Tag Archives: Ben Affleck

A mindset racing

That is the setting I had last night. I saw the ‘news’ from the BBC (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cjwgled9jxwo) where we see that ‘Warner Bros $111bn sale to Paramount approved by US justice department’ and as we see “The pending sale has been filled with contention, from Paramount’s battle with Netflix over the company to scrutiny over industry consolidation and worries about politics. David Ellison, the leader of Paramount, is the son of Larry Ellison, a major donor to President Donald Trump. But it’s not a done deal yet, as states like California are reviewing the sale and could sue to block it. In a statement on its decision, the justice department said it had conducted a “rigorous” investigation of the proposed deal and found it was “not likely to result in harm to competition or American consumers.”” You see, it doesn’t matter whether X donates to Y and is the child of Z, it does not matter that there is no ‘harm’ to the competition. As I see it, the wrong questions are asked here. As I see it, the issue is consolidation. When company A is taking over company B, the result is a larger A. This reflects on the products that they have been putting out. So, consider the new company, lets call it AA, now it has two products namely products 1 And 2, but that company can take the setting of these 2 titles and in some cases there is enough traction to let both go through, but what when that is not the case?

What happens if we have 4 cooking shows first in two companies, now all part of the same company, as such the lowest scoring two (optionally 3) can now be scrapped. That is what I expect to see, because Hollywood needs to consolidate and they need to stretch whatever ver they have and Paramount could ‘state’ that they now have 111,000,000,000 reasons to consolidate whatever they can. Scripts, writers, directors, figs crew, studio places and a whole lot more. All up for consolidation and I wonder if anyone had taken the settings of a place like Mountain (MNTN) who has been working numbers of all kind and optionally Warner Brothers and Paramount too. They live by the ‘rule’ “Performance TV, Perfected by MNTN”, so did anyone look into that batch of data? Because quality consolidation requires data, verifiable and validated data. Not the ‘sense’ of some blogger (me) or any critic that claims to know the data (media) but actually data, because when you play around with $111 billion, which is more than the GDP of Oman (and several other countries) you need the data to make sense of it all and consolidate what you can. 

Like an accountant squeezing a ten dollar bill, until it gives 11 single dollar coins, preferable you want to hire the accountant that can get 1-2 additional dollars out of that bill, but that is up to Paramount (if they had not already done that), but to get all that requires data and it needs to be clear metrics, because there is a lot riding on that. And the story off MNTN is “MNTN is the Hardest Working Software in Television™, bringing unrivaled performance and simplicity to Connected TV advertising. Our self-serve technology makes running TV ads as easy as search and social and helps brands drive measurable conversions, revenue, site visits, and more. MNTN was named one of Fast Company’s Most Innovative Companies and Next Big Things in Tech and was recently featured on the cover of INC’s Best in Business Issue.” I only know of MNTN, so there are likely a few others in that field, but if you need unbiased, you get the player that is not connected to WB of Paramount for that matter and you do it behind walls. I can only imagine that this was done, but then, I am an incurable optimist. Still we are ‘given’ “Paramount acquired Warner Bros. Discovery to create a consolidated entertainment powerhouse capable of competing with tech-backed streaming giants like Apple, Amazon, and Netflix.” Which I personally believe is only part of the truth, not the whole truth. I could say that there are 110 billion reasons, but that is merely the directive. If Paramount want to survive it needs to distinguish from the other three and consolidation of what there is now is profoundly needed to rack up credit points to look after the waves that are now in the hands of Apple, Amazon and Netflix. They need to ‘attack’ the setting that Apple has with Severance, Pluribus, Slow Horses and Silo. The stage that Amazon has Fleabag, The mighty nein, The legend of Vox Machina and Bosch: Legacy and Netflix with their The chestnut man, Dark winds, Arcane: league of legends and Blood Of Zeus. That is not directly done, not until you free up cash and they just handed 111 billion to the outside of their treasure chest. So they can get creative, and they have to free up what is bound into lesser settings and that is the stage they are in now and it requires data to get that sorted. They still need massive creativity though, but they know what they need. I’ll hand them some ideas at the end of the story.

