Doubt

There are points where there is doubt, and then there are points where doubt does not come in. I for one have no doubt that President Trump is faking a lot, we see the rhetoric “If we don’t tale Greenland, China or Russia will.” I don’t think so, but I have no data that sways me from one side to the other. Russia just got bitch slapped b Ukraine and NATO has no problem to do that to Russia a few times more. China has its own rare metals deposits all over China and as I see it, USA is broke, they need it more than the other players, especially as the oil tycoons don’t see an option in Venezuela. The other side is also about war drums. They will cancel every base America has in Europe. That is nice, but Rammstein is one hell of an investment by its soldiers in Kaiserslautern, when that goes the economy from that town gets a left cross, a right cross and an uppercut, straight into the wallet of that place, but perhaps Germany figured on those losses and will persevere. There are several other bases that gets closed down and Im all for that, they attacked and they are now putting the fire under Greenland (Denmark too). Al Jazeera gives us less then an hour ago ‘Danish FM says Denmark, US still ‘differ’ over Greenland’ They give us that “US President Donald Trump says in a post on Truth Social that the United States control of Greenland is “vital” for his planned Golden Dome air and missile defence system.” Whilst 16 minutes ago the were given “Now, they’re willing to talk about the possibility of expanding US bases. The US has had a base there for many, many years. They have a base there at the moment, it has about 150 personnel there, but the Danes and the Greenlandic government are willing to discuss expanding the US military presence there. But Donald Trump says that unless it’s under US control, then anything less is unacceptable, and he’d like to see the US move into Greenland sooner than later.” And no one raises how broke the USA actually is, that is the crunch of it all and the is why President Trump needs Greenland, not for any other reason, because if national security was the issue there would have been a base expansion. Its really that simple.

ABC gave us 13 hours ago “He also said he would rather “make a deal” for the territory, but added: “One way or the other, we’re going to have Greenland.”” Which is feeding my ‘USA is broke’ setting, but nothing more than that. CNBC gives us a mere 13 minutes ago ‘Trump, Denmark have ‘fundamental disagreement’ over Greenland but will keep talking, officials say’ this makes it sound desperate, Denmark gave their answer and Trump comes across now as the teenager which is silenced by the girl stating ‘If you shut the fuck up, I’ll have sex with you’. Yes it sounds weirdly desperate and for the reason that he is broke, he needs to take that posture, because the moment he starts mining and not expanding the base and other settings they ‘need’ for national security, my point stands and the global media is shown as utterly useless, especially their economic columns. So I reckon that we can point at these media dodo’s at the next Davos in the desert and ask them whatever they aren’t seeing now, they’ll be getting their daily dose of news with a healthy set of sarcasm wherever they turn. Oh, and I insist on a published list of American Stakeholders, they might have done their jobs, but they get in the USA employmancy line, because as I see it, they are through in the EU and Commonwealth. But that is a setting for another day. Another setting Al Jazeera is giving us a mere 14 hours ago was ‘Why Greenland and Europe might have to offer Trump concessions’, I get it, it would settle the pressures that the USA is seeing and that would make Wall Street happy, but that still exposes the President Trump setting with a declines credit card. With “Europe might offer a minerals deal and greater US security presence on Greenland. But will that be enough to satiate Trump?” On one side there is the chance that the shorelines of the American east coast could rise 3-5 meters as there would be an enormous ice melt on Greenland, so happy us, on the other hand, what is left of Greenland would throw its lives in all kinds of hardship and that is not good. And I am a sneaky one, as Al Jazeera is giving us “Copenhagen is tooling up. It has announced $4.2bn in extra defence spending for the Arctic. And it is buying 16 more F-35 fighter jets (from, of course, the US). But even so, Denmark would have little chance against the full might of the US military.” There is every chance that those 16 F-35’s will be cancelled and they might buy the Gripen, or perhaps even the Future Combat Air System (FCAS), I think it is not a good idea to buy from the people that are trying to invade your domain, but that might be just me. 

