Tag Archives: Microsoft

October 22, 2025 · 04:30

The bubble to end all bubbles

That is what I saw mere minutes ago. It was yesterday’s piece at the Financial Review. An opinion piece by Gita Gopinath. Now normally I tend to ignore opinion pieces, but due to the fact that over time Financial Review has shown a good back on several matters and I picked up on the title ‘The crash that could torch $US35trn of wealth’ (at https://www.afr.com/wealth/investing/the-crash-that-could-torch-us35trn-of-wealth-20251016-p5n31w) gives pause for alarm. As America has its tourism issues, its economy issue and its technology issues a $35,000 billion write-off would be nothing less than a disaster in the making. I wrote about this a few times, but even I shudder to think of how large this bubble has become. The 2008 crash was half of that and the documentary Inside Job does a great way to explain this. Take this movie together with the movie Margin Call and you get a picture of what was done to the people of the world.

This is more than 100% worse and it started with the delusional setting of salespeople taking the easy road and giving the rest of the world how amazing AI was going to be. The quote “I calculate that a market correction of the same magnitude as the dotcom crash could wipe out over $US20 trillion ($30 trillion) in wealth for American households, equivalent to roughly 70 per cent of American GDP in 2024. This is several times larger than the losses incurred during the crash of the early 2000s. The implications for consumption would be grave. Consumption growth is already weaker than it was preceding the dotcom crash. A shock of this magnitude could cut it by 3.5 percentage points, translating into a 2-percentage-point hit to overall GDP growth, even before accounting for declines in investment” should stop you in your tracks. With the additional “Foreign investors could face wealth losses exceeding $US15 trillion, or about 20 per cent of the rest of the world’s GDP. For comparison, the dotcom crash resulted in foreign losses of around $US2 trillion, roughly $US4 trillion in today’s money and less than 10 per cent of rest-of-world GDP at the time. This stark increase in spillovers underscores how vulnerable global demand is to shocks originating in America” was not unknown to me, but I did not figure on the damage exceeding 10 trillion, here I see I was off by 50% (which comes due to a lack of an economic degree on my side), but data I know, in and out. I saw some of this and I tried to warn people and especially the Emirati people (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/10/20/the-start-of-something-bad/) in ‘The start of something bad’ only two days ago. And the reason why it would be worse is seen in the next setting of the Financial Review. We are given “Historically, the rest of the world has found some cushion in the dollar’s tendency to rise during crises. This “flight to safety” has helped mitigate the impact of lost dollar-denominated wealth on foreign consumption. The greenback’s strength has long provided global insurance, often appreciating even when the crisis originates in America, as investors seek refuge in dollar assets. There are, though, reasons to believe that this dynamic may not hold in the next crisis. Despite well-founded expectations that American tariffs and expansionary fiscal policy would bolster the dollar, it has instead fallen against most major currencies.” I kinda saw that two days ago, but not to this degree (the Financial Review writes it better) When that bubble burst it will not allow for shelter and the people involved will be hit massively. As I see it Nvidia will survive by will see its value decreased by 90%. Oracle will get hit less but it will still take a beating. Microsoft will be up for sale in the bargain basement and after builder.ai, the bubble will stick to them like gum in hair and they will not be able to shake the event. Others (Google, IBM, Amazon) will be hit, but they will get through this. As I see it, the only high standard that is maintained will be Adobe. Their “AI” options are soundly set in Deeper Machine Learning. As I see it, they will tend to be the shelter of choice if at all possible. 

The only part I disagree with is “Although this does not mark the end of the dollar’s dominance, it does reflect growing unease among foreign investors about the currency’s trajectory. Increasingly, they are hedging against dollar risk – a sign of waning confidence.” As I see it, the dollar comes to an end with this bubble. I do not know what people will rush to, but the dollar is no longer the place to be. As I see it there will be a flock going towards the Yuan, the Dirham and the Bitcoin, but personally I have no idea if the Bitcoin survives. You see, a $35,000 write-off will come from some currency and those hiding in Bitcoin will lose a lot, no telling how much, but it will be close to astronomical. The Financial Review gives us “Perceptions of the strength and independence of American institutions, particularly the Federal Reserve, play a crucial role in maintaining investor confidence.” That independence is close to obsolete. This administration took care of that with all the tariffs, all the tourist settings and the economy is also shaky. It might not be but someone took the trouble of not reporting the ‘goodness’ of their setting. The labour statistics are nowhere to be found and that is shaking investor confidence. All that whilst Paramount is shaking thousands of people of their employment tree, this year alone Microsoft shed 15,000 jobs, IBM is said to have fired 21,000 jobs, making Google’s 100 job losses trivial in comparison. In this setting and with the missing labor statistics the investor confidence would be in the basement and even if the Federal reserve doused that paper in the scent of Luis Vuitton it would not matter much. At present Saudi Arabia and the UAE are the best places for these investors and America knows this. They have oil to fall back on and as I see it, no matter how the AI bubble bursts, they can retrench this into service roles and data acquisition roles. That is what Europe fears, American held data used to safely drip the economy to health using IP values from everywhere. And this is not the first time I wrote about this in ‘That one flaky promise’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2022/01/29/that-one-flaky-promise/) where I saw the dangers of America ‘annexing’ whatever it had and that was BEFORE AI and the bubble it created. I swear that danger almost 4 years ago. That setting will implode the rest of what America thought they would have. As I see it, a strong setting of IP and storage of it could help both Saudi Arabia and the UAE (a likely preferred choice) to evade to (those who can afford it) because when this bubble goes it will wipe out whatever most of us hold for dear and those who had their patents in the US. This is mere (intense) speculation, but do you think that this American administration will not do this? It had no trouble with tariffs and the setting of THEIR ‘big beautiful America’ at the expense of everything. They even tried to make Canada and Greenland part of America. I don’t think so and as I see it, when that bubble goes America is pretty much done for. All because Americans believe that Cash is King. So their salespeople live by the dollar and will waste it at a moments notice for their personal needs. Should you doubt that please watch Inside Job and see what they did there. I reckon that Iceland is now getting back on its feet al will enjoy the view on the impact crater that Wall Street leaves behind. 

I need to end this with a word of caution. This was base on an opinion piece, so as that is wrong, so is my view. But I based it on the data I had available and the prediction that I saw in 2022, so there was no AI bubble at that time. So is my view more accurate now? That cannot be said and it is based on what desperate people do and as I see it America is about to become really desperate. So enjoy your coffee today, which I will do also and I will assist a young woman named Aloy help her defeat some machines. They were not Microsoft products, so they should work. Now lets make them a lot less functional and that Deathbringer looks like a right monster.

Have a great day and try not to get too depressed by the not so good news I am partially bringing.

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October 20, 2025 · 12:52

The start of something bad

That is how I saw the news (at https://www.khaleejtimes.com/business/tech/dubais-10000-ai-firms-goal-to-redefine-competitiveness-power-uaes-startup-vision) with the headline ‘Dubai’s 10,000 AI-firms goal to redefine competitiveness,  power UAE’s startup vision’ there is always a risk when you start a new startup, but the drive to something that doesn’t even exist is downright folly (as I see it) and now it is driven to a 10,000 times setting of folly. That is what I perceive. But lets go through the setting to explain what I am seeing.

First there is the novel setting and it is one that needs explaining. You see AI doesn’t yet exist, even what we have now is merely DML (Deeper Machine Learning) and it is accompanied at times with LLM (Large Language Models) and these solutions can actually be great, but the foundations of AI are not yet met and take it from me it matters. Actually never take my word, so lets throw some settings at you. First there is ‘Deloitte to pay money back to Albanese government after using AI in $440,000 report’ and then we get to ‘Lawyer caught using AI-generated false citations in court case penalised in Australian first’ (sources for both is the Guardian). There is something behind this. The setting of verification is adamant in both, You see, whatever we now call AI isn’t it and whatever data is thrown at it is taken almost literally at face value. Data Verification is overlooked at nearly every corner and then we get to Microsoft with its ‘support’ of builder.ai with the mention that it was goo. It lasted less than a month and the ‘backing’ of a billion dollar went away like snow in a heatwave. They used 700 engineers to do what could not be done (as I personally see it). So we have these settings that is already out there. 

