Tag Archives: ADNOC

February 15, 2026 · 22:37

Who are they kidding?

That was what I was thinking when I got the following news articles. First there was ‘Rubio says US and Europe ‘belong together’ despite tensions’ (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c2lrdq47149o), which is astounding as Rubio’s administration wanted to court someones else’s partner, fuck that partner and take whatever they could get (which is my version of the state of affairs) and I am pretty certain all Danes see it in the same way. So when we get “The US secretary of state told the Munich Security Conference: “We do not seek to separate, but to revitalise an old friendship and renew the greatest civilisation in human history.”

He criticised European immigration, trade and climate policies, but the overall tenor of the closely-watched speech was markedly different to Vice-President JD Vance’s at the same event last year, during which he scolded continental leaders.” I personally see the setting of “the overall tenor of the closely-watched speech was markedly different to Vice-President JD Vance” is (as I personally see it) set in two ways. The first way is that America is now ‘scared’ that like Canada, the EU will tighten trade settings with China and that ends a few things right there and right quick. The second one is that they are also worried that cash will run out before this administration leaves the White House, something that is becoming a real fear for them. They make claims on the ‘massive’ wins their economy is making, but the American people aren’t seeing that. Moreover, big tech just shed 165,000 people and at least 127,000 were let go in 2025. All these people need jobs and these jobs aren’t coming (back) and that is before you take into account what damage the hospitality is showing. The larger settings here are numerous ways that certain people aren’t being made aware of. Al Jazeera gives us ‘The US economy seems strong after a year of Trump, but is it really?’ (at https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/1/19/the-us-economy-seems-strong-after-a-year-of-trump-but-is-it-really#) where we see “experts say, is that the stock market boom has helped to mask deeper underlying problems in the economy.” As well as “despite the impressive GDP numbers, that growth is not being accompanied by an increase in hiring. While hospitality and healthcare added workers last year, retail, manufacturing and construction – sectors that rely heavily on migrants – all shed jobs.” So basically these tech companies are doing decently well because they shed 127,000 jobs. Costs down, profits up. That is how I see it. And that is the preamble of a brain-drain, because the people need jobs and they will work for whomever pays them. And these so called ‘high potential workers’ will accept a job at ADNOC (or Aramco) to provide for their families, as such the brain-drain begins and they are nervous, because the Europeans are in pretty much the same setting and it is an employers market now. They will take the best for the jobs (as well as a few other reasons) and at that point the people will go where they are needed. And this is merely an example using two corporations. 

The second article was also from the BBC (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cjrq2r9y278o) where we see ‘‘Trump will be gone in three years’: Top Democrats try to reassure Europe’ and as I see it, it is too late for that. They elected a president that made a mess of things, he is accused of appeasing Russia and has tried to take their lands and threaten them. There is something seriously wrong in the areas of the Unites States of America. So whilst they hear ““If there’s nothing else I can communicate today,” California Governor Gavin Newsom said at a conference event on Friday, “Donald Trump is temporary. He’ll be gone in three years.”” 

And there is the realisation that in three years there might not be a United States of America left. The mess is too intense, the chaos is unabating and the American administration mess with their ICE and other settings like the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) issues, the VISA integrity issues, the alleged data phishing settings and that is merely the first setting. It will take the best part of a decade to optionally win back Europe and the Commonwealth and they don’t have that kind of time. They too have their issues and together it might have worked out. With this administration the Commonwealth and the EU are seeing a non-option in play and that is the setting China has been waiting for. When China has the ear of the EU and the Commonwealth there is every chance that it will dump whatever bonds of the US treasury it has left and push the USA over the edge. That is an actual real fear that Wall Street has and the sugar coated messages does not alleviate that fear (like the Disney Credit Card). So these two settings are in the back of the minds of the shakers of the EU and the Commonwealth. So whilst we get ““The reason we’re here is to provide reassurance that we understand how important our European allies are,” Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire said.” Their nation has elected a president who does not feel that way and that is the reality for the EU and the Commonwealth for at least three more years. A setting that seems to be lost on these people, or they might not be able to fix that problem. So after the first failed attempt to impeach him, he was convicted of 34 felony counts, he was reelected and makes a bigger mess of things and there is nothing the other side can seemingly do. As such the EU and the Commonwealth have had enough of that and they are looking for other options and in the back there is China looking at what is in it for them. And as I personally see it, China is merely one slam-dunk away from total victory. If the setting of “The EU faces a significant trade deficit, which exceeded €300 billion in 2024, prompting calls for more balanced trade.” I reckon that if China finds a solution when that deficit is lessened by at least €250 billion, the EU will consider that move and it will not be too costly for China either. Because the open door will give rather large opportunities and should their solutions be brought to the Middle East and the EU, China will be getting the better part of the deal, whilst diminishing the current footprint the USA has on these two regions. A setting that most fear, or they are in dubio because of what the USA ‘spouts’ (as the term goes) but the larger setting is out in the open and the actions of this President aren’t helping anyone, least of all the people of the United States and as I see it, should PM Mark Carney take the lead and set the trades in a prosperous setting towards the EU (and Canada of course) The Republicans and the United Stated are truly done for. Consider this nightmare, Microsoft out, LibreOffice and Tencent technology in. That could be a 20-40 billion a year hit to Microsoft and connected services. Then we get American Tower Corporation out and Huawei in. That is not a given, but the likelihood of that happening becomes more and more realistic, the actions of this America Administration is making this so and the American Tower Corporation is set to 149,000 communications sites and nearly 107,000 properties internationally. Now this will not go in a day, or even a year, but when these two, merely these two corporations shed 10%-20% revenue. It is my believe that the US Debt will strangle America within 2-3 years. That is the one setting no one is looking at and now that China has a dialogue with PM Mark Carney and Ursula von der Leyen that setting becomes as real as it can be. The question is how ready is China to take that lead, or perhaps they want to wait a year for the setting of the USA to become almost desperate, because there is only so much the USA can hide in papers and they are running out of space. 

Am I a doom speaker? I am speculating to a larger extent, but who knew that these two companies could throttle the USA? Who saw the Microsoft v OpenAI break up coming? Just simple questions that should be on the forefront of many minds and the problem is that the media is no longer to be trusted, it goes against their need for the digital dollar. The clickbait hype that too many media are focussing on. So where is the real news? Who had heard of the American Tower Corporation? Simple questions really. 

So have a great day and consider that Coffee with cream and sugar is written as “加奶油和糖的咖啡” till next time.

