Tag Archives: Oil

April 1, 2026 · 15:02

And the losses continue

That is the setting that I now see coming. The losses are on the United States of America and their commander in chief (that guy in the White House) is to blame for what comes next. You see, there needs to be a consequence for being as stupid as some people are. To this effect I hand you the following. It was presented to me by SBS News (at https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/trump-tells-allies-to-go-get-your-own-oil-after-they-refuse-to-join-strikes-on-iran/chkb28a1q) where we see ‘Australia responds to Donald Trump’s ‘get your own oil’ tirade’ first there was the ignorant ploy which was presented to all of us by the BBC on March 8th 2026 (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9dn3j04lydo) where we were given ‘Trump accuses Starmer of seeking to ‘join wars after we’ve already won’’ it was tactically a stupid move to make. He had no won yet and here he is blowing off the British navy (and its PM). This was given to us together with the quote ““The United Kingdom, our once Great Ally, maybe the Greatest of them all, is finally giving serious thought to sending two aircraft carriers to the Middle East,” Trump wrote on Truth Social on Saturday. “That’s OK, Prime Minister Starmer, we don’t need them any longer – But we will remember.” We then get (on March 20th, by Al Jazeera at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/20/cowards-trump-slams-nato-over-lack-of-support-in-us-israel-war-on) the headline ‘‘Cowards’: Trump slams NATO over lack of support in US–Israel war on Iran’, which is of course a little weird as he had already proclaimed victory on March 8th, where we see “Trump has been calling for major US allies to help secure the safety of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz which Tehran has effectively blocked.” Here we get a slightly different setting. The attacks by the United States and Israel are not coming from a declaration war, President Trump needs US Congress for that. So NATO cannot get involved as the articles of war are almost clear as water and NATO does not have to get involved because there is no declaration of war. NATO could come to the aid of the UAE, Saudi Arabia and optionally Qatar if this was officially asked. But that comes with legislation of a slippery slope. NATO would have to go against its own ally the United States of America. Not a setting any of the NATO members are willing to entertain. It comes with the added ““Now that fight is militarily WON, with very little danger for them, they complain about the high oil prices they are forced to pay, but don’t want to help open the Strait of Hormuz, a simple military maneuver that is the single reason for the high oil prices. So easy for them to do, with so little risk,” he wrote.” There he goes off again with his setting of a military won event. It seems that there was no victory and plenty of Iran was bombed but Iran never gave any noise of surrendering, in the meantime Saudi Arabia and the UAE are still attacked by Iran with missiles and drones. No act by either of them warrants that and no one seems to call Iran to the stage to hold Iran accountable. So now (through SBS) we get:

“Trump singled out the United Kingdom and France as unhelpful in the month-long war that has roiled global markets, driven up energy prices and seen Iran effectively close oil tanker traffic through the Strait. “All of those countries that can’t get jet fuel because of the Strait of Hormuz, like the United Kingdom, which refused to get involved in the decapitation of Iran, I have a suggestion for you: Number 1, buy from the U.S., we have plenty, and Number 2, build up some delayed courage, go to the Strait, and just TAKE IT,” Trump said in a Truth Social post on Tuesday (local time).”

Here we get two new settings. The first one given is that we all buy American (never an option) or we take it from the strait of Hormuz under the guise of delayed courage. The second option is basically an invitation to plunder Iranian oil fields, which might be illegal in several ways. But there is a third option, likely overlooked by the United States.

Canada is the largest foreign supplier of oil to the United States, exporting roughly 97% of its crude oil exports—about 4.3 million barrels per day—to the U.S. in 2023. While the U.S. relies on Canadian heavy crude for many refineries, Canada is diversifying export routes via the trans mountain pipeline expansion. It is my suggestion that Canada delivers that oil to the Europe and the United Kingdom (at a price). This is direct revenue that Canada will enjoy and they don’t have to deal with some bully in the south. The UK being in the Commonwealth will likely like this solution (as will Australia) and if there is freedom to change venue (like in there is no contract stopping Canada) they can have a new customer making the United States less of a customer. We won’t bother the Middle East and both Europe, News Zealand and Australia will optionally this solution a few dollars per barrel cheaper (which is merely a speculative discount).

I wonder if the United States had a clue that this option is available to the countries and I reckon that President Trump looked at that setting from the start, did he not? It is a clear setting in the Art of War which was published around 2500 years ago. I feel stupid having to illuminate this track, but there is too much stupidity in the media, so I feel vindicated handing an optional smile solution to the Commonwealth, and I am always willing to hand any option so that PM Mark Carney does not have to deal with the United States of America. 

Oh, and the other lie that we see is “like the United Kingdom, which refused to get involved in the decapitation of Iran,” but it was he who stopped the United Kingdom from sending help in the form of sending two aircraft carriers to the Middle East, which came with the response “That’s OK, Prime Minister Starmer, we don’t need them any longer” as such what is he crying about? 

In the meantime I considered through design two shapes of IP to be used on the roads of Iran to stop convoys, no bombing run required and as I see it, it would cause delay upon delay setting whatever comes from Russia via other roads delayed by weeks, if not months. And as far as I can see, the IP for harbours is still unchanged, so that is running along nicely. The rail version is still on route as well. So Iran is about to face its own forms of hardship beyond what they already have.

So whilst the losses continue, they are likely to hit the United States as well as Canadian oil will now find new roads into the hands of allies and President Trump clearly stated “buy from the U.S., we have plenty” as I see it, we would much rather buy it from Canada and if you have enough, you don’t need more oil from Canada and they can be the savior of the Commonwealth and Europe all at the same time. Sometimes life gives you a nice curveball.

So whilst the losses for the United States continue, they now have less to capture all over the globe and the next interest payment, which is projected to exceed $1 trillion in fiscal year 2026, or roughly 17% of total federal spending, is due soon.

Have a great day.

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March 17, 2026 · 18:32

Where is the trust?

That is most of the time the setting, so as ABC gives us (at https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-17/middle-east-live-updates-march-17-2026/106462358) “A tanker has been struck by an unknown projectile while anchored near the Strait of Hormuz. Earlier, US President Donald Trump turned his ire on European allies who he claimed “weren’t that enthusiastic” about helping the US secure the passage. The threat of Iranian missiles and drones targeting oil tankers in the strait has effectively closed the shipping channel, amid the country’s conflict with the US and Israel.” With the added ‘Rockets and drones fired at US Embassy in Baghdad’ an hour ago. Consider that President Trump gave us (on march 8th, Politico) ‘Trump says Starmer seeking to join Iran war ‘after we’ve already won’’ so, that was 9 days ago? What changed? Then yesterday, the Guardian gives us (at https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2026/mar/16/iran-war-live-updates-news-oil-trump-hormuz-dubai-airport-israel-targets) “As Donald Trump expresses frustration with countries declining to send warships to reopen the strait of Hormuz, the response remains muted among those he directly called upon.” And this happened a mere 4 hours ago. Where are the vessels of the United States? Where are their minesweepers? Simple questions and it defies knowledge why this is not front and centre everywhere. So when the Sydney Morning Herald adds spice to the setting (at https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/with-10-damning-words-pete-hegseth-says-the-quiet-part-out-loud-20260314-p5oafr.html) with ‘With 10 damning words, Pete Hegseth says the quiet part out loud’ where we see “US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth believes the media has not been sufficiently effusive about the success of the American military operation against Iran.

