Tag Archives: Esmail Baghaei

That is how I saw it, but the is me. So I will introduce you to just that setting below.

10 hours ago: ‘Trump needs this war to end but Iran is not backing down’ (source: BBC, https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cedp3lee059o) where we see “The United States and Iran have both signalled that they would prefer not to go back to the war that has been on hold since the ceasefire was announced on 8 April. Neither side has allowed the steady drumbeat of military exchanges between them to end the talks being mediated by Pakistan, Qatar and others. The US still has powerful naval and air forces within striking distance of Iran. It is safe to assume that the Iranian regime will have kept its forces on high alert and will be using the ceasefire to re-organise and repair damage done by the US and Israel.” It comes with the additional “Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will not worry if his renewed offensive in Lebanon makes an American deal with Iran harder to get. He didn’t want the ceasefire with the Tehran regime in the first place. As far as he’s concerned, any deal between America and Iran is a bad deal.”

6 hours ago: ‘Trump had no plan B for Iran. It shows’ (source The Guardian, https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/jun/01/trump-iran-war-plan) They give us “Donald Trump claims to have mastered the Art of the Deal, but he has just given us a master class in negotiating incompetence. I would love to see an Iranian government that no longer represses its people, menaces its neighbors, or can build a nuclear weapon. Trump has set back all of these efforts. His cabinet of sycophants offered little resistance as he naively bombed first and faced reality later.” A bit harsh, but I can live with that text of a more personal nature. It is the outspoken right of Kenneth Roth to take that tone of voice. It comes with the additional “Trump’s repudiation of the JCPOA removed these limits. That enabled Iran to produce nearly half a tonne of highly enriched uranium at a purity of 60%. That is a short hop from the enrichment needed for a bomb. Trump is now back at square one. He is trying to persuade Iran again to limit its enrichment program and to export or dilute its enriched uranium – in other words, to do what it agreed to do with Obama. That was the subject of negotiations in February of this year, but Trump abruptly ended those talks in favor of war.” As such we are off to the races, merely two more sources to go through and then I’ll add my own stories. 

4 hours ago ‘Tehran suspends talks with U.S. over Israeli attacks in Lebanon, Iranian media reports’ (source NBC News, https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/iran-suspends-talks-us-israel-attacks-lebanon-rcna347865) this comes with the byline “Trump later posted that after discussions with Israel and representatives from Hezbollah about easing tensions, talks between the U.S. and Iran were back on “at a rapid pace.”” As well as “Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf told Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri on Monday that Iran might retaliate if Israeli attacks in Lebanon continue. “Over the past two days, we have seriously pursued efforts to stop Israel’s attacks. If these crimes continue, we will not only suspend the negotiation process, but we will also stand against the Zionist regime,” Ghalibaf said, according to the state-owned Islamic Republic News Agency. “If an agreement is reached to end the war between Iran and the United States, it will include a halt to attacks on all fronts, especially in Lebanon.”” Which is followed by ““I had a conversation with Bibi Netanyahu today, asking him not to go into a major raid of Beirut, Lebanon. He turned his Troops around. Thank you Bibi!” he wrote. “I also had a conversation with Representatives of the Leaders of Hezbollah, and they agreed to stop shooting at Israel, and its soldiers. Likewise, Israel agreed to stop shooting at them. Let’s see how long that lasts — Hopefully it will be for ETERNITY!” The Lebanese Embassy in Washington noted in a statement Wednesday afternoon that Hezbollah had accepted the terms of a U.S. proposal “for a mutual cessation of attacks.”” As well as “Ebrahim Azizi, the head of the Iranian Parliament’s national security commission, said on X that continued attacks in Lebanon could lead to a military response from Iran. “If the attacks against Lebanon do not stop completely, the consequences will be severe for the Zionist regime and U.S. forces in the region,” Azizi wrote. “They are fully aware that this is not an empty threat, and we are prepared for a military response.”” I would say, so far, so good. But that is not what is at stake, not when you see the timeline. Now we need to understand that these sources are on ‘tight’ deadlines, so they will report on what is the moment they get that and optionally there is a time slips. But that much? I fail to see how that could happen and let us assume that these sources speak their optional truths. If there is one source that requires doubt, it is for the lack of a better turn ‘yours truly’ who is blogging here, but that was the timelines as I saw it, so now the last one.

