Category Archives: Science

February 2, 2023 · 03:23

Weeping Whinging Whiners (W3)

Yes, that is the double meaning and it is the stage that we need to accept. And most of it comes from the BBC article (at https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-64472806) called ‘White House calls Exxon record profit ‘outrageous’’ with the quote “President Joe Biden has sought to focus blame for last year’s high motor fuel costs on companies failing to spend their profits to boost supply.” As I personally see it, trying to set to focus blame is not just stupid, it is very stupid. You see, oil is a commodity and there is offers and there are demands. A buy and sell setting that has been here for decades. And before President Biden starts laying blame. The blame is at his own address. The White House has had its share of disappointments, but they are on both sides of the isle. Massive changes were required going back to the age of Clinton and in the last 5 years alone other options were available in the form of the Tesla battery, but you all wanted to make fun of Elon Musk, so now he has the commodity you all need (but that is for another day). We are given “Exxon’s shares sank sharply in 2020, when demand for oil tumbled, leading the firm to report its first loss in decades. But the price of the shares has soared since 2021, especially since oil prices jumped when the war in Ukraine disrupted energy supplies last year”, yet the part we all forget is that oil is a commodity, and for the most (with a few small examples) it is a good commodity to have. The war is not on Exxon, the need for oil is not on Exxon, it is on the administrations of the White House. For decades you REFUSED to act when action was needed, and action was needed for close to two decades. You can blame all you want, but to see the guilty party any occupant of the White House only needs to look into a mirror. You alienated Venezuela, you alienated Saudi Arabia and you massively alienated (justly so) Iran and you are in a war with Russia. The four largest oil producing nations AFTER America. But America cannot supply its own oil, can it? It exports the bulk for cash and the American people (not just them) are short on oil, as such the price goes up. All options were cut short and you have no options left and that pesky war does not help, we get that. But none of this is on Exxon, two decades squandered and no end in sight. That is how it is. As such the White House can cry, whinge and whine, but in the end. This what they wanted and this president does not get to blame Donald Trump. Former presidents Obama and Clinton, both Democrats did far too little and now time is pretty much up. As such those who have the commodity oil will have wealth coming towards them, massive wealth until at least 2025, this will continue for a while. Even if the war ends in 2023, the shortages are getting larger and larger. Elon Musk was a solution but that bridge was burned. Cities like Austin, New York, San Francisco, Chicago, Los Angeles will need three to five thousand batteries to make a dent in the oil needs for energy, they will need options for heating and that list is merely getting larger and cities in Europe are in a similar state. One source gives us “Over half a million people will use wood-burning stoves this winter, and industry experts report fears of a potential shortage as thousands more turn to the appliance as demand rose by nearly 40 per cent between April and June compared to the same period last year” and this is merely the UK so what happens when heating prices grows by another 20%? Will you blame Exxon, or will you finally realise that more was required and the administrations of several governments fell flat? 

As I see it this was a system that has existed for decades and Exxon is not to blame, this shape of commodities comes from Wall Street, you do remember that greed driven institution? This problem is a lot larger than you realise and too many people are sitting on their hands.

So let them whine and cry all they like, once you realised they are partially the cause of it, that is when you get to be angry.

Good luck.

 

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February 1, 2023 · 14:02

Insecure Masturbation Fraternisers (IMF)

Yup, that is the slogan and to get there we need to take a little trip down memory lane before we get to the article that jogged my memories. You see, it all started on October 10th 2013 (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2013/10/10/economic-management-through-newscasts/) where I gave the readers “The same day I get the news on a diplomatic escalation in the Netherlands, sky News UK comes with an entirely different matter. Two elements seemed to be in play. The IMF suddenly lifted the economic growth for the UK by 1.4% for 2013 and for 1.9% for 2014. Those are numbers that are beyond remarkable. Sky News showed Olivier Blanchard the Chief economist of the IMF to make this statement. It was interesting that the IMF calls on Christine Lagarde to give the bad news and Olivier gets to give the good news. There was a shimmer of hope for realism as Ed Conway, economic Editor at Sky News was happy to not reject the notion that the IMF have been lousy forecasters in the past to say the least”, as well as “‘Suddenly’ there was good news, a week before the debt ceiling needs to be raided, whilst the US is still in shutdown mode. Let us not forget that Greece, who also suddenly had ‘good’ news last week is still beyond broke, in addition France and Italy are still not in good shape. The biggest issue is that the UK forecast, which was +0.6%, which was a pretty good achievement to +1.4%. That boils down to a miscalculation of almost $18 Billion! That is a massive miscalculation. There is no indication that such errors were made. Consider that the IMF had high criticism towards the tactics by Chancellor George Osborne, UK’s faithful exchequer.” Are you clued in at present. There is now an indicator that the IMF is nothing more than a political presentation tool to hand out lollies for others to look away as credit limits are increased. It is one of the reasons I went towards Brexit. After the speech by Marky Mark of the British bank (aka Mark Carney, a Canadian no less), I saw the dangers of staying in the EU. Mario Draghi was using a Credit card for trillions after the first trillion was a miss. Now, that happens, solutions are selected hoping it will set the outcome to another stage. There is no fault there, but then he does it again for another 2 trillion. Wasn’t it Albert Einstein that stated that only a lunatic will do the same thing twice hoping for a different outcome? And it wasn’t just me, others had reservations too. There was no outcry when Mario Draghi was shown to be a member of an exclusive bank group. So how much did his friends end up with catering to that debt. Consider that bank bonds have a registration fee and commission. So how much commission did these two dozen people get over three trillion? I can tell you that is would be up to 2%, implying that two dozen people ended up with $600,000,000, not a bad run. So why should the UK pay for that?