He had just finished speaking about the massive damage inflicted upon the regime in Tehran – its leadership, its missile stocks, its navy, its weapons infrastructure – when he turned his attention to the Pentagon press pack.” Now, I am willing to accept that I have not been part of any defence department for 43 years. I can assure you that a certain clarity is required in communication (from the defence side) and whilst I feel ready to blame the press on several matters, they are massively without blame here. The March 8th setting was the first damning setting. Then as I yesterday lighted on the ‘Just for fun’ setting that President Trump gave us and whilst the tactical setting that Kharg Island provides a sea port for the export of up to 90% of Iran’s oil products, as well as supplying storage for up to 30 million barrels. Bombing the hell out of it might have been essential, but it is a mere export point. There are 10 refineries doing the bidding of capturing oil and whilst I was able to device methods of stopping those settings, the clear message is to bomb those 10 locations to really put pressure on Iran. So when were they done? No, As I personally see it, President Trump what’s that oil this is the clear setting that is tactically seen and now that 2,500-5,000 boots are getting on the ground, that setting becomes the pressure point that Iran can put on the United States. So whilst I created IP to close harbours and disable trains, stopping the bulk of oil transits, it was merely one stage that Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE could do to take pressure away from themselves and as such I gave Saudi Arabia and the UAE that IP. I did my thing to stop the war to go towards the gulf states. 

So what are we now left with?

Well, the SMH also takes care of that. We are given “As former CNN Pentagon reporter Barbara Starr noted, it’s possible that Ellison will be none-too-pleased about Hegseth’s implications.

Starr, a 21-year veteran of the defence beat, pointed out on X that CNN has sent personnel to combat zones for decades, with some even losing their lives. “You have a legal and moral obligation to defend the free press, even the ones you don’t personally like,” she told Hegseth.

As a former TV presenter before he was tasked with running the world’s most powerful military, press freedom should be Hegseth’s instinct. His comments today – and his vainglorious move to banish press photographers from his briefings – suggest he sees the media more as a vassal to serve his interests.” I can get behind that thought. As such there are sides to this entire setting that aren’t reported on this enough. The first one was that no formal declaration of war was ever given by the United States. As such we were given: “the Trump administration officials have offered various and conflicting explanations for the war, such as to ward off an imminent Iranian threat, to pre-empt Iranian retaliation against US assets after an expected Israeli attack on Iran” My issue here is that the international courts in The Hague might side with Iran concerning the seemingly unprovoked attacks by Iran (I know that is hilarious), Iran has been waging proxy wars for decades and that is the power of a proxy war. I reckon that the attacks by Israel and the United States give a bitter taste in the eyes of the law. Israel is decently clear because of all the attacks by Iran via Hamas and Hezbollah, but the idea given “to ward off an imminent Iranian threat” is laughable. It is like New Zealand attacking Australia, the Sopwith Camel doesn’t have the range to cross that distance and as far as I know New Zealand does not have an aircraft carrier. The same applies to Iran. There is no way that an attack can result from Iran. Even Lone Wolf attacks are unlikely to succeed and the United States still has their boy-scout organisations (FBI, CIA, DIA) in place, as such they can either do their job or they cannot. 

As such my speculative view was that the United States needed the oil that Iran has (for now). After failing to get to Canada’s rare earths (the 51st state attempt), Greenland resources (through failed annexation) and Venezuela oil (which is seem simply useless to the United States) the United States are now going for the Iranian oil. After that merely Russian oil remains (and Ukraine is doing something about that too) so what is left? I might be wrong in all this and there is a simple way to show me I am wrong. Merely bomb the 10 refineries. Several sources seemed to side with me on this as we are given ‘GOP Sen. Lindsey Graham Brags ‘We Are Going to Make a Ton of Money’ on Iran War’, which was given to us on March 9th. So as we were given “Graham seemingly suggested that the conflict with Iran as well as President Donald Trump’s abduction of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro aim to help the United States take control over major oil reserves. “Venezuela and Iran have 31% of the world’s oil reserves. We’re going to have a partnership with 31% of the known reserves. This is China’s nightmare. This is a good investment,” he said.” As well as ““We’re going to blow the hell out of these people,” Graham said, adding that “nobody will threaten [the U.S.] in the Strait of Hormuz again.” He also said there could be a collapse of Iran’s leadership. “This regime is in a death throe now, it is gonna be on its knees, it’s going to fall, and when it falls we’re going to have peace like no other time,” he added.” It seems that after 9 days he was proven on nearly all fronts and now that it is out in the open that the United States needs oil (because they have so little at present) there is now the setting that the United States are too broke to seemingly pay their bills and as I see it, the moment the boots come on the ground, the media will report on nearly everything and that will put team Trump/Hegseth in a new folly and in the limelight, Because if I can figure this out in the last decade and now we get that Dave Kelly (JP Morgan, as per OCT2025) can figure this out, you should wonder why others couldn’t figure this out. I get that I am a no one in all this, but David Kelly is the Chief Global Strategist and Head of the Global Market Insights Strategy Team of JP Morgan and he is a voice to consider no matter how you slice it. 

So whilst we now get the Guardian (read: recently) give us “March 2026, Hegseth stated during a press briefing that US forces in Iran would show “no quarter, no mercy” to enemies. Analysts and Sen. Mark Kelly pointed out that a “no quarter” order—meaning to take no prisoners and kill them instead—is a direct violation of international law, specifically Article 23(d) of the 1907 Hague Convention IV.” All whilst media like the Conversation give us “Legal scholars have argued that Hegseth’s actions, particularly regarding the Venezuelan boat strikes and statements on the Iranian conflict, could expose him to investigations for violations of international and U.S. criminal law.” As such I reckon that both President Trump and Pete Hegseth fear the international courts. Iran optionally have a case here (I rely on optional as they have done plenty of bad things, among them attack Saudi Arabia without a formal declaration of war), so it makes sense that Pete Hegseth is in the stage that he wants to trivialize the international courts of law in the Hague, which is set through “The International Court of Justice, or colloquially the World Court, is the principal judicial organ of the United Nations (UN). It settles legal disputes submitted to it by states and provides advisory opinions on legal questions referred to it by other UN organs and specialized agencies. The ICJ is the only international court that adjudicates general disputes between countries, with its rulings and opinions serving as primary sources of international law. It is one of the six principal organs of the United Nations.” It was established in 1945 and it should now confuse all the readers on why António Guterres remains silent on this. It merely gives my thoughts on the United States being broke seeming validity. The person who attacks Israel at any option he gets, remained silent on too many settings we are seeing here. Even the rebuke on the settings of Pete Hegseth ‘attacking’ the international courts should have put him up in arms. There is the smallest notion that the media had not covered it, but I doubt that. As I see it, the seat that António Guterres hold is seen as one of the 100 most powerful seats in the world. It might not be as powerful as that uncomfortable seat that the pope has, but that would be a buttock conversation. 