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February 13, 2026 · 14:59

As the world grows smaller

That is at times the setting, not because we are shrinking, but people leap with larger bounds, seek more distant settings and as distant settings become more and more reachable we seem to be shrinking. For the world this also means that other means become available. And here The United Arab Emirates take a leap, more specifically the ADNOC (Abu Dhabi National Oil Company) seeks to deliver LNG, more even better stated more LNG to the world as we are handed that “Abu Dhabi National Oil Co.’s shipping arm is evaluating the purchase of liquefied natural gas tankers as the state producer accelerates its push into global gas trading. Adnoc Logistics & Services may order four to six vessels to support the group’s expanding international business, Chief Executive Officer Abdulkareem Al Masabi said in an interview Wednesday. The order would come in addition to 14 LNG carriers already contracted to serve export projects in the United Arab Emirates.” this comes with the added setting of “Some of the new tankers could be ordered this year if a decision is taken to buy them, Al Masabi said without disclosing the potential cost. The company said Thursday that it continues to monitor developments in the global LNG market, but no orders for additional LNG vessels have been decided. Expanding the fleet would give Adnoc greater flexibility to market cargoes internationally rather than relying solely on long-term contracts.” Come to think of it, I wrote ‘Sinking a dilemma’ on February 1st 2026 (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2026/02/01/sinking-a-dilemma/) seems like a nice coincidence, because that tunnel might avoid several pressures. And as we are given “Al Masabi also said tensions in the Red Sea have “calmed down,” though the route remains sensitive after months of attacks by Iranian-linked Houthi forces prompted many shipping companies to avoid the area. Some operators have recently resumed or increased voyages through the corridor.” This doesn’t cover the pressures there were, but it is related. If there are more options, more and more countries will hammer the Houthi forces with drones (and optionally actual aircrafts) to keep the Houthi population down (preferable close to zero). But these forces rely on Iranian support and at present Iran is walking a fine line. I personally am still open to the destruction of their oil reserves as an empty coffer wouldn’t allow them to buy any DLE-170 170CC Twin Two-stroke part, as such the problem also goes away. Yes, I know it is a figment of my imagination, but the idea that the Iranian Credit Card is no longer allowed to be used to buy any weapons is a nice dream to have. And as we are also given “Adnoc L&S is adding vessels to handle rising domestic export capacity. The company will take delivery of two LNG carriers this year — adding to four already received — to transport gas from Abu Dhabi’s existing export terminal at Das Island. A further eight ships will serve the Ruwais LNG terminal under construction on the Gulf coast, which is scheduled for completion in 2028.” As such (as I see it) Emirati export is going nicely in an upward setting. 

But personally (which might rely on flawed logic) there is every chance that people working in the oil and gas industry might also find employment there. It comes with all kinds of settings (not all seen as positive) as you might find yourself doing a tour on Das Island which is around 173.4 KM away from the party centres of Dubai and Abu Dhabi, but I reckon that its airport makes that trip in under an hour (call for specifics +97126063622). And that is the symbiosis you would want, work hard all day and twice a week (or a weekend) splash it around in either two places. But I might be oversimplifying the problem. 

What does matter that ADNOC has a growing availability of something almost the entire world needs and that makes it a sellers market. So get your orders of LNG in quick, once the contracts are signed the abundance goes away for you.

Have a great day, time for me to seek out the coolness of ice coffee and take a small walk.

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January 24, 2026 · 06:19

Where are we heading?

That is the setting that I foresee and it worries me. I ‘accidentally’ stumbled upon an article (at https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Saudi-Aramco-Dismisses-Oil-Glut-Narrative-as-Seriously-Exaggerated.html) where we can watch a disturbing element. The headline given is ‘Saudi Aramco Dismisses Oil Glut Narrative as ‘Seriously Exaggerated’’it paused me as oil glut is defined as “An oil glut occurs when the global supply of crude oil significantly exceeds demand, resulting in an oversupply that cannot be fully consumed or sol” it would drive prices down, now we are always ‘in the market’ for cheap oil and even as I never gave credence to a car, I get why we need it. So the article gives us “The International Energy Agency (IEA) this week raised its oil demand growth estimate and expects growth at 930,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2026, up by 70,000 bpd from last month’s assessment”, so who is the IEA? As given (at the IEA site) “The IEA family is made up of 32 Member countries, 13 Association countries, and 4 Accession countries seeking IEA membership” now for the interesting setting. This setting does include the United States (Brent oil) but does not include Saudi Arabia (Aramco) or the UAE (ADNOC), how do they get to drive down the price and talk about ‘oil demand’? Especially with the two largest contributors missing, oh, and it is also missing Iran and Venezuela. So is this a place where whining individuals start doing the Oliver Twist (please, can I have some more?) And where is the justice in making anyone produce more? Oil is a finite commodity and the nations who have it have every right to get their stock valued as high as possible (which is not in my best interest) but I gather that the United States have their stock in this through Brent Oil. As we are ‘given’ that “In 2024, the U.S. exported approximately 10.7 million barrels per day (b/d) of petroleum, while importing roughly 8.4 million b/d. The U.S. primarily exports light sweet crude and refined products like gasoline and diesel to over 170 countries.” As such they export 100% of what they import, as such they want the oil as cheap as possible, so their profit margins go up as much as possible. And for them 10,700,000 daily barrels where the price goes down 10%, whilst selling goes u by 5% makes for an interesting spreadsheet. But I do not see that part reflected anywhere do I? As such I wonder who will speak up for Saudi Arabia or the UAE? I personally don’t care that much about Venezuela or Iran but there you have it. A micro economy that is ultimately bending to the will of America and its need for greed. A setting that is not in the interest of either Saudi Arabia or the UAE and we are passing that by for the need of greed?  And when you realise this oil glut is a scenario that the IEA prefers, because they want to spike their profits and that is only possible when they bring oil prices down, but oil will spike and sooner than you think. With these data centers popping out nearly everywhere, the setting gets a much larger spike, because the planet is low on energy resources. And the IEA has you covered there too. They give us “Global electricity generation to supply data centres is projected to grow from 460 TWh in 2024 to over 1000 TWh in 2030 and 1300 TWh in 2035 in the Base Case.” Consider that setting when you consider that the Energy requirements of data centers will more than double over the next 4 years. That comes down to 25% growth a year and the nuclear facilities that are under construction will not come online before 2035. So where will oil stand in that case? I might not care about oil, but when the population of nearly every country will bitch when their petrol prices keep on spiking, year after year.

That is the reality and as I see it, the people ‘needing’ data centers also need oil prices to go down, so how is this fair on Saudi Arabia or the UAE? We seemingly forget on what is fair. The setting is as I see it jumping into the proverbial exploitation setting of the United States and after Venezuela and Greenland, sod we need to give in to the United States, more over can we even consider giving in to this American Administration and its need for greed? They wasted to opportunities they had and they now have a $38,600,000,000,000 debt. I think we have given enough, time to bail out and time to find more responsible people, because some say that greed is eternal, and until now I really never saw it that way. 

We are in a dangerous time and adjusting the ‘economic’ sentiment to what greed America and its vessels have is clearly the wrong move. So whilst the oilprce article gives us “But the market continues to be oversupplied, the Paris-based agency noted. “Indeed, benchmark crude oil prices remain $16/bbl lower than a year ago, reflecting the large global supply surplus that built up over the past 12 months, in line with our forecasts,” the IEA said.” As such the response “Oil glut predictions are seriously exaggerated,” by Aramco’s Nasser seem to be spot on. And it seems he is alone preaching against the choir of greed driven individuals. And as I see it, the IEA seemingly agrees with him. 

So where do we go now?

Have a great day today, I am a mere 150 minutes from breakfast at this time.

