the company’s role as a major investor in OpenAI is driving a different revenue relationship, it said: “Microsoft will no longer pay a revenue share to OpenAI. Revenue share payments from OpenAI to Microsoft continue through 2030, independent of OpenAI’s technology progress, at the same percentage but subject to a total cap. ”” interesting how salespeople are not that fuzzed about revenue. It is their income and bonus setting. So what was this really about?

Wouldn’t we like to know this? Just a few settings for todays stride in the coming week. And now I need to contemplate what I next write about the bad news, or the new technology. My conundrum  for the last 4 hours of the day.

Have a great one today.

Leave a comment

Filed under Finance, IT, Media, Science

Tagged as , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

April 25, 2026 · 23:45

Accusation without evidence

That is the path I saw today on the BBC (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpqxgxx9nrqo), now hear me out. Even as we are being told ‘White House memo claims mass AI theft by Chinese firms’ we have to acknowledge that it comes from that same place that gave us that “‘someone’ claimed “$18 trillion” in new investments”, “prices are down” and “Ukraine for starting the war with Russia, suggesting they should have surrendered territory to avoid it” as such I am willing to disbelief this. Also China has DeepSeek and it does so (it’s speculations) at a fraction of the cost.

And whilst we are getting “The White House has said it will work more closely with US artificial intelligence (AI) firms to combat “industrial-scale campaigns” by foreign actors to steal advances in the technology. Michael Kratsios, Director of Science and Technology Policy, wrote in an internal memo that the administration had new information indicating “foreign entities, principally based in China” were exploiting American firms.” My mind goes not different directions. The first being:

If you have shattering IP valued at billions of dollars you have proper cyber security installed. That is merely my thought, others might have another opinion. 

My mind is racing towards a different setting. You see, OpenAI and its ‘co-conspirators’ are not delivering on the premise that gave too many people well over half a trillion dollars want to see return on investment and none is coming and now (not unlike the concept sellers in the 90’s) they need a blamable party. So what is easier than to blame China? Now, I am not saying that China is innocent, but in all this one might need evidence to make a case and none of it seems to be coming. As such we are given ““foreign entities, principally based in China” were exploiting American firms. Through a process called “distilling”, such firms are essentially copying AI technology developed by US companies, he said.” OK, I’ll bite, so where is the evidence? Why, if this distilling is a problem are these outputs not better protected, so there is no ‘distilling’? Simple question, perhaps when Oracle was needed, the cheapskates decided to rely on Azure? I have no idea, I am merely offering options as the evidence is clearly lacking. 

So whilst the article ens with “While Kratsios did not name any foreign entities, leading AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic have said they are dealing with such distillation activity.” I reckon that the distillation culprits like House Spirits Distillery and Angostura Distillery were made exempt? 

You think that I am making a funny and I was, but this has been going on for months and these so called high priced (fake) AI corporations have been absent in their cyber security? How does this distilling happen? All things missing from the BBC article and are unlikely on the mind of the White House as the article seems to imply it comes from the very beginning where we saw “it will work more closely with US artificial intelligence (AI) firms to combat “industrial-scale campaigns” by foreign actors to steal advances in the technology” you see, the first part would be ‘How did they achieve this?’ Which we do not see and the state of cyber security we don’t see either, both seem rather obvious in that setting. 

So as I said China might not be innocent, but in that same setting we see that the United States and their (fake) AI firms are apparently clueless. Don’t take my word for it, just look at the scraps on this table and see where the crumbs aren’t dealt with and I see no part in all this that shouts ‘China is guilty’ that would require actual evidence. So if that is seemingly is not required counter the idea of this AI scheme to be the part of a scam to wipe out trillions on the exchange, which might be the case, but the setting of ‘no evidence’ is apparently in effect and that goes both ways. As I see it, someone wants to see evidence of AI and whilst they invested billions, there is a greed driven setting that the profits all go to China as they stole the plans, but is that really so? Even distilled plans need refinement and the source data is missing. So, how would they proceed? The setting does not make complete sense to me. Any innovation requires a foundation, even DeepSeek would like to have one, or it is simply a sifting solution and the power remains with these innovative wannabe’s (sorry, a paraphrased term).