So I think I have given you something to think about and consider why the bulk of the refineries are left untouched, because that creates the wealth of Iran and isn’t that the superiority of any army? We are given “Sun Tzu’s The Art of War emphasizes that the supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting, making the destruction of an opponent’s economic base (or wealth of a nation) a superior strategy to direct physical conflict. Sun Tzu advises that a protracted war exhausts a state’s resources, dulls weapons, and dampens morale, meaning attacking an opponent’s economic ability to sustain a fight is crucial.” And I wrote about that on March 8th (and before that too, at https://lawlordtobe.com/2026/03/08/ones-creative-process/) the story ‘Ones creative process’ gave you the setting that the harbours and railway of Iran should be destroyed and I was happy to hand the IP that could set that in a certain view of certainty to both Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Because I am just that sort of guy. It is never about personal profit in some stage of war and these two countries were hammered with drones and missiles. As such I did more than talk (are you watching this Pete Hegseth), I delivered. 

So you all have a great day and enjoy the day because Vancouver just joined us this Tuesday. 

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March 16, 2026 · 02:58

War

War is serious business, it comes with responsibilities and with an aftermath. Just like the fact that at present 2,500 soldiers are on route to Iran with a stated 2,500 soldiers to follow. I had a different scenario in mind, one that might not have required boots on the ground, But I am a no one. I don’t matter. But there is no fun in war. The consequences on both fronts tend to be horrible. I have always known that, I saw the impact personally and lets leave it at that. So the president who gave us ‘Trump accuses Starmer of seeking to ‘join wars after we’ve already won’’, we see that in the BBC (and many other newspapers, at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9dn3j04lydo) and this was a week ago. Consider those words “join wars after we’ve already won” and a little over a day after we get “Donald Trump said on Saturday that the United States may carry out more strikes on Iran’s vital Kharg Island oil export hub “just for fun”, rejecting the prospect of a swift peace deal with Tehran.” He is going to hit a place ‘just for fun’? What is he? 12? It comes across as empty as me proclaiming that I’ll hit 15010 NE 36th St, Redmond, WA 98052, United States with a nuclear bomb, just so that Satya Nadella bends the knee and learn some manners concerning our privacy. It is empty, hollow and has no business in war statements. 

Now consider that President Trump gives us ‘Trump urges UK and other nations to send warships to Strait of Hormuz’ a mere 18 hours ago. So what do we see? The war is not won, the powers that be in the defence department of the United States of America have no idea what they are doing and that is the message they are sending to the gulf states? This is probably the first time that the gulf states are considering that USA bases on their lands are a bad idea. I wonder how long it will take China to offer a setting of peace by allowing their bases on these spaces. You see all things have consequences and the worst are the ones done by players who have no idea what they are doing. It is nice in a poker game, because they get plucked right from the bat. In war there are larger considerations. I am not one of those ‘Epstein’ conspiracy people. I am of the mind that America is desperate for the oil Iran has, which I scuttled in the last 2 days by voicing that the 10 refineries Iran has needed to be bombed (with due haste) and after they hit the gulf states, they might support my point of view. Because these refineries in the hands of the United States might have larger consequences, the ones we do not applaud or look forward to.

So, whilst we were given (by the BBC) that “Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform on Saturday that “many countries” would be sending warships in conjunction with the US to help keep the strait “open and safe”. He claimed “100% of Iran’s military capability” had already been destroyed, but that Tehran could still “send a drone or two, drop a mine, or deliver a close-range missile somewhere along, or in, this waterway”.” Which is nice as we were given as Politico gave us less than an hours ago ‘Gulf Arab states intercept new missiles and drones as Iran threatens to widen war’, which makes me wonder if President Trump knows the meaning of 100%. That implies they have all military capabilities scuttled (or drowned), but as attacks are still coming, and as the United States ‘needs’ others to come in and send warships, the setting of 100% is massively debatable. And we are given (via Politico at https://www.politico.com/news/2026/03/15/gulf-arab-states-intercept-new-missiles-and-drones-as-iran-threatens-to-widen-war-00829221) “President Donald Trump said he hoped countries reliant on oil and gas exports would send warships to secure the Strait of Hormuz. None responded with firm commitments by Sunday, though some said they were considering action. Israel said it continued to strike Iran on Sunday as Bahrain, Saudi Arabia and the UAE told residents they were working to intercept incoming projectiles, a day after Iran threatened three Emirati ports, the first time it has done so against a neighboring country’s non-U.S. assets.” The game chances to some extent, as the united States is showing itself to be no closer to a clue on how to wage war, the pressure will soon come on Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE to end solutions for their citizens. It is my personal view that this is a setting that China could press to push the United States out of the Middle East. Soon they might actually become the minor player in a band with Russia and Iran to survive, where Iran could offer the USA a barrel of oil every time it states ‘Polly want a cracker’ OK, this is mean, but the setting is there and consider that it could show that his Department of War is a bigger failure then it was in 1949 when President Truman was one of the people to make it the Department of Defense. That is the setting we see today and I wonder if the United States is hungry for a president that is showing to (apparently) set personal gains over the needs of the people of the United States (just asking).

So when we look at the statement in the BBC article where we see “In the meantime, the United States will be bombing the hell out of the shoreline, and continually shooting Iranian Boats and Ships out of the water. One way or the other, we will soon get the Hormuz Strait OPEN, SAFE, and FREE!” Which gives is the little thought “How many Minesweepers did the American Navy deploy?” Because that becomes the next setting. This is seen as the Japan Times (at https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/03/13/world/iran-laying-mines-hormuz-uk/) two days ago gives us ‘Iran has likely begun laying mines in Strait of Hormuz, U.K. says’ with “It’s becoming increasingly evident that Iran is laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz, according to the U.K., as Iran’s new supreme leader used his first comments to the media to say the critical waterway should stay closed.” And the Guardian gives us a mere 4 hours ago ‘UK may send ships and mine-hunting drones to help open strait of Hormuz, says Miliband’ with “Britain is considering sending ships and mine-hunting drones to the Middle East in an attempt to reopen the strait of Hormuz, Ed Miliband has said. The energy secretary confirmed on Sunday that ministers were talking to their allies about how the UK could help secure the vital waterway after the US president, Donald Trump, urged Britain and other countries to deploy ships to the region.” So now a small consideration, when did President Trump (or its lackey Pete Hegseth) give is the rundown on deploying minesweepers? They might not sound sexy, but they tend to keep shipping lanes decently free of mines. A critical need in War efforts and the strait of Hormuz is a bottleneck, as such essential. Where is that newscast? Just Asking?

