Tag Archives: Oracle

February 7, 2026 · 09:59

One topples the other

That is at times the setting. It is basically defined under ‘the cost of doing business’ and at times companies big and small go under from that overset risk. It is of course due to the pussies overhang nations that they made all this ‘tax deductible’ and as such governments and its citizens  pay the price in the end. So as we see seeking Alpha giving us ‘Microsoft: An OpenAI Problem’ (at https://seekingalpha.com/article/4867091-microsoft-an-openai-problem-rating-upgrade) a few settings with in the first place “First, given that 45% of RPO comes from OpenAI, MSFT stock is now a beta around the pessimism that surrounds this startup, especially in the last week”, as well as “the market is throwing the baby out with the bathwater. Microsoft is part of the software infrastructure industry, which is dragging down tech” which all seems to make sense, but in that same setting what does set the matter separate is “I don’t think Microsoft will write down its RPO due to OpenAI not being able to pay in the future, but I’m mindful shares could remain under pressure in the near term” and here I am considering the larger stage of “due to OpenAI not being able to pay in the future”. A setting that too many are overlooking. The ‘AI’ baby of all greed driven entities are not looking at what is holding up this figment value. It lost against Google’s Gemini and I understand and I also herald the setting that a lost battle is not a lost war, but too many are ignoring this fact because they are seemingly going all in and bad news is seemingly being filtered away. And in the second we see Seeking Alpha giving us “I think Microsoft has two main problems right now. One of them is called OpenAI (OPENAI). The sentiment around Sam Altman’s firm is anything but positive, and in this piece, I will discuss the key issue that is pressuring the most important startup in the world. The other factor is the selloff in software. Microsoft is part of the software infrastructure industry, and the risk-off move among investors is way too strong.” And why do I think that?

Because these vultures are feeding Oracle to the wolf wannabe’s and to the turmoil of the greedy driven capitalist waves of whatever floats their boat, whilst Oracle is the one stage that is the most  stable at present. Now that the game is close to up for some, now we see that Microsoft is having a problem all whilst no one is clearly digging into the settings of OpenAI as well as the settings that processors and even energy cycles should be having. These facts are casually thrown aside and there is something massively wrong with the stage we see here.

And as we are given (by Seeking Alpha) that “Aside from one point. RPO was up 110%, totaling over half a trillion dollars ($625B to be precise). While any company would have jumped double digits following this announcement, the fact that 45% of that RPO is attributed to OpenAI makes the quality of the backlog questionable (in my modest view)” because what ROI is OpenAI actually giving its shareholders? Where is the profit? It is not there and it will not be there for at least 5 years (a number voiced by some). As such the equation doesn’t seem to hold, but the investors went all in on this and they are playing some kind of poker (where you increase the investment doubling again and again until the pay off comes, I am not into poker) and that is the problem. So what is RPO here? Remaining Performance Obligation or Recovery Point Objective and in the second question setting, we wonder where that the Remaining Performance at the Recovery Point exactly is? You see, at no point in this article we see ROI (Return on Investment) and why not? Is the story that this is 5 years pending too hard to sell?

So, as I see it, it is 2008 al over again but the impact will be much harder, the economy does not have the resilience to go through that again and the US Administration is throwing a dozen sabot’s in that engine, as such the impact will be a lot harder and I spoke of that almost 6 months ago (not sure where) and as we look into this we see no answers and isn’t that weird? The players who are all about ROI and revenue forgoing that setting? So where are Sam Altman, OpenAI and Return on Investment? Even Bloomberg is telling its readers that ‘Microsoft’s Deal With OpenAI Now Viewed as a Risk, Not Reward’, so where are all these Bloomberg wannabe’s? It seems that the stakeholders are filtering out what some need to know right of the bat and that seems not to be coming (at present). In addition to all this Seeking Alpha gives us “The pressure on margins due to the buildout should have been priced in since October 2023! I think it is pretty much mainstream (ask your cab driver next time, for real) that the hike in depreciation is a natural effect of the AI buildout. However, and this is the main risk to being bullish right now, I don’t think the market is willing to recognize this fact. I think the market wants to see a return on the AI data center buildout, and any deterioration in earnings (both revenue growth and margins) is used as an excuse to head for the exit. This remains the largest risk, as Q3 will see a deterioration in Q3 gross margins (per management guidance).” Personally I see that Microsoft should survive this, but to what extent? I want to be clear here, because I have given an anti-Microsoft view before (they deserved this), but here I am out of my depth because I do not have an economic degree. But the people at Seeking Alpha did (a speculative expectation) and the stage of “pressure on margins due to the buildout should have been priced in since October 2023” is something that we haven’t seen, did we? At least I never did (mainly because I do not care) but the people who did, did they see that?

The entire setting smells like yesterday’s diaper (see: Baby Herman) and no one seems to be catching on that something doesn’t feel right. So will the investors claim foul play when they lose their investment? Will the stakeholders be held against the light? All valid questions and I am certain that no answer will follow by anyone who has the valid jurisprudence title and now that the Federal Reserve is no longer hands of Jerome Powell, it will be anyones guess what comes from that corner.

Have a great day today.