But that is where they are and when they are done ‘convincing’ the current audience and they have set their pawns in place the striking of the lesser series can begin and that will be a harsh setting because if they do not have the data in order, they will be brought to any altar to be slaughtered. I have sen this happen in the past and they better get their goats in order, knowing that David Ellison is involved, the chance of their data being top notch is a decently given one. He learned the basics fro his daddy (who optionally taught him how to sail too). 

So whilst we are also given, some will recognise that the larger setting is not covered but we are given “By taking over Warner Bros, Paramount will become one of the most powerful forces in Hollywood, adding news network CNN, TV networks HBO, TBS, TNT, TCM, as well as studios DC Studios and New Line Cinema to its current stable of assets. Those include Paramount Pictures, CBS, Showtime and Nickelodeon. Paramount’s control of CBS News and its 60 Minutes programme has come under intense scrutiny for programming decisions that critics say favour of the Trump administration, including new leadership firing long-time staff and well-known journalists. Warner Bros put itself up for sale last year and came to an initial deal with Netflix to buy some of its assets, in a deal worth roughly $82bn (£61bn) including debt.” It seems that the BBC is focussing on the political stage, whilst that is the one that has the least impact, but I leave that up to you to judge.

So whilst we see that certain settings there were two ideas that floated in my mind. You see, instead of focussing on what some call Reality TV, why not make it a certainty. Matt Damon (you know the illegal immigrant on Mars) has something called Artists Equity (together with Ben Affleck) based on a business model where instead of taking massive upfront paychecks, the studio incentivizes cast and crew by offering them participation in the film’s profits. And setting this now TV, the setting becomes a visible setting to televise it all and get paid from that too. It also gives these people a decent first introduction to the global audience and it gives scriptwriters an additional foothold in the industry, all being it through Paramount, there is a decent setting to give all this a stage to screen and the stories that are evolving would enable Paramount to select the group that makes the most visibility and leave the other to fend with other TV houses. A sort of Reese Witherspoon approach to quality scripts. 

The second Idea came to me in a weirder way (leaving that to the left for now). You see, I have been a fan of walkthrough videos (YouTube) and it started during the first COVID lockdown. But what happens when you get 2 hours a week (on the slower timeframes) to show these YouTubers and their videos visibility. Hand selected videos from these people on places like Monaco, Toronto, New York, Amsterdam, Stockholm. You name it, it will be there and it should be relatively easy to select a pick. For these YouTubers it is a way to gain traction via other means and it might create a wave of YouTubers. It still requires selecting so that you don’t get conspiracy theorists and wacko’s give their version of the truth. And I believe that walkthroughs are a great way to see places like Harrods, or Hollywood boulevard or even the Coolsingel in Rotterdam, Gamlastan in Stockholm or wherever you want to be and it might be the next stage of visibility for YouTubers to gain traction in different ways. All stages that could be evolving in the new Paramount. 

So get ready to show your places and let Paramount do the dialing to a new audience. Have a great day today.

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Creativity overboard

Yesterday was about the heralding of creativity, yet there is a setting where creativity goes overboad and the Washington Post gives us ‘Scarlett Johansson on fake AI-generated sex videos: ‘Nothing can stop someone from cutting and pasting my image’‘ (at https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2018/12/31/scarlett-johansson-fake-ai-generated-sex-videos-nothing-can-stop-someone-cutting-pasting-my-image).

It is a lot worse than you think and even some might trivialise it by merely hanging onto the idea of women, mostly celebrities being inserted into porn, the problem is actually huge, not merely because of that application. The issue is that whatever I can creatively dream up, I can make a reality if I have enough images. The problem is that most of this software is free (for now), and the problem is growing on two fields.

In the first field we see not merely exploitation of any woman into porn, nudities or weird situations. The technology is close to perfect enough that it is harder and harder to distinguish the fake from the real, the deep fake is overwhelmingly convincing that the Washington Post comment “what your eyes can see and your ears can hear can no longer be taken for granted in the digital field“, that problem is a lot bigger than you think. Even as this example (at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BU9YAHigNx8) is easy enough to spot, the overall quality is very much on the high side. Here money gives authenticity, the better the computer, the smoother the result and the shorter the timespan to make that result. The average laptop will not get you far, yet a high end gaming PC gets you an optional 1080 HD deepfake version that is increasingly hard to distinguish from the real deal.

