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My confusion

That is what I was burdened with. Arab News (at https://www.arabnews.com/node/2638181/saudi-arabia) give us ‘Leaders of Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Jordan discuss military escalation in the region’, for me the confusion becomes, “Why isn’t the UAE involved?” And the story gives us “The leaders of Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Jordan discussed the repercussions of the military escalation in the region and its risks to freedom of international navigation and the security of energy supplies in Jeddah on Monday, the Saudi Press Agency reported. The impact of the escalation on the global economy and the coordination of joint efforts to enhance regional security and stability were also discussed during the meeting hosted by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and attended by Qatar’s Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al-Thani and Jordan’s King Abdullah II.” My confusion doesn’t end there. The escalations seemed to be set into alleged spreading discourse in the Middle East, Iran like a toddler, that it is denied a bigger seat at the table and a bigger slice of the pie is spreading discourse to the UAE and Saudi Arabia. To see the evolution of that thought I have two pieces of information.

In the first image we see the realist on the UAE, in the second image we see Arab News who gave us last week how it differs towards Israel.

However, the third image (from another source) gives us another picture. We are given 342 missiles and 1,699 drones for the UAE, 26 missiles and 413 drones for Saudi Arabia as well as 183 missiles and 87 drones for Qatar. I get the attacks on Israel, Israel attacked Iran, as such Iran attacks Israel now. But the numbers do not make sense to me in any traditional setting of warfare, even in the desperate setting we saw Iran in the past. This kind of warfare is about creating distrust. And as I see it the United States likes that a little too much. I reckon that the United States has its own reasons. But the damage destabilisation gives the Middle East is now too dangerous to consider. But Iran does not care, it wants a seat, a much bigger seat and it will take any risk it need to take. This is pretty much one of the reasons that I gave my IP (to destroy Iranian harbours, rails and roads) to Saudi Arabia and the UAE, because I personally feel that a strong and stable Middle East is at present one of the best things we could hope for in our world. 

To give us a better view on the numbers. The UAE got hit with the same amount of drones as the sum of all other gulf nation. 

So, if these numbers are correct (still a dangerous thing to ‘compare’ percentages), Iran hit the UAE more often than the attacking nation of Israel. Does that make sense to anyone? I get that they attack Israel, it attacked them, but the UAE never attacked Iran (to the best of my knowledge), a setting, which I initially considered to be an act of desperation to get the Gulf States involved in all this. Is now seen (by me) as a way for Iran to get a larger piece of the Gulf pie and a larger seat at the table. As such the United States is hitting Iran, but if my thoughts are on the money, I reckon that soon enough some miraculous setting comes up that is laughingly called peace and as the United States will give some repartee that they ‘won’ the war, the actual winner would be Iran, because they will end up with a much bigger seat at the table and they will push their hatred of Israel to the entire table and the United States will not care what happens to Israel, they get to live another month with the oil settings they end up with. 

Now, this is all speculation, but it fits the current data model and if that data changes, so will it debunk my speculation on this matter, I can live with this, because I got here without aid from the media, they are busy chasing their digital dollars. In all this, the setting that the world is better off with a destabilised Middle East is utterly wrong. It comes from conservative christians and jokes that have listened to and loved the Crusaders fables going back centuries. And we made the mess in this world ourselves, we let ourselves be fooled and bought the considerations that others gave us. But I believe that a strong Middle East (one without Iran) is our best option to regain some of what we all lost. As I see it, it will also exclude the United States, no matter when this president is replaced, it is now living under the yoke of minus $38 trillion (aka minus $38,000,000,000,000, or is it minus $38,000,000,000,000,000?) we throw billions and trillions around like it is nothing, but the real number in dollars shows the world how deep the hole is that the United States dug for itself. And consider that they had a proven crude oil reserve in the United States of 44.4 billion barrels and still they are digging themselves an increasing debt hole. And no matter what hypes we see, there is nothing they will do, because Wall Street lives in the now, and the next and previous quarter. This shortsighted setting only held those who think that they are in charge, but they are slaves to greed and ego. That is how I see it and I understand that I might be wrong, but this is where the data leads me. Above else I do believe in data, the verified versions above all others. So could I be wrong? Definitely, but what conclusions do you draw from the facts we are exposed to? And at this time with this administration the United States has, do you actually think that they will add anything to the matter? This president (seemingly) and his businesses defaulted on hundreds of millions in loans and filed for corporate bankruptcy six times between 1991 and 2009. Then we get the settings of Canada and Greenland which alienated his northern neighbor and they are now shunning the United States costing it billions in tourism and a lot more in various ways. It alienated Europe wanting to ‘annex’ Greenland and this president kept on insulting the European leaders who are now aligning with Canada and this collection of 28 nations is largely shunning the United States. Then he went to Venezuela and did it all over again and now we see Iran, which is apparently costing the United States The US war on Iran, which began in early 2026, cost an estimated $ 11.3 billion in the first six days and surpassed $ 16.5 billion by day 12, according to reports. Costs include high munitions expenditures, repairs to regional infrastructure, and accelerated military deployments, with over $200 billion in additional funding (source: Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)). So how much is the United States getting out of this? The question is slowly becoming what does the United States have to gain with a destabilised Middle East? I don’t expect the media to look into this, not with the digital dollar drive they have, but that might be my speculative mind. 

So you all have a great day and consider what harm destabilisation of the Middle East will bring us all and consider that President Trump has figured out one thing. The nation with the most oil will survive at present, so where does that leave Iran? Enjoy your day this day.

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The price of war

That is something that is on everyones mind. It isn’t always voiced as much, but it is there. From the increased price of oil, the increasing of groceries or the impeding absence of pay for the TSA. They all refer to it as one, but in fact it is the other.

