Tag Archives: China

July 8, 2025 · 11:48

O square B square

Yup, sounds like a conundrum but it isn’t one. It is rather simple. The BBC alerted me to this this morning around 3 o’clock clock in the morning. It refers to OOBB, or Out Of Breath Bully, or in simple terms ‘Trump threatens extra 10% tariff on nations siding with Brics’. You see, the setting becomes “the original group of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa to include Egypt, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.” So how did I get to this? Simple, Indonesia has 260,000,000 people (say consumers). People as is now seemingly lost to America and as such they will cater to the EU and Arabic nations (which coincidentally happens to appease my IP as well and hopefully the Kingdom Holding), Iran was never siding with America, but the other two, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE)? Will America suddenly find loopholes to avoid these two? I reckon that if I can humbly suggest to ADNOC and Aramco that they set aside 500,000 barrels of oil per day from America towards China and as such I am humbly requesting a mere 1% of the additional profit by this charter change, or 5% of the additional profits should America pay for the additional ‘hardship’. I reckon that I might score $0.20 per barrel and that amounts to $1 million from either delivery channels per day, that is $2,000,000 per day towards the retirement fund for little old me, as such my dream retirement becomes a reality (living on Yas Island in a nice apartment) and a few additional perks. And there is reason to do this. Someone needs to explain to the White House individual that threats are nice, but at some point people will take genuine offense. As I see it China has already had enough and the new adversaries namely Indonesia, Saudi Arabia and the UAE pretty much has had enough of that too. They laugh now, but the world is seeing the threats of America to be a hindrance of doing global business. So as this escalates they all have a new trading partner in Canada, as well as Australia ands the United Kingdom. China and the Arabic nations will be delighted to get a 100,000,000 consumers who will turn away from America to a much larger degree and Canada gets two additional depositories for Canadian alcohol. 

Could I be wrong?
Absolutely, and that is fine, but to get an option to $2 million per day is something we should never ignore. Even if it starts being a simple courier for Aramco (they apparently have offices in Sydney), as such I could start tomorrow if at all possible. 

The setting of ‘on nations siding with Brics’ was just plain stupid and stupidity should never be rewarded. So as we take notice of “US President Donald Trump has warned that countries which side with the policies of the Brics alliance that go against US interests will be hit with an extra 10% tariff. “Any country aligning themselves with the Anti-American policies of BRICS, will be charged an ADDITIONAL 10% tariff. There will be no exceptions to this policy,” Trump wrote on social media.” shows two settings. The first is that this social media call was shortsighted to say the least and the second part is that this implies (yet again) that is facing a lot more economic hardship then it is ready to admit to and getting that out is a victory all by itself as the bulk of the western media is in denial of this and I saw this months ago, actually, I saw this on October 4th 2021 (world animal day no less) in my story ‘Utter Insanity’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2021/10/04/utter-insanity/) no less. It was (as I personally saw it) the moment the US debt passed the point of no return. All these pretenders with settings like “Next year will be better” and “They are doing really good, I saw the plans”, the second setting reminded me of crazy Star Trek fans, who claimed that NASA was testing teleportation in secret (I am, after two decades, still laughing on that setting). And the bluffing ‘no exception’ is the candle and icing on the cake). 

So, see this for what it is but America has at present a debt surpassing $37 trillion ($37,000,000,000,000), as such they accumulated an additional 12 trillion in just 4 years. So, when the banks no longer go with the ‘we are too big to go bankrupt’ what will you have? What will you do? Because when the banks shut down America loses whatever social safeties and social security they think they still have. It was a simple setting and you could have gotten there if someone explained the working of the Abacus. A calculator that was invented a mere 4400 years ago. So whilst the article also gives us “Last week, Trump said Japan could face a “30% or 35%” tariff if the country failed to reach a deal with the US by Wednesday.” All kinds of threats we see, but acting on these threats implies that America is willing to burn the bridges it has and now that three new players enter the scene, the setting changes. Does the world need America? Canada and the rest of the Commonwealth doubt this, now that the Arabic countries are added to the masses, more will doubt that setting. So whilst America implodes through the threats they are voicing, the UK needs to find a way to get back to the majority of the Commonwealth as the rest unites with Canada. Now that America is opening a new battle ground with the BRICS nations (in all honesty, no one cares about Russia) the setting changes and America soon needs to rely on Russia and Venezuela for oil. That should be fun watching this unfold on TV. I reckon that this setting gets more viewers than the Kardashians. A simple setting that had nowhere to go from the very beginning. I know it is merely my view, but if you consider the setting and the debts and other hardships America called over itself you would see the same thing.

Consider that over the next 8 weeks as tourism in America dies, consider all the other connected services that will fail and consider then that America will need to come up with 4.06% of 37 trillion, a mere 8.3% of that due on a monthly basis and that is how America edges towards an abyss of none avoidance. That is the setting of any bully, when the invoice is due, they suddenly have people to blame and all other excuses come forth, they never fess up to the mess they clearly created. 

As I personally see it, this threat was the one he should never have made, not with Saudi Arabia and the UAE in the mix. Have a great day.

Saudi Arabia, UAE, United Arab Emirates, BBC, Commonwealth, Canada, Russia, China, BRICS, Japan, EU, President Trump, Aramco, ADNOC, Indonesia, Abu Dhabi, Kingdom Holding, 

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July 5, 2025 · 14:27

Honey and ladders

Yup, it sounds and is a Childs game. It is based on the old original Snakes and ladders, which I haven’t played since the 70’s I reckon. I saw this Childs game in a larger version in a place called Burwood. Where the honey is the decline and the ladders go up. It is a simple game and this game only has 36 squares. A simple game with a roof in the open as such parents gets to have fun with their children, or even children playing together. A small 30 minutes of joy I reckon.

Still a game with a few natural settings. There is joy and less joy and it takes you on the rollercoaster of high and low. A setting that the American Administration has never apparently seen as the Independent (at https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/us-tourism-decline-trump-policies-b2782820.html) gives us ‘US is the only country facing tourism decline as Trump policies to cost $29 billion in visitor revenue: study’, although I don’t completely agree with the setting as America is the only country facing a tsunami of abandonment   and as such I reckon the the word ‘decline’ is not incorrect, it is merely highly misleading when we look at the ‘decline’. I wrote about it earlier, but the numbers have drastically increased and a country that has so little going for it needs all the marbles they can muster. As such we might stop at “Amid the president’s immigration crackdown, travel bans and sweeping global tariffs, the U.S. is expected to be the only one out of 184 countries to see foreign visitor spending fall in 2025, according to the World Travel and Tourism Council.” With the addition of “The study suggests that the U.S. economy is on track to lose $12.5 billion in international spending this year alone – but the actual shortfall might be much greater.” This implies that the amount of small businesses that go down is vastly understated and America will be on route of the largest unemployment wave they have seen in decades. It does not help that Microsoft is laying of another 9000 people, IBM laid of 8000, just to rehire them (I reckon that they have new contract stipulations), Meta gets rid to up to 20% for teams over 150 men, so the total isn’t visible to me, but when you add the numbers. TechCrunch gives us that 2025 will be at the expense of over 22,000 jobs. So, I reckon that Aramco might be shopping for willing people as it is massively expanding. So in this new settling atmosphere the decline of 29 billion is more than bad news and in the meantime the wannabe influencers on YouTube are exploding that bad news through the same story edited in new ways with different examples making the impact seem wore than it is. Don’t get me wrong, 29 billion is plenty bad, but you don’t need to exploit it twice over. I reckon this is done to get more followers. Not a game I am willing to play mind you.

