Tag Archives: Saudi Arabia

January 3, 2023 · 16:25

Plough through the middle

That is where I find myself. There are two issues on my mind. The first is that I have a definite plot twist for Residuam Vitam (the plot is isn’t everything) but it still matter to the story to have that twist, the ploy no one sees in the beginning and when you ponder it it will make sense. It is like that theft, where in the end things seemingly go sideways, but only if you see it from one side, the other side is the one many overlook. That is where I was. 

As such
Ereshkigal was pondering the field she stood in, she saw from here to almost eternity and the field was in disarray. It was the nuance she saw and she had been staring at that nuance since the beginning of time. So she saw any item out of place and the field was starting to skew, it did not take her long to see how it was skewing and something had to be done. She focussed for a mere fraction of a moment and that was all that was needed. As she was looking at the field something walked into her existence. It was Tia that appeared. Tia looked around, she had been here before, but to be asked to come was new to her. She bowed to Ereshkigal. Ereshkigal pointed at the field and asked ‘What do you see?’ Tia looked around and saw the field, she saw all that was and she saw the edges of what was now. She looked again and stared more intensely now. She saw nothing, she saw the patterns, she saw the colours and she saw what as once the people and then she saw the introduction of some sort of cacophony. It was the best she could see. She responded ‘Some form of chaos, a cacophony of sorts’ Ereshkigal nodded. A chaos through absence and even as I am not yet clear on the how and who are involved, the creation of this chaos will have larger impact to all of us, we must act. She then stared at Tia and told her what must be done and who was chosen for this. ‘Do you agree?’ Tia had to think it over for a moment. She was aware on interactions, she had done it many times, but now it was a rare event that involved a living person, a person linked to the Huron spirit no less. She nodded to Ereshkigal. ‘It will be done’ and Tia vanished. 

It was the deep of darkness, it was around 03:30, the detective was asleep, but suddenly she wasn’t really asleep anymore. She was asleep lying in her bed watching herself and a man in a chair next to it. The man spoke, hello little utehke, the voice spoke out and she recognised the voice of her father who left her many years ago, so she knew she was asleep, but the bedroom was perfect, with the extra man. Father? She asked. No little utehke, but he is what you see. He joined me a long time ago. Listen for there is little time. There is something happening and it is impacting all lives. I cannot tell you specifics, but I can help. Be calm now, this does not hurt, but it will not be comfortable. And with that the detective suddenly felt noxious, she saw the hand of her father in her head and slowly it felt like it was in her head. Then the head slowly retracted. Sleep now, you feel better soon. You will see more now and it will help you, it might even save you. Learn first do not act rash, too much relies on it and slowly the room where she was watching herself was dissolving and the room turned black and she fell in a deep sleep, unaware what was happening around her. She was for all intent and purpose dead for the smallest moment of time and in that moment another world was revealed to her and she saw almost everything. But the mind, the mortal mind does not like that view and the mind protected itself in the only way it knew. It closed off and reset itself and in that moment the new flavours of mortality invaded her mind and took root in her where the mind, the eye, the ear and the nose met. And she continued on the dreamless sleep she started on, a little different, but still the detective she once was.

What is wealth?
It is the second part that has also occupying my mind. It was given to us by the BBC (at https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-64142662) where we get ‘Third of world in recession this year, IMF head warns’ there is an issue (I always will have at least one) and lets have that summary.

“It comes as the war in Ukraine, rising prices, higher interest rates and the spread of Covid in China weigh on the global economy.” Yes they are elements, but the war in the Ukraine will mostly affect Russia and Ukraine most of all, not much more beyond that. Well, more on the Russians as they lose more and more of its citizens. As such I have issues with “We expect one third of the world economy to be in recession”, as such my automated answer is ‘What third’ Which nations? And the shallow “Even countries that are not in recession, it would feel like recession for hundreds of millions of people”, so now we add ‘feels like recession’? Why is that? What is really happening? What are you the procrastinating source for? Then we get “China, the world’s second largest economy, would face a difficult start to 2023” there is another issue. I am not saying that this is not the case, I have no data to counter that, but China has been playing a long game and that is a different kind of fish. Now that it is reeling in commerce gains from Saudi Arabia and optionally Egypt as well, the silk road is getting primed for completion. A new stage of commercial China that we were warned about and it is getting her faster because stupid people (UK and US) played the wrong game and now that China is moving in these two players are missing out on dozens of billions for their economy and it goes straight to China. That I saw two years ago (perhaps three) but these two players were all about how wrong I was and how it would not go there. As such no one saw the danger when Al Jazeera gave us three weeks ago ‘China, Saudi Arabia cement ties with deals including Huawei’ whatever the west gave us was emotional mumbo jumbo with trivialisation, as well as ‘How Saudi Arabia’s crown prince snubbed Biden repeatedly to forge ties with authoritarian China and Russia’ a mere two days ago which came from Business Insider. And the voice of Jon Alterman adds “they both agree that a unipolar world led by the United States would undermine their interests” a United States trivialised by one simple sentence and China is stepping in. The US and the UK made it happen, they catered to idiots (in case of the UK that would be the CAAT) and there are a few in the US. It led to a shift of well over $35,000,000,000 in funds from both towards China and that is merely the beginning. 

