Tag Archives: Nawaf Obaid

Last stop speculation central

That is what it seems to me, however, the information given to us by Al Jazeera is too worrying to keep it from you. The title ‘Are Houthis using Russian satellites as Saudi Arabia fends off strikes?’ (at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/31/are-houthis-using-russian-satellites-as-saudi-arabia-faces-hits) on one hand it would make the gulf states see Russia as a direct enemy towards their safety and security. It would be a really dumb thing to do, because the gulf states would be pressed directly in the arms of China. And that renewed alliance would bring China billions upon billions ion defense contracts. So when we get to “Analysts say the seizure of state arsenals, external backing and extensive military evolution has enabled the Houthis to build a powerful arsenal.” The better look is given by Elijah Magnier (Brussels based) who gives us “AURORA’s findings don’t necessarily show the whole picture.” I tend to be on that horse, the United States has every reason to see the relationship between Russia and the gulf states sour, but that doesn’t take away the setting we are given with ““The third is Iran obtained information through another intermediary, so a third party could theoretically have supplied the intelligence originated from the Russian system, and there is no currently publicly verified evidence establishing such an arrangement,” he added. But Obaid highlighted that distinguishing a Russian-supported intelligence architecture from proof that a particular Russian satellite supplied the targeting data for an individual Houthi strike is essential” and this makes perfect sense. In this the setting seems to add up and Nawaf Obaid, founder of the geosignal intelligence firm AURORAH. As such there is reason to believe that the Houthi terrorists are getting high end intelligence and knowing what we know from Iranian actions, the prefer a buffer zone, and a Russia buffer zone will do very well. This puts President Putin in a spell. He either denies Iran based players access from Russian satellites, or he is willing to play this out, knowing very well that this will enable a Chinese victory over the Gulf states and there is no coming back from that. As I see it, Nawaf Obaid its leaving an impression. Because “He said the satellites they identified include Russia’s Bars-M military mapping satellites, Persona optical reconnaissance satellites, Lotos-S1 electronic intelligence satellites, Pion-NKS maritime reconnaissance systems and Kondor-FKA radar-imaging satellites. They also examined the EKS/Tundra infrared early-warning constellation.

“The critical finding was not the presence of individual Russian satellites, but the sequencing and integration of their complementary intelligence capabilities,” he said.” So either the CIA didn’t know or didn’t care and either case is damaging to the United States, especially as they received in 2025 (allegedly) “the combined National Intelligence Program ($73.4 billion)”, I have no idea how big the budget of AURORAH is, but it is not that much, not by a long shot. So has the United States lost interest in the gulf states? That would be a nice opening sentence for the Chinese parties, that the United States no longer needs access to OPEC and its 1.2 trillion to 1.5 trillion barrels of oil. As such the political plays are massive and there is a reservation I must give you. This is one article from Al Jazeera, I have not seen any corroboration from anywhere else.

So when we get to “Obaid also confirmed to Al Jazeera that based on the findings, “Russian military geospatial and signals intelligence has supported the Iranian-led intelligence architecture assisting Houthi operations in Yemen.”” As well as “He said the strongest operational example of this has been the Houthi offensive along Yemen’s western coast towards Bab al-Mandeb, where Russian-derived intelligence, Iranian command integration and local human intelligence all contributed to “the rapid deterioration of opposing Yemeni forces’ battlefield coordination”.

“We assess that this intelligence relationship is also relevant to Houthi missile and drone targeting against Saudi Arabia. Russian military reconnaissance provides capabilities far beyond ordinary commercial satellite imagery, particularly when optical, radar and electronic intelligence are integrated,” he said.” Whilst I read this may mind goes wondering how the CIA missed all this? Or are they no longer interested? You know with midterms coming up next week. But the setting that China could take this setting and offset both the United States and Russia and away from the access of more than a trillion barrels of oil is kinda astounding, especially as oil is priced between $104 and $114 dollars a barrel. And whilst they already squandered access to Canadian oil, I would think that they would make sure all intelligence on how Houthi terrorist is getting their intel might be a little higher on their list.

So whilst we contemplate “Russian officials have not yet commented on AURORAH’s findings, but in recent years, technological and military ties between Russia and Iran have deepened significantly, anchored by joint strategic agreements, space cooperation, and the exchange of defence technology. Ahmed Nagi, a senior analyst on Yemen at the International Crisis Group, said Moscow reportedly supporting Tehran’s allies like the Houthis is particularly significant because it would mean a shift in the trajectory of the Yemeni conflict.” This makes sense if this is done without approval of the Kremlin (aka President Putin) and the coins that some are getting are now getting in the way of political aspirations. And I for one am not convinced that the CIA is behind this, but I find it weird that the CIA never found this. Making Nawaf Obaid a possible new player in the Gulf States intelligence circles, especially if be can find and bind this to Iranian parties.

Yes, I am massively speculating here and I admit this, because this setting might require some additional speculation, if not for the who, it might merely push the innocent parties also in the limelight and that is equally important.

So have a great day and enjoy halloween. I did my good deed for this special day, I aided my ex in an assisted suicide I pushed her into a woodchopper, she was too scared to do it herself. And again I prove that no Halloween is complete without a bad joke or two.

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