The art of the wheel

That is what I saw when I saw the Politico article ‘Trump promised no Iranian nukes. His deal may never do that.’ (at https://www.politico.com/news/2026/06/15/trump-iran-nukes-deal-hormuz-00962569) where we are given “Everything else Trump hoped to accomplish when he launched the war over three months ago remains a work in progress. And while the White House says it can hammer out specifics over the next 60 days, it took the Obama administration nearly two years to strike a deal that traded reduced sanctions and other economic incentives for Iran’s commitment to significant curbs on its nuclear work. On Monday, the White House offered little indication how it could meet Trump’s demand to get a better deal than the Obama administration in such a minuscule time frame.” With the additional “Iran has not destroyed its enriched nuclear material, dismantled any nuclear sites, or accepted an inspection regime — which has yet to be designed. And on Monday, senior U.S. officials said there was no guarantee Iran would. Their assertions that Tehran will never get a nuclear bomb are contingent on Iran abiding by mostly generic commitments it made in exchange for promises from Washington for access to frozen funds, sanctions relief and other economic assistance.” As I see it, America goes to war with Israel as its sidekick. They achieve nothing in 3 months, Iran gets its finds unfrozen and there are no guarantees on nuclear materials. How is this anything but a colossal lose-lose situation for the Trump administration? The quote that follows is ““The more that the Iranians are willing to work with us on their nuclear program, on verifying that they’re not building a nuclear weapon, on not funding radicalism and terrorism in the region, the more that they’re going to be welcomed into the world economy through a combination of sanctions relief and other economic measures,” said a second senior U.S. official, who, like others, was granted anonymity to discuss the talks.” With the additional “Iran, for its part, has said Tehran will maintain control of the vital Strait of Hormuz, hasn’t committed to any curbs on its nuclear program and will be able to access billions in frozen assets. The White House says Iranian state media depictions of the deal are overstated and designed to sell the accord to its public.” I might be hacking things up, this is unintentional. The writings here by Felicia Schwartz are good and I added the link in the beginning, so you can read it for yourself. The thoughts that came to me is that this might be the biggest fuck up in the Political field I have ever seen ad I have been around for a while. Considering that the United States wasted 26 billion on costings and bombings whilst admitting towards the media that this is not a war, how long do you think that Iran will wait until they go crying at the International courts in The Hague for reparations? So they get there funds unfrozen, the United States will face prosecution, which might get Iran another 200 billion and there is no agreement on Nuclear materials. So tell me how did the United States win anything? So whilst the Military intelligence has seemingly nothing more than “is believed to be stored deep within underground tunnel complexes near Isfahan and other fortified sites” I think a United States Marine Colonel said it best with “This was a clusterfuck from start to finish” But I digress. You see “While a formal declaration was never made, the United States was involved in direct hostilities with Iran that began on February 28, 2026 2026 Iran war – Wikipedia. The Trump administration initiated major combat operations and engaged in strikes alongside Israel Britannica, maintaining that congressional approval was not required under the War Powers Act due to the defensive nature of the actions” I wonder who his lawyer was, because bombing ‘to the stone age’ is not a defensive nature of actions. Iran never attacked the United States (as far as I know) there is the added option that Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE will also file for damages. Not are where that would go, but it would likely come out of the Iranian freed and gained funds. I could be wrong, but that I how I would play it. And all this gets another setting as we hear that on June 15th (source: BBC) “Trump says deal to end war with Iran already signed and details to be released ‘pretty soon’” so a war was never declared and is now optionally ending? How is this anything less than a complete waste of resources, manpower and spend ammunition? 

So as we see the stages evolve into a setting where political people claim the limelight that they did a good job, the rest of the world is seeing another side and it will be rougher when Iran does take this to the international courts. They shouldn’t have any rights, but the law is not that aligned. So, we are now seeing “Iran is actively pursuing several high-profile legal claims in 2026, centering on a tentative Memorandum of Understanding with the United States, territorial claims, and international arbitration.” (Source: Al Jazeera) This all comes across like a bad joke and it is only getting worse. 

And whilst this is taking place, a new 60 day diplomatic framework and memorandum of understanding were recently agreed upon to halt fighting and begin negotiations. However, key issues, including Iran’s nuclear program and broader regional security remain highly contentious and unresolved. (Source: Amnesty International) Whilst I can’t vouch for the intel that the media has spread, the focus form a few sides (and several media outlets) give us a tentative nasty setting. And even as I focussed on the United States, but the side of Israel should not be dismissed. They have been under proxy attack from Iran for decades and whilst I am trying to keep this all as simple as possible, it might not be possible and it is exactly what Iran wants, to make everything as convoluted as possible. I reckon that they will want to play the victim card here. So the setting is weird, Politico is trying to keep it simple (merely exposing one side) but this stage is about to get a lot more confusing for all and the 38 times president Trump claimed that a deal was close is now playing into the hands of Iran, or so I believe is what will happen. And I could be wrong, but when it comes to Iran I merely expect the worst thing that could happen and multiply that by 2 (an optimistic setting I know).

That is what we see and we aren’t seeing the whole picture, or so I believe it is. So, have a great day and consider what you could be doing today, Vancouver is snoring and Toronto is getting ready for breakfast. I’m hours past dinner now.