Tag Archives: Sun Tzu

And the losses continue

That is the setting that I now see coming. The losses are on the United States of America and their commander in chief (that guy in the White House) is to blame for what comes next. You see, there needs to be a consequence for being as stupid as some people are. To this effect I hand you the following. It was presented to me by SBS News (at https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/trump-tells-allies-to-go-get-your-own-oil-after-they-refuse-to-join-strikes-on-iran/chkb28a1q) where we see ‘Australia responds to Donald Trump’s ‘get your own oil’ tirade’ first there was the ignorant ploy which was presented to all of us by the BBC on March 8th 2026 (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9dn3j04lydo) where we were given ‘Trump accuses Starmer of seeking to ‘join wars after we’ve already won’’ it was tactically a stupid move to make. He had no won yet and here he is blowing off the British navy (and its PM). This was given to us together with the quote ““The United Kingdom, our once Great Ally, maybe the Greatest of them all, is finally giving serious thought to sending two aircraft carriers to the Middle East,” Trump wrote on Truth Social on Saturday. “That’s OK, Prime Minister Starmer, we don’t need them any longer – But we will remember.” We then get (on March 20th, by Al Jazeera at https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/20/cowards-trump-slams-nato-over-lack-of-support-in-us-israel-war-on) the headline ‘‘Cowards’: Trump slams NATO over lack of support in US–Israel war on Iran’, which is of course a little weird as he had already proclaimed victory on March 8th, where we see “Trump has been calling for major US allies to help secure the safety of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz which Tehran has effectively blocked.” Here we get a slightly different setting. The attacks by the United States and Israel are not coming from a declaration war, President Trump needs US Congress for that. So NATO cannot get involved as the articles of war are almost clear as water and NATO does not have to get involved because there is no declaration of war. NATO could come to the aid of the UAE, Saudi Arabia and optionally Qatar if this was officially asked. But that comes with legislation of a slippery slope. NATO would have to go against its own ally the United States of America. Not a setting any of the NATO members are willing to entertain. It comes with the added ““Now that fight is militarily WON, with very little danger for them, they complain about the high oil prices they are forced to pay, but don’t want to help open the Strait of Hormuz, a simple military maneuver that is the single reason for the high oil prices. So easy for them to do, with so little risk,” he wrote.” There he goes off again with his setting of a military won event. It seems that there was no victory and plenty of Iran was bombed but Iran never gave any noise of surrendering, in the meantime Saudi Arabia and the UAE are still attacked by Iran with missiles and drones. No act by either of them warrants that and no one seems to call Iran to the stage to hold Iran accountable. So now (through SBS) we get:

Trump singled out the United Kingdom and France as unhelpful in the month-long war that has roiled global markets, driven up energy prices and seen Iran effectively close oil tanker traffic through the Strait. “All of those countries that can’t get jet fuel because of the Strait of Hormuz, like the United Kingdom, which refused to get involved in the decapitation of Iran, I have a suggestion for you: Number 1, buy from the U.S., we have plenty, and Number 2, build up some delayed courage, go to the Strait, and just TAKE IT,” Trump said in a Truth Social post on Tuesday (local time).

Here we get two new settings. The first one given is that we all buy American (never an option) or we take it from the strait of Hormuz under the guise of delayed courage. The second option is basically an invitation to plunder Iranian oil fields, which might be illegal in several ways. But there is a third option, likely overlooked by the United States.

Canada is the largest foreign supplier of oil to the United States, exporting roughly 97% of its crude oil exports—about 4.3 million barrels per day—to the U.S. in 2023. While the U.S. relies on Canadian heavy crude for many refineries, Canada is diversifying export routes via the trans mountain pipeline expansion. It is my suggestion that Canada delivers that oil to the Europe and the United Kingdom (at a price). This is direct revenue that Canada will enjoy and they don’t have to deal with some bully in the south. The UK being in the Commonwealth will likely like this solution (as will Australia) and if there is freedom to change venue (like in there is no contract stopping Canada) they can have a new customer making the United States less of a customer. We won’t bother the Middle East and both Europe, News Zealand and Australia will optionally this solution a few dollars per barrel cheaper (which is merely a speculative discount).

I wonder if the United States had a clue that this option is available to the countries and I reckon that President Trump looked at that setting from the start, did he not? It is a clear setting in the Art of War which was published around 2500 years ago. I feel stupid having to illuminate this track, but there is too much stupidity in the media, so I feel vindicated handing an optional smile solution to the Commonwealth, and I am always willing to hand any option so that PM Mark Carney does not have to deal with the United States of America. 

Oh, and the other lie that we see is “like the United Kingdom, which refused to get involved in the decapitation of Iran,” but it was he who stopped the United Kingdom from sending help in the form of sending two aircraft carriers to the Middle East, which came with the response “That’s OK, Prime Minister Starmer, we don’t need them any longer” as such what is he crying about? 

In the meantime I considered through design two shapes of IP to be used on the roads of Iran to stop convoys, no bombing run required and as I see it, it would cause delay upon delay setting whatever comes from Russia via other roads delayed by weeks, if not months. And as far as I can see, the IP for harbours is still unchanged, so that is running along nicely. The rail version is still on route as well. So Iran is about to face its own forms of hardship beyond what they already have.

So whilst the losses continue, they are likely to hit the United States as well as Canadian oil will now find new roads into the hands of allies and President Trump clearly stated “buy from the U.S., we have plenty” as I see it, we would much rather buy it from Canada and if you have enough, you don’t need more oil from Canada and they can be the savior of the Commonwealth and Europe all at the same time. Sometimes life gives you a nice curveball.

So whilst the losses for the United States continue, they now have less to capture all over the globe and the next interest payment, which is projected to exceed $1 trillion in fiscal year 2026, or roughly 17% of total federal spending, is due soon.

Have a great day.

