I saw the news in the Middle East Eye and for a moment I laughed. But then I saw the patterns and it was not that funny anymore. The story starts with ‘Trump says Saudi Arabia is ‘disintegrating’’ with the byline “US president says all the Gulf states have asked him not to attack Iran again because they are too vulnerable to a flare-up in the war” which is funny, because it would take a lot more for Saudi Arabia to, what was the word he used? Disintegrate? I think the United States is facing a bubble and depleted missile stocks. I think that they are playing it safe. Don’t get me wrong, I have no love for the terrorist state of Iran and I thought of much more efficient ways of doing that without spending billions. But the way the United States worked was to use a missile to break the ice of a frozen lake, but there are other ways of doing that. So whilst we are given “Trump passed judgment on Saudi Arabia, one of the US’s closest allies, in an interview with Stephen A Smith, boasting he could destroy Iran in three days by attacking civilian infrastructure but that Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states have asked him not to because of their own weaknesses.” Let us not forget that this is the same man that claimed the war was won, nearly over, or that Iran was defeated on at least 30 to over 40 separate occasions, that person will now ensure us that he could end Iran in three days? This joke had been going on for 258 days. Then we get ““If I want to take them out, I hit their [energy] in one day. Their energy is gone. In one day, their bridges are gone, and in one day, their manufacturing capability is gone. It would only take me three days, one day each,” Trump said.” I gave something similar in March, but I focussed on infrastructure and how many bridges does Iran have? The setting is funny to me, because the heart of Iranian power is their railroad tracks. I saw that in March and I used a French WW2 solution, taking out pieces of track leading from and to resources, without bombs. The derailed rails would make them inoperable for weeks if not months, I did this on March 10th in the article ‘With Ice please’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2026/03/10/with-ice-please/) a simple setting and for the most Iran loses his railroads, no transport of military goods, Isolation of all military bases that relied on railroads. They still have roads, but that will delay everything and they don’t have the amount of trucks needed. So when we get to “The Houthis have struck Saudi airports, energy infrastructure and cities. The strikes have forced the kingdom to cancel key conferences intended to promote its non-oil economy and have interfered with the export of energy supplies. Trump’s assessment about the negative impact of the war on Gulf states is shared by many analysts, but his own secretary of state, Marco Rubio, brushed off concerns this week that Gulf countries were suffering. Trump noted that the Gulf states have invested “trillions of dollars” in the US. The US State Department approved the sale of up to 48 F-35 warplanes to Saudi Arabia in September, in a historic deal that could total $24bn.” But the larger issue is the failing of US intelligence. How did the Houthi’s get this well armed this quick? It could only happen by Iranian hands (a presumption on my side) as such US intelligence failed on several places, but as we are getting “The Trump administration says it has no plans to resume a full-scale war on Iran, but intends to strangle its economy by blockading the Strait of Hormuz. The only oil that’s not getting out consistently, through the Strait of Hormuz, is Iranian oil,” Rubio said earlier this week. “The economic pressure on Iran is so devastating… that the president’s concluded… there’s no need for major combat operations”.” So, as numbers go, how did that strangle hold work the last 257 days? As I see it, Iran has faced worse and it is still able to supply the Houthi terrorists. And as I see it, Saudi Arabia is not disintegrating, The US economy might, but Saudi Arabia now has the Mecca Defence Alliance, I have no idea how effective it will be, but its Muslims friends, its real allies have had enough of Iran and I reckon that Pakistan and Turkey have had enough of them too and as I see it, when the three join forces I suspect that they will set up a much more efficient Intelligence network not hindered by America Natural Interest Bias. Still, Iran is a real problem for the gulf states and no matter what shallow promise Iran makes, the gulf states now know that Iran only cares for Iran, It is a little bit like the United States in that way. But the reality is that Saudi Arabia has plenty of options before it disintegrates and in the end that matters. Not just for the Saudi’s, for all of us.
Have a great day
