That is the setting, but it is merely a speculation. It might be called presumption if I knew all the players, but I do not. We see ourselves in the west versus the Middle East (the crusader setting) and the West versus the Iron Curtain (cold war) or the West versus Asia (Perpetual Foreigner setting), but those are yesterday’s settings. We need a new setting. It is more and more imperative that the Commonwealth seeks a closer working relationship with the Middle East, particular Saudi Arabia and the UAE. It isn’t merely because the money and oil are there. The setting that the United States of America is about to become our most enemy is coming too close for comfort and we need to stay with our Canadian brethren (sisters too), we can watch from a distance, but soon it will be too late and politicians better realise that ‘It was too complex’ or ‘we never banked on that’ will not be an excuse to get away from it all. It starts with the (as I personally see it) the illegal war on Iran. Now don’t get me wrong, Iran is evil and they needed to be dealt with. But a war has an actual declaration and we see too much media giving us the bytes by America giving us that there was not a war in play (really?) We know that the united States are based on laws, which they basically threw away when it suited their needs.
The U.S. Constitution is very clear that only Congress, not the president, has the power to declare war. But President Trump did not even consult with Congress before attacking Iran, let alone receive a congressional declaration of or even authorization for war.
This is the first setting, so as there is no war, it is merely an exercise in bombing civilians and the upcoming looting of oil.
International law is equally clear. The Nuremberg trials following World War II determined that the “supreme international crime” was that of aggression. The International Military Tribunal ruled in 1946 that initiating a war of aggression differed from other war crimes because “it contains within itself the accumulated evil of the whole.” War crimes, crimes against humanity, and all the related international crimes, therefore, are understood to stem from that fundamental crime of going to war illegally. The United States went to war illegally. They are waging a war of aggression against Iran. The UN Charter declares that no country may attack another country, and that “all Members shall settle their international disputes by peaceful means in such a manner that international peace and security, and justice, are not endangered.” It also prohibits UN member states from using “the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state, or in any manner inconsistent with the purposes of the United Nations.”
So we are there at the moment. I also took Israel out f the equation, Iran has been attacking Israel for decades and they now have the United States backing them. The UN is useless, they sided with all opposing Israel for so long, it is not to be considered a factor here. The United States did sign a charter voiding what they did on June 26, 1945, in San Francisco, California. It was signed by representatives of 50 nations at the conclusion of the United Nations Conference on International Organization, with the US Senate subsequently ratifying the treaty on July 28, 1945.
As such we see the clear markings of an illegal war. And the media has this clearly in their history banks, so whatever they do it now seen as invalid, let them chase their digital dollars, but as I see it, the media is now tax liable, and in many places it is 20% or more. Did they consider this?
As such we (the Commonwealth) needs to find a much better alliance. Whilst some might turn to Asia (China), I am mindful that a union with the Middle East is a much better fit. Unions with the UAE and Saudi Arabia might fit the Commonwealth charter better, I am against embracing Sharia law, but it is a low in the UAE and Saudi Arabia, so we need to be mindful that this is a setting we have to embrace the we are there and schools need to prepare for this shift, because this shift has never happened before. Even as we have 11th century hang ups on this, we need to move forward and moving forward with the United States is a one step movement into a debt driven setting. (USA is now 39 trillion in debt) and they are unlikely to be able to pay the interest in 2027. As such we are massively out of time and as Saudi Arabia and the UAE are setting up their tourism settings and the Commonwealth could be bringing a larger part of its 2.5 billion people to these regions (and taking them away from the USA)
So, yes, this is speculation, but ask yourself, did you ever consider that the United States would become the instigator of an illegal war? Don’t get me wrong, Iran had to be taken down a few pegs, but we all agree that we are a nation of laws and there are ways to proceed, the fact that someone is waging water to get its hands on oil (whilst they claim they have enough) might be a step too far for several people and the Commonwealth is almost a third of the global population. So how desperate will the United States become when they realise they played the wrong song in a dancehall that is still set to the conservative settings it sees?
It is about time to select where we go to, I for one am a Commonwealthian and I go where more intelligent people (like PM Mark Carney, aka Marky Mark of the British Bank) tells us to go. I see his intellectual mastery of economics and as we see it, America is losing battle after battle against Canada, because whatever they have is not to confused with actual intelligence.
And I foresee that the Commonwealth needs to take a side and in thesis settings for them there is the Middle East or there is China and I feel (a personal feeling) that China might not be the best solution for the Commonwealth. Don’t get me wrong they do a lot right, but whilst the EU is overturning the settings that the United States gave us concerning Huawei, TikTok and a few other vendors, there is a stage where some options need to be examined and whilst the USA is making acquisitions, it is them not others who are interfering with national interests and for the most we let them. Time to set a new stage, one that excludes the United States, I see that several changes are being made like FourEyes (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, United Kingdom) in a new shape of intelligence for these nations and as sick say the United States is no longer being considered as a valued source. But in business other settings will be required and here my vote goes towards the Middle East, because we are most likely more alike than unalike. I reckon that the Vatican might oppose that side, but they squandered their options as I see it.
Is my speculation valid?
That remains to be seen. I think it is, but I am the one postulating that setting and before you go all high and mighty, consider this:
Were the attacks on Venezuela and Iran legal?
What solutions does the United States administration have to dilute $39 trillion.
And what losses will the United States see over the next 15 months?
Now consider that the more then one trillion interest that is due in 2026 and 2027 needs to be paid for?
So this is interest, not even a lessening of the debt. And was I see it, it is only getting harder in 2028 and now we add the cherry. As the United States is abstaining from NATO, how many bases and people will be made to move back to the USA? My ‘limited’ calculations give me the setting that these troops are around 65,000. Now they end up seeking jobs in the United States, and there is not enough place all over the USA to place them all, and this also implies a reduced return of investments in Europe. The US has to deal with over 100K dismissed staff from 2025 onwards and all to that thousands being replaced in the military. That is a decrease in revenue that might be too complex to calculate, but there will be an impact. So as others are reevaluating their stance towards the United States (Japan for one) what more losses in an age where a nation is almost unable to pay for its interest bill. So what happens when the United States defaults on a $39 trillion debt? I saw this a decade ago when out was merely $25 trillion. The picture wasn’t nice then, it is utterly ugly now. As I see it, the Commonwealth needs new alliances and it needs them fast. My vote goes towards the Middle East, but I reckon that many votes toward China are coming too. Whatever we do, we better do it fast. So, have a great day today.