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Facting a check

I find myself in this setting. A few days ago, I remember that President Trump said that the Iranian missiles were taken care of and in light of the 2000 drones and missiles fired at the UAE it sounded plausible. So the Deutsche Welle gave us “Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu say that Iran’s missile capacity is “destroyed” and “degraded,” yet Iran still strikes. How many missiles and drones remain, and how quickly can Iran rebuild its arsenal?” Which came with ‘How well armed is Iran, and can it replenish missiles?’ I was ahead of that by designing a new IP to take care of the roads, I started with crazy glue, but I changed this to small pellets with a 10 seconds delay. Based on the original setting it was a small pellet about 5mm in size with crazy glue around the core in the outer shell and whilst trucks drove over them the 10 seconds delay would enable the solution to be ‘grabbed’ by several trucks and in the Iranian ‘wilderness’ a truck without tires gets stopped right quick and no help is expected to come for hours. So whilst these trucks are out in the open and no help is coming, you get missiles without a clue, trucks without tracks and you can fill in the rest. So I was feeling pretty happy that my 2.0 solution seemed to be on a roll so to say.

But now, only an hour ago we are given by Reuters ‘Exclusive: U.S. can only confirm about a third of Iran’s missile arsenal destroyed, sources say’ (article behind paywall) this means that Iran can keep on firing its missiles into the UAE and Saudi Arabia. As such I am happy that I gave them the IP to take care of their harbours and railways, and now of course my 2.0 solution to trucking. So, this gives us the light wondering if President Trump has the ability to speak the truth, because we get exaggeration after exaggeration and there is no stopping this man as he is might be seen as the first president that has a failed fact check list that humbles a New York Phonebook for its amount of pages.

And whilst the Wall Street Journal gives us ‘Trump Tells Aides He Wants Speedy End to Iran War’ where we are given “President Trump has told associates in recent days that he wants to avoid a protracted war in Iran and that he hopes to bring the conflict to an end in the coming weeks.” So, what is his idea of a speedy end? The United States is now in week 4 of the Iranian clambake, it is ‘halting’ 10 days with CNN giving us “US President Donald Trump has for a second time extended his deadline for Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz – or face its power plants being “obliterated.” The status of the talks remains unclear, with both sides giving mixed signals. Iran has expressed deep distrust toward Washington, while Trump is growing frustrated with the pace of progress. And on the ground, the war, which has killed thousands across the Middle East since it began nearly four weeks ago, shows no signs of diminishing.” All whilst CNBC gives us “The U.S. is preparing to send thousands more troops to the Middle East, prompting speculation about a ground attack on Iran amid conflicting accounts of peace talks. The Pentagon is reportedly preparing to send about 3,000 troops from the Army’s 82nd Airborne Division to the Middle East, alongside two Marine Expeditionary Units, to assist military operations in Iran.” All whist BBC News gives us that “Pentagon denies report that US considering sending 10,000 troops to Middle East” Now, I get that armies ‘wallow’ in misinformation, so that is fair as they do not want their enemy to know which way is up. As such I am all for that level of misinformation and it is according to the writings of Sun Tzu (the art of war), but there is a massive missing level of fact checks on a few levels and I reckon we should know what was not destroyed, especially when the enemy knows what was not destroyed. But I could be grasping at straws here. 

The larger setting is that there is too much out of bounds and that also goes into the failing credibility of the US administration, and as I see it, they cannot deal with too much loss there. Especially as they are losing more allies they ever had and at present it only has Israel as an ally left. At present the ‘calculus’ setting as the United States as an ally is giving Israel as 71%, and in that list, the lowest is Japan at 63%, after that it goes down fast, at the top is Canada claiming the United States as an ally with 46%, Australia at 38% and more below, with the United States calling the United States an ally for 1%. (Source: PEW Research), now, this is not the most recent research, but the setting of this should scare the United States government into springing into action, because before 2025 Canada was its top ally and now Canada is resentful of the United States and its tourism numbers are in the basement. Forbes gave us that “As of early 2026, Canadian travel to the U.S. has seen 13 consecutive months of declines.” And in this economy as it stands, this is really bad. 

Fair question. There is a setting that the armies can only continue when the money comes rolling in and that is not happening, the US economy is largely losing on tourism, all whilst the Financial Times gives us (at https://www.ft.com/content/15117219-c1e1-4da8-866b-817b75643c18) “The costs of Trump’s war are staggering. The most consequential is the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which has caused global oil prices to rise at the fastest rate since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The average gasoline price in the US is now $3.98 — nearly $1 higher than just a month ago. For the average household, the pain at the pump could add up to nearly $750 in extra costs this year.” Take that number, add to that the amount of people that are hurt though tourism, manufacturing and services and take into consideration the number offers that JP Morgan gave us last October and the cost of warfare is rearing its ugly head. Add to that the amount of fact checks that are getting a failing grade and this mess is near complete.

So whilst the Financial Times also gives us “Higher prices on everything from groceries to furniture to clothes will tear a hole in family budgets at a time when more Americans already report skipping meals, delaying medical care, or dipping into their retirement savings to make ends meet. The response from Trump’s top economic adviser, Kevin Hassett, was that consumer pain caused by the Iran war is “the last of our concerns right now”.” I personally think that Kevin Hassett is seemingly on the wrong medication at present, consumer pain goes through everything and Sun Tzu’s The Art of War actually advises avoiding harm to civilians and promoting their goodwill. This is not happening now (as far as I can see) and this has been a truth for over 2500 years. So as I see it, Kevin Hassett better take a renewed look at what is happening at present, because he gets to eat his own words when this so called war is still in effect in 3 weeks, because at that point the breaking point of the people will have been surpassed by a lot and that (speculative) rating of United States calling the United States an ally decreases to 0% and as I see it, no nation ever faced that setting before. There is a new setting coming up (and I don’t like it) there is now a chance that the United States might face another civil war, because when the people lose whatever they have and face more and more hardship the bulk of its population (now assessed at 342,000,000) cannot be controlled by 1,300,000 troops and there is every chance that many will walk out of their units to stand by their family. This is what this administration seemingly achieved and that is the harsh view they need to face. 

So, am I wrong? 
This is also a fair question, because no one is looking at this, but I believe that this speculative view I have will gain traction in the next two weeks and I would be happy to be wrong, but the checks and balances that need to be in place aren’t there and the larger group of the media is no longer credible, so you have to figure it out. Have a great day today.