Now that we are all caught up (to some extent) it is time to look at the article (at https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-64452995) giving us ‘UK expected to be only major economy to shrink in 2023 – IMF’. Now I am not stating that this is not the case, it could be. Yet when we look to 2013 and later, the IMF has played the wrong spades in this game. So when I see words like ‘expected’ and ‘only major economy’ after it took the IMF and Creepy LaStrange (I think that was her name) a year to admit that they made an error of well over $18,000,000,000 I have issues with anything they claim. And when I see “The IMF said the economy will contract by 0.6% in 2023, rather than grow slightly as previously predicted” without clarity I have issues. The numbers could be true, but with the Russian clambake in the Ukraine, the Covid issues (especially in China), the labour shortages and a few other elements that influences the issues, we merely see  “Chancellor Jeremy Hunt said the UK outperformed many forecasts last year. But shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves said the figures showed the UK “lagging behind our peers”” and charts and numbers how bad the UK is doing, but the problem is that the IMF (or Insecure Masturbation Fraternisers) have been too much like a political tool. They proclaim that Russia is getting a positive boost this year but we do not see that it might be mainly woodworkers to create the  126,650 coffins for lost troops, so their economy is up, but who pays that bill? And in the stage of presentation my issue is that these people are all about ‘forcing’ the UK back into the EU so that their GDP can be added to their credit limit. The EU is running out of credit card space, it has been for a year and the UK revenue is essential to turn that about and people need to wake up to the unaccountable overspending the EU is doing. At present the EU debt is well over €12 trillion  with several nations having too much debt. We all know about Greece with over 193% of GDP, Italy surpassed 150% of GDP and Portugal surpassed 125%, Spain is almost at 120%, and France is at almost 115%. The credit limits have been reached and it does not bode well, so all hands on deck forcing the UK back into the EU, but the truth is that once the hardship is passed (which will take some time), the UK will become the power player and the EU will be reduced to a third world nation. So basically at present (a personal view) the German debt of 80% of GDP is the only economy keeping the EU standing. That is not enough and I spoke about that in the past (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2017/03/17/the-finality-of-french-freedom/) in ‘The finality of French freedom’ on the 7th of March 2017 where I wrote “Which is why France is a big deal, that whilst they represent one of four anchors keeping the Euro in place. With the British anchor removed, the stress on the three is intense, the Euro cannot continue with the remaining two anchors that is the desperate game Draghi is facing now. Weakness and non-decisions from 2012 onwards have caused this mess, and of course he is not done yet. As we see in Reuters, last Monday he stated “If non-high-tech companies adopt more innovative technology, that would provide a boost for European productivity“, speaking as the European Central Bank President last Monday, it that so? With what funds? Innovations requires money, such steps have a cost” here I compared the economy with a floating platform kept in place by 4 anchors. It used to be the UK, France, Germany and Italy. Now that the UK is gone, the platform is now in trouble as only the German anchor has any strength left. The economic sea is in turmoil and I already saw this in 2017. Then we got Covid and that stupid bear named Russia and now the economy is a problem, especially for the EU and when that breaks up, the US (Japan also) have no way to go but down and that is what they all fear, they can prolong this if they can bully the UK, but we have seen enough bullies. We all have had enough and that is why I chose Brexit. I could not predict Covid or Russia, but a next economic disaster is alway just past the horizon, there is always a next fire to put out and now the IMF wants to make matters look worse. As I see it, they need a whole range of better and more descriptive numbers. As it stands, at present I do not trust the IMF. Yes the UK could face another recession, but it will be nowhere as bad as the one the EU faces. In the end the UK is part of a Commonwealth and we all (Australia, Canada, India, New Zealand and the United Kingdom) need to united to face the headwinds of the coming storm, we owe it to each other with the acts of irresponsibility we do not owe the EU and we do not owe the US. The US has had over a quarter of a century to overhaul their tax laws. I made mention on this as early as in the age of President George H. W. Bush (1998) now 25 years ago. I say enough is enough and the IMF better give us a lot more and a lot clearer numbers than what we see in the BBC article. That is my personal point of view on the matter.