In the second field we see a failing, a failing to investigate and legalise the optional prosecution of deepfake video. Not merely the porn side of it, in its heart the opportunity to crate identity fraud and give rise to interfering with political, social and private lives will go further and will be the foundation of a lot more hardship. 5G will merely send these high end videos faster and wider on a global domain. How long until we get the videos of random politician (Emmanuel Macron) and random Celebrity (Anna Kendrick), whilst places like the Daily Mirror will give the innuendo “European Politician accused of hot Hollywood encounter” with a deep fake? The issue is not that a place like the Daily Mirror would or would not use that image intentionally maliciously, the issue will soon be that their trained professionals can no longer tell the difference between real and deepfake and there is more than one indicator that that moment could optionally be reached this year.

The third part is that not only is this technological field charging ahead, the legal field that should protect the people can no longer keep up, in addition the freedom of expression that allows for ‘creative alteration’ is actually assisting in what should be regarded as criminal activities. In addition there is a larger failing in the law, McMillan (at https://mcmillan.ca/What-Can-The-Law-Do-About-Deepfake). The working allows for a failing that no one is able to deal with. We see this in: “The tort of appropriation of personality arises where a person attempts to gain an economic advantage by using some aspect of another person’s name, likeness, or personality without that person’s consent. To be successful, the plaintiff must establish that the defendant appropriated his or her persona for economic gain. This is also enshrined in legislation such as the BC Privacy Act, which states that it is a tort to use a likeness, still or moving, including a likeness deliberately disguised to resemble a person “for the purpose of advertising or promoting the sale of, or other trading in, property or services.”” You see, the failing is not seen in what must be established, it is found in what is negated. We think of lone wolves as terrorists, yet there is another one, the political lone wolf. A person not recognised by anyone, but does the bidding to promote the political field (or alternative field like product field) of others.

When that person goes after the next political contender we see no ‘gain an economic advantage‘, we alternatively see no ‘trading in, property or services‘, yet the damage will have been achieved. Even when we look in the US regarding: “Malice in law is the intent, without justification excuse or reason, to commit a wrongful act that will result in harm to another. Malice means the wrongful intention and includes all types of intent that law deems to be wrongful“, to enter in court on the premise of malice and intent versus ‘creativity and freedom of expression‘ becomes a first amendment court case where the political player loses no matter what and if the transgressor is young enough the damages will never ever cover the impact. In this day and age of viral video and social media, one or two of these videos could end any political career within a day and that is merely the top of the iceberg. Larger players can lay waste to all kinds of opposition with a much greater ease by giving rise to confusion and relying on the gullible population to spread the damage.

McMillan gives one part that could give the smallest of coverage in British Columbia. As we are introduced to: “The BCHRT has the authority to provide a compensation order for any lost wages or expenses incurred as a result of the contravention, and to provide a compensation award for “injury to dignity, feelings and self-respect.”“, how could any unemployed individual compensate for damages inflicted? The problem would not be the act, the issue would be to a much larger degree the setting of ‘injury to dignity, feelings and self-respect‘ when it is a public figure, especially when we consider the last 10 years where: ‘less than 20% of the orders made are over $10,000‘, in a setting where so far $75,000 has been the highest award. So tell me, who would not fork over $75,000 in some way to win a high end election? Even as the Canadian system is seemingly a little better than most out there, what they have is nowhere near ready to deal with the larger impact the deepfakes optionally have and that is merely outside of the porn application field. The experts that gathered in the SIGGRAPH 2018 annual conference on computer graphics in Vancouver from August 12th to 16th 2018 already agree that this is going to be an issue in the 2020 US elections, the question is will the law be ready and there is no clear indications that it is.

Even as we see that DARPA has been taking an active interest in finding forensic solutions, the department by Dr. Matt Turek, I also see the flawed impact as we see the optional miss that a high resolution result projected deepfake, then captured by a low res camera will create a version that is either negated completely of will be flagged amongst hundreds of thousands of others and still ends up having a 60/40 chance of passing through. Those numbers are not encouraging and this forensic field is for now in its early infancy giving the deepfake players close of half a decade of free reign on every social media with 5G merely impacting a much larger population, much faster. The overwhelming part is that computing power and high resolution recording equipment is becoming more and more affordable so the pool of non-malicious offender is growing close to exponentially for now. Let’s face it which horny teenager has not dreamt of replacing his prom date with the image of Amber Heard, Bailey Noble or Laura Vandervoort as his desired prom date?