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The other side of a thing

Arab News gave us hours ago (at https://arab.news/cy2eb) that Iran attacks Saudi Arabia unabated where we are given ‘Saudi Arabia shoots down multiple drones as Iranian attacks continue’ as such Iran twists the lies that they will not attack and still do this because of whatever brain figment they are concocting. But this time they are out of luck. The world has had enough of Iran and as they are are attacking muslim nations, not even other Muslims will accept the reasons they give, as such they are in a new untested ground. What happens when the Sunni Muslims have had enough of them? So as Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar are attacked, these nations will now defend themselves and even Qatar has clearly had enough of all of this. So, whilst we see “Saudi Arabia’s air defenses have intercepted and destroyed at least 26 drones on Friday, the country’s defense ministry confirmed, as aerial attacks on Gulf nations persisted. Authorities in Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates also said earlier they were also contending with missile fire and drone threats. The UAE defense ministry said air defenses shot down four ballistic missiles and 26 drones coming from Iran on Friday. Since the start of the Iranian attacks, the UAE has dealt with 338 ballistic missiles, 15 cruise missiles and 1,740 drones.” So, whilst some will wonder what is going on, Iran is now slapping its neighbours around for being more successful than them. So, whilst Iran is hitting out against Aramco and ADNOC, we are seeing “According to the Saudi defense ministry, the majority of the drones were shot down over the Eastern Province, home to the kingdom’s major oil refineries, while one was intercepted over the northern province of Al Jouf.

The fresh wave of attacks comes a day after a drone struck a Saudi oil refinery on the Red Sea, and causing fires at two additional facilities in Kuwait, as Iran escalated its campaign against Gulf energy infrastructure.” As I personally see it, all the gulf states have had enough of Iran and I reckon that their retribution will be on their mind as Eid Al Fitr has ended and Ramadan was concluded. As I see it, Iran has no further concern for leniency and I handed both Saudi Arabia and UAE the IP to stop infrastructure to facilitate a three pronged attack on Iran. Land, Sea and Rail will be put under pressure with the setting that reverberates for months to come. I also handed them the option of destroying their airfields, but that solution is one that takes months to really impact and will not be seen for some time. Well, the technology was create pressure and whilst some airfields will be part of the United States Clambake, there is no quick solution there. So, whilst Saudi Arabia gives us that “In addition to the drones, Saudi air defenses have intercepted 42 ballistic missiles and seven cruise missiles over the same period, underscoring the sustained and varied nature of the aerial campaign against the kingdom.” It is clear that the Kingdom is under repetitive attack from Iran and as I see it, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has merely one answer to counter all this before another Aramco location will show a repetitive attack and damage, Saudi Arabia has several options none of them non-violent and all with the approval of the near entire world. And as I personally see it, that is how it should be. A bully like Iran should never be allowed to win, not even a small win. They need to see that there are consequences from attacking their Muslim neighbours. And my idea for hitting infrastructure is now showing that it was the right thing to do all along as the Australian Financial Review gives us ‘Iran says it’s building more missiles’ where (at https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/israel-launches-new-strikes-on-tehran-bowen-refuses-to-rule-out-changes-to-fuel-tax-20260320-p5qs8n) we see “The spokesman for Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps insisted on Friday that Tehran was still building missiles, seeking to counter a claim by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that it no longer could. General Ali Mohammad Naeini also said the Iran war would go on.

“These people expect the war to continue until the enemy is completely exhausted,” the general said of the Iranian public. “This war must end when the shadow of war is lifted from the country.”” I wonder how their self-control gets away from them when their railroads and harbours are put out of commission. Because that too is the outcome of a war you invoke, when the harbours are put to pasture because the are no longer reachable and when your railways are no longer deal with the trains as their tracks are inoperable al whilst revenue and defense settings are merely collecting dust as they have no place to go, how will their armies react? Sun Tzu states that this is a demoralizing setting and he gave us that in 500 BC, as such the writing if that reality is over 2500 years old. It might show to be an issue when Iran remains oblivious to the impact of that, but that is the nature of things. When awe see that these effect come into ply someone in the military will feign ignorance and the impact of that will be seen all over the world. Perhaps Iran will learn, but as they instigated all of this themselves I really doubt that they will learn anything.

Have a great day, a mere 120 minutes until breakfast.

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Alleged confirmation Bravo

That is what I saw. It was less then an hour after the previous article, as such I thought it was essential to get this to you quicker than the usual grace period of 15-20 hours. First news I saw was Deutsche Welle (at https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-trump-says-no-more-israeli-attacks-on-south-pars/live-76422645) where we see ‘Trump says no more Israeli attacks on South Pars’, so why would anyone keep the refineries save of their enemies? Sun Tzu in the Art of war gives us plenty of reasons to stop Iranian money sources. And the article gives us “US President Donald Trump has threatened to “blow up” Iran’s South Pars gas field if Tehran continues retaliatory strikes against Qatar. He also promised Israel would stop its attacks on South Pars.” So one is threatening to do harm, the other one is actually doing harm and that is now stopped? To me (which might be wrong) is the setting that the United States want what Iran has and they are willing to put boots on the ground to set these places safe for the United States. And all along the Strait of Hormuz is still closed (to some effect). So whilst the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar remain under attack, others are cleaning their slate to get into the Iranian oil. And only 30 minutes ago we hear (via the Guardian) ‘Hegseth claims Trump ‘knew nothing’ about gasfield attack, declines to say when war will end’ as such we get a new setting. If this so called war is set in motion by the United States and Israel and these two do not talk strategy, what on earth is going on? As such I would like to call to attention Admiral Daryl L. Caudle, Chief of Naval Operations (CNO), General Randy George, the current Chief of Staff of the United States Army, General Kenneth S. Wilsbach, Chief of Staff of the United States Air Force and General Eric M. Smith, who serves as the Commandant of the Marine Corps to attention. Not because I mean them ill will, but what kind of military is Pete Hegseth making them out to be (this might be restricted to the commanders involved) and that is also up for debate. So when we are given by the Guardian “When asked by a reporter whether he felt Israel was pursuing its own objectives, in relation to the attack on Iran’s South Pars gasfield which Donald Trump said the US “knew nothing” about, Hegseth said: “We hold the cards. We have objectives. Those objectives are clear. We have allies pursuing objectives as well,” he added. He explained earlier in the press conference that the US’s objectives were to destroy Iran’s missiles, launchers, defence industrial base and navy, and for Tehran to never obtain nuclear weapon.” As I see it, there are no clear objectives, there is seemingly no clear communication and that is the mere start of this pile of stuff that makes the grass grow in Texas. I was in the mindset to destroy the capabilities of Iran (which I made available free of charge for both the UAE and Saudi Arabia. When you consider harbours and rails, Iran would be hindered immensely by taking those two out of the equation. There was also the need for someone to bomb the 10 refineries. Not threaten, just demolish these places. Refineries can be rebuilt (over time) and it would hinder Iran near completely and as these places are gone, its money spending days are over and as I see it, without money, there wold be a larger problem creating missiles and drones, they all cost money and resources. It might be oversimplified, but I am no longer in the army, actually I left the army before the Internet became a popular thing.