Still the bad news is apparently taken in strides with the America Administration at this point. As such whilst the Guardian gives us “US adds 147,000 jobs in June, surpassing expectations amid Trump trade war”, so was this including the 8,000 jobs that IBM added whilst firing them in the first place? A setting that the byline hands us with “Economists anticipated drop, but 8,000 new positions were added in June compared with May, with unemployment rate down to 4.1%” what a coincidence, did IBM just rehire these people? Is it therefor a new job or a rehired job? I actually don’t know and that is the ‘enigma’ of black bookkeeping based on ‘active’ souls. I will have to ask Mephisto when I see him again. 

In other news, there is a growing concern for the economy, the news comes from Fox, so take this in stride as they have shown a few times to butter the bacon. The news ‘Americans trapped in side hustle economy as 9-to-5 jobs no longer pay the bills’ and I personally feel that the setting that players like Uber Eats bring. I reckon that this is the kind of side hustle that comes with hidden traps (they say they don’t but I reckon that people assume a few matters, while these players leave them in the dark for a reason. As such, things like Fuel, insurance and a few other settings are not (as I personally see them) clearly defined. There is the setting of “account hacking and unauthorized orders.” As such I get that one such an issue and your day income is pretty much gone. As such (and Uber Eats is not the only player in town) there are a few settings where the danger to side-hustles is the larger danger to the income over all. This will come to blows soon enough. I reckon that before the end of summer a few situations will get out of hand and this will mean that there is another down wind hitting the industries. Because these restaurants will depend on deliveries. And without deliveries, you are a food place in the middle of nowhere with no place to go. 

Adding these elements together and you do not have great news. More like a tragedy of unbridled proportions. And whilst this morning the Financial Review gives us ‘Trump plans to start notifying countries of US tariffs of up to 70pc’, I reckon the bloc of nations that will set new borders towards normalizing the stage they have with nations that were previously seen as ‘hostile as per American notice’, there is even a larger concern that some of these nations might enter the bloc with China, lets face it, they have nothing more to lose and as such America loses a lot more than they bargained for a educational step that honey and ladders bring. The steps you need to take to get to the next ladder to cross. And this game is rigged by governments themself. A setting we rarely see, but now with the EU, in disarray, the chance is more likely then not that China gets to call EU ministers and offer ‘a helping hand’, this implies the losses of a lot more billions and actually bring hardship to the American tech as these people will now consider change. Consider Huawei, TikTok, Tencent and Alibaba. How much damage can they do to the American economy? And when the EU and the United Kingdom are convinced. How much effort does China need to make to get Australia and New Zealand on board? At that point the only ‘ally’ America has is the one they pissed of the most (yes, it is Canada). Is this scenario beyond realism? I don’t think so and the setting that America with Tariffs and Tourism gave us was a mere start of more and the setting that we were ‘sullied’ into a complacent setting of what democracy is.

As such the EU and others are now seeing America as the big evil, not the liberator, but the bully that stops democracy. In this, this morning I was given an image as to what America is. It is a strong view of what the ‘anti-Americans’ see America developing in. I am not on their level. I am merely anti-stupid and I am seeing way too much of that too.

So have a great day and consider what you stand with and what you remain silent about. For me it is easy, as a Commonwealthian I am massively pro-Canada. It is really that simple. So any move America makes against Canada, I see it personal as all those in the Commonwealth need to see this (Australia, New Zealand, United Kingdom and of course Canada self). So when your intelligence apparatus pisses off 4 of the 5 parties in your intelligence system. How much of a system do you really have left? That is the setting China was hoping for and when you consider the acts that America did in its pro-Russia views, the line is cast and China realizes that it can continue without Russia, as it now has a clear stage where it might get the Commonwealth and the EU align with them. A setting that gets too many benefits and ends the dollar as a currency. Did you think I forgot about that? The EU is set to 450 million people, the full Commonwealth is set to 2.5 Billion. As such that becomes 36% of the global population, the Arabic nations is already switching away from America (to a degree), so when American tech is holding onto their version of AI, the setting seems to be one of desperation, when this comes to blows, they need to be out of the realm of victimisation and that is where we are. A comedy that turned to tragedy yesterday and the people are hoping for a nice twist so they can laugh again and I am not sure if that is a possibility. You think I was trying to sell my IP to the Arabian countries on a whim? I reckon that the setting soon will be that this is the only place that might be able to buy it. As I see it American companies will soon deal in swap trades and IOU invoices. When that happens you better believe that the last stage is on route to your point of view. That is merely how I see it and I have been trying to make strides in that direction. I might be a millionaire, but when 9800 millionaires move to the UAE, you better believe that the gig is about to be up.

Have a great day this Saturday, Vancouver will catch up with us in under 170 minutes.

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July 1, 2025 · 06:02

That day, today

We all have that day, the one day that is tattooed into our brains. The Americans have the 4th of July, the Dutch have April 30th, queens day going back to Queen Juliana as it was her birthday, a day that Queen Beatrix kept as her birthday was in January. The new King (aka King Willem-Alexander of the Netherlands was born April 27th) so it is not to big a sidestep. Others (especially those who served) have other dates in mind. They are the dates that are in their brains and it differs per nationality, no matter if you are a Commonwealthian or not. These days matter to those who are there and now for Canadians there is Canada day, a day they celebrate on July 1st. The British North America Act (today known as the Constitution Act, 1867) creates Canada. June 20, 1868: Governor General Lord Monck signs a proclamation that requests all Her Majesty’s subjects across Canada to celebrate July 1. So they get to be thankful of Lord Monck (in a way) and remember that he instilled this setting and I reckon that today and this year it matters a lot more. Canada moved out of the scope of the American insult (aka State 51) and according to Fox News ‘Trump continues with comments about Canada being 51st state’ and “Donald Trump said Canada is a ‘very tough country to deal with’ and should be the 51st state, and that the USMCA is ‘no good.’” So, in short we were given a mere 5 years ago “The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), which entered into force on July 1, 2020, is a free trade agreement that replaced the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). It aims to create a more balanced and reciprocal trade relationship among the three countries, supporting high-paying jobs and growing the North American economy.” And as such, as I personally see it. Why did PM Carney suspend the digital services tax? I reckon that the insults give weight to instigating this setting, not suspend it. OK, I reckon that the PM has a truckload of reasons, but America is waving the ‘we win’ flag but the setting is a lot less happy for them. I still see America one step away from collapsing and the ‘news’ I saw yesterday gives me reason to re-enforce this way of thinking, when corporations like Coca Cola, GM, Alcoa, Campbells and a few more steering towards the north shore of the American plateau. Things are a lot worse than even I imagined. So why is America condoning this level of stupidity? And why is Canada resisting the coup de grace unto the near dead carcass called America? I reckon that some of these Tech firms might get a better deal in Vancouver anyways (personal reflection). And getting them people to move to ski shores a mere 2 hours away might seal the deal with the bulk of these companies.

So as I see it, some president needs to be cut down to size and the insults of the 51st state is a good enough reason. That and the tariff’s being one of the dreaded nail into a corpse collection system (coffin seems too crass) is a good enough reason for me. And as we see ““It’s very simple. Prime Minister Carney and Canada caved to President Trump and the United States of America,” Ms Leavitt said.” We need to get a little infuriated to the blonde spokesperson. The Commonwealth dies not cave to America, a lot of us see that America is about to cave to the world economy and the debts it holds. A mere $36,215,828,296,013 (as stated by sources). This set the debt to $106,112 for EVERY American individual and after the deportations it becomes  more, how much is unknown at present. So did Canada cave Karoline, or did some American Moguls plead with PM Mark Carney as this act would ensure that the dollar might actually  collapse and end the reign of the almighty dollar? 