The 5G stages that are Huawei are now finding its stage through China and as I see it Egypt is a new choice as well, it now sets the Huawei 5G stage going West of Egypt to East of Saudi Arabia in one nice swoop and Saudi Arabia is about to own it all (via STC that is). When I mentioned that STC would be a force to watch in 5G two years ago people telecom people no less, called me a joke, a freaking joke no less and that is no longer the case, this is about to happen and when the data centres are added Saudi Arabia officially becomes a power player in 5G and on the world stage. The STC what was initially a 35 million group and as such ignored by too many is about to become a voice will well over 175,000,000 people attached for data and voice making it well over twice the size of British Telecom and that is merely the start, when this connects to Neom the damage will add and add and it takes power away from US, UK and European players and I reckon that by 2026 the electronic show in Germany has STC as a main attraction and at that point the growth will really start. Ahead of the 2030 vision Saudi Arabia will be making its international mark in several market places and it was all due to stupid people. When they had an option they were all high and mighty with voices like ‘They will always need us’ but that stage is now hanging, that is now becoming yesterday’s news and whilst these people will try to ‘persuade’ Saudi customers to some kind of bauble race, China will add real value to the table and that race will conclude with the Americans staring at some wooden spoon and no recourse left.

Here is my issue. As we see “The IMF is an international organisation with 190 member countries. They work together to try to stabilise the global economy. One of its key roles is to act as an early economic warning system” is seemingly incorrect. I would alter it into “The IMF is an international organisation with 190 member countries. They work together to try to stabilise the global economy for the US and EU as much as possible. One of its key roles is to act as an early economic warning system when its friends are threatened” and then we consider “For the next couple of months, it would be tough for China, and the impact on Chinese growth would be negative, the impact on the region will be negative, the impact on global growth will be negative” and my response would be, no toots (Kristalina Georgieva), you saw it wrong, the data you present is correct, it is the gains that follow that makes China the winner, and these gains are not part of anything you present are they? It was the long game and the Chinese are really good at their long game. So where is the European response to the Silk Road, that news you catered to months ago on how there was an answer. There was none and now you are against a wall with nowhere to go but some cushy retirement place and watch the changing of the guards as China becomes the new president of that world economy. You played the wrong game, you catered to the stupid voices and China was fine with that because they had time. The Huawei/Saudi link wasn’t ready but now that it is the stage changes by a lot and still that link is well over 500% faster than anything the US has to offer and that difference will tilt the economic scales by a lot, and I reckon that the first companies will change to a better setting soon thereafter. I reckon that it takes less than 10% of these companies to change ‘some loss’ to critical recession points, and there is an upside. I saw and wrote about it two years ago, so there will be a record and I get to slap you with it every time around. Because these ‘voices’ with claims need to be set into the limelight and with every answer in the trend of ‘It is difficult’ I will gain a step on that ladder and whenever they rely on ‘There were miscommunications’ I gain two steps. It was never rocket science, it was about the reality of data, not the story these people gave their shareholders. And to illustrate that part reconsider what I wrote yesterday and now consider two hints “Orson Welles” and “1975”, now that tory takes a massive turn to the right, does it not? To do the game of peekaboo with an actual ghost is a lot more satisfying. There is nothing like a gasser whilst the other person has a cardiac arrest in the process. Try it, it is so satisfying. 

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January 2, 2023 · 17:25

That one question

Yes, we always have that, one more question, one question to start with, the list goes on. I am no different, but I tend to base it on facts that I am exposed to. And the Guardian gave me (at https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2023/jan/01/russia-ukraine-war-live-zelenskiy-vows-to-keep-up-fight-amid-new-wave-of-russian-missile-attacks) ‘Russian claims its missile attacks are targeting drone production while Zelenskiy vows to keep up fight’. And here I merely saw this as another article. But after a few moments a few thoughts came up in my mind and they led to questions. So lets take you through these motions. 

Russia claimed its strikes against Ukraine on New Year’s Eve, including the launch of more than 20 cruise missiles, killing at least three people, were targeting its neighbour’s drone production.

So lets just say (a far stretch) that this is what they are trying to do. Consider that more than 20 missiles is at a price of $1.5 million dollars, making this a $30 million dollar strike. They got nothing, merely the death of 3 people (not saying that is a good thing), but the math then gets us that Ukrainians die at $10 million per casualty, implying that with a population of around 44 million, the cost of killing the Ukrainian population will set the Russians back by about 440,000,000,000,000. Which amounts to 440,000 billion dollar, which is about 150 times more than the Russian state can cough up. So they will be broke long before they made a dent in their ‘Wishlist’. 

If we reject that (fair enough) the fact that over 20 missiles did not do the job, implies two possibilities.

  • In the first, the missiles are so inaccurate, they will hit everything except for what they aim for, a laughable situation.
  • In the second, it is not an accuracy issue, it implies that the GRU and/or FSB cannot correctly verify and correctly capture intelligence. 

Either is reason for the Ukrainian Paddington bear (Zelenskyy) to slap the Russian bear silly (again and again). 

