Tag Archives: Mecca Joint Defence Agreement

August 29, 2026 · 15:29

Escalation on the menu

That is what I saw and I was alerted first by this by FirstPost (at https://www.firstpost.com/web-show/firstpost-live/war-is-coming-saudi-arabia-ready-to-bomb-houthis-as-attacks-escalate-firstpost-live-4k-vd2102436/) where we learn ‘‘War Is Coming’: Saudi Arabia ‘Ready’ to Bomb Houthis as Attacks Escalate’ apart from the title which I think is incorrect as Saudi Arabia should have been ready to bomb Houthi forces back to the stone age months ago (A Trumpian expression). We see “Saudi Arabia could be preparing for a renewed confrontation with Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis, according to a report by The New York Times, raising concerns that the Iran war could trigger a new battlefront in West Asia. The report cites analysts who warn that tensions between Riyadh and the Houthis could escalate” But this story seems straight forward and I don’t do straight forward. You see, at the same tie we get Al Jazeera (at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/28/six-months-of-war-between-iran-us-leave-arab-states-facing-tough-questions) who gives us ‘Six months of war between Iran, US leave Arab states facing tough questions’ where we see “Analysts broadly agree the United States and Israel’s war on Iran will not see regime collapse in Tehran or a definite victory for Washington, but rather a dragged-out affair of stagnation and attrition.” It comes with the added “All in all, the region remains in flux where formal alliances with outside powers no longer guarantee safety.” And the second statement is the first pebble that makes sense. There is another setting given to us, it is ““There is no chance of the government in Tehran falling in the next six months,” Hellyer told Al Jazeera. “If everything were to theoretically stay the same … with just increased economic pressure, that could eventually cause a ripple effect that could lead to state collapse in Iran. But we’re talking years, not months, and everything is not likely to stay the same.”” As well as “Exacerbating the Gulf states’ difficulties is that, although the price of oil has risen, so has inflation. In addition to the economic difficulties the war has created, there is also growing pressure for Gulf states to invest more in defence.” This is as I personally see as the second pebble. Then we get Energy Now giving us (at https://energynow.com/2026/07/houthi-leader-threatens-saudi-oil-facilities-if-riyadh-escalates-in-yemen/) with the title ‘Houthi Leader Threatens Saudi Oil Facilities if Riyadh Escalates in Yemen’ as I stated it is time to take of the gloves and decrease the Houthi population by a lot. And I believe that many of the Saudi military are on that same page. They will not state this because the await orders from Defense Minister Khalid bin Salman Al Saud and optionally the man above him which should be Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud and they both take directions from King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud of Saudi Arabia and I reckon that they have had it playing nice with the Houthi terrorists. So yes, as I see it, war is coming and it is not the whole enchilada as Mexicans will state. So what are we missing?

You see, if my foresight of the United States being utterly broke is that these escalations are meant for the United States to get back on the horse whilst they are not ready for anything in the next 10 years. They created a mess in the middle east and the oil in question they have too, so they are making a massive gain there. But the $40,000,000,000,000 is not easily swayed, the oil revenue could possibly fund the interest for several years. And the second pebble I gave you was “growing pressure for Gulf states to invest more in defence”, which is the second stone of revenue, but as I see it, they caused the mess, so why give them the revenue? That is the setting that they overlooked. There is now ample reason to tighten the bonds with China and I reckon that China has the same sights in view I have and they might be on top of this already. They have the Chengdu J-20 (aka Mighty Dragon) they also have the Shenyang J-16 and the Chengdu J-10C Vigorous Dragon. This is before we consider that Saudi Arabia might turn to the EU to get samples of the Eurofighter Typhoon to smooth things over, optionally going to that front for at least one squadron. All revenue lost to the United States. I predicted this as much years ago. But I have corroborating evidence. The entire bombing of Iran all whilst refineries stood standing, how does this make sense? I gave IP to Saudi Arabia and the UAE early march to scuttle whatever Iran had to incapacitate their options. Also I showed how a small squadron of drones could impede whatever Iran thought it could produce. These are simple methods to tae down an army and the Pentagon knows this. They read even more than I have and I came to this conclusion and I for one already gave Saudi Arabia the means to also take down the Houthi terrorists. So if the United States would not handle terrorists, I would (I know this is exaggerated ego speaking). But when you see these elements, do you think I am wrong?