2 hours ago ‘Trump Says U.S., Iran Close to Deal’ (source: Arms Control Association, https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2026-06/news/trump-says-us-iran-close-deal) it starts with “U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the United States and Iran are close to reaching a peace agreement, but Iranian officials cautioned that a deal is not imminent. Even if an agreement is reached, Washington and Tehran said it will not address nuclear issues in detail and that more negotiations will be necessary.” Ehhh, isn’t that why they “we’re bombing Iran back to the stone age?” As well as “The previous week, Trump threatened to resume strikes but said he would hold off at the behest of states in the region. The leaders of Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates asked the United States “to hold off on our planned Military attack” against Iran set for the next day because “serious negotiations are now taking place,” Trump wrote May 18 on Truth Social. Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei concurred that progress was made, but disputed Trump’s assertion that a deal would be announced soon. “We have reached conclusions on a large portion of the issues, but no one can claim that the signing of an agreement is imminent,” he told Iranian state media May 25.” Which finally amount to “In a May 25 statement, Central Command spokesman Capt. Tim Hawkins said the United States acted with “restraint” and targeted “missile launch sites and Iranian boats attempting to emplace mines” that threatened U.S. forces. In a May 26 statement, Iran’s Foreign Ministry said that the United States “committed a grave violation of the ceasefire.” These “acts of aggression, coinciding with the ongoing diplomatic process mediated by Pakistan, once again exposes the ill intent and bad faith of the U.S. ruling establishment,” the statement said. “Iran will not leave any act of hostility unanswered.””

When you read through this timeline, you might get the following items (or you might not). 

This is one of the worst battle encounters the United States ever got themselves into and after Vietnam that is saying something.  Whether this is a lack of any plan B, C or D, or it is the impact of what some call a “A retreating tank attack, or a tactical withdrawal under fire” scenario against Iran is anyones call. The second stage is what tank commanders instigate, so perhaps I am using the wrong tactical phrase here. It is anyones guess which part and by what team is truthful, but as we all see it, Iran has no will and no reason to talk peace at this point. They have the united Stated by the short and hairy (as the expression goes) and I am personally thinking that it is about to become Iran’s play to introduce the one card they kept out of the field. The China card, when that is played now and China comes as the big release to the Gulf states, the United States is dangling by whatever they can dangle by and the are out of the game in the Gulf States. That is what I see and I might be entirely wrong. But as I see it, over the last 12 hours the United States has been playing the cards that Iran handed out and they have at least one move left to make, is it the China card or is more coming? 

So, now my cards, on March 10th I wrote ‘With Ice please’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2026/03/10/with-ice-please/) where I opted to largely destroy (make useless) the Iranian railway systems. It was based on a French setting in WW2 and I knew about it as The Train (1964) with Burt Lancaster is one of my favourite war movies. I gave it a 20th century ploy by creating IP that attacked the rails on its weak point, the rail clippings and a train running on a non attached rail gets dislodged rather quickly and a derailed oil train could set things back months. It also stops cargo getting from where it was to where it needed to be and it requires little to do this, perhaps a few million at best, not billions what the United States claimed it spend. It came 2 days after I gave them ‘Ones creative process’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2026/03/08/ones-creative-process/) which was based on a 2019 idea on stopping Iran. With blocked harbours Iran becomes the isolated party others needed it to be and I gave this IP to the UAE and to Saudi Arabia, as they faced the brunt of the unwanted attacks (the UAE a lot more than Saudi Arabia) but Saudi Arabia was under attack for some time through Houthi terrorists and I though it was only fair that they get to destroy Iranian infrastructure because of what Aramco faced through Iranian (stated to be Houthi forces) yet no one seemingly saw that Houthi forces did not have the skills or the equipment to attack Aramco 17 times with high precision and I thought it was only fair that people put their money where their mouths were and as such I handed that IP to the UAE and Saudi Arabia. 

So in the last 15 hours I have shown more tactical insight than the Pentagon had and optionally more innovation than DARPA showed to have (the last might be my delusion of my own). But as I see it, the United States has now been defeated by its own timeline. And after the statement that President Donald Trump first stated that Iran had been defeated on March 7th, 2026 the timeline is almost essential to show that this is a optional war (the United States never claimed to have made war) that the United States has seemingly lost. I reckon that the next step (after China is introduced) that Iran will file for reparations with the international courts of Justice. I don’t think that this will go anywhere but this is the first setting where the Iranian top brass can keep its head seemingly high into The Hague. Whether that comes is anyones guess and it is highly dependent on whether proxy war sources can be pulled into court, because that is what the opponents of Iran need to do, especially Israel. They have the bad setting that they might have actually killed all the Hamas and Hezbollah sources they now need to depend on to show the malice of Iran in all this. And I have no doubt that Iran has shown nothing but Malice in all this, but that is not what matters in court. It is what you can prove and that is up for debate at this point. 

Have a great day.