And there is cause for wondering why the media is not seeing that bigger picture. But I am all about humour and there is a lot to be gotten here. You see, a year ago (December 14th 2021) I wrote a solution to meltdown Iranian nuclear reactors. I gave it to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (via email) as I felt it was important for someone to stand by them and let Iran know that they have a bigger problem than they think they have. And as their reactors are based on Russian design, the idea came that if it works on one (there are a few little issues with my solution) it will also work on the other. And as Russia is about to recruit even more people, they might be better off sending them to guard the 38 reactors they have (just a thought). They have been making threats about using nuclear power. My solution is less complex. I just put the solution online and let anyone hating the Russians enough to take a stab at it, solves everything (as I personally see it).

That would of course invite one more question and that is fine. But the inactions of certain governments are no longer acceptable to me and these pro-Russian wankers in the Netherlands (Thierry baudet), the UK (Tommy Robinson) and a few more are getting under my skin too, I reckon one massive setback for Russia will set these roaches back to wherever they usually hide.

So what is easier than to hand a solution to the internet and let the Russians go nuts trying to monitor Georgians, Chechnya’s and a few more Russian speaking people who have had enough and see this as a solution and there are a fair amount of Russians there as well, the moment they get to even one reactor  Russia will have no other option but to pull back or hand a nuclear offensive and with their current hardware settings, there is a chance over 30% will not function, as such whatever hits Russia will end Russia. A simple solution, not?

Lets be clear, this is not a good solution, I know this, but at some point people have had enough of the lies and acts of terror that come FROM Russia. And Russia needs to wake up to the consideration that people have had enough of them and that TV show on ‘expansionism’ will have far reaching issues. Is my solution good? Of course it is not, but there are too many flaccid politicians not doing enough to stop Russia, so I decided as a near retirement citizen to up the game a little. Or as the Cheshire Cat stated “When is a croquet mallet like a billy club? I’ll tell you: Whenever you want it to be!” A more academic version is “If the results do not match the hypothesis, change the question to make it match”, a favourite stage in Market Research storytellers. And there we have the setting and it will lead to more questions. Hopefully in Russia someone will ask “Is the mess President Putin hands to us worth the mess we are about to receive?”, well that is up to them, we can only show them where that window is and let them decide to use it as a point of entry towards another solutions. 

If that one question got them there, I actually end up doing more than a dozen flaccid politicians, not bad for a storyteller and inventor on minimum wage. How much do each of these flaccid politicians get?

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December 31, 2022 · 21:18

At the finish of the year

Until about 5 minutes ago I was unclear whether I would touch this. You see Football is not my game. It just isn’t hockey (the real version, on ice) . I am not a fan of the game, never was. I sometimes watch part of a game and there is no call to national teams either. But for me, like for a whole lot of people, our world was abruptly called to a halt. On the 22nd November 2022 the game changed. Saudi Arabia defeated Argentina, a result no one saw coming and I reckon that a lot of people lost a lot of money gambling on that game. On the 22nd of November Saudi Arabia became a contender in football.

So whilst I see all these news items and BS tweets on how Ronaldo ‘betrayed’ the game, how he became a mercenary and a lot more rubbish, the bulk of the people are missing the point. You see being a sportsman on THAT level has a limited timeline. You can only be the best in the world for a limited time. OK, lets just say he is one of the three in the top of that game (apparently for some unknown reason no one in Argentina thinks he is the best in the world). But even if he is one of three on that top level, it has an expiration date, and he is no longer a teenager, he needs to keep his future safe. So he can continue on that streak (being paid decently well), or he can take an insane amount of money, being set for life and shaping football for Saudi Arabia. What would you do? Continue on a timeline with half a dozen prima donna’s, or create a dozen Ronaldo’s? Getting over a quarter of a billion each year doing so?

This is not merely the money (but it is nice to have a safe retirement 20 years in advance), he can shape the game for Saudi Arabia. This year they amazed EVERYONE, so what do you think will happen when Cristiano Ronaldo, the Number 7 trains the Saudi’s and in 2024 THEY end in the quarter finals? What a legacy to create and for Saudi Arabia, what an achievement to get. But we do not see any of that in all the newscasts or tweets, merely some SBS news girl standing pretty (and not much more) stating how sad she is, so why is she sad? Do we care? 

We saw the beginning of the game changing to a degree we never saw coming and Ronaldo, the number 7 can add spice to that equation and get over a dozen players a lot closer to the upper level of football than ever before. FIFA is about to get a new contender in this game and it is not a European team, yet that too is left unmentioned. So as I saw the sad amount of innuendo and attacks on number 7, I decided to write this. Consider this point of view, reject it, or form your own opinion, but think back to November 22nd. Did you see that game coming? I sure as hell didn’t and it was the subsequent deal with Al Nassr of Saudi Arabia where a new age of football is heralded in, heralded in by a Portuguese, Vasco da Gama would be proud of this day. At this point I wonder what the Saudi team will achieve in 2024, in Mexico because that will be a world cup no one wants to miss at this point.