I personally see several openings for China to become the settlers of hardship in the Gulf and as President Trump is making a mess of things, Xi Jinping, President of the People’s Republic of China might consider that this is the best time to kick the United States of America out of the Middle East, perhaps they will still have a base near Tel Aviv, but that would be about it. And that is speculation, or I prefer to think it is presumption. The mess that is shown over the last two weeks shows that the United States of America (with its Department of War) seemingly have lost their grips of reality, because who bombs an already bombed place ‘Just for fun’ consider that these bombs cost an alleged $200,000-$350,000 per run and that includes logistics plus an additional $18.95 for coffee and cakes. 

So (according to the BBC) President Trump gave on Saturday “He repeated his appeal in a post later on Saturday – extending it to all “the Countries of the World that receive Oil through the Hormuz Strait” – and said the US would provide “a lot” of support to those who participated.” So, why? He had won the war 100%, so why was this needed and for reference, how many minesweepers did the United States deploy before that point? Simple questions and anyone who attended the United States Naval Academy at Annapolis would have known this. So, why allegedly didn’t Pete Hegseth know this?

These might seem simple questions, but they have had a massive impact on the gulf states, especially the UAE as it has faced over 1,600 Iranian-launched drones have been engaged or detected by UAE air defenses as well as 294 ballistic missiles and 15 cruise missiles. Simple numbers that apparently the United Stated have had little say over, even if they defeated the IRGC 100%. As such there is a chance that the Chinese flag will proudly wave in gulf states soon enough. That is not set in stone, but tactically there is every chance of that, but what am I saying, the people at the United States Naval Academy at Annapolis should be telling Pete Hegseth this as well, whether he will tell President Trump is another matter. 

Have a great day.

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March 15, 2026 · 10:58

Feeding the press B

That is as simple as I see it. AP News gives us a mere two hours ago ‘Tehran claims the US attacked it from the UAE as Iran war enters its third week’, everyone knows this is a lie, because neither the UAE or Saudi Arabia allows attacks by the United States to start from their lands. This was said from the very beginning (before the bombing started). I reckon that this is their ‘retaliation’ for the UAE to close down the Iranian sites in the UAE (like a club, schools and the embassy staff reduced to a skeleton staff) and Iran is not happy about that and it is reacting like a disagreeable child. So we are given (at https://apnews.com/article/iran-iraq-us-trump-march-14-2026-oil-prices-a2399398b4c590995b814d7640362a11) “Hours later, there was no sign of an attack on Dubai’s Jebel Ali port — the Mideast’s busiest — or the Khalifa port in Abu Dhabi. But debris from an intercepted Iranian drone hitting an oil facility sparked a fire at the third port, in Fujairah.” And we are also given “A diplomatic adviser to the UAE’s president, Anwar Gargash, said on social media the country has the right to defend itself but “still prioritizes reason and logic, and continues exercising restraint” the escalation setting is already active as we are given “A U.S. official said Friday that 2,500 more Marines with the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit and the amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli were being sent to the Middle East, adding to the military’s largest buildup of warships and aircraft in the region in decades. The official spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive military plans. Marine Expeditionary Units can conduct amphibious landings but also specialize in bolstering security at embassies, evacuating civilians and providing disaster relief. The deployment doesn’t necessarily indicate that a ground operation will take place. The Wall Street Journal first reported the Marine deployment.” Other reports state that this is the first of two 2,500 military deployments. I reckon that it will fuel a few disasters. I am saying this because the media (not the most trustworthy ones) are giving us that the United States has no grounded plan and no strategy in place. I wonder if any general would push their troops under those conditions, but that is the setting. I merely wish that my IP would be released onto Iran by Saudi Arabia and the UAE. I believe that in trendy steps (set out by Sun Tzu) there is a stage any army will employ. You optionally FIRST attack infrastructure and transportation, then you come in guns blazing. Destroy Irans oil (so no income), then their infrastructure (so no resupplying) and then the blazing guns (not to be mistaken with Blazing Saddles, a tactic that Mel Brooks invented). When an army faces the setting of ‘this is all there is’ just before an army comes knocking. They tend to get demoralized really quickly, which is a setting that is never to be underestimated.

Then Al Jazeera (at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/14/iran-continues-intensified-attacks-across-gulf-in-us-israel-war-fallout) gives us ‘Iran continues intensified attacks across Gulf in US-Israeli war fallout’ where we see “Fire breaks out at UAE’s major Fujairah oil hub, as Iran vows retaliation for US attack on Kharg Island.” It is nice to see a nation that is clueless as the UAE has not aggressively acted against Iran, as such I am happy to give my IP to the UAE, so that they have options. So as we see “In the UAE’s Fujairah emirate, a fire broke out at a major bunkering hub after debris fell during the interception of a drone, the emirate’s media office said on Saturday. It added that a Jordanian citizen was lightly injured in the incident.” So how many drones and missiles were deployed? And Iran merely has one Jordanian (not even a UAE citizen) to show for this. How desperate have they become? And we are also given “Fujairah, outside the Strait of Hormuz, is the outlet for about one million barrels per ‌day of the UAE’s Murban crude oil – a volume equal to about 1 percent of world demand.” So, what is Iran planning? And all this before there are 5,000 boots on the ground. I reckon that if my solution takes away their 13,000 KM railway, they will learn what desperation really looks like. There is an argument that there is ‘validity’ in “Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said on Saturday that US interests in the UAE, including ports, docks and military locations, are legitimate targets after US forces attacked Iranian islands, Iranian state media reported.” You see, Iran launched 1,500 drones and over 250 missiles and they were largely on UAE targets, on civilian targets. As I see it, the IRGC has dealt with Hamas and Hezbollah lies for so long, they must think the rest of the world is comprise of fools. The media pool is not that big and the rest of the world will OK whatever the UAE will see as valid to keep their citizens safe. 

So as the Guardian (at https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2026/mar/13/iran-war-news-live-updates-us-israel-middle-east-crisis-latest) gives us ‘Oil targets in spotlight as Iran war enters second week – as it happened’, I and rather happy to have published ‘Regurgitation’ 20 hours ago showing Iran that Saudi Arabia has a nice option to take out all 10 refineries and it comes at a speculated cost of $50K-$100K per refinery (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2026/03/14/regurgitating/). So how much revenue would Iran lose through that. I personally believe that the IP is a steal at twice the price, but as I see it, $500K-$1M as investment to stop Iran getting its daily revenue of a estimated $45 million to $60 million. Invest 2% to stop the revenue of Iran? People might die happy going to sleep at night. And it makes for great headlines (the press wants its pound of meat). And there is a second setting that the Guardian gives. With “Trump said he had chosen not to wipe out the oil infrastructure on Kharg Island, which serves as the export terminal for 90% of Iran’s oil shipments. But he added: “Should Iran, or anyone else, do anything to interfere with the Free and Safe Passage of Ships through the Strait of Hormuz, I will immediately reconsider this decision.”” I have speculated on the fact that the United States are massively broke. First they try to go after Canada, then Greenland and then they take Venezuela (which has useless oil), now they are trying to get to the Iranian oil. And there are optional settings. There was  David Kelly, JP Morgan, OCT2025 stating ‘America is ‘going broke slowly’ and I had that setting already said it in ‘The meme of nothing’ which I wrote on December 17th 2024 (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2024/12/17/the-meme-of-nothing/) and a few times before that. And still the media at large has not picked up on this, it is almost like the Epstein files made them blind of the reality of things and as I see it, the gulf states are the victim of this all, hence the idea to just take all the Iranian refineries out of the equation. It might not be subtle, but it seemingly gives Saudi Arabia and the UAE breathing space. Consider that the 38 trillion dollar debt gives the United States a more than 1 trillion dollar interest bill with projections showing it could exceed $2.1 trillion annually by 2036. Now consider that the United States collected $5.23 trillion in 2025. Now consider that over 19% of all collected taxation is used to pay for the ANNUAL interest. As such the American budget becomes less and less because America hasn’t been able to keep a budget since President Clinton, it has been that long and it is only getting worse for the people in the United States. That is the setting the media is avoiding. They are not even seriously debunking that setting, not since October 2025. I wonder why. 