U.S. Senator Chris Murphy, allegedly said “Trump is suspending sanctions on Iran and Russia, which will put over $15 billion in their treasuries to help them fund the wars against us. It’s stunning. We have never ever seen this level of war incompetence in American history.” I am using allegedly here, because I am not sure where he said it, the quote was passed to me. I had heard things of a similar nature in the last few days, but I cannot say if it is real, or if people are merely quoting each other. But it is one view and the lack of communication that the United States is releasing does not bode well. And beside that a mere 4 hours ago, we were given ‘Donald Trump says Iran sent US ‘big present’ as Pentagon readies thousands more troops for Middle East’ by ABC (at https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-25/iran-war-trump-to-send-thousands-more-troops-to-middle-east/106493972) where we see “Donald Trump says the United States is in negotiations with Iran to end the war as the Pentagon reportedly prepares to deploy thousands more troops to the Middle East. The US president said senior members of his cabinet were in talks with Iranian officials, who he said had agreed to “never have a nuclear weapon”.” We then get ““I’m not going to tell you what the present is, but it was a very significant prize.” He added that the mystery gift was related to the Strait of Hormuz — the critical choke point at the centre of the conflict through which about 20 per cent of the world’s oil supply passes.” It is my believe that if you hand a present, it is shown to the world, if not, it is merely heresy (aka bullshit), so are their boots on the ground coming in Iran? Are there actual peace talks? All questions that are not met by any kind of tangible evidence and the media is not asking the hard questions. 

I believe (aka speculation) that America is now so broke that it cannot pay for some if its bills and we see the beginning of a United States kind of Ponzi scheme. It is paying some bills and not others, those are (speculatively) paid next month. One such setting is the TSA, they apparently have not been paid since Valentine day. And as I see it, the media is not putting their eyes on this. Why not? So whilst we are given “TSA agents are working without pay because a partial government shutdown has halted their paychecks. As of March 17, 2026, this disruption is causing long security lines at airports due to increased call-outs and officers quitting during the busy spring break travel season.” And as TSA agents are considered “essential” workers, meaning they must continue to work without immediate compensation. So how does this compute? It does not. As I personally see it, the too broke too function setting is now in play and it makes sense that President Trump went after Canada (aka 51st state), Greenland (annexing it) whilst pissing of Europe and Denmark and after that Venezuela and whilst the oil is ‘worthless’ in the immediate setting and now it is up to Iran to capitulate their oil, which the United States can use. So, is my presumption just some blabber as it fits the situation? I have been writing about the impeding bankruptcy of the United States for almost 10 years. So am I wrong? I could be, because the patterns match the situation does not mean I am right, but there are more signs all around us that seemingly proves me right. Here I rely on ‘seemingly’ as there is a setting of experiencing apophenia, a person who sees patterns that aren’t there and I am clever enough to recognise this situation. I have seen it enough times in others, to realise that I am in such a premise as well. 

So, is it experiencing apophenia, or is it patternicity, or “the human tendency to perceive meaningful patterns, connections, or intentionality in random or meaningless data” either could be true, or I might be on to something. Normally the media is an option, but for the last decade it has been chasing digital dollars as well as relying on creating flames to keep the click puppets active. None of this gives the media more credibility and as such we are in a difficult spot. We might see what is, but those who should know are not doing their jobs because it doesn’t align with their business needs. Their business needs now come first and that is also the price of war. Whatever they need, is what others seemingly allow them to get. An almost vicious circle with no clear premise, no clear borders and a fluidic stage. Almost like setting the stage for acrobats and letting clowns stage the field, all whilst the stage master announces the person as Bello Nock. But when you were aligned to see acrobats, are you short changed, or are you given additional entertainment. When those lines become blurry, those behind the stage master see their field clear. I feel that this is the setting we are in now and when the United States is paying all bills (like the TSA) and no immediate bills are left, there would be the chance that I am completely wrong. But is that the case, or has the world moved on from the setting that John Maynard Keynes left us and are we in a much more novel stage that people like me cannot comprehend because I never learned to be an economist?

It remains a valid question, I feel that I am right, but is it real? Am I experiencing apophenia, or is there a stage of patternicity in play? And is this true, or are the ringmasters in play to make sure that the larger population cannot distinguish between the three.

Have a great day and don’t forget to feed the dolphins, because they will thank you for all the fish and you won’t know why.

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Where is the trust?

That is most of the time the setting, so as ABC gives us (at https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-17/middle-east-live-updates-march-17-2026/106462358) “A tanker has been struck by an unknown projectile while anchored near the Strait of Hormuz. Earlier, US President Donald Trump turned his ire on European allies who he claimed “weren’t that enthusiastic” about helping the US secure the passage. The threat of Iranian missiles and drones targeting oil tankers in the strait has effectively closed the shipping channel, amid the country’s conflict with the US and Israel.” With the added ‘Rockets and drones fired at US Embassy in Baghdad’ an hour ago. Consider that President Trump gave us (on march 8th, Politico) ‘Trump says Starmer seeking to join Iran war ‘after we’ve already won’’ so, that was 9 days ago? What changed? Then yesterday, the Guardian gives us (at https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2026/mar/16/iran-war-live-updates-news-oil-trump-hormuz-dubai-airport-israel-targets) “As Donald Trump expresses frustration with countries declining to send warships to reopen the strait of Hormuz, the response remains muted among those he directly called upon.” And this happened a mere 4 hours ago. Where are the vessels of the United States? Where are their minesweepers? Simple questions and it defies knowledge why this is not front and centre everywhere. So when the Sydney Morning Herald adds spice to the setting (at https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/with-10-damning-words-pete-hegseth-says-the-quiet-part-out-loud-20260314-p5oafr.html) with ‘With 10 damning words, Pete Hegseth says the quiet part out loud’ where we see “US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth believes the media has not been sufficiently effusive about the success of the American military operation against Iran.

