Wolves or Chihuahuas?

I am acting on a feeling, this happens. But the difference is that I have no economic sense (not really), It comes to a ground setting that I can get rich because I spend ;less than I earn, but not fast enough to use tax benefits as leverage to make a larger offset. I don’t know the laws on this and it doesn’t worry me. But I know data, I’ve seen it rustle for the better part of half a century and I noticed today that things are off. I have written about Oracle before, the last time just a day ago. But something seems to have changed. I wrote about vulture investors, but there that is 2-3 years away. And now I see that Oracle is at the centre of way too much press and it is diverse. It is like seeing the set up of a play that some are making and they need to press to do some of the waves and groundwork. That is what I feel, but am I right? The last one (that I think I saw) was ‘Alphabet vs. Oracle: Which Is the Better AI Stock to Own for the Next 5 Years?’ (Yahoo Finance), the article is seemingly nice, but there is an undertone in all this. First of all, why even make the comparison? They have overlapping settings in different directions and I get that you have to make a choice, but that tends to be a personal one. I am such a coward that I would try to go 50-50 on them, they are both sound good and they make an excellent setting for my portfolio. Then we also get ‘Oracle Heavily Shorted, Stock Halved—Contrarian Opportunity?’ And ‘Oracle’s $10,000 Lesson: A 38% Plunge in 12 Months Despite Record AI Backlog’ followed by ‘Oracle Stock Falls 3.8% as $40 Billion Funding Plan Tests AI Backlog’ and ‘Project Jupiter: Gas Pipeline Delay Threatens Oracle’s $165 Billion New Mexico AI Data Center’ (less than an hour ago) as I see it, it started with ‘Oracle junk bond fears, debt surge sound alarms for investors’ 23 hours ago. There are always setting that happen at the same time, but to see 6 pages of headlines in the last 24 hours and diverse, it is not that they all talk about 1 thing. It comes across that the attacks on Oracle are beginning and everyone wants to take a bite out of that data behemoth. That is what it feels like to me, someone is gunning for Oracle and I have no idea who, but someone knows. 

The problem for me is that it sounds like the wolves are coming and they might merely be chihuahuas making noises. The setting is that I am not economically savvy enough to make the distinction (I am no Mark Carney after all), but the data that I see gives me the feeling that they are wolves setting up for a yummy clambake and they are setting the table. This is the groundwork I expected to see starting around December 2027, not in the last 24 hours. I get that someone will make the point that the world never sleeps and that business is always on the menu, I get that, but to start carving into a behemoth like this, before that ‘carcass’ is well and ready means that some are showing their hands and whilst this might be a prelude to an actual attack, which means that someone is seeing the soft spot at Oracle, but is that really the case? I lack the economic savvy that I need for this. I can see the data, but that still leaves for a lot of time, these steps give me that Oracle is out of time, or at least that is the premise I notice and that is the problem. Are these chihuahuas that want to make nose to get noticed or are the wolves famished and they need (read: desire) a proper non vegetarian meal? I it just the distance that I fail to see, or is it the noise I hear and I cannot tell the difference? That is the lack of economy in me and I get that, but the data, the data is out there and I surely hope that they are merely chihuahuas, Oracle can stomp on them and shoo them towards a long walk on a short pier, but in the other case, is are we watching the prelude to boardroom tables setting up a circle setting to fight off the wolves? My data insight tells me it is too soon for that, but it requires economic savvy to tell that difference. The data is not there and whilst Oracle has a lot more data insight then I do (never be afraid to honor the biggest dog in the game), I feel that there is rustling in the shrubberies and it is time to differentiate between chihuahuas and wolves. It is not a simple difference because you top on one and shooting of the others (the rest will take a step back). One is a simple miscommunication the other  requires a license, even if it is self defence, so as I see it Oracle better get ready for whatever they plan.

The question is, what do you do when the wolves come calling early? Have a great Sunday, not in Toronto and Vancouver though, for them it is still Caturday and they are hugging their tigers (as men do).