Have a great day today.

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March 14, 2026 · 13:44

Regurgitating

That is the setting that I am faced with. It comes after a string of articles and LinkedIn messages thrown my way. The first setting is an article I wrote on June 14th 2025. It was called ‘Droning right along’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/06/14/droning-right-along/) and it was a speculative view on how Iran (a.k.a. Houthi terrorists) could have hit Aramco to such a degree. Of course as Iran is now attacking Saudi Arabia, this speculation could be staged AGAINST Iran and I have no trouble handing over the thoughts (optionally IP) to Saudi Arabia. To get to this stage it helps if you read the article ‘Droning right along’ so I don’t need to repeat myself (again and again). The setting comes from a how I saw a year ago, and way before then.

I was contemplating how these drones could be this ‘articulate’ and it came to me that these drones have their neighbours in electronic view as they got through motion after motion. So, as each light dot of the dragon is a drone, you can see how this is done, 2 checks 1, 3 checks 2, 4 checks 3 and 2 and as such we get a dragon. It is meticulously planned. For Iran we don’t need so much meticulous planning, we merely need to have the satellite image of a plant. Lets say the Persian Gulf Star Refinery, an Iranian oil refinery in the city of Bandar Abbas.

I set the premise of a master pilot (red square) and its slaves (squares) they have their slaves (dots) and as such one pilot manages in this case 2+12 slaves. When deployment commences and they are at their point of dispersal (the big globe) the other two squares (Blue and Magenta) take their slaves go to their destination and guide their slaves to their destinations too (this software already exists, hence the dragon image). Now as they reach their destination in 3-5 seconds They all explode (I am guessing two claymores per drone) and that will set most of the refinery on fire. It gives Iran no time to react, because when the sound comes to their ears it is already too late and these drones are relatively small and almost undetectable. As such I am speculating that less than $50K will do millions of damage and stops that refinery from creating any output for the near future. Do this 9 more times and the revenue creating streams of Iran are lost beyond believe and I still have hight hopes for my naval and railway IP to create additional millions of damage. So whilst we see that the United States and Israel are making victory claims. Saudi Arabia, the UAE and several others are still under attack and it is my believe that to hurt Iran requires the stopping of their export and it is more than mere export harbours (although that would stop some coins coming into their pockets). So, whilst we now see: “Japan must protect its own tankers as Trump demands an end to military freeloading. Pressure is mounting on Prime Minister Takaichi to deploy the Self-Defense Forces to the Middle East.” Freeloading? Japan never attacked Iran and whilst we see Iran as the guilty party, there is no setting of freeloading. Anyway the United States claimed that this war was already won, as such the Gulf States might have difficult times ahead and whilst I am not a person of brawn, I do have the creative insight to do something and I am happily handing all this IP (or idea’s) to both Saudi Arabia and the UAE (I know no-one in Qatar) and I believe that Saudi Arabia and UAE specifically are being harmed beyond acceptable settings and as such I hand these ideas (optionally IP) to these two countries. Some may claim that they have won the war, I merely extend my knowledge to other so that they can win the war. And my perspective is simple. Infrastructure, transportation and manufacturing will be the best targets to stop Iran from what it is doing and their words ‘to not attack gulf states’ is as hollow as the victory claims by some. So I have to step up to aid those who might need it and to give clear signals that we stand with them  (in this case Saudi Arabia and the UAE) this idea goes to Saudi Arabia as it has faced Iranian attacks since long before March 25th 2022, as such it is only fair that they get to attack the refineries in Iran. I am an oversimplified assistant in all this. 

As such you all have a great day as I will enjoy the rest of my Saturday.

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March 6, 2026 · 14:25

Dangerous Speculation

This article is almost pure speculation. The people said what they did, as they always do, but the dots are connected differently. So as some dots will connect to a degree to one, there is nothing to stop anyone from connect the dots until they see a dragon, so beware. In the first, I have nearly always said that the United States of America was pretty much broke. The problem is that some connect the term ‘pretty much’ to a term thinking it can better that beast, but that is nearly always folly (court jester folly). So when we see that David Kelly gave us that the country is “going broke slowly.” No one really doubted this because going slowly can be almost any timeline. At present, the debt is 38.8 trillion. Then we get three quotes that kinda connect. The first one is “Trump is lying. I serve on the intelligence and armed services committees. There’s no intelligence that Iran posed an imminent threat to the U.S. or the American people” This allegedly comes from congressman Jason Crow. I cannot say for certain that he actually said that, so be aware and I use it, because it fits a picture, let’s say it is one of the dots. Then we get Anne Applebaum saying: “He does lie all of the time. And I find it fascinating (and sick) that he lies even “when he doesn’t need to”” Too many people and fat checks give her setting a thumbs up, but is it really connected? That becomes the question. The third statement comes from Bernie Sanders. He stated “Trump said we had to attack Iran because we can’t allow it ‘to have a nuclear weapon.’ Really? This is the same president who, in June, said: “Iran’s nuclear facilities have been obliterated.’ Vietnam. Iraq. Iran. Another lie. Another war.!” We saw the comments. We saw the outbursts and we saw the stage, Now, I am not saying that Iran is an innocent victim, there is enough to thwart that suggestion. Yet I have always accepted that if you do the right thing for the wrong reason that action becomes the debilitating act of corruption that we all face. I get a different picture. Americas is now (almost) broke, it will have to get its fingers on oil. Canada wasn’t giving up theirs, Europeans and Canadians were blocking America from getting its fingers on the spoils of Greenland and the oil from Venezuela is in the short term useless. So what remains? It is simple Russia and Iran, Iran is ‘relatively’ easy and Israel was able to help because Iran was a clear and present danger to the state of Israel. And now President Trump will accept someone ‘acceptable’ to the United States of America, as this person will allow America to drain the oil from Iran and the son of Ali Khamenei will never suffice. Trump says he wants to be involved in picking Iran’s next leader, and that is the leader that will allow America to drain its resources (at $0.10 per barrel) America is that desperate now (as I personally see it).