He had just finished speaking about the massive damage inflicted upon the regime in Tehran – its leadership, its missile stocks, its navy, its weapons infrastructure – when he turned his attention to the Pentagon press pack.” Now, I am willing to accept that I have not been part of any defence department for 43 years. I can assure you that a certain clarity is required in communication (from the defence side) and whilst I feel ready to blame the press on several matters, they are massively without blame here. The March 8th setting was the first damning setting. Then as I yesterday lighted on the ‘Just for fun’ setting that President Trump gave us and whilst the tactical setting that Kharg Island provides a sea port for the export of up to 90% of Iran’s oil products, as well as supplying storage for up to 30 million barrels. Bombing the hell out of it might have been essential, but it is a mere export point. There are 10 refineries doing the bidding of capturing oil and whilst I was able to device methods of stopping those settings, the clear message is to bomb those 10 locations to really put pressure on Iran. So when were they done? No, As I personally see it, President Trump what’s that oil this is the clear setting that is tactically seen and now that 2,500-5,000 boots are getting on the ground, that setting becomes the pressure point that Iran can put on the United States. So whilst I created IP to close harbours and disable trains, stopping the bulk of oil transits, it was merely one stage that Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE could do to take pressure away from themselves and as such I gave Saudi Arabia and the UAE that IP. I did my thing to stop the war to go towards the gulf states. 

Well, the SMH also takes care of that. We are given “As former CNN Pentagon reporter Barbara Starr noted, it’s possible that Ellison will be none-too-pleased about Hegseth’s implications.

Starr, a 21-year veteran of the defence beat, pointed out on X that CNN has sent personnel to combat zones for decades, with some even losing their lives. “You have a legal and moral obligation to defend the free press, even the ones you don’t personally like,” she told Hegseth.

As a former TV presenter before he was tasked with running the world’s most powerful military, press freedom should be Hegseth’s instinct. His comments today – and his vainglorious move to banish press photographers from his briefings – suggest he sees the media more as a vassal to serve his interests.” I can get behind that thought. As such there are sides to this entire setting that aren’t reported on this enough. The first one was that no formal declaration of war was ever given by the United States. As such we were given: “the Trump administration officials have offered various and conflicting explanations for the war, such as to ward off an imminent Iranian threat, to pre-empt Iranian retaliation against US assets after an expected Israeli attack on Iran” My issue here is that the international courts in The Hague might side with Iran concerning the seemingly unprovoked attacks by Iran (I know that is hilarious), Iran has been waging proxy wars for decades and that is the power of a proxy war. I reckon that the attacks by Israel and the United States give a bitter taste in the eyes of the law. Israel is decently clear because of all the attacks by Iran via Hamas and Hezbollah, but the idea given “to ward off an imminent Iranian threat” is laughable. It is like New Zealand attacking Australia, the Sopwith Camel doesn’t have the range to cross that distance and as far as I know New Zealand does not have an aircraft carrier. The same applies to Iran. There is no way that an attack can result from Iran. Even Lone Wolf attacks are unlikely to succeed and the United States still has their boy-scout organisations (FBI, CIA, DIA) in place, as such they can either do their job or they cannot. 

As such my speculative view was that the United States needed the oil that Iran has (for now). After failing to get to Canada’s rare earths (the 51st state attempt), Greenland resources (through failed annexation) and Venezuela oil (which is seem simply useless to the United States) the United States are now going for the Iranian oil. After that merely Russian oil remains (and Ukraine is doing something about that too) so what is left? I might be wrong in all this and there is a simple way to show me I am wrong. Merely bomb the 10 refineries. Several sources seemed to side with me on this as we are given ‘GOP Sen. Lindsey Graham Brags ‘We Are Going to Make a Ton of Money’ on Iran War’, which was given to us on March 9th. So as we were given “Graham seemingly suggested that the conflict with Iran as well as President Donald Trump’s abduction of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro aim to help the United States take control over major oil reserves. “Venezuela and Iran have 31% of the world’s oil reserves. We’re going to have a partnership with 31% of the known reserves. This is China’s nightmare. This is a good investment,” he said.” As well as ““We’re going to blow the hell out of these people,” Graham said, adding that “nobody will threaten [the U.S.] in the Strait of Hormuz again.” He also said there could be a collapse of Iran’s leadership. “This regime is in a death throe now, it is gonna be on its knees, it’s going to fall, and when it falls we’re going to have peace like no other time,” he added.” It seems that after 9 days he was proven on nearly all fronts and now that it is out in the open that the United States needs oil (because they have so little at present) there is now the setting that the United States are too broke to seemingly pay their bills and as I see it, the moment the boots come on the ground, the media will report on nearly everything and that will put team Trump/Hegseth in a new folly and in the limelight, Because if I can figure this out in the last decade and now we get that Dave Kelly (JP Morgan, as per OCT2025) can figure this out, you should wonder why others couldn’t figure this out. I get that I am a no one in all this, but David Kelly is the Chief Global Strategist and Head of the Global Market Insights Strategy Team of JP Morgan and he is a voice to consider no matter how you slice it. 

So whilst we now get the Guardian (read: recently) give us “March 2026, Hegseth stated during a press briefing that US forces in Iran would show “no quarter, no mercy” to enemies. Analysts and Sen. Mark Kelly pointed out that a “no quarter” order—meaning to take no prisoners and kill them instead—is a direct violation of international law, specifically Article 23(d) of the 1907 Hague Convention IV.” All whilst media like the Conversation give us “Legal scholars have argued that Hegseth’s actions, particularly regarding the Venezuelan boat strikes and statements on the Iranian conflict, could expose him to investigations for violations of international and U.S. criminal law.” As such I reckon that both President Trump and Pete Hegseth fear the international courts. Iran optionally have a case here (I rely on optional as they have done plenty of bad things, among them attack Saudi Arabia without a formal declaration of war), so it makes sense that Pete Hegseth is in the stage that he wants to trivialize the international courts of law in the Hague, which is set through “The International Court of Justice, or colloquially the World Court, is the principal judicial organ of the United Nations (UN). It settles legal disputes submitted to it by states and provides advisory opinions on legal questions referred to it by other UN organs and specialized agencies. The ICJ is the only international court that adjudicates general disputes between countries, with its rulings and opinions serving as primary sources of international law. It is one of the six principal organs of the United Nations.” It was established in 1945 and it should now confuse all the readers on why António Guterres remains silent on this. It merely gives my thoughts on the United States being broke seeming validity. The person who attacks Israel at any option he gets, remained silent on too many settings we are seeing here. Even the rebuke on the settings of Pete Hegseth ‘attacking’ the international courts should have put him up in arms. There is the smallest notion that the media had not covered it, but I doubt that. As I see it, the seat that António Guterres hold is seen as one of the 100 most powerful seats in the world. It might not be as powerful as that uncomfortable seat that the pope has, but that would be a buttock conversation. 