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January 30, 2023 · 19:20

IP that is to be admired

This happens, some of us (including me) we admire IP, not ours, we love ours. But we notice someone else coming up with a golden idea. We might be a little envious, but in the end, they came up with the idea in THEIR field, which might not be our field and in this case it wasn’t my field. But I took notice a year ago of the invention and I was amazed. Someone came up with the innovative idea that would never have come to me and that is an IP that is to be admired. Before I let the curtain drop, a small set of numbers need to be handed to you. In the US alone 11,000,000 women get drugged EVERY year before they get the wiener up the canal. That amounts to over 30,000 women each day and considering that the EU has twice the population these numbers are staggering. So every Friday evening when the girls go out together 212,000 women will be taking it up the canal (there are two options) without their consent. So when we think of Revlon, Inc., Sinful Colors, Estee Lauder, Maybelline New York, Cover Girl, Chanel, L’Oreal, Lancome, Rimmel and several other brands. They filled their pockets through the purses of millions of women, but what did THEY do to keep them safe. Take your time, in the last weekend alone around 250,000 women took it up one of the canals without their consent. What was done?

Consider this question whilst I introduce the IP. I saw a rehash of an article I saw a year ago. The article at (https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/05/date-rape-drug-test-allows-women-to-discreetly-check-for-spiked-drinks.html) was from September 2018, so in 5 years these firms did nothing? In almost 5 years something should have been achieved. There are some issues with what I read, but the idea has a much larger merit. And 4 students from the North Carolina State University came up with this innovative measure. The idea of nail polish when it is covered with the drink will turn a shade when it is chemically enhanced. They could detect Xanex, Rohypnol and a whole score of drugs. They do not detect all, but the drugging weasels could soon be made to run before they shoot their load. So when I see that undercover colors CEO Barbara Cook give us “They do not screen for other common date rape drugs, such as GHB or ketamine” we see progress. OK, improvements could be made but that is with every IP, I myself reinvented the same IP close to half a dozen times before it seemed decent and that is before others go to town on that 5G IP. But the almost simplistic stage of making nail polish a drug detector is true innovation at the core and we see Undercover Colors, So what about the other brands? They made over $11 billion in 2022. Don’t you think that they owe women some level of safety? I would seriously reconsider what you buy and from whom you buy it. It seems that only Undercover Colors is trying to keep you safe, so why we give salute to the quarter of a million women taking it up their canal without consent this coming weekend, I actually wonder how long they will let this happen. How long until all colours in any nail polish will turn a shade or two when it detects certain chemicals. So I salute these four students from the North Carolina State University for being one of the true innovators of tomorrow. We give credit where credit is due.