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January 15, 2026 · 07:52

Doubt

There are points where there is doubt, and then there are points where doubt does not come in. I for one have no doubt that President Trump is faking a lot, we see the rhetoric “If we don’t take Greenland, China or Russia will.” I don’t think so, but I have no data that sways me from one side to the other. Russia just got bitch slapped by Ukraine and NATO has no problem to do that to Russia a few times more. China has its own rare metals deposits all over China and as I see it, USA is broke, they need it more than the other players, especially as the oil tycoons don’t see an option in Venezuela. The other side is also about war drums. They will cancel every base America has in Europe. That is nice, but Rammstein is one hell of an investment by its soldiers in Kaiserslautern, when that goes the economy from that town gets a left cross, a right cross and an uppercut, straight into the wallet of that place, but perhaps Germany figured on those losses and will persevere. There are several other bases that gets closed down and I’m all for that, they attacked and they are now putting the fire under Greenland (Denmark too). Al Jazeera gives us less then an hour ago ‘Danish FM says Denmark, US still ‘differ’ over Greenland’ They give us that “US President Donald Trump says in a post on Truth Social that the United States control of Greenland is “vital” for his planned Golden Dome air and missile defence system.” Whilst 16 minutes ago the were given “Now, they’re willing to talk about the possibility of expanding US bases. The US has had a base there for many, many years. They have a base there at the moment, it has about 150 personnel there, but the Danes and the Greenlandic government are willing to discuss expanding the US military presence there. But Donald Trump says that unless it’s under US control, then anything less is unacceptable, and he’d like to see the US move into Greenland sooner than later.” And no one raises how broke the USA actually is, that is the crunch of it all and the is why President Trump needs Greenland, not for any other reason, because if national security was the issue there would have been a base expansion. Its really that simple.

ABC gave us 13 hours ago “He also said he would rather “make a deal” for the territory, but added: “One way or the other, we’re going to have Greenland.”” Which is feeding my ‘USA is broke’ setting, but nothing more than that. CNBC gives us a mere 13 minutes ago ‘Trump, Denmark have ‘fundamental disagreement’ over Greenland but will keep talking, officials say’ this makes it sound desperate, Denmark gave their answer and Trump now comes across as the teenager which is silenced by the girl stating ‘If you shut the fuck up, I’ll have sex with you’. Yes it sounds weirdly desperate and for the reason that he is broke, he needs to take that posture, because the moment he starts mining and not expanding the base and other settings they ‘need’ for national security, my point stands and the global media is shown as utterly useless, especially their economic columns. So I reckon that we can point at these media dodo’s at the next Davos in the desert and ask them whatever they aren’t seeing now, they’ll be getting their daily dose of news with a healthy set of sarcasm wherever they turn. Oh, and I insist on a published list of American Stakeholders, they might have done their jobs, but they get in the USA unemploymancy line, because as I see it, they are through in the EU and Commonwealth. But that is a setting for another day. Another setting Al Jazeera is giving us a mere 14 hours ago was ‘Why Greenland and Europe might have to offer Trump concessions’, I get it, it would settle the pressures that the USA is seeing and that would make Wall Street happy, but that still exposes the President Trump setting with a declines credit card. With “Europe might offer a minerals deal and greater US security presence on Greenland. But will that be enough to satiate Trump?” On one side there is the chance that the shorelines of the American east coast could rise 3-5 meters as there would be an enormous ice melt on Greenland, so happy us, on the other hand, what is left of Greenland would throw its lives in all kinds of hardship and that is not good. And I am a sneaky one, as Al Jazeera is giving us “Copenhagen is tooling up. It has announced $4.2bn in extra defence spending for the Arctic. And it is buying 16 more F-35 fighter jets (from, of course, the US). But even so, Denmark would have little chance against the full might of the US military.” There is every chance that those 16 F-35’s will be cancelled and they might buy the Gripen, or perhaps even the Future Combat Air System (FCAS), I think it is not a good idea to buy from the people that are trying to invade your domain, but that might be just me. 

All this whilst RFI gives us 11 minutes ago ‘Macron warns of ‘cascading consequences’ if US seizes Greenland’ here we see ““France is closely monitoring the situation and will act in full solidarity with Denmark and its sovereignty.” Macron’s comments came after US President Donald Trump said American control of Greenland was “vital” for a planned Golden Dome air and missile defence system.” And as I see it, there is some bad blood here too (something about submarines), so as I see it, almost all of Europe is up in arms about this and there might be some consideration that USA could end up getting thrown out of NATO, President Trump doesn’t care about that anyway (several quotes to that effect were given), which will free up all those bases in Europe as well and as Russia is now a mere shadow from what it was (due to the Ukraine) a different setting might be playing out and as that happens, when Russia and China are ‘discussing’ what to do with the USA, the average American will enter a new stage of being a third world citizen. Several mentions have been seen all over the media, but with the thoughts I saw from the data I have had in my possession for over 13 years, the setting sounds right, but I fear that this is where my opinion is not enough. When the infrastructure collapses, the average would be grateful to be a third world citizen, their lives will be worse than the lives the people had in 1932. By then, one of every four workers was unemployed. Banks failed and life savings were lost, leaving many Americans destitute. With no job and no savings, thousands of Americans lost their homes. This time around one in three will be without income, all pensioners are without money and millions will be without a home. And when these banks collapse they will be confiscated by others and picked dry like a vulture goes after the carcass of the banks. That is what I expect to see, but I will admit that my view is beyond gloomy (and highly speculative), the fun I am getting now is that others are hiding behind their AI systems thinking it is not going to be that bad. So they are using training on data that has not existed before, their AI systems are highly unvalidated and none of the remaining data was verified. So when they figure out what that will entail, others will figure out that you cannot train data on setting we have never seen before and that will crush their AI dreams (which never should have existed). And for the Americans wanting to avoid that, Saudi Aramco is giving us 

“We are looking for experienced professionals in a wide range of fields including engineering, geosciences, drilling, R&D, as well as education, finance, law, and other administrative areas. We generally seek candidates who possess a minimum of five to 10 years of applicable experience. Innovation is highly valued here at Saudi Aramco, and thesis work that furthers the industry’s general knowledge of oil and gas exploration and production is of particular interest. Active participation in relevant professional associations is also looked upon favorably.”

So up to 3500 people can escape the hardship that is coming for them. I reckon that I will try a setting with ADNOC, they also need people and I fear that large parts of the Commonwealth will be equally hit. Larger part of the Commonwealth ‘embraced’ the American setting for too long, these firms will implode and the need for data cleaners and data validators will not be in great demand, they are all dependent on firms based in the USA, and when that goes, 4 out of every jobs in that sector will vanish. Not a good thing. So whilst in doubt I say onto you, never believe one source and verify all you can, because you are about to make hardship decisions and that better come through verified sources, because you will be making too dangerous a decision on anything not verified or validated. 

That is life and that is the life you must avoid. And for those people stating that my words are harsh and stated on the way they are, I say “I get that and you are free to consider any option”, but this is how I see it and the fact that Greenland is still playing out is the reason that there is ‘wiggle room’ and if my setting of ‘USA is broke’ is wrong, so is this entire setting. But there have been economists (read: JP Morgan) who made similar claims and they are better at this then I am and when you take that setting with Venezuela my picture looks a lot more precise that anyone should consider wrong and 23 hours ago we were given ‘Venezuela Oil Revival: Years and Billions Needed’, The USA doesn’t have years and the oil tycoons aren’t willing to invest billions in that direction. It comes with the additional quote “According to TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanne, significant investment and time are required to restore Venezuela’s oil production capacity. TotalEnergies is a global multi-energy company that produces and markets energies on a global scale.” And that was for starters, so I get that President Trump must have Greenland, their 57,000 citizens sound more appealing than the 92,600 soldiers that Canada can set up that way when it tries to invade Canada, simple calculus and with that he is attracting the armies of the entire Commonwealth, he could win, but the losses for America will be great. And before we get to that, the USA banks will have cracked. No, Greenland is as I see it the only option he has at present. 