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February 4, 2026 · 19:36

Cracks in the armour

That is at times the stage we see. It is not a stage where the we are concerned of the armour that is in play. It is like any soldier wanting the direct replacement of body armour when it stops a bullet. There is no logic in this. It is like the expectation that a bullet strikes perfectly the first impact. You might be more lucky to get a winning lottery ticket. So when I saw the Financial Times headline (the article is behind a paywall) we would have seen

The headline is ‘alarming’ as the banks seek out new buyers for data centre loans. But as I see it, Oracle has been in the thick of things for over 40 years and the current boss of Oracle is currently worth 250,000 million dollars. He basically is worth more than most board of directors of any bank in the United States. So the setting doesn’t make sense to me. This seemingly happens should Larry Ellison (father of David Ellison, big boss, actor, producer, chairman and CEO of Paramount Skydance) takes an equal disastrous dive. You think that this is ‘boasting’ but the setting that we see here gives us that banks are in a downward spin and the Ellison family is well insulated of the impeding downward spiral. So here we go to the next article and we get ‘Oracle issues public clarification amid reports linking AI push to job cuts’ (at https://sea.peoplemattersglobal.com/news/strategic-hr/oracle-issues-public-clarification-amid-reports-linking-ai-push-to-job-cuts-48277) where we see “In a statement posted on its official X account, Oracle said a widely discussed Nvidia–OpenAI investment proposal had “zero impact” on its financial relationship with OpenAI and insisted it remained “highly confident” in OpenAI’s ability to raise capital and meet its commitments. The clarification followed mounting speculation that Oracle could slash as many as 30,000 jobs to help fund its AI expansion.” I am not taking sides here, but as I see it, at least 5,000 employees could find a job by opening two cloud centres. One in Saudi Arabia and one in the UAE. Techies, Trainers, consultants and that could be an influence of revenue out of those two countries. So when we see “The statement came after a turbulent weekend for companies tied to OpenAI. The Wall Street Journal reported that a proposed $100 billion Nvidia investment in OpenAI had stalled and was never finalised. Nvidia chief executive Jensen Huang later confirmed that the arrangement discussed last year was non-binding and did not proceed. Despite Oracle’s attempt to reassure investors, markets reacted negatively. The company’s shares fell 2.79% to $160.06 shortly after the statement was published, highlighting ongoing concern about the scale of Oracle’s financial exposure to the AI build-out.” I have a speculative arbitrary subjective view of Sam Altman (OpenAI) that he is nothing more than a lousy second hand car dealer with too big an ego. And the setting where they are ‘closing down’ the 100 billion dollar deal sounds alarming and it seems like Oracle is left with the mess of something that is in a downward spin and continues falling downward until it splatters with a sickening thump. And when we get to “Oracle’s debt burden has expanded rapidly. The company has added about $58 billion in debt in recent months, largely to finance new data centre campuses in the US, pushing total debt above $100 billion, according to analysts. Since peaking in September 2025, Oracle’s market capitalisation has fallen sharply, erasing hundreds of billions of dollars in value.” All whilst OpenAI couldn’t exist without the Oracle framework and whilst we are given all kinds of complications but there are two settings no one seems to care about. There are plenty of reasons to have a data centre, but AI doesn’t exist yet and Deeper Machine Learning (DML) and Large Language Models (LLM) do exist and they are close to magnificent, the issue is that everyone is going with the AI setting and this AI just cannot do what AI needs to be able to do and whilst we see some excellent ideas, as I see it it doesn’t give the structural settings of an additional 770 data centres are in the making and the resources that are required are rising to the spotlight and people are unhappy with it all. All this is making OpenAI (Sam Altman) rather uneasy and whilst some are shutting down $100 billion deals whilst shouting that the processors aren’t good enough and whilst Google Gemini is outperforming whatever OpenAI has and now the banks are getting jittery and the pressure gets onto the house of Oracle. I can call it that because the Pythia of Delphi gave me permission herself. So now that the bottom of the well is showing the banks go medieval on whatever they can and they try to go out from under their arrangement. Sounds like the setting banks had in 2008, doesn’t it?

But to feed an excellent software firm to the wolves to keep safe is not the good setting. As I see it Oracle will come up from all this, whilst they will stop working with certain banks as I see it. And those banks will cry like little bitches stating that it was just business (a speculative view I am holding). And all whilst I wasn’t stating anything new. This was out in the open for over 2 years. As such the banks and the media have a few thing to explain to the people and they aren’t in the mod for what some will call BS.

Have a great day today, don’t forget to have some Ice Coffee if you are in a 30 degrees plus environment (like me) and feel free to ask the media all kinds of nasty questions. 

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February 4, 2026 · 00:05

The Grass on the grave

It comes with a setting. The first is the grass is always greener on the other fellows grave. The other setting is that we are on the setting that we are given that one good turn deserves another.

Do I sound a little weird? Yes, that is the case, but it comes with the numbers that we are being smacked with and as we are considering what a brain drain will do to the United States. This setting is one that might need work.

To set the first stage we are given: 

Amazon 15,000
UPS 30,000
Oracle 20,000
Microsoft 20,000
IBM 3,000

It concerns over 88,000 people who are getting made redundant in these 5 companies alone, I reckon the whole set will be a lot worse soon enough and when you think that they are with their backs against the wall, consider the following.

That is just Saudi Arabia who is in need for thousands of position, as such the Muslims in America might have a decent solution coming their way and the UAE is in a similar state, both nations needing IT staff, which puts the people at Amazon, Microsoft, IBM and Oracle in a decent state. Both places are in a good setting for job placements and those who cannot live in a more strict muslim way might consider the UAE, but that is not me side setting the job offerings in the mix, but most of these forms are doing it to deal with the cost of data centres and that is not a good enough reason for me. The brain drain that it leads to might be more disastrous than anything else the United States could be headed to.

Now both Saudi Arabia and the UAE could post advertisements in the metro sections of the news papers in the places where these job losses occur with an optional website where these people could apply and upload their resume. At that point it becomes the setting for these two nations to see who they could use and who not. At the setting we see with Aramco (Saudi Arabia) and ADNOC (UAE) and that is before they are looking at people for their data centres. I reckon that the braindyain will be very real for the United States. I reckon that the advertisement we see in the Arab News might soon have a much smaller number. 

So that is the small setting that we are facing now and the job cuts that American companies are putting themselves on, might be the solution that Saudi Arabia, the UAE and even other nations might need. So if you are on that redundancy train, here is a little reminder that “Your next big opportunity may be where you are right now” and lets see that solution work for you, because when you are one of 88,000 the setting does not work in your favor, as such I thought of giving some who might need your expertise to set the stage for you and not against you. 