It has now and lately always been about the resources. America is as I see it, broke. And that is not a story any President is willing to tell its people, this is what you get when you cannot control Wall Street or the greed of people. And Iran is now paying that price. For the USA, the fact that Iran fired its missiles every where works, because as I see it, Iran isolated themselves perfectly , which works for President Trump, an isolated enemy has no friends to fall back onto and Russia cannot intervene, it has blocked itself and China doesn’t want to get into the middle of this. I reckon that on the side the fact that America is in this predicament works for the long game they have running, because President Trump exposed its weakness. They merely have to make sure that too much of that oil gives nowhere and China will come out victorious.

So is my setting that of the conspiracy theorist? Some say that the dots connected to a unicorn, not the realism that it was an anorexic rhino. When are dots dangerous? Well in the first is comes in waves and it often comes to images that aren’t anything. As such am I right (to a degree) or is the image too distorted due to sources? I let you decide that, but I gave at the beginning that there is a chance that I am writing an article “is almost pure speculation” so be weary of what you accept, even if the sources are spot on. It is one of the dangers of unrelated quotes. 

Have a great day. I am sad as my TV will take almost a week to arrive, no movies, no PS5. My life sucks (at present).

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March 5, 2026 · 00:36

Distilling IP

That is where I found myself today, actually more like this evening. You see, a few hours ago, someone on LinkedIn stated that the Americans had a great idea, they would make a trench straight through the UAE. The problem was that I already gave the UAE this idea in ‘Sinking a dilemma’ which I wrote on February 1st 2026 (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2026/02/01/sinking-a-dilemma/) so there goes his ‘idea’ to make a few dollars. Don’t get me wrong, I wouldn’t mind cashing in on this to some extent, but the idea was freely given to the UAE. As I see it (and as I made it public knowledge on my blog) his idea to strike it rich goes straight into the trash bin.

But as I was thinking, I also improved the idea. I added 7 tracks, 7 railway tracks. You see, Australia’s pride developed the BHP has deployed a 7 MWh battery-electric locomotives for iron ore routes. Consider that two of these bad boys could propel a tanker close to (read: up to) 10 knots through the tunnel and a train has a set momentum and distance. I reckon that it would be possible to get 6 tankers (over two directions) running at the same time every day. 

So why 7 tracks? The two tunnels have two tracks each, so that both directions have the coverage. But there is always a chance that something goes wrong, as such a second track is needed on the two outsides and one for the two inside tracks. The benefit is that these battery operated trains are eco friendly and leave no pollution in the water. The tanker and tug boats leave a lot of pollution over time and that is detrimental to the beauty of the UAE, as such I got the idea to promote an Australian article to the UAE (before India catches on, because they have a few electric bad boys  as well). As such I distilled the idea to a new level. If you see the original article, you see that it is not a straight line, but it adjusts to the East. That was done so that the mountains would be protection for the tankers (not sure how much protection as I am not a geologist) and the tunnel would end near Sharm offering that town additional commercial options. Over the years the bend in the canal could be a halfway point for ship tending and more optional commerce. I am not saying my plan is the best, because there are still a few kinks for the developer to resolve, but I did a decent part of the groundwork and now that I added the train tracks, the idea might get additional approval from the UAE (one can only hope) and as the Iranian issues get worse, MY idea gets to be better (I had to say my name in capitals), It is too late now for 2026 solutions, but the world is now seeing the Strait of Hormuz to become the bottleneck no-one ever needed and I think that both the UAE and Saudi Arabia m ight like this alternative at present, but it will still take a few years to set it in motion an into an active tunnel. I actually designed the tunnel idea for the luxury yachts from India and China to get to the UAE without having the Hormuz headache and now that headache is getting real for too many people. And I got the idea before the Iranian conflict was a fact. As such I am feeling rather good. So here is my additional idea and perhaps soon I will add more ideas as they evolve in my head. (My head is weird at times) anyway, redeveloping new IP is more fun that reporting on drone strikes, but that might merely be me. 

So have a great day today, I just wandered into Thursday, as such Vancouver is trailing me by 18.5 hours.

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January 24, 2026 · 06:19

Where are we heading?

That is the setting that I foresee and it worries me. I ‘accidentally’ stumbled upon an article (at https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Saudi-Aramco-Dismisses-Oil-Glut-Narrative-as-Seriously-Exaggerated.html) where we can watch a disturbing element. The headline given is ‘Saudi Aramco Dismisses Oil Glut Narrative as ‘Seriously Exaggerated’’it paused me as oil glut is defined as “An oil glut occurs when the global supply of crude oil significantly exceeds demand, resulting in an oversupply that cannot be fully consumed or sol” it would drive prices down, now we are always ‘in the market’ for cheap oil and even as I never gave credence to a car, I get why we need it. So the article gives us “The International Energy Agency (IEA) this week raised its oil demand growth estimate and expects growth at 930,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2026, up by 70,000 bpd from last month’s assessment”, so who is the IEA? As given (at the IEA site) “The IEA family is made up of 32 Member countries, 13 Association countries, and 4 Accession countries seeking IEA membership” now for the interesting setting. This setting does include the United States (Brent oil) but does not include Saudi Arabia (Aramco) or the UAE (ADNOC), how do they get to drive down the price and talk about ‘oil demand’? Especially with the two largest contributors missing, oh, and it is also missing Iran and Venezuela. So is this a place where whining individuals start doing the Oliver Twist (please, can I have some more?) And where is the justice in making anyone produce more? Oil is a finite commodity and the nations who have it have every right to get their stock valued as high as possible (which is not in my best interest) but I gather that the United States have their stock in this through Brent Oil. As we are ‘given’ that “In 2024, the U.S. exported approximately 10.7 million barrels per day (b/d) of petroleum, while importing roughly 8.4 million b/d. The U.S. primarily exports light sweet crude and refined products like gasoline and diesel to over 170 countries.” As such they export 100% of what they import, as such they want the oil as cheap as possible, so their profit margins go up as much as possible. And for them 10,700,000 daily barrels where the price goes down 10%, whilst selling goes u by 5% makes for an interesting spreadsheet. But I do not see that part reflected anywhere do I? As such I wonder who will speak up for Saudi Arabia or the UAE? I personally don’t care that much about Venezuela or Iran but there you have it. A micro economy that is ultimately bending to the will of America and its need for greed. A setting that is not in the interest of either Saudi Arabia or the UAE and we are passing that by for the need of greed?  And when you realise this oil glut is a scenario that the IEA prefers, because they want to spike their profits and that is only possible when they bring oil prices down, but oil will spike and sooner than you think. With these data centers popping out nearly everywhere, the setting gets a much larger spike, because the planet is low on energy resources. And the IEA has you covered there too. They give us “Global electricity generation to supply data centres is projected to grow from 460 TWh in 2024 to over 1000 TWh in 2030 and 1300 TWh in 2035 in the Base Case.” Consider that setting when you consider that the Energy requirements of data centers will more than double over the next 4 years. That comes down to 25% growth a year and the nuclear facilities that are under construction will not come online before 2035. So where will oil stand in that case? I might not care about oil, but when the population of nearly every country will bitch when their petrol prices keep on spiking, year after year.