But there is doubt in a lot I said in here and there is a fair bit of speculation in all this, there is one thing I am decently certain of (no one is ever 100% correct), the USA is broke and it is about to show. Have a great day.

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January 5, 2026 · 16:25

The setting we hope for

That is a given, we all hope that certain settings come to play and I am no different. Part of it is banked on settings that are realistic and then there are those that are not that realistic. Before I start with this, one little update. I made mention of a new movie that would scare the nasty cloth out of the NSA (GCHQ too) and I just gotten the first few scenes out of the way. It makes me happy, but now I realise that it is not going to be a two hour event. At present I’m sitting on the first part, but the continuing story will not be a lot more than a short film some define this as under 40 minutes (including credits), That is what I am looking at. Perhaps a TV film? It wouldn’t be much longer and lets be clear. If you need two hours to scare the pants out of the NSA, your not doing a particular good job, but I might be wrong. So the script will be ready a lot sooner than I bargained for. 

So back to the matter at hand. Realistically the employment game is definitely changing because (at https://www.theregister.com/2025/12/23/oracles_new_aienhanced_support_portal/) we get told that ‘Oracle’s new AI-enhanced support portal leaves users fuming’ which was released just before Christmas, so I missed out on this initially, but we are given “Oracle’s new AI-powered support portal is frustrating customers and support engineers who are struggling to find the basics, such as old tickets, links to database patch programs and release schedules for current databases.” It works for me as I have worked my whole life in customer service and technical support. As such it seems my streak of bad luck is ending and when a company like Oracle gets it wrong, there is not much hope that the others are fairing better, which would work out well for me.

I miss customer service and I remember when I was ‘made redundant’ all whilst others were saying that the new technologies were making my job obsolete. And I have reason to smile. When I am shown “Greg Parikh, Oracle veep for information development and operations, said in a blog post that the MOS portal offers new features, including AI-powered interactions, streamlined navigation, improved search capabilities, and enhanced knowledge access.” And as I see it, those who live according to the sweet spot of cheap revenue now see that others aren’t having much luck either and they need to consider their sales track and how they can salvage what can be salvaged and now it turns out that they will need manpower as the most defining resource and that is good news for me. And as I see it (in case of Oracle) that looking at “Users pointed out IDs had completely changed, such that searching for 888.1 — the Primary Note for Database Proactive Patch Program — or 555.1 — database 19c Recommended One-off patches returns error message KA912 as the top result. “Links to other documents, which still reference the old IDs, are currently failing for me,” one user said.” Gives the indication that their knowledge base isn’t doing any better and if the programmers cannot make it work, their manpower setting will drastically change and this is just Oracle. As I see it, there are hundreds more firms who have that very same escalating problem, as such I expect that places like ADNOC (Abu Dhabi) might soon require their own corporate service division and their own technical support making short work of the available resources. I reckon that this works out nicely for me. 

So we have the realistic settings, and the dreamy station of a new movie, or at least whilst I am still applying for jobs, it will have to do and it keeps my but this creativity high, an undervalued ability in customer service. But this is merely one setting. Is it that bad? Well you judge, but a little over a year ago we were given ‘16 technical support tools to look out for in 2025’ (source:outsource accelerator) and some do work, but if didn’t grab the right one, the setting is a precautious one. Do you switch and take that chance or reinvest in your own knowledge base and that setting is dangerous, because you could lose a lot more than you bargained for. So whilst some went into combinations of SaaS, Paas or IaaS, your customers are in a tight setting where they demand service or they walk. Larger firms have even a more robust setting and in this age of fake AI, revenue lost is a large setting of shareholders giving up on you. That is the upside for me and as I see it, my time is not worth its weight in gold. 

So whilst we are given ‘IBM Is Laying Off Thousands of Employees as Its AI Business Surges’ they are also cutting a single digit percentage which in case of their 270,000-person global workforce which implies that up to 25,000 people are being laid off. Now consider where they are and that is not a given, but technical support requires certain people to stay in place and when that is messed with nearly anything can go wrong. Now IBM and Oracle are two of the big boys and they wold have their ships in place. And in that setting we see the Register giving us the setting above. 

So, who else and how much is being slid down the pipeline because some people think of their trolley and forget that other trolleys require assistance. It is in that setting that I think that the larger players need to hold one and rehire their old staff a lot faster before that knowledge goes somewhere else and in both these settings I get to win a better place in the work atmosphere.

Am I right? Am I wrong?

That is usually the question, but I personally believe that I am right because I never expected a player like Oracle getting that part wrong, as such things are looking up to the people who worked their lifetime in Technical Support and Customer Care. Even if it goes more towards a player like Zendesk. The knowledge that they have requires expansion because that knowledge is about to go the way of the Dodo. In other views, they are not the only one and the one who has the most diverse software takes over the others who are lacking. And as I see it, these systems are not enabling systems. They take it all and that is fine, but when we see the kind of failures that Oracle is showing the world, we see a growing set of barriers that could (merely a could here) define the needs for the next decade because all these cost crunchers require AI (which does not yet exist) and now that they are getting nervous, they need to concentrate on what works and what is merely bling for show. As such I feel vindicated is probably the best word. My knowledge is about to get a value upgrade, so I start 2026 feeling rather happy. And of course I could be wrong and I need to consider other venues. Time will tell.

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December 12, 2025 · 12:09

Dropped balls

There are several balls that have been dropped by a whole range of entities (cannot call them people) and there is a larger setting. 

First there is Bioware with an at some point appearing Mass Effect and I wrote about the options of a remade and remastered Mass Effect 45 where you get Mass Effect 5 as well as an upgraded and ‘corrected’ Mass Effect 4. I did this in 2018 (might have been 2019) but it was over 6 years ago and I get that AAA games take time, especially if they are done in Unreal engine 5, that sucker takes heaps of precision, especially in the setting that Mass Effect has (and their is need for precision here) and that is merely the first. Then there is need for pointing out several matters. You see, Google with whatever version they are working gives when we ask for “Intelligence UAE” (I was apparently looking for SIA) but I got 

Latest update:We continue to advise exercise a high degree of caution in the UAE. Tourist visas for the UAE are issued on arrival in Abu Dhabi and Dubai. For the latest information on traveling to, from or connecting through Abu Dhabi and Dubai international airports (see ‘Travel’).
(20 Oct 2025)

Now consider that the UAE is one of the safest countries in the world, as such, we have an issue. Yet when I ask for “UAE safety 2025” I get: 

The UAE is considered extremely safe in 2025, topping global safety indices with low crime rates and top-ranked cities like Abu Dhabi and Dubai, known for advanced security, political stability, and strong law enforcement. While generally very secure, visitors should still be aware of local laws, as some actions (like specific clothing) can be misinterpreted as protests, and it’s wise to avoid demonstrations and follow official advice, as political situations in the wider region can be unpredictable. 

Now consider that I ask this in 2025 and then try to question the first setting. As I have always said AI does not exist and the current Near Intelligent Parsing (NIP) that is managed by software engineers (programmers) and the setting we see here in Google is equally questionable by all who cater in the AI field. I also made mention of this in ‘And Grok ploughed on’ on November 27th (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/11/27/and-grok-ploughed-on/) a setting that many aren/t looking at, all whilst the people at large need to recheck everything some NIP solution is and gives, whilst most of these are quite literally riddled with bugs (also called programmer features).