For reference, there are voices that the successor is already known:

I personally would prefer the British pound of the Canadian dollar, but that might not be a realistic possibility. So I would advise ms Leavitt to imbue a little humility into her boss, because at some point we have had enough and we all get that house of cards to collapse. I know, it is not easy being the most debt riddles nation on the planet, but America wouldn’t reign in their horses believing that they were too big to collapse, and here is a newsflash. “When you piss off everyone in the field, including your own team, collapse is the probably the best you could hope for”

So as we look towards the celebrations of Canada Day, we all can see that Canada, at present has a lot going for it and this turnaround is largely due to the former “Marky Mark of the British Bank”, so I see this as two boxers, one dabbles in economy (President Trump to be clear) and the other is the almost undisputed heavy weight champion of the world (Prime Minister Mark Carney) and this match is about to get nasty (for America), so I would advise Ms Leavitt to seize here ‘cave’ references and just for references, as I personally see it Canada has the United Kingdom, Australia and New Zealand firmly in its corner. As I personally see it America seemingly losing friends a lot faster than they can. Oh, just for references can we get a real tally of what President Trump is bringing in towards its economy, because as I see it, the trillions ‘promised’ towards America is stated to be about 50% short. However, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates  (UAE) are doing well at present. So is the sales pipeline of America broken?

Have a great day and as such to all (especially Canadians) a really great Canada Day and remember:

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June 28, 2025 · 06:42

The bird is the word

Yup, at times we get to be not so nice. A mere 30 minutes ago the BBC ‘alerted’ me to the news that ‘Trump says he is cutting off trade talks with Canada’ (at https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ckg629n7wzvo), now I do not know what actually started this wave of intense silliness, but there you have it. And the text behind this is “US President Donald Trump has said he is cutting off trade talks with Canada “immediately” as the country looks to start enforcing a tax policy targeting big tech companies.” I reckon that after his bash into Iran and the ‘big win’ (not sure if that is the right title for it, but the media runs with it) he thought that revisiting Canada was the way to go (that is his decision). Yet after the insults and the threats there is a real cause for Canada to enforce the setting of following through on ‘threats’ and Canada has had enough. There is the underlying thought of not waking up sleeping dogs, but there you have it. And for the record Prime Minister Mark Carney has a lot more economic insight than I do. Considering that my abacus actions saw the American economy collapse even before President Trump acted in the not so intelligent way he did, but as Tourism collapse in America will be down an estimated $12 – $21 billion this year and even as they are ‘focussing’ on America 250 (OK, that is a landslide number) the fact is that as tourism, which includes business travel, bed and breakfast, hotels, theme parks (even Disney states: ‘Epic Universe is Dead’) the impact of that much losses will drive small businesses out of commerce, as such America has nothing to be proud of. And as we see YouTubers giving a similar message there is a lot of concern. Even in America. As such I am predicting that the damage is larger than we see. So as the media is happy to split hairs (all for the benefit of digital dollars) we get to see ‘prompts’ that America cannot go bankrupt. In theory they are right, but when America has to forfeit on its loans, the effect nowhere near as dramatic as is given by the media. You see, This is where the vulture funds come in. Milking a nation for everything it has. American Wall Street did it to Argentina in 2005 (it might have been 2010), now Wall Street will do it to America because business is business and at that point Canada will get waves of Americans trying to get away from it all. I reckon that Canada can keep the shortages they have (doctors, nurses and such) but the rest is stuck in America. So how does that feel when immigration turns on the Americans? 

Elon Musk was seemingly on that page months ago, but now as the gloves come off, America will feel the pinch of all that interest that comes with the USCCD (US Credit Card Debt) of it states $36,210,000,000,000, which should be over 4.06% an expected interest now. As the US bonds are said to be about 6% consider who will take the risk of investing any amount where the return on investment to be well over 16 years. As I personally see it, this becomes an increasingly risky investment as some see the end of America in less than 5 years. So as Saudi Arabia is celebrating its 2030 point, America is decently heading for doom in less than a week, because the people will talk on this America 250 party. A quarter of a millennia and it mined itself out of existence and into the abyss they dug for themselves. Is this doom speak? 

It is fair to see it that way, but consider that America bombed Iran out of the nuclear age and USA Today gives us ‘Key parts of Iran’s nuclear program still intact, says Pentagon report disputed by Trump’ As such I do not know where I stand, but if the media has ‘valid’ views by the Pentagon (not some intern who works there) President Trump might be merely relying on the court win of ‘Trump handed ‘giant win’ as Supreme Court curbs judges’ power to block his orders’, as such it is my personal view that President Trump needs all the friends he can get, but as it stands, he is burning the bridges behind him and now as Canada is showing some teeth, the game gets nasty and PM Mark Carney also has European friends now (beside the Commonwealth, who he already had) and as this ‘fight’ intensifies, Australia, New Zealand and the United Kingdom will side with their bigger brother as no one wants to side with a potential loser. That is what America has become ‘a loser’. Do you remember the old saying that America gave us all? It was “money talks, bullshit walks”. A setting that America will soon be embracing against their will as they will claim that they armor than ample to ‘turn it around’ and that is where it gets less outspoken for America as it stands as we are given that “The UAE maintains its position as the world’s biggest wealth magnet, with a record net influx of 9,800 millionaires predicted this year”, oh wait, didn’t I say that before? Yes, I did. I made mention of it with “You see if America cannot pay its debts, America becomes the third world country no one wants to visit and that makes it a nasty place within months. America has around 22 million millionaires. I recon that at least 15 million will get out in time, the rest is not ‘rich’ enough and those with a jet (around 15,000 of them) will go to any country that will take them and they will move fast.” I stated this in ‘All dressed up’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/05/31/all-dressed-up/). I did this on the last day in may 2025. So merely a month ago, I made mention earlier, but not is such a strong way because I thought that this day was way off, but the American administration has created a negative economic wave of such magnitude that it makes a tsunami a mere pebble splash. 

That is, what you think is (utter) BS, but we now see “The UAE maintains its position as the world’s biggest wealth magnet, with a record net influx of 9,800 millionaires predicted this year.” As such this year 9,800 millionaires are vacating to the UAE. Wanna guess how many are Americans? So whilst America is still believing that America is doing great. As I see the old expression of rats leaving a sinking ship (no negativity towards these millionaires who sought better places to be). We need to see the reality of the setting and here they also pissed off Canada. As such President Trump might  seek to ‘a second chance’ the question becomes, why does Canada want to do that? In that same air, so will the other Commonwealth nations reconsider why America is a good deal. 

And those who are insisting it is, it is fine, but some media spokespeople have a lot to lose and they need to cash in before it is too late for them. As such the media is really not the trustworthy player you want to bet on.

So as we take notice of “the US president said he was ending talks due to what he called an “egregious tax” on tech companies and added he would announce new tariffs on goods crossing the border within the next week.” Everyone needs to remember that this tax setting is the one president Trump orchestrated (together with the 51st stated mentions) as such he might be feeling a rather large pinch from Wall Street soon enough. So whilst some might focus on “Canada’s 3% digital services tax has been a sticking point in its relationship with the US since the law was enacted last year. The first payments are due on Monday.” A setting I understand is badly received a year ago and that is fine, but they had a year and now as payment is due, those who are unwilling to pay will lose ‘advertisement population’ and that is the crux in a lot of digital settings. As I see it, they all want to make advertisement money and it is why I created an alternative two years ago. Not absent of advertising, but the cut of advertising on every page. That kind of advertising was done as I saw it. It is like a union of a crack whore with Direct Marketing, which much to vile to my taste and the people around me are starting to see this setting and that is the second phase of my ultimate win (I am still a little delusional on this). As I see it Amazon could gain a new niche income there, although I feel better about it if they had made the jump earlier. Now it becomes a race (of sorts) between Amazon and Tencent. The hungry one wins was my initial setting, but it also requires insight and that tends to be lacking in Americans (a personal view).