So I think I have given you something to think about and consider why the bulk of the refineries are left untouched, because that creates the wealth of Iran and isn’t that the superiority of any army? We are given “Sun Tzu’s The Art of War emphasizes that the supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting, making the destruction of an opponent’s economic base (or wealth of a nation) a superior strategy to direct physical conflict. Sun Tzu advises that a protracted war exhausts a state’s resources, dulls weapons, and dampens morale, meaning attacking an opponent’s economic ability to sustain a fight is crucial.” And I wrote about that on March 8th (and before that too, at https://lawlordtobe.com/2026/03/08/ones-creative-process/) the story ‘Ones creative process’ gave you the setting that the harbours and railway of Iran should be destroyed and I was happy to hand the IP that could set that in a certain view of certainty to both Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Because I am just that sort of guy. It is never about personal profit in some stage of war and these two countries were hammered with drones and missiles. As such I did more than talk (are you watching this Pete Hegseth), I delivered. 

So you all have a great day and enjoy the day because Vancouver just joined us this Tuesday. 

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Dangerous Speculation

This article is almost pure speculation. The people said what they did, as they always do, but the dots are connected differently. So as some dots will connect to a degree to one, there is nothing to stop anyone from connect the dots until they see a dragon, so beware. In the first, I have nearly always said that the United States of America was pretty much broke. The problem is that some connect the term ‘pretty much’ to a term thinking it can better that beast, but that is nearly always folly (court jester folly). So when we see that David Kelly gave us that the country is “going broke slowly.” No one really doubted this because going slowly can be almost any timeline. At present, the debt is 38.8 trillion. Then we get three quotes that kinda connect. The first one is “Trump is lying. I serve on the intelligence and armed services committees. There’s no intelligence that Iran posed an imminent threat to the U.S. or the American people” This allegedly comes from congressman Jason Crow. I cannot say for certain that he actually said that, so be aware and I use it, because it fits a picture, let’s say it is one of the dots. Then we get Anne Applebaum saying: “He does lie all of the time. And I find it fascinating (and sick) that he lies even “when he doesn’t need to”” Too many people and fat checks give her setting a thumbs up, but is it really connected? That becomes the question. The third statement comes from Bernie Sanders. He stated “Trump said we had to attack Iran because we can’t allow it ‘to have a nuclear weapon.’ Really? This is the same president who, in June, said: “Iran’s nuclear facilities have been obliterated.’ Vietnam. Iraq. Iran. Another lie. Another war.!” We saw the comments. We saw the outbursts and we saw the stage, Now, I am not saying that Iran is an innocent victim, there is enough to thwart that suggestion. Yet I have always accepted that if you do the right thing for the wrong reason that action becomes the debilitating act of corruption that we all face. I get a different picture. Americas is now (almost) broke, it will have to get its fingers on oil. Canada wasn’t giving up theirs, Europeans and Canadians were blocking America from getting its fingers on the spoils of Greenland and the oil from Venezuela is in the short term useless. So what remains? It is simple Russia and Iran, Iran is ‘relatively’ easy and Israel was able to help because Iran was a clear and present danger to the state of Israel. And now President Trump will accept someone ‘acceptable’ to the United States of America, as this person will allow America to drain the oil from Iran and the son of Ali Khamenei will never suffice. Trump says he wants to be involved in picking Iran’s next leader, and that is the leader that will allow America to drain its resources (at $0.10 per barrel) America is that desperate now (as I personally see it).

It has now and lately always been about the resources. America is as I see it, broke. And that is not a story any President is willing to tell its people, this is what you get when you cannot control Wall Street or the greed of people. And Iran is now paying that price. For the USA, the fact that Iran fired its missiles every where works, because as I see it, Iran isolated themselves perfectly , which works for President Trump, an isolated enemy has no friends to fall back onto and Russia cannot intervene, it has blocked itself and China doesn’t want to get into the middle of this. I reckon that on the side the fact that America is in this predicament works for the long game they have running, because President Trump exposed its weakness. They merely have to make sure that too much of that oil gives nowhere and China will come out victorious.

So is my setting that of the conspiracy theorist? Some say that the dots connected to a unicorn, not the realism that it was an anorexic rhino. When are dots dangerous? Well in the first is comes in waves and it often comes to images that aren’t anything. As such am I right (to a degree) or is the image too distorted due to sources? I let you decide that, but I gave at the beginning that there is a chance that I am writing an article “is almost pure speculation” so be weary of what you accept, even if the sources are spot on. It is one of the dangers of unrelated quotes. 

Have a great day. I am sad as my TV will take almost a week to arrive, no movies, no PS5. My life sucks (at present).

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Today is the difference

That is what people will tell themselves and I would agree, but there is a setting that no one ever expected. You see, America has just had its State of the Union. And the ‘books’ say that the state of the union is:

So we can assume that the Americans will be given a true representation of what is, what might be and what is desired. So we get two sources. First the Dutch NOS who gives us “‘US stronger than ever,’ Trump says in campaign speech riddled with falsehoods” (in Dutch, at https://nos.nl/artikel/2603925-vs-sterker-dan-ooit-zegt-trump-in-campagnespeech-vol-onwaarheden) and to avoid translating the whole enchilada, we can turn to CNN who gives us (at https://www.cnn.com/2026/02/24/politics/fact-check-state-of-the-union) ‘Fact check: Trump makes false claims about the economy, elections and crime in State of the Union’ and CNN fires of the first sinker of whatever battleship opposes it with “Many of them were long-debunked falsehoods familiar from his rallies, interviews and social media posts. These include various lies disparaging the fairness of US elections, his false claim that he ended wars that were never actually wars or never actually ended, and his fictional “$18 trillion” figure for supposed investment in the US over the past year. The subject on which he was most frequently inaccurate was the economy. Among other things, Trump overstated the performance of the economy during this presidential term to date, overstated the inflation he inherited from the Biden administration, used highly misleading figures when discussing gasoline prices, and wrongly asserted, twice, that foreign countries are paying the tariffs that are actually being paid by US importers.” And weirdly enough I get it, a nation that is broke is the most unlikely to state in its statement of the budget “We are destitute, we squandered all you have and the United States doesn’t have anything left, we are a drowning vessel with no hope for shore. It sounds like a passenger on the Titanic that asks “Is land far away?” And the crew member states, no madam, it is a mere 3,800 meters to land. The lady asks what direction she should swim. The crew answers straight down. 