It started as I was curious about Project Raven (I knew nothing of this about 24 hours ago), I am not completely dim to that setting as Wiki gives us “Project Raven was a confidential initiative to help the UAE surveil other governments, militants, and human rights activists. Its team included former U.S. intelligence agents, who applied their training to hack phones and computers belonging to Project Raven’s victims. The operation was based in a converted mansion in a suburb of Abu Dhabi in Khalifa City nicknamed “the Villa.”” I know that Wiki isn’t the most reliable ever, but at present it is more reliable then the press and the media, but what I needed to learn were names, namely Karl Gumtow and Cyberpoint. Basically as I am also looking for a job, and there was word that they were operating in Australia as well (which was proven to be incorrect). 

But there was a setting that places like LinkedIn never considered, the NIP setting of connected business and whilst we can call this a dropped ball, the setting is clear. These companies can never be found by some as the short sighted LinkedIn people are still on the page of “Are you hiring at present?” And they ask it of people who never hired in the first place, as well as flooding the mail system because that is a metric that they can measure (and it is utterly useless). 

But that setting is out there, so perhaps a competitor of LinkedIn could step in? Considering that Saudi Arabia is advertising that they have over 3000+ available positions (source: Arab News) and not just them, ADNOC is also hiring, but people need to know this and that is a filtered setting. There might be a reason that these two firms are merely looking for local staff, but as I see it, companies in the Netherlands, Germany, Belgium and perhaps France is looking for people they cannot find. As such as I personally see it, LinkedIn dropped the ball there as well. 

Then we get numerous places, outside of the gaming industry and the tech industry Some give us jobs like Healthcare (Nurses, Aged Care, Support Workers), Technology (Data Scientists, IT, AI/ML Specialists, Cybersecurity), and Trades/Construction (Electricians, Plumbers, Managers), so where is that knowledge going to? Let’s confront places like Canada, who is short on a lot of them and where is the offer for UK people, apparently they have an unemployment that recently rose to 5.0% (as of September 2025), its highest level in years, with 1.79 million people jobless. As such where will they go? If they do not want to go anywhere, that is fine, but in this stage, where people either accept jobs in other places or drown in rising cost there is a new setting, one that approaches the great depression (1929 to 1939) in that stage people would travel for days. By 1933, the U.S. unemployment rate had risen to 25%, about one-third of farmers had lost their land, and 9,000 of its 25,000 banks had gone out of business. People would travel to other states to get a job and support their families. It was not uncommon for people to hobo to California or Texas to find a job and send dollars home to keep their families safe. As I see it, these days are returning and people will Tavel all over the EU to get the same, or even go to the lands of opportunity like the UAE and see what can be gotten there. We aren’t in that stage yet, but that stage is just around the corner, especially for America as it is (apparently) “The US is experiencing significant job losses in late 2025, with layoffs reaching a five-year high, exceeding 1.17 million by November, driven by high inflation, interest rates, corporate corrections after pandemic hiring, and AI adoption, impacting sectors like tech, retail, and government, leading to a tougher job market with fewer new jobs and lower seasonal hiring.” I might seem low when the population if over 335 million, but that doesn’t matter to those who lost their jobs and these raking in the money handing out jobs (like recruitment company) and they are merely Direct Mailing all over the place to get their revenue. There is a larger need that is clear in Australia, Canada, New Zealand, United Kingdom, and several other places. 

As I personally see it, they are all in the mindset of “How can I get the same revenue for less work” instead of “How can I achieve more” because the second setting cleanses the Job loss setting and I am not saying that it solves everything, perhaps not even anything, but the lack in the mindset is the new prepared mind, which is currently not preparing at all.

And when you think that the US job losses are high now, consider what happened in 2026 when the impact of snowbirds is truly seen on the balance sheets in Florida and California. I reckon that in 2026 San Diego will face a massive job loss percentage and that is before the B&B that will go bankrupt in California as well as Florida hits US administration records. The Trump administration is losing more and more and as I see it, those waves will hit faster and faster in 2026. In the meantime there is every chance that Canada will be the next El Dorado, right in the middle of the snow as that is where fresh drinking water is found, America lost that setting too, because as I see it, no real investigation had been made for close to 10 years and whatever we see is a mere “Generally safe” and that it is the homeowners duty to check their wells. But no one is looking how the groundwater are impacted by chemicals and there is (as far as I can tell) no real investigation there. 

All balls that are dropped, some merely impact individuals and some impact whole population. All whilst places like Australia, Canada and New Zealand have larger settings to truly check these numbers. Did I show too much balls here? (Sorry, intentional grammar folly) The balls we see are not always the balls we care about, but they need to be shown to show that there is a larger failing and it is a very global failing. A setting we all saw coming, but it wasn’t our responsibility and it was not on our plate. Newsflash! The media isn’t doing its job and as such we need to have a wider look at things that COULD affect us, our families and our loved ones. 

Have a great day, except Vancouver and Toronto where I have to say “have a great yesterday”, my personal ever ready time travel jokes remain. 

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November 5, 2025 · 04:07

Since when?

I saw a message from Semafor. It reminded me of a story that ran the news two years ago. That isn’t always a bad idea, so I checked it out. It gives me ‘ADNOC still sees a long future for oil’ (at https://www.semafor.com/article/11/04/2025/abu-dhabi-reverses-course-on-oil-phaseout) it gives me that ADNOC (the Emirati equivalent of Aramco) gave us (two years ago) “When Al-Jaber took the podium again on Monday to host ADIPEC, the world’s biggest energy conference, he emphasized that “the long-term outlook shows demand growth for every form of energy” and that oil demand will stay at or above its current level well after 2040. A number of other oil CEOs seem to share that view.” I concur and as I see the the AI disaster coming to all our doors, there is no way it can even get the waves it needs to have without oil and there is no denying that it might last until 2040, perhaps even 2050. There was more they gave “One explanation Al-Jaber cited for the switch is AI data centers, which have become Big Oil’s go-to justification for a rapid buildout of new fossil infrastructure. Lord John Browne, former CEO of BP and now managing director of a climate-focused fund at the private equity firm General Atlantic, offered another explanation: The conference, he told me by phone from Abu Dhabi, “was dominated by the American viewpoint, which is that there is no such thing as the energy transition.” The UAE, in addition to bolstering its own voluminous oil and gas production, has good reason to court the Trump administration: On the sidelines of ADIPEC, Microsoft announced it would invest $15 billion in data centers there and that it has secured the administration’s permission to export Nvidia chips for them.” A small smirk appeared on my face. I had seen the Nvidia chips to the UAE, but the side quest that that Microsoft would be investing to set up a data centre there was somehow kept quiet. But it was the last section that caught me. With “There’s still strong momentum for investing in decarbonization, Browne said. But whether, in the near term, the global oil market is in for a period of expansion or contraction, he said, “is about as clear as mud to everybody.”” I agree, there are counter actions happening. The Trump anti-renewable setting is one of them. Then there is the almost ludicrous setting of essential nuclear reactors that American needs within 3 years is another one. There are plans for several reactors, but they are the better part of 5-8 years away and that gives America an optional shortage for 3-5 years. As such AI centers will not (or mostly not) be in some operation setting, then there are the lack of data validation stations and that is merely the top of the iceberg. 

