Tag Archives: Red Sea

The undecided ones

That is what I see. And there is a real danger here and we will see the end come because some people cannot make decisions. They are too scared to be seen ‘in a bad light’ but the their inactions have more dire consequences than they are willing to admit to, because they are in a setting “we can talk with them”, “we could find a mutual solution” but the direct setting is that they do not want to talk. The want to lead at the expense of everyone and everything. I am of course talking about Iran and now their terrorist branches Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthi. The indecisive actions by the United States is making its mark, because Iran sees the weakness in the United States. The bully president talks and talks, but the weary part of all this is seen, the United States is broke beyond belief and they can no longer boast what they want, well they could, but it is now reaching more and more deaf ears. So whilst we get “Good morning. Donald Trump has used the platform of the UN general assembly in New York to threaten to “annihilate the Islamic republic” of Iran, “and do it quickly”. He called on countries to unite to isolate Tehran and bring down global energy prices.” So how are they doing that exactly? You see, they started their clambake 207 days ago (which amounts to 29 weeks and 4 days) and they weren’t able to stop Iran and others (like the Houthis) are seeing this as a weakness. All that, whilst I gave a much better setting in the last 29 weeks that is better, more complete and it hinders the Iranians to a much larger effect and my ‘plan’ didn’t cost and whilst AP News gave us that this is costing the USA $43.6 billion, my ‘plan’ did it at a fraction of the cost and a lot more complete. This is not a brag, I placed the idea in my blog and I gave it free of charge to the UAE and Saudi Arabia, because when these places are under attack, you are not asking for money (it would still be nice though) but these inventions are untested and they get it for free and can decide how to implement it. I had France WW2 as an example. As such it might merely be a partial innovation (aka iteration) on this. And I am not undecided, I decided to hand Saudi Arabia (the UAE too) whatever I had to counter Iran and its three terrorist organisation and perhaps my way will not work. More able engineers than me can decide on that. I am not undecided. So in the meantime we see the CSIS give us ‘Is the United States Abandoning Saudi Arabia at Its Moment of Need?’ Where we see “By 2022, Saudi Arabia and the Houthis had negotiated a ceasefire. It held imperfectly until July 2026, when Saudi Arabia was attacked again—this time most definitely by the Houthis. The attacks plunged Saudi Arabia into a conflict it had hoped to avoid.

Houthi missiles, mostly intercepted, began targeting Saudi Arabia on July 13. The Houthis announced a naval blockade on July 22 and began targeting oil tankers carrying Saudi crude in the Red Sea. They then began attacking Saudi energy infrastructure, culminating in a strike on an oil refinery in Jazan on August 9. On September 10, an Iranian-backed militia in Iraq—plausibly coordinating with the Houthis—struck the critical East-West Pipeline that had allowed the country to reroute its oil exports from the Strait of Hormuz to the Red Sea. And on September 18, a Houthi ballistic missile targeting Riyadh was intercepted by Saudi air defenses.” As I personally see this, the Iranian puppets are now acting against Saudi Arabia and this requires more than just shrugging. A few weeks ago I gave Saudi Arabia more ideas and put is up to them to distill if my ideas have merit. I believe it does. We need to act in support of allies and I have always regarded that Saudi Arabia and the UAE are allies. As such we need to act. So I am in favour of acting, but we get from the Guardian ‘Trump calls off airstrikes at last minute’ and we can set this to all kinds of reasons, but in the end their ally Saudi Arabia was under attack and they became an undecided party. So what is the right action? As I see it we stand with Saudi Arabia (with the UAE too) and we take Iran and his terrorist organisations to the cleaner. I am too old to fight, but I have a few good ideas and the first one is to destroy the harbour of Mocha and destroy whatever it gets in ships, because that is how the Houthi get their weapons. It seems that their source is Eritrea, but how do they get there? That is where I see it different. The Iranian ships come to the Gulf of Aden and most likely the Iranians have a deal with people around Aden (pure speculation on my side), there I too much with Eritrea I am not accepting, it is almost like the intelligence is set for Saudi Arabia to start unprovoked attacks on Eritrea. And I am driven by evidence (and I am not privy to the evidence that might exist), so basically I am flying blind. But the media knows a lot more and they are absent in the reporting of the Iranian Houthi acts. They basically merely state ‘Iran-backed Houthis’ all whilst it should be ‘the Iranian puppet run Houthi terrorists’ and there is no place for the undecided ones. So whilst they are trying to weasel their ways in a setting where they can shine like the proverbial peace talking people and all whilst they are playing with the lives of others, they are hiding in a setting where they are safe, but their is no longer any safe place. There are no longer talks, President Trump made that impossible when they attacked on February 28th. So either they commit to eradicating Iran, or Iran becomes the biggest terrorist handler the world has ever seen and we are lucky, because this setting would be 100 times larger if Qasem Soleimani was still alive. That is the only luck we currently have and that is why we need to be decisive in all this and unite behind Saudi Arabia and the UAE. I personally feel more like an Emirati, mainly because I am no Muslim and Saudi Arabia is decently conservative Muslim. But that is probably the only reason. I still believe in the defense of Saudi Arabia, which is why I handed them my military IP. 