So you all have a great day and I will find a way for others to know what some of you might be going through at the start of 2026.

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January 30, 2026 · 19:57

Filters

If life is filtering, we are thrown between conspiracy theories and perceived loyalty information. Then there are the setting of media influencer and media de influencing. We are thrown in these 4 battles and the media is part of at least two of them, almost all time. And there is no going back. Yes, this is highly speculative but there is an underlying consideration to that. I am forgoing the first two for now (even as my view might be seen as ‘evidence’ of the first view. 

When we go for the second two there is ‘new’ evidence. I have said over the last 5 years that nothing gets printed by the media unless it has approval of the shareholders, the stake holders and the advertisers. That is how the media tends to work and then there is a new layer that works for some of the media. Flames are published at the bequest of the designers (or the editors) through which the digital dollar elopers work. Flames get people riled up, they respond to flames more eagerly and that results in clicks, hence digital dollars. As such the media has lost their point of neutral view and left us with the view that captures their clicks. This is not only detrimental to the truthful view (aka the news they bring) but it also gives us their wanted view, their ‘click-ability’ as views go. 

So the new ‘evidence’ is seen in a few ways. There is Forbes who gives us “Over the past decade, Oracle stock has emerged as a premier capital-return engine, distributing a remarkable $158 billion to shareholders—the 9th highest total in corporate history. This payout is composed of $35 billion in dividends and a massive $123 billion in share buybacks, representing roughly 31.5% of the company’s current market capitalization. Separately, earnings and revenues beat expectations, but the stock went down? Supported by resilient cash flows from its shift to cloud-based infrastructure and database services, Oracle’s strategy emphasizes enhancing earnings per share through aggressive stock repurchases. While it trails leaders like Apple ($847 billion) and Microsoft ($368 billion) in sheer volume, Oracle’s consistent return of capital highlights a mature balance between funding its high-growth cloud and AI initiatives and rewarding its long-term investor base with reliable financial yields.” Forbes gives us this news (at https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2026/01/29/how-oracle-stock-returned-158b-to-shareholders/) and could be seen as ‘news’, some will see it that way (including me) but what caused this all? Was it a mere setting that players like the Motley Fool (at https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/01/29/why-oracle-stock-slumped-on-thursday/) who gives us ‘Why Oracle Stock Slumped on Thursday’ with the subtext “There was no company-specific news to explain the enterprise database and artificial intelligence (AI) specialist’s decline. However, a cloud competitor posted results that investors found wanting. Oracle released the results that were greeted with a similar, chilly reception. Revenue of $16.1 billion grew 14% year over year, while adjusted EPS of $2.26 jumped 54%. Its remaining performance obligation (RPO) jumped 438% to $523 billion, highlighting Oracle’s vast backlog.” It could be seen as news and perhaps it merely is. There is however a new power in play and I cannot see the full form because the bulk of the media is hovering away from visibility and they no longer have trustworthiness. I believe that a new power is rising to undo what corporations are doing, I merely believe that it works at the bequest of some governments to either short sell whatever these companies have or represent, or to gain through short selling. I know it is merely speculation but this is my belief. Now there are ‘hairy’ investment settings and they are on Microsoft, Amazon and Oracle to some degree, but there is another force at work here and I cannot see the complete stage, merely shadows and shims of it, the media has become too unreliable and they want to cut back on the value of these three participant (optionally more participants). I know I have spoken out against AI on numerous occasions, but now we get certain parties illuminating the parts the required no illumination and I don’t think it is by accident.

What Gives?
SO, am I the conspiracy theorist, or the perceived loyalty information giver? I could be the second part (the first one too). I almost blindly belief in the good of Oracle, so the second is an option and it is perceived as I do not work for Oracle, as such I am not in the know. Oracle has been a force for good for over 30 years, as such the faith in Oracle is almost blindly, is that a correct setting to take?

I know that Oracle is in the deep with all these data centres, but are then all owned by Oracle? Are certain governmental parties driving the price down so they can cut costs? As per now Major hyperscalers (Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta) are expected to invest approximately $400 billion in 2026 alone to meet this demand. In the U.S. specifically, nearly 3,000 new data centers are planned or under construction, adding to over 4,000 already operational. 3,000 planned per 2026 as such Oracle stock should be going through the roof (Alpha, Amazon and Microsoft wouldn’t be doing so badly either), but that is not what we are seeing. And I have to wonder why. There are of-course energy issues, but Oracle is providing the technology. So how many data centres are owned by oracle? The image does not compute (as the term goes) and the image is not being given to us clearly by the media and that gives us the two second filters. So isn’t anyone wondering what is in play here? Most will not care either way and for the most neither do I, but in the current political situation where the United States does what it damn well likes regardless of all other voices now gives us a new setting, the transference of powers to a new wielder and neither of them likes the power the current 4 biotech are wielding and they might have gotten away with it if they left Oracle alone, that gave me the lights and some might say they are merely pretty Christmas lights, they are a little out of time, but I am seeing dashboard warning lights and not the good kind. As such is it me (it could be) or is there more to this all?

That is now the question and as such as the weekend is starting for me and Vancouver has to go through today, find your way to coffee because there is never a bad time to have a cup of that.

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January 5, 2026 · 16:25

The setting we hope for

That is a given, we all hope that certain settings come to play and I am no different. Part of it is banked on settings that are realistic and then there are those that are not that realistic. Before I start with this, one little update. I made mention of a new movie that would scare the nasty cloth out of the NSA (GCHQ too) and I just gotten the first few scenes out of the way. It makes me happy, but now I realise that it is not going to be a two hour event. At present I’m sitting on the first part, but the continuing story will not be a lot more than a short film some define this as under 40 minutes (including credits), That is what I am looking at. Perhaps a TV film? It wouldn’t be much longer and lets be clear. If you need two hours to scare the pants out of the NSA, your not doing a particular good job, but I might be wrong. So the script will be ready a lot sooner than I bargained for. 