That is the setting as I see it, that the United States of America is in. The 18 trillion is to avoid the discussion of the United States defaulting on its loans, because that will be the next setting to scuttle Wall Street, pension funds and several other funds who have been banking of US Treasury bills. And I am not alone, David Kelly (JP Morgan) stated last October that the United States was going broke slowly, I am no longer convinces that it is going slowly. As the America administration is vying for the next hype, they are banking with funds they no longer have and as I see it, any nation with US treasury bills is about to sell them with a loss and there is no going back. I warned for this for almost a decade and no one wanted to listen. In stead of overhauling the tax system, people started screaming that they should tax the billionaires whist that might merely stop the avalanche that comes for a mere week and it would be unlawful. But that is for another day. CNN also gives us “As of the night of Trump’s address, the White House’s own website said the figure for “major investment announcements” during this Trump term was “$9.7 trillion,” and even that is a major exaggeration; a detailed CNN review in October found the White House was counting trillions of dollars in vague investment pledges, pledges that were about “bilateral trade” or “economic exchange” rather than investment in the US and vague statements that didn’t even rise to the level of pledges.” Sol why did he double it? I reckon that the economy is at a massive decline with waging war on Canada, Greenland and a few other places. Canada and the EU are don’t with him. I personally believe that China is too, there is too much in the recession pipeline, China has won and the United States lost. A war that never had any chance of success. Why? When you consider the ‘innovation’ that some tech companies proclaimed all whist they cannot figure out the innovation that Huawei is sporting, that should be enough and now that we see some political game between OpenAI and Microsoft with hundreds of billions at stake, the AI war is seemingly settled in favour of Google, AWS and IBM. So whilst we get all kinds of innovation speech on how AI can replace COBOL programmers (downgrading IBM stock by 10%), we are unlikely to see that happen, as such IBM stock will repair itself and the proclaimers of that setting (Anthropic) fail to deliver, their basket will be floating down the Nile to the space of a hungry Crocodile. And in all this no one is asking how Anthropic got the trained DML engine that could do this, because if it only went from the manuals, they are in for a big surprise as I see it. IBM programmers got COBOL to cry ‘mommy’ whilst getting 12 statements out of 8 lines. I know it does not make sense, but there is a bigger setting and whilst I only casually did COBOL in 1985, I am in no way an expert. Yes there COBOL AI can run circles around me, not IBM programmers wit decades of experience. And that is merely one of many setting where the America Economy falls flat. And the United States are making it harder on itself with every iteration of tech enterprises that are playing some bluff game and are setting the bar to miscommunication in the 11th hour. That Is how I personally see it and the media is chasing digital dollars, so they are mostly no help. 

Then CNN gives us “Trump claimed gas prices are “now below $2.30 a gallon in most states, and in some places, $1.99 a gallon.” But no state had an average gas price on Tuesday below $2.37 per gallon, according to AAA; only two states had an average below $2.50 per gallon. And while there are some individual gas stations selling gas for below $2 per gallon, they are scarce; Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis for the firm GasBuddy, said during the speech that the firm found just four stations across the country below $2 (aside from special discounts) out of the roughly 150,000 stations the firm tracks, so about 0.003% of the total.” As such we see the state of the union a setting where the United States might actually be broke, I have no evidence to that effect, but it renders correctly with all the other facts we are given and the other settings we have been watching for years. As such today is the difference and I wonder who will actually as the president of the United States whether it is acceptable that the State of the Union was based on incorrect miscommunications. 

A fair question, not?
And now I hear (unverified) that Canada has told StarLink to vacate Canada, its allocated frequencies have been retracted, its hardware must be removed in 60 days and as I see it, that will imply that America gets even less money now. As I stated, this was unverified and asI had only one source, it is not enough. Perhaps I get more data later, but for now, whomever hears that news, take it with a spoonful of salt. 

So have a great day and feel free to question the data your government gives you. 

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It was initially speculation

That is where I was this morning. I had a speculative view on President Trump, but with the news that CBC gave me a few hours later (at https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/trump-gordie-howe-bridge-9.7081924) where we see ‘Trump threatens to block opening of new bridge between Windsor and Detroit’ and it comes with the statement ““I will not allow this bridge to open until the United States is fully compensated for everything we have given them, and also, importantly, Canada treats the United States with the Fairness and Respect that we deserve,” Trump wrote in the post on Monday.” So if people are willing to bite into this one sided setting, beware. The words “until the United States is fully compensated for everything” is a presumptuous setting that I might have been more correct than even I figured out I was. As I see it the United States is out of money, or perhaps more accurately they are scooping the final dollars from the bottom of their coffers and they are now in a day by day setting to figure out what bills to pay and which not (like the Jersey train tunnel) for that story see yesterday’s blog.

I wonder what commerce President Trump thought they had coming from the Gordie Howe bridge. And the ‘sort of’ response that Canada received was “Trump made the threat amid a 299-word post in which he said Canada has treated the U.S. “very unfairly for decades,” complained that the bridge was built “with virtually no U.S. content” and repeated his criticism of Prime Minister Mark Carney “wanting to make a trade deal with China.”” We can snigger all we like against the response which might be considered one of the least intelligent and least fact laden responses that any government has EVER received. And as I see the debt driven United States flex whatever lard they have, we see that these are the final acts of a nation that has no more. It wanted a debt driven society and now you see what it amount to, less then nothing.