As I see it, Sultan Ahmed Al-Jaber was correct and he was so already in 2022 before I started writing about AI (as it is still a myth) and it is re-enforces by ‘Energy CEOs Warn More Investment Is Needed As Demand Continues To Rise’ by Forbes (at https://www.forbes.com/sites/gauravsharma/2025/11/03/energy-ceos-warn-more-investment-is-needed-as-demand-continues-to-rise/) where we are also given “The bosses of some of the world’s largest energy companies warned the sector needs to invest more in a range of sources, including oil and natural gas, as global power demand continues to rise. Speaking at the ADIPEC conference in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, on Monday, Dr Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber, Group CEO of ADNOC, Abu Dhabi’s oil and gas major, said a “balanced and inclusive approach” was needed to meet the world’s growing energy demand.” A story I have been giving for almost a year, but the setting is that Dr Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber gave us that view two years ago and that makes him the clear insightful voice in a pool of blundering blind people, which I have been illuminating over the last few months. OK, it is not that hardy. There are a few more warning the world of the fact that this will not happen without energy settings and they are massively lacking at present. As I see it, the only country that is ready for this is Canada, the merely have the sent 10% to America and keep the rest and they are fine, Americans might not like this and I reckon that Virginia with their 663 data centers will see almost 60% go out of business due to a lack of power, but that is business for you. That is when a small snippet given to us all by the Sultan becomes apparent “That’s why more than $4 trillion in capital investment is needed annually to cover grids, datacenters and all sources of energy supply, Al Jaber said.” And it suddenly hits me, America doesn’t have the funds. All the boasting and the settings of StarGate and America is out of funds. Was it that obvious that it needed Canada as the 51st state? Not merely because of the rare earths, but the water and electricity would be essential to keep the lights on in America?

Which comes with the final wisdom by the Sultan. And it is seen in “Al Jaber added that “dormant capital” tied up in existing energy infrastructure needs to be freed up.

“Ultimately, the long-term outlook shows demand growth for every form of energy across every market,” he noted. So, when it comes to the energy transition, growing power demand and managing the trilemma of sustainability, security and affordability, Al Jaber called for a “focus on the data, and not the drama.”” That is a worthy quote to keep in all out minds “focus on the data, and not the drama”, as I see it, my new hero. A quote that is worthy to enclose in our hearts. I could never have said it better. I would have gone with “Drama is found where data is ignored”, that is how I am at times, but I reckon that is why I am not the board member and CEO of ADNOC, and the Sultan is. OK, ADNOC was never in the Netherlands, but Shell was and I never amounted to anything there either. So there is that to consider. But the largest setting is that Semafor alerted me to something that was said two years ago and now that is becoming the reality of today and we need to take notice, because it seems to be painting the walls of several nations and it because we let the drama overwhelm most of us. The others (like me) who focussed on the data mostly saw the setting and we are now less and less being drowned out be media as they are waking up to the reality that is about to hit their front doors and their party ended last year, now they either adjust or become obsolete, because the millions of consumers of that media are waking up to the fact that they are entering a nightmare where they can no longer afford to watch TV or charge their mobile phones. That is the price of seeing the price of 16.07¢ per kWh be adjusted to 82.27¢ per kWh, which basically sets the price to almost 100% above the price of electricity on Hawaii, but when that becomes the national norm, 340,000,000 Americans will oppose it (to put it mildly), revolt is the most likely operational setting and there is no way out for this Administration. They made their bed with lousy decisions and I reckon that they will need an escape clause to a place like Argentina soon enough after that. 

So as we see this fiasco evolve, it seems that I was right all along, but someone was there earlier, they saw the setting that was going to be and now as more and more Americans realise that the party is closing, they will need a new directive and they need it sooner rather than later. 

Have a great day, and remember, we got by with candles and their illumination. From that we got the 3 hour rule, which advises against burning a candle for more than 3 #hours at a time for all kins of security reasons. Well, in winter you are a bit stuffed, but open fires will light the way and I just remembered that I have over a dozen books to read. It would become a good time to do so.

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October 11, 2025 · 18:36

The dams are cracking

Yes, that is the setting I saw coming, but there is always ‘space’ for interpretation and at present we see two stories that seem to illustrate this. The first one is given by the BBC (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cly17834524o0 where we see ‘Tech billionaires seem to be doom prepping. Should we all be worried?’ It is a question to have, but what does the article ‘bare’ out? It is not that basic or simple. First we are given “Mark Zuckerberg is said to have started work on Koolau Ranch, his sprawling 1,400-acre compound on the Hawaiian island of Kauai, as far back as 2014.” So, he had 11 years? Seems like overly ‘doom prepping to me’ (is this sarcasm or satire?) The additional setting is “The underground space spanning some 5,000 square feet is, he explained, “just like a little shelter, it’s like a basement”” which seems like the average floor of a mall to me. I think that when the ‘basement’ extends well beyond 1000 Sqft, we can ignore the ‘basement’ label and whatever it is, it is his to do. He might be buying up vats of wine or Cognac, whatever it is. It will be his setting. Then we are given “his decision to buy 11 properties in the Crescent Park neighbourhood of Palo Alto in California, apparently adding a 7,000 square feet underground space beneath.” So here again we get the ‘speculating’ media for the setting of a story. So he might have bought the 11 properties, but what happened to them? What evidence is there? He could have bought this for his nearest and dearest. There are many options. Then we get more ‘famous’ names and locations like New Zealand come up. Yet about halfway we get a clarion call (as the expression goes), we are given “Neil Lawrence is a professor of machine learning at Cambridge University. To him, this whole debate in itself is nonsense. “The notion of Artificial General Intelligence is as absurd as the notion of an ‘Artificial General Vehicle’,” he argues. “The right vehicle is dependent on the context. I used an Airbus A350 to fly to Kenya, I use a car to get to the university each day, I walk to the cafeteria… There’s no vehicle that could ever do all of this.” For him, talk about AGI is a distraction.” And as far as I can tell, I feel like Neil Lawrence does with an addendum, and ad the very end we are given ““LLMs also do not have meta-cognition, which means they don’t quite know what they know. Humans seem to have an introspective capacity, sometimes referred to as consciousness, that allows them to know what they know.” It is a fundamental part of human intelligence – and one that is yet to be replicated in a lab.” And it is part of what I have been saying all along. And we get the larger setting from a second source. It is SBS (at https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/australians-living-in-america-anxiety/p88o60wos) that give us ‘Saving money and packing ‘go bags’: How Australians in the US are preparing for the worst’ where we see “But she says the attitude towards foreign nationals under the current administration has made life in the US feel “scary”. Kate says these fears were brought to the surface during her green card interview. “They grilled me in the interview and asked me questions not even related to our marriage but about my previous visa and time in the US,” she says.” As well as “Many Australians living in the US are reporting experiencing high levels of anxiety and feelings of instability due to the possibility of rapid political change under US President Donald Trump.”