That is the reality and as I see it, the people ‘needing’ data centers also need oil prices to go down, so how is this fair on Saudi Arabia or the UAE? We seemingly forget on what is fair. The setting is as I see it jumping into the proverbial exploitation setting of the United States and after Venezuela and Greenland, sod we need to give in to the United States, more over can we even consider giving in to this American Administration and its need for greed? They wasted to opportunities they had and they now have a $38,600,000,000,000 debt. I think we have given enough, time to bail out and time to find more responsible people, because some say that greed is eternal, and until now I really never saw it that way. 

We are in a dangerous time and adjusting the ‘economic’ sentiment to what greed America and its vessels have is clearly the wrong move. So whilst the oilprce article gives us “But the market continues to be oversupplied, the Paris-based agency noted. “Indeed, benchmark crude oil prices remain $16/bbl lower than a year ago, reflecting the large global supply surplus that built up over the past 12 months, in line with our forecasts,” the IEA said.” As such the response “Oil glut predictions are seriously exaggerated,” by Aramco’s Nasser seem to be spot on. And it seems he is alone preaching against the choir of greed driven individuals. And as I see it, the IEA seemingly agrees with him. 

So where do we go now?

Have a great day today, I am a mere 150 minutes from breakfast at this time.

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January 7, 2026 · 16:14

Edge of the coin

That is as I realise the setting we are in. And I get it, I sound silly, but I was unaware of the scope of the setting (I will easily blame my lack of an economic education) but three parts came to my mind opening my eyes. The first part is seen on the BBC (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwyg1jg8xkmo) two hours ago ‘US discussing options to acquire Greenland, including use of military, says White House’ all whilst my previous article is 14 hours old. As such America is ready to go to war with NATO itself. And here we are given “US President Donald Trump has been discussing “a range of options” to acquire Greenland, including use of the military, the White House said. The White House told the BBC that acquiring Greenland – a semi-autonomous region of fellow Nato member Denmark – was a “national security priority”.” Which is as I see it a blatant lie, but I wrote about that 14 hours ago. The second part came from Houston (Texas) where (at https://www.texasstandard.org/stories/venezuela-oil-future-texas-development-trump-maduro/) we are given ‘From Caracas to Houston: How Venezuela’s oil future could affect Texas’ the direct takeaway is “President Trump is talking about rebuilding the oil infrastructure there. If you’re in the oil biz in Houston or Irving right now, what do you think this means for the Texas oil industry? Are we looking at the possibility that U.S. companies could rush down into Venezuela as a result of what happened this weekend?

Well, no, so it’s a crude quality thing, right? So if we just consider U.S. production and Latin American production in Venezuela specifically, U.S. shale is light sweet crude. It is very high quality. Venezuelan crude is low quality, heavy sour crude. And U.S. gulf coast refineries have been geared towards running this Venezuelan heavy sour crude, Mexican heavy sour crude as well.

And so it’s not going to impact U.S. production per se because it’s not going to be displacing that crude. The way, if you’re cynical, you can look at this is that the U. S. needs this Venezuelan crude and so that’s what’s driving President Trump’s efforts here.”

You might think that this is ludicrous and to some extent it is, but there is another side. Actually two sides, but I will talk about this in a moment. The thirst side is given to us by the Guardian (at https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/jan/06/the-guardian-view-on-trumps-capture-in-caracas-oil-matters-but-its-not-the-whole-story) where we see ‘The Guardian view on Trump’s raid in Caracas: oil matters, but it’s not the whole story’ where we see “US sanctions worsened Venezuela’s slump, but lifting them alone will not restore growth: the industrial base has been hollowed out and skilled labour gone. If US oil majors take a larger share of revenues, Caracas will be more cash-strapped than before. It is hard not to recall Iraq – not because Venezuela is Iraq, but because of how the decision was made. No single rationale was decisive about Caracas. Oil, drugs, ideological fixation and presidential ego all featured. Each was not enough on its own; together they saw Mr Trump make a high‑risk move with no clear endgame.” It didn’t hit me at first, but this kept nagging into the back off my brain. There were two parts that were missing (one actually). You see, we were given “Trump told NBC on Jan. 5 that it could take less than 18 months to revive Venezuelan oil production, with the U.S. potentially reimbursing American oil companies for their investment. “A tremendous amount of money will have to be spent, and the oil companies will spend it, and then they’ll get reimbursed by us, or through revenue,” Trump said. In his Jan. 6 announcement Trump said Venezuelan oil “will be taken by storage ships, and brought directly to unloading docks in the United States.” Energy Secretary Chris Wright is coordinating the effort, Trump added. Wright is meeting with oil executives in Miami this week.” You would like to see that this is more Trump BS but you would be wrong, the timeline does’t match. You see President Trump has almost exactly 1109 days left. Now consider that Chevron or anyone else picks up the baton, there is not enough time to make a decent profit and on the other had, the rather nasty side effect of oil is that a spark sets it off and President Maduro has plenty of allies in Venezuela. So either a massive army comes to Venezuela or there is another setting in place. That’s when it hit me, actually the Greenland setting left me with this. America is ready to go to war with NATO? At present NO DEMOCRAT is speaking up and Hakeem Jeffries leader of the Democrat party has been uncannily silent on these matters. I dawned on me that America elected an idiotic baboon as president because THEY ALL KNOW the party is about to end. They all know the debt they are in is about to spiral out of control and they need Venezuelan oil, Greenland natural wealth and Canadian resources to keep afloat (Canada might almost be out of danger) but America needs Venezuela and Greenland and that is thinly part to keep them afloat. Did Democrats actually think they could go in denial after the fact? 

They all knew and no one reacted, that is your America of today, they are no longer an ally, they have become a clear and present danger of Europe, the EU and the Commonwealth. Because after Greenland how much trust does an American hold? None at all.

I have to be crazy not having seen this before, we got swept up in the media cycles (they are now also an active part towards the enemies destination) there is no way all these Economic boffins didn’t see this happen. I might have an excuse as I have no economic degree, but they do not. And that needs to come out into the light. The global news is so whoring for Digital Dollars, they will side with the wind in whatever direction it goes. That was part 3 and part 4 of this. As I see it a whole America is part of this and I mightn’t have seen it before, but I am on the page now. So as I see it Europe and the Commonwealth have only one course of action. Immediately ban all American goods, ban all American travel, and ban all American services. It is now that simple and when we suddenly now get Democratic voices complain, they are too late. They had the option to voice concerns over three weeks but we got nothing. So as I see it, the Commonwealth needs to stand side by side with Canada as it is the third target of America and we need to do this now. There is no tomorrow. America needs to learn what a warlike Commonwealth can bring to the table. I still think that a partnership with China is preferred, but I get that this is politically a hammer to heavy to wield. So this is the edge of the coin, not Ione side, not the other, but in balance with too many elements. 