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January 27, 2023 · 21:31

Banking on it

This is the case as I read it a few hours before, it also strengthens my case against banking apps. You see, the BBC (at https://www.bbc.com/news/business-64240140) gives us ‘Mobile phone fraud: ‘They stole £22,500 using my banking app’’ and we get “A pickpocket took Jacopo de Simone’s mobile phone and used his banking apps to steal £22,500”. In this case I have a few questions. You see, when I have my phone on me it is ALWAYS locked. A locked phone can still accept phone calls. So as I see “He said his bank investigated but found him liable for the losses so he is still fighting to get the money back.” To be honest, I cannot completely disagree, I also agree with “banks need to do more to tackle it, according to charity the Fraud Advisory Panel” which becomes the issue. I always though on a separate app that is NOT next to the app for certain bank activities and that app needs to receive a code within 30 minutes. And when the app receives three (my magic number) wrong codes the app is blocked from that person until he goes to one of his bank’s branches where they can unlock and reset the app. Everyone is always nagging about simplicity of usage, well if you are willing to surrender £22,500 for that convenience  you are welcome to proceed, but somehow I feel certain that it is not worth that much money. So when I see “Criminals are stealing mobiles not for the device but to try to access finance apps to steal thousands of pounds, the Fraud Advisory Panel said” I feel a little happy as I keep zero financial apps on my mobile. I never ever trusted those and the Optus and Telstra issues we had in the last year merely strengthens my resolve on that issue. As such, when I see “Mr de Simone fell victim to the crime while walking around London Bridge in May 2022 when his phone was pickpocketed” the question comes back “How the hell did they unlock his phone?” Then there is “Use different pin numbers for unlocking your phone and opening banking apps” as well as “Don’t store passwords or pin numbers on your phone” in this case I never put pin numbers there and I do keep some passwords, but they are encrypted and my skill of half a dozen languages helped here and if these people can decipher those codes, good luck. The password for my discontinued UTS password is all yours. But there is another setting, like Google allowing for encrypted notes, encrypted via a number. I am a little surprised that they did not cover that after a decade (well, they dropped the ball on a few other matters too, one of those costed them 50 million subscribers). So there is always space to improve things. But when I look at the case of Jacopo de Simone I at present will side with the bank. Parts do not make sense, but the issue of improving security on banking apps remain, more needs to be done and a separate app makes sense. It reminds me of a solution 30 years ago that the insurance agent Aegon had. They called it Aegon LAR. The app contacted the server that agent X needed contact and within 60 seconds the server contacted the agent. As such all the security was on the server side and triggering a hack would not work from a remote location, it contacted the router on a specified number and there were security protocols in place, so you had to be there, you needed the codes and any deviation would stop activities. Simple and  decently safe. How come we let all that slide for simplicity and ease of use? 

It never made sense to me and I do not need a banking app for a few reasons and my distrust of security levels on a few levels makes me avoid ALL banking apps. It is just how I am wired, nothing personal, it is the application of Common Cyber Sense.

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January 24, 2023 · 21:09

As I aid timing

There is a stage that is coming. I have stated it before and I am stating it again. I believe that the end of Microsoft is near. I myself am banking on 2026. They did this to themselves, it is all on them. They pushed for borders they had no business being on and they got beat three times over. Yes, I saw the news, they are buying more (in this case ChatGPT) and they will pay billions over a several years, but that is not what is killing them (it is not aiding them). The stupid people (aka their board of directors) don’t seem to learn and it is about to end the existence of Microsoft and my personal vies is ‘And so it should!’ You see, I have seen this before. A place called Infotheek in the 90’s, growth through acquisition. It did not end well for those wannabe’s. And that was in the 90’s when there was no real competition. It was the start of Asus, it was the start of a lot of things. China was nowhere near it was not in IT, now it is a powerhouse. There are a few powerhouses and a lot of them are not American. So as Microsoft spends a billion here and there it is now starting to end up being real money. They are in the process of firing 10,000 people, so there will be a brain drain and player like Tencent are waiting for that to happen. And the added parts are merely clogging all and bringing instability. Before the end of the year We get a speech on how ChatGPT will be everywhere and the massive bugs and holes in security will merely double or more. So after they got slapped in the Tablet market with their Surface joke (by Apple with the iPad), after they got slapped in the data market with their Azure (by Amazon with their AWS) and after they got slapped in the console market with their Xbox System X (by Sony with their PS5) they are about to get beat with over 20% of their cornerstone market as Adobe gets to move in soon and show Microsoft and their PowerPoint how inferior they have become (which I presume will happen after Meta launches their new Meta) Microsoft will have been beaten four times over and I am now trying to find a way to get another idea to the Amazon Luna people.

This all started today as I remembered something I told a blogger and that turned into an idea and here I am committing this to a setting that is for the eyes of Amazon Luna only. No prying Microsoft eyes. I have been searching mind and systems and I cannot find anywhere where this has been done before, a novel idea and in gaming these are rare, very rare. When adding the parts that I did write about before, I get a new stage, one that shows Microsoft the folly of buying billions of game designers and none of them have what I am about to hand Microsoft. If I have to aid a little hand to make 2026 the year of doom for Microsoft, I will. I am simply that kind of a guy. They did this all to themselves. I was a simple guy, merely awaiting the next game, the next dose of fun and Microsoft decided to buy Bethesda, which was their right. So there I was designing and thinking through new ways to bring them down and that was before I found the 50 million new accounts for the Amazon Luna (with the reservation that they can run Unreal Engine 5) and that idea grew a hell of a lot more. All stations that Microsoft could never buy, they needed committed people, committed people who can dream new solutions, not the ideas that get purchased. You see, I am certain that the existence of ChatGPT relied on a few people who are no longer there. That is no ones fault, these thing happen everywhere. Yet, when you decide to push it into existing software and existing cloud solutions, the shortcomings will start showing ever so slowly. A little here and a little there and they will overcome these issues, they really will, but they will leave a little hole in place and that is where others will find a way to have some fun. I expect that the issue with Solarwinds started in similar ways. In that instance hackers targeted SolarWinds by deploying malicious code into its Orion IT monitoring and management software. What are the chances that the Orion IT monitoring part had a similar issue? It is highly speculative, I will say that upfront, but am I right? Could I be right?