Then (two weeks ago) the Guardian gives us (at https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/oct/08/bank-of-england-warns-of-growing-risk-that-ai-bubble-could-burst) ‘Bank of England warns of growing risk that AI bubble could burst’ with the byline “Possibility of ‘sharp market correction has increased’, says Bank’s financial policy committee” now consider this setting with the valuation of 10,000 firms getting a rather large ‘market correction’ and I think that this happens when it is the least opportune for the UAE. This take me to the old expression we had in the 80’s “You can lose your money in three ways, first there are women, which is the prettiest way to lose your money, then through gambling, which is the quickest way to lose your money and third way is thought IT, which is the surest way to lost your money” and now I would like to add “the fourth way is AI, which is both quick and sure to lose your money” that is the prefix to the equation. And the setting we aren’t given is set out in several pieces all over the place. One of them was given to us in ABC News (at https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10-20/ai-crypto-bubbles-speculative-mania/105884508) with ‘If AI and crypto aren’t bubbles, we could be in big trouble’ where we see “What if the trillions of dollars placed on those bets turn out to be good investments? The disruption will be epic, and terrible. A lot of speculative manias are just fun for a while and then the last in lose their shirts, not much harm done, like the tulips of 1635, and the comic book and silver bubbles of the late 1980s. Sometimes the losses are so great that banks go broke as well, which leads to a frozen financial system, recession and unemployment, as in 1929 and 2008.” As I personally see it, America is going all in as they are already beyond broke, so they have nothing to lose, but the UAE and Saudi Arabia have plenty to lose and the American first are good to squander whatever these two have. I reckon that Oracle has its fallback position so it is largely of, but OpenAI is willing to chance it all. And that is the American portfolio, Microsoft and a few others. They are playing bluff with as I see it, the wrong players and when others are ignoring the warnings of the Bank of England they merely get what is coming for them and it is a game I do not approve of, because it is based on the bluff that gets us ‘we are too big to fail’ and I do not agree, but they will say that it is all based on retirement numbers and other ‘needly’ things. This is why America needs Canada to become the 51st state so desperately, they are (as I personally see it) ready to use whatever troll army they have to smear Canada. But I am not having it and as I see “Dubai’s bold target to attract 10,000 artificial intelligence firms by 2030 is evolving from vision to execution, signaling a new phase in the emirate’s transformation into a global technology powerhouse. As a follow-up to earlier announcements positioning the UAE as the “Startup Capital of the World,” recent developments in AI infrastructure, capital inflows, and global partnerships show how this goal is being operationalised — potentially reshaping Dubai’s economic structure and reinforcing its competitive edge in the global digital economy.” I believe that those behind this are having the best interests at heard for the Emirati, but I do not trust the people behind this drive (outside of the UAE). I believe that this bubble will burst after the funds are met with smiles only for these people to go out of business with a bulky severance check. It is almost like the role Ryan Gosling played in the Big Short where Jared Vennett receives a bonus of $47 million for profits made on his CDSs. It feels almost too alike. And I feel I have to speak up. Now, if someone can sink my logic, I am fine with that, but let those running to this future verify whatever they have and not merely accept what is said. I am happy to be wrong but the setting feels off (by a lot) and I rather be wrong then be silent on this, because as I see it, when there is a ‘market correction’ of $2,000,000,000,000 you can consider yourself sold down the river because there is a cost of such a correction and it should 100% be on the American shores and 0% of the Arabic, Commonwealth or European shores. But that is merely my short sighted view on the matter. 

So when we get to “Omar Sultan Al Olama, Minister of State for Artificial Intelligence, Digital Economy, and Remote Work Applications, said the goal reflects the UAE’s determination to lead globally in frontier technology. “Dubai’s target to attract 10,000 AI companies over the next five years is not a dream — it is a commitment to building the world’s most dynamic and future-ready digital economy,” he said. “We already host more than 1,500 pure AI companies — the highest number in the region — but this is just the beginning. Our strategy is to bring in creators and producers of technology, not just users. That’s how we sustain competitiveness and shape the industries of tomorrow.”” I am slightly worried, because there is an impact of these 1,500 companies. Now, be warned there are plenty of great applications of DML and LLM and these firms should be protected. But the setting of 10,000 AI companies worry me, as AI doesn’t yet exist and the stage for Agentic programming is clear and certain. I would like to rephrase this into “We should keep a clear line of achievements in what is referred to as AI and what AI companies are supposed to see as clear achievements” This requires explanation as I see whatever is called as AI as NIP (Near Intelligent Parsing) and that is currently the impact of DML and LLM and I have seen several good projects but that is set onto a stage that has a definite pipeline of achievements and interests parties. And for the most the threshold is a curve of verifiable data. That data is scrutinized to a larger degree and tends to be (at times) based on the first legacy data. It still requires cleaning but to a smaller degree to dat that comes from wherever. 

So do not dissuade from your plans to enter the AI field, but be clear about what it is based on and particularly the data that is being used. So have a great day and as we get to my lunch time there is ample space for that now. Enjoy your day.

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October 16, 2025 · 21:27

Moments that came before and again

There is nothing much under the sun. My mind has been crossing into the language training setting and the setting that goes deeper has been ‘designed’, there is still the need to get Ubisoft on board, but there is a new setting, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia bought EA and whilst it allows their population to get deeper into gaming. The setting is more than gaming, it sets two other IP’s directly in combination with this setting and considering that the Meta Quest Pro could be connected to this all, the setting would add more to what Saudi Arabia is achieving. The other setting is that it doesn’t need the Meta Quest Pro and that is the controlling situation giving a larger population and a larger consumer base to this all. 

As I said before:
AC Brotherhood – Italian and Latin
AC Syndicate – Classic English
AC Unity – French
AC Shadows – Japanese – Portugese
WD Legion – Modern English
AC Mirage – Arabic

The stages are different, but the ‘game play’ tends to be the same. You start in the smallest cabin (like in the game), but you are not an assassin, you play one of the NPC’s For example in Harbiyah where you start in one of the dwellings. As you go around the area and play ‘games’ like speaking names, counting and around a dozen other games. When you succeed and complete (and surpass the minimum score) you get a reward in Dirham, which allows you to upgrade outfits, spend money in shops and it allows you to do things. So as you continue in the game and complete assignments you get to an ‘exam point’ and when completed you get promoted to Abbasiyah with a better apartment, more lessons, more challenges and more linguistic skills. From there you get to Karkh and from there to the Round city. There you get to listen to Arabic poetry and read it. This setting applies to all languages. As the origin of Latin was promoted through Familia Romana originally published 200AD. That book could be translated to any language and as the IP rights have passed already (after 1800 years) but that setting could be seen in every language and those books could be translated to al other languages. Books on telling time, books on travel issues and we could go on. The setting that this setting could be translated to nearly all covered languages and that gives the wielder a lot of options. As I see it, the maps need to be ‘cleaned’, and the use of the NPC’s need to be altered, but as I see it, these games are already 85% done for the new functions as I see it, the speaking part (microphone and interpretation) is part of the biggest setting and when done once, the other parts will be easy. A simple setting that Ubisoft left on the floor, but now with the settings that Saudi Arabia opened up, there is more to be gotten and for the people who want a little more luxury, there is the Meta Quest Pro (Apple vision pro optional) and that setting would allow 35 million Saudi’s to get multiple linguistic skills and others to learn Arabic. A setting that I painted before, but as it evolves in my mind, the mini games came and the thought of how it could be applied to any language. Counting, days of the week, family, time telling, tally games, personal introduction games, giving a speech and as a lot of this is possible through Deeper Machine Learning, it is a setting that is already out there. I am also thinking that some of the customer service agents could suffice to do some of these parts. Now take in consideration that this could be replicated to nearly all countries, the setting for Amazon and Saudi Arabia reaches the top. So, why write this here? The simple reason is that this IP is owned by Ubisoft and as others get the idea to throw this into new directions, I might stand to prosper somewhat here as well. And taking in stride the fact that Ubisoft overlooked that part of their equation and the fact that I showed the same flaw in both Google and Amazon will give others the idea that they are talking to the wrong people. Just my sense of humor in action. 