In addition we are given “Badr Albusaidi abandoned the usual reserve of diplomatic language to call the war a “catastrophe” and said Donald Trump’s administration had “lost control of its own foreign policy”. Albusaidi claimed the US and Iran had been “on the verge of a real deal” on Iran’s nuclear program twice over the last nine months, including in June last year when the process ended with Israeli-US attacks on the Islamic republic. He mediated a second round of indirect negotiations that resumed in Oman on February 6, with the final round held in Geneva on February 26. “It was a shock but not a surprise when on February 28th – just a few hours after the latest and most substantive talks – Israel and America again launched an unlawful military strike against the peace that had briefly appeared really possible,” Albusaidi wrote.” I cannot respond to this, but to see the accusation that the United States had “lost control of its own foreign policy” is troublesome to some degree. Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi is the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Oman as such I reckon he knows a few things and an accusation of that degree is troublesome. At present as I see it, this falls in the corner of President Trump and Marco Rubio. As such this accusation falls on their turf. Now (only 6 minutes ago) we are given “We’ve just heard from Pete Hegseth. He reiterated the claim from Donald Trump that the US president knew nothing about the attack on Iran’s South Pars gasfield. However, Reuters is reporting that Israel says its attack on the gas facilities was coordinated with the United States. It cited three Israeli officials.” And weirdly enough I wonder how these 4 United States commanders would react as we have a setting with three alleged Israeli officials. So who are these officials? If they are luggage officials at Ben Gurion airport listening to their radios it is one thing, if it involves members of the Israeli air force or/and Mossad, it becomes a very different thing. As such what does Reuters have? I do not know the source as such it is all alleged and presumably. It is just my thought on that setting. 

All this might be my economic downfall, but that is also presumed and even as I have data going back years, it merely might have connection to military actions and it would all be so much easier if there was clear communication and clear communication between fighting allies. None of that seems to be in place at present and my view? What doe the commanders of the involved parties have to say? Because that is one track that the media has allegedly not been considering. As I see it, it is quite simple and you merely had to read the Art of War to realise this. The alternative is von Clausewitz with his version ‘On War’ but I personally liked the Sun Tzu version better and it was written centuries before the other version. 

Perhaps I oversimplified the setting. Have a great day, it just became Friday for me (45 minute ago).

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Chapter Thirteen

That is the setting I am invoking. You see, there is something going on and there are many who say so, although I believe them to be in a sort of ‘conspiracy theorist’ setting. I kinda doubt that I am (not certain though), but I am telling you the whole story here, as a lot of it is speculative, but it comes with evidence of some sort and this story goes way back. A few days ago I set a premise to paper, I have done so before on a few occasions, but this time an idea hit me, and believe me. I am the first one to go into denial and say it was my brain. Yet after all the IP I created (some of them weapon systems) I learned to respect my brain. I figures things out even when my eyes can’t see it. 

The last time was in ‘Chaotic order and orderly chaos’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/06/15/chaotic-order-and-orderly-chaos/) on June 15th 2025. I stated:

This stuck with me in the last few days and this night it came to blows with other thoughts. First we see:

And last 

Now this is mere social media (to some junk), but going back to October 6th 2024 when I wrote ‘Is it merely political?’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2024/10/06/is-it-merely-political/) things started to click. You see there I wrote towards an article by Politico, where I considered the text “A loophole allows middlemen in countries like Turkey, China and India to refine Russian oil in petrol and diesel before selling it elsewhere — exempt from sanctions. According to a report first seen by POLITICO, Western countries spent $2 billion on this rebranded fuel in the first half of 2024”, the part I never really considered was that this loophole had been place for some time. And as I see it, it was likely created in the days that Iran needed that loophole. So now you have the parts. 

What I considered in the last few parts is that the world (not just America) is under attack by what Sun Tzu called ‘Inward spies’ Sun Tzu saw them as spies, double agents for the enemy, gathering intel of your forces. He never considered that organizations and governments would collide at some point and as I see it that these inward spies are now known as stakeholders. They influence via means, usually for organisations and sometimes governments to dial it up, or down as the setting requires. So a ‘leftist’ stakeholder would ‘represent’ their interest and at times, a grocery store like NIOC. We never (or better stated ‘I never’) considered it until now and I reckon that the last setting where we see the last ‘Tweet’ from a White House correspondent no less with the text “but we had already uncovered its conspiracies back in March!”, so is this a lie (likely) or are stakeholders reporting back a lot more than we are happy about? The last part is less likely but not impossible, as such it becomes more and more important to map out these stakeholders and the connections that they are entertaining. 

So am I crazy or did my brain stumble upon something? Is there a setting where stakeholders get a lot more from some interested parties? I cannot tell, but as I see it, and as I have seen what stakeholders regard as ‘their’ mission in life which usually involves money and power (read: connections) and at that point it doesn’t matter what their goals are, they are actively propagating a terrorist state, a government ploy that has been progressing terrorist organisations all over the middle east. Or did you think that all these rockets delivered to Hamas and Houthi terrorists are as cheap as a pack of milk? Some of them range between $100,000 and $1,000,000 and it varies with the range and payload. I haven’t forgotten about Hezbollah and did someone make an actual invoice of that? Consider what revenue Iran has and soon you will see that the equation doesn’t work. It hasn’t worked for years. So what gives and why isn’t the media digging into this? I can give you one speculation. There is every chance that their focal points are changed by stakeholders. They merely voice where the media needs to look and with advertisement stretches they are eager to increase revenue (and change focal points). 