These are the settings that matter. In the first there is the BBC article that is making the ‘doom lecture’ but that is not the setting. When AI collapses like a near empty shell, people will all be tuning for their incomes and playing the blame game, but as we are given ‘Wall Street crashes after Trump announces 100% tariffs on China; $1.5 trillion wiped out’ consider what happens when all these AI ‘vendors’ fall flat, the damage will be more than 10 times worse, America loses 15 trillion. Can you even fathom that kind of loss? That will be the sounding implosion that leads to civil war when 90% of 340 million people lose whatever they had, retirements wiped out, other savings gone, they will get angry. President Trump will have to run for his life to air-force one as quick as his legs can carry him. Evading to Russia or anyone that will have him and his billions? Mostly gone, if not already abroad. Those who bought large mansions outside of the US are likely safe for two generations in France, Monaco, UAE, Bermuda, New Zealand, you name it, some will evade and this is the setting we see. I reckon that people in California will need high walls to keep others out, optionally armed defenses as well. 

Foreigners are now seeing the scary reality they signed on for and they are getting ready a ‘go bag’ to evade to wherever they can as quickly they can. Is this doom speak?

That is a valid question. You see, the AI setting is merely one, President trump soured the waters on tourism which is down in many ways and no reflective view is given by anyone in media. That amount of bad news they find likely ‘irresponsible’ and the media has no business using that excuse as they have been one of the most irresponsible parties ever. Then foreign retail. Canada pulled all the alcoholic beverages from the shelves in Canada. How much is that costing? One source (Source: Global News) gives us that the decline is 85%, that amounts to how much? These three settings is almost a certainty of recession and there is a lot more declines in the papers but the media will not give you the proper numbers. Several sources all giving different partially overlapping numbers. As such the economic dams of America are cracking. And they will lose a massive amount of revenue and while some will give some of the numbers. Most of us aren’t given the full view. I have some of the views as I have been keeping an eye on some of the numbers. But even I do not have the full view. So whilst some give us “The sell-off erased more than USD 1.5 trillion in market value from US stocks. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market faced record liquidations of USD 19 billion. This is the largest single-day figure ever recorded.” The part no one talks about is where are the billionaires set at? We see the wins of Elon Musk and Larry Ellison, but where are the other billionaires? How are they doing? And that disjointed Microsoft view.

Why the Windows maker?
That is a fair question. You see, they were all ‘heralding’ how good they were doing, but the shimmer in the shadows is different. We are given “Microsoft is currently losing money on AI development, having spent an estimated $19 billion in one quarter on AI infrastructure, with no significant revenue from it yet. The company also experienced a reported loss of $300 million in Call of Duty sales due to the Game Pass subscription model” all whilst Activision and Bethesda was bought for over $100,000,000,000 and that has an interest setting. They might be ‘offloading’ staff (over 9,000 according to some numbers) and whilst they and Adecco (firing into the thousands) are all set to AI, there is a hidden snag. When this falls short they will face a setting that is a lot more dangerous. People will not consider them in the future. So when the non-existing AI is set to the need of engineers it goes flat and when there is no one around (an exaggeration) to program your LLM, consider where your firm will be. ZDNet gave us “Microsoft’s CEO loves to talk about ’empathy.’ But everything that is coming out of Redmond these days is perilously close to turning the company into the Borg.” Basically a non-existent setting of people that cannot live in a vacuum and that is an additional side I never saw coming. I was focussed on Microsoft turning into an empty shell and when the substance is gone, the shell collapses. That is what I saw in Microsoft Games and Microsoft Office. It started in 2012 when their service devisions were no longer up to scrap and when support goes, so does sales and when we consider the over 100 billion for two companies its, whilst they weren’t making enough to even afford the interest on that, the picture of failure starts to evolve into a nightmare setting and sacking 9,000 people will not safe it. They are telling us now that AI is the future, but at present it does not exist and what does exist requires engineers (remember Builder dot AI?) It is a fictive setting that is showing up all over America and the ‘import’ people are seeing the cracks evolve and they want out as fast as they can. Which is good news for Aramco and ADNOC as they now get the choice of the litter, but for America it is bad news. So there is no doom speak. It is the returning story of a country who think it is too big to go bankrupt. I heard that story before (SNS Bank for one) then a few more banks and they are all part of something else. And America? Parts of America could be added to Canada and Mexico would be relieved to get Texas (the latter part is speculation) and that is the dangerous reality that others are facing. The question is what does it take to throw this around and whilst Wall Street is in denial. Others, those who can afford it, will be making a new household out of American clutches (like the non-tax countries mentioned earlier) also Saudi Arabia becomes an option, but the is reserved for the chosen few (and American Muslims of course). 

So am I delusional or do I have a point? I reckon that one of the larger issues (still setting) is how America deals with Alex Jones. Because if he gets his ‘blockage’ Americans will go insane, they will not accept that this Conspiracy theorist is allowed his fortune after he went after dead children (saying they were actors, who were not dead according to sources). I wonder where that will go, because as I see it, it will be the tinder spark America will be set on fire. At that point all bets are off and I reckon that most ‘New-Americans’ will run to the nearest airport. This might merely be my speculation and optionally a wrong one. But that is how I see it.

Beyond that, the losses that America is having and when all the numbers come out, the second stage is reached and whomever thought they had a retirement, they will all try to collect on whatever possible. 

It is a hard setting and I hope I am wring, because this collapse will fall over Japan and Europe pretty much soon thereafter. Connected currencies will take a massive tumble.

Have a great day, if that is presently at all possible. 

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September 11, 2025 · 14:11

Beyond the laughter

Yup, we get that, we scream deriving howl of laughter as the expression goes. For weeks I have been saying the setting was one that was merely expanding and people called me crazy (now, there is a case to be made that I am as crazy as any loon gets), but in this case the setting is different. You see (at https://www.hotelnewsresource.com/article138012.html) we see ‘Abu Dhabi Hotel Industry Achieves Record August Occupancy’ and that is less then 24 hours ago. I stand that Abu Dhabi was on a track to break all tourism records and now I am proven correctly. You see, we are given “Abu Dhabi’s hotel industry recorded its highest occupancy rate for August, reaching 79.3%, according to preliminary data from CoStar. The average daily rate (ADR) increased by 10.6% to AED482.32, while revenue per available room (RevPAR) rose by 15.4% to AED382.25. These figures represent the highest August ADR and RevPAR since 2008.” This shows that Abu Dhabi is on the right track and the numbers will impress others even more and within a year, this is merely seen as average. You see, not only is Abu Dhabi building around Yas Island, Abu Dhabi is gaining global population and even as America should have been countering this with their own options. ABC (at https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-09-09/australians-with-us-e3-working-visas-hit-with-new-rules/105752706) is now giving us ‘Thousands of Australians living in US face new restrictions on visa renewals’ and the underlying text becomes “The directive, which took immediate effect after it was issued on the weekend, warns visa-holders against the common practice of traveling to countries closer to the US to renew their visas. Some Australians who had made visa appointments in other countries before the change was announced have already had their applications denied at those appointments.” As I said it, it will evoke howls of deriving laughter. It invokes a brain drain and America wants the ‘Americans first’ rule, but when these Americans don’t have the brain power to set this to a workable solution, These people will seek employment elsewhere and that also impacts tourism, because these people will not go back to America for any vacation any day soon. It opens up stages of profit for plenty of places (including the UAE) who is now showing to be a yummy destination for thousands more. You see, the E-3 Visa is limited to 65,000 per fiscal year plus an additional 20,000 for those who have earned a US masters degree or higher. This implies roughly 80,000 people who are now looking for other options anywhere else and they will seek other than American vacation options. 