You might think that I am anti-American, but I am not. Merely a person grabbing for the supposed facts and I am pro-Canadian, I am a Commonwealthian after all. So feel free to disagree, but get the facts out. As far as I know, I have been doing that.

Have a great day and for the Americans here, lets be fair. A small sign to show you what I think of the American administration at present.

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June 26, 2025 · 00:51

Social tainting in America

That is the setting as I see it. It is not a nice setting, but it is a setting that is about to overwhelm the American people. You see MSNBC gives us (at https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/social-security-funding-shortfall-trump-rcna214505) less then 4 hours ago ‘Social Security’s crisis is a year closer — and Trump’s approach will make it worse’. Now before I go any further, this is an opinion piece. Not something that MSNBS journalists have ‘figured’ out. It does come from By James Downie, MSNBC Opinion Editor. As such it does seemingly been considered safe and true (whatever that means nowadays). I always saw this coming well over 5 years ago. But now we get “The Social Security Board of Trustees said last week that the program’s combined trust funds will run out of money in 2034 — one year earlier than was projected in 2024” I’ll be in my 70’s at that point and likely in a similar state. But the setting that this is coming is clear. I reckon that in 2-3 years it will be set to an end of funds mark of 2032. This is not presumption. It is mere speculation as tourism in America is taking a nosedive to losses in excess of 21 billion. Consider how many small businesses will be hurting around 2027 and these people will draining the social security finds even further. So, as we are given “Though Social Security counts over 73 million people as beneficiaries, the news went largely unremarked in Washington. And to be fair, there’s been a lot going on. But soon enough, Social Security will face a funding crisis — and President Donald Trump’s approach will only make matters worse.” You see, no matter what the turnaround will be. People in the Commonwealth and EU have had enough of American ego tripping as it comes without value for their travel tickets and they are now (read: next year and 2027) opting for Paris (Disney), Abu Dhabi (WB and Disney), Tokyo (Disney, WB) and a few other places. All theme parks in America will feel that impact, so staying in denial will not help. And it isn’t merely theme parks in this China is also making waves, as we are given “Yabuli’s ski tourism resort received over 1 million tourists by February 11, an 18% increase compared to 2024” 18% is a lot and it is getting stronger for China as many of the tourists shunning America will try Yabuli, China. In this even Canada will feel that pinch as the most common complain for Whistler has been long lines. People love British Columbia and they love the Canadians. It is just those massive waiting lines and that will need fixing (merely my view on the matter). I cannot say how good Yabuli is as I never been to China, but the food at the Chinese restaurants are delicious, as such I reckon they might be in China too.

And as we are given “When Trump and his allies do talk about Social Security, they say they’re going after “waste, fraud and abuse.” In his address to Congress this year, Trump repeated claims about Social Security going to “millions and millions of dead people” — claims debunked by his own Social Security Administration. The SSA’s acting inspector general reported in February that overpayment of benefits averaged $3.4 billion per year for the last four years. For context, the cost of the entire program in 2024 was nearly $1.5 trillion.” As such there is a lot wrong in this caper. As such we might see overspending in the wrong items, but the larger setting could be seen as “First, a bit of a background: Social Security is (primarily) a pay-as-you-go system — payroll taxes on today’s workers fund benefits for today’s retirees. From 1983 — the last time the program’s finances were overhauled — until 2021, Social Security took in more than it paid out.” This is as I see it in part due to the lack of overhauling the tax laws. Taxing the rich will not help here (it never did) but the tax systems needed an overhaul and that wasn’t done and as we see that this system is paying out more than it is bringing in shows that essential need. I predicted this (on other facts) close to twi decades ago and this was an element I never drilled into. So how were the lawmakers and the administrations that were active between 2001 and 2020 looking at? How did they miss this and gave the tax cuts to all the FAANG members and more? Because that is the essential coins that are missing at present. These lawmakers drove the American systems to bankruptcy (as I personally see it) and that is merely the start of a massive wave of mismanagement. It is nice to blame President Trump, but he is merely a factor, I agree a non-helping factor, but the people behind these laws have a rather nasty large responsibility here and as I wrote before. They were not doing the job they seemingly signed up for.

As such a lot needs to be done and we might think it will be the border patrol barring people from entry as they have a Vance meme picture (a case of a Norwegian tourist) but that one tourist is making all of the Norwegian tourists resetting their vacation and that amounts to a lot. We might not have exact numbers, but the last setting was that 58% travel abroad, at least once a year and a massive amount of them will not be going to America. This might just be 3 million of them, but these millions affect millions of other Europeans and as the Swedes and Danes look at their Norwegian brethren it suddenly amounts to an additional 10 million seeking other destinations. And as such I reckon that before November we will be given a number that will look disastrous against the $21,000,000,000 predicted now. And these people will all tweet, X or tickets tock it all on social media and that amounts to a lot more than America will be comfortable with and as the ‘rigorous’ seeking social media of the arriving tourists continues, more nations will drop America for a better deal. As such as we see that still happen in Q4 2025 America will lose whatever tourists they thought they had and this is undeniable. As the media loses more and more credibility, the fake news spreaders will keep the American arrival halls even more empty. A setting that hasn’t ever happened. The dream location that used to be America will become another place. These two are connected. It isn’t merely what funds the SSA will be missing out on, the setting becomes that “More than four million people will turn 65 in 2025. It’s a phenomenon known as Peak 65. It also means a lot more people are getting ready to retire. Financial advisors said that makes saving for retirement an even bigger conversation.” And at present there is every indication that a lot of them will not be bringing in funds to the SSA, as such the shortfall for the SSA increases and that is only looking at tourism. All connected businesses will suffer. Theme parks, B&B, small businesses who rely on tourists and that list goes on. So, consider that 11% less tourists are taking taxi’s or public transport. How much will these two suffer? This isn’t merely a ripple effect, it is ripple upon ripple upon ripple. And that is showing to be waves of damage. It is a vicious circle that impacts all businesses in America. 

So as some might realise that the impact is a lot worse than expected, consider al the downfall it will bring to the SSA (Social Security Administration) and that might give you the show that the telling that the Sea runs out of money in 2034 might seem optimistic and that gets us to the loss of additional years. As such 2032 might still seem optimistic, and I could agree, but there are other factors. You see, whomever replaces him in 2028, might have other numbers but there is every chance that at that point it will be too late. For the simple reason that you cannot fuels the SSA in three years and that gets us to the prediction I made around 2015. I am not an economist, but I saw this happen at that point and that was before I knew what a dangerous situation the SSA was in. So, do you still think I saw it wrong? It’s OK if you do and if you do not agree with my assessment, that is fine too. You shouldn’t just trust me (or anyone else for that matter) as such you need to ‘rely’ on whomever you trust. I am merely telling you what I saw and when I reported it and that is a timeline you can use to rely on me, or to debunk me. Both are equally valid as I see it and I don’t make any claim of having the better truth. I can be show the wrong facts and I tend to use the media with links, so you can make up your own mind. I merely see (in this case) that MSNBC is giving me a similar setting that I predicted using very different facts. As such I feel validated, but the term validation is a stretch, I know that. So make up your own mind and as these facts are shown to be true and America could go from bad to worse, consider where you and your family are and where you might end up. 

Have a great day and consider having a lovely time today. As I personally see it, good days are seemingly becoming harder and harder to come by.