So back to the matter at hand. Realistically the employment game is definitely changing because (at https://www.theregister.com/2025/12/23/oracles_new_aienhanced_support_portal/) we get told that ‘Oracle’s new AI-enhanced support portal leaves users fuming’ which was released just before Christmas, so I missed out on this initially, but we are given “Oracle’s new AI-powered support portal is frustrating customers and support engineers who are struggling to find the basics, such as old tickets, links to database patch programs and release schedules for current databases.” It works for me as I have worked my whole life in customer service and technical support. As such it seems my streak of bad luck is ending and when a company like Oracle gets it wrong, there is not much hope that the others are fairing better, which would work out well for me.

I miss customer service and I remember when I was ‘made redundant’ all whilst others were saying that the new technologies were making my job obsolete. And I have reason to smile. When I am shown “Greg Parikh, Oracle veep for information development and operations, said in a blog post that the MOS portal offers new features, including AI-powered interactions, streamlined navigation, improved search capabilities, and enhanced knowledge access.” And as I see it, those who live according to the sweet spot of cheap revenue now see that others aren’t having much luck either and they need to consider their sales track and how they can salvage what can be salvaged and now it turns out that they will need manpower as the most defining resource and that is good news for me. And as I see it (in case of Oracle) that looking at “Users pointed out IDs had completely changed, such that searching for 888.1 — the Primary Note for Database Proactive Patch Program — or 555.1 — database 19c Recommended One-off patches returns error message KA912 as the top result. “Links to other documents, which still reference the old IDs, are currently failing for me,” one user said.” Gives the indication that their knowledge base isn’t doing any better and if the programmers cannot make it work, their manpower setting will drastically change and this is just Oracle. As I see it, there are hundreds more firms who have that very same escalating problem, as such I expect that places like ADNOC (Abu Dhabi) might soon require their own corporate service division and their own technical support making short work of the available resources. I reckon that this works out nicely for me. 

So we have the realistic settings, and the dreamy station of a new movie, or at least whilst I am still applying for jobs, it will have to do and it keeps my but this creativity high, an undervalued ability in customer service. But this is merely one setting. Is it that bad? Well you judge, but a little over a year ago we were given ‘16 technical support tools to look out for in 2025’ (source:outsource accelerator) and some do work, but if didn’t grab the right one, the setting is a precautious one. Do you switch and take that chance or reinvest in your own knowledge base and that setting is dangerous, because you could lose a lot more than you bargained for. So whilst some went into combinations of SaaS, Paas or IaaS, your customers are in a tight setting where they demand service or they walk. Larger firms have even a more robust setting and in this age of fake AI, revenue lost is a large setting of shareholders giving up on you. That is the upside for me and as I see it, my time is not worth its weight in gold. 

So whilst we are given ‘IBM Is Laying Off Thousands of Employees as Its AI Business Surges’ they are also cutting a single digit percentage which in case of their 270,000-person global workforce which implies that up to 25,000 people are being laid off. Now consider where they are and that is not a given, but technical support requires certain people to stay in place and when that is messed with nearly anything can go wrong. Now IBM and Oracle are two of the big boys and they wold have their ships in place. And in that setting we see the Register giving us the setting above. 

So, who else and how much is being slid down the pipeline because some people think of their trolley and forget that other trolleys require assistance. It is in that setting that I think that the larger players need to hold one and rehire their old staff a lot faster before that knowledge goes somewhere else and in both these settings I get to win a better place in the work atmosphere.

Am I right? Am I wrong?

That is usually the question, but I personally believe that I am right because I never expected a player like Oracle getting that part wrong, as such things are looking up to the people who worked their lifetime in Technical Support and Customer Care. Even if it goes more towards a player like Zendesk. The knowledge that they have requires expansion because that knowledge is about to go the way of the Dodo. In other views, they are not the only one and the one who has the most diverse software takes over the others who are lacking. And as I see it, these systems are not enabling systems. They take it all and that is fine, but when we see the kind of failures that Oracle is showing the world, we see a growing set of barriers that could (merely a could here) define the needs for the next decade because all these cost crunchers require AI (which does not yet exist) and now that they are getting nervous, they need to concentrate on what works and what is merely bling for show. As such I feel vindicated is probably the best word. My knowledge is about to get a value upgrade, so I start 2026 feeling rather happy. And of course I could be wrong and I need to consider other venues. Time will tell.

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January 3, 2026 · 11:42

The wannabe influencer?

That is my question at present. In comes a person with the ludicrous title of “Al & loT Expert”. You see, what makes it hilarious was the post I saw ‘fly’ by. He starts off with “OpenAl’s first hardware is… a pen?? (If they don’t call it O-Pen Al they have officially lost the Al race).” So that is what makes him an expert? I am no expert on any of that but I am highly knowledgable on matters including IoT. In some cases and in some places I am known as a guru. I have my niche settings. But what gets to me is that (although I am no OpenAI fan) OpenAI has ‘Yes’ lost the current battle against Google and its Gemini 3, which the media kept from you for weeks. Although I personally never used it, but people who did and are ‘regarded’ as captains of industry think so. So, as I see it, OpenAI lost a battle, but that doesn’t mean the war is over. You see, the war on AI (when it finally comes here) is in no means settled at present. And those who understand that battle know this and mostly unmentioned is the play that is left with IBM because they currently have the inside track, not Oracle, not Snowflake and definitely not Google, Microsoft or Amazon. You see, AI is more then what is out there today. It will rely on larger technological settings. They all have quantum systems, but who is the most advanced in Shallow Circuits? IBM was setting that stage in advanced settings in 2017 all whilst OpenAI hardly barely at that point. IBM was on the ball and the actual winner of what now is referred to as True AI, which is ACTUAL AI will need two additional settings the first is Shallow Circuits, a setting where only IBM is a straight forward contender. With that I say I have no idea where Google stands. And in that the next thing is that a trinary operating system will be required and as far as I know there is no current winner at present. I reckon that both Google and IBM have dabbled in this, but I do not know where they stand and when this comes to pass the winner will work with Oracle to make the connections in a much needed combined effort, because they all agree that Oracle is the one player that can make it work. Snowflake as well, but I have no idea where they stand in all this. What we currently have are DML/LLM solutions that are at times clever and functioning, but in too limited a setting. I call this Near Intelligent Parsing (or NIP), but it is not AI, even thought they all have the marketing calling it so. 