A rolling stone that starts an avalanche of economic hardship. I wonder how many of them would consider ADNOC, Etihad Airways or the First Abu Dhabi Bank as a worthy employer? Business Intelligence, IT, teaching people all of them are seeking other options I reckon that this will break up a few marriages and then there is the chance that these marriages will all seek a family setting outside of the USA. It would be my idea for the UAE to start poaching these people on an E-3 Visa. They get to pick the cream of the crop and it might be an idea to do this before corporations in the EU figure out the deal they could be having. There is of course the other place (Dubai) and the people at Emirates NBD, DP World and The Emirates Group could see the impact that they could have poaching E-3 visa people. For them they are looking at a pool of people who have been vetted in many ways already and that could be easy picking for them. Of course this is where the evil sneaky person in me is setting the premise to a Google advertisement on browsers and in LinkedIn applications to get people with an E-3 Visa to offer them a way out. I reckon that they might scoop a little over 25,000 worthy employees in under a month. Not a bad deal for the UAE.

It is with great joy that I bring the people the old expression of the grass is always greener on the other fellows grave, or there are a number of expressions that celebrate the additional blunders that the American administration is making. So as I was shown last week that the tourism drain is set to the $60 Billion (I expected this to go to somewhere in the 80-135 billion range, we now see that aside from that, America is now invoking a brain drain of over 60,000 people.

So, not to kick a dog when it is down, this is all the doing of ints own administration and as the tourism articles are saying that Canada is still happy to avoid America, we see that overall nations in the EU, Asia and Commonwealth are basically all avoiding America. I saw last week that for the first time in history China has a more positive appeal than America has. So there is that too.

As I see it, These people could explore their options at https://u.ae/en/information-and-services/visiting-and-exploring-the-uae

Have a great day and try not to be negative over the dumbness of the America administrations. When one door closes another one opens. 

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September 2, 2025 · 20:43

Act of despair

That happens at times and I reckon that at some point I will have to give in to that setting as well. It started this morning when I was advised that I might have cancer, it might be benign, the biopsy will be done over the next week, then they know what they have. I was unusually cool about it all. As such as a friend of mine was ‘culled’ by the big C (a curry billboard shattered his skull), I can confirm that my weird sense of humor has not been devastatingly impacted at present.

So I have two ideas on my mind. The first one is that Peter Jackson (director Lord of the Rings) still owes me $17.50 He owes me that amount from 1992. But the other one is the one that matters to me. For that we need a small sidestep towards the article that Fortune gave us (at https://fortune.com/2025/08/18/mit-report-95-percent-generative-ai-pilots-at-companies-failing-cfo/) where we see ‘MIT report: 95% of generative AI pilots at companies are failing’, it is here where we see “Despite the rush to integrate powerful new models, about 5% of AI pilot programs achieve rapid revenue acceleration; the vast majority stall, delivering little to no measurable impact on P&L. The research—based on 150 interviews with leaders, a survey of 350 employees, and an analysis of 300 public AI deployments—paints a clear divide between success stories and stalled projects.” The report is two weeks old, but today I had a reason to tag it, it affects my future and as I see it, it impacts it in a positive way. As such the second quote doesn’t quite get us there, but there is an offset. It is seen in “for 95% of companies in the dataset, generative AI implementation is falling short. “The 95% failure rate for enterprise AI solutions represents the clearest manifestation of the GenAI Divide,” the report states. The core issue? Not the quality of the AI models, but the “learning gap” for both tools and organizations. While executives often blame regulation or model performance, MIT’s research points to flawed enterprise integration. Generic tools like ChatGPT excel for individuals because of their flexibility, but they stall in enterprise use since they don’t learn from or adapt to workflows, Challapally explained.” The part missing is data and verification. WE can look for other articles where we see the failures of AI. But the largest setting is never discussed. What we call AI isn’t it, they mess around with “GenAI”, they package it like it is a new version of “generative AI” but in the end it is merely DML with optional LLM in place. It is as I call it “Near Intelligent Parsing” parsing because it is existing data, it cannot leap on non existing data and the setting we see are basically a little more than predictive analytics. It is a next step.

So why is this important?
Well, for me there is a side that has worked in Technical support and customer care for nearly two decades. And as I see it, the quality people who need to act will see it. As such I think that Lawrence Ellison (Oracle) can see the light he is currently coping with. Large customers will need their technical support, their customer care and here I am ‘sneakily’ asking him for 10 million (post taxation) out of his two hundred fifty thousand million (aka $250 Billion) stockpile. Seems like the smallest of amounts. Oh, and I pride myself on being a return on investment I have proclaimed for the length of my working career going all the way back to 1982. That is 43 years of experience (twenty in technical support) and I have none in Oracle. But I know that support settings that any companies have. And Oracle will need these people soon enough. Wherever he wants to send me, it is almost fine by me. As I see it no one wants to work in Russia and America is a big no no (its a Trump card). But the UAE (ADNOC) and Saudi Arabia (ARAMCO) do make the list. And Oracle needs these large companies and especially support staff in these locations. Personally the UAE wins, but it is what Oracle needs and I am willing to move to Canberra at the earliest settings. We seen to be at an influx where the governments and large corporations need manpower. Microsoft and Amazon need to learn this and whilst they falter, Microsoft is shedding 9000 people and investing in AI, but when you consider that 95% falters, you can imagine when these systems fall short, all whilst at that same time, Windows seemingly lost 400 million users in the past three years. Do you think this is coincidence? Yes they can clean some up with NIP, but they will fill larger holes in that meantime and losing people in the process. Google and Amazon are on that same setting. But Oracle is too complex. As I see it, it needs staff in the near future and I am betting that they cannot afford to lose the manpower and I am willing to bet that as they take over clients from AWS and Azure (the latter especially) they will need more people and that’s where I come in. Not merely tech support staff, but as a trainer having made my brand of training people, I am willing to bet that Oracle might have a place for me (even a flake like me).

I have always stood my setting in this and after a long time I am proven correctly and the next generation is largely unable to deal with the support pressures and that works for me in places like ADNOC. So I believe that Oracle might be my solution towards a few settings that never worked for me. And there is something less like-able about forced to hand my IP to Microsoft whilst receiving a mere 0.001 on the dollar. I might given it away in other ways (to others) if Oracle shows to be my ‘knight on a white horse’ and there is something satisfying on that setting. I get to see Microsoft lose thrice over. 

As such those with an affinity with technical support to consider the places they can flock to. I gave some of my IP to Elon Musk (Musk already owed the ideas anyway), and I keep on fueling gaming IP to other channels too (non Microsoft systems) and there the Amazon Luna has options too. Still the news from this morning (even as it doesn’t hit me hard) it made me see that I have to put my affairs in order and one of them is to deny Microsoft my IP.

And there is a second setting, as Google and Microsoft are shedding people, the larger companies need to scoop them up quickly, because internationally these people will be wanted rather quickly. For Americans there is Canada as a first, but do you think they will spread their wings to other nations? Time will tell, but as I see it 2025/2026 will be the year where we all consider the stage of the brain drain. And take that with faltering AI projects, the turn of of places suddenly being short on tech support will falter massively and as we know: “no support, no sales” a nice catch phrase, but their AI will tell them at some point (one might hope).

So have a great day and I will ponder what will become of me when the biopsy doesn’t show a benign setting. 

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