That is the question and Microsoft has made a gamble and invested more and more billions in other solutions whilst they are firing 10,000 employees. At some point these issues start working in unison making life especially hard for a lot of remaining employees at Microsoft, time will tell. I have time, do they?

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January 21, 2023 · 11:30

Another trove

It all started this morning when my eyes caught the news on the BBC giving us ‘Google parent Alphabet to cut 12,000 jobs’ (at https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-64346921) and I get it, Amazon, and a few others are all shedding jobs. It is their way, or at least it is the direction of Wall Street and that set me to think. It connects to the old thought one mans garbage is another mans treasure. It is not that ‘blunt’ but several thoughts started to connect and there we see the larger stage. I saw it initially in the acts by Amazon. Here I am not making claims, these things happen, but I did have an idea. You see I cannot really talk about the entire setting, because two elemental cards ned to be played and if that happens than there will be a larger stage of profit, all because some people decided not to look, decided not to investigate and the people on top merely have the Wall Street directive to adhere to. The funny part is that Google went from nothing to great by not adhering to Wall Street, now they hand over the reigns to certain parties that could make a bundle and a large one at that. But about that more soon enough. The two cards need to be played or that wannabe Microsoft walks in and suddenly wants it all, like a yapping chihuahua going nuts like ‘Try Azure, Azure smells nice’ and we have quite enough of that. 

We are also given “Mr Pichai announced severance packages for US employees, who will receive at least 16 weeks of salary, their 2022 bonus, paid vacations and six months of health coverage. He said he remained “optimistic about our ability to deliver on our mission, even on our toughest days”” this is how the world turns and there is also a much larger usage for the US department of Defence. These engineers will find an eager military cyber division in need of these people and I see nothing wrong with that. If these people can start tomorrow making the USA safer from cyber issues, they get to pocket those 16 weeks as a nice bonus. This is how the world goes and I am not making any rash comments on that. I would do exactly the same in their position. But the brain drain will happen and it will hit Google optionally less than Amazon, but that is how it is. When the two cards are played I will tell you more. I will give you one hint, the Kingdom Holding Company stands to make billions a year with a starting run of 1-3 years, if they looked at what I told them it will give them much more and they will need programmers, a serious amount of those and guess what, Google is about to let go of hundreds of them. How convenient for all involved (for me a little more fortunate than others) but that is my acquired rights and the KHC will rake in a long term solution that makes them a much larger player long before 2030 when it really becomes an additional opportunity in more than one direction. 

So here is hoping (me hoping on me getting the VoC chest of plenty) on what comes next and I prefer to get it before China figures out what they are missing out of. What a way to start my Sunday. Time for a nice cappuccino.

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January 17, 2023 · 22:52

Reflecting on reason

This we all have to do, sometimes a little more often than others. I do reflect on reason and I do so for several reasons. You see, when I put IP on my blog in ‘Girdle your loins’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2022/11/30/girdle-your-loins/) on the 30th of November. There was one element (actually two) that were not clear. The first was essential for part of the solution. It required Amazon Luna to be able to run Unreal engine 5 applications. That was essential for one of the elements of that solution. I did not know if it did. The second part was unknown to me. You see, I am coming at this from a very different angle. The Amazon people are all about whatever they are about. I was about creating safe spaces. An element that they all ignored. And they only got 270,000 subscriptions in a year. Here I am offering a new stage where they get 50,000,000 subscriptions. No wonder they aren’t taking me seriously, they have no clue what they could achieve. But I still have some faith in the Kingdom Holding Company. You see they get a few additional setting in this way, apart from adding initially merely 10% to their revenue, they stand to make a whole lot more and create new streams of revenue in that process as well. You see if one cannot see, the other might take notice and that is the place where I get to collect my golden retirement voucher to say the least. 