So when you consider “There is no chance of the government in Tehran falling in the next six months”, all whilst we heard “President Trump has announced Iran’s defeat 106 times, claimed the country was destroyed 95 times, promised an imminent deal 88 times” how can the Pentagon be that wrong? As I see it it was never the goal to ‘defeat’ Iran, merely for the others to be unable to get the upper hand in all this, when the United States proclaim it cannot pay interest bills (which is likely in 2028) they will lose whatever they had and it will take the Gulf States a decade to repair what it had and the is just not on with me. So as we were given that President Trump reported over $2.2 billion in revenue during his first year back in office in 2025 and billions more, I reckon that he is stocking whatever he can and wherever he can, because when the United States goes down he wants his billions in a zero tax state and optionally Switzerland as well. So the pebbles are making wrinkles in the water, but someone is diluting that view with “global war settings” But as I see it, this should not be allowed and there is an apparent lack of illegalities of the actions by President Trump and he made ‘friends’ in the right places and when the USA declares itself insolvent Trump loses all his friends and he needs his savings to be safe, because as I see it the people will come in millions to Mar-a-Lago all armed with pitchforks and torches and at that point it might no longer be the safest place for President Trump. Perhaps he will sell that in the 11th hour for a few more coins, but that is what I see and I had hoped that Saudi Arabia and the UAE would unite to keep the gulf safe and Saudi Arabia set up with Pakistan the Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement, which is now superseded by the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement which gives us a defence pact between Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey signed into force on 7 August 2026. Which is good, but I personally think that the UAE and Bahrain should be part of this. I am hesitant for Qatar and Iraq to join, but it is a mere feeling. I have no corroborating data of any credible nature. But the setting that Qatar has had with Hamas and Hezbollah there is chance that the influences are ‘poisoned’ by Iran but this is a mere feeling. There is no evidence as I see it and I go by evidence every single time (or personal presumption in some cases).

So whilst we see this, and we need to see that the entire Iran setting was started by the United States and Israel, but then Iran did something stupid, they attacked the gulf states (without clear provocation) and tried to erase the UAE with over 2,200 unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) aimed at Emirati territory, as such Iran is now non-welcome in most gulf states. They also fired on the other gulf states, but I reckon I made my case there. And the setting is required for others to see this. You see, the UAE is a direct threat to US technology and I speculate that is why Iran attacked it, perhaps they were promised certain leeways from the United States, but that is pure speculation. So, as I am still questioning what the rationale thought was behind that, the clarity is supposed to see that they could have send these 2200 drones to Israel, that is a country that attacked them. I am not anti-Israel, but when you attack a nation you get treated to drones (and more) but that might be my simplistic mind.

As such, perhaps China has a decent way to dal with the Houthi problem, as a simple weapon test mind you and that could fuel the purchase of weapons from China, now the options lie with the EU to counter that offer, but I reckon that they are hesitant to act, which is understandable.

So in all an almost simple setting, the question becomes what happens next? I have no clue because I am not in the know with Saudi defense plans. So you all have a great day and try to enjoy a cup of coffee (my next move).

Disaster through media

That is how I see it, it is not that they are wrong because as I see it, it fits directly in the views of a terrorist state and that directly hits towards their target. So what am I talking about? It is the article that the Guardian launched about an hour ago (at https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/aug/07/iran-war-trump-midterm-ballot) where we see ‘Iran plots to deal Trump a blow in midterms by keeping him entangled in war’, so whilst we saw again and again that a deal was coming through soon, which I always doubted, we now see this and with “Tehran has set out a protracted negotiating timetable designed to keep Donald Trump embroiled in the Iran conflict until the midterm elections, in the hope of inflicting the same ruinous blow on his presidency as Jimmy Carter suffered over the 1979-81 US embassy hostage crisis. For many inside Iran, inflicting meaningful revenge on Trump is a legitimate and self-standing war aim, reflected in the mood of those attending the funeral of the supreme leader Ali Khamenei where demands for retribution were ubiquitous.” The move makes perfect sense and I think that this will be the case. But we also saw about hour ago (at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/7/saudi-arabia-pakistan-and-turkiye-sign-defence-deal-amid-regional-turmoil) that Al Jazeera gave us ‘Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkiye sign defence deal amid regional turmoil’ as such Iran is in a bind because these three will attack Iran if any of them is attacked. This leaves me with two thoughts. The first one (of a humorous nature) is that this might be the first time in history where Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Turkey and Israel have the same enemy, as such walking the streets of Tehran might be massively dangerous now. The other thought is that this puts the UAE standing alone and there is every chance that Iran will temper its false rage on the UAE, which is not a good thing. I feel better that I basically gave my military IP away to the UAE as well. Perhaps they can use it to sink the Iranian navy (it was a prototype, so it is not usable instantly). But this setting is now evolving, because the Guardian is also leaving us with “But the focus on the midterms became more obvious this week when the deputy foreign minister, Kazem Gharibabadi, told the official IRNA news agency that after agreeing a route for commercial shipping through the strait of Hormuz, it would take two to four months to reach the second phase of negotiations on Iran’s nuclear programme. The original plan – to commence the nuclear phase of the talks within 30 days of signing June’s memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the US – had been jettisoned by the Trump administration, Gharibabadi said. To get to that second stage, he laid out an obstacle course including the lifting of sanctions, the end of the US blockade of Iranian ports, the unfreezing of Iranian assets and new commitments on non-belligerence in a process that could last well beyond the midterms.” It also came to me yesterday as I wrote “Which beckons the setting for the midterm, because the military has its own share of democrats and when even one comes across with the actual numbers of all the stockpiles then no longer have, it is the opinion of this small, useless, humble blogger that the Midterms are set to the ‘inaccuracies’ surrounding those statements. A political deal done and it started with the actions surrounding February 28th 2026 and it wasn’t even a leap year.” (see previous article) and I wrote that story 10 hours ago, so I got to the setting of the midterms before the Guardian did, being it for different reasons. And all this gives us that either the United States uses what missiles they have to give Iran a one way ticket to the stone age, as such President Trump has a massive problem and if social media is to be believed, the setting of President Trump comes with prison time after he loses the Midterms. I have no clue if that could even be achieved, but that setting might be a disturbing one. Not for me, he has been massively nasty to Canada, so he would be getting what he deserved.