What we have now is a mere shadow of what Alan Turing envisioned half a century ago and leave it to sales teams to wriggle the straw until it bleed revenue, but as the class cases will explode in this year, they are left to ‘apologetically assume the position of miscommunication’, at least that is how I see it. So was this person a wannabe influencer and taking the LinkedIn cloud by humor? 

So this might optionally have been the pen that OpenAI is flaunting, but as I see it, this is their step into audio, which they advertised and having a pen recorder is a pretty contraption (aka gizmo, doohickey, or thingamajig) that propels the setting of OpenAI forward. And I reckon that within a month all wannabe AI experts want one. Audio is the next stage that require harnessing, so OpenAI is not out of the race, they merely got bruised in a race where they had the upper hand for three years. 

Perhaps they get the upper hand in other direction making them overall winner, but that is a mere consideration of option, especially when we realise the inside track that IBM has and where is that in his assessment? So I am not proclaiming the identity of that person, it lacks class and makes him a target. He made himself a target and I do not need to add to his current confusion. 

What is a stage is that there is a chance that OpenAI is moving to capture the stage of Audio enhanced NIP (Near Intelligent Parsing) making them first again and Google will need to play catchup, optionally Oracle (Snowflake too) will now have to adjust their tracks to get audio embedded in their database settings and whilst we do not know where IBM goes, we do know they have the inside track, they might rely on Oracle/Snowflake solving that problem for them and as I am a Snowflake person, I still believe that Oracle is likely to win this war for the mere knowledge that they have been on these tracks long before Snowflake got involved, so they have years and traction in their stride. This is not a certainty, but a presumed advantage. 

That is as good as I can give it to you and I have written other stories on the need for a Trinary operating system. I last did that in ‘Is it a public service’ which I wrote last November (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2024/11/16/is-it-a-public-service/) so this isn’t coming out of the left field, it was there for almost two months. Oh and to be certain that you do not mistake me for that wannabe influencer. I am in no way an ‘expert’ on AI, I merely have been dabbling in IT and data since 1981. So I have the mileage here, have a great day today.

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December 30, 2025 · 14:16

The age of uncertainty 

I thought that times were changing, see I invoked some were invoked on me, or something of that nature. Two days ago I started a new script, I call it “Just A Game” which gives me the letters J.A.G. (no relation) but the setting was created to scare the jibbers out of the NSA, GCHQ and related organisations. Set to that I created a few kinks to get the setting of drama going and it is a film script, not some autography to scare three to four people. They get enough real scares for that, as such I wouldn’t be able to hold a candle to the real nightmares.

Then I got introduced to (what I am fathoming to be grifters in media) as I got exposed to ‘Oracle stock slips after insider sale filing as openai-linked spending stays in focus’ where we see “Oracle shares fell 0.4% to $197.27 in early trading on Monday after a company officer disclosed a planned share sale, with investors still wary about the cost of the software maker’s push to expand AI-related cloud capacity.” It is important to say that no lies were told, but as I see it, when we see “That scrutiny has been sharpest around Oracle’s ties to privately held OpenAI, where investors lack the same visibility into funding and cash burn that they get with public companies, analysts and traders said. (Source: Benzinga) A Form 144 filing accepted on Monday morning showed Oracle officer Mark Hura proposed selling up to 15,000 shares, with an aggregate market value of about $2.95 million, through Fidelity Brokerage Services. Form 144 is the SEC notice used when company “affiliates” — insiders and certain large holders — plan to sell shares under Rule 144, which sets conditions for selling restricted or control stock into the public market.” It feels like someone is trying to undermine the power of Oracle. Then we get ‘Oracle Shares Plunge Amid Mounting Concerns Over AI Strategy’ (source: Ad Hoc News, Germany) where we are given “Oracle Corporation is facing one of its most severe market downturns in decades. Since reaching a peak in September, the technology giant’s stock has plummeted by more than 40%, putting it on track for its worst quarterly performance since 2001. This dramatic sell-off is fueled by investor apprehension over soaring capital expenditures and a wave of insider selling, raising fundamental questions about the sustainability of management’s aggressive artificial intelligence investment plan. A primary catalyst behind the market’s negative reaction is the explosive growth in Oracle’s capital investments. The company’s capital expenditures tripled year-over-year in its second fiscal quarter, reaching $12 billion. In response to this surge, management significantly raised its annual forecast for such spending to a staggering $50 billion.” There is no lie, but in September, stock was $328 and it is lower now, but that is the setting of a market in motion, over the last day it was switching between $194 and $195, as such there is no real dip in intent, and the $328 was true, but the day before it was $241, but the article doesn’t spell that out, does it? And two days after the spike it had ‘dwindled’ to $292, and after the quarter that followed the stock would reset itself to $198, as such it seems like ‘doom speak’ and I have a problem with that, Oracle has proven itself time and time again and when true (say: real) AI arrives, it will only function under the data armour that Oracle provides, most others are wannabe’s trying to do what Oracle and Snowflake successfully do. As such we are in a stage of uncertainty, the media is used to fuel digital dollars, fueling influencers and wannabe prophets of doom times. Even as I recognise them, they gave me an idea of an old setting. You see we have been through this before in the age of the bards. They gave us the doom speak, the white knight and the victory, but that setting is now applied to economic fortune telling, so the more things change, the more they stay the same.