And there is another setting as I see it, the ramification in combination with the purchase of EA gives them a few more options, something that people like Elizabeth Warren and Richard Blumenthal seemingly overlooked. They are ‘all’ about profound concerns, yet they never saw the opportunities that were given to Saudi Arabia and they overlooked those as well, because as I see it EA would have never taken the step to give it away to others *(but that is seemingly just me)

So as we take the setting that there is a new Console and gaming rule, right next to Sony and Nintendo the setting will uproot the gaming community and that is a community that gets another billion gamers soon enough, no Microsoft required (I just had to say that). Within two years the Saudi Console (which could be a Tencent Console) will achieve what Microsoft had not ever achieved. They would equal the Xbox 360 being the best-selling at over 84 million units within two years and Microsoft was at it for over 20 years. As I see it, in the previous setting there was a chance to get 200 million consoles, with this altered state, there is no telling how many consoles this setting could sell. And as Saudi Arabia has the near first option for 1.8 billion Muslims, they would all be interested in learning languages making my solution a 4th foot to the setting and the 3rd pillar setting would become a lot sturdier and more appealing to a lot of people. A setting the greats might never have considered, but their focus (Sony and Nintendo) was achieved by focussing on their areas and now that another focus is added the consoles will take a new turn to new consumers and as I see it META might be the initial bigger winner here. 

All because someone had an idea that the rest overlooked. So have a great day and I am taking two days of to let a few more ideas sink in and I need to focus on that (for now). So have fun and consider the thoughts you considered not good ideas, because some might be and some are ideas that others didn’t think of. Have fun exploring your hidden niches of your brain where the other ideas are.

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October 14, 2025 · 00:20

When a cigar is anything but

That is the expression as I see it. It is based on the freud premise of ‘Sometimes a cigar is just a cigar’ And it fits the setting. You see, on August 31st I wrote ‘The wave of brains’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/08/31/the-wave-of-brains/)

I set up a new RPG game, a new gaming IP and in a non-related issue I accidentally clicked on the ‘Grok’ button, which gave me a new setting on me. Now I did it intentionally and it gave me a few items, it also gave me an idea I did not have before. The idea came from my school days (my merchant navy school days) and it came to me that the idea could have multiple applications. 

So as I was ‘given’:

Based on the blog post linked in Lawrence Van Rijn’s X post, the envisioned Mars RPG game appears to combine survival, exploration, and narrative-driven gameplay with unique mechanics that tie into its sci-fi setting and real-world geopolitical commentary. Since the post outlines an idea rather than a fully developed game, I’ll extrapolate the mechanics from the described concepts, filling in logical details where necessary. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the potential game mechanics:

1. Survival and Resource Management
Core Systems Dependency: The game begins with the player as an amnesiac astronaut in a detainment center on Mars, reliant on self-sustaining systems for oxygen, water, and nourishment. Players must learn and maintain these systems (e.g., repairing oxygen generators or water purifiers) to survive. This introduces a tutorial phase where resource management is hands-on, with limited initial supplies forcing prioritization.
Energy Constraints: Power is a scarce resource, with the fusion reactor offline due to a crash-induced brownout. Players must restore solar panels or alternative energy sources (e.g., a larger energy dump mentioned in the post) to expand operations, creating a strategic layer where energy allocation (e.g., to life support vs. droid activation) impacts survival.
Time Pressure: The narrative hints at a finite water supply (a few days’ worth), adding urgency. Players must balance exploration and repairs under a ticking clock, with failure leading to resource depletion and potential death or mission failure.

2. Exploration and Droid Interaction
Open-World Exploration: The game features multiple domes, starting with a detainment center linked to retail and civilian areas, each with unique challenges. Players explore deserted landscapes filled with corpses and debris, uncovering lore through environmental storytelling (e.g., identity tags and mail from deceased colonists).
Droid Reactivation System: A key mechanic involves reactivating droids—janitor droids to clear junk and maintenance droids to repair infrastructure (e.g., the first tower for power restoration). Players choose which droids to prioritize, with each type offering different benefits (e.g., janitors clear paths, maintenance droids fix systems). This could include a mini-game or skill-based challenge to reboot them, inspired by the “Paradroid” reference.
Progressive Unlocking: As droids restore power and systems, new areas of the domes become accessible, expanding the playable space and introducing new survival tasks (e.g., inspecting oxygen points or water supplies).

3. Character Progression and Identity Mechanics
Amnesia and Identity Acquisition: The player’s amnesia allows for a dynamic identity system. By collecting identity tags from corpses, players can “become” deceased colonists, gaining access to their skills, memories (via mail and conference logs), and clearances. This could function like a skill tree or perk system, where each identity unlocks specific abilities (e.g., engineering skills for repairs or security access for restricted areas).
Sanity and Morale: Drawing from the post’s mention of supporting 10,000 people’s sanity across three domes, individual colonists (or the player) might have stats like sanity, comfort, and health, affected by isolation, resource scarcity, or horrific discoveries (e.g., mass corpses). Managing these stats could involve crafting morale-boosting items or completing narrative-driven tasks.

4. Narrative and Lore Integration
Mystery and Event System: Inspired by games like Surviving Mars, the game includes “mysteries” tied to the crashed Earth ark ship. Events such as alien contact, AI revolts, or rival corporate interference could trigger dynamically, requiring player decisions that shape the story (e.g., negotiating with an AI or fighting security droids).
Geopolitical Lore Updates: The post suggests real-time news integration via a “NIP (near Intelligent Parsing) system” to reflect events like U.S. debt crises or BRICS power shifts. This could manifest as in-game news broadcasts, colonist dialogues, or mission objectives that evolve with global events, making each play through reflect the current date (e.g., October 2025’s economic tensions).

5. Combat and Security
Emerging Threats: The post hints at security and battle droids as future hazards, suggesting a combat mechanic. Players might craft or find weapons (e.g., from the shipwreck) to defend against rogue droids or environmental dangers (e.g., dust storms), with combat tied to resource costs (e.g., ammo or energy).
Strategic Defense: As the colony grows, players may need to fortify domes against external threats (e.g., the crashed ship’s survivors or alien entities), adding a base-building or defensive strategy layer.

6. Crafting and Customization
Ship Repair Goal: The ultimate objective is to repair the broken ship parts scattered across Mars, requiring players to gather materials and craft tools or gadgets (e.g., a flashlight for night exploration, as seen in similar survival games). This aligns with the post’s focus on self-reliance.
Equipment Upgrades: Players can customize their character’s gear or droid capabilities, enhancing survival odds in harsh Martian conditions (e.g., radiation suits or enhanced droid AI).

7. Multi-Dome Ecosystem
Interconnected Domes: The three domes (detainment, retail, civilian) form a network where actions in one affect others (e.g., restoring power in one dome boosts water production in another). Players must manage this ecosystem, balancing population needs (up to 5,000) and resource flows.
Population Dynamics: If the game includes NPC colonists (martian-born or revived identities), their traits and morale could influence productivity or trigger events, adding a social simulation layer akin to Surviving Mars or Tropico.