For Amazon it is less happy news, you see if I can see what they cannot spot there is a larger problem with Amazon and all the revenue issues they have is merely the beginning of a lot more cautious moves (like firing too many people). A stage where merely 1% of my solution implies a 200% growth to the Luna population in nothing to be sneered at. And that was merely the first phase. It is after that that the revenue really comes rolling in, merely because no one has taken that step before, they never dared to make such a move, but streaming allows for a lot more and that is where I saw opportunity and at that stage it becomes a lot more options, especially if you have the insight into social markets. For the Kingdom Holding Company there is a second avenue. If they purchase Google Stadia (providing it supports Unreal Engine 5) they could own it all and the others will merely sigh at the corner watching their streams shrink even further. The data point merely show the clusters making 800 million, that leaves another billion all over the place (including Europe and America) and that is the grow stage, but that is only in some part of phase one, the clusters are the best phase one representation and 50 out of 800 is realistic in a few ways, as such I stand by my guns and here I show what one is missing out on whilst the other could make a clean sweep. When this comes to pass two additional events happen. In the first Facebook will take a loss and not a small one. They will not lose people, but a chunk of that will share somewhere else, their timelines will diminish. Then the market opportunities in the Islamic world shifts and Facebook, Google and Amazon will take losses there too, which is funny as Google had the option (with Amazon) to take control, it is seemingly lost to them. Should The Saudi Government take one of the two as partner, the stage changes even further and that I when phase two goes into early acceleration with an optional 200,000,000 subscriptions making that solution the number one streamer and that is where Amazon (Google too) were asleep. They dared not think in those terms, not with only 250,000 subscriptions. But they looked in the wrong direction and with the wrong glasses, at that point you get to see a very different play area and a massive population that is interested, because they all overlooked the power of a safe space. 

So was I wrong? Was I delusional? I put most of it (not all) in my blogs. So you get to decide, but I feel certain I was always awake and looking in the right direction. 

It was really that simple. 

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January 15, 2023 · 20:34

The theory of new

Before I connect to the story of today which BBC gives us is something from my past. In the 80’s I learned that there are 4 basic stances. Attack, defend, avoid and evade. The last two are not the same. In one we deflect here the attacker goes in the other we avoid where the opponent is expecting to be. It helped me in many of the stages I ever faced. It is the basic of being, that is how I saw it anyway. So these matters were in my mind when an article hit my eyes. It was ‘US-China chip war: America is winning’ (at. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-pacific-64143602), are they? Really?

You see the article gives us “These tiny fragments of silicon are at the heart of a $500bn industry that is expected to double by 2030. And whoever controls the supply chains – a tangled network of companies and countries that make the chips – holds the key to being an unrivalled superpower.” I cannot disagree, but the setting is folly. You see for the most in the last 30 years that industry tried to be everywhere and there is a stage where we see them in many places. But is that a good thing, or can that truly be pushed everywhere? Think of it, think of the stage from let’s say 1996 and now 2023. Electronics got to drown everything else. 

Now lets look at the simple image below

It is an abacus, and it comes from Persia about 600BC, there is enough speculation that they got it from somewhere else and that story goes back to the age of Mesopotamia. What is important is that a person truly versatile in this device can get to a result faster than anyone with a calculator and there is the solution, or perhaps the direction of the solution. The second strap is not what is out today, but what was out yesterday. In the older days we had Microsoft laptops, they outgrew their usefulness, or so that was what Microsoft wanted us to believe. The laptops were too slow, but guess what, those laptops became decently powerful Unix/Linux servers and that was a mere 10 years ago. The old PS3 could be broken into a Linux system, which was surprisingly powerful. They got a new lease on life and that is what we need to do, we need to consider other directions. Yes we see all the bla bla bla on AI and on what a powerful system can do, but guess what? AI does not exist. Machine learning does and deeper machine learning exists too and they are awesome. AI needs a lot more and these parts do not yet exist. In the first a real quantum computer is required and IBM is the closest to getting one. Once they get a handle on shallow circuits and the power is upped, that is when the system exists where a real AI could be, the second part is still a decade (at least) away. A Dutch physicist did find the Ypsilon particle and that is essential to get the shallow circuit truly going, but it is a decade away. You see chips are binary. It is either yer or no and an AI needs the Ypsilon particle. It is Yes, No, Neither or Both and these last two will evolve systems into closer to true AI and we are not there yet. So how does it all fill together? 

