Tag Archives: Vance

Just when you thought it was over

I was just alerted by a newscast from the BBC, the story gives us ‘US-Iran talks postponed as Vance pulls out of Switzerland trip’, so after we hear that a deal is in the bag (I think this is the 40th claim) we see news that Israel bombs Hezbollah, with lloyds giving us ‘Iran imposes mandatory insurance on ships transiting Strait of Hormuz, with fees likely to follow’ I reckon there is no if or but for that, it is a setting that will follow, Iran is still playing its games. I am happy I gave my IP to Saudi Arabia and the UAE, I saw that there is never ever a way to trust Iran and I created the IP to scuttle their harbours and railway systems. I am (yet again) proven correct. So whilst we see that two hours ago ‘US-Iran talks postponed as Vance pulls out of Switzerland trip’ asI see that neither side is seemingly serious about talks and a stop to fighting, the stage was foreseen by me, because (me being slightly biased) Iran is only willing to talk whilst they are regrouping of awaiting rearmaments, which is why I set the IP for destroying harbours and railway systems. You can delay whatever you want, but when no ammo is getting through they either talk or they go down and I saw this before march. So whilst we are given “But Washington said plans for the talks had “not been finalised”. It added that the US looked forward to “beginning technical talks as soon as possible”. Switzerland’s foreign ministry later confirmed the talks at the Burgenstock mountaintop resort had been “postponed”, although it said preparations for talks were continuing. Swiss military and police officials had been patrolling the luxury hotel set high on a mountain overlooking Lake Lucerne, and a media centre had been set up for journalists.” But personally I don’t think this would have ever worked. The entire Hezbollah setting would have drowned this before it started and only 8 minutes ago we are given ‘Iran tells Hezbollah US talks impossible without comprehensive ceasefire in Lebanon’ and as I see it, Hezbollah never wanted any peace to begin with, optionally neither did Iran, as such the talks were a void setting before it began. And the stage of “no fee for 60 days” is as empty as it sounds, what fees were in place before all this? In this ADNOC has a solution in play and should be placed before years end, Aramco has another solution also in place, as such Qatar, Iraq, Bahrain and Oman are getting hung out to dry. So who considered bombing Iran? Why did they never hit the refineries? There are 9 or 10 refineries, why are they not all down? It is simple strategy. Consider that Sun Tzu wrote the Art of War roughly 2500 years ago. We learned there that “Sun Tzu argued that prolonged engagement exhausts both military and financial resources. In business, this translates to avoiding endless price wars, which erode profit margins and destroy capital faster than the competition” as such the refineries needed to be hit, only then would Iran talk, whilst they have options they will delay without remorse, add the Hezbollah setting and the gulf states get a much harder time.

We see the numbers (courtesy of ABC News) and whilst Iran has oil production, they can continue attacking the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar (and others) removing their ability to pay for resources to attack and options for the west and the gulf states open up. Basically I am whistling Dixie, so why were the United States not ready all whilst they presumably bombed Iran for $26 billion, we can assume that these thousands of bombs were not aimed at the 9-10 refineries. Why?

So whilst we are given (source: Lloyds) “The move challenges a US-Iran agreement guaranteeing toll‑free passage”, with the additional “Iran demands vessels use its preferred northern route, with threats of penalties for non‑compliance”, and in what universe do others decide on what course a captain steers? They can only do so in set conditions but these do not seem to apply. A setting that was doomed from the start, so whilst we are given “Iran has asserted its control over the Strait of Hormuz, insisting that vessels comply with new terms and conditions to transit, including mandatory Iranian insurance for all vessels”, so whilst we see that there is a setting of failure in all this, from beginning to end and I wonder why this is. I am not more intelligent than even the mid level officers in the Pentagon, so what is going on? I am voicing read literature, I see the failures all over the field and I am not versed in military strategies like officers of any army and I can see this as clear as bottled still water. So what is going on? Is the United States now so desperate that if they go under, so everyone else gets to go down first? That is where I land and I wonder if I am mad, but the data we all see is pointing in this direction. And the United States has Vietnam as an example so what gives? And in all this the press should be asking all kinds of questions and they seemingly are not. So whilst my version could very well be incorrect, no one is offering any options that makes sense and I have been seeing this from march onwards. And I don’t believe that I am more trained than any colonel and higher in the Pentagon, my view seems to make sense. So you tell me, what am I not seeing, or what am I getting wrong? But that is merely my point on all this. So whilst we will get ‘some’ report on what is seemingly going on, the things I wrote about from March 1st onwards and lets not forget that President Trump claimed that a deal with Iran was close, and now we seem to get the idea that he gave the farm to Iran, who does that? Who neglects bombing the refineries all whilst 26 billion in bombing runs were made? One source gave us that the United States had struck 2,000 targets using more than 2,000 munitions, so not these refineries? How does that make sense? ABC gives us that Shahran oil depot and the Aqdasiyeh Oil Warehouse were hit, but no refineries? All whilst Iran has hit refineries in Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar. So, who is wondering the same thing I am? What is going on? 

Have a great day and enjoy the upcoming weekend.

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