And in all that ruckus, I am trying to keep my brain afloat (on ice water) and unburdened by noise of economic influencers. I try to avoid most economic news, but when the attack on Oracle started, I just had to step in. There were more articles, but these two set the marker quite nicely. And it is important, because the media no longer does what it was designed to do, it now prevents itself from drowning whilst chasing digital dollars. Lets hope that the age of uncertainty fades quickly, America has its own set of losers trying to bank in on that and with a non-functioning media, we need all the help we can get. Have a great day today.

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December 22, 2025 · 17:44

Why is a stage a stage?

That is at times a decent question. Even for me, because as I write this, I do so subjectively, nearly every writer does. Writer about his point of view and I am no better (or worse for that matter). It is the merging of two points of view and these points of view are others points of view and they have their own reasoning. It is not about good or bad, points of view almost never are in a set stage. But they must be watched as they influence your own point of view and whilst some are eager to give them all a one sided setting, I learned that this is not something that tends to help. Especially if points of view are multidimensional. As such, I give two points of view and blend them to my own stage.

The first was given by Yahoo Finance (at https://finance.yahoo.com/news/how-oracle-became-a-poster-child-for-ai-bubble-fears-150039511.html) I don’t agree with that point of view but it was a decent setting of a stage. And stages are where we are.

The first setting gives us ‘How Oracle became a ‘poster child’ for AI bubble fears’ I don’t believe in that setting, but it matters for the whole story. “Oracle (ORCL) stock’s boom and bust in 2025 has become emblematic of the tech trade’s central conflict: Investors can’t decide whether AI is a generational opportunity or a looming risk.” But then we get “AI optimism continued to push Oracle shares higher following its quarterly earnings reports in June and September, with AI-driven deals set to push cloud segment revenue to $166 billion in 2030. The stock’s surge in September briefly made Ellison the world’s wealthiest person. But AI euphoria quickly gave way to doubt. Investors became increasingly concerned over the rising use of debt to fund tech firms’ AI spending, just as the payoff of that spending remains hotly debated. Those concerns are evidenced in the budding demand for Big Tech credit default swaps (CDS) — financial contracts that act as insurance by letting investors bet on the likelihood that a company will default on its debt.” And that setting is somewhat important, and for those who remember the 2008 crash, they fear the stage the the CDS and that is fine, I don’t think that this setting is great, but the stage of letting investors bet on the likelihood that a company will default on its debt is not really great, it is the stage where some will set or even orchestrate the need for some to fall and that is what makes the bubble burst and I gave that setting before (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/12/02/aftermath/) in the story ‘Aftermath’ where I highlighted parts of the equation. It is the second part that is the setting of the stage and it is about stages. You see, we all envision a stage whether it is the real stage sets part of the question and when we consider the stage we think matters, we might look at the size, the lighting or how we move on that stage. All matters for consideration but I digress. The second story was given to us by the Motley Fool (at https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/09/16/prediction-oracle-will-surpass-amazon-microsoft-an/) and there we get ‘Prediction: Oracle Will Surpass Amazon, Microsoft, and Google to Become the Top Cloud for Artificial Intelligence (AI) By 2031’ where we see “Oracle forecasts that revenue from its Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) segment could grow from around $10 billion in its last fiscal year (fiscal 2025), to $18 billion in its current fiscal year (fiscal 2026), $32 billion in fiscal 2027, $73 billion in fiscal 2028, $114 billion in fiscal 2029, and $144 billion in fiscal 2030 — corresponding with calendar year 2031.” As well as “Oracle’s push into cloud infrastructure is arguably its boldest bet in the company’s history. Oracle isn’t cutting corners, either; it is bringing on dozens of data centers online in just a few years. It has built 34 multi-cloud data centers and should have another 37 online in less than a year.” Now we have seen two not aligned stages, but the actual stage it a lot larger. You see, the others all ‘want to align’ with Oracle, but that merely means that they want the solutions that Oracle has or get the customers that have selected Oracle, but the others forget something that matters. Oracle has been the data innovator for over 45 years and no one can touch what they achieved, even in the early 90’s they were the only one who could set tables within tables and it took others close to a decade to even get close. Azure, AWS and others never got ahead of Oracle, they merely reengineered what Oracle already figured out and there is more to come. 

You see the two stages are in a larger third stage and as I see it, Oracle has focussed on the data that is needed for DML and LLM settings, but they must know that actual AI requires more and it starts with two elements Verification and Validation. There two parts are the achilles heel for anyone making the statements that this is AI (which it is not) and no matter how much you train data sets, when Validation and verification are absent the GIGO law comes into play. It was uttered in the 60’s and means Garbage In, Garbage Out. Without Validation and Verification all data becomes part of the GIGO law. Most do not realise this, or they simply do not care, but Oracle figured this out long ago (A speculative thought) and we need to consider the Oracle might be trailing on some new technology, but they are ahead in many ways, more so than either Azure or AWS. And the largest settings we see at this point if that some are ‘gambling’ that Oracle messes up, but I think that is not the case. Oracle is hanging on and that is what matters. The data centers that are coming and that are build need to make money, but that is not the stage of Oracle, they got the equipment in, they got the software in and now as these centers start making money, Oracle gets their share and as such they are the facilitators of wealth and that is until there is an actual AI and as I see it, Oracle will be the only one who will set the premise of that and that is why Oracle will surpass all others. Even Google and IBM will seek the shores of Oracle. 