It is for the most the absence of intent and malice that is driving the technology. America has 42 million teenagers, close to 22 million are male, most dreaming of the dream date they can never have, so when there is a software company keying in on close to 50% of those offering a $49.95 solution making their dream come true, that is a market surpassing $1 billion, do you think that this is not happening right now? It is a massive driving force, apart from the sex sells part; it is within us to be a pranker/prankster, to replace ourselves with an edited Batman/Batgirl making ourselves the superhero, others want to be seen with their idols (Frances McDermott/Zack Effron or Bailey Noble/Heidi Klum) depending on our age and spreading that imagined tale on Facebook. At heart it is deceiving (read: pranking) their friends intentionally yet completely absent of malice and for every 50 people that do it for the innocent reason, there will be 1-2 malicious people, yet the overwhelming drive for that software is there and the more that want it, the cheaper the solution and for now that this trial software is often free and it is becoming highly perfect in the result, after which it will soon be sold at an affordable price. The problem is that anything innocent can be perverted and the deepfake technology that made yours truly look like Batman (actually Batman was real, Bruce Wayne looks a lot more like me and a lot less like Ben Affleck) can do the same for any exploiter to look the political target look like an arrested person on the street, two of these viral events can totally impact the next elections. Even as the politician itself is the likely target, making the members of his team (like the spokesperson, the strategist and the writer) targets would be a lot more effective, we will dismiss the political person often out of hand, the people they work with less so, it will create doubt and stop their political engine overnight giving the election away to the other person and with the deepfake field evolving at the speed it does, every political party will need a high end reputation management firm in their corner watching out for these attacks and in addition spend too many resources dealing with these attacks, making the small players no longer a consideration and making the larger players spend a whole chunk of money in different areas impacting their visibility. The lack of law, or more correctly stated the lack of impact that the law currently has, will drag elections and public profiles along in very different directions soon enough.

That part is seen (at https://www.ubermetrics-technologies.com/blog/reputation-management-what-to-do-about-deepfakes/) where we see how Jordan Peele is doing the speech for former President Obama and more important, the fact that this looks authentic enough to fool most republicans into an emotional frenzy, game over and the next democratic president starts in 2020, that is the game now and it is frighteningly indistinguishable from the real deal. Even as we see here the stage of ethics, the issue is not merely consent (it only partially is), we see: “the person whose face is superimposed on deepfakes did not give their consent“, in the batman example, my image is the one superimposed and I am giving permission, it is the other part that is owned by DC Comics, or is that Zack Snyder, or perhaps Ben Affleck. Do you think that their engine is ready for millions of trivial cases, often limited to a ‘cease and desist’ order? Their workforce would not be able to deal with 1% of that workload and in the initial race that viral propulsion was optionally used to their advantage. The issue is more loaded than we think and when the court case comes and I would state in my defence: ‘I was merely expressing myself, fantasising on being the next Batman. I made no commercial gain, merely social visibility for my desired optional career in acting‘, do you think that I will get anything more than an optional slap on the wrist as I was pursuing my dream? With the right lawyer it could optionally be thrown out of court as there would be no visible harm or hardship to Ben Affleck, the case ends soon thereafter.

Even as law firms give us the stage of: “must typically prove that the defendant—the person who uploaded the deepfake, for example—published something that gives a false or misleading impression of the plaintiff in such a way to damage the plaintiff’s reputation or cause them great offense, in such a way that would be highly offensive to a reasonable person“, now consider Hustler Magazine, Inc. v. Falwell, 485 U.S. 46 (1988), there we learn that the first and fourteenth amendment is prohibiting public figures from recovering damages for the tort of intentional infliction of emotional distress (IIED), if the emotional distress was caused by a caricature, parody, or satire of the public figure that a reasonable person would not have interpreted as factual. In that setting the deepfake field is wide open to be used against political figured to a much larger extent, that case was never ready for deepfake and by setting the stage to ‘a caricature, parody, or satire of the public figure‘ we see that the reasonable person becomes malleable to the greater extent making the deepfake field a much more effective political swaying tool than we imagined. I reckon that under this setting Larry Flynt will be laughing on the public stage that his case opened up for till the day he dies.

 

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