So have a great day and wonder why the accusation was made, because that setting is likely to be in dollar numbers and where is that money now? Have a great day.

Leave a comment

Filed under Finance, IT, Science

Tagged as , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

April 17, 2026 · 15:07

What is real?

That is at times the question, the setting that someone is trying to give us fake. Now I am a most outspoken person in regards to AI, it doesn’t exist (yet) and whilst the media is all about AI (for their digital dollars), the real setting is when it will arrive. No matter how clever programmers become, it is still a programmers Wild Wild West. So when I took notice of the BBC (at https://www.bbc.com/audio/play/w3ct8mf3) I had different questions. We are given “Anthropic – one of Silicon Valley’s leading AI firms – recently announced that they have built a model which is too dangerous to be released to the public. Instead, they are only giving access to the model to a handful of big companies, to help them find security vulnerabilities.The company says the model has already found weak spots in “every major operating system and web browser”. Is this a genuine example of a company acting responsibly, or more of a carefully calibrated publicity move?” OK, the premise seems clear, whatever they call AI, let’s call it Fake AI might have become a tad more potent and giving it to a chosen few might be the way to go. I personally would advice Dario Amodei to talk to IBM, this is not some prearranged setting. As far as I know IBM is the most advanced player for Shallow Circuits and that is one of the thresholds to get to Real AI, until that moment comes all AI is fake. Optionally he should talk to Google too, as I have no idea how far their shallow circuits are. But it is one of the three remaining thresholds before we can get to a Real AI setting. The other one’s are the Trinary Operating System and the other is decent weeding (like removing arranged data from verifiable data) We already have quantum technology, so that is on par. The weeding part comes I reckon when shallow circuits are done, m because when we combine this with the TOS (my personal gag here and I am giggling) we have the makings of perfect data dirt weeding. But the setting also evokes other thoughts. If Anthropic is this far ahead, what the hell is Sam Altman doing with all the billions is is seemingly squandering. You see ‘OpenAI to spend over $20 bln on Cerebras chips’. I am not debating the setting, it might be the strongest there is (for now), but if this market is thrown upside down in less than a decade, it implies that Sam Altman just wasted billions on chips that are basically obsolete by the end of the year. And in that same setting the quote “OpenAI is valued at approximately $852 billion”, what will be left of that when 2027 comes calling? I have supporting ideas. If Anthropic is ahead of OpenAI, as I reckon is Google, who will pay $852 billion for a third place setting? And in addition we know that DeepSeek is out there, but no one knows how far ahead of lagging it is. What was old it can do so at a much lower cost and when did business walk away from cost reductions?

All thoughts that come to mind and the media is weirdly unaware of them, so who are they working for? Not the audience that is seemingly clear. But if you want to dismiss my calling, that is fair. So few free to investigate your own data and don’t use one source, use at least half a dozen sources and when you do you will figure out that the equations and the money drop is not evening out. It is all reminiscent of the 90’s where people will pay mountains for mere concepts. I thought we had done away with those settings? 

Still, the current call is with Anthropic and Dario Amodei. I wonder how quickly we will see an update on how that is going. I am sure it might take several weeks, but in the meantime we can consider did OpenAI overtake Google Gemini yet? If so by how much and if not, what are these headlines of chips for billions, when Lays has them for $3.99 (ketchup taste optional).

And yes 20,000,000,000 is a real number, but so is the return on investment and where is that number with OpenAI? What is his return on investment? As such have a lovely day and if you are not investing in FakeAI try enjoying your coins in acquiring some coffee or tea, they both tend to wake up the senses.