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June 23, 2025 · 03:26

Chapter Thirteen

That is the setting I am invoking. You see, there is something going on and there are many who say so, although I believe them to be in a sort of ‘conspiracy theorist’ setting. I kinda doubt that I am (not certain though), but I am telling you the whole story here, as a lot of it is speculative, but it comes with evidence of some sort and this story goes way back. A few days ago I set a premise to paper, I have done so before on a few occasions, but this time an idea hit me, and believe me. I am the first one to go into denial and say it was my brain. Yet after all the IP I created (some of them weapon systems) I learned to respect my brain. I figures things out even when my eyes can’t see it. 

The last time was in ‘Chaotic order and orderly chaos’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2025/06/15/chaotic-order-and-orderly-chaos/) on June 15th 2025. I stated:

“I have said so several times over the last 13 years that the media considers the importance of the following:

  • Share holders
  • Stakeholder
  • Advertisers

As such the people are a distant fourth, I saw this for over a decade and as people agree or disagree is fine.”

This stuck with me in the last few days and this night it came to blows with other thoughts. First we see:

And last 

Now this is mere social media (to some junk), but going back to October 6th 2024 when I wrote ‘Is it merely political?’ (at https://lawlordtobe.com/2024/10/06/is-it-merely-political/) things started to click. You see there I wrote towards an article by Politico, where I considered the text “A loophole allows middlemen in countries like Turkey, China and India to refine Russian oil in petrol and diesel before selling it elsewhere — exempt from sanctions. According to a report first seen by POLITICO, Western countries spent $2 billion on this rebranded fuel in the first half of 2024”, the part I never really considered was that this loophole had been place for some time. And as I see it, it was likely created in the days that Iran needed that loophole. So now you have the parts. 

What I considered in the last few parts is that the world (not just America) is under attack by what Sun Tzu called ‘Inward spies’ Sun Tzu saw them as spies, double agents for the enemy, gathering intel of your forces. He never considered that organizations and governments would collide at some point and as I see it that these inward spies are now known as stakeholders. They influence via means, usually for organisations and sometimes governments to dial it up, or down as the setting requires. So a ‘leftist’ stakeholder would ‘represent’ their interest and at times, a grocery store like NIOC. We never (or better stated ‘I never’) considered it until now and I reckon that the last setting where we see the last ‘Tweet’ from a White House correspondent no less with the text “but we had already uncovered its conspiracies back in March!”, so is this a lie (likely) or are stakeholders reporting back a lot more than we are happy about? The last part is less likely but not impossible, as such it becomes more and more important to map out these stakeholders and the connections that they are entertaining. 

So am I crazy or did my brain stumble upon something? Is there a setting where stakeholders get a lot more from some interested parties? I cannot tell, but as I see it, and as I have seen what stakeholders regard as ‘their’ mission in life which usually involves money and power (read: connections) and at that point it doesn’t matter what their goals are, they are actively propagating a terrorist state, a government ploy that has been progressing terrorist organisations all over the middle east. Or did you think that all these rockets delivered to Hamas and Houthi terrorists are as cheap as a pack of milk? Some of them range between $100,000 and $1,000,000 and it varies with the range and payload. I haven’t forgotten about Hezbollah and did someone make an actual invoice of that? Consider what revenue Iran has and soon you will see that the equation doesn’t work. It hasn’t worked for years. So what gives and why isn’t the media digging into this? I can give you one speculation. There is every chance that their focal points are changed by stakeholders. They merely voice where the media needs to look and with advertisement stretches they are eager to increase revenue (and change focal points). 

So am I crazy? (In my defense, I am not crazy, I am an airplane: whoooooosh). And as I can still make fun of myself (my favourite subject), there is every chance that I am not crazy. That doesn’t mean that my assessment is correct. One does not imply the other and my version of what is, is highly speculative. 

So take this for what it is. A almost simple thought, yet I am doing it on paper, so that when the time comes and the media comes with ‘an exclusive’ I can state that I got there way before them). So now that I got that of my chest I might be able to get a few hours of sleep. It is 03:15 here now and I don’t want to wait for breakfast as that is a little over 300 minutes away.

So have a great day and consider what you could do in that time, you might have guessed it, it is lunchtime in Toronto, save me some poutine will you? 

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June 15, 2025 · 14:35

Chaotic order and orderly chaos

That is the setting and I could be wrong, let’s start with that. I could be wrong. But yesterday I saw  YouTubers hash up the large issues in tourism in America and in that same timeframe an article by Yahoo finance passed my by hashing up the same yada yada we see everywhere and at some point the idea flashed by “What if President Trump is actually a genius?” I know, you will call me mad and you will curse me into a dozen boxes, but what if this is a truth as the left is so upon the idiocy of Trump, but what if these people are merely howling the settings of ‘their’ stake holders? 

What if there is a deeper setting? Too many parts in this equation don’t make sense. You see, tourism is out in the open, yet the astute actions of the people behind it are not. And I am referring to the largest players Disney, Warner Brothers, Universal et al. What if the Trump administration sees the debt strangling the American administrations (as I saw it close to 12 years ago) and now acts are essential for America to survive at all. This requires a dangerous new mindset because the left does not want to fess up to the hardship that 340,000,000 Americans face. Admitted they did this to themselves but only in part. There is no way someone worth billions cannot see that. And there is a setting that we decently ignore. What if this is a mere deeper case of Apophenia? Seeing patterns in chaos? The cogs are clicking together in my setting and I reckon that Elon Musk was aware of this some time ago, at least he has the inside track to the American industry and to President Trump. 

So what happens when this track is set to a much larger game? Lets consider that Japan and China have really intelligent people and they see the weights they are holding, together almost 2 trillion dollars in US treasury bonds. As such I foresaw that they would dump their bonds unless there is a larger play around that sets America to skate away from the abyss and America has been on that edge slightly too long. So what would Trump be doing? The first step is to push tourism to the edge of whatever they think that they can survive and the inactions of the tour operators (Disney and others) could spell the actions of trump. In one instance he gets all the little people around these settings on his side as the operators suddenly would be seen as uncaring, caring merely for their own dimes. It is a dangerous play, but as I see it America doesn’t have that many moves left and this (mostly) radical move might be the one golden coin that sets the stage for America. As I see it, it is in line to America first and President Trump is allowed to make it, in that same instance he is dialing down immigration and showing Americans that this is what it is. He can repair fences later on, but he needs to get the debt down and taxing certain parties is nearly the only way to do this.

Feel free to call me mad and perhaps I am, but as certain patterns are evolving  we should be able to see that those shouting ‘idiot, idiot’ are suddenly thrown into the limelight. They are shown to be the bitches of the stakeholders. They are what is wrong with the media and the only way President Trump can make that case is for these stakeholders to be thrust into the limelight. 

I reckon that this play is closing in on the maturity date of actions and the play is slowly becoming a noose around the necks of the opportunity seekers in America. And some are feeling the pinch that they could accept a simple 1% setting for themselves whist the 19% will go straight into the pockets of America and its debt reduction. 