 

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December 25, 2022 · 11:41

Ring around the currency

There is a stage, a stage I walked and it does not concur the news. The news given to us (or me at least) through ‘Saudi Crown Prince launches program to enhance digital infrastructure, creative work’ (at https://ara.tv/gkurj) from Al Arabiya. You see, the Saudi Consulate (through, I imagine orders from the royal house) stated that only partnerships can be considered. Yet creative work does not reckon on partnerships. The fact that Google and Amazon were clueless on what they saw, or they rejected this implies the folly, or the reduced impact of such a stance. We are also given “the creation of an intellectual property ecosystem that supports innovation and a creativity-based economy, the Saudi Press Agency reported on Thursday.” It cannot work as I see it. You see, partnerships implies that the partner will hold part of the IP, or the IP will become a whole lot more expensive, so when I offered a safe space for (an expected) 900 million Muslims this so called National Intellectual Property Strategy (NIPST), will reportedly play a part in achieving the objectives of the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 would have needed to wake up (as I personally see it) and they did not, or the people waking it up, showing what is out there should have been alerted and they were not. I reckon that a safe space for 900 million Muslims should have woken the NIPST right up, it did not. On their side we can argue that it did not wake up Google or Amazon either, so it is not entirely on them. The idea that a new power player arrives should have woken the two up, or lose it to that wannabe Microsoft, but none of them woke up. So why is that?

I personally see it as a failure to identify a new innovative solution that ignores established foundations, because those foundations are rotten. As such a intellectual property strategy, a national one would not hope to have a real chance into becoming the power player. It will get a foothold, it will get IP, but only at the setting of the limited sight, which is a strategy and could be a strategy but not a true innovative one. The true innovators laugh at limitations, they laugh at established orders (especially rotten ones) and they create new foundations, stronger foundations. It is my personal believe that the foundation set to almost 1 billion Muslims should be seen as a sturdy start to something none of them have played to for a very long time. Decades to say the least, but that is my personal view. Those who hold the rotten foundations will not agree and will even less approve of my thinking. The longevity of their rotten foundations requires as many people as possible, too little and the rotten structure reveals itself and that is their fear, they invested lots of money in that foundation and when it gets exposed their value goes straight from penthouse to basement. A setting I saw coming close to three ears ago, before the first Covid lockdown, I was already on these pages and when we add the news from the BBC (at https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-business-63906654) where we are given ‘Cost of living: Recruitment slows for game developers’. Here we see “There are 2,200 games firms in the UK, supporting 73,300 jobs The industry adds £5.26bn in GVA (gross value added) to the UK economy each year” now think for a second. How many AAA games were released in 2022, how many of them were British? 2200 gaming firms? How many rely on funny money (advertisement money) for them to get a few dollars, pounds or Euros? If only 10% of these UK firms relies on ‘real’ games it will be a lot. But that side is not one that the UK focuses on, are they? And it comes to blows when we get to “The value of the UK consumer games market reached a record £7.16bn in 2021” Yet my innovative solution, the one that the NIPST was never shown takes that one out of the equation, a billion (or more) Muslims that are not exposed to these advertisements, so how much is that costing these 2200 developers? Safe space is the next thing and when it comes it all ends for these £7.16bn funny money wielders and it will hit Google and optionally Amazon as well. That is the innovation that the NIPST was never shown, interesting evolution, is it not? And that is not merely on the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It is a global problem now, greed dictates innovation, an option it was never allowed or expected to do ever before. Why is that? Why is it now? It is because the fakers until they make it never ending up making anything, an economy founded and adhered to fakers with powerpoint presentations, seeking ‘yay’ sayers and not much more.

Well enjoy Christmas Day and realise that it never grew up through Toddler toys and it was never raised through baby food nourishment tables. That we did to ourselves, we created economies founded on funny money and certification enabling wannabe’s and in the digital age that foundation is about to collapse. If I am the first many more will question the values from fakers and wannabe’s soon enough. And after that? Well consider that the UK has 2200 game developers, there is Sony, Nintendo, Microsoft, Apple and mobile developers. So how many are where? How many are streamers and now consider what that 7 billion revenue is actually hoping for? Not a person enjoying games, because 20 advertisements an hour takes the fun out of gaming, but you figured that out, did you not? Now lets see where the NIPST will end with its current strategy. And consider how many of these developers are actually aiming for safe space?

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December 21, 2022 · 22:42

The question remains

I got news about 10 hours ago from Al Arabiya. There we are given ‘Saudi Arabia approves draft agreements on atomic energy, economic crime’ (at https://english.alarabiya.net/News/saudi-arabia/2022/12/21/Saudi-Arabia-approves-draft-agreements-on-atomic-energy-economic-crime)

The article gives us a few items that require the limelight, even as the western papers give it no attention, the event described here is one with a lit of impact.

  • members approved a framework agreement to cooperate with Morocco in “the field of peaceful uses of atomic energy”
  • a draft Memorandum of Understanding with Uzbekistan to help allow the countries to exchange of information “related to money laundering, terrorist financing and related crimes,”
  • a draft agreement with Greece, to foster cooperation in health between the countries, 
  • a draft agreement with Italy to help encourage direct investments between the countries, and a draft agreement with Ghana to develop non-oil exports between the states.