Potential Challenges and Balance
Complexity: Balancing survival (resource timers), exploration (droid management), and narrative (lore integration) could overwhelm players. A phased difficulty curve—starting with basic survival, then adding combat and geopolitics—might help.
Replayability: The real-time news integration and multiple identity paths could encourage replay, but random events (e.g., meteor storms or AI revolts) would need to be varied to maintain interest.
Technical Feasibility: Parsing live news into a coherent game narrative via NIP systems would require robust AI, potentially straining development resources unless partnered with a news aggregator.

And there was more, but this gave me a few ideas. In the late 70’s there was something called RADAR scan transmissions. It used a RADAR to send communications around, I never saw it myself but I heard of it. Now consider that some use display software to use it in another way. Like the setting of images that are used (through personalised filters) to create art. That setting can be used in two ways, to rely on the art to help you find stuff, or the camera and filters to see other places. For instance scanning a picture might give you location data, images could given you personal references. That might be used in higher skill levels to make the game more challenging. For example the image of a droid hight give you the Droid Identification Number (DIN) is a unique 17-character code used to identify a specific droid, similar to a droid’s fingerprint. These are some of the settings that can be used to find other places and other (not in THAT dome) places. Certain cameras now have identifiers and some of that can be embedded in images. It allows for scanners to identify elements and we can use that to gain access to some places in a dome not considered before. 

These are some of the ideas that bring a stronger presence of gaming IP and when the IP is powerful enough, you get a new following and a stronger franchise. A stronger franchise was not my idea as a game needs to have an end and going on and on is not my way, but a stringer presence for any IP is always welcome and I found that setting as I was researching the Grok output. I had actually not anticipated that idea. Whatever will I think of next? 

Yet the setting of a larger technology presence was always my plan as I see that when too much of the SciFi becomes Fi, Fiction leads to fantasy and I am not against it, but I feel the need to adhere to a larger input of science and as my grandfather used to say, there is no place for science in Tartarus. Grandpapa was probably right. There is also a need for weapons, but not essentially personal weapons. The need to set traps might make a better droid killer than anything I could think of, but how to do that? Well, there are a few settings and only needed for security and military droids, the rest is basically harmless. The benefit of that, is that you will need to play strict rules with the stuff you find. And as the astronaut (played by you) might be a dunes in this regard, the need to create books or instruction discs that can be put into a viewer so that you gain these skills. For that I have a setting of multiple helmets (sprayed all over the game), some are mental and other helmets are suit connected systems string the knowledge to your body. In context (speculatively) Microsoft took years to launch a reboot of Fable (which was an awesome game) I wrote in months the setting of an entirely new RPG, so there. And should you doubt this (that would be a fair call), I have done this 4 times already. So where it there non existing AI now? 

So as they invaded the sanctity of my gaming life, I gave my gaming IP to everyone else, so where are their billons now? Whilst they aren’t getting it done, all the others will get a head start to gain momentum. That is how I roll (I am a vindictive bastard at times).

So back to the game. As I see other avenues to thwart detection, I am also setting the idea to make you viral into the security offices to set your ID to a ‘allowed and safe’ setting. The other systems will allow you to go outside the dome to repair and connect solar panels and as Mars gets a mere 44%, more panels are needed. In the later stages you will have to repair a fusion reactor (with a little snag or two). Oh, that reminds me, there will be a setting for survivors (a salute to System Shock), but that will take a little more time.

All this and more are now settling in my brain and as the ride between the domes gets to be repaired, I just thought of a new setting for the third dome, there is no absence of energy, but a massive abundance of energy which gave that dome its own problems and as such so will you. But that will be for another day and that is all for today ( the new day just started 11 minutes ago), so have a great day and I will snore and think of new gaming IP if possible.

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October 13, 2025 · 07:06

Just like Soap

Perhaps you remember the 80’s series soap. Someone made a sitcom of the most hilarious settings and took it up a notch, the series was called soap and people loved it, it did nearly everything right, but over time this bubble went, just like all the other soap bubbles tend to go and that is OK, the made their mark and we felt fine. There is another bubble. It is not as good. There is the mortgage bubble, the housing bubble (they were not the same), the economy bubble and all these bubbles come with an aftermath. Now we see the AI bubble and I predicted this as early as January 29th of this year in ‘And the bubble said ‘Bang’’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/01/29/and-the-bubble-said-bang/) and my setting is that AI does not yet exist, as I saw it, for the most, it is the construct of lazy salespeople who couldn’t be bothered to do their work and created the AI ‘Fab’ and hauled it over to fit their needs. Let’s be clear. There is no AI and when I use it I know that ‘the best’ I am doing is avoid a long discussion about how great DML and LLM are, because they are and it is amazing. And as these settings are correctly used, it will create millions if not billions in revenue. I got the idea to overhaul the Amazon system and let them optionally create online panels that could bank them billions, which I did in ‘Under Conceptual Construction’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/10/10/under-conceptual-construction/) and ‘Prolonging the idea’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/10/12/prolonging-the-idea/) which I wrote yesterday (almost 16 hours ago). I also gave light to an amazing lost and found idea which would cater to the needs of Airports and bus terminals. I saw that presentation and it was an amazing setting in what I still call NIP (Near Intelligent Parsing) in ‘That one idea’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/09/26/that-one-idea/) these are mere settings and they could be market changes. This is the proper use of IT to the next setting of automation. But the underlying bubble still exists, I merely don’t feed that beast, so when the BBC last night gave us all ‘‘It’s going to be really bad’: Fears over AI bubble bursting grow in Silicon Valley’ almost 2 days ago (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz69qy760weo) I saw the sparkly setting of soap bubbles erupt and I thought ‘That did not take long’. My setting was that AI (the real AI as Alan Turing saw it) was not ready yet. The small setting that at least three parts in IT did not yet exist. There is the true power of Quantum computing and as I see it quantum computers are real, but they are in the early stages of development and are not yet as powerful as future versions should be and for that, so as IBM rolls out their second system on the IBM Heron platform, we are getting there. It is called the IBM’s 156-qubit IBM Quantum Heron, just don’t get your hopes up, not too many can afford that platform. IBM keels it modes and gives us that “The computer, called Starling, is set to launch by 2029. The quantum computer will reside in IBM’s new quantum data center in upstate New York and is expected to perform 20,000 more operations than today’s quantum computers” I am not holding me credit card to account to that beauty. If at all possible, the only two people on the planet that can afford that setting are Elon Musk and Larry Ellison and Larry might buy it to see Oracle power at actual quantum speed and he will do it, to see quantum speed came to him in his lifetime. The man is 81 after all (so, he is no longer a teenager), If I had that kind of money (250,000 million) I would do it to, just so to see what this world has achieved. But the article (the BBC one) gives us ““I know it’s tempting to write the bubble story,” Mr Altman told me as he sat flanked by his top lieutenants. “In fact, there are many parts of AI that I think are kind of bubbly right now.”