But as I see it the dangers to the UAE remains and I expect that they have no intent being the target of Iran any longer. As such I agree with the Guardian who gives us “From this perspective, the outcome of this war will not be played out on the battlefield, but at the ballot box. The agency suggested the outcome could affect the course of American domestic and foreign policy for years to come.” And we can all agree with that, because no matter how you see it, the worst case scenario is that Democrats start being nice to Iran, something that is globally unacceptable, still I have no interest looking into the mucky waters called American politics. And that reflecting pool will have its own set of disasters bound by time. So when we look at the end of the Guardian Article, we see “The bigger question is what Iran itself wants to achieve. Agreeing to keep the dispute simmering until November is not an answer to that question – one that Iranians are better at debating than resolving. Pezeshkian, working in alliance with Mohammad Ghalibaf, the chief negotiator, repeatedly says he does not want endless war, and insists that almost all the supreme national security council concur. He still has faith in the MoU, saying it should be the cornerstone of Iran’s foreign policy. But the conservative newspaper Kayhan describes the memorandum as worthless since the US always breaks its commitments. “Accordingly, officials should know that the strait of Hormuz is not a bargaining chip and should not be opened as a passage for America,” it said.”“ The only part I see happening is that price of oil will remain high and as I see it, it will not decrease nowhere near the midterms. That is a setting that the ‘speeches’ of President Trump also needs to bring him and I feel decently safe that the teleprompter will fail and President Trump will state that this was all a conspiracy theory (my turn to make a funny, Prime Minister Carney).

But the stage is not resolved, because as I see it (using the Al Jazeera article) where we see “The conflict has imperilled Saudi Arabia’s oil exports and ambitious development plans, and raises big questions about the reliability of its longstanding US security umbrella. While Turkiye and Pakistan have avoided significant direct attacks, both are anxious to calm regional conflicts that threaten their security and economies. The deal, named the “Mecca Joint Defence Agreement”, follows nearly a year of negotiations. Sealing the agreement in Mecca, the holiest site in Islam, adds symbolic heft to a pact that builds on longstanding bilateral military ties.” As such we see the this deal took the better part of a year to set, which means that this started all before the strikes on Iran started and that is good for the nations, but in that same setting it implies that they have had enough of Iran and I wrote about in on the second of June with “which was based on a 2019 idea on stopping Iran. With blocked harbours Iran becomes the isolated party others needed it to be” (in my article ‘Defeated by the timeline’) since then I added a few military IP’s to my arsenal, because we all have to remains creative at times. But it kinda shows that the UAE needs to evolve its military tactics and not always in a diplomatic way. Because the 537 ballistic missiles and 26 cruise missiles are evidence to that setting and there is a decent chance that the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain and Kuwait were all attacked in the near future and as Iran is a cowardly terrorist state, these nations will face more attacks. The “Mecca Joint Defence Agreement” are likely to keep three nations decently safe, the others might not be that lucky and that requires attention as well. And as I see it, they should not face attacks for the next 12 weeks, because Iran will suddenly play the little crying girl when the Trump danger has been settled and I don’t think that being nice to Iran is going to be an option before 2028, but that is merely me thinking and I think that enough gulf states are on the same page I am currently on. Yet this is not all, Al Jazeera raised a decent part with “Al Jazeera’s Osama Bin Javaid, reporting from the Qatari capital, Doha, said the pact “essentially puts three of the largest Muslim populations together”, marking the beginning of a “different security architecture” in the region.” It might make a large difference, but personally I would have liked that the UAE was included in that deal and with that I possibly show my complete unawareness of Muslim politics, but that might be my weakness in all of this as I am not Muslim. So to all a great day and I am (alas) still 300 minutes away from breakfast.

Tag Archives: Mecca Joint Defence Agreement

Escalation on the menu

Disaster through media

Recent Posts

Archives