These are the four big ones, there are four more. And when you consider the map, we see that within a year the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia will be the largest economic partner for the important parts of North Africa, Egypt, Morocco and as ties are stronger connected with Tel Aviv, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is now the powerhouse in the Mediterranean. Greece, Italy and soon better ties with Turkey. This was always going to happen, I predicted it, but my view was that this was 3-4 years away. It seems I missed the target by at least 2 years. 2023 will open the doors and I reckon that larger gains will be Made in 2024. Saudi Arabia is now in a setting where it will be able to drive commerce that is not oil based soon enough and stronger than ever before. 

And that is before you see the steps that China is opening up, but it also implies that China is a lot stronger to become the defence dealer of choice, billions and billions of dollars that are about to be lost to the EU and US. I warned them that this was coming and now the steps of making sure it happens will become a reality. It does not make me happy as I miss out on my 3.75% bonus check and on $27,800,000,000 that is a lofty loss. Such is life!

Now there is a second stage in play, the article does not bear it out, but I reckon that the Kingdom Holding Company will get a few other options going their way. I do not know how, but the Kingdom loves partners in this (I learned that at the Saudi Consulate several weeks ago). What is in play is that there are several options for Israeli growth. Not just the NSO group, but NICE with their CXone platform will set a larger stage of cloud centres for the Line and Neom. From there as they make their solution more Arabic, they will get a handle on several fields in several nations. And we all see the stages as they evolve, well that is if you read English Saudi News casts, the west seems to filter it away and when we see too much of this, it becomes a joke what the west is and has been the last decade. Filtering news information was never a good idea and you are about to see why. Saudi Arabia is active in growing business in Egypt, Morocco, Greece, Italy, Indonesia, and China. Consider the loss of revenue for the EU and the US? Is no one asking questions? And this is merely what can be seen for 2023. I reckon that several nations will go into crises mode in the next week, because some of them were moved from consideration column A to column C. Only a blind person ignores is and one with an oversized ego ignores it. When will we learn that we cater to the players who have it and the US doesn’t have it, and the EU has even less at present. There is every indication that by 2025 the Saudi Telecom Company will be the biggest player in North Africa and the Middle East. This will have larger implications when Indonesia is added to that network. It was a simple cascade stage and it is about to become a reality. From there there is every chance that the STC will enter Europe as a new player and one wielding a formidable bat. That is what I see as optional changes. So whilst we see the EU and US with contracting economies, we get to see another one grow and it is about to grow by a lot.

Have fun!

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December 12, 2022 · 22:21

Mashed faith

That is the setting I am in. To be clear, I do not think I am in a good place right now. There is the abundance of islamophobia. There is the abundance of far right whiners, there is JustStopOil and the list goes on. To be honest I am a little at a loss on how to solve it. There is a creative idea that is forming but it is extreme to say the least. 

The first drops
In the first stage we take a look at far right person Rasmus Paludan. He is stirring hatred on many levels, the Swedish police is trying to stop him, but it is not working. He is item one. Item two id Dutch anti-islam movement Pegida, they too have made claims of burning a Quran. To stop these first drops of inciting much more anti Islamic violence I call on ALL the Arabic nations to reduce oil shipments to the EU by 500K barrels a day (250K for each and whilst these people are still alive). When the EU has to deal with the reduced oil shipments they might finally do something. And for any far right anti Islamic activity an additional 250K barrels a day are taken from the stockpile and where they go is up to these nations, to China is most likely as they require (and have requested) more oil. 

Is it fair?
No, and that is not what matters. You see this world is becoming a powder keg and we either harshly reduce the danger, or we control how it implodes, minimising casualties. These governments have had years to do something about it and they keep on screwing things up, so lets give them in incentive. This is one way and there are others, but I need to make sure that the people start seeing where the real power is and it is not in the US and not in the EU, not anymore. So we need to make sure that the implosion is directed and directing it to the far right makes perfect sense in this case. 

We are now in a dangerous stage. You see the Catholic churches have shown to be too unreliable. There is corruption, sexual abuse against minors and we saw less than a month ago that this was known all the way to the top of the Vatican a decade ago. There is now a much larger stage to massively separate church from state and it becomes massively important to reduce christian powers all over these governments. And whilst they still enjoy too many benefits of their transgressions we ned to do something. Like in politics is is about alliances and now the atheists and Muslim populations make one massive alliance, outranking christians by a lot. We can sit back and do nothing or set the stage how it really is. Not to the loudmouthed abusers, but to the people who are truly in power and it is not Strasbourg and it is not Washington DC. No matter how we slice and dice it we are running out of time to act, if there is one clear signal than that has been the signal that JustStopOil has been sounding and we see that the people have had enough in London, Munich and Paris. And we better do something clear before this all explodes, because that danger is getting bigger by the day. 

Are there better actions? I feel certain that there are, yet I do not see them and the governments are not acting as they should, as such my method comes to the top, not because it is better, but though a lack of real alternatives. Time is no longer our friend, that time has passed.