So am I crazy? (In my defense, I am not crazy, I am an airplane: whoooooosh). And as I can still make fun of myself (my favourite subject), there is every chance that I am not crazy. That doesn’t mean that my assessment is correct. One does not imply the other and my version of what is, is highly speculative. 

So take this for what it is. A almost simple thought, yet I am doing it on paper, so that when the time comes and the media comes with ‘an exclusive’ I can state that I got there way before them). So now that I got that of my chest I might be able to get a few hours of sleep. It is 03:15 here now and I don’t want to wait for breakfast as that is a little over 300 minutes away.

So have a great day and consider what you could do in that time, you might have guessed it, it is lunchtime in Toronto, save me some poutine will you? 

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Setting records straight

Yup, there is a time when things have to be adjusted and my ‘incorrect’ view is no exception. Yes, I can see the left bristling with accusations and I get it. But hatred tends to polarize a view and I would be no exception on this if I wouldn’t adjust and correct my views. You see, yesterday I published ‘Wars according to the TWT principle’ and I make no apologies as this was the setting I believed to be true. But I fell for the same trap many generals have preceded me in. All wars are based on deception. The very first ‘law’ Sun Tzu, the writer of the Art of War warned us about and I like the (not so) intelligent person, or perhaps better stated the intelligent person I thought myself to be, fell for it and my direct response to that is ‘Well done, President Trump’. Yes, I think that this administration has a lot to consider, but this one they did right. He said he would respond within two weeks and I fell for that. The next day he bombed three nuclear sites in Iran and he left with a warning. Less then there hours ago we were given ““Everybody heard those names for years as they built this horrible destructive enterprise. Our objective was the destruction of Iran’s nuclear enrichment facility. “The strikes were a spectacular military success,” he says, saying the key enrichment facilities have been “totally and completely obliterated”.” As I see it, Yay President Trump. He might have made a few more friends and allies, as throw fear in the eyes of his enemies. With Iran in such expected disarray they will think twice before arming the Houthi terrorists and as they cannot hit Saudi civilian targets, Saudi Arabia might now consider America a stronger ally than they thought they had 30 hours ago. The Houthi’s will consider their actions as their provider is close to no more and they need to settle down as well (them settling down is a stretch, but here you have it). In the next setting we see Hamas and Hezbollah considering whatever they have, they might see it as the turnaround, because Israel has a more dangerous ally then they thought they had and in that same setting Russia needs to reconsider whatever they had will now be the end of that line. Iran lost its drone building facilities and as such Iran as it now knows that the end is reached will want to make hastily friends. The response we saw this morning by Iran and its less than truthful response “Iranian Foreign Minister says the “outrageous” US attacks on Iran’s “peaceful nuclear installations” will have “everlasting consequences”.” (Source: Al Jazeera) You see, the ‘lie’ of peaceful in that sentence makes the entire ‘boast’ a fragmented lie. Peaceful settings do not apply to weapons grade enrichment and this had been going on since before former President of Iran Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. So as he ‘vacated’ the building in 2013, my eyes were on my IP devastating that solution as it (in all honesty) tickled my ego and it would have gone to Saudi Arabia. Yet in the end, President Trump solved the issue for me (read: us). I believe that the European ‘political’ talk solution was merely a way to delay what could no longer be delayed. Israel saw the danger and yet Europe did not. 

Even as Israel is now facing more missiles, the chance of any of them being nuclear was just blown away by America. So as I see it, I had to set the records straight. Even now I see famous people giving us talk of how the right is ‘bombarding’ peaceful talks, but there is no talking with Iran, there is no agreement they won’t break and Israel knows this and America knows it, even as Europe remains in denial, they know it too. They merely hope that whatever agreement is broken, it would happen when the next persona is at that desk. Yet I believe that the time of this time snag delay is pretty much at an end. Russia was one element and there are more and not all of them are visible. Yet now,  as Iran is seemingly bleeding, some of these doors will close on Iran and they will fear the next hit, because if it is an oil reserve, time will have run out for Iran. Too many parties had become dependent of the outcome of the Iranian revolution of 1979 and now these parties will need to find new venues and that is where the CIA comes in, with the age old premise of Segregation, Isolation and Assassination. Until today they never thought it was possible, but now as Iran bleeds they fear what comes for them as they never expected this to happen. In this (I personally believe) that the assassination of Qasem Soleimani 5 years ago was the start of segregating Iran from the greedy friends it had and I am not sure if this scenario would have played out, like others would have liked if Qasem Soleimani was still alive (I know it is speculative). But at present the President of the United States acted as any President needed to and for that I yet again say ‘Yay, President Trump’. I think that the whiney left needs to recognise this too, I really do as the larger setting is averted. Not everything has been averted, but it starts with one cog, then the next, and after that the next. And for the Iranians, this is what the bringer of doom to Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan looks like 

You all have a great day today.

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My Bond is my word

That is the expression, but it came from a time when a word meant something. Far before the idiom of marketing and business practices. That word is a temporary setting towards to goal to do no harm to the shareholders and the business need of the few. In essence, the old “is an idiom that means a person’s promise or word is as good as a formal agreement. It suggests a commitment to honesty and reliability in one’s dealings, and is frequently used to signify that a person’s word is a reliable substitute for a written contract” it is said that a word is merely a mirror of the intent of the person speaking it. And when you look at bonds, we see “A bond is a form of debt security, essentially a loan made by an investor to a company or government for a set period of time in return for regular interest payments. When you invest in bonds, you are lending money and receive back your principal plus interest at a specified future date” Now here we get the problem. You see, as it stands “an investor to a government for a set period of time in return for regular interest payments” and now as it seems that government (America) can soon no longer make these “regular interest payments” and the investors are backing away. We saw last week

and we have seen a few of these settings and again today we see a continuance of these messages. The stage is not really as clear. As bonds are sold before maturity the investors are losing money and you know how they lose money. Yet the setting for that is when will we lose it all? And there is the crunch. Lose some now or a lot later and these happy wuzzes are weaseling out before it is too late. So as such we see

If you think that I feel sorry, you would be wrong. I saw this as early as 2018, but the people called me and idiot, a fool and a cowardly weasel. That’s fine, they are merely words. As we see the dumping of bonds these high and mighty wannabe’s will get the limelight shining on them and as they hide like the little cockroaches shouting “it’s more complex then I thought” and I giggle because all I needed was an abacus, this contraption (which preceded the computer and the slide ruler) was invented somewhere between 2700 and 2300 BC, so there was time to learn the essentials.