If this is the case, then the simple truth is that President Trump is a true genius and the steps make sense in several ways. But I could be wrong and I know that this is a realistic setting that I face. Don’t think I have the call of valor towards the Yin and Yang, to see order in chaos and chaos in the order of things. Others much more clever than me can make that claim, but not me. I merely saw an evolving set of orders and knowing what I know it makes sense, but that also requires the acceptance that President Trump might have been doing the right thing all along and that is what the media left doesn’t want you to think. They are actually the problem by filtering the news towards us. I have sad so several times over the last 13 years that the media considers the importance of the following

  1. Share holders
  2. Stakeholder
  3. Advertisers

As such the people are a distant fourth, I saw this for over a decade and as people agree or disagree is fine. The larger question is who are the stakeholders? Who do they really represent? The first setting are the greed driven in the second whatever it is that gives them coins. To some extent I pushed them in the Microsoft spin piles and not always the correct pile. It doesn’t matter if they support Microsoft or Apple. It stops the lawmakers from passing proper tax laws and that was the first setting that was required, almost for 20 years it was needed, but these stakeholders stoped that progress and lately they are on the ‘tax the rich’ scheme which is delusionally wrong as tax laws needed to be overhauled. A simple setting I saw to decades ago and I wrote about it frequently enough. As I see it stakeholders stopped this progress and now America is out of moves to make and these stakeholders and the people they represented will move too any tax haven outside of America. I reckon that President Trump is trying to stop these events from becoming ‘a truth seen to late’ and this is how he goes about it. The tariffs are setting the exploiters out of the gaming field and it might not reduce the heartache for too long, it is what comes next that President Trump is trying to prevent. The larger setting is not me, it is the media at large that failed to see this. Why couldn’t they see this? Ponder that question and the Stakeholders come into view and soon the media will have no option but to mention their stakeholders with name and nationality and at that point the coin will drop in the minds of hundreds of millions of Americans and that is what President Trump needs. The two hundred stakeholders and to push them out of the game. That is the first setting to push for better tax laws and that is what the media and larger businesses fear. To be held to account and for them to pay there fair share of taxation. Apple and Microsoft might seem the culprits and likely they are, but any of the FAANG members are, as I personally see it equally guilty and they are merely the beginning. The larger culprit is the media and they shouldn’t be ignored in this. How many people will accept that news media and entertainment media masking as news channels should be acceptable when the audience, the audience that they claim was first, is a mere distant fourth?

As I see it that is the larger question. So feel free to mull over that data and multiple over who has been trying to tell you the truth, all whilst the ‘entertainment news’ had been holding you at bay from the truth from the very beginning. 

Have a great day, I still have 9 hours to go until Monday.

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June 9, 2025 · 20:23

At the right time

That is what we all seek (if we can afford it), that golden ticket that is out in the open and we are in time to grab it. I get it, it is not easy and you need to have feelers out, but that is at time the setting we face. For example, Disney Golden Oaks has had his new park settings with residences and houses out there for almost a year. This is nothing bad. The places look amazing and when you are approaching retirement, or a life setting where you get to enjoy life at least three months a year (basically before the Trump era) nearly everyone who has the money would grab something like that. They are still taking orders, so there is space. I am not criticizing the setting. Disney has made enormous strides with their Golden Oaks and these places are top notch. The setting that the Four Seasons is there as well, merely adds charisma and flavor to that place. So what gives? 

You see, the Emirati News Agency WAM, gives us (at https://www.wam.ae/en/article/15l6shd-aldar-announces-launch-day-sell-out-all-133-homes) a simple setting. They give us ‘Aldar announces launch day sell-out of all 133 homes at Waldorf Astoria Residences’ a setting where we see a launch day sell out? Don’t get me wrong, I cannot afford living there, so I don’t feel sad. I had my eyes set on Sama Yas (which I cannot afford either) but at least it is more affordable than either two. And lets be clear onboard this, as America slides down to a near third world stage, would you want to live in Orlando? Yas Island will be the new Saint Tropez. With its 4 theme parks (soon to be 5) and Warner Brothers being busy to add the world of Harry Potter to their Arsenal, that place will be da bomb (as the expression goes). Ferrari World, The Yas Mall (not as big as the Dubai Mall), but a cracker of a mall. WaterWorld with slides, lazy river and all, SeaWorld which might be the most impressive water zoo you have ever soon and the Warner Brothers Theme park, soon to include these rascals from Hogwarts. And in (an expected) 2027 Disney will grace that place too. So what is there to hesitate over? Well the 133 new owners of their Waldorf Astoria Residences had that same idea and on launch day it all sold out. The first ever branded residential development on Yas Island generating AED 850 million in sales. That almost a billion amounts to $232 million, which amounts to a little under $2 million per unit, there are different sizes, so the small ones are cheaper, the big ones larger and Golden Oaks gave us the setting that they started at 5 million. So it is a win in several ways. And it gets better if you get the Yas Annual Diamond pass, which gives you unlimited Quick Pass Access at all Yas Theme Parks and offers unmatched benefits, such as 25% off dining, shopping, and more. Plus, you’ll receive early park entry, special events, and exclusive member-only experiences. And the price (at present) is $900 a year, with all these benefits you would be crazy not to get it, especially as it gives 25% on loads of stuff, even in the Yass Mall. For an entire year? That pass will earn itself back in less than a month. As such, I reckon that the price goes up when Disney is added to the flavour. And as there are free busses all over Yas Island, the need for a car becomes debatable. 

So in that world where does Orlando stand? Nowhere as I see it and Abu Dhabi has a lot more to offer. As I personally see it theme parks in America are soon done and when the economy collapses (which is likely to be this year) there will not be any reason to go to America. So when you consider these news clippings that America is crawling up from the mud, consider that the Economic times gave us 4 hours ago ‘Adrian Mowat on why non-US assets are becoming more appealing than US equities & bonds’ you’re seeing merely a first and as the pressures on Yas Island to expand is clearly seen in many ways, we will need to consider that America is close to done for. 17 hours ago we were given ‘Half of the bond market is US Treasuries. Why it’s ‘not healthy.’’ Remember that I talked about the dangers of Japan or China dumping the bonds they have and the other one following suit as not too be left with (what I personally speculative see) as toilet paper. Well this is a first sign. The entire Waldorf Astoria setting was out in the open and it is gone on launch day. Orlando never pulled that off, not even when they were the luxury height of the residence markets. As such the oligarchs, the billionaires and others will soon get their own place there and perhaps several already have their place. In addition, the UAE is a zero tax nation, well not exactly, but you do not pay income tax, so the money you get is the money you get to spend and with a Diamond card it gets to be even cheaper. Don’t think you are stuck there. The high speed train ride takes you to either place in 30 minutes, so breakfast in Dubai and Dinner in Abu Dhabi (or the other way round) becomes a reality, although I was unable to find prices, but a normal train going at half the speed is also an option, as such you would be in a train for an hour. 

As I see it the UAE is not merely making waves, they are an economic tsunami about to unleash their good times and as I see it America (Europe too) will face the economic onslaught it makes on both of them and as I see it, with the F1 also on Yas island, the setting gets to me almost embarrassing for America. And feel free to look at the Abu Dhabi videos on YouTube done by hundreds of visitors. A city that is clean, safe and spacious. What more do you need? The article ends with “Commenting on the sales performance, Jonathan Emery, Chief Executive Officer at Aldar Development said: “The sell-out of Waldorf Astoria Residences Yas marks a significant milestone for Aldar and highlights the attractiveness of Yas Island both as an investment destination and prime residential address. As the island’s first branded residential offering, its overwhelming success is a strong indicator of the rising demand for luxury, hospitality-led living in Abu Dhabi and the universal appeal of the Waldorf Astoria brand.”” As such I wonder what will come next, because the intake of wealthy residents is merely at a start this implies that Abu Dhabi is looking at 3-5 new settings and as the Satellite photos show, between Zayed International Airport and Yas Island are several large ‘plots’ that might be the setting of more. The influx of wealth and economic good times are setting a new era for the United Arab Emirates and Abu Dhabi. Did anyone consider that when billionaires see new grounds, they tend to go from other places? Where does that leave America? You see, you can spin all you like, but when the wealth walks away they might be left with merely a dozen wealthy people and President Trump is not that rich, so when Elon Musk leaves, the expression about rats leaving the sinking ship comes to mind. Oh, by the way, I am not calling Elon Much a rat, or implying that he is leaving. But I think the setting comes across to all my readers (and its not my mum, cause she is dead).