So even I get insights into missed corners of data and there will be plenty of people saying I am wrong (as I usually hear) but look at the evidence, the media gave you all the evidence you needed. Have a great day, unless you are American then you can have a terrible day as far as I care.

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December 26, 2025 · 19:50

One turn deserves?

That is the intro to the question, or perhaps the conundrum given. It comes from the Caspian Post  (at https://caspianpost.com/opinion/saudi-arabia-vs-uae-is-riyadh-becoming-russia-s-new-gulf-partner), one I actually hadn’t heard before. Out is one an opinion piece, but the title reads ‘Saudi Arabia vs UAE: Is Riyadh Becoming Russia’s New Gulf Partner?’ It made me think for a short while. You see Saudi Arabia is increasingly intelligent, so I don’t think this is the real reason or the truth. But the setting is given. And with “But the geopolitical landscape has shifted. Sanctions, compliance pressures, and reputational risks have made working with Russian clients in the UAE more complicated. Not because the country has turned hostile, but because it must balance relations with the West. The environment for Russians remains attractive, yet clearly less frictionless than before. This naturally raises the question: if not only the UAE, then where next?” Then there are two settings that I have in the back of my mind. In the first there is Washington, there is an inkling of thinking that they have open the doors to a setting that might lead to destabilization, because with all other issues that America faces, the last thing they want is a more strong, more stable middle east and they might think that this setting loses cohesion when the Russians are given a jolt of ‘entertainment’ the second thing is that I wouldn’t accept that America might stoop that low, they would lose too much, too quick. So I wonder about it. As we are given “Saudi Arabia stands out as the most compelling answer. A large, wealthy, and rapidly reforming state, it is positioning itself as a future global hub. The Russia-Saudi dialogue has long been rooted in oil cooperation and OPEC+, where both sides rely on coordination rather than competition. Political communication between Moscow and Riyadh appears stable and pragmatic. The Saudi ambassador to Russia, Sami bin Mohammed Abdullah Alsadhan, recently said that “personal contacts between the leaders of our states form a solid foundation for cooperation,” and the facts support this. Putin visited Riyadh in 2007, 2019, and 2023, while King Salman made a historic trip to Moscow in 2017. Few foreign capitals have hosted such frequent top-level contact.” As well as “In October 2025, Saudia Airlines launched direct Riyadh-Moscow flights, followed by Flynas opening a Jeddah-Moscow route in December. Daily flights are expected in 2026, along with new routes from St. Petersburg and Sochi. The real turning point is the introduction of mutual visa-free travel for 90 days starting January 2026 – a clear signal encouraging tourism, business visits, and economic exchange. Riyadh expects over 200,000 Saudi tourists in Russia next year, with plans to reach 2 million annually by 2030. In 2024, the number of Saudi visitors to Russia already increased fivefold. Russian interest in the Kingdom is also growing.” But why? There are a few ideas and none are really that good. In the first there is the need for a new tourist destination, that much is clear. Russians are shunned almost everywhere in the EU, Commonwealth and America, as as such the UAE and Saudi Arabia stand out. So the question becomes what business visits? As I see it, Saudi Arabia has clearly defined needs, but does Russia hold the answers? Then there is the data. So what Saudi tourists are looking at Russia? It seems a simple answer, but there is no clear answer. If the answer is work in the Russian Petro Chemical industry, the answer might be fine, but if that links Saudi to the seller of Russian Crude the picture becomes a little distorted. Especially when Saudi Arabia does a reversed Brent Crude Oil loop, as such whilst Brent resells Saudi Oil, Saudi Arabia might be reselling Russian oil to India and a few others. It will bring money to the coffers of Russia whilst greasing the Saudi wheels of business opportunity. Is this correct, is this incorrect? It is pure speculation, but it fits a few patterns and that is what I am going with. America might bristle its nose in the direction of India buying Russian oil, but it will not do so easily as India buys Saudi oil. India is safe, Russia know nothing and Saudi Arabia sees a plain and simple business agreement. 

And whilst we ponder on “Russia exported 4.49 million tons of grain to the Kingdom that year; agricultural exports rose 24%. Shipments of beef, poultry, sunflower, and rapeseed oil increased significantly, with poultry exports up 1.8 times in early 2025. Total trade has surpassed $1 billion.

Yet compared to the scale of Saudi-US trade – $25.9 billion in 2024, with plans to reach $600 billion within four years – Russia’s presence remains modest. This does not make cooperation meaningless; rather, it underscores how early Russia is in this market. Potential exists, but realizing it will require a long-term strategy rather than episodic enthusiasm.” Personally I think that this shape has merit, it allows one player to offset its oil, whilst greasing the wheels of another and I think it is highly likely that this is done right under the eyes of America ad the EU, and after we are given ‘US lifts sanctions on Russia’s military suppliers: What’s behind decision’ a week ago where we learned that “The lifting of US sanctions against companies involved in supplying equipment to Russia’s military-industrial complex is most likely an element of limited encouragement”, whilst we also see ““There is a strong component in the negotiations between Kirill Dmitriev (the Kremlin’s special representative – ed.) and Steve Witkoff (the US president’s special envoy) and Jared Kushner (Donald Trump’s son-in-law – ed.) that relates either to the personal interests of these individuals or to their lobbying of certain interests,” the expert added.” These two pieces give a weird symmetry as business in conducted with the ‘blessing’ of America, most likely it comes at a price that is non-disclosed, but it gives Saudi Arabia a larger coin towards the setting, so there will be almost no mention on it in the media. And whilst some ‘defer’ to etiquette like “Saudi Arabia is not the UAE. It is more traditional, more conservative, and strictly follows Islamic norms. Alcohol is entirely prohibited. Dress codes matter. Social etiquette is not decorative – it is structural. Anyone entering this market must adapt or fail.

Business advisers already outline basic rules for Russians planning to work with Saudi partners: an intermediary is not necessary but extremely helpful; conversations traditionally begin with personal small talk before business; clothing should be modest; punctuality is expected even if partners may arrive late; negotiation teams should remain constant because Saudis trust people, not changing faces; women may participate in meetings but usually not as lead negotiators” but in all this there is a hidden opportunity hatch handed to Russia and whilst (as I see it) the west is seemingly ignoring all this, there is a new revenue stream going straight into the coffers of Riyadh, because business is important. Imagery is important and as I understand it, not much else.

So is this simply one good turn deserves antoerqh, or is this the 101 of Islamic business opportunity? I actually don’t know, it might be both or even neither and I ‘coincidentally’ saw a setting that does not exist. I don’t believe it is the latter part, but I am willing to go with that one too.

Have a great Boxing Day today, mine pretty much ended already with less than 6 hours to go. Time for some dinner. I reckon that today it will be rice with tuna, carrots and peas. So enjoy yours and make it a nice day today.

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