That is the core and we see part of that with “The manufacture of semiconductors is complex, specialist and deeply integrated. An iPhone has chips that are designed in the US, manufactured in Taiwan, Japan or South Korea, then assembled in China. India, which is investing more in the industry, could play a bigger role in the future.” This is true, or at least it sounds true, but the real issue is what can be replaced with a chip? You think it is ludicrous, but is it? Do we need them? It is a serious question. You see any new technology is derived from the limits of others and as power is more and more an issue in many places, the idea of exploring the field of mechanical computer is not the craziest. What did we overlook? What did we reject because an American told us that their chip was better? They did it before with VHS, Betamax was highly superior, but VHS had the numbers, it is the only reason they won. So what else did we reject? If an abacus can equal a person with a calculator. A system with a time advantage of 3000 years, what else is possible? We forget to look behind us (which is where I found billions in IP) what else is there and what else could be done? And this is not done overnight, this will take years, decades perhaps but it would result in a new technology stream, one not founded on electronics and guess what, when the power falls away, so do your chips. So is my idea weird? Yes. Is it preposterous? Perhaps. Is it invalid? No! There is enough evidence all over the field and seeking replacement systems is not the weirdest idea, not in this day and age. 

Consider one other system, in the old days (a little past WW2) someone invented the Knijpkap (squeeze cat) the torch had a small dynamo inside which sounded like a purring cat when operated. 

The interesting part is that it needed no battery. So how many torches do you know that have no battery? What happens when batteries are not available? We can add a recharging battery to hold that power, or not. But one device completely without battery. So what happens when we adjust this to other means? These are two simple applications, now consider one where whomever invents it reuses a mechanical computer to take the load away (and revenue) for electronic ones? That will be the exercise and it is not an easy one. It takes one with serious brains and a decade at their disposal. But I reckon the spoils will be so worth it in the end. 

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January 13, 2023 · 23:47

Danger Winnie Robinson. Danger, danger.

A weird reference to an even weirder situation. Are we making ourself weak and optionally on route to extinction? That is a serious question, it is not for some script, or some story. Let me explain. There are two settings. The first is the one the wife of Wil Smith has, it was the first time I heard of alopecia areata. I now indirectly know of three more cases. My acquaintance ring did not grow, it decreased a little. The second issue is around mastectomy. I had heard of it and the event is around for a long time, but in the last 5 years I have become indirectly aware of 5 women who have faced it. Both issues are decently rare, so to see these numbers makes me wonder if we (both man and woman) have weakened ourselves to a degree that is beyond normal. Food and other stuff are eaten, but are we checking what we eat? I saw a case about a decade go where a dietician (I wrote about it a long time ago) made the claim that we eat beef, but is the beef we eat today the same beef we ate 50-75 years ago? Hormonal and all kind of treatments to keep milk up might have an impact on the DNA of beef. That was what I would call a wild claim, but is it wrong? Have we indirectly poisoned our bodies? I am not a young man and I wake up with more and more hairs in my bed, so I am growing bald. It doesn’t worry me, it comes with age and at least I will not be wielding the hair of Stephen Mangan any day soon (looks to pubic anyway), and it seems soon I will be wielding a lot less than ever. This is a natural event, it does not bother me. But those who see the numbers of alopecia areata and mastectomy rising should be worried. Man have their own issues and I wonder how many see the bowel cancer results? About 300 a week in Australia alone get the postal card with ‘Bullseye, you’ve got it”. Now I might be trivialising this (defence mechanism), but I wonder why it is growing and it seems to be growing fast. When we see “third most common type of newly diagnosed cancer” and I have a bit of a problem with the word ‘newly’. We need to take heed of so many things Realtors (story coming soon), captains of industry (story coming soon too) and now food? We pay institutions a truckload of cash and they seemingly come up short. You see, before the Oscars 2022 I had never heard of alopecia areata and now I am aware of three (4 if I include Jada Pinkett Smith) cases? 