I don’t know how much the damage is at present, but with every sell off, the burden of America deepens, which as of April 30, 2025, there were $28.575 trillion in outstanding U.S. Treasury securities. So we do not know how much is sold of and I doubt America will divulge that information and as I stated in March 2023, when I speculated that the SVB had too many bonds in there possession and could not deal with a bank run, I asked whether the media would ever look into how many bonds they had and they never did (I wonder why), but a more large setting was seen in the movie The Big Short (2015), an American biographical comedy-drama where we see the implied setting of Janet Yellen in her role at the federal reserve. Now, this is a mere movie, but when movies get to close to reality, there is the chance that there might be correlation. And as the Federal Reserve kept close eyes on the SVB bank, my thoughts wondered whether there wasn’t anything more going on. It is merely one bank, but was it? This also set my mind in a certain direction. The media was no longer to be trusted and they are too often a spokes vessel for stakeholders with political and personal plans. This time around the gap is a lot larger, a lot more than merely one bank. So how many bonds are being sold off (read: dumped)? We don’t know and the investigating party (read: the media) is being told to stand down as I see it. There is no way they are all being sold but to which amount of the $28.575 trillion is being sold off, we just don’t know. In the end America will face a brunt of invoices due to be paid. Yet consider that a bond is a certainty of income through interest and now these investors are bailing. How much is being bailed on is unknown to me and to many others.

But the media isn’t asking the hard questions, isn’t that interesting? They are so busy to chase digital dollars for their own good, whilst at the same time pleasing the shareholders and stake holders  making the audience a distant fourth or even fifth party. So how do you feel about getting actually informed? 

Don’t ask me for the information because I have close to none. I can merely see the issues, but the actual facts are not visible to me and to many others. But there is an issue and the idea of weaponized bonds is decently new, it came after the settings that these foundations are based on and as the bottom line is now marketed for the needs of the investors, we might not know in time what needs to be done. Will it be done in time? I have no idea, the people in charge of the information have their own game to play and usually it is for the betterment of themselves, not the audience at large.

I reckon that the tariff war set a few cogs in motion. Did the current administration consider this when they named the Golf of America and cast Canada into hostile party by calling it the 51st state? Did they consider the impact of a possible annexation of Greenland? It pissed off Europe and the Commonwealth and now their actual enemies is seeing the optional setting of selling off a huge part of the bonds and as such America sinks under their own debts, no actual war required. Didn’t the Art of War teach us (approximately 500BC) that “The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting. If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles” I wonder, how clever it was to set a chicken stage of tariffs when these people wrote this book over 2500 years ago, seems folly to me. The best the west has to offer in contemplation is On War by Carl von Clausewitz (1820), which is called a decidingly lesser work 2300 years later. Isn’t that the opposite of evolution? Both books on the philosophy of war, but called “a lesser setting”, so what is the stage and what is missing? Both miss out of the war setting of economies. There was a setting of economic in the application of logistics in WW2, but a rather slimline one. Now there is a need on the war on the economics of any enemy and when as deeply in debt as America is, they are quite literally fighting against the edge of an abyss and that abyss does not give way to anything, it is not the premise of an abyss. 

I have no idea what comes next, or what could be done next. This requires clear and reliable data and we do not have any, or aren’t given even the indication of clear data. That is the result of a media that is no longer to be trusted. So how bad is the news? It is dependent on the actual amount of bonds being sold off, because that is the hard setting of the decreased revenue that America faces in 2025 (and 2026). 

So this is one day that I don’t go for the casual ‘have a great day’ but a much larger setting of make sure your families are safe, because when the dollars stay away there will be a price to pay.

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Cold War 2.00.05/LW

The BBC alerted us to an optional issue, the article (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/clyn8vk4g42o) is a tap on the door. There is absolutely nothing wrong with the article. It alerts us and it tells us stuff, but there is an underlying setting. You see there is an absolute chance that Russia is active in Germany, but there are doubts within me. Russia has a lot more problems than many of us realise. And there we, optionally, now have a new player in the German field. The radical sited lone wolf getting their message from Tehran. I will come right out with ‘it is speculative’, it is my speculation. You see with “Holes mysteriously found cut in army base fences” we see part of the deception. If it was me, I would hide 2-3 drones, out of sight with a good view of several buildings, not flying in a landed state. Army camps have many roofs and not of them are watched all the time. And a landed drone leaves no signature. So there the culprit, optional plural have drilled a hole in a fence, nicely hidden, but not strong enough that it will avoid detection. So the guard patrols call it in and suddenly the base is rushing to the sensitive places and checking them out. And now with the drone cameras they will know WHERE to hit that place, optionally not hitting that place at all (that week). The army signature move is to check all the sensitive areas as well as the munition storage and armouries. Their alert giving the lone wolves where to come soon enough and that time there are no holes at entry. 

Not a case they expected, but this is not an intentional Cold War or Cold War 2.0, it is a Cold War 2/LW (Lone Wolf). A new setting and most standard procedures will not suffice, well they might but you are up against a different enemy, the Lone Wolf is desperate for success and more important, he/she will be more desperate for success, as such they will resort to killing a lot sooner, as such the plan changes somewhat. Whether they are out for secrets to dispense to a player like Iran (optionally one of their agents via Hamas, Hezbollah, or Houthi). I see this as a realistic setting. 

We cannot merely rely on:

  • An alleged plot to assassinate Germany’s top weapons manufacturer.
  • Phone taps on a high-level Luftwaffe call.

These are still settings that are happening and it is even possible that these are separate issues. In any espionage setting the Luftwaffe taps could most definitely be Russia as for the alleged assassination. It is anyones guess who it is and how real it is. The danger of an assassination cannot be ignored, but these people are aware of those dangers and the replacement is likely to be a lot more dangerous than the one they replaced. When the danger becomes realistic, the claws come out and they will suddenly be a lot more dangerous, as well as the BND (Bundesnachrichtendienst), they will at that point be out for blood, all of the blood they can lay their hands on. 