A larger setting is coming to the shores of America and I have stated that as warnings for over the last 2 years at least, so whilst we now get “‘‘Death spiral’ nears as US debt service costs reach ‘unsustainable’ levels’” (source: Sky News) consider that I stated this danger es early as October 4th 2021 in ‘Utter insanity’ referring back to an article I wrote in 2013, it has been this long that the media could have informed you. Did they? Oh and the fact that October 4th is also World Animal Day is merely icing on the cake. I like my irony with a sweet tooth. I am a victim of circumstance. Still, the setting was clear years ago, you merely needed to learn to use an abacus, something that has been around for over 3000 years, no super computer needed.

So have a great day and enjoy your morning coffee in Toronto this morning (it is 06:00 there). 

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May 31, 2025 · 12:46

All dressed up

Yup, that is an old expression, I heard it somewhere in the 80’s and if you know, you know. If not, you might figure it out during this article. The setting has been revised before, but now (at https://www.travelandtourworld.com/news/article/north-carolina-and-oregon-unite-with-florida-new-york-nevada-arizona-california-alaska-as-canadian-travel-to-the-us-plunges-this-april-amid-political-backlash-and-tourism-boycott/) we get a more direct setting. We are told ‘North Carolina and Oregon Unite with Florida, New York, Nevada, Arizona, California, Alaska as Canadian Travel to the US Plunges This April Amid Political Backlash and Tourism Boycott’ it seems trivial and that site is, but it is merely one side of this. We are given “Canadian travel to the United States has plunged this April as North Carolina and Oregon unite with Florida, New York, Nevada, Arizona, California, and Alaska in reporting steep declines in visitor numbers from their northern neighbor—an alarming shift fueled by mounting political backlash, a growing tourism boycott movement, and rising disillusionment among Canadian travelers over the current state of U.S. affairs”, as well as “Canadians are now increasingly choosing alternative destinations, citing concerns over the political climate, cultural discomfort, safety perceptions, and dissatisfaction with immigration experiences.” And this is merely the start. Travel Tour World gives assisting data. We are given “According to official data, land travel from Canada to the U.S. dropped by 35.2% in April 2025 compared to the same time last year, while air travel declined 19.9%, marking one of the most significant cross-border travel retreats in recent memory” And it gets to be worse, for that we look towards the story (at https://www.cubaenmiami.com/en/expertos-temen-por-las-perdidas-economicas-que-pueden-traer-la-reciente-disminucion-del-numero-de-turistas-internacionales-en-estados-unidos/) there we get “According to a report by Oxford Economics, unfavorable perceptions regarding trade and immigration policies are causing international tourists to choose other destinations, which could result in an $8.5 billion drop in foreign visitor spending in the United States this year. The decline in travel, which represents a roughly 5% drop compared to the previous year, is due to a decrease in foot traffic. According to Aran Ryan, head of industry research at Tourism Economics, an affiliate of Oxford Economics, international visits to the United States are expected to decline by nearly 9% this year, according to a report released last week.” This is not all, in addition we see “The United States could experience a loss of $21 billion in tourism-related revenue this year if current trends continue, according to estimates by the U.S. Travel Association. According to the trade group, every 1% reduction in international tourist spending represents an annual loss of $1.8 billion for the U.S. economy. Furthermore, experts indicated that a strong U.S. dollar could be driving away international visitors.” Even though only Canada is ‘sifted’ out, the European losses could be close to equally large. I saw this yesterday in a YouTube video on the Epic Universe. The literal quote was “There is no-one here” and this is in the opening month of one of the most desirable theme parks I have ever seen. The damage could be a little bigger than the news we are getting. I saw two restaurants where little to no people are seen and in one case they were the only customer. This is a sight I have never have seen before in any theme parks and this one looks a lot better then most I ever saw with my own eyes. I don’t wish this on anyone and where are the people going? Well, my bet is that Abu Dhabi in the UAE on Yas Island will be raking in the cash. The people decided on another place and as Canada, Europe, Australia and New Zealand decide to seek greener grounds the sands of the United Arab Emirates might be the greenest grass of all. Even as we get one source giving us that “Walt Disney secures future of Euro Disney with €1bn refinancing”, I am drawn to the setting that this is not the destination of many who abandoned the idea of getting theme park rushes in America. I guessed that these people might be going towards Tokyo and its Universal, but the drop of 4% gives me pause to dig deeper there and I am considering that most went to the UAE and the numbers from Gulf Business (kinda) prove me correctly with “International visits to the theme parks also saw significant growth, with a 40 per cent, rise, led by a substantial increase from key markets, including India, China, the UK and Russia” and there I wonder if they investigated the stream of Canadian and European visitors. Yet 40% increase is not nothing, it is huge, especially as America is looking to a drop of well over $21,000,000,000 in business and that is not including all the bed and breakfast and fast food locations that usually see a much larger interest during these days. The tariff and 51st state mentions will be taking its toll on America a lot sooner than they think. I reckon that European (Australians too) will decide that Canada is a much better place to be than America, as such this coming winter Aspen will dealing with a zero minutes queue time at the slopes. This means that America is looking towards a two dreadful seasons, summer and winter. We can speculate how large this becomes, but there is no real data on this and the bulk of the people will not see these results until springtime 2026. Anything earlier is loaded with inaccuracies as the data they have been training on was never captured to the degree it needed and some form of forecasting analysis (the process of using historical data, trends, and statistical methods to predict future outcomes) as it is based on achieved data and this has never happened before in America going back to the before the 80’s, as such there is no forecasting settings and it needs to be done on actual data captured now, and these results are not looking good. Even if it is a ‘mere’ 21 billion, over 8-9 states the impact is nothing short of disastrous and America was never in that great a shape anyway. This is propagated by the real time risk of two nations dumping their bonds before they have the value of toilet paper (yes, China and Japan) and even whilst Japan has the largest amount and they are hanging on, they do know that if China is pushed to dumping their bonds, Japan will be racing to get there as son as possible, merely to safe some of their value. Considering the escalations that the BBC reported on a mere 10 hours ago, there is a chance (a small one) that China will respond by dumping the US Treasury bonds they have and that is pretty much a sequential set in ending the American economy. This America Administration will not be able to recover from that and whilst the Chinese portfolio is set to US$765.4 billion, which is 20 billion than a month ago. They might be gambling that Japan tries to drop their $1.13 trillion ($1,300,000,000,000) bond, especially as their own debt is now a debt-to-GDP at 260% and the Bank of Japan already owning more than half of outstanding Japanese government bonds, as it seems (according to people with the economic knowledge and foresight) that Japan is boxed in. Should China dump their bonds they could gain America and Japan at the same time. A sight never seen before in our history. So what does this have to do with tourism? Everything. You see if America cannot pay its debts, America becomes the third world country no one wants to visit and that makes it a nasty place within months. America has around 22 million millionaires. I recon that at least 15 million will get out in time, the rest is not ‘rich’ enough and those with a jet (around 15,000 of them) will go to any country that will take them and they will move fast. The rest? That is anyones guess. It reminds me of that B-movie where the wealthy and refuge in a theme park as it is the only one with enough food and security to make it last. But that is an overly dark (and unrealistic) setting. What is a given that these people will seek a safer haven, because America won’t be one for decades to come. 