Leave a comment

Filed under Finance, IT, Media, Science

Tagged as , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

March 29, 2026 · 05:44

The Bull what?

I was confronted with an Oracle article this morning, it came with the complements of the Insider Monkey (at https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/oracles-orcl-backlog-drives-its-bull-thesis-according-to-analysts-1726682/). The article ‘Oracle’s (ORCL) Backlog Drives Its Bull Thesis According To Analysts’ which might be a conundrum, so lets take a look. We are given “The major factors in the firm’s bullish thesis on ORCL are its massive backlog and its ability to cater to increasing AI investments in the US. Oracle has a remaining performance obligation (RPO) of $553 billion, which offers good visibility into the company’s future earnings.” I would go with that a backlog gives stock and future of a company value, but that might be an oversimplification. And $553,000,000,000 is nothing to sneer at. It is seemingly more than the overall business that several nations have and in this case it is more then Norway gets on an annual level. So I would go with that, but what is a bullish thesis? 

Well, in short “A bull thesis is a structured argument supporting the belief that a specific stock, sector, or the overall market will rise in value, driven by positive catalysts like strong earnings, innovation, or economic expansion. It focuses on growth potential, such as AI-driven productivity, high revenue backlogs, or increased market share.” (Source: Simply Wall Street).

So I had it correct the first time over (a few days ago). There was nothing new under the hot sun, but the next bit ‘surprised’ me a bit. It was “The analyst also pointed out that a major risk in the bull thesis is the customer concentration. A large part of this backlog comes from OpenAI. OpenAI intends to invest a total of $600 billion in computing power by 2030. Previously, in October, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said the company could spend up to $1.4 trillion on infrastructure by 2033. One month ago, BNP Paribas analyst Stefan Slowinski commented on how this particular risk is now reducing for Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL):” So in short, most of the backlog comes from OpenAI, if OpenAI fails (not a weird thought) Oracle stumbles as would be the case, so the backlog is due to mostly one customer and that is a rusk. How big a risk remains to be seen. The people wanting OpenAI to succeed are numerous and ‘THEY’ would be reducing the risk like the metal dealer reducing the risk of riveting and downplaying potential dangers. This went well before the Titanic saw the shores of the ocean (bottom of the sea), but what happens afterwards? Now, riveting is largely supported, there are whole fleets still out there based on riveting. But what happens when the next big thing comes (like welding), so that is where we are right now. But on the horizon we see Google DeepMind, Anthropic, Meta, DeepSeek and something called Cohere. I believe Oracle is in a good space as whatever comes next will require a system that deal with data and I believe that the only competitor here is Snowflake. As such yes, there is a risk to (what some call) the Bull thesis, but the risk is seemingly small as nothing can match Oracle and Snowflake can only partially cover Oracle (as I see it) and I have some reservations on BNP Paribas analyst Stefan Slowinski as BNP Paribas and OpenAI have a multifaceted relationship involving financial analysis, infrastructure, and competition within the AI landscape and this article dos not bare this out. But in that setting we also fail to see the setting that ‘SoftBank Secures $40 Billion Loan to Fund $30 Billion OpenAI Investment’ (source: TradingView) this matters as there is a backlog and they still need loans/investment funds? And the second setting is given to us (at https://www.nssmag.com/en/lifestyle/44761/sora-openai-shutdown) where we see ‘Understanding OpenAI’s U-turn on Sora’ where we see “The development team of Sora, the artificial intelligence software by OpenAI that allowed users to generate realistic videos from a simple prompt, recently announced the shutdown of the app. It is a sudden and highly significant change, one that is expected to produce notable effects in the technology and entertainment sectors, with repercussions that could extend well beyond the U.S. market. The shutdown of Sora is not relevant only for the company led by Sam Altman, but also for other players active in the field of generative AI applied to video production. Google, for instance, now finds itself in an advantageous position in this area, with the concrete possibility of consolidating its leadership in the generation of realistic AI-based videos – thanks to its tool Veo.” So some will see this as a boost to Google (DeepMind) but this happens before these tracks became financially viable (read: paying off) and these elements will create some sort of minor shockwave. The problem is that 3-4 shockwaves can create a massive customer turnover (like towards a competitor) and even if it doesn’t ‘damage’ Oracle, it might hurt prospects in that near future. Consider that this backlog of $553 billion reduces it to a mere $125,000,000,000 Still a large number, but that is when it starts raining men on Wall Street (aka: watch out below).  All elements overlooked in Insider Monkey and the non-Chinese media is not too bitty in the DeepSeek settings. So we are mostly unaware how their next version of its engine is. All elements that will influence the view on Oracle. I still have faith that Oracle will pull through successfully, but these pesky investors are at present more jittery than a room full of roaches as you turn on the lights. It might not be the best setting for a long term ‘understanding’ and that is something Oracle has to deal with. 