So am I right?
Not sure, but I just gave you a scenario that I came up with in 5 minutes. These Lone Wolves have been brooding over a plan for months. It is there that we see the folly that I saw in the case involving Saad bin Khalid Al Jabri in Canada. In 2021 we get from 60 minutes that Mohammed bin Salman wanted him dead. This might be true, but then we get in August 2020 that ‘Saudi hit squad was sent to Toronto to try to kill former intel official, lawsuit alleges’ (source: Toronto Star) with a 100 page lawsuit and in the end none of the allegations have been proven in court. What a jolly shit show. There was another article (I forgot where it was) stating that the Tiger Team of 30 man were employed. To give you a little rundown, after 42 years leaving the army (draft) I came up with a simple idea of using 3 teams of 2 man and at the end of that exercise that would have taken a mere 20 minutes with one team active for an additional 12 hours, there was no living Al Jabri, he would be as dead as the concrete building he was living in. OK, I do not know the setup of that building, but it would be a simple exercise for 3 teams of 2 (one team observing and directing. An optional use for the M202A1 66mm FLASH with adjusted missiles would be used (in a certain debilitating case) but that is merely on a ‘what if’ whim. The rest is a simple exercise using two boom boom items. Hard case, a mere exercise and I am certain that certain parties (who are in this field) could have thought of this long before I did. I have had my issues with the assumptions that Saad bin Khalid Al Jabri have tried to sway us with. The other fact was that the US, where a lot was set in their courts (even though he was in Canada) with all kinds of objections against the Saudi representative there. I had my doubts on a lot of it. This is a mere setting and this now goes back to Germany. Is there an optional Cold War brewing? That is very much possible, but in all this the Lone Wolf is optionally overlooked. So are these the actions of a Lone Wolf, or a Lone Woof. Anyone can make a hole in a fence, having the Army run around would be fun the the lone woof looking from a distance, it does not make for a base invasion. So at the near end of the article we get “Not all of these events can definitively be blamed on Moscow, but Germany is on heightened alert for possible acts of Russian sabotage, because of Berlin’s continued military support for Kyiv” this is a better be safe then sorry and I cannot disagree, but the media had a decent responsibility to state more than this and the mere ‘Not all of these events can definitively be blamed on Moscow’ was not enough. With Russian sympathisers all over Europe a lot more was required, because belief it or not Lone Wolves are a clear and present danger to many European nations. Troll farms are ‘their’ essential misinformation, but merely misinforming people and watch it unfold tends to be only entertaining in the first few hours. When we get to tipping scales, actions tend to be needed to make the scales tip over a lot more, but that is merely my point of view.

As “last month when CNN reported that US officials had told Berlin of an alleged Russian plot to kill the chief executive of Germany’s biggest arms company Rheinmetall” doubts come into play again. You see a player like Rheinmetall has procedures in place for this level of events, of that I have no doubt. So what is to be gained from a simple and single execution? Is it the target, or is it a ploy to keep the BND active in the wrong places? Lets not forget that Sun Tzu taught us that all war is based on deception. So how did CNN get the news? Any alleged plot (especially from Russia) would be based on the expertise by people like the GRU and they do not talk (if they do President Putin has a lot more problems that he realises). So how did CNN get it, what were the sources? As such I have to some degree my doubts on this.

Have a fun day and that red dot you see on your chest? It’s merely your imagination.

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How Presidents become sniffling bitches

It is strong, it is optionally regarded as disrespectful, but seeing the BBC give us ‘Ukraine claims to control 1,000 sq km of Russian territory’, the story (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2lmr29ygjo) comes with the underline of President Putin called stating “Russian President Vladimir Putin has described the incursion as a “large-scale provocation” that involved “indiscriminate shelling of civilian buildings, residential houses and ambulances.”” (Source: Baltimore Sun). So how does it feel to have the shoe on the other foot?

Lets not forget 

Russia has bombed hospitals, churches, refuge’s and civilians with intention. Now after almost devastating losses the Ukraine is expanding into Russia. Ukraine is coming to Russia and calling these new lands optionally their new home. It is a little bit speculative, because there is no clear path. As I can see it, Moscow will soon have another name (my wishful thinking) and the Ukraine has already found a new home as their community building, it will be the Kremlin. It might be a little too soon for that thought. But there is another setting. The other setting is that several GRU members will be wanting a way out. Not everyone is agreeing with the picture that President Putin is painting and as such GRU officers with folders on the agreements on Pascal Hillebrand, Thierry Baudet and other like minded people will be eagerly wanted by the Dutch AIVD and media. Not to mention the army of internet troll media arrangers who are doing real damage to European, American, Australian and Canadian democracies. All that became an optional reality when Ukraine took land from Russia. 

This hasn’t happen since Stalin (1941) when the Germans started operation Barbarossa. Now there is a setting we shouldn’t dispense with, Russia could mobilise their entire army now. The problem is that they have plenty to sow into that region. It weakens the Russian forces to a massive degree. When you have an army that merely covers 70% of your country and pushing it to different areas, more areas will be weakened. The second setting is that it will take longer for Russia to ever recover. The amounts lost and the lack of a properly functioning logistics and equipment supervision, for that matter the actual availability of equipment are all matters that are strangling Russian forces. Using your finger saying ‘pew, pew, pew’ doesn’t really work on forces who have seen their homes devastated, and it was an unprovoked devastation. Being that the Russian forces are relying on North Korean and Chinese arms to an increasing degree is also not to be underestimated. 

On a sideline (making it about me), there is still the plans to ‘make’ Russian nuclear reactors go into meltdown mode. Should Ukrainian forces enable that part than the loss of a mere 3 reactors will put Moscow into dark mode, no electricity and no heating. Taking in consideration that things turn cooler in November which lasts until mid February and it stays snowy until April. You see concrete and steel buildings are nice, but without heating they nearly instantly turn into refrigerators and sleeping there is a one stop location to the death sleep. 