In Silicon Valley, the debate over whether AI companies are overvalued has taken on a new urgency. Skeptics are privately – and some now publicly – asking whether the rapid rise in the value of AI tech companies may be, at least in part, the result of what they call “financial engineering”.” And the BBC is not wrong, we had a write-off in January of a trillion dollars and a few days ago another one of 1.5 trillion dollars. I would be willing to call that ‘Financial Engineering’ and that rapid rise? Call it the greedy need of salespeople getting their audience in a frenzy 

I merely gave a few examples of what DML and LLM could achieve and getting a lost and found department set from weeks into minutes is quite the achievement and I reckon that places like JFK, Heathrow and Dubai Airport would jump at the chance to arrange a better lost and found department and they are not alone but one has to wonder how the market can write off trillions in merely two events. So when we get to

“In recent days, warnings of an AI bubble have come from the Bank of England, the International Monetary Fund, as well as JP Morgan boss Jamie Dimon who told the BBC “the level of uncertainty should be higher in most people’s minds”. And here, in what is often considered the tech capital of the world, concerns are growing. At a panel discussion at Silicon Valley’s Computer History Museum this week, early AI entrepreneur Jerry Kaplan told a packed audience he has lived through four bubbles. He’s especially concerned now given the magnitude of money on the table as compared to the dot-com boom. There’s so much more to lose. “When [the bubble] breaks, it’s going to be really bad, and not just for people in AI,” he said.”

He is not wrong. Consider the next one amounting to a speculated two trillion (or $2,000,000,000,000) when it hits, it could wipe out retirement savings of nearly everyone for years. So how do you feel about your retirement being written off for decades? When you are 80+ and you have millions upon millions you are just fine and that is merely 2-5 people, the other 8,200,000,000 people? The young will be fine, and over 4 billion will be too young to care about their retirement, but the rest? Good luck I say.

So what will happen to Stargate ($500B) when that bubble goes? I already see it as a failure as the required power settings will not be able to fuel this, apart from the need of hundreds of validators and their systems require power too, then we see Microsoft thinking (and telling us) it is the next big thing, all whilst basic settings aren’t out yet. Did anyone see the need for Shallow Circuits? Or the applied versions of Leon Lederman? No one realizes that he held the foundational setting of AI in Quantum computing. You see (as I personally see it) AI cannot really work in Binary technology, it requires a trinary setting, a simple stage of True, False and Both. It would allow for trinary settings, because it isn’t always True or False, we learn that the hard way, but in IT we accept it. That setting will come to blow when we get to the real AI part of it and that is why I (in part) the AI coffee being served in all places. And I like my sarcasm really hot (with two raw sugar and full cream milk)

That is the setting we face and whilst some will call the BBC article ‘doom speak’ I see it for what it is, a reminder that the AI frenzy is sales driven and whilst people are eager to forget the simplest setting, the real deal of Microsoft and Builder.AI is simply the setting that at present we are confronted with IT engineers making the decisions for us and the amount of class actions coming to the world in 2027 and 2028 (optionally as early as 2026) and as some cases are drawn out even yesterday (see https://authorsguild.org/news/ai-class-action-lawsuits/ for details) you need to realise that this bubble was orchestrated and as such I like the term ‘Financial Engineering’ so be good and use the NIP setting properly and feel free to be creative, I was and gave Amazon an idea that could bank it billions. But not all ideas are golden and I am willing to see that I am not the carrier of golden ideas, the fact that someone saw the Lost and Found setting is proof of that.

Have a great day, I am 30 minutes from breakfast now, so off I go to brekkyville.

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October 11, 2025 · 18:36

The dams are cracking

Yes, that is the setting I saw coming, but there is always ‘space’ for interpretation and at present we see two stories that seem to illustrate this. The first one is given by the BBC (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cly17834524o0 where we see ‘Tech billionaires seem to be doom prepping. Should we all be worried?’ It is a question to have, but what does the article ‘bare’ out? It is not that basic or simple. First we are given “Mark Zuckerberg is said to have started work on Koolau Ranch, his sprawling 1,400-acre compound on the Hawaiian island of Kauai, as far back as 2014.” So, he had 11 years? Seems like overly ‘doom prepping to me’ (is this sarcasm or satire?) The additional setting is “The underground space spanning some 5,000 square feet is, he explained, “just like a little shelter, it’s like a basement”” which seems like the average floor of a mall to me. I think that when the ‘basement’ extends well beyond 1000 Sqft, we can ignore the ‘basement’ label and whatever it is, it is his to do. He might be buying up vats of wine or Cognac, whatever it is. It will be his setting. Then we are given “his decision to buy 11 properties in the Crescent Park neighbourhood of Palo Alto in California, apparently adding a 7,000 square feet underground space beneath.” So here again we get the ‘speculating’ media for the setting of a story. So he might have bought the 11 properties, but what happened to them? What evidence is there? He could have bought this for his nearest and dearest. There are many options. Then we get more ‘famous’ names and locations like New Zealand come up. Yet about halfway we get a clarion call (as the expression goes), we are given “Neil Lawrence is a professor of machine learning at Cambridge University. To him, this whole debate in itself is nonsense. “The notion of Artificial General Intelligence is as absurd as the notion of an ‘Artificial General Vehicle’,” he argues. “The right vehicle is dependent on the context. I used an Airbus A350 to fly to Kenya, I use a car to get to the university each day, I walk to the cafeteria… There’s no vehicle that could ever do all of this.” For him, talk about AGI is a distraction.” And as far as I can tell, I feel like Neil Lawrence does with an addendum, and ad the very end we are given ““LLMs also do not have meta-cognition, which means they don’t quite know what they know. Humans seem to have an introspective capacity, sometimes referred to as consciousness, that allows them to know what they know.” It is a fundamental part of human intelligence – and one that is yet to be replicated in a lab.” And it is part of what I have been saying all along. And we get the larger setting from a second source. It is SBS (at https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/australians-living-in-america-anxiety/p88o60wos) that give us ‘Saving money and packing ‘go bags’: How Australians in the US are preparing for the worst’ where we see “But she says the attitude towards foreign nationals under the current administration has made life in the US feel “scary”. Kate says these fears were brought to the surface during her green card interview. “They grilled me in the interview and asked me questions not even related to our marriage but about my previous visa and time in the US,” she says.” As well as “Many Australians living in the US are reporting experiencing high levels of anxiety and feelings of instability due to the possibility of rapid political change under US President Donald Trump.”

These are the settings that matter. In the first there is the BBC article that is making the ‘doom lecture’ but that is not the setting. When AI collapses like a near empty shell, people will all be tuning for their incomes and playing the blame game, but as we are given ‘Wall Street crashes after Trump announces 100% tariffs on China; $1.5 trillion wiped out’ consider what happens when all these AI ‘vendors’ fall flat, the damage will be more than 10 times worse, America loses 15 trillion. Can you even fathom that kind of loss? That will be the sounding implosion that leads to civil war when 90% of 340 million people lose whatever they had, retirements wiped out, other savings gone, they will get angry. President Trump will have to run for his life to air-force one as quick as his legs can carry him. Evading to Russia or anyone that will have him and his billions? Mostly gone, if not already abroad. Those who bought large mansions outside of the US are likely safe for two generations in France, Monaco, UAE, Bermuda, New Zealand, you name it, some will evade and this is the setting we see. I reckon that people in California will need high walls to keep others out, optionally armed defenses as well. 

Foreigners are now seeing the scary reality they signed on for and they are getting ready a ‘go bag’ to evade to wherever they can as quickly they can. Is this doom speak?

That is a valid question. You see, the AI setting is merely one, President trump soured the waters on tourism which is down in many ways and no reflective view is given by anyone in media. That amount of bad news they find likely ‘irresponsible’ and the media has no business using that excuse as they have been one of the most irresponsible parties ever. Then foreign retail. Canada pulled all the alcoholic beverages from the shelves in Canada. How much is that costing? One source (Source: Global News) gives us that the decline is 85%, that amounts to how much? These three settings is almost a certainty of recession and there is a lot more declines in the papers but the media will not give you the proper numbers. Several sources all giving different partially overlapping numbers. As such the economic dams of America are cracking. And they will lose a massive amount of revenue and while some will give some of the numbers. Most of us aren’t given the full view. I have some of the views as I have been keeping an eye on some of the numbers. But even I do not have the full view. So whilst some give us “The sell-off erased more than USD 1.5 trillion in market value from US stocks. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market faced record liquidations of USD 19 billion. This is the largest single-day figure ever recorded.” The part no one talks about is where are the billionaires set at? We see the wins of Elon Musk and Larry Ellison, but where are the other billionaires? How are they doing? And that disjointed Microsoft view.