Could I be wrong? That is always a fair question and I believe I am. I saw these settings evolve from the stupid attempt to convince that Canada might become the 51st state, then Greenland, after that Venezuelan oil and Venezuela, like a desperate crack whore trying to get one more score. And now that all this is failing they are stopping the Jersey tunnel (for which funding was already achieved before Donald Trump became President Trump and now we see the Gordie Howe Bridge, optionally one of the the last straws that could bring commerce to Detroit. When you see all these settings and after they already shutdown the building of wind farms (some speculated that this was to appease the oil owners). All whilst President Trump is shutting down higher education to some degree. As CNBC gives us with ‘Trump’s ‘big beautiful bill’ may spur significant changes to higher education in 2026 and the rise of ‘un-college,’ experts say’ (at https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/08/trump-big-beautiful-bill-college-education.html) where we see “Ballooning college costs and the student loan debt that goes along with them are partly to blame. New borrowing limits for 2026 under President Donald Trump’s “big beautiful bill” are another factor. Plus, students are increasingly seeking job training and career-driven pathways to secure a foothold in today’s softening labor market.” When you take away the boasting elements we see that the United States can no longer afford the streams they themself instigated and whilst the world is becoming more and more aware that AI does not exist (merely Near Intelligent Parsing (aka NIP) which amounts to DML and LLM) and all these settings are getting a front seat at the legal court cases that are now under advisement. 

We are getting Legal Misconduct/Hallucinations (Australia), Copyright Infringement (Disney and Universal), Training Data Disputes (GEMA won a case against OpenAI), Evidence Issues and AI in Sentencing. Then there is a chance that I have a case against parties in Singapore and the United States over what could be AI abuse of my Intellectual property and whist some ‘claim’ that this could be set to $1,500,000 per case I am looking at an optional 6,000 cases, so I might be wringing my hands fairly soon (unless a deal is made). We are seeing all these events in play all whilst that so called “Trump’s ‘big beautiful bill’” which could be another setting for a ‘dream castle in the sky’ or at least that is how I would like to phrase it. All these elements seem ridiculous, however it amounts to the setting that the United States are out of money and that is before they consider that the $500,000,000,000 towards StarGate LLC might be a wash (basically a massive write-off). If you want to consider that I am wrong, feel free to do so, but I do request that you take a hard look at the fact that the media isn’t giving you because I made mention of this setting as early as July 8th 2024 in ‘Two issues caught my attention’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2024/07/08/two-issues-caught-my-attention/) and I made more mentions earlier than that and the media is ‘caught’ unaware? 

So, do you think that I am merely speculating? Or is there something to be seen? I am not telling, I am asking. I gave my version and you are seeing why is playing. In the first, why would President Trump stop a project that has assigned funds and would secure the new jersey line for another century because he is demanding Penn Station and/or Dulles Airport after him? Are people nuts? There is more in play than the sanity of one man, because if that was true Wall Street would have made a massive outburst in the direction of the White House, but they remain silent. Why? I believe that I was right all along, but I understand that my word might not be much towards others. As such you should investigate yourself, it is only the best you can do. In the meantime, I will stand with my Canadian brethren, because that is what a Commonwealthian does. He (She also) stands with his brothers and sisters.

That is what I have to say over the situation as I see it, it might be speculative, but too many facts seem to feed this speculation. I will leave it up to you to decide if this is a mere speculation or my brain going nuts, or perhaps there is more.

Have a great day today.

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Counterpart of the equation

I saw something this morning that made me giggle. The Sydney Morning Herald (at https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/trump-sues-america-s-biggest-bank-and-its-billionaire-ceo-20260123-p5nwep.html) gives us ‘‘Blacklist’: Trump sues America’s biggest bank and its billionaire CEO’ where we see “President Donald Trump sued JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its billionaire chief executive officer, Jamie Dimon, for at least $US5 billion ($7.3 billion) over allegations that the lender stopped offering him and his businesses banking services for political reasons.” Like a toddler crying that mommy isn’t giving him a popsicle. I personally believe that there is another reason, but that is not how President Trump flies. No, his ego isn’t ready for that yet. Although should the EU collectively dump the US treasury bonds they have he will cry different tune. I was aware of the danger for over 12 years, but David Kelly at JP Morgan gave us (around January 9th) that the USA is going slowly broke and the tantrums that President Trump has been handing out all over the place doesn’t help. Tourism down, Commerce down, services basically gone and that list goes on. So as I see it, what was ‘defined’ as “going broke slowly” might not be so slow anymore. And now we suddenly see that “the lender stopped offering him and his businesses banking services”, I have my doubts. You see, when a customer comes in one bank and that bank states you aren’t welcome anymore that person should state “I’ll take my business across the street”, the fact that President Trump isn’t doing that shows a much larger play that he is preparing for. You see, when the American economy implodes he needs to have all his fish on land. First there was the BBC, then The New York Times and Penguin Random House and that list goes on, as such there is more than a ‘theme’ going on President Trump sees what is coming and he wants to sleep in utter luxury but as I see it, whatever he has in America would become cannon fodder overnight. And for me it is optionally great. When certain players see what Microsoft, Amazon, Google and a few others left lying on the floor. The optional come in (I personally hope Tencent will be among them) as such (as I personally see it) the station of utter BS given to us all by the American administration where I particularly like the quote given to us by Scott Bessent “the U.S. is unconcerned by Treasury sell-off over Greenland and calls Denmark ‘irrelevant’” and the was for $100 million, but the EU has over $2.8 Trillion and that will require a very different response, but as I see it, no one is ‘handling’ President Trump, to the chance of Europe dumping whatever bonds they have is becoming considerable. Then there is the offshoot that Japan will dump the $1.2 trillion bonds they have and vice versa. Should Japan dump whatever bonds they have as the setting for Japan is seemingly more dire than they ever faced, Europe is sure to follow. So as I see it, the American Administration is roughly in a tough spot. As I see it, President Trump pushed for the visibility that JP Morgan Chase is gaining partially due to the underlying setting of David Kelly. What a tangled web we weave ourselves, innit?