So when will the world wake up? When the oil stops delivering? When the Houthis decide that they should (with assistance) of Hezbollah turn towards Israel and Egypt? They are then merely one step away from France. So when that becomes a feeding ground towards pushing them all towards Shia Islam, what is stopping them? The undecided ones? It will be too late at that point. We have options at this point and as I see it the United States no longer is one, so we either unite with Saudi Arabia or we see our world come undone. And don’t put too much faith in the selective outrage of Antonio Guterres stating “I have never seen killing and destruction like Gaza”, where we should wonder what he was doing when we saw the fatalities of Ethiopia set to 750,000 to 797,000 people per year, 377,000 total deaths in Yemen, Sudan with 400,000 deaths, and Ukraine with an expected 525,000 fatalities? So, was Antonio Guterres asleep at the wheel? (Im just asking). We need to stop the lackeys of Iran and stop Iran, a two sided battle and there is no prize for the losers and if we remain undecided we will most certainly lose. A lesson that President Trump apparently never learned. Because he boasted to have defeated Iran over 30 times and as I see it Saudi Arabia as well as the UAE had to clean up the mess of this. So when this mess gets cleaned up, we need to see what to do next. I still think that China might be the solution to all this and I reckon that the EU comes around the moment the dangers of Hezbollah, Houthi and Iran becomes real, but that might be too late a setting and I have no idea how the intelligence of DGSE is. But if you are not an intelligence person you might never know and those who are aren’t putting this on their blog (as I am), a simple truth. But the best actions? I actually have no idea, but I see the danger (even if some make claim that there is none) recognising the dangers we are in is important, because that shows you who the undecided ones are and with that we could see where we can find an optional solution.

Have a great day today.

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The start of isolation

That is at times a signal, at times a revelation and at times mere common sense. Arab News (at https://www.arabnews.com/node/2652675) is giving us ‘GCC declares full support for Saudi measures to protect its sovereignty’ which is nice to hear. I got there over a year ago, as such it is nice to see others are following my charge (my illusional moment). You see, Arab News is giving us “The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Secretary-General Jasem Mohamed Albudaiwi on Wednesday declared the Gulf states full support for all measures the Kingdom takes to protect its security and sovereignty. The secretary-general affirmed the Gulf states support for the Saudi measures and stressed the bloc’s condemnation to the drone attacks targeting the Kingdom’s oil facilities.” I myself was on that page on the 15th of September 2019 after the Abqaiq–Khurais attack. Iran was responsible, they might have played the ‘were innocent’ card and let Houthi terrorist make the claim, but the drones were too successful and the Houthi terrorists lacked the ability to be that effective. As such the IRGC was pointed to as the only viable suspect. As such it was nice for the GCC to finally see the need for Saudi Arabia be given the ‘all clear’ and that is the start of isolation for Iran. So whilst we get “Bahrain also affirmed its support for Saudi Arabia, saying the kingdom has all the right “to respond to any aggression and deter aggressors.” 