Why the Windows maker?
That is a fair question. You see, they were all ‘heralding’ how good they were doing, but the shimmer in the shadows is different. We are given “Microsoft is currently losing money on AI development, having spent an estimated $19 billion in one quarter on AI infrastructure, with no significant revenue from it yet. The company also experienced a reported loss of $300 million in Call of Duty sales due to the Game Pass subscription model” all whilst Activision and Bethesda was bought for over $100,000,000,000 and that has an interest setting. They might be ‘offloading’ staff (over 9,000 according to some numbers) and whilst they and Adecco (firing into the thousands) are all set to AI, there is a hidden snag. When this falls short they will face a setting that is a lot more dangerous. People will not consider them in the future. So when the non-existing AI is set to the need of engineers it goes flat and when there is no one around (an exaggeration) to program your LLM, consider where your firm will be. ZDNet gave us “Microsoft’s CEO loves to talk about ’empathy.’ But everything that is coming out of Redmond these days is perilously close to turning the company into the Borg.” Basically a non-existent setting of people that cannot live in a vacuum and that is an additional side I never saw coming. I was focussed on Microsoft turning into an empty shell and when the substance is gone, the shell collapses. That is what I saw in Microsoft Games and Microsoft Office. It started in 2012 when their service devisions were no longer up to scrap and when support goes, so does sales and when we consider the over 100 billion for two companies its, whilst they weren’t making enough to even afford the interest on that, the picture of failure starts to evolve into a nightmare setting and sacking 9,000 people will not safe it. They are telling us now that AI is the future, but at present it does not exist and what does exist requires engineers (remember Builder dot AI?) It is a fictive setting that is showing up all over America and the ‘import’ people are seeing the cracks evolve and they want out as fast as they can. Which is good news for Aramco and ADNOC as they now get the choice of the litter, but for America it is bad news. So there is no doom speak. It is the returning story of a country who think it is too big to go bankrupt. I heard that story before (SNS Bank for one) then a few more banks and they are all part of something else. And America? Parts of America could be added to Canada and Mexico would be relieved to get Texas (the latter part is speculation) and that is the dangerous reality that others are facing. The question is what does it take to throw this around and whilst Wall Street is in denial. Others, those who can afford it, will be making a new household out of American clutches (like the non-tax countries mentioned earlier) also Saudi Arabia becomes an option, but the is reserved for the chosen few (and American Muslims of course). 

So am I delusional or do I have a point? I reckon that one of the larger issues (still setting) is how America deals with Alex Jones. Because if he gets his ‘blockage’ Americans will go insane, they will not accept that this Conspiracy theorist is allowed his fortune after he went after dead children (saying they were actors, who were not dead according to sources). I wonder where that will go, because as I see it, it will be the tinder spark America will be set on fire. At that point all bets are off and I reckon that most ‘New-Americans’ will run to the nearest airport. This might merely be my speculation and optionally a wrong one. But that is how I see it.

Beyond that, the losses that America is having and when all the numbers come out, the second stage is reached and whomever thought they had a retirement, they will all try to collect on whatever possible. 

It is a hard setting and I hope I am wring, because this collapse will fall over Japan and Europe pretty much soon thereafter. Connected currencies will take a massive tumble.

Have a great day, if that is presently at all possible. 

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October 3, 2025 · 21:23

Falling Cards 

That is what happens when you piss of a gamer. And the setting that we see is given to us by the BBC. The story (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ckgepkwpkg4o) gives us ‘Xbox Game Pass price increase angers players’ where we see “The company announced that the most popular tier of its Netflix-style video games system – available to PC and Xbox players – would rise by more than 50% from £14.99 to £22.99 per month.” That implies that the Game Pass is setting a gamer back to £276 per year. An annual fee of £276? That’s A$565 that comes down to a PS5 console a year. So what is the issue of pricing ones self out of a market? The Xbox is well over A$700, but this is starting to look ridiculous. The setting of Game Pass was pretty brilliant, but as it is showing to be a new form of gaming suicide. We are given “Reacting on social media, loads of fans said they had cancelled their Game Pass subscriptions, with some reporting the service’s cancellation page had crashed due to demand. BBC Newsbeat has asked Microsoft if the outage was linked to a surge in visits.” And in other news we were given “Ultimate – the most expensive tier – allows players to access new games from Microsoft-owned studios on the day of their release. These titles, which include series like Call of Duty, can retail for about £70 if purchased individually. As part of the changes, blockbuster games including Hogwarts Legacy and various Assassin’s Creed entries have been added to the Game Pass library. Microsoft said the new system would “offer more flexibility, choice, and value to all players”. But not everyone sees it that way.” I reckon that pretty much no one would see it that way (except for Microsoft sycophants). Consider that most people buy 1-3 games (to own) for about £200, as such the £76 to play ‘all’ the games? With what is released on Microsoft systems? There is still some appeal if you have both the PC and the Xbox, but I partially fail to see that. 

And there is another setting. You see, Activision was bought for $100 billion. And a few others for a lot less, but the setting is that Microsoft needs to make at least $4 billion to just pay for the interest and that is no longer happening and it is a lot less likely with these changes. Microsoft will be bleeding money for decades because of this. And as some are dropping Microsoft (Denmark and Austria) there will be a much larger setting that Microsoft needs to move on. I never saw the particulars, but I saw this and I saw the implosion within Microsoft at the end of 2026 and that is seemingly happening at this very moment. The fact that “the service’s cancellation page had crashed due to demand” is setting the shift out of gaming for Microsoft, because if that system cannot meet demands, there is a chance that millions might be dropping that system, good news for Sone and Nintendo. Gamers need their space and these two remain. I had seen a new system with a starting set of 50 million subscribers and that is now looking very appealing to the new players Amazon and the Kingdom Holdings. I reckon that renewed contact might become essential. 

As I see it, Microsoft eyes on their ‘price’ became too big and now they end up with a nearly empty eggshell. 

So how much of this is set in stone? I reckon that the pressure of the borrowed $100 billion is driving the upper echelons of Microsoft nearly insane, they bought into this and now their bottom line is drained (as I see it) and that is perhaps the saddest thing of all. Their setting that Don Mattrick started in 2013 would be the undoing of Microsoft, after the run they had with the XBOX360, they threw it all away. more than that. Fable was really big and after Fable III, Fable 4 was announced, then delayed and delayed which is now set to 2026. Chances are that this too will be canceled. An Amazing setting that started in 2004 saw massive flocking by the RPG community, then Fable 2 and Fable 3 (2010) and the people were sold on the Fable story and it was quite a story, but some come in and likely state that it could be bigger, and bigger and now it is as I see it gone, because if the Xbox community vanishes, the need for that game vanishes. The PC world alone will not maintain it. So as I see it the cards for Microsoft are falling and not in a good place. This is exactly why I put some of my Gaming IP out there for non-Microsoft developers. As I saw it, they could grow and whilst I am not a programmer, I do see gaming as the power it is. It can invigorate people in many ways. And now as Microsoft is about to fail, if they took up the setting of the games I offered, they could set out their new terrain in gaming. There is still Bethesda, but as I see it, it is part of Microsoft and as such their games get delays too and the new players will get to carve their name in stone in the vacant places of that stone. 