All this whilst RFI gives us 11 minutes ago ‘Macron warns of ‘cascading consequences’ if US seizes Greenland’ here we see ““France is closely monitoring the situation and will act in full solidarity with Denmark and its sovereignty.” Macron’s comments came after US President Donald Trump said American control of Greenland was “vital” for a planned Golden Dome air and missile defence system.” And as I see it, there is some bad blood here too (something about submarines), so as I see it, almost all of Europe is up in arms about this and there might be some consideration that USA could end up getting thrown out of NATO, President Trump doesn’t care about that anyway (several quotes to that effect were given), which will free up all those bases in Europe as well and as Russia is now a mere shadow from what it was (due to the Ukraine) a different setting might be playing out and as that happens, when Russia and China are ‘discussing’ what to do with the USA, the average American will enter a new stage of being a third world citizen. Several mentions have been seen all over the media, but with the thoughts I saw from the data I have had in my possession for over 13 years, the setting sounds right, but I fear that this is where my opinion is not enough. When the infrastructure collapses, the average would be grateful to be a third world citizen, their lives will be worse than the lives the people had in 1932. By then, one of every four workers was unemployed. Banks failed and life savings were lost, leaving many Americans destitute. With no job and no savings, thousands of Americans lost their homes. This time around one in three will be without income, all pensioners are without money and millions will be without a home. And when these banks collapse they will be confiscated by others and picked dry like a vulture goes after the carcass of the banks. That is what I expect to see, but I will admit that my view is beyond gloomy (and highly speculative), the fun I am getting now is that others are hiding behind their AI systems thinking it is not going to be that bad. So they are using training on data that has not existed before, their AI systems are highly unvalidated and none of the remaining data was verified. So when they figure out what that will entail, others will figure out that you cannot train data on setting we have never seen before and that will crush their AI dreams (which never should have existed). And for the Americans wanting to avoid that, Saudi Aramco is giving us 

“We are looking for experienced professionals in a wide range of fields including engineering, geosciences, drilling, R&D, as well as education, finance, law, and other administrative areas. We generally seek candidates who possess a minimum of five to 10 years of applicable experience. Innovation is highly valued here at Saudi Aramco, and thesis work that furthers the industry’s general knowledge of oil and gas exploration and production is of particular interest. Active participation in relevant professional associations is also looked upon favorably.”

So up to 3500 people can escape the hardship that is coming for them. I reckon that I will try a setting with ADNOC, they also need people and I fear that large parts of the Commonwealth will be equally hit. Larger part of the Commonwealth ‘embraced’ the American setting for too long, these firms will implode and the need for data cleaners and data validators will not be in great demand, they are all dependent on firms based in the USA, and when that goes, 4 out of every jobs in that sector will vanish. Not a good thing. So whilst in doubt I say onto you, never believe one source and verify all you can, because you are about to make hardship decisions and that better come through verified sources, because you will be making too dangerous a decision on anything not verified or validated. 

That is life and that is the life you must avoid. And for those people stating that my words are harsh and stated on the way they are, I say “I get that and you are free to consider any option”, but this is how I see it and the fact that Greenland is still playing out is the reason that there is ‘wiggle room’ and if my setting of ‘USA is broke’ is wrong, so is this entire setting. But there have been economists (read: JP Morgan) who made similar claims and they are better at this then I am and when you take that setting with Venezuela my picture looks a lot more precise that anyone should consider wrong and 23 hours ago we were given ‘Venezuela Oil Revival: Years and Billions Needed’, The USA doesn’t have years and the oil tycoons aren’t willing to invest billions in that direction. It comes with the additional quote “According to TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanne, significant investment and time are required to restore Venezuela’s oil production capacity. TotalEnergies is a global multi-energy company that produces and markets energies on a global scale.” And that was for starters, so I get that President Trump must have Greenland, their 57,000 citizens sound more appealing than the 92,600 soldiers that Canada can set up that way when it tries to invade Canada, simple calculus and with that he is attracting the armies of the entire Commonwealth, he could win, but the losses for America will be great. And before we get to that, the USA banks will have cracked. No, Greenland is as I see it the only option he has at present. 

But there is doubt in a lot I said in here and there is a fair bit of speculation in all this, there is one thing I am decently certain of (no one is ever 100% correct), the USA is broke and it is about to show. Have a great day.