The remarks came after Saudi Arabia carried out precision strikes early Wednesday targeting Iranian-backed militias in Iraq. The Saudi step came in line with the Kingdom’s right to self-defense, the kingdom’s defense ministry said.” So whilst we see that the member states are Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates, I have no idea how Oman is seeing this, but that might be the only remaining ‘fan’ Iran has left. The setting at present is that Oman has a partnership defined by active neutrality, geographic interdependence on the Strait of Hormuz, and a long history of diplomatic mediation. But as far as I see it, that is likely the only GCC fan it has left. On the upside, it is always good to have one ‘impartial’ setting in any case (should Iran actually resort to active diplomacy), but the setting is that Iran has no allies left beside the terrorist parties it fueled through decades of weapon sales, sold (as I personally see it) for $0, for jobs achieved and now they have only that left, but in all this. These parties were given that their setting would be active hostilities to Israel. The idea that they might face the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia with additional attacks by the United States armed forces was something they did not expect. They were always ready for US forces in combination of Israeli forces. But the setting of Saudi forces, or better stated angry Saudi forces is a setting they were not ready for and a Saudi Arabia, that needs it safety guaranteed will resort to measures that they are not ready for. 

And that is the step that will be isolating Iran, in ways they were not ready. They made a bet that they were safe with the setting of asymmetric warfare and this is now coming to an end. Saudi Arabia is now getting the support of the entire GCC, as such Houthi terrorists will be scrambling for any hideout they can, because there won’t be any support from Iran coming their way any day soon. Iran is now in deep waters. They were hoping to get away with it a little longer, but the GCC support towards Saudi Arabia ends that train of thought. Even as we are getting ‘Houthi To Impose Toll Fees in Bab El Mandeb Strait’, I reckon that Saudi Arabia will be enforcing of zero tolerance on the toll setting by Houthi terrorists, so whilst we are given “Yemen gov’t says Houthis planning to impose fees for Red Sea transit, A minister in Yemen’s internationally recognised government on gave Wednesday” from several sources, most media sources ‘state’ that Houthis are considering this, like they had anything to say about this. As the strait of Hormuz didn’t pan out for Iran, they got their lackey to try this for the Suez role and in this setting it is likely that Egypt might give some kind of military support to keep its Suez revenue safe. And when Saudi Arabia has dealt with the Houthi threat, Iran will become the loneliest bully in history. 

Just a thought to consider in all this. But as I see it, the proclamation (can I call it that?) that the GCC stands with Saudi Arabia is a welcome setting in all this and as I see it, it will bind the hands of Iran and its terrorist allies. So, at present I am going with the phrase better late then never. 

So, have a good day and lets see what happens tomorrow, it beats reporting on the failure that Optus in Australia has become. 

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As the world grows smaller

That is at times the setting, not because we are shrinking, but people leap with larger bounds, seek more distant settings and as distant settings become more and more reachable we seem to be shrinking. For the world this also means that other means become available. And here The United Arab Emirates take a leap, more specifically the ADNOC (Abu Dhabi National Oil Company) seeks to deliver LNG, more even better stated more LNG to the world as we are handed that “Abu Dhabi National Oil Co.’s shipping arm is evaluating the purchase of liquefied natural gas tankers as the state producer accelerates its push into global gas trading. Adnoc Logistics & Services may order four to six vessels to support the group’s expanding international business, Chief Executive Officer Abdulkareem Al Masabi said in an interview Wednesday. The order would come in addition to 14 LNG carriers already contracted to serve export projects in the United Arab Emirates.” this comes with the added setting of “Some of the new tankers could be ordered this year if a decision is taken to buy them, Al Masabi said without disclosing the potential cost. The company said Thursday that it continues to monitor developments in the global LNG market, but no orders for additional LNG vessels have been decided. Expanding the fleet would give Adnoc greater flexibility to market cargoes internationally rather than relying solely on long-term contracts.” Come to think of it, I wrote ‘Sinking a dilemma’ on February 1st 2026 (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2026/02/01/sinking-a-dilemma/) seems like a nice coincidence, because that tunnel might avoid several pressures. And as we are given “Al Masabi also said tensions in the Red Sea have “calmed down,” though the route remains sensitive after months of attacks by Iranian-linked Houthi forces prompted many shipping companies to avoid the area. Some operators have recently resumed or increased voyages through the corridor.” This doesn’t cover the pressures there were, but it is related. If there are more options, more and more countries will hammer the Houthi forces with drones (and optionally actual aircrafts) to keep the Houthi population down (preferable close to zero). But these forces rely on Iranian support and at present Iran is walking a fine line. I personally am still open to the destruction of their oil reserves as an empty coffer wouldn’t allow them to buy any DLE-170 170CC Twin Two-stroke part, as such the problem also goes away. Yes, I know it is a figment of my imagination, but the idea that the Iranian Credit Card is no longer allowed to be used to buy any weapons is a nice dream to have. And as we are also given “Adnoc L&S is adding vessels to handle rising domestic export capacity. The company will take delivery of two LNG carriers this year — adding to four already received — to transport gas from Abu Dhabi’s existing export terminal at Das Island. A further eight ships will serve the Ruwais LNG terminal under construction on the Gulf coast, which is scheduled for completion in 2028.” As such (as I see it) Emirati export is going nicely in an upward setting. 