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December 12, 2022 · 10:44

Dopey and Grumpy, still dwarves

That is the setting and it is a strange setting, but it relates to ‘When it rains we call the kettle black’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2022/12/11/when-it-rains-we-call-the-kettle-black/) which I wrote two days ago. Yet I did not know there was more, and just now I come across ‘Saudi Arabia demanded defense firms set up in country by 2024. So far, most seem unmoved’ (at https://breakingdefense.com/2022/12/saudi-arabia-demanded-defense-firms-set-up-in-country-by-2024-so-far-most-seem-unmoved/), to be honest, I had heard some stuff in that direction, but I was unaware of how deep it went, and now I see “as long as it is related to the government contracts, they will have to have their regional headquarters here”, with the added “analysts said that the biggest players appear confident they can find workarounds — including the use of local partnerships and subsidiaries, as they’ve done in other countries — to keep the market open” and there the stupid factor comes into play. You see the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has had enough of fake allies, fake commitments and now China is ready to make commitments and as the KSA is moving towards the 2030 mark of 50% in country defence and China is willing to play nice, the US is set to lose a whole lot of revenue. So there is your workaround, greedy and stupid working in cahoots like Grumpy and Dopey, both sides of a currency that has no meaning where they are, it is the sales prospects that counts and they are giving it all to China. You can only be the biggest player if you sell and there were markers for sale events and now there is a clear understanding in strategic papers no less that China is moving into sales column A. So when we think through what Breaking Defense gave us on December 8th, the US better realise that the age of pretending to do something and doing something else as a workaround is ending and it is ending really quickly. So when we see the larger players like Lockheed Martin, Raytheon Technologies, Northrop Grumman, Leonardo, Thales, and General Dynamics. What happens when the representative $27,000,000,000 goes to China? Twenty Seven Billion no longer to the US, the dollar will take another dive and more importantly, the design of their stealth planes required some Saudi Funds, when they go to the Chengdu J-20, the impact will be seen all over the US, EU and NATO. I made mention of these dangers as early as September 2021. The fact that some American Fat Cats were playing stupid with a customer paying billions is a little new, but there is no surpassing the union of stupid and ego, it makes for a nice package, one that China could be enjoying a lot more than they figured on. And there is a chance that the strategic union between Saudi Arabia and China will go that far. Not only will the US lose their Middle East stage, they will in that same action lose whatever benefits they had in Egypt as well. And just to remind you on a speculative side. If China buys in this deal 2 million barrels a day from the American stack, the US is in deep manure. It does make the grass grow in Texas, but that is pretty much all it does. 

As such the last week has given us all kinds of revelations via several media sources. But the larger news is that State secretary Pompeo gives us ‘Xi’s visit to Saudi Arabia a result of “bad American policy”’ and the bad news merely stacks. Yes Saudi Arabia is not squandering the connections with the US, their words and they are right. The US themselves are squandering it to China by playing chicken with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia to appease their ego’s, and that is what is clearly in place and will shown over the next 13 months. You see, there will not be any 11th hour changes, if these regional HQ’s are not in place by December 2023 China will end up with a massive chunk of Saudi defence spending. China is happy with it, will the US be? I doubt it, but they catered to ego, so there you have it. It does not matter who Dopey and Grumpy are, in the end they were merely dwarves and as I see it, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is willing to make a large change and it will cost the US, it will cost them so much. I wonder how they will spin this loss, because at present that is exactly what it will become. A loss to their ally list, a loss to their economy and a loss of income. All handed to China for the mere satisfaction of ego. Government handed partnerships to players like Microsoft, Sony, Samsung and a few other players for the cumulative sum of a mere 1% of that, did you think the Saudi Government wasn’t keeping tabs? Silly bunnies!