A stage that might take a while, but in all this, any training data centre will owe Oracle money (and a lot of it), so Oracle can play the long game, because in that stage only Oracle will come out on top. That is how is see the stage, the size a lot larger, the lights will put Oracle in the limelight and all others will remember why Oracle is the only one who is master of data storage technology and that is why I believe that the second is part of the real future of Oracle and whomever connects to Oracle. But in all this Oracle is the most essential data solution technology out there and when I saw the ‘negative’ settings around on December 2nd, I knew that it was doom speak of some for whatever reason they had. I knew that Oracle had a different future ahead of them, a much brighter one.

Have a great day, today was cooler, so I feel decently rested, but in these warm days before Christmas I rather miss the white cold of Sweden (or Canada). 

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December 18, 2025 · 23:58

The wrong focus

Two messages passed me by today. The first one was given to us by CNBC (at https://www-cnbc-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2025/12/17/oracle-stock-blue-owl-michigan-data-center.html) with the headline ‘Oracle stock dips 5% as Blue Owl Capital pulls out of funding $10 billion data center’ and I wonder why the headline wasn’t ‘Blue Owl Capital pulls out of funding $10 billion data center’ with the optional added “the project remains “on schedule” but that Blue Owl was out of funding talks.” And as we see “Blue Owl had been in talks with Oracle about funding a 1-gigawatt facility for OpenAI in Saline Township, Michigan, according to the Financial Times.” And when we see “the plans fell through due to concerns about Oracle’s rising debt levels and extensive artificial intelligence spending, the FT reported, citing people familiar with the matter. This comes as some investors raise red flags about the funding behind the rush to build ever more data centers. The concern is that some hyperscalers are turning to private equity markets rather than funding the buildings themselves, and entering into lease agreements that could prove risky.” I am wondering why the focus is Oracle and not Blue Owl Capital. Even as others give us ‘Blue Owl Capital (OWL) Is Down 7.1% After Liquidity And BDC-Merger Lawsuits Surface – What’s Changed’ (at https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nyse-owl/blue-owl-capital/news/blue-owl-capital-owl-is-down-71-after-liquidity-and-bdc-merg/amp) with “Blue Owl Capital has faced multiple securities class action lawsuits alleging that it misled investors about liquidity pressures tied to redemptions and the planned merger of its business development companies, following weaker-than-expected third-quarter 2025 results and contentious merger terms for OBDC II shareholders.” As well as “Beyond the legal claims, the controversy has highlighted how liquidity constraints, redemption limits, and potential valuation “haircuts” inside key private credit vehicles can affect confidence in Blue Owl’s broader fee-based asset management model.” So the setting could be “Oracle dips because Capital Asset Management cannot get their settings right” it is a speculative statement, but it does hold water in light of what we are shown, so why CNBC focusses on Oracle and not on Blue Owl Capital is beyond me. Is it because kicking a true innovator is more sexy than a Capital Asset Management player? I feel slightly protective of real innovators and as far as I can tell Oracle has been a power for innovation for over 45 years (yes I am that old).

So when we see “Blue Owl Capital’s narrative projects $4.2 billion revenue and $5.1 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 17.5% yearly revenue growth and about a $5.0 billion earnings increase from $75.4 million today.” And there is the real culprit, players like Blue Owl need to make money and the entire setting for what they call ‘AI’ will not show revenue for over 2 years and that is what is hampering these players (as I personally see it).

So when we see “The person added that Blue Owl was also concerned that local politics in Michigan would cause construction delays. Oracle later responded to the FT report, saying the project was moving forward and that Blue Owl was not part of equity talks.” I reckon that Blue Owl will move out of at least one other project, as such some players need to step up and it goes without saying that these ‘money makers’ will see stretch marks in their projected revenue womb and it will be a nasty setting for those that are relying on profit per quarter and that was the setting I foresaw almost a year ago and a setting that will bare scrutiny because there are trillions invested and some makers of money will start to realise that as they aren’t making enough money for their shareholders, they will become nervous and as I see it, Google has the inside track now and those relying on OpenAI and Sam Altman will start to see their revenue falter, it is no longer a one player game and that is before we consider where Huawei is going in all this. 

The second article ‘Amazon Set to Waste $10 Billion on OpenAI’ (at https://247wallst.com/technology-3/2025/12/17/amazon-set-to-waste-10-billion-on-openai/) the question becomes. Is it really wasted? We see the first setting “OpenAI, which until recently has been the leading artificial intelligence (AI) company in the world, has raised money from a long list of investors. Some are venture capitalists who are simply writing checks to get returns. However, another list consists of money or strategic deals with Microsoft, Oracle, Softbank, Nvidia, and, soon, Disney.” This part raises a question “Some are venture capitalists who are simply writing checks to get returns” the question is part of a timeline. When they get the money is another part of this equation and time is  the factor that holds these money loving parties in check, or not as the timeline shifts towards 2028/2029. So as we consider “Bloomberg reports, “OpenAI is in initial discussions to raise at least $10 billion from Amazon.com Inc. and use its chips, a potential win for the online retailer’s effort to broaden its AI industry presence and compete with Nvidia Corp.” Amazon is a tiny player in the AI chip business. Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) dominates, with a market cap of $4.33 trillion, which makes it the most valuable company in the world. Put plainly, the Amazon deal is part of the dangerous “round tripping” that goes on in the industry. One company invests in another. The company that gets the investment uses the money to buy products or services from the investor.” I see something else. Whilst we get that $4.33 trillion is an important part, the larger setting is becoming “Amazon deal is part of the dangerous “round tripping” that goes on in the industry” this implies that “a company selling “an unused asset to another company, while at the same time agreeing to buy back the same or similar assets at about the same price.”” I see it as double dipping, so we have now (apparently ) arrived to the point where the double dipping is greedily seen on 10 billion, whist the invested setting is over 900 times larger. I personally see that as a new venue towards the bottom of the creamy barrel that everyone wants to dip their wallet in, the setting is spend and the money is gone (or at least locked into a set stage of non-revenue) and that is the second setting I see breaking the economic settings apart in 2026, because this will erupt into something a lot less nice long before we reach 2027 and that is close to 2 years ahead of incoming revenue. Do you still think I am boasting? This is not a boast. It is disappointment, because that setting was clear to me almost a year ago when I wrote ‘And the bubble said ‘Bang’’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/01/29/and-the-bubble-said-bang/) So I saw this coming a mile away and the others were in the dark? I am not that intelligent, I am pretty clever sop these high paid economists should have see this long before me, or were they hoping that THIS time they could outsmart others? Greed is a vicious circle and will only propagate further greed a game without winners and all who play it lose, or they sell others down the river to get their goods. So how did that end in 2008? The movie Inside Job has a few markers, but who ended the game with a full purse tended to be awfully little and they wasted trillions on that idea and now we get a setting more intense and with more money at play all whilst the previous setting is still hurting a lot of people. Now, the impact will be a lot more dangerous with too many people relying on the setting others give whilst not giving them the full story. How does that usually go over?