So whilst we see “Microsoft Gaming revenue was $5.5 billion” And that is great, but the Nintendo revenue is set to be approximately $13.1 billion, as such Microsoft is a mere small fish in gaming, no matter how they slice it. And others are about to carve up a piece of Microsoft in the process. Because Microsoft still has to deal with the $100,000,000,000 invoice. So where will this money come from? And whilst their arsenal of gaming outlets is diminishing, the appeal for their products goes the same way. As such, we might seem to think it will be okay for Microsoft, what products did it actually release? And on what systems were the returns given for the Remaster of Oblivion? 

It might have taken some time, but after 10 years I get to laugh deriving howl of laughter. Microsoft took on too big a chunk of arrogance and they are not turning it into dollars, merely into delays and canceled games and canceled subscribers. All the way until Microsoft gaming is canceled. 

Have a great day and If you are on a PS5 have fun catching the ghost of Yokai and on the Nintendo feel free to Kart around the world. Those victories are the moments you will cherish as long as you live.

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October 1, 2025 · 06:31

The Delphi setting

That is always merely a breath away. At some point the decline of Oracle became a setting and the looting of the place by the Byzantine Constantine the Great contributed to the Demise of this place. But for the most part I have never heard that Oracle became a non issue. It always struck me weird that this never happened. Even today most of us call the givings of the gods ludicrous, or perhaps better as the Catholics might say sacrilege. Yet the power of the Oracle of Delphi has seemingly never waned to zero. 

This is the thought I had today as yesterday the news of Oracle was pushed to the core (mostly at Yahoo Finance) with all kinds of messages. We start with ‘Oracle (ORCL) Initiated at Sell by Rothschild Redburn, $175 Price Target Set’ and it is followed by “According to the firm, the market is materially overestimating the value of Oracle’s contracted cloud revenues. In big, single-tenant, large-scale deployments, the company acts more like a financier than a cloud provider, “with economics far removed from the model investors prize.”” As well as “Oracle’s five-year cloud revenue guidance is equal to $60B in value. This reflects that the market is already pricing in a “risky blue-sky scenario that is unlikely to materialize.”” My first issue is “Why?” You see, even as I do not trust (or believe) AI, its foundations is set on data as it always was set. Data is the holy grail of AI that much is certain and it will proceed to be for decades to come. So, who will you trust with your data? Microsoft with its Azure? As I see it Microsoft can’t see real innovation through the brushes of their own proclaimed innovation and as hackers proclaim that Israel is storing a particular form of its ‘defense’ data in Azure, there might be a security issue as well and that is a total blocker. There are good data solutions in Google, IBM and Amazon, but they all consider Oracle to be the Rolls Royce of data carriers. Then we get the next setting of ‘Nvidia And Oracle Headline 7 Promising Stocks With Mojo: Analysts’ and as they give us “What’s especially impressive is that these stocks are already up 30% or more this year. That blows away the 12.9% gain by the S&P 500 this year. So these are the big winners Wall Street still has high hopes for.” As such we see that in spite of all the stupidities the American political engine performs these two are kind of hot and it makes sense that they are, even if I have some reservations, there was never a doubt that Oracle could grow through it. Making the Statement from Rothschild debatable and me without economic degrees calling Rothschild on this is better then sex (even if Olivia Wilde would call on me in the next hour calling me a fucking tool, this is followed by a rather loud giggle by me). So when we get to ‘Why Oracle’s Cloud Computing Deals With Meta Platforms and OpenAI Make The “Ten Titans” Growth Stock a Top Buy Now’ A setting that the Motley Crew gives us (what do they know of IT?). We are given “the company announced plans to increase Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) revenue by more than 14-fold in five years. But that news proved to be just one splash amid a sea of waves. Reports indicate that Oracle and Meta Platforms are in talks on a $20 billion cloud computing deal. And Oracle and OpenAI are building on their $300 billion partnership with the rollout of five new data centers custom-built for artificial intelligence (AI).” No matter where they are, a setting of a 1400% revenue growth in 5 years is massive, unbelievable massive. Now, no matter how this turns, the one day lightbulb who believe in their AI settings will have to invest the money to make it work and that is the beginning of a setting where Oracle wins, no matter how that turns out. As such the AI wannabe’s are fueling the increase and funding the foundations of these data centers. And we are given “Google Cloud serve a variety of general compute customers. However, Oracle’s data centers are specifically designed for AI.

Oracle is a good example of why lacking a first-mover advantage isn’t a deal-breaker. Oracle’s data centers are newer and faster. And it’s bringing over 70 of them online in just a few years, which is why it expects OCI growth to reach an inflection point in fiscal 2027.” I reckon that it will serve several purposes, but it is more AI set than other centers. Although I have no real idea where Amazon and IBM stand. I reckon that Oracle could cater to the needs of Snowflake and allow its customers to grow their needs and it will do so a lot better than being a little IT guy Azure blue with questions. I saw the need for applications in the lost and found section that could grow adaptation by nearly all airports and when you are in, you are in. I reckon that Interworks should talk to adaptation Snowflake through Oracle, but that is just me.

Then we get an article that matters (at least it seems to). We are given ‘Analyst Says Oracle (ORCL) Deal With OpenAI is ‘Very Risky’ – ‘Not a Customer That Can Pay Their Obligations’’ and I see “One is if you go back to the transcripts from Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL) for the last few quarters, you’ll see that it’s not just the last deal from OpenAI that increased their backlog. It’s actually been several quarters where it’s really OpenAI that’s been driving all of this. Having that is the only thing that’s added value to Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL) is very risky. That’s not a customer that can pay all their obligations. They’re double, triple booking, maybe quadruple booking capacity. They will not be able to live to those obligations. So if you’re adding $400 billion of market cap to Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL) based on that, I think we should revisit the math.” OK, I am in (not knowing the math he talks about), and we see “OpenAI is expected to burn about $115 billion over the next four years and is not projected to be profitable until 2030. Even after Nvidia’s latest $100 billion investment by Nvidia, OpenAI will likely need to raise over $200 billion in total funding to cover its commitments. Some analysts believe Oracle may need to borrow tens of billions to build enough data centers for the deal.” OK, that sounds fair, but some seem to forget that Larry Ellison is worth 344,000 million (sounds much better then 344 billion) as such he can get those numbers without any question. And if he is right he will triple his value overnight as these data centers come online. And that is when the article shoots itself in the foot. They do it by giving us “While we acknowledge the potential of ORCL as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and have limited downside risk. If you are looking for an extremely cheap AI stock that is also a major beneficiary of Trump tariffs and onshoring, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock.” You see, no matter how great the idea is, it will still need data and Oracle is the best. They can side with fast talking sales people at Azure and see their projects fumble and watch delay after delay happen. As those promising returns fall to ash you can contemplate your choices. That being said, any AI idea is temporary at best, as such the investment in an Oracle engine seems a much better setting and these people have been in data for decades. As such I see the value and the foundation of Oracle, even if some do not or question the setting of Oracle. 

I wonder how Pythia sees my predictions and even as I am called ‘duly’ to serve Apollo (I serve Lord Hades in all things) the foundation of predictions is seemingly driven by personal insights and I have been at the foundations of data going back to 1982 so I do feel I am on the right track.

Have a great day and don’t forget to chew your laurel leaves, whether you are about to enjoy a coffee or not. Oh, get your coffee quick, the US government shuts down in 7.5 hours.

