I was frowning when an article from the New Arab crossed my line of sight. The article (at https://www.newarab.com/news/egypt-unhappy-saudi-pakistan-defence-pact) gave me pause for thought. The title nearly demanded it. It was ‘Undermining an ‘Arab NATO’? Egypt is unhappy with the Saudi-Pakistan defence pact’ and I wondered why.
As far as I know, the relationship between the two countries have been really good for decades. And as far as I see, the relationship between Egypt and Saudi Arabia have been good as well. Some say that Egypt and Saudi Arabia share many foreign policy and regional security objectives and have a long and complicated relationship. It’s not like me and Olivia Wilde (I love her, she hates me) ;-).
So I was wondering why that setting is and the article gives us “These debates acquire special relevance after the 16 September Arab-Islamic summit in Doha, Qatar, where Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi called for the creation of a mechanism for the coordination of security and defence issues among Arab and Islamic nations. “The Kingdom needs to offer a convincing justification for snubbing discussions about an Arab common defence agreement in the Doha summit,” a man wrote on 18 September on Facebook.” So A man wrote this? What man? Which man? Then we get a more settled setting with ““It also needs to mention why it turned down discussions on a unified Arab army, a proposal made by Egypt in 2015,” he added. “Why didn’t the Saudis sign an agreement with Egypt?” another man asked. “Why don’t they form a powerful Saudi army?”” OK, this warrants an explanation. In 2015 there was the stable reliance on America, that America is gone. Whether it is seemingly no longer able to pay its bills, whether the fruits and nuts in American politics (US Congress and the US Senate) have become slightly too flaky for the rest of the world. Your guess is as good as mine, but the stage that America is a shape of balancing peace is gone. If in doubt ask the Ukraine. It seems that America is catering to the Russian Kremlin (say many American voices). That setting is gone and the Arab World needs its own version of NATO. That much is a given from 2024 onwards. This is complemented with “The Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement, formalised on 17 September during a state visit to Riyadh by Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, commits Saudi Arabia and Pakistan to treat any aggression against one of them as an aggression against both of them, with the aim of enhancing joint deterrence and military cooperation. The agreement builds on nearly eight decades of ties between the two countries, during which they offered support to each other on numerous occasions, including in the wake of the 1979 Islamic Revolution in Iran when Pakistan deployed troops to Saudi Arabia.” And this setting is also hindering Iranian interests (which is basically Iran) and that does not go down nicely (in Iran that is). So if Iran now attacks Saudi Arabia, it might need to deal with Pakistani nuclear powers, although the initial setting to grab the nearest nuclear missile tends to be overkill. The fact that Iran would be facing a war on two fronts is enough to scurry the Ayatollah and his posse to the nearest cave and park themselves at parking level -250 of that cave.
And with the quote “The pact could implicitly extend Pakistan’s nuclear deterrence to Saudi Arabia, a non-nuclear state vulnerable to threats from Iran or other actors.” The new Arab pretty much states that.
And when we see “Saudi Arabia is wary of over-reliance on Western allies, particularly the US, whose security commitments have been questioned amid the Israel’s war on Gaza and Trump’s record in the White House over the past eight months, the same observers said.” Which pretty much covered what I said and have been saying in the last few months. The Arab News article has a lot more and all of it is clearly top notch. One part that is not covered. When Hamas strikes out towards Saudi Arabia (not entirely impossible) and it is done on the ‘kind’ request of Iran, this setting will change Whatever Gaza is called at that time, it could result the people in Gaza relying on their glow in the dark abilities whilst wearing sunblock 5000. That one setting is not covered and it is a lot more likely than Israel ever attacking Saudi Arabia.
And don’t come with the lecture of Hamas would never do that, because they want to stay in power and they will do anything to do that, even attack Saudi Arabia. I actually fear that at some point Hamas will grow a brain and ‘attack’ one of the Neom projects, optionally instilling bad quality concrete or some other measure that makes the project fail after 10 years. That is actually the biggest fear I have. Now that Saudi Arabia succeeds, but that others want it to fail and I am not sure what measures Saudi Arabia has in place at present.
But those were the points I had and whilst everyone is shouting on the crimes of Israel, no one is looking towards the crimes of Hamas or what they’ll do next. Isn’t that interesting too?
Have a great day and remember, Friday is at most a day away (Vancouver has the longest to go to get to that point).