So the first question I have for myself is “Could I be wrong?” The answer is yes, definitely. But ask yourself, why does President Trump go for the suing procedure when he could have taken his business across the street of Wall Street towards Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Barclays, UBS, Deutsche Bank, Evercore, Lazard, Jefferies Group, Wells Fargo, BNP Paribas. With that many banks with service in the offering, why take the ‘suing’ route? Political ‘discord’ has existed in financial institutions for decades. As such my path makes a lot of sense (is it enough?). And as it was JP Morgan who alerted us to the ‘broke’ setting the path of suing makes also sense. It comes across as “I warned you not to illuminate our desperate standing” even though I already saw this setting come to the United States in 2013 and the path of Venezuela and Greenland merely sugarcoated the desperate setting the United States is under. For that matter, when this is brought to light be decent journalists the rest of the financial media is pretty much done for. I saw as a non-economist what these overpaid people did not? It will be less then a month when others start screaming the names of the involved stake holders. As such it will be quite the parade and the United States? I reckon that as their infrastructure will implode, it will face a full scale civil war like the Netherlands faced it in the hundred year war (it was part about poverty, hunger and the plague, it went from 1337 until 1453) it wasn’t a complete staged war, but several battles in a short term and it was the daily setting for close to 5 generations. That is what the United States is looking towards and with the weapons we have now, it will be a lot shorter, but the deaths will be on an increasing scale. And as I see it, President Trump sees what is coming, and with the friends he has, he needs to be certain he gets the amount of money so that he can outlast three generations and there is not much place for him outside of America, so he needs to be certain that he gets what he believes he is worth, the best he could hope for in Russia (pretty much his one ally) is a two bedroom flat somewhere in the MKAD (Moscow Ring Road) is pretty much all he can get and as such he needs another option. Perhaps he will go the way of Escape from New York, where the entire island of Manhattan becomes his personal prison, population 3. It isn’t realistic, but any person can dream can’t they?

So whatever the real reason that gave JP Morgan and Jamie Dimon got them their ‘blacklisting’, I have questions and I have doubts. Suing is just so over the top. What would happen if I sue Telstra in Australia as they didn’t want me as a business customer? No matter how valid their reasons were, Australia has Optus, Vodafone, NBN, Aussie Broadband, Superloop, Dodo, Exetel, Swoop, AGL, Origin and that list goes on for a while. The entire America settings feels wrong. And that is merely my view on the matter.

Have a great day today, it’s Friday (yay).

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The Australian play

That is what I am seeing and it comes from Discovery Alert. We are given (at https://discoveryalert.com.au/gina-rinehart-saudi-arabia-exploration-2026/) we are given ‘Gina Rinehart Saudi Arabia Gold Exploration Joint Venture Unveiled’ and as I see it, it is good news for Australia. You see, she is as big as they come. By some estimates she is worth billions and she is listed as one of the 100 most powerful women. (They say that is nice). What is said is that she makes Rio Tinto look like the local grocery shop. I cannot say how that plays out because mining is not my cup of tea (neither is tea for that matter). What does matter that she can forward Australian mining interests and get the Australians to do that work. The article gives us “The global mining industry stands at a critical inflection point where traditional resource-rich nations face increasing pressure to diversify both geographically and strategically. Furthermore, the Gina Rinehart Saudi Arabia exploration play exemplifies how established operators navigate emerging markets that present compelling opportunities for companies willing to tackle complex regulatory landscapes and geopolitical considerations.” So whilst President Trump is making some play for Greenland, the short and sweet of it, that any mining operation will lack staff member (those who can operate a pick).

For the IT people really grasping in the dark on the subject, the image of such a device is shown above. It slightly resembles what you see in Minecraft. And when you consider how Saudi Arabia is diversifying, the quote “Saudi Arabia’s transformation into a major mining destination represents more than economic diversification. The Kingdom’s systematic approach to mineral exploration significance through Vision 2030 creates unprecedented opportunities for international partnerships, particularly with operators possessing proven track records in large-scale project delivery.” As I see it, the Australian Ambassador to Saudi Arabia (most likely in Riyadh) will be dancing in his office because Australia is likely to set the table with a large place setting for Australia. As such there is reason (for Australians) to be joyful. In a time where we are all hindered by American politics and the setting that we see through bully tactics is one that is all about America, but here Australia has the advantage. So whilst we are setting the stage through “The convergence of several macroeconomic forces creates compelling incentives for Australian mining companies to expand into Middle Eastern markets. Saudi Arabia’s mineral endowment remains largely untapped, with geological surveys indicating substantial gold, copper, zinc, and rare earth deposits across the Arabian Shield formation. Vision 2030’s economic diversification mandate allocates significant capital toward mining infrastructure development. Consequently, this creates favourable conditions for international operators. The Kingdom’s commitment to reducing oil dependency drives aggressive timelines for mineral exploration and production.” I would like to ‘translate’ this into In Saudi Arabia, when looking for the settings of Gold and Copper (other minerals too), Australia is the one party to talk to and as I see it, Gina Rinehart made that happen. No American required. Come to think if it, what drove these Americans away from such an opportunity? I get that Mrs Rinehart is in her ‘element’ but there are plenty of others who are that too. Is American (lack of) diplomacy now starting to annoy too many people? I actually don’t know and as my ‘geology’ lessons are basically limited to Minecraft, I have no idea how the moves of Mrs. Rinehart were. So in a time where everyone seems to be digging for rare earths, Australia is making its marker in Saudi Arabia. So we (read: Australians) have plenty to be happy about. 

And whilst the article also gives us:

As such there are plenty of reasons to be happy in these trying days and whilst people lacking geology knowledge (including me) do not see the advantage of: 

What Makes the Nabita Ad-Duwayhi Gold Belt Commercially Attractive?

The Arabian Shield represents one of Earth’s oldest continental formations, containing Archean and Proterozoic geological structures with documented gold mineralisation.
The Nabita Ad-Duwayhi Gold Belt specifically exhibits structural controls consistent with world-class orogenic gold deposits.

And as I see it, the message to America becomes “You snooze, you lose” which is something that Mrs. Rinehart wasn’t doing as she is now involved in the Joint Venture with Saudi Arabia.