A stage that could sink America as I see it, but perhaps I am just a radical depressed individual. Have a great day you all. My Friday begins in less than 5 minutes.

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December 13, 2025 · 21:10

Orchestration

That was on my mind when I was considering a few settings. Orchestration by the media no less. To get the full view to this, I need to explain a few items. The media has NO responsibility to print (or news talk) on any given subject. And there is something called Defamation by omission. 

While defamation typically involves publishing a false statement that harms a reputation, an omission of facts can potentially give rise to liability if what is published is rendered misleading or defamatory as a result. The test is whether the omission gives a defamatory meaning to the published material that would not otherwise be present.

So it does exist, but the setting is extremely difficult to prove. There are more provisions, but they will not be applicable to this setting. As such I leave them by themselves. So two weeks ago we got all that Code Red settings in regards to OpenAI, they were not giving us that they would have to WOW the audience, or was that me saying that? So a few days ago ChatGPT released 5.2 and as far as I can tell there are several dozens of articles, but only Wired gives us some of the goods

With: “OpenAI has introduced GPT-5.2, its smartest artificial intelligence model yet, with performance gains across writing, coding, and reasoning benchmarks. The launch comes just days after CEO Sam Altman internally declared a “code red,” a company-wide push to improve ChatGPT amid intense competition from rivals. “We announced this code red to really signal to the company that we want to marshal resources in one particular area, and that’s a way to really define priorities,” said OpenAI’s CEO of applications, Fidji Simo, in a briefing with reporters on Thursday. “We have had an increase in resources focused on ChatGPT in general.”” Publication and presentation talk, Sam Altman is great at that. But the media? Where are they? Who actually looked at them for the last few days? Where are those articles? 

I am not out for blood, or out to get Sam Altman, I am out to get the media. They are all about the danger setting, but this is becoming out of balance and the media loves their digital dollar raking, but enough is enough. They need to fess up to the settings and do something about it all. If ChatGPT 5.2 is great, fine. I don’t mind, but I want to get the goods and the media is falling short in several ways. Venezuela, OpenAI, Israel, Saudi Arabia and that list goes on, they are (as I personally see it) catering to their need for digital dollars as long as it agrees with the stakeholders they are reporting to.

The Wall Street Journal (at https://www.wsj.com/articles/openai-updates-chatgpt-amid-battle-for-knowledge-workers-995376f9) gives us “The release comes about a week after Chief Executive Sam Altman declared a “code red” effort to improve the quality of ChatGPT and to delay development of some other initiatives, including advertising. The company has been on high alert from the rising threat of Google’s latest Gemini AI model, which outperformed ChatGPT on certain benchmarks including expert-level knowledge, logic puzzles, math problems and image recognition. The new OpenAI model was described by the company as better at math, science and coding benchmarks.” And as I see it, nearly all the media gives exactly the same lines and no one is actually looking into how good ChatGPT is now, or even whether it is or is not. There are investors with Trillions on the line and the media is playing the “distancing game”, only when things go bad they are tripping over each other giving us the lines and at that point the stakeholders have the like it or lump it.

Is no one noticing that part of the equation? 

So, is GPT-5.2 the WOW result everyone is banking on? Did it defeat Gemini 3? I don’t know but the media should have been all over this and they aren’t. As I see it, this is a form of orchestration but to where I don’t know. Is it about the trillions invested (I see that as liability towards investors) is it about the absence of excellence (I see that as liability towards both Google and OpenAI) and there is the liability towards the readers or listeners of whoever they service. So this isn’t defamation, because in all, the media did nothing really wrong. But they sold us short whilst claiming they are there for us and they are not.

So is it me? Or is there is larger setting that is ignored by too many?

I know that some will not agree with me, but after the days of the Code Red, where are the media results of what OpenAI/Sam Altman produced? Not the same hundred words they all seemingly give us, but the real results, the real tests and the real impressions. I haven’t seen one result from them. Even with my limited knowledge (I never used ChatGPT) I could drum up a few tests in seconds and I would put both Gemini 3 and ChatGPT5.2 on the road. I could let them lose on a few of my articles and see what they both come up with and how long it takes them. Something EVERY baboon working in media (sorry, not sorry) could have come up with in mere seconds. Isn’t it lovely that they never came up with that? Think about that for a moment when they give you another runaround on Oracle, like Quartz ‘Oracle’s big AI dreams are freaking out Wall Street’ and Forbes with ‘Oracle Stock Down 14%. Why Higher Risk Makes $ORCL A Sell’ all whilst no one is looking at the true and real value of Oracle. No, the investors must be spooked (for whatever reason). So you all have a great day, we are nearly all in Saturday now and I am a mere 170 minutes away from Sunday. 

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