Have a great day, I am now 120 minutes from breakfast, although if I was in Vancouver I could enjoy another lunch in the Nightingale like a Cache Creek Beef Tartare, yummy.

Leave a comment

Filed under Finance, IT, Science

Tagged as , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

March 1, 2026 · 03:27

Confusion speaks its mind

So here I was, one day in the past and I see a BBC article. I saw the headline, I saw the ‘bully approach’ and initially I ignored it. It was not the BBC, there was no setting that seemingly truly interested me. I was thinking of a few settings towards IP that could give Apple (and optionally Meta) a nice boost. As I was mulling over the ideas I was having, in comes the CBC about 10 hours ago, or better stated I noticed their article and now something clicks in my mind. I started rereading the two articles. The BBC (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn48jj3y8ezo) gives us ‘Trump orders government to stop using Anthropic in battle over AI use’ with ““We don’t need it, we don’t want it, and will not do business with them again!” Trump wrote in a Truth Social post on Friday.” Of course if he doesn’t want it, there must be a good reason why people might want to use it and we are given “Anthropic is mired in a row with the White House after refusing demands that it agree to give the US military unfettered access to its AI tools. The refusal led US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth to say he’s deemed Anthropic a “supply chain risk”.” And we are given the quandary that there should be some clarity. The idea that the US Military has unrestrained or uninhibited access to any AI is dangerous. And that is merely to look at it from THEIR point of view. We saw over the last 5 years a few examples where Pentagon staff used whatever USB key they had optionally opening their systems to backdoors and this can result in several ways where the Pentagon would be affected including: Human Interface Device (HID) Spoofing, Malware Infection via Social Engineering, Exploiting OS Vulnerabilities or Juice Jacking (Compromised Public Ports/Cables) and a few other ways. Even in this decade more than one system seemingly ended up on the danger list. So, ‘someone’ now wants to grant AI unfettered access which opens the doors to AI accessing data involves sophisticated, automated, and often, continuous interaction between intelligent systems and vast data sources, including internal corporate databases, cloud storage, and public web content. It constitutes a critical, high-speed, and high-stakes component of the modern AI ecosystem that raises significant security and privacy challenges. And this is not some ‘fear mongering’ There is a lot of AI works that is still to be considered and because AI doesn’t exist and this is all DML on several layers that interact there are dangers to be seen. As we saw a mere week ago that Microsoft had to ‘confess’ that it had accessed confidential emails of Microsoft users. Now consider this happening on a serious level in the Pentagon. It has well over 50,000 desktop computers within its building, with reports from 2014 indicating at least 18,000 were part of specific virtualized infrastructure. Now consider that we have seen the accusation of “Based on reports in early 2025 and 2026, OpenAI has accused Chinese AI startup DeepSeek of “inappropriately” distilling, or copying, the capabilities of OpenAI’s models (specifically ChatGPT and its reasoning models like o1) to train its own competing, low-cost models (such as DeepSeek-R1)”. As such, the dangers of unfettered access can go in two directions and that sets the bar of distilling from the Pentagon a lot lower than anyone could find acceptable. As such there is every chance that Russia is already considering the massive win they could gain once the unfettered access could merely hit one system that was transgressed upon. Because the greedy and the stupid will do anything to propel the setting of self, whilst not caring what others could gain in that setting as well.