You know it feels good to write positive things, things I had no control or influence over. I am just a happy writer making you aware that (as I personally see it) Mrs. Rinehart will be needing a lot of miners in the near future. 

So you all have a great day and it is almost time to make myself a plate with pasta, as much I am shutting down for the evening.

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The other direction

I have been upset for a few days as President Trump keeps on his bully horse and started to claim yesterday that those who oppose the annexation of Greenland will face tariffs. I don’t agree and I don’t accept that. But who am I? I am a nobody, my word doesn’t count. But I do have a sharp mind and I suddenly realized that there is another path for miners. You see, at present Discovery Alert gave us yesterday ‘Saudi Arabia Mining Investment: $110 Billion Plan Transforms Economy’, that I a noble setting and it allows miners who don’t like the Trump approach to Greenland to select another path. A nation that is using 110,000 million, is likely to have need for miners. The article (at https://discoveryalert.com.au/saudi-arabia-mining-investment-2026-critical-minerals/) gives us “The convergence of artificial intelligence expansion, renewable energy infrastructure, and digital transformation creates extraordinary pressure on mineral resources that were previously considered secondary commodities. This supply-demand imbalance fundamentally reshapes investment priorities, with institutional capital increasingly flowing toward jurisdictions that can deliver both resource security and operational efficiency. Against this backdrop, Saudi Arabia mining investment has emerged as a focal point for international attention, positioning the Kingdom as a strategic alternative to traditional mining powerhouses” also gives us “Geological surveys across the Arabian Peninsula reveal substantial untapped mineral deposits spanning multiple commodity classes. The Arabian Shield region, covering approximately 650,000 square kilometres, contains significant concentrations of both traditional mining commodities and critical minerals essential for energy transition technologies. These formations represent billions of years of geological activity that concentrated valuable mineral deposits across diverse terrains.

Recent exploration campaigns have identified promising zones for copper, gold, zinc, and rare earth elements. The geological diversity extends from volcanic-hosted massive sulphide deposits to sediment-hosted copper systems, providing multiple exploration targets across different mineralisation styles. This geological complexity creates opportunities for diversified mining portfolios rather than single-commodity developments.” When you are mining over 650,000 Sq/km there is probably a need for more than a dozen miners and that is where these people not too savvy on Greenland as a destination, to select the warm beaches of Saudi Arabia (they have really large beaches). So when we see mentions like ‘Mining Diversification Strategy’ I reckon that they will need manpower before too long and doesn’t that suck for President Trump? A setting where people get to chose where to work. Its a brand new day. And this is in the kingdom of Saudi Arabia, they don’t need to share anything with the USA, it is all for the kingdom. 

So while some people will ‘like’ to work and get into the good graces of President Trump. I foresee a larger play, especially when he is no longer in office (in 1099 days). I foresee a witch-hunt that we haven’t seen since Joseph McCarthy (1950) and this time it will be the democrats, so if you have a MAGA hat, you better play duck and cover, because it will be an uneasy time for any of these MAGA people, but beside that, all who catered to the needs of President Trump will be held under a loop and very precisely looked at. I don’t think that is right, but I get the sentiment behind this. So anyone with a different option would be in a decent place to accept whatever they can. And it is not just Saudi Arabia who is digging for rare earths, but they are the people with the coin and the area to explore. 

And that is not the only setting, as I see it, Saudi Arabia also has plans in the “Aluminium production, which requires reliable bauxite supplies and substantial energy inputs for smelting operations. Saudi Arabian bauxite resources combined with competitive energy costs create advantages for integrated aluminium production. This vertical integration captures value across the complete supply chain. Processing facility development emphasises environmental best practices and energy efficiency to maintain competitive positioning. Advanced smelting technologies reduce energy consumption while minimising environmental impacts. These improvements support long-term operational sustainability.” So as I see it, they will need more than miners. I reckon that plenty of jobs can be done by local Saudis, but some of the specialized people have a chance and they also need to train local population, so that comes (as I see it) with a second pay check, so in a time where the economy is bristling with dangers, Saudi Arabia could holding the better paycheck for people to consider. 

As I see it, the other direction is a lot more appealing in the long run, because as I see it, the American Administration doesn’t really think of the long run and I proved that with the previous article. 

So have a great day and I am almost at Sunday (a mere 150 minutes away). So enjoy today and if you are in Toronto, its almost Saturday Brekkie time, as such I wouldn’t mind being there and have another brekkie (then return to Sydney for a second breakfast).

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A call to arms

That is at the foundation of my thinking. When I saw the news ‘Trump threatens new tariffs on countries opposed to Greenland takeover’ (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9qpy952xvno), Al Jazeera gave nearly the same news, something cracked in me. I became agitated and as such something has to be done. We can threaten with arms, but my skill (beside a marksman) has always been my insight in data. And as Such I am calling the following persons to active duty of a sort.

There might be more, but they would fall under the ‘all other’ mention that the US Treasury has, it would be nice if China and Japan would stand with the EU and Nato, but they have their own ponds to worry about. But these people control $2.8868 Trillion in US Treasury bonds and with America now threatening those who stand with Denmark and Greenland with tariff sanctions, there comes a need to show that man who has the power and it is not him. As such I am kindly asking these people to sell (or dump) all the treasury bonds they have and give President Trump a decent headache of nearly 3 trillion dollars. 

I reckon that he will sing a very different tune soon enough. The entire setting of ‘national security’ is just an excuse for something else and I have voiced my concern more than once, but in this case it is a simple setting of “President Donald Trump on Friday threatened to place tariffs on nations that do not go along with his ambitions to annex Greenland.” And I feel for Denmark and as such it is time to turn the play around, because with additional trillions, America will get a new severe headache. One that they cannot run from because they never controlled their spending habit. I agree it is a bit much, but seeing that most of us are being made redundant whilst we see this happening and the media is going along with whatever story they are handed from the power players I a little bit too much for me, and as such I propose this solution. 

Perhaps this will wake up the American Administration into playing nice, there is only so much we are willing to accept. So have a great day, it is 05:30 here now and I am currently done with sleeping. It sucks to be me.

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