Still, the first setting is tourism and that setting is under increasing pressures. And as I personally see it, it wasn’t President Trump who set this of, it was the short sighted views (my personal take on this) of Governor Ronald Dion DeSantis who chased away $1,000,000,000 in investment settings in Florida, that was the start. We saw a whole lot of anti woke and anti LGTBQ settings making Europeans (and likely Canadians) weary of safety issues in Florida, which would have impacted both Disney, Universal and Warner Brothers. That was as I saw it the start and the tariffs merely escalated that setting. The damage would have been horrific if Warner Brothers Abu Dhabi had started their Harry Potter park expansion a year earlier, yet as it stands it is now kinda set for a late 2026 opening. And as Disney is coming there too the bad news for Florida keeps on adding to the larger picture. That and as the UAE is one of the safest places in the world, the appeal of the UAE is easily spotted. That is besides the fact that Abu Dhabi has 4 theme parts and one of the largest luxurious malls in the world (right behind the Dubai Mall). The additional setting that you can travel from Abu Dhabi to Dubai in a mere 30 minutes by train, the appeal is close to complete. The zero tax setting that the UAE offers is a mere cherry on their yummy pie.

That is what American tourism was facing all along and now with the tariff wars the escalations are debilitating whatever was left of American tourism future, because if you are willing to fly to Florida, the idea that flying to the UAE for close to the same amount would be a desiring call for any tourist that wants something new.  So if you want to dress up, you might as well try an Emirati Kandura, looking good and looking different, having that real vacation feeling that you might never have had before.

Have a great day and consider where you might want to go and where you could go, especially for those who are sick of Americans referring to Canada as the 51st state and the Europeans who are not too happy on America annexing 2.166 million km².

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May 30, 2025 · 15:34

The size of that

Something no woman has ever sad to me, but that is for another day. You see, the story (at https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/saudi-arabias-ai-co-humain-looking-for-us-data-center-equity-partner-targets-66gw-by-2034-with-subsidized-electricity/) In this DCD ( Data Center Dynamics) gives us ‘Saudi Arabia’s AI co. Humain looking for US data center equity partner, targets 6.6GW by 2034 with subsidized electricity’ and they throw numbers at us. First there is the money “Plans $10bn venture fund to invest in AI companies”, which seems fair enough. But after that we get “The company said that it would buy 18,000 Nvidia GB300 chips with “several hundred thousand” more on the way, that it was partnering with AWS for a $5bn ‘AI Zone,’ signed a deal with AMD for 500MW of compute, and deployed Groq chips for inference.” I reckon that will split and split again, the shares of Nvidia. Then we get the $5 billion AI zone and then the AMD deal for 500MW of compute and deployed Groq chips for a conclusion reached on the basis of evidence and reasoning. Yes, that is quite the mouthful. After that we get a pause for the “How much of Humain’s data center focus will be on Saudi-based facilities is unclear – its AMD deal mentions sites in the US.” As such, we need to see what this is all about and I am hesitant to mention conclusions for a field that I am not aware of. Yet, the nagging feeling is in the back of my mind and it is jostling in an annoying way. You see, lets employ somewhat incorrect math (I know it is not a correct way). Consider 18,000 computers draining the energy net of 500 watt per system per second. That amounts to 9,000 GW energy (speculatively), and that is just the starting 18,000. As such the setting will be several times the amount needed for fueling these AI centers. Now, I know my calculations are widely of and we are given “At first, it plans to build a 50MW data center with 18,000 Nvidia GPUs for next year, increasing to 500MW in phases. It also has 2.3 square miles of land in the Eastern Province, which could host ten 200MW data centers.” I am not attacking this, but when we take into consideration that amount of energy requirements for processors, storage, cooling and maintaining the workflow my head comes up short (it usually does) and the immediate thought is where is this power coming from? As I see it, you will need a decently build Nuclear reactor and that reactor needs to be started in about 8 hours for that timeline to be met. Feel free to doubt me, I already am. Yet the needed energy to fuel a 66GW Data centre of any kind needs massive power support. And the need for Huawei to spice up the data cables somewhat. As I roughly see it, a center like that needs to plough through all the spam internet it gets on a near 10 seconds setting. That is all the spam it can muster in a year per minute (totally inaccurate, but you get the point). The setting that the world isn’t ready for this and it is given to us all in a mere paragraph. 

Now, I do not doubt the intent of the setting and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is really sincere to get to the ‘AI field’ as it is set, but at present the western setting is like what builder thought it would be and overreached (as I see it) and fraudulently set the stations of what they believed AI was and blew away a billion dollars in no time at all (and dragged Microsoft along with it) as they backed this venture. This gives me donut (which I already had) on the AI field as the AI field is more robust as I saw it (leaning on the learnings of Alan Turing) and it is a lot more robust then DML (Deeper Machine Learning) and LLM (Large Language Models), it really is. And for that I fear for the salespeople who tried to sell this concept, because when they say “Alas, it didn’t work. We tried, but we aren’t ready yet”, will be met with some swift justice in the halls of Saudi Arabia. Heads will roll intuit instance and they had that coming as I foresaw this a while before 2034. (It is 2025 now, and I am already on that page). 

Merely two years ago MIT Management gave us ‘Why neural net pioneer Geoffrey Hinton is sounding the alarm on AI’ and there we get the thing I have warned about for years “In a widely discussed interview with The New York Times, Hinton said generative intelligence could spread misinformation and, eventually, threaten humanity.” I saw this coming a mile away (in 2020, I think) You see, these salespeople are so driven to their revenue slot that they forget about Data verification and data centers require and ACTUAL AI to drag trough the data verifying it all. This isn’t some ‘futuristic’ setting of what might be, it is a certainty that non-verified data breeds inaccuracies and we will get inaccuracy on inaccuracy making things go from bad to worse. So what does that look on a 66GW system? Well, for that we merely need to look back to the 80’s when the term GIGO was invented. It is a mere setting of ‘Garbage In, Garbage Out’ no hidden snags, no hidden loopholes. A simple setting that selling garbage as data leaves is with garbage, nothing more. As such as I saw it, I looked at the article and the throwing of large numbers and people thought “Oh yes, there is a job in there for me too” and I merely thought, what will fuel this? And band that, who can manage the see-through of the data and the verification process, because with those systems in place a simple act of sabotage by adding a random data set to the chain will have irreparable consequences in that data result. 

So, as the DCD set that, they pretty much end the setting with “By 2030, the company hopes to process seven percent of the globe’s training and inference workloads. For the facilities deployed in the kingdom, Riyadh will subsidize electricity prices.” And in this my thoughts are Where is that energy coming from?” A simple setting which comes with (a largely speculative setting) that such a reactor needs to be a Generation IV reactor, which doesn’t exist yet. And in this the World Nuclear Association in 2015 suggested that some might enter commercial operation before 2030 (exact date unknown), yet some years ago we were given that the active member era were “Australia, Canada, China, the European Atomic Energy Community (Euratom), France, Japan, Russia, South Africa, South Korea, Switzerland, the United Kingdom and the United States” there is no mention of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and I reckon they would be presenting all kinds of voices against the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (as well as the UAE) being the first to have one of those. It is my merely speculative nature to voice this. I am not saying that the Economic Simplified Boiling Water Reactor (ESBWR) is a passively safe generation III+ reactor could not do this, but the largest one is being build by Hitachi (a mere 4500MW) and it is not build yet. The NRC granted design approval in September 2014, and it is currently not build yet. That path started in 2011. It is 2025 now, so how long until the KSA gets its reactor? And perhaps that is not needed for my thoughts, but we see a lot of throwing of numbers, yet the DCD kept us completely in the dark on the power requirements. And as I see it the line “Riyadh will subsidize electricity prices” does not hold water as the required energy settings are not given to us (perhaps not so sexy and it does make for a lousy telethon) 

So I am personally left with questions. How about you? Have a great day and drink some irradiated tea. Makes you glow in the dark, which is good for visibility on the road and sequential traffic safety.

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