So whilst some will consider the dangers of “The company said that “designating Anthropic as a supply chain risk would be an unprecedented action — one historically reserved for US adversaries, never before publicly applied to an American company.” Anthropic said the “designation would both be legally unsound and set a dangerous precedent for any American company that negotiates with the government.”” No one seems to be considering that the opposite is a lot more dangerous. So whilst some focus on the stage of “Anthropic had said it sought narrow assurances from the Pentagon that its AI chatbot Claude would not be used for mass surveillance of Americans or in fully autonomous weapons. The Pentagon said it was not interested in such uses and would only deploy the technology in legal ways, but it also insisted on access without any limitations. The government’s effort to assert dominance over the internal decision-making of the company comes amid a wider clash over AI’s role in national security and concerns about how increasingly capable machines could be used in high-stakes situations involving lethal force, sensitive information or government surveillance. Trump said Anthropic made a mistake trying to strong-arm the Pentagon. He wrote on Truth Social that most agencies must immediately stop using Anthropic’s AI but gave the Pentagon a six-month period to phase out the technology that is already embedded in military platforms.” As I personally see it, it is the accumulation of stupid and technologically ignorant all combined in one package. And that is before we get to mass surveillance. You see combine mass surveillance with data distilling and the United States of America will be handing the data on 349 million Americans straight to China and Russia. This is not AI, this is DML. That means it comes with the hangups and limitations of a programmer. So when this goes wrong it goes wrong in a massive way. 

As such what will people like President Trump and Pete Hegseth say? Do they think that the response ‘Oops’ will cover it?

I don’t think so, but what do I know? 

So whilst CBC (at https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/trump-anthropic-feud-ai-9.7109006) gives us “U.S. President Donald Trump, U.S. Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth and other officials took to social media to chastise Anthropic for failing to allow the military unrestricted use of its AI technology by a Friday deadline, accusing it of endangering national security after CEO Dario Amodei refused to back down over concerns the company’s products could be used in ways that would violate its safeguards.” And this is the setting we expect to see and it will be the undoing of several people, because as I see it “U.S. President Donald Trump, U.S. Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth and other officials” is the start of what comes next. You see, the internet doesn’t forget and these ‘other officials’ have sealed their fate with this action and there is no ‘He told me to do that’ they were instrumental in assisting to hand over the data of the population of the United States of America to optionally both China and Russia. Do you feel safe now?

And in response to this setting we see “The dispute stunned AI developers in Silicon Valley, where venture capitalists, prominent AI scientists and a large number of workers from Anthropic’s top rivals — OpenAI and Google — voiced support for Amodei’s stand in open letters and other forums.” And that should have been a clear message that the competition was on the side of Amodei, so, why would that be? Whilst people in the Pentagon (seemingly) forgot about that router with password ‘Cisco123’ there is every chance that these DML engines will be cleverly distilled by people controlling systems like DeepSeek and whatever the Russians have. I should buy another egg timer, because this is a setting that might gain me a few coins, especially as several people are blind to the danger that is coming for them. And consider one additional setting. It is said that:

“AI decisions can be corrupted primarily through the manipulation of the training data, the algorithms, or the inputs during operation. These methods can introduce biases, cause malfunctions, or lead to fraudulent outcomes, often making the corruption difficult to detect due to the complex “black box” nature of many AI systems.”

So what happens when distilling comes with an additional insertion of data? I can’t wait for that setting to lose balance and the training data in American data centers start losing authentication and reliability markers. But that is  likely a story for another day.

Have a great day today.

Leave a comment

Filed under IT, Law, Media, Military, Politics, Science

Tagged as , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,