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December 11, 2022 · 00:00

When it rains we call the kettle black

Yup an amalgamation of expressions and in this case it is a little more applicable than expected. You see a mere 11 hours ago I wrote in ‘Ruler of law goes metric’ “should the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia want it and limit the shipments of Crude Oil by an additional mere 1 million barrels a day, the US will explode in a stage of anarchy” (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2022/12/10/ruler-of-law-goes-metric/) and 7 hours ago we get from the ABC ‘China promises to buy more Middle East oil, urges Arab leaders to replace the dollar with yuan’ (at https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-12-10/china-xi-promises-to-buy-more-mideast-oil/101757852), it isn’t a victory when the nightmare scenario starts, but this is what the US was facing all along. Several world leaders learned the hard way what happens when you start wars on multiple fronts. People like Napoleon Bonaparte, Adolf Hitler and Wilhelm 2 all learned that lesson the hard way. Now that the US has a stage with Russia, it had to play nice with Chine to some extent, but it was already too late. Huawei was fresh in China’s memory and the US did NEVER EVER produce clear reports of the dangers that Huawei was. They got tools to make similar claims and none of them produced evidence. Now China sees a way to get back at the US. You see, if China buys 2 million barrels a day the American goose will be cooked within 2 months in the middle of winter no less. This is part of the horrific result of giving Wall Street free rein and now there is no second stage, no escape. The US had clear options a year ago, now not that much and the few they have they are squandering on the wrong priorities. And it is a mere 42 minutes ago when China and Saudi Arabia signed a strategic deal, which now implies that Huawei would get free rein on technology adaption for the Line, that straight building that goes through Saudi Arabia and optionally a lot more in Neom. Did you really think I was out of my mind when I was willing to sell my 5G to Saudi Arabia? This is happening a year earlier than expected, but no one saw the Ukrainian war happen and even less saw it excelarate the way it did in the end. Now China has the option to make the impressions in Saudi Arabia and optionally soon in Egypt as well. I saw this coming and no one believed me, but there is a lot more to Neom than most see, because the US media kept on belittling it and now as the truth comes out we see knee jerk reactions and large claims of miscommunications, and that is not all, if the Yuan will be accepted as currency, the Yuan will get a tour of the Middle East and Africa giving a slam against the power of the Dollar. Now, that does not mean that the dollar ends, but there will be an impact and the dollar will take a hit. All this to a larger effect because certain people relied on ego and not on facts or true innovation. Feel free to read the article (at https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20221210-saudi-arabia-and-huawei-sign-strategic-deal/) with the added quote “The Saudi Press Agency (SPA) also reported that Chinese and Saudi companies had signed 34 investment agreements in clean energy, information technology, cloud computing services, transportation, construction and other sectors. The agency did not issue figures for the deals but confirmed earlier that the two countries would sign initial agreements worth $30 billion.” It seems to be a simple claim that might not go anywhere, yet the adaptation for net zero carbon data centre’s in Saudi Arabia, Egypt and optionally two additional places are now supporting that my initial IP had a lot more power in Saudi Arabia than even I suspected and this also elevates the options that the Kingdom Holding Company (KHC) has in several places. What was an optional annual revenue of $763 million could start with an 800% growth and leading to well over twice that amount in less than 5 years. Should these data centres become reality than there is a clear case that these centres will be bought by European players, they would not have a choice in the matter and the US claim of danger to national security will not go anywhere, they played that card already. So when it rains, it pours as well as the interaction of the pot calling the kettle black. Two players that were ready and the others were not. 

It is in the end merely that simple.

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December 10, 2022 · 11:33

Ruler of law goes metric

Yes, we all have settings that are part of us, for the most the rule of law is accepted by nearly all. But when do we realise that it is not that simple? There is the notion that this rule of law has an Imperial and a metric setting and that is the core of what we face today. I got my view from the Canadian CBC (at https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/us-khashoggi-lawsuit-dismissed-1.6676798). There we get ‘U.S. judge dismisses lawsuit against Saudi prince over Khashoggi killing’, s0 at what point does the US set the stage for events that took place in an alleged Saudi environment in Turkey no less? Lets look at the simple facts, Jamal Khashoggi is as far as I can tell a Saudi dissident, not an American citizen and I do not care what was planned. It never got to be. This person has gotten more ‘alleged’ assistance in a month than most American citizens have seen in a decade. Then we are given “U.S. District Judge John Bates suggested he was reluctant to throw out the lawsuit but had no choice given the Biden administration’s decision.” And I will get back to this in a moment. We are also given “Khashoggi was killed and dismembered in October 2018 by Saudi agents in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul” which is the supporting lie. You see, his body was never found, there is absolutely no evidence that he was dismembered, or killed. For all we know he is spending the rest of his days with his new mistress of 19 years old in a luxurious hotel on Bora Bora. It is equally speculative, is it therefor more wrong?

And we do take notice of “Attorneys for the U.S. Department of Justice said in a November court filing that the Biden administration had determined that Prince Mohammed, “as the sitting head of a foreign government, enjoys head of state immunity from the jurisdiction of U.S. courts as a result of that office.”” It is the stage that was always going to happen, there was no evidence of any kind, mere speculation and Daily Mail categorised forms of speculated innuendo that never goes anywhere. Lets be clear, I cannot prove the innocence of certain people, but I cannot prove their guilt either and a person is innocent until proven guilty. That is the law and there is no metrical version of that, it is imperial, it is black letter law and that is what the law is. The media wants you to forget this so that they can cater to the digital dollar a little longer. And you are the tool they are using for that. In the mean time Jeff Bezos (via Andy Jassy) denied himself an annual 6 billion and change going up to close to $30 billion in full deployment mode. This is the damage Amazon did to themselves and it is fine by my book, although a little less nice as the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia decided not to buy it either. My loss and I get that. But below all this is a stage where the US is in a lot more problem. You see, they desperately need the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia assist them with cheap oil and I have stated this before. Why would they do that? The US has proven themselves to be a fleeting and unreliable ally to say the least. Do not take my word for that, look at the victims in Yemen and Syria and ask yourself, what did the US achieve? Close to nothing and now that they are at the abyss, the hangman’s rope has a very uncomfortable feeling. And as I see it, should the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia want it and limit the shipments of Crude Oil by an additional mere 1 million barrels a day, the US will explode in a stage of anarchy, just before Christmas and that realisation is at stake. The US overplayed its hand for at least two years and now we see that anarchy could become the turnstile of events. So do not think this is something that President Biden started. This is the stage 4 previous administrations colluded under (sort of) and yes, former president Trump might be the only one trying to turn it around but it would have been too little and optionally too late too. The previous congresses made sure of that. They were all too ego driven to see that impact grow and grow. And before you consider the immense state of “Khashoggi had criticised the crown prince’s policies in Washington Post columns. He had travelled to the Saudi consulate in Istanbul to obtain papers he needed to marry Cengiz, a Turkish citizen.” You see the US had the option to make him a citizen from 2017 onwards but they chose not to do that (optionally it was in the hands of Khashoggi). So for over a year there was a stage where he had the option to make a change, optionally the US intelligence office could have prevented it if there was a voice, but there wasn’t one. This implies (to me) that there was no real warning, no real danger which now sheds a light on a lot of issues and it does not look good for the US. Hiding behind some metric version of the law was never going to work well and I have highlighted close to half a dozen issues from the beginning and the fictional book of Blood and Oil merely worked for my case. When you see all these articles, all these media evidence and it comes with words like ‘alleged’ and ‘could have’, how wrong do you think I am? 