That was the part Russia forgot about, and people like Vladimir Solovyov and Vladimir Molchanov forgot about. We saw their ranting on YouTube and they all forgot what happens when their turn is up. They never thought Russia could be attacked, but the aggressive nature that Russia employed since February 2022 now has a new wrinkle. As Putin announced the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, he claimed to commence a “special military operation”, side-stepping a formal declaration of war. Now that comes to bite him and his ‘friends’ will soon be a lot more afraid then they thought they ever could be. In the mean time I designed several new weapons, one to cluster down on Russian harbours and that is a nice piece of icing (DARPA eat your heart out). You see most weapons are about destruction, as such I designed a steal approach to dislodging. It seems less ‘effective’ but there is nothing as effective as taking an entire port out of commission. OK, I admit that some harbours will merely be in part less effective. Russia has a nice navy when it doesn’t work it is merely a bundle of steel going nowhere. And as they lose their Black Sea and Atlantic abilities, they will see the disaster they unfolded in 2022. Consider (merely consider) that Zapadnaya Litsa is take off the operational board, that and their Arkhangelsk become set pieces in a Russian comedy called ‘What do we do now’?

How will it go from here?
I have no idea, but the fact that the Ukraine captured land from Russia was unforeseen by everyone, Russia least of all. So when we consider “A senior British military source, who asked not to be named, told the BBC there was the risk that Moscow will be so angered by this incursion that it could redouble its own attacks on Ukraine’s civilian population and infrastructure” is decently accurate, but then Russia had bombed Ukraine pretty much into the stone age. This is the setting where we see that people stated that this would be over in 2-3 days, it is now year two and Russia is losing lands. That is the reality they fece and as such a lot more domino stones will be falling over. I am partially hoping that several GRU and FSB officers will defect the bad place they are in and come with their files to other places outside Russia. They still need proper vetting as this is a tactic that dead spies cater too (a Sun Tzu reference, Chapter 13). But it is clear that Russia has now a different kettle of fish on their table and they were never ready for that part.

So as we revisit the current losses consider how come that the 20th strongest army is setting such losses on one of the top three armed armies of the world?

When we consider that for about 5 hundred years we have seen the expedition of logistics, hardware distribution, armed forces and intelligence gathering. So how come that a 2-3 day war has become a 2-3 year war? I stated a partial in ‘On the subject of failure’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2023/02/27/on-the-subject-of-failure/), yet an capture the land against Russia was never a reality, how wrong I was and I was not alone there as the BBC now shows me.

All war is founded in deception, a quote that China came up with over 2000 years ago, to see it to this degree is almost unbelievable, so President Putin had clear documentation that could have prevented this. How the mighty fall.

Enjoy this day, my Tuesday ends in 20 minutes, Vancouver is just about to start their day with waffles, eggs and more. 

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Lines of presentation

That is what it at times amounts to. A line of presentation, although in gaming it is called storylines and narration. You see, I have been pondering a few things. We cannot ignore a game like Skyrim and the weaknesses it has. I am not attacking Skyrim. It was released on 11.11.11 and two generations later, it still feels and plays awesome. There have been so many additions and now we need something new. The problem is that we need something really new, not just another version and that got me thinking. To see this we need to take a little historical journey. According to ‘history’ the one of the very first Spymaster was Akashi Motojiro (1904). I personally doubt this for the simple reason that the art of war was written 500BC, implying the Chinese did nothing with chapter 13 for over 2 millennia and that is as far fetched as it will ever get. Sun Tzu gave us the following categories of spies:

  • Local spies
  • Inward spies
  • Converted spies
  • Doomed spies, and 
  • Surviving spies.

But no one (at present has incorporated that in an RPG game. Until now it wasn’t really possible to add this. As such the side quest could be to evolve a spy network. The narration would be upgraded and when you consider the settings of balance, you could teach espionage to one and assassination to the other, the operative part is balance, a sort of detente in RPG gaming. Still the player would get benefit of both. Now consider the implications. Not merely the quests for each type of spy, the setting of learning the scrolls of espionage Ould be added and you would gain another side to the game. Bethesda relies on the Dark Brotherhood and the Thieves Guild. It is something that others need to avoid, but the beginning could be an eye catcher to any gamer. Now consider that a similar stage could be applied to the Hashashim, who were the dread of crusaders in the 11th century, they were the foundation assassins. There is of course the Ninja from Japan, all options to consider in a new RPG game, to set yourself apart rom the others, and as (according to some sources) the next Elder Scrolls is 2 years away, the early bird that chases the new frontiers can care themselves out a very nice slice of that pie. 

Narration
That is merely the gameplay, but the larger stage becomes the storyline, the narration if you like and that is the golden threat of any solid RPG game. There are more sides and I wrote about those lines on May 30th 2022 when I wrote ‘Creating economic sides’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2022/05/30/creating-economic-sides/). You see, the stories are one, but there needs to be the creation of a balanced economy or the game becomes weak. You see poverty around you, all whilst you have hundreds of thousands of credits. And it is not direct, it is the indirect influence that drives the game forward and these storylines could have a similar approach. Consider 3 locations. One has espionage, one has assassination and one has commerce. They all have their own advantages, but to some degree drawbacks too. You might benefit from all, but only to some degree and it only goes as far as the good will you create. Making choices does that in one direction and takes them away in another direction. It creates a form of balance and makes the game very much replayable, because one impact hits a region different from another. Sides too often overlooked. We might remember Fable where one area was in poverty, or in good standing depending on the actions you took, yet we can take that in a much larger and different directions as well. Until now it was not explored (no negativity implied), however the new streaming systems as well as the new consoles allow for a much stronger and larger play system, larger scenarios and larger areas. And we might think that this is the solution, however without a more verbose storyline and much more profound narration that is not going to be an option that survives. Only two months ago we were given “Starfield’s lacklustre exploration and lack of depth, with players feeling that the game becomes dull and tedious.” I never played the game, so I do not know. But I can understand how this came about and it evangelises my idea of bolder and better narration and story lines. No matter who does it, they need to get ready for a much larger storyline in all kind of directions. The linear storyline is pretty much at an end, but that is my point of view. 

I believe that the next large RPG game needs to set new boundaries and set an entirely new way to narrate a game, more of the same will not get far in 2024 (or 2025 for that matter).

Enjoy Sunday.

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