So this story is not for fun, for entertainment or for anything else than to make sure you check your corner. I am no one, I know people, some are important, others are not. But 4 and 5 is a larger setting especially when these numbers up to 10 years ago was zero on both counts. So am I calling wolf whilst there is none, or are we all ignoring a larger stage? I honestly do not know, but I felt it was important to write this down. As statistics go we see that alopecia areata has approximately 1 in 1000 people, with a lifetime risk of approximately 2 percent. Now on those numbers my awareness of 4 seems rather large. Well, basically 3 as Jada Pinkett Smith is a global celebrity, but that means I should know well over 3000 and I do not, so the math (OK, my view is debatable) does not hold up. The fact that this is all since Oscar 2022 makes it even worse. And in the case of alopecia areata there is a lot we do not know. That is not on anyone, but the stage that our food or environment is optionally a cause worries me and it should worry you as well. And lets be clear this is not about gender. We have all kinds of issues and they re hitting both genders, the question is whether this is properly being looked at. And the beef reference is also apt. It is now a decade since the horse meat scandal and if that one got by for such a long time, what else have we been eating and that is before we get to the consideration that the beef our grandparents ate was not the same beef we eat. That is pure speculation, so do not think this is true, but is testing this premise wrong or a stretch? The dietician had decently convincing data. Data I could not check but someone perhaps should have. So be careful to give support and faith in this. It is in some parts speculation, the numbers I gave were not. The question becomes, have you experience the same thing? Do you have numbers you did not have 5-10 years ago? I am asking, not telling. 

Try to have a nice day today.

 

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January 13, 2023 · 11:54

Inactivity by the overpaid

The Dutch NOS is opening a storm-gate with the article (at https://nos.nl/l/2459559) stating that there will be a power shortage by 2030. Personally I think that he is overly optimistic. I would reckon that clear shortages will be visible no later than 2027 in the Netherlands. The UK will start showing these shortages no later than Q3 2024 and there are several nations in that same setting. The US was already showing them last year, not to a large degree, but enough to get noticed in California and Texas. It will get worse soon enough. I reckon that it will be horrid to live in these places the coming summer. With millions of AC units draining whatever power there is, the stage for these two places will not be a joyous one. I stated that danger in ‘Time as a factor’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2022/05/15/time-as-a-factor/) in may last year and several other articles over the two years preceding that. There was (optionally is) a solution and for that they all needed Elon Musk, but governments are not that intelligent. Instead of catering to Elon Musk, they catered to his anger and now the solution will come at premium price. His battery would have been able to decrease the pressure by well over 10%-20% in 2018 when I first made mention of it. But the overpaid civil servants kept on being inactive and that saving is now lost to them. 

There still is an option for several places, but it will take immediate action, places like Texas and California, as well as the UK, France and Italy will have to act NOW to get something done, because Elon is not storing these batteries and when they have to produce 15-35 million batteries, they can sell at a premium but that will set you back so many billions, that the loss of Twitter is nothing more than a little blip on the radar. And there was a solution, but you all had to make fun of him, cater to fake news and cater to BS settings all whilst Jack Dorsey was given a ‘do not touch’ voucher. So how much can Jack Dorsey add? I’ll tell you nothing and now that you need Elon Musk, what will you do? Bully him a bit more? Consider that when these batteries go to India, Saudi Arabia, UAE and a few other places BEFORE they go to Texas and California. And when you realise that a place like Texas will need close to 1,000,000 Power walls at $17,000 each, the math becomes increasingly easy and it might not be enough. In that California would need in access of 3,000,000 walls. And that is before the added wind and solar collectors are added. One simple setting to overcome the loss of Twitter. And lets be clear, he has no obligation to any of you. He can charge premium prices, it is HIS right to do so. Sucks to be you now, does it not?

And in that setting Texans might still forgo power for 16% of the day when they need power for their AC, a stage that was clear in play since BEFORE 2018. All this before some might realise that a place like London will need well over 1,000,000 power-walls. The numbers start adding up and Tesla has the IP everyone needs. So how will you cater to that? Like a bully or will you realise that some people were overpaid by a fair amount and they did NOTHING. If I saw this almost 5 years ago, they should have been on that hobby horse a lot longer, but they were not. Why was that? 

And the shortage will get worse for the UK soon enough. You see, Sweden (Vattenfal) is already showing shortages for winter, as such less and less can be delivered to the UK who will now feel the brunt a lot sooner and the solution I offered in ‘Will you feel frisky?’ On June 28th 2022  (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2022/06/28/will-you-feel-frisky/) now feels a lot more on point, does it not? So how many documents can the UK produce of efforts they made from 2018 onwards to cater to this need? And that is the setting now, but this pressure keeps on growing, so the worm that hesitates will get eaten in this setting, because the shortage is global and now that the pressures are showing will some ask, why did we do nothing? People have been BS’ing on power independence since the 90’s and when the moment comes, we see inaction. Don’t take my word, check and you will see I am right. The overpaid were inactive for far too long, let them explain why. Oh, and they come with something like ‘It was a complex issue’ feel free to dock their pay for over 40%, it was why they were there and even if that doesn’t solve the issue, it will feel good to see the worm squirm for his lost 40%. Do it, you’ll see you’ll feel better. 

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