It is sad watching governments trying to cater to ego and to the clear need of a commodity that their non-allies have, it is a pathetic view and it is not getting better any day soon.

I will let you investigate that, just be sure you rely on the sources you can rely on.

 

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December 2, 2022 · 19:04

Would you like some sugar with that?

I got a message yesterday which I initially ignored. Nothing wrong with the message, but I can only go to so many places in an hour and this message stretched me too thin, as such I let it be. Yet this morning I had a few moments so I checked out the message from Defense One. It gave me ‘US Trying to Persuade More Allies to Send NASAMS Missiles to Ukraine, Raytheon CEO Says’ (at https://www.defenseone.com/business/2022/12/exclusive-us-trying-persuade-more-allies-send-nasams-missiles-ukraine-raytheon-ceo-says/380382/) the thing triggered something, but I did not exactly know what was triggered. I thought I knew, but it was too far into the past for that to make sense. Yet the article set me straight. Initially we might see “U.S. officials are working to broker a deal with NATO and Middle Eastern nations to send some of their NASAMS interceptors to Ukraine, Raytheon Technologies CEO Greg Hayes said Thursday”, it did not help me much and “the Pentagon awarded Raytheon a contract for the first two NASAMS batteries. The company delivered the interceptors within six weeks, Hayes said, because it had many parts on hand and because Doug Bush, the Army’s top weapons buyer, helped speed things along.” So I had to seek out more information and there the other cog fell to the floor. NASAMS or Norwegian Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile System is the child of the Kongsberg Defence & Aerospace (KDA) and there the cog felt. It is a system from 1980. Kongsberg is led by Eirik Lie (weird name for an honest person). And there my defence knowledge partially kicked in. I knew of it, but that is about all I had. The Norwegians had designed the system to replace two Nike Hercules facilities in defending Norway’s southern air bases, where it would act in conjunction with F-16s in providing a layered defence, and that it did very well. I reckon that the engineers are proud as peacocks that this system can go to town on Russian missile systems 42 years later, there is no replacement for true innovation. I always said it and here you see it. OK, it was upgraded to a third version in 2019, but still it was tailored to a good design. And now we see Raytheon seeking assistance (of a sort). Here is also the problem I see. If manufacturing is a hard part, there are two sides to helping out now. What if this was Russias plan all along? What happens when Finland, the Netherlands, Spain, Oman, and Chile ship what they can ‘spare’ and a week later Spain and the Netherlands feel the brunt of running low on stock? I am not saying that this will happen, but the steps of Russia have to a larger extent not made sense and the pro-Russian coalition of the Dutch FvD will use that setting to every extent and that leaves a bad taste in my mouth. 

An alternative could be to assist Saudi Arabia with their 2030 goals and create a NASAM production facility there. If distributed manufacturing is a solution, creating an additional pool of manufacturers would become essential. In addition, the US and EU need every positive vibe they can muster as such the option has two benefits. Adding these solutions to Germany, Sweden, Denmark and France make perfect sense as well. When that happens we see five additional manufacturers, but that is not a short term solution, Ukraine needs missiles now and 2 years is too long. Yet with 5 additions, 2 years would be shrunk to 13-15 months, already a large saving. Now sending part of the needed missiles makes sense as there would be 5 additional creators. I see the simple setting that resources are required, then we see the manufacturing and after that shipping. The last part has plenty of options, the first two less so, although we can see that manufacturing is the bottleneck, Russia will soon see that if these 5 nations unite, Russia will end up having less and less options. And that is before we consider alternatives, You see Iceland has only 4% unemployment, but it might be reason to create another plant on the US base there (or next to it) which could create up to 2500 jobs. As such we see six options, is it a solution? I honestly do not know, but when the waiting list is two years something needs to give and it would be nice to see this before Russia gets to be creative with their missiles, ask Poland how that worked for them. The EU (US too) needs to act now, but merely getting others to send what they have might not be the safest path, not with current timelines. That is how I see it and if someone says I am wrong, I will not deny that my idea was completely ‘ad hoc’ and it would require scrutiny, but what would you do when you get told that anti-missile solutions are two years away? Especially when you consider what Russia is doing to the civilian population of Ukraine?

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