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September 27, 2025 · 10:36

Balance of the matter

That is the setting as I see it, the balance and in particularly the Sheets balance is under attack. As we saw in Social Media

We are given “With distressed exchanges, Wall Street has found a way to restructure balance sheets that avoids Chapter 11” does this mean that financial means are no longer to be trusted in America? We get that people want to avoid their business to be seen as bankrupt, but to rebalance their books and with the approval of Wall Street is taking it a little bit far. I am not completely surprised with this action as I have said on several occasions that America is bankrupt, but to see it in action, for financial institutions like Wall Street to sound the clarion call to make it so that they appear not to be in ‘distress’ is a first clear setting for other people to take their investments out of America as soon as possible. And I get it, it is merely my point of view. So, tell me how do you react to the setting that the Financial Times is giving you? I did not read the article as it is behind a paywall, but the gist of the story is clear. And it is not about the ‘subtle’ setting of tax avoidance versus tax evasion. It is about restructuring your balance sheet. Like the Dutch banks did in 2013, the SNS bank put all the buildings in their care under a ‘bad investment’ book and the Dutch bank SNS Reaal and its banking operations, which was nationalized by the Dutch government on February 1, 2013, to prevent its insolvency and support the financial sector. As it was said (from sources) This action led to shareholders and subordinated bondholders losing their entire investments, as the Dutch state stepped in to prevent a larger financial crisis. The bad investments, primarily in real estate, led to substantial write-downs and ultimately forced the government to intervene and restructure the company. That happened before and I never accepted that action, now we see this in America on a much larger scale and it would be my (non-expert advice) to get out of their as quick as your legs (and privet jets) can take you and invest it somewhere more worthy.

This now gets me to the second setting I saw in Social Media. As some might say, Microsoft is at it again.

With ‘Microsoft said to block IDF from cloud system over use in surveillance of Palestinians’ we are given that “unit 8200 ‘violated terms of service’ in storing of phone recordings; military officials say unit backed data up ahead of time, no info lost” it is a simple setting that the backups are set towards ‘other’ sources like MySQL (or something like that) and fir the record, what evidence is there? I am not saying it isn’t true, I am asking what evidence did Microsoft have? Were they looking into the accounts of their customers? I am asking because that would be the first reason that people would drive their business to Amazon/Google/IBM/Oracle/Snowflake at the first light of day. I personally think it is the Microsoft way to make political statements and as they can slap Israel around and looking good doing it, that is what they are likely to do. Not an innovative bone in that rotten carcass (at present). And the media display is on my side of the cookie. They give us “Microsoft recently terminated the Israeli military’s main signals intelligence unit’s access to some of its services, after it allegedly used the Azure cloud platform for expansive surveillance of Palestinians, according to a Thursday report. According to the UK’s The Guardian, Microsoft told Israeli officials last week that the IDF’s Unit 8200 had “violated the company’s terms of service by storing the vast trove of surveillance data” on Azure.” (Source: times of Israel) and how was this data ‘begotten’? I reckon that the IP engines are running 24:7 to get the next iteration that Microsoft doesn’t have (this is speculative). As such there is a massive run for all IP holding cloud users to run away from Microsoft and go somewhere else. I already listed the top 4 above (in alphabetical order) and that is before we consider MySQL and whatever else is in the field. I reckon that the IDF needs to reevaluate its connections to Microsoft. I remember the IDF to be massively aware of what its technical abilities were and to see “far-left activist outlet +972 Magazine said Microsoft’s Azure software was used by Unit 8200 to store countless recordings of mobile phone calls made by Palestinians living in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip” implies that either Microsoft has too many zero day issues or there is an informer in Microsoft. My personal view is that there is no Israeli stupid enough to give +972 Magazine a hand. So my view is a little biased, but the is where I am at this time. And that will impact America too. Perhaps Amy Hood and Satya Nadella need to have a meeting with Wall Street and the Financial Times to restructure their balance sheets too, as is, they might need that assistance before too long. 

And this is where the American economy is heading it seems. So whilst we are ‘given’ ‘US economy expanded at a surprising 3.8% pace in significant upgrade of second quarter growth’ I have to wonder, is that because of the new balance sheet settings?

And if you have not used the new balance sheet methodology, have a great weekend and enjoy your coffee, for the rest I say, are you sure you can afford the coffee today?

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September 24, 2025 · 05:01

The overlook factor

That is all on me. Or basically better stated, there were other factors in place. First there was the Amazon Luna, the setting was open to them, but like Google, Amazon left billions on the floor. So I moved on, hoping that Kingdom Holding would buy the Google Stadia to further their own capital and throughput to their community. But that didn’t happen either. To see this setting we need to take a step back and look why the Google Stadia ‘failed’. The published ‘works’ give us:

Google Stadia failed due to a combination of a flawed business model, insufficient exclusive games, and poor marketing. Gamers were hesitant to purchase games on a new platform with an uncertain future, especially when compared to established alternatives like Xbox Game Pass. The inconsistent technical performance and the closure of Google’s own game development studios further eroded user confidence, leading to the platform’s shutdown in January 2023. 

In addition we are given:

1. Business Model & Pricing:
Confusing Model: Stadia was both a subscription service and a game store, which confused potential users about what they were getting and how to pay. This could be easily fixed. In my ‘oversimplified model’ I set the idea to an annual setting of $90 dollars, or $9.99 a month, first two months free to counter the purchase of the Stadia. In this setting I am foreseeing an initial annual revenue of $2-$3 billion, after that (during phase 1) the revenue would top up to about $6 billion.
High Purchase Prices: Unlike competitors, Stadia required users to purchase games outright, which was a hard sell for a platform that didn’t have a console.  This item falls away at present.

2. Lack of Exclusive Content: 
Few “Killer” Games: Stadia failed to attract users with a strong lineup of exclusive, must-have games that would justify switching from competing platforms. The stadia will not be competing, it goes in another direction. It still have games, but is part of a tripod of services, as such it has another direction.

3. Marketing & User Adoption:
Poor Marketing: Many people, even within Google, were unaware of Stadia. The marketing efforts were misdirected and did not resonate with potential users. This is easily fixed, the setup allows for a population of 50,000,000 users and there is a business part that will show to be transparent.
Unclear Target Audience: The platform’s target audience was not well-defined, leading to confusion about its purpose and value proposition. I solved that from basically day one.

4. Technical Issues: 
Connection & Latency Problems: While cloud gaming is dependent on internet speeds, some users experienced technical issues, including frustrating delays and sudden crashes, even with good connections. This might be a problem, But if Amazon could fix it, so could Google, were the right settings set in motion? Also, the premise of the Stadia changes, as such some games will not have latencies, only games like Epic Games depend on this.

5. Google’s Priorities & Image:
Lack of Long-Term Commitment: Google’s history of abandoning projects further damaged trust in Stadia, especially after its closure was announced. Optionally no longer a problem.

Unrealistic Expectations: Google reportedly had very high expectations for Stadia from the outset, expecting a scale similar to the Play Store, which may have been unrealistic for the nascent cloud gaming market. This is on Google, the setting changes and as such so does the expectation of things. I expected up to $6,000,000,000 in annual revenue in phase one, after that it could go up to $15,000,000,000 annually, that is a lot better that Microsoft EVER achieved.

Some call me stupid, some call me a dreamer (I might be the latter) but as I see all the tech firms rely on their AI, all whilst Huawei is about to make a move with cheaper options. They are likely to get billions of consumers (1.4 billion in China alone) and as Huawei is pushing through several ides that make Apple and others nervous, they could end up with a massive chunk of it. In the meantime I looked elsewhere and I see the stadia hiding for its own population and there is a chance that China might become one of them, although partnership with Tencent is much more likely. And my idea opens up the Ubisoft schooling setting (I wrote about it a few times) on the stadia as well. 

A setting of $6,000,000,000 is there for Google to activate, they already have the hardware and one of the tripod elements in place. One required Unreal Engine 5 (I don’t know if the stadia can cater to that app need) but that is the setting several left on the floor (and I am not in favor of Microsoft picking up this idea).

So am I a dreamer or are the Tech giants running like Greyhounds after the AI bunny in a spinning retrace? I leave it up to you to decide. But as I see it Google overlooked a massive optional population and now as the game is about to change, Tencent might actually become the winner of that tally. Have a great day and enjoy the coffee this morning.

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