But personally (which might rely on flawed logic) there is every chance that people working in the oil and gas industry might also find employment there. It comes with all kinds of settings (not all seen as positive) as you might find yourself doing a tour on Das Island which is around 173.4 KM away from the party centres of Dubai and Abu Dhabi, but I reckon that its airport makes that trip in under an hour (call for specifics +97126063622). And that is the symbiosis you would want, work hard all day and twice a week (or a weekend) splash it around in either two places. But I might be oversimplifying the problem. 

What does matter that ADNOC has a growing availability of something almost the entire world needs and that makes it a sellers market. So get your orders of LNG in quick, once the contracts are signed the abundance goes away for you.

Have a great day, time for me to seek out the coolness of ice coffee and take a small walk.

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A 28 month delay

Yes, that is how I see it and it all started by a story in the Naval News (at https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2024/01/red-sea-crisis-houthis-demonstrate-increased-capability-coalition-demonstrates-increased-presence/) they were not alone, but there I saw a quote that set me in motion. The quote that set it off was “The introduction of a one-way attack USV is of concern”, you see that was an incorrect statement. I made clear reference of this in ‘The Iranian play’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2021/08/30/the-iranian-play/) there I wrote “Yemen has no infrastructure for this, Iran is the only player willing to supply Houthi forces and that is the problem” I wrote this 28 months ago and in 28 months the Houthi forces never gained the ability to do so, they never had the option or (at that time) trained staff to do anything we saw. The west and others sat on their asses all whilst the problem evolved and ONLY now, now that the fat cats are losing margins in the red sea, NOW we see action. So how stupid was that to begin with?

Al Jazeera (at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/1/10/us-uk-forces-shoot-down-21-drones-and-missiles-fired-by-houthis) gives us “No injuries or damage reported in what the US military said was the 26th attack by the Yemen-based group since November 19” as I personally see it, this is pushed by others, happy to use Houthi forces as cannon fodder, but the west remains ignorant and I personally believe it is an intentional form of ignorance. 

Who did anything to stop these drones from getting there in the first place? I can’t have been the only one seeing this 28 months ago? So who was drowning the proper investigations? Who was stopping the media from asking the right questions? Perhaps it was all for the digital dollar. I doubt it, I personally believe this was another setting towards destabilisation of the middle east. It is a personal view and I might be wrong, but ask yourself. Now we see what was clear that many months ago? Are the red sea margins that important to the west? Are margins all they care about or is all that only possible as the middle east stays destabilised? You tell me, I am honestly clueless on what the answer is. Yet when you consider how long these Houthi forces are receiving support in hardware and training all whilst the west has been unable to stop them? 

Now consider three of the least capable parties in all this CIA, MI-6 and DGSE and no one saw this? I will let you ponder all this as the news comes in. Yet consider The Guardian (at https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/10/britain-warns-severe-consequences-houthi-attack-red-sea-repelled) giving us “The Houthis, once seen as a minor localised military force, say the attacks are intended to force Israel to allow more humanitarian aid into Gaza” all whilst I gave the lowdown 28 months ago and you tell me, who is doing a number of whom? 

Enjoy the moment when you are merely one day away from Friday.

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