Tag Archives: Skydance

The sales-price is considered

Yes, that is at times a simple setting, and sometimes it is more like watching for clarity in a bowl of pea soup. Something that simply isn’t ever happening. As such I tend to stay away from these things. Here I took a dabble for the reason that this most certainly will impact Hogwarts Legacy 2 and that is a troublesome setting. There was a second setting that AOL (via the LA Times) alerted me to. It is ‘Paramount outlines plans for Warner Bros. Cuts’ which we see (at https://www.aol.com/articles/paramount-outlines-plans-warner-bros-172016776.html) I have seen several cut articles pas by my eyes and as such we are given “Many in Hollywood fear Warner Bros. Discovery’s sale will trigger steep job losses — at a time when the industry already has been ravaged by dramatic downsizing and the flight of productions from Los Angeles.” I feel I disagree, but it is a disagreement done via a lack of American business sense and the ‘insight’ that there are too many captains and too many ships. It is like the length of a project has 5 stages, each stage with its own captain, quartermaster and boatswain, whilst these ships require to be moored 5 times which comes with additional costs. It is the perception I see and perhaps I am wrong, but that is the setting that is almost never seen in Canada, the UAE, Saudi Arabia. Not sure about Australia and the United Kingdom, as such the others get a much larger slice of their revenue, hence they can focus on quality, not quantity. 

I’ll admit it is a non-professional view as I am not in that business, me writing a few scripts don’t make me in any way a professional view here. So as we are given and we see “David Ellison’s Paramount Skydance is seeking to allay some of those concerns by detailing its plans to save $6 billion, including job cuts, should Paramount succeed in its bid to buy the larger Warner Bros. Discovery.” Will it work? I honestly don’t know, but this setting is weirding me out especially as we see “Paramount previously disclosed that it would target $6 billion in synergies. And it has stressed the proposed merger would make Hollywood stronger — not weaker. The firm, however, recently acknowledged that it would shave about 10% from program spending should it succeed in combining Paramount and Warner Bros.” We see ‘cutting’, ‘a merger’, ‘shaving’ and that makes Hollywood stronger? I don’t know, but I feel a string sense of doubt. Not merely because of that, but the UK, UAE and Saudi Arabia are fine tuning their own streaming services, their production facilities and distribution channels and I haven’t even considered India in all this. The time for people who want to succeed in Hollywood is over. Hollywood has to content for resources with the UK, Canada, UAE and Saudi Arabia and several of these channels have resources, as such the pond where Hollywood is fishing is a lot smaller and whilst people are ‘cut’ from the business they had, they will look towards the other ponds to see if they can make a living there. The shine of Hollywood stopped shining about 10 years ago and people aren’t catching on. And whilst we see “Paramount said that it would become Hollywood’s biggest spender — shelling out about $30 billion a year on programming.” This setting comes with a counter setting. You see if they don’t make at least $100,000,000,000 from that, the money spenders walk away and that is where the cogs start to hamper work. And at present Paramount had 2 movies in the top 10. Primate which made $23,890,679 and the SpongeBob movie which made $23,410,013. You think this is good? It is an actual question because these two movies made 0.47% of the required revenue. Still think this is a healthy setting? I know there is a lot more, TV series and all kinds of streaming solutions and they do bring in the cash but will it be enough? There is now a lot more than Hollywood and those players are also vying for the same revenue and the people have less to spend. For me it is simple I was only able to afford 4 cinema movies and for now my 2026 budget is limited to The Odyssey and the third dune move at present. And I am not in as bad a setting as many others are and I don’t think that Hollywood is realising this (or they are hiding that ignorance), but the Analysts have another view “Some analysts have wondered whether Paramount would sell one of its most valuable assets — the historic Melrose Avenue movie lot — to raise money to pay down debt that a Warner acquisition would bring.” I have no idea, the moment I hear Melrose, my mind changes settings to Melrose place and that sitcom with Heather Locklear (I was young once) and I have no idea about Hollywood, but the idea that this is an option and still they believe that Hollywood would not become stronger, merely more diverse and that does not translate to strength, it translates to revenue moving into more and smaller buckets. I remain driven into offering my scrips to Dubai except for the NSA heart attack script, I am now working on, which is meant for Canada and optionally Matt Damon’s Artists Equity. Still working on this, but I will finish it within the next few months (two months ahead of schedule, because a rewrite will become essential). 

So whilst I am in no way savvy in the workings of Hollywood, I am well versed in Business Intelligence and the settings I am seeing do not add up (to me at least). It is not entirely without doubt that this might be a setting that these studios are setting themselves up for a non-administration time and therefor much more abled to be hiding certain matters. Because stronger and the diminishing parts we see don’t add up. It only makes sense if certain players aren’t making the numbers they are supposed to be making. But perhaps I am the eternal sarcasm driven entity in this. 

And beyond what we see now with “Paramount also has filed proxy materials to ask Warner shareholders to reject the Netflix deal at an upcoming stockholder meeting. Earlier this month, Netflix amended its bid, converting its $27.75-a-share offer to all-cash to defuse some of Paramount’s arguments that it had a stronger bid. Should Paramount win Warner Bros., it would need to line up $94.65 billion in debt and equity.” The numbers might be adding up, but I have some doubts here, but it is Hollywood, who do I know about that place (answer: zilch)

Have a great day you all, its almost Thursday now, merely 300 seconds remaining.

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Co inky dink

Yup, my previous article on comic films preceded a BBC article. Or perhaps better stated I saw the article after I wrote my article. As coincidences, go a nice one. The BBC article (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj6er83ene6o) gives us ‘Hollywood’s big boom has gone bust’, I have some issues here. The first is seen with “the good times ground to a halt in May 2023, when Hollywood’s writers went on strike” I resent the implied status that this was up to the writers going on strike. And as we are given both “The actor and aerial cinematographer turned his hobby of flying drones into a profitable business in 2012 just as the streaming wars were taking off. For a decade, he was flying high above film sets, creating sleek aerial shots for movies and TV shows on Netflix, Amazon and Disney” and “But rather than roaring back, in the one year since the strikes ended, production has fizzled.” This story isn’t giving us the goods. You see there are a few elements. One is saturation of business. First there was Netflix, and not we have in addition Disney plus, Hulu, Paramount, YouTube TV, Sling, Fubo and Amazon prime. Several more to follow but these are the better ones. What was one is now eight and it doesn’t end there, there are all kinds of digital boxes who keep tabs on it all. The problem is that income levels are still the same as they were in December 2019, pretty much in synch with the first Covid setting. In 5 years most incomes are either the same or ridiculously close to that and in the meantime the cost of living has gone through the roof. Housing has been raised in many places by as much as 50%, that is hundreds of dollars a week. Food has risen by about 5% per year. There is the larger set that most people can at best afford 1 digital channel (if at all), as such all eight channels competed for the same customer at the same time. As such it isn’t merely that production fizzled, or that projects were cancelled. There is a dwindling population that cannot even afford one channel. And to relate that to the present, Disney projected it would spend between $8 billion-$9 billion on content for its premiere streaming service. Now see that investment all whilst less people could afford that TV channel. This isn’t merely America, this is a global problem. Hollywood has relied on the old Roman principle “Give the people bread and games” and now the people cannot afford the games and more and more of them are falling short for buying bread and this is happening all over the world. So whilst we get “Projects have been cancelled and production was cut across the city as jobs have dried up, with layoffs at many studios – most recently at Paramount. It had a second round of layoffs this week, as the storied movie company moves to cut 15% of its workforce ahead of a merger with the production company Skydance.” We see that there is a lull in the setting of projects and the attainment that people are in the mindset of “things will go better soon” but that is not the case. America and Europe wasted at least two years on their ego all whilst the ‘customers’ who had the cash have vacated to China. I saw this happen two years ago, which is why I created a script that could entertain the Muslim population. And I was right that SBA (Saudi Broadcasting Authority) and Dubai media are growing like crazy, all whilst the American players are merging and buying each other out. I saw the same happen in the IT in the early 90’s with a Dutch company called Infotheek. On the edge of bankruptcy, they bought the smaller players and take that revenue as your own. It didn’t work then, I doubt it will work now. And in that light America has a second problem. Many players will divert to Canada as it could be an option. Many actors and actresses are Canadian, so that works for some. Vancouver is a new powerhouse in this and the more the capture the smaller the American pie becomes. As such the article is right, Hollywood big boom has gone bust, as could be the case for Hollywood fairly soon. And there lies the problem, an over bubbled industry, A premise of channels that ned to invest billions, all whilst there is doubt that the revenue in 2026 could have diminished by 20% (at least), as such who gets the money? Then in the past 300% on investment was achievable, soon it will merely be between break even and perhaps 50%, so how many investors will leap the fence to optionally Arabic channels? I made it clear in 2020 that you cannot bite the hand that feeds you, but did the American defense industry listen? Nope and now the Chinese defense industry reports a growth of 25% year-on-year. That is money that is not going to America and now the streaming channels are optionally seeing a similar move towards Arabic nations and India. So how long until the boom turns into a gap that implodes implodes? 

All things that have been out in the open, but the BBC overlooked it. It is a good story and it gives some of the goods, but it overlooked the attached factors and these are a lot more disastrous. Well, that’s it for now. It is almost lunch